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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2024

Optimization and Multimachine Learning Algorithms to Predict Nanometal Surface Area Transfer Parameters for Gold and Silver Nanoparticles

Interactions between gold metallic nanoparticles and molecular dyes have been well described by the nanometal surface energy transfer (NSET) mechanism. However, the expansion and testing of this model for nanoparticles of different metal composition is needed to develop a greater variety of nanosensors for medical and commercial applications. In this study, the NSET formula was slightly modified in the size-dependent dampening constant and skin depth terms to allow for modeling of different metals as well as testing the quenching effects created by variously sized gold, silver, copper, and platinum nanoparticles. Overall, the metal nanoparticles followed more closely the NSET prediction than for Förster resonance energy transfer, though scattering effects began to occur at 20 nm in the nanoparticle diameter. To further improve the NSET theoretical equation, an attempt was made to set a best-fit line of the NSET theoretical equation curve onto the Au and Ag data points. An exhaustive grid search optimizer was applied in the ranges for two variables, 0.1≤C≤2.0 and 0≤α≤4, representing the metal dampening constant and the orientation of donor to the metal surface, respectively. Three different grid searches, starting from coarse (entire range) to finer (narrower range), resulted in more than one million total calculations with values C=2.0 and α=0.0736. The results improved the calculation, but further analysis needed to be conducted in order to find any additional missing physics. With that motivation, two artificial intelligence/machine learning (AI/ML) algorithms, multilayer perception and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression, gave a correlation coefficient, R2, greater than 0.97, indicating that the small dataset was not overfitting and was method-independent. This analysis indicates that an investigation is warranted to focus on deeper physics informed machine learning for the NSET equations.

Demers, Steven M. E. (ORCID:0000000192213246)↗
DOE OSTI2025

Physical Interpretation of Early Battery Life Prediction Models

Early battery life prediction models are most useful for R&D if they help us understand the early changes in battery electrochemical response that correspond with long-term degradation and failure. Linear regression models such as Fused lasso and Partial Least Squares can fit coefficients directly to high-dimensional electrochemical data like capacity-voltage and ΔV–state-of-charge, i.e., Q(V) and ΔV(SOC) curves, learning coefficients that can be physically interpreted. We leverage the ISU-ILCC battery aging data set to learn high-dimensional coefficients for early battery life prediction from traditional slow-rate capacity check data, demonstrating learning on Q(V), d Q· d V −1 , and ΔV(SOC) curves. A thorough study on the dependence of coefficient values on train/test size and data preprocessing methods is made, demonstrating the reliability of high-dimensional regression approaches unless very small amounts of data are used for model training. For this data set, coefficients from Q(V) and d Q· d V −1 models highlight changes in electrode stoichiometry due to lithium loss, while ΔV(SOC) coefficients highlight changes in positive electrode diffusivity due to particle cracking as well as electrode stoichiometry shifts. By directly interpreting the coefficients of a regression model, we make physical insights into battery degradation mechanisms without requiring the assumptions of traditional battery data analysis methods.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗
DOE OSTI2021

Attribution of Snowpack Errors to Simulated Temperature and Precipitation in E3SMv1 Over the Contiguous United States

Abstract Snow water equivalent (SWE), temperature, and precipitation biases and trends are evaluated in the atmosphere‐land simulations of the Energy Exascale Earth System Model version 1 (E3SMv1) in comparison to the Community Earth System Model version 2 (CESM2) and two other models using the ground measurement‐based University of Arizona (UA) snow product. SWE, temperature, and precipitation biases are highest in magnitude in the Western contiguous United States (CONUS). SWE errors are attributed to temperature and precipitation through multiple linear regressions of normalized errors, the coefficients of which represent the sensitivities to temperature and precipitation errors. SWE errors are more sensitive to temperature errors throughout the CONUS. Model SWE and temperature trends are generally opposite from UA product trends in the Western CONUS. SWE trend errors are also attributed to temperature and precipitation trend errors using multiple linear regressions of normalized trend errors. SWE trend errors are more sensitive to those of precipitation at higher elevations (>1,500 m) in the Western CONUS in these simulations. Thus, the sensitivity to temperature and precipitation differ for SWE errors and its trend errors. Furthermore, the SWE trend errors are more sensitive to temperature and precipitation in the atmosphere‐ocean coupled simulations in which the atmosphere‐land is coupled to an active ocean model. These results suggest that both errors in simulated temperature and precipitation contribute to SWE errors.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗
DOE OSTI2021

