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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2021

Perturbative and nonperturbative studies of CFTs with MN global symmetry

Fixed points in three dimensions described by conformal field theories with \ensuremath{M N}_{m,n} = O(m)^n\rtimes S_n M N m , n = O ( m ) n ⋊ S n global symmetry have extensive applications in critical phenomena. Associated experimental data for m=n=2 m = n = 2 suggest the existence of two non-trivial fixed points, while the \varepsilon ε expansion predicts only one, resulting in a puzzling state of affairs. A recent numerical conformal bootstrap study has found two kinks for small values of the parameters m m and n n , with critical exponents in good agreement with experimental determinations in the m=n=2 m = n = 2 case. In this paper we investigate the fate of the corresponding fixed points as we vary the parameters m m and n n . We find that one family of kinks approaches a perturbative limit as m m increases, and using large spin perturbation theory we construct a large m m expansion that fits well with the numerical data. This new expansion, akin to the large N N expansion of critical O(N) O ( N ) models, is compatible with the fixed point found in the \varepsilon ε expansion. For the other family of kinks, we find that it persists only for n=2 n = 2 , where for large m m it approaches a non-perturbative limit with \Delta_\phi\approx 0.75 Δ ϕ ≈ 0.75 . We investigate the spectrum in the case \ensuremath{M N}_{100,2} M N 100 , 2 and find consistency with expectations from the lightcone bootstrap.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Experimental and modeling study of water time histories during H 2 S-N 2 O combustion in a shock tube

Here, with the interest in directly burning sour gas in gas turbines, and the fact that even small amounts of H 2 S or its combustion products can alter combustion characteristics, many research studies have been performed to better understand the combustion chemistry of H 2 S. In the present study, the water formation was followed by laser absorption with N 2 O as an oxidant, instead of O 2 . Nitrous Oxide being essentially consumed via N 2 O (+M) ⇌ N 2 + O (+M), the water formation via the H 2 S + O route can then be probed to further validate the models. Three H 2 S/N 2 O mixtures diluted in 98% Ar were studied to cover the following range of equivalence ratios: 0.5, 1.0, and 2.0, over a wide range of temperatures (1580–1940 K) around atmospheric pressure. A chemical kinetic model was then developed first by validating the base N 2 O kinetics mechanism, then by investigating the experimental results presented herein. The N 2 O kinetics mechanism was updated with recent work on the low- and high-pressure limits for N 2 O decomposition (N 2 O (+M) ⇌ N 2 + O (+M)) as well as a review of rate coefficients for N 2 O + H ⇌ N 2 + OH from the literature. Good agreement is shown for H 2 /N 2 O mixtures. Updates were then made to the H 2 S kinetics mechanism, specifically, an update from the literature on SO 2 + H (+M) ⇌ SO + OH (+M) and an adjustment to SO + SH ⇌ S 2 + OH. Additionally, reactions between SH and N 2 O were determined using W1BD data and transition state theory which required the addition of an NNS sub-mechanism. With these updates, the mechanism provides good agreement with the H 2 S/N 2 O experiments.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗
DOE OSTI2021

Correlation between antiferromagnetic and Mott states in spin orbit coupled Sr 2 Ir O 4 : A study of Sr 2 Ir 1 – x M x O 4 ( M = Fe or Co)

Sr 2 IrO 4 is an archetypal spin-orbit-coupled Mott insulator with an antiferromagnetic state below 240 K. Here we report results of our study on single crystals of Sr 2 Ir 1–x Fe x O 4 (0 ≤ x < 0.32) and Sr 2 Ir 1–x Co x O 4 (0 ≤ x < 0.22). Fe doping retains the antiferromagnetic state but simultaneously precipitates an emergent metallic state whereas Co doping causes a rapid collapse of both the antiferromagnetic and Mott states, giving rise to a confined metallic state featuring a pronounced linearity of the basal-plane resistivity up to 700 K. The results indicate tetravalent Fe 4+ (3d 4 ) ions in the intermediate spin state with S = 1 and Co 4+ (3d 5 ) ions in the high spin state with S = 5/2 substituting for Ir 4+ (5d 5 ) ions in Sr 2 IrO 4 , respectively. The effective magnetic moment closely tracks the Néel temperature as doping increases, suggesting that the spin state of the dopant predominately determines the magnetic properties in doped Sr 2 IrO 4 . Furthermore, all relevant properties including charge-carrier density (e.g., 10 28 /m 3 ), Sommerfeld coefficient (e.g., 19 mJ / mole K 2 ), and Wilson ratio (e.g., 2.6) consistently demonstrate an emergent metallic state that is both robust and highly correlated in the two systems, arising from the percolation of bound states and the weakening of structural distortions. Furthermore, this study strongly indicates that the antiferromagnetic and Mott states are correlated in an unconventional manner in Sr 2 IrO 4 .

