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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3

Modeling the PV System Level Economic Impact of PV Connector Failure Modes

Photovoltaic (PV) connectors must maintain mechanical integrity for over 25 years while operating under UV exposure, elevated temperature, and mechanical loading. Connector degradation increases with electrical resistance, leading to energy losses, unplanned downtime, and higher operation and maintenance (O&M) costs and in severe cases, safety risks from overhearing or arcing. Connector related failures remain among the most frequent causes of disruption in utility-scale PV (UPV) systems, yet their lifetime economic impacts are poorly quantified. This work presents a techno-economic analysis (TEA) framework that links identified connector failure modes to system level energy losses and lifetime cost impacts using identified resistance measurements and failure rates from 6,2761 PV connectors inspected. Connector failures increase system level O&M costs, raising LCOE by roughly 5%. Downtime driven availability losses dominate economic impact. Resistance-driven I2R and IV-curve losses are secondary, but remain non-negligible. Thermal damage, bend-radius violations, and loose connections drive the majority of LCOE uplift Improving connector reliability through better installation quality, inspection, and design can meaningfully reduce lost energy, O&M costs, and LCOE.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

PV_ICE: PV in the Circular Economy, Dynamic Energy and Materials Tool (PV ICE)

This open-source tool implements Circular Economy metrics for photovoltaic (PV) materials. It can be used to quantify and assign a value framework to efforts on re-design, reduction, replacement, reuse, recycling, and lifetime and reliability increases in the PV value chain. The PV_ICE is leveraging published data from different sources on PV manufacturing and predicted technological changes. Input data is being compiled here This tool will help implement circularity metrics, quantify and assign a value framework to efforts on re-design, reduction, replacement, reusage, recycling, and lifetime and reliability increases on PV.

Ovaitt, nee Ayala Pelaez, Silvana↗

Modeling and Analysis of Clean Energy and Storage Technologies (CRADA Final Report, Project 1)

The goal of this project is to provide Southern Company Services, Inc. ("Participant") with custom scripts that can be used to create an average PV energy production profile, calculate lifetime energy value, calculate capacity value, and calculate the resultant financial metrics considering those value streams. Secondly, a fuel-cell model will be added to the public version of System Advisor Model (SAM). This standalone technology will incorporate PV and battery storage, allowing the participant to model the interaction of these three technologies. By adding this capability to a public version of SAM, a broad audience will be able to consider the system performance and financial benefits of installing a fuel cell as a baseline generator with PV. Thirdly, automated dispatch algorithms will be developed and added to SAM. These algorithms will enable Southern Company to dispatch a DC-connected front-of-the-meter battery system while considering price signals and PV clipping behavior. By adding these capabilities to a public version of SAM, users will be able to consider more complex and realistic ways of dispatching a battery system.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Microsecond Carrier Lifetimes in Polycrystalline CdSeTe Heterostructures and in CdSeTe Thin Film Solar Cells

We report significant advances in understanding and reducing nonradiative Shockley-Read-Hall recombination in polycrystalline CdSe x Te 1-x , leading to microsecond charge carrier lifetimes. In undoped Al 2 O 3 -passivated heterostructures we find external radiative efficiency 0.2%, quasi-Fermi level splitting 950 mV, mobility 100 cm 2 /(Vs), and diffusion length 14 µm. In solar cells measured lifetimes can exceed 1 µs. We interpret this data to indicate MgZnO/CdSeTe interface recombination velocity <; 100 cm/s. Based on our results, it appears CdTe PV technology has potentially overcome longstanding “recombination lifetime” limitation and in the near future will transition to improving other aspects of device design.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Spectroscopic Investigation of Light-Induced Degradation Paramagnetic Defect in Czochralski Silicon

