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Hybrid statistical testing for nuclear material accounting data and/or process monitoring data in nuclear safeguards

The aim of nuclear safeguards is to ensure that special nuclear material is used for peaceful purposes. Historically, nuclear material accounting (NMA) has provided the quantitative basis for monitoring for nuclear material loss or diversion, and process monitoring (PM) data is collected by the operator to monitor the process. PM data typically support NMA in various ways, often by providing a basis to estimate some of the in-process nuclear material inventory. We develop options for combining PM residuals and NMA residuals (residual = measurement - prediction), using a hybrid of period-driven and data-driven hypothesis testing. The modified statistical tests can be used on time series of NMA residuals (the NMA residual is the familiar material balance), or on a combination of PM and NMA residuals. The PM residuals can be generated on a fixed time schedule or as events occur.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Software Quality Assurance and Verification for the MPACT Library Generation Process

This report fulfills the requirements for the Consortium for the Advanced Simulation of Light-Water Reactors (CASL) milestone L2:RTM.P14.02, “SQA and Verification for MPACT Library Generation,” by documenting the current status of the software quality, verification, and acceptance testing of nuclear data libraries for MPACT. It provides a brief overview of the library generation process, from general-purpose evaluated nuclear data files (ENDF/B) to a problem-dependent cross section library for modeling of light-water reactors (LWRs). The software quality assurance (SQA) programs associated with each of the software used to generate the nuclear data libraries are discussed; specific tests within the SCALE/AMPX and VERA/XSTools repositories are described. The methods and associated tests to verify the quality of the library during the generation process are described in detail. The library generation process has been automated to a degree to (1) ensure that it can be run without user intervention and (2) to ensure that the library can be reproduced. Finally, the acceptance testing process that will be performed by representatives from the Radiation Transport Methods (RTM) Focus Area prior to the production library’s release is described in detail.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

The 2014 Integrated Field Exercise of the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty revisited: The case for data fusion

The International Monitoring System of the Preparatory Commission for the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO) uses a global network of radionuclide monitoring stations to detect evidence of a nuclear explosion. The two radionuclide technologies employed—particulate and noble gas (radioxenon) detection—have applications for data fusion to improve detection of a nuclear explosion. Using the hypothetical 0.5 kT nuclear explosive test scenario of the CTBTO 2014 Integrated Field Exercise, the intrinsic relationship between particulate and noble gas signatures has been examined. Here this study shows that, depending upon the time of the radioxenon release, the particulate progeny can produce the more detectable signature. Thus, as both particulate and noble gas signatures are inherently coupled, the authors recommend that the sample categorization schemes should be linked.

98 NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT, SAFEGUARDS, AND PHYSICAL P↗

A digital seismogram archive of nuclear explosion signals, recorded at the Borovoye Geophysical Observatory, Kazakhstan, from 1966 to 1996

Seismologists from Kazakhstan, Russia, and the United States have rescued the Soviet-era archive of nuclear explosion seismograms recorded at Borovoye in northern Kazakhstan during the period 1966–1996. The signals had been stored on about 8000 magnetic tapes, which were held at the recording observatory. After hundreds of man-years of work, these digital waveforms together with significant metadata are now available via the project URL, namely http://www.ldeo.columbia.edu/res/pi/Monitoring/Data/ as a modern open database, of use to diverse communities. Three different sets of recording systems were operated at Borovoye, each using several different seismometers and different gain levels. For some explosions, more than twenty different channels of data are available. A first data release, in 2001, contained numerous glitches and lacked many instrument responses, but could still be used for measuring accurate arrival times and for comparison of the strengths of different types of seismic waves. The project URL also links to our second major data release, for nuclear explosions in Eurasia recorded in Borovoye, in which the data have been deglitched, all instrument responses have been included, and recording systems are described in detail. This second dataset consists of more than 3700 waveforms (digital seismograms) from almost 500 nuclear explosions in Eurasia, many of them recorded at regional distances. It is important as a training set for the development and evaluation of seismological methods of discriminating between earthquakes and underground explosions, and can be used for assessment of three-dimensional models of the Earth’s interior structure.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗

ENDF/B-VIII.1: Updated Nuclear Reaction Data Library for Science and Applications