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2023

Calorimetric Study of Mixed Phosphates Na 4 M 3 (PO 4 ) 2 P 2 O 7 (M = Mn 2+ , Fe 2+ , Co 2+ , Ni 2+ ) to Evaluate the Electrochemical Trends

Mixed polyanionic compounds have been studied extensively as viable cathode materials for sodium-ion batteries. Mixed phosphates, Na 4 M 3 (PO 4 ) 2 P 2 O 7 (M = Mn 2+ , Fe 2+ , Co 2+ , Ni 2+ ), provide a low barrier for Na-ion diffusion, being advantageous in comparison to phosphates and pyrophosphates. The reported order of sodium extraction is ambiguous and remains unclear. Despite being structurally similar, electrochemical performance differs for all four analogues with different degrees of (de)sodiation, according to the transition element present. High-temperature oxide melt solution calorimetry has been used to establish the relation between thermodynamic phase stability and observed capacity for this series of mixed phosphates. Thermodynamic phase stability largely depends on the kind of structure, type of bonding, and size of the cations present. So, according to our results, the thermodynamic phase stability follows the order Na 4 Mn 3 (PO 4 ) 2 P 2 O 7 > Na 4 Fe 3 (PO 4 ) 2 P 2 O 7 > Na 4 Co 3 (PO 4 ) 2 P 2 O 7 > Na 4 Ni 3 (PO 4 ) 2 P 2 O 7 . The thermodynamic studies serve as guidelines for the selection of compositions with the potential for fabricating advanced cathode materials with maximum performance.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2025

Q1-2024 Solar Cost Benchmarks

Each year, the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) and its national laboratory partners develop cost benchmarks for U.S. solar photovoltaic (PV) systems. These benchmarks track progress toward reducing solar costs and guide R&D priorities. Unlike typical studies that report only $/W, SETO uses intrinsic units (e.g., $/m² for mounting structures) to better capture how technology improvements such as module efficiency would impact system costs. This allows flexible modeling where inputs can vary significantly to assess cost sensitivity. Costs are reported in two ways: Minimum Sustainable Price (MSP): Long term, financially viable price under stable market conditions. Modeled Market Price (MMP): Actual market price, influenced by short term distortions such as tariffs or subsidies. Three national labs collect cost data from industry stakeholders, ensuring no duplication in outreach to stakeholders. Data reflects real transactions (primarily from Q1) and is weighted based on the number of sources per cost element. The PV System Cost Model (PVSCM) divides total installed system cost into eight categories: 1. Module (PV) 2. Inverter 3. Energy Storage System (ESS) 4. Structural BOS (SBOS) 5. Electrical BOS (EBOS) 6. Fieldwork 7. Office work 8. Other (developer/EPC costs) The first five are hardware costs, while the last three are soft costs. Each category includes fixed and variable cost components, where “size” depends on context (e.g., manufacturing capacity for modules vs. system capacity for installation costs). Variable costs are expressed using appropriate intrinsic units. The model reflects the owner’s upfront overnight capital cost, excluding tax credits. Tariffs and subsidies are treated as temporary market distortions affecting MMP but not MSP. PVSCM is implemented in Excel, where cost elements are aggregated into total system cost. Additional sheets handle unit conversions and operation & maintenance (O&M), with O&M costs levelized over the system’s lifetime.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2021

Implementation and Evaluation of a Unified Turbulence Parameterization Throughout the Canopy and Roughness Sublayer in Noah‐MP Snow Simulations