We report on the electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR) spectra of Cz and FZ Si in different stages of light-induced degradation. Firstly, we show that the paramagnetic signal at low temperature (10K) is dependent on the state of light-induced degradation performed at room temperature and on the sample doping. The light-degraded state in p-Cz Si shows strong, sharp paramagnetic defect signatures compared to samples in the annealed state. When an excitation light is applied during the EPR measurement, additional structures appear in the spectra. In contrast, the wide EPR active signature related to boron interaction with lattice, is present in the annealed state but diminishes after light exposure. Finally, we show that the degraded paramagnetic signal returns when annealed samples are exposed to ambient light. We suggest that these changes in the electron paramagnetic resonance spectra is related to the boron-oxygen defect that causes light-induced degradation.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Circular Economy for Photovoltaics

NREL is working to enhance the sustainability of photovoltaic (PV) systems by increasing the energy these systems produce over their lifetimes, reducing the energy and materials consumed in their manufacture and installation, and enabling reuse or recycling. These efforts are designed to help transform the "linear economy" - where materials are simply used and disposed - into a circular one.

Circular economy↗

Field retrieved photovoltaic backsheet survey from diverse climate zones: Analysis of degradation patterns and phenomena

Understanding the impact of climate stressors on photovoltaic (PV) backsheet degradation in real-use conditions is critical to improve the accelerated testing exposures, extend the backsheet lifetime, and increase the confidence in PV reliability. Here, in this work, a total of 33 PV module backsheets were retrieved from six climatic zones worldwide with 2 - 28 years of exposure. These modules included five types of backsheet air-side materials (or outer layer): poly(vinylidene fluoride) (PVDF), poly(tetrafluoroethylene-co-hexafluoropropylene-co-vinylidene fluoride) (THV), poly(vinyl fluoride) (PVF), poly(ethylene terephthalate) (PET), and polyamide (PA). Attenuated total reflection Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (ATR-FTIR) was used to identify air-side materials. The degradation induced color change, gloss loss, and chemical material changes analyzed using optical microscopy, differential scanning calorimetry (DSC), scanning electron microscopy (SEM), colorimetry (yellowness index (YI)), and gloss measurements. PVDF, THV, and PVF air-side layer backsheets, in particular PVF, had minimal degradation in the air-side layer appearance and chemical structures after exposure in different climatic zones. The PET air-side backsheets exhibited obvious color increase (22.55 YI units after about 9 years exposure) and the PA/PA/PA backsheets showed large gloss loss (up to 76.4 %) relative to the unexposed backsheets. Severe cracks between cells that penetrated through the entire thickness of backsheets are observed on PA/PA/PA backsheets after 4-6 years of exposure in 6 climatic zones. The current indoor exposure standards were not sufficient to identify this degradation type. However, fluoropolymer based PV backsheets showed lower levels of degradation predictors and increased climatic resistance. Specific samples (PVF) showed little change from baseline after 28 years of outdoor exposure.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

Enhancing lifetime, forecasting, and economic benefits of photovoltaic technologies undergoing UV-induced degradation with optical filtering

Ultraviolet-induced degradation (UV-ID) of various PV cell types was analyzed under optical UV filters with different cutoff wavelengths. Cell types studied included interdigitated back contact (IBC), passivated emitter and rear totally diffused (PERT), and heterojunction technology (HJT) based on crystalline Si (c-Si), and metal halide perovskite (MHP) cells. Analyzing degradation rates in two distinct regimes proved beneficial for all cell types. We used empirical linearizing functions ln(t) for c-Si technologies and 2 √t for MHP samples where t is time. These were applied to extrapolate UV-induced degradation over the lifetime of PV modules under various levels of optical UV filtering and used to predict the relative economic benefits for PV power plants. Degradation rates for all technologies were generally faster under the long pass optical filters having shorter cutoff wavelengths transmitting more UV irradiation and at elevated temperatures when testing MHP samples in the range between 60 °C and 90 °C.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