Bubbles in US gasoline prices: Assessing the role of hurricanes and anti–price gouging laws

This paper examines the presence of bubbles — price changes that cannot be attributed to market fundamentals — in weekly US retail gasoline prices for ten US cities, and whether these bubbles are affected by hurricane events and anti–price gouging laws. Rolling-window, right-tailed unit root tests were used to identify and date bubbles. The analysis found 6 to 22 bubbles, lasting 4 weeks or longer, in city-level retail gasoline prices between 2000 and 2017. A linear regression model of the adjustment speed coefficients from the bubble identification step found that hurricane events increase the rate of price explosivity (or slow the rate of return to equilibrium) following a shock. Furthermore, the regression estimates also imply that state anti–price gouging laws can counteract these effects.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Empirical Modeling of Direct Expansion (DX) Cooling System for Multiple Research Use Cases

This study provides a general procedure to generate a direct expansion (DX) cooling coil system for a roof top unit (RTU), which is a typical heating ventilation and air-conditioning (HVAC) system for commercial buildings in the United States. Experimental data from a full-scale unoccupied 2-story commercial building is used for the HVAC modeling. The regression for identifying the model coefficients was carried out with multiple stages, and the results were validated with measured data. The model’s applicability was evaluated with multiple case studies, including a building energy simulation (BES) program validation, model-based predictive control (MPC), and fault diagnostics and detection (FDD).

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Uniting Surface Properties With Hydrodynamic Roughness in Shallow Overland Flow Models

Describing flow resistance from the properties of an underlying surface is a challenge in surface hydrology. Runoff models must specify a resistance formulation or “roughness scheme”—describing the functional relationship between flow resistance and flow depth/velocity—and its parameters. Uncertainty in runoff predictions derives from both the selected roughness scheme (e.g., Darcy Weisbach, Manning's, or laminar flow equations), and its parameterization with a roughness coefficient (e.g., Manning's n). Both choices are informed by model calibration to data, usually discharge, and, if available, velocity. In this study, a Saint Venant Equation-based runoff model is calibrated to discharge and velocity data from 112 rainfall simulator experiments. The results are used to identify the optimal roughness scheme among four widely-used options for each experiment, and to explore whether surface properties can be used to select the optimal roughness scheme and its coefficient. Among the tested roughness schemes, a transitional flow equation provided the best fit to the plurality of experiments. The most suitable roughness scheme for a given experiment was not related to measured surface properties. Regression models predicted the calibrated roughness coefficients with adjusted values between 0.48 and 0.54, depending on the roughness scheme used. Litter cover was the best predictor of the roughness coefficient, followed by soil cover and average canopy gap size. The results suggest that selection of an optimal roughness scheme based on surface properties alone remains difficult, but that once a scheme is selected, roughness coefficients can be estimated from surface properties.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2022

GenMod: A generative modeling approach for spectral representation of PDEs with random inputs