Abstract The Noah‐MP land surface model (LSM) relies on the Monin‐Obukhov (M‐O) Similarity Theory (MOST) to calculate land‐atmosphere exchanges of water, energy, and momentum fluxes. However, MOST flux‐profile relationships neglect canopy‐induced turbulence in the roughness sublayer (RSL) and parameterize within‐canopy turbulence in an ad hoc manner. We implement a new physics scheme (M‐O‐RSL) into Noah‐MP that explicitly parameterizes turbulence in RSL. We compare Noah‐MP simulations employing the M‐O‐RSL scheme (M‐O‐RSL simulations) and the default M‐O scheme (M‐O simulations) against observations obtained from 647 Snow Telemetry (SNOTEL) stations and two AmeriFlux stations in the western United States. M‐O‐RSL simulations of snow water equivalent (SWE) outperform M‐O simulations over 64% and 69% of SNOTEL sites in terms of root‐mean‐square‐error (RMSE) and correlation, respectively. The largest improvements in skill for M‐O‐RSL occur over closed shrubland sites, and the largest degradations in skill occur over deciduous broadleaf forest sites. Differences between M‐O and M‐O‐RSL simulated snowpack are primarily attributable to differences in aerodynamic conductance for heat underneath the canopy top, which modulates sensible heat flux. Differences between M‐O and M‐O‐RSL within‐canopy and below‐canopy sensible heat fluxes affect the amount of heat transported into snowpack and hence change snowmelt when temperatures are close to or above the melting point. The surface energy budget analysis over two AmeriFlux stations shows that differences between M‐O and M‐O‐RSL simulations can be smaller than other model biases (e.g., surface albedo). We intend for the M‐O‐RSL physics scheme to improve performance and uncertainty estimates in weather and hydrological applications that rely on Noah‐MP.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗
DOE OSTI2026

A Fast Algorithm for Computing Zigzag Representatives

Zigzag filtrations of simplicial complexes generalize the usual filtrations by allowing simplex deletions in addition to simplex insertions. The barcodes computed from zigzag filtrations encode the evolution of homological features. Although one can locate a particular feature at any index in the filtration using existing algorithms, the resulting representatives may not be compatible with the zigzag: a representative cycle at one index may not map into a representative cycle at its neighbor. For this, one needs to compute compatible representative cycles along each bar in the barcode. It is known that the barcode for a zigzag filtration with m insertions and deletions can be computed $O(m^ω)$ in time, where $ω < 2.373$ is the matrix multiplication exponent. However, it is not known how to compute the compatible representatives so efficiently. For a non-zigzag filtration, the classical matrix-based algorithm provides representatives in $O(m^3)$ time, which can be improved to $O(m^ω)$. However, no known algorithm for zigzag filtrations computes the representatives with the $O(m^3)$ time bound. We present an $O(m^3 n)$ time algorithm for this problem, where $n ≤ m$ is the size of the largest complex in the filtration.

Persistent homology↗
DOE OSTI2025

Crystallographic Evidence for Formation of M 6 O 8 /M 6 O 9 f-Element Clusters in Hydrolysis Reactions

In this contribution, we have conducted an examination of crystallographic data which includes 184 4f- and 5f-structures containing the M 6 O 8 or M 6 O 9 moiety. Since much of the work in this field has actually been done to explore the formation and properties of metal organic frameworks (MOFs), we hope that this collection can be used by actinide scientists to further investigate structural and mechanistic trends and gain insight into the formation of these compounds. Here we discuss the general trends in coordination, ligands used, and bonding within the M 6 O 8 or M 6 O 9 core in the hope that further computational work can benefit.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2023