GaAsP/Si Tandem Solar Cells: Pathway to Low-Cost, High-Efficiency Photovoltaics

Si is the dominant PV technology, now and for the foreseeable future, due to its extensive manufacturing infrastructure, supply chain, feedstock availability, and highly optimized degree of fabrication processes, which altogether has produced an economic scenario where PV electricity generation is often cheaper than conventional fossil based generation. In many places, the overarching goal of grid parity has been achieved, but further improvement in performance-cost metrics are still needed to sustain the continued LCOE reductions needed to not only compete with conventional generation, but displace it on a global scale; a matter of critical importance if we stand any hope of slowing climate change. Nevertheless, single-junction Si PV is already nearing its physical limit, both in performance and cost, and is thus cannot meet these long-term goals alone. To this end, we are working on the development of monolithic III-V/Si tandem solar cells, which improve upon the performance of pure Si by providing enhanced utilization (reduced thermalization) of high-energy photons. This architecture nominally combines the substantial existing knowledge base, manufacturing infrastructure, and low cost of Si PV with the high efficiencies afforded by the well-established multijunction approach — the only proven way to break the single-junction limit. Although the metal-halide perovskite/Si tandem architecture has garnered substantial attention in recent years, serious questions regarding reliability and service lifetime remain, whereas III-V PV has a proven track record, including in the harsh concentrator and space environments. Additionally, there are multiple fabrication approaches to producing III-V/Si tandem cells, but we are focused on monolithic epitaxial integration as it is the most likely to yield the lowest ultimate LCOE in a fully mature, scaled technology. In this work we have produced multiple generations of GaAsP/Si tandem solar cells, demonstrating a more than 10% absolute AM1.5G efficiency improvement within the time frame of the project, including two verified world records. We have done this using industry-standard fabrication methods, showing that this platform can ultimately be manufactured at scale using existing or only slightly upgraded Si and III-V tooling. Our scientific and engineering advances across a range of fundamental and applied areas – III-V/Si heteroepitaxial integration, defect control in metamorphic III-V epitaxy, fundamental materials-oriented solar cell design and modeling methodology, and more – have created clear pathways for continued advances toward the goal of >30% AM1.5G cell efficiency (and >25% module) and will serve to inform the broader research community for well beyond this immediate application. Techno-economic modeling indicates that our approach can indeed meet SunShot/SETO LCOE targets, but as with any “post-Si” technology there are difficult, but not insurmountable barriers, requiring continued focused research and development efforts.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Physiochemical Machine Learning Models Predict Operational Lifetimes of CH3NH3PbI3 Perovskite Solar Cells

Halide perovskites are promising photovoltaic (PV) materials with the potential to lower the cost of electricity and greatly expand the penetration of PV if they can demonstrate long-term stability under illumination in the presence of moisture and oxygen. The solar cell service lifetime as quantified by the T80 (the time required for the power conversion efficiency to drop to 80% of its starting value) is a useful metric to assess stability. The T80 for utility, commercial, or residential PV systems needs to be several decades in order to yield low-cost electricity, and thus it is not practical to directly measure the T80. It would be useful if T80 could be predicted from the initial dynamics of a solar cell’s performance, but until now no models have been developed to forecast T80. In this work, we report the development of machine learning models to predict T80 of ITO/NiOx/CH3NH3PbI3/C60/BCP/Ag solar cells operating at maximum power point under 1-sun equivalent photon flux in air at varying temperatures and relative humidities. Efficiency losses are driven by short-circuit current and fill factor, indicating that chemical decomposition of the perovskite is a major contributor to degradation. Spatial patterns evident from in situ dark field optical microscopy suggest that the electric field gradient at device edges plays a significant role in perovskite decomposition, along with photochemical reactions with O2 and H2O. Models are trained using a menu of features from three distinct categories: (i) features based on measurements of the initial rates of change of device parameters, (ii) features based on the ambient conditions during operation (temperature, & partial pressure of H2O), and (iii) features based on underlying physics and chemistry. We show that a theory-based physiochemical feature derived from a model of the chemical reaction kinetics of the rate of degradation of the CH3NH3PbI3 is particularly valuable for prediction. This physiochemical feature was selected as the first or second most dominant feature in the best performing models. With a dataset consisting of 45 accelerated degradation experiments with T80 that range over a factor of 30, the model predicts T80 with an accuracy of about 40% (|predicted T80 - observed T80| / observed T80) on samples not used in training. This hybrid ML approach should be effective when applied to other compositions, device architectures, and advanced packaging schemes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Physiochemical Machine Learning Models Predict Operational Lifetimes of CH3NH3PbI3 Perovskite Solar Cells