The ENDF/B-VIII.1 library is the newest recommended evaluated nuclear data file by the Cross Section Evaluation Working Group (CSEWG) for use in nuclear science and technology applications, and incorporates advances made in the six years since the release of ENDF/B-VIII.0. Among key advances made are that the 239 Pu file was reevaluated by a joint international effort and that updated 16,18 O, 19 F, 28–30 Si, 50–54 Cr, 55 Mn, 54,56,57 Fe, 63,65 Cu, 139 La, 233,235,238 U, and 240,241 Pu neutron nuclear data from the IAEA coordinated INDEN collaboration were adopted. Over 60 neutron dosimetry cross sections were adopted from the IAEA's IRDFF-II library. In addition, the new library includes significant changes for 3 He, 6 Li, 9 Be, 51 V, 88 Sr, 103 Rh, 140,142 Ce, Dy, 181 Ta, Pt, 206–208 Pb, and 234,236 U neutron data, and new nuclear data for the photonuclear, charged-particle and atomic sublibraries. Numerous thermal neutron scattering kernels were reevaluated or provided for the very first time. On the covariance side, work was undertaken to introduce better uncertainty quantification standards and testing for nuclear data covariances. The significant effort to reevaluate important nuclides has reduced bias in the simulations of many integral experiments with particular progress noted for fluorine, copper, and stainless steel containing benchmarks. Data issues hindered the successful deployment of the previous ENDF/B-VIII.0 for commercial nuclear power applications in high burnup situations. These issues were addressed by improving the 238 U and 239,240,241 Pu evaluated data in the resonance region. The new library performance as a function of burnup is similar to the reference ENDF/B-VII.1 library.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Availability of Shielding Benchmark Experiment Data in the ICSBEP Handbook

The International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Projects (ICSBEP) has over two decades of experience under the auspices of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Nuclear Energy Agency (NEA) to identify, evaluate, and compile a comprehensive data set of criticality safety benchmark data [1]. The activities of the ICSBEP have led to the continued success of the International Handbook of Evaluated Criticality Safety Benchmark Experiments (ICSBEP Handbook) [2]. The contents of the ICSBEP Handbook include benchmark specifications derived from nuclear facilities around the world, which have been utilized to support criticality safety efforts and also integral testing of nuclear data [3]. The 2020 edition of the ICSBEP Handbook will include data from 582 evaluations containing benchmark specifications for 5,053 critical, subcritical, or near-critical configurations. There are seven criticality-alarm-placement/shielding evaluations containing a total of 45 benchmark configurations, and ten fundamental physics evaluations containing a total of 237 measurements relevant to criticality safety applications. The purpose of this paper is to summarize those benchmarks relative to validation needs in shielding applications currently found within the ICSBEP Handbook. The current and future plans of shielding benchmarks with regards to the ICSBEP will also be discussed.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

ENDF/B-VIII.1 Validation (Preliminary Release 2 + New 239 Pu)

This document should serve as a reference for validation testing of nuclear data files included in the second preliminary release of ENDF/B-VIII.1 and the newly evaluated 239 Pu nuclear data file to be included in the third preliminary release of ENDF/B-VIII.1. Experiment names listed in this report are based on International Criticality Safety Benchmark Evaluation Project (ICSBEP) Handbook designations. Additional information on ICSBEP handbook designations can be found at https://www.oecd-nea.org/jcms/pl_20291/icsbep-handbook. The validation metrics used in this report include the effective neutron multiplication factor, k eff , and tritium production. All validation metrics were calculated using the radiation transport code Monte Carlo N-Particle (MCNP).

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Contributions for ENDF/B-VIII.1 Paper

This paper is on contributions for ENDF/B-VIII.1. The paper covers neutron reaction covariances and touches on improved testing of nuclear data covariances. Additionally, fission is discussed along with the prompt fission neutron spectrum. Finally, it ends with a look into validation with LLNL pulsed spheres.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

The cosmological constant

The cosmological constant problem is examined in the context of both astronomy and physics. Effects of a nonzero cosmological constant are discussed with reference to expansion dynamics, the age of the universe, distance measures, comoving density of objects, growth of linear perturbations, and gravitational lens probabilities. The observational status of the cosmological constant is reviewed, with attention given to the existence of high-redshift objects, age derivation from globular clusters and cosmic nuclear data, dynamical tests of Omega sub Lambda, quasar absorption line statistics, gravitational lensing, and astrophysics of distant objects. Finally, possible solutions to the physicist's cosmological constant problem are examined.

Carroll, Sean M.↗

MCNP6 Status and plans for criticality safety applications - 14368

The first production version of MCNP6 was released in 2013, with an update in 2014. MCNP6 provides all of the standard methodology for criticality calculations available in previous versions and new capabilities for adjoint-based sensitivity profiles and perturbations. This paper reviews the current status of MCNP6, including new features, performance improvements, verification testing, and nuclear data libraries. For criticality safety support, a new statistical package called Whisper was developed and first applied in 2014 for validation and determining USLs. Whisper includes input files and sensitivity profiles for over 1000 ICSBEP benchmarks and will be distributed with MCNP6. For the long term, an initiative called MCNP 2020 is underway to improve performance, strengthen the code foundation, and prepare for future computer systems. (authors)

42 ENGINEERING↗

Verification and validation testing and tools: comparison between MCNP code versions and nuclear data libraries [Slides]

This presentation discusses the primary goal of software testing which is to test the code for correctness. It also discusses the results for individual suites and the role of validation and verification also referred to in the presentation as V&V. In summation, the V&V framework enables easy comparison between calculations performed with different code versions and/or nuclear data libraries. This entire framework will be distributed with the upcoming MCNP6.3 release. V&V test suites shown and several that were not (Criticality, LAQGSM, Lockwood) will be distributed in the new framework.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