OPTOM: Optimization of Parabolic Trough - Operations & Maintenance

The US Department of Energy’s SunShot goals look to reduce the cost of Concentrating Solar Power (CSP) technology to 5¢/kWh for baseload plants. This is about a 50% reduction from current costs. To achieve this cost target, a significant reduction in operation and maintenance (O&M) costs of 40 to 50% is likely needed. Advances are needed in the O&M practices of CSP plants if the technology is to achieve the SunShot cost goals. Digitization of plant performance and O&M data has become a new best practice in the world of renewable energy asset management. Owners and operators of large photovoltaic and wind power plants are working to digitize performance and O&M data at their existing assets, to improve their management of the facilities, to increase performance, reduce O&M costs, and lower the overall life cycle cost of ownership. CSP power plants are behind the curve of other technologies on the digitization of plant information to aid in the plant asset management. This project directly addresses the objective of digitizing the O&M data of the solar field, focusing on three areas: 1) creating a framework for sharing data and information, 2) creating a system for monitoring and managing the maintenance of the solar field collectors, and 3) developing analytic tools to identify issues in the solar field. According to the NREL CSP Best Practices Study, the current practice at many CSP plants is to rely on paper lists, spreadsheets, and email for monitoring and managing problems and maintenance in the solar field. The key element to digitize solar field O&M is the creation of a centralized data archive that all users and systems can interface with. This project developed a centralized relational database framework that allows users and applications to access and share data. Conventional power plants utilize Computerized Maintenance Management Systems (CMMSs) to track the corrective, preventive (scheduled), and predictive maintenance of equipment and subsystems in the power plant. CSP plants use these systems in the power block, but while these systems specialize at tracking maintenance on up to thousands of pieces of equipment, they are not well suited for tracking the tens or hundreds of thousands of components in large commercial CSP or photovoltaic solar fields. In this project we developed a new software application referred to as FieldStatus (TM). This is a specialized database program that is used to track the status of each collector and its components. This application is designed to complement the existing CMMS to enable improved tracking and management of maintenance activities in the solar field. One of the major maintenance tasks for solar fields is maintaining the cleanliness of the mirrors. Although seemingly a relatively straight forward task, it has often proven challenging to maintain high levels of cleanliness in an efficient and cost-effective manner. This project developed new tools and metrics for monitoring and optimizing solar field cleaning resources and overall solar field cleanliness.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

How To Determine and Verify Operations and Maintenance Savings in Energy Savings Performance Contracts

Operations and maintenance (O&M) savings frequently occur in energy savings performance contracts (ESPCs). During FY 2022, 37% of reported annual cost savings for projects awarded under the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) ESPC indefinite delivery indefinite quantity (IDIQ) contracts and in the performance period were due to O&M or other energy- and/or water-related cost savings, with the balance (63%) from utility cost savings (i.e., energy or water cost savings). Sometimes the energy- and water-related cost savings are acknowledged and included in payments within ESPCs; other times, for various reasons, they are not. As presented in this guide, FEMP recommends including energy- and water-related cost savings that are O&M (including related repair and replacement) savings in the financial aspects of an ESPC, to the extent such savings can be documented. Inclusion of these savings will help augment project scopes and/or lower interest costs (by shortening financing terms). However, there is a burden of proof as to what constitutes acceptability in O&M savings that needs to be carefully considered and documented in individual projects. Beyond promoting a key tenet used in U.S. federal performance contracting—that savings must be from actual budgets and therefore based on the level of O&M that is actually occurring, not what should have been performed—FEMP also recommends good practice in establishing and documenting O&M baselines, formulating the rationale for baseline adjustments during the performance period, and conducting ongoing verification activities. This document concludes with five examples of how O&M savings may be handled, in situations ranging from the partial displacement of O&M contracts to consolidation and “virtualization” of servers in data centers. A key theme that permeates this guide is the importance of thoroughly documenting all conditions and assumptions used in the development of and accounting for O&M costs and savings throughout the ESPC life cycle, from baseline-setting to measurement and verification (M&V) of the savings during each year of the performance period. Doing so not only prevents internal claims of non-performance (especially in the case of staff turnover during the contract term), but also simplifies ordering agency and energy service company (ESCO) response in the event of scrutiny from oversight organizations, such as government audits. While this guide focuses on federal ESPCs, it may also be applicable when O&M savings are included in utility energy service contracts (UESCs) and non-federal ESPCs.