Halide perovskites are promising photovoltaic (PV) materials with the potential to lower the cost of electricity and greatly expand the penetration of PV if they can demonstrate long-term stability under illumination in the presence of moisture and oxygen. The solar cell service lifetime as quantified by the T80 (the time required for the power conversion efficiency to drop to 80% of its starting value) is a useful metric to assess stability. The T80 for utility, commercial, or residential PV systems needs to be several decades in order to yield low-cost electricity, and thus it is not practical to directly measure the T80. It would be useful if T80 could be predicted from the initial dynamics of a solar cell’s performance, but until now no models have been developed to forecast T80. In this work, we report the development of machine learning models to predict T80 of ITO/NiOx/CH3NH3PbI3/C60/BCP/Ag solar cells operating at maximum power point under 1-sun equivalent photon flux in air at varying temperatures and relative humidities. Efficiency losses are driven by short-circuit current and fill factor, indicating that chemical decomposition of the perovskite is a major contributor to degradation. Spatial patterns evident from in situ dark field optical microscopy suggest that the electric field gradient at device edges plays a significant role in perovskite decomposition, along with photochemical reactions with O2 and H2O. Models are trained using a menu of features from three distinct categories: (i) features based on measurements of the initial rates of change of device parameters, (ii) features based on the ambient conditions during operation (temperature, & partial pressure of H2O), and (iii) features based on underlying physics and chemistry. We show that a theory-based physiochemical feature derived from a model of the chemical reaction kinetics of the rate of degradation of the CH3NH3PbI3 is particularly valuable for prediction. This physiochemical feature was selected as the first or second most dominant feature in the best performing models. With a dataset consisting of 45 accelerated degradation experiments with T80 that range over a factor of 30, the model predicts T80 with an accuracy of about 40% (|predicted T80 - observed T80| / observed T80) on samples not used in training. This hybrid ML approach should be effective when applied to other compositions, device architectures, and advanced packaging schemes.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DuraMAT (Durable Module Materials Consortium) Annual Report FY 2020

The Durable Module Materials Consortium (DuraMAT) launched in November 2016 with five years of funding as part of the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Energy Materials Network. DuraMAT is a multilab consortium, led by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) and Sandia National Laboratories (Sandia), with SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory (SLAC) and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory (LBNL) as core research labs. DuraMAT’s overarching goal is to discover, develop, de-risk, and enable the rapid commercialization of improved materials, designs, predictive tests, and models for PV modules that increase performance, extend lifetime, and enable new applications. We work in partnership with our 15-member Industry Advisory Board and the technical management team in DOE’s Solar Energy Technologies Office. This document describes DuraMAT activities in FY20.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Durable Module Materials Consortium (DuraMAT) FY 2021 Annual Report: New Results and a Renewed Consortium

The Durable Module Materials Consortium (DuraMAT) is a multi-lab consortium led by the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, with Sandia National Laboratories, SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory, and Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory as core research labs. DuraMAT's overarching goal is to discover, develop, de-risk, and enable the rapid commercialization of improved materials, designs, predictive tests, and models for photovoltaic (PV) modules that increase performance, extend lifetime, and enable new applications. Technical results are highlighted throughout this report, and the new projects awarded for FY 2022 address many of the challenges to making 50-year, high-energy-yield modules that were identified in these working groups.

backsheet↗

Reliability Assessment of Cooling Fans for PV Inverters: Testing, Modeling, and Case Studies