Voss, Phil↗
DOE OSTI2020

Spherically expanding flame in silane–hydrogen–nitrous oxide–argon mixtures

The effect of silane addition on the laminar flame speed ($S^0_u$) of flames propagating in hydrogen–nitrous oxide–argon mixtures has been investigated experimentally for the first time using the spherically expanding flame technique in a constant volume combustion chamber. Replacing hydrogen by silane and maintaining the equivalence ratio constant, much higher flame speeds, explosion peak pressures, and pressure rise coefficients were measured. A previously developed detailed reaction model has been updated based on ab initio thermodynamic properties calculations and collision limit violation analysis. The improved reaction model demonstrates encouraging performance in predicting the flame speed, with a mean absolute error below 11%. To explain the effect of silane addition on the flame dynamics, a number of parameters have been calculated including OH and H rate of production, heat release rate per reaction, and sensitivity coefficient on . The dynamics of freely propagating flames in SiH 4 –H 2 –N 2 O–Ar mixtures is essentially controlled by reactions of the H–O–N chemical system: N 2 O+H=N 2 +OH, OH+H 2 =H 2 O+H, and N 2 O(+M)=N 2 +O(+M). Whereas silane addition does not influence much the rate of production of OH, it significantly modifies that of H with a number of pyrolytic chemical pathways of silicon hydrides, such as SiH+H 2 =SiH 2 +H and Si+H 2 =SiH+H, which act as sink of H atom as they proceed in the backward direction. The reactions forming SiO(s) and SiO 2 (s), such as SiO+OH=SiO 2 (s)+H and 2SiO=2SiO(s), are exothermic and significantly contribute to the temperature increase. The adiabatic, constant pressure flame temperature for mixture containing silane is significantly higher, up to several 100’s K. The increase of induced by silane addition seems to be mostly related to the large increase of the flame temperature which leads to higher energy release rate.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
DOE OSTI2020

Covalency competition dominates the water oxidation structure–activity relationship on spinel oxides

Spinel oxides have attracted growing interest over the years for catalysing the oxygen evolution reaction (OER) due to their efficiency and cost-effectiveness, but fundamental understanding of their structure–property relationships remains elusive. Here we demonstrate that the OER activity on spinel oxides is intrinsically dominated by the covalency competition between tetrahedral and octahedral sites. The competition fabricates an asymmetric M$_T-O-M_O$ backbone where the bond with weaker metal–oxygen covalency determines the exposure of cation sites and therefore the activity. Driven by this finding, a dataset with more than 300 spinel oxides is computed and used to train a machine-learning model for screening the covalency competition in spinel oxides, with a mean absolute error of 0.05 eV. [Mn]$_T$[Al$_{0.5}$Mn$_{1.5}$]OO$_4$ is predicted to be a highly active OER catalyst and subsequent experimental results confirm its superior activity. This work sets mechanistic principles of spinel oxides for water oxidation, which may be extendable to other applications.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

A model of persistent breaking of continuous symmetry

We consider a UV-complete field-theoretic model in general dimensions, including d=2+1, which consists of two copies of the long-range vector models, with O(m) and O(N-m) global symmetry groups, perturbed by double-trace operators. Using conformal perturbation theory we find weakly-coupled IR fixed points for N\geq 6 N ≥ 6 that reveal a spontaneous breaking of global symmetry. Namely, at finite temperature the lower rank group is broken, with the pattern persisting at all temperatures due to scale-invariance. We provide evidence that the models in question are unitary and invariant under full conformal symmetry. Furthermore, we show that this model exhibits a continuous family of weakly interacting field theories at finite N.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2020

Model of Operation-and-Maintenance Costs for Photovoltaic Systems

This article presents a method for calculating costs associated with operation and maintenance (O&M) of photovoltaic (PV) systems. It compiles details regarding the cost and frequency of multiple O&M services to estimate annual O&M costs ($\$$/year) for each year of an analysis period, the net present value ($\$$) of life cycle costs accumulated over the analysis period, and the reserve account amount ($\$$). Here we show that this method is an improvement over the previous averaged or levelized per-unit ($\$$/kW/year) valuations for estimating PV O&M costs, because it allows a detailed selection of services to perform based on system size, market served (e.g., residential, commercial, or utility), type and configuration of system components (e.g., micro-, string or central inverter) and site and environmental conditions (e.g., snow, pollen, bird populations). This model also distinguishes costs that vary from year to year and increase at different rates over time because of heuristic failure distributions (e.g. Weibull or Lognormal distribution) based on actuarial data for many of the services. This cost model was created by the PV O&M Working Group of researchers and industry, sponsored by DOE Solar Energy Technologies Office, and has been published in an on-line version hosted by SunSpec Alliance at apsuite.sunspec.org. A spreadsheet version is included with this paper as supplementary material.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Vegetation Management Cost and Maintenance Implications of Different Ground Covers at Utility-Scale Solar Sites

Utility-scale solar photovoltaics (PV) is the largest and fastest-growing sector of the solar energy market, and plays an important role in ensuring that state and local jurisdictions can meet renewable energy targets. Potential adverse environmental impacts of utility-scale solar PV are well-documented, and the effects of diverse mitigation and dual land use strategies under the banner of ’low-impact solar’ are justly receiving more attention; this article seeks to contribute to improving understanding of this topic. Capital costs for different PV configurations are well-documented; however, operation and maintenance (O&M) costs for vegetation management at low-impact utility-scale solar PV sites are not as well-understood, particularly as they compare to costs for sites that use more conventional ground cover practices, such as turfgrass or gravel. After a literature review of different vegetation strategies and O&M cost considerations, we collected data from utility-scale solar PV O&M stakeholders, including site owners/operators, O&M service providers, vegetation maintenance companies, and solar graziers, on costs and activities associated with vegetation management at low-impact, agrivoltaic, and conventional PV sites. In this paper, we perform data analysis to detail the per-activity and total O&M costs for vegetation management at PV sites with different ground covers and management practices, providing the most comprehensive and detailed assessment of PV vegetation O&M costs to date. For the 54 sites included in our analysis, we found that while the per-acre and per-kilowattdc (kWdc) costs for individual activities, such as mowing, trimming, and herbicide application at native or pollinator friendly ground covers, were lower than at turfgrass sites, the total combined vegetation O&M costs were slightly higher; this is presumably because more individual activities are required for the first 3–5 years of vegetation establishment. Qualitative results include recommendations from data providers for site and system design, and ongoing vegetation management operations.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Impacts of PV Module Connector Failures on Cost and Performance of Utility Scale Photovoltaic Systems

The reliability, cost and performance of electrical connectors are a concern in all types of electrical systems, and demands on connectors used on photovoltaic (PV) systems include that connectors maintain electrical conductivity and physical strength, endure ultraviolet sunlight and high ambient temperature, and resist moisture and chemical intrusion over a very long (>25 year) performance period. Connector failures increase operation and maintenance (O&M) costs and reduce plant production, but connector failure can also cause safety and liability problems, which are of greater concern. This work results from a three-year collaboration between Sandia National Laboratories (SNL), the Electric Power Research Institute (EPRI), and the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and funded by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Solar Energy Technology Office (SETO) under Agreements #39035 and #38531 "Connector Reliability Across the US Solar Sector." a multi-pronged investigation of PV connector health across the US (see https://energy.sandia.gov/pvconnectors/). This report presents derivation of a Techno-Economic Analysis (TEA) that models failure modes and frequencies (how often failure occurs), estimates O&M costs and lost production associated with connector failures, and then calculates the effect that PV module connectors can have on Levelized Cost of Energy (LCOE). The model is informed with initial data from quantitative assessment of failure rates, root causes and mechanisms, in-situ diagnostics and data collection, lab-based forensics, and interviews with PV connector manufacturers and plant operators. SNL conducted site inspections at multiple utility-scale sites in different climates and subjected field samples of new, used, and degraded connectors to visual and electrical characterization. EPRI conducted metallurgical analysis of the pin and sleeve conductors to study failure-induced morphological and compositional changes. There is in general a shortage of statistically valid data, but data from PVROM database maintained by SNL was sufficient to ascertain failure rates and lost production as well as provide qualitative insight in its curated maintenance records. This report details the structure of the mathematical model but the sources of data to inform the model will continue to evolve. Analysis of a 100 MW PV plant is provided as an example of the use of the model, with results indicating that connectors are responsible for Annualized O&M Costs of $\$$71,933/year; Annualized Unit O&M Costs of $\$$0.72/kW/year; that a Reserve Account of $\$$187,220 should be available to fund repairs related to connectors; that connectors add $\$$1,494,004 to the Net Present Value of the O&M Costs (project life); and that O&M related to connectors adds about $\$$0.00088/kWh to the Levelized Cost of Energy. The impact of this model is to provide a tool to make the US solar sector more robust by quantifying and monetizing the reliability risks to utility-scale PV systems posed by poorly installed, mismatched and/or poorly designed and manufactured connectors. The TEA provides a model incorporating failure statistics, O&M cost data, and lost production into a single figure of merit, informing decisions and enabling practitioners to optimize cost and performance trade-offs. Stakeholders include connector manufacturers, system designers and equipment specifiers, standards bodies, installers and O&M providers, investors and insurance underwriters. This report supports continued growth of PV predicated on assurances that properly installed and maintained PV system connectors are safe and reliable. The project team is proposing future work including accelerated testing of connectors and expanding the approach taken here to other PV system components, such as TEA for rapid shut-down devices.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