The reliability of photovoltaic (PV) inverters is critical for long-term solar system performance, with cooling fan failures frequently leading to costly downtime. While much research exists on general cooling fan reliability, little attention has been given to fans operating within PV inverters and their unique environmental challenges. Here, this article proposes a comprehensive methodology to address this gap. First, a failure mode and effects analysis is performed on fans to identify the key failure mechanisms in PV applications, their corresponding stressors, and the models necessary for lifetime prediction. Second, an accelerated life test is designed and conducted to collect valuable experimental data for PV inverter fans in a reasonable amount of time. Third, a mathematical conversion of dynamic mission profiles into effective constant stress levels is derived. Fourth, case studies are given, showcasing lifetime estimates that account for geographic variations in mission profile data. The results demonstrate that this integrated approach leads to an accurate reliability assessment for PV inverter cooling fans.

accelerated life testing (ALT)↗

DCFC + Hydrogen Station Design Optimization [Slides]

Both direct current fast charging (DCFC) and Hydrogen stations are working to create successful long-term business models; however, analyses for DCFC and hydrogen fueling infrastructure are almost always performed separately. This work provides a detailed exploration of the benefit of integrating DCFC and hydrogen stations to lower the total system cost from load balancing and equipment cost sharing. To achieve this we have adapted the REopt optimization framework to simultaneously optimize the design and operation of integrated DCFC and H2 fueling station. Results indicate that 1) combining hydrogen fueling and DCFC stations can significantly reduce lifetime costs compared to separated stations. 2) Co-location with additional site load reduces DCFC costs, however, integration of DCFC with hydrogen provides an even greater cost reduction. 3) Adding PV to combined stations further reduces the lifetime station cost. 4) Capital investments in station combination today can help reduce the cost of operating DCFC tomorrow and 5) product diversification acts as a hedge against variability and enables a more dynamic response to market changes.

08 HYDROGEN↗

Photovoltaic Cable Jackets: A Comparison of Representative Products Using Combined-Accelerated Stress Testing [Slides]

Photovoltaic (PV) cables facilitate the distribution of electricity collected from modules to the energy grid. Durable cabling enables continuous operation of PV installations, whereas cables with a lifetime less than the modules must be replaced - reducing electricity generation and adding to the operating expense. This study primarily focusses on the aging of the key cable types using the combined-accelerated stress testing (C-AST) protocol. Representative cables for utility, building, and control/auxiliary applications were examined. Cable jacket materials examined include: polyolefin, polyethylene, polyamide, poly(vinyl chloride), chlorinated polyethylene, thermoplastic elastomer, and ethylene propylene diene monomer rubber. Specimen characterizations applied include: optical microscopy, mechanical profilometry, instrumented indentation, scanning electron microscopy (SEM), energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (EDS), Fourier-transform infrared spectroscopy (FTIR), thermogravimetric analysis (TGA), and differential scanning calorimetry (DSC). A variety of performance and durability characteristics were observed, depending on the base material, polymer formulation, and jacket color. The results from C-AST are analyzed and discussed relative to a recent industry survey on electronic balance of system components in addition to a recent study where similar cables were aged using steady state ultraviolet weathering (International Electrotechnical Commission Technical Specification 62788-7-2). Recommendations are made for the screening, industry qualification, and service life prediction of PV cable jackets.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Flat-plate solar array project of the US Department of Energy's National Photovoltaics Program: Ten years of progress

The Flat-Plate Solar Array (FSA) Project, a Government-sponsored photovoltaics project, was initiated in January 1975 (previously named the Low-Cost Silicon Solar Array Project) to stimulate the development of PV systems for widespread use. Its goal then was to develop PV modules with 10% efficiency, a 20-year lifetime, and a selling price of $0.50 per peak watt of generating capacity (1975 dollars). It was recognized that cost reduction of PV solar-cell and module manufacturing was the key achievement needed if PV power systems were to be economically competitive for large-scale terrestrial use.

Christensen, Elmer↗