Here, we propose a method for quantifying uncertainty in high-dimensional PDE systems with random parameters, where the number of solution evaluations is small. Parametric PDE solutions are often approximated using a spectral decomposition based on polynomial chaos expansions. For the class of systems we consider (i.e., high dimensional with limited solution evaluations) the coefficients are given by an underdetermined linear system in a regression formulation. This implies additional assumptions, such as sparsity of the coefficient vector, are needed to approximate the solution. Here, we present an approach where we assume the coefficients are close to the range of a generative model that maps from a low to a high dimensional space of coefficients. Our approach is inspired be recent work examining how generative models can be used for compressed sensing in systems with random Gaussian measurement matrices. Using results from PDE theory on coefficient decay rates, we construct an explicit generative model that predicts the polynomial chaos coefficient magnitudes. The algorithm we developed to find the coefficients, which we call GenMod, is composed of two main steps. First, we predict the coefficient signs using Orthogonal Matching Pursuit. Then, we assume the coefficients are within a sparse deviation from the range of a sign-adjusted generative model. This allows us to find the coefficients by solving a nonconvex optimization problem, over the input space of the generative model and the space of sparse vectors. We obtain theoretical recovery results for a Lipschitz continuous generative model and for a more specific generative model, based on coefficient decay rate bounds. We examine three high-dimensional problems and show that, for all three examples, the generative model approach outperforms sparsity promoting methods at small sample sizes.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Proposal and application of ROM-Lasso method for sensitivity coefficient evaluation

We propose a novel method for evaluating sensitivity coefficients of neutronics parameters to cross sections, so-called the reduced-order modeling technique ROM-Lasso. In this method, cross sections of interest are randomly sampled, and corresponding perturbed core analyses are performed. Then, the sensitivity coefficient vector of the higher-level model is expanded via the active subspace bases obtained with the lower-level model whose dimensional complexity is smaller than that of the higher-level model, and the expansion coefficients are estimated by the Lasso regression. A unique feature of the ROM-Lasso method allows the use of different bases optimized for each neutronics parameter. We conducted a verification calculation for an accelerator-driven system and demonstrated that the ROM-Lasso method can reproduce the sensitivity coefficients with a much smaller number of forward calculations than the direct method. The proposed method can be used to practically evaluate sensitivity coefficients. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2022

Accurate parameterization of the kinetic energy functional for calculations using exact-exchange

In this report, electronic structure calculations based on Kohn-Sham density functional theory (KSDFT) that incorporate exact exchange or hybrid functionals are associated with large computational expense, a consequence of the inherent cubic scaling bottleneck and large associated prefactor, which limits the length and time scales that can be accessed. Though orbital-free density functional theory (OFDFT) calculations scale linearly with system size and are associated with significantly smaller prefactor, they are limited by the absence of accurate density-dependent kinetic energy functionals. Therefore, the development of accurate density-dependent kinetic energy functionals is important for OFDFT calculations of large realistic systems. To this end, we propose a method to train kinetic energy functional models at the exact-exchange level of theory by using a dictionary of physically relevant terms that have been proposed in the literature in conjunction with linear or nonlinear regression methods to obtain the fitting coefficients. For our dictionary, we use gradient expansion of the kinetic energy, nonlocal models proposed in the literature and their nonlinear combinations, such as a model that incorporates spatial correlations between higher order derivatives of electron density at two points. The predictive capabilities of these models are assessed by using a variety of model one-dimensional systems that exhibit diverse bonding characteristics, such as a chain of eight hydrogens, LiF, LiH, C 4 H 2 , C 4 N 2 and C 3 O 2 . We show that by using data from model one-dimensional KSDFT calculations performed using the exact-exchange functional for only a few neutral structures, it is possible to generate models with high accuracy for charged systems as well as electron and kinetic energy densities during self-consistent field iterations. In addition, we show that it possible to learn both the orbital dependent terms, i.e., the kinetic energy and the exact-exchange energy, and models that incorporate additional nonlinearities in spatial correlations, such as a quadratic model, are needed to capture subtle features of the kinetic energy density that are present in exact-exchange-based KSDFT calculations.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2021

Assessment the leaching characteristics and long-term leaching behavior of some radionuclides from synthesized zeolite cement matrix

Highlights: • Synthesis and characterization of zeolite cement synthesized from fly ash • Leaching tests were used to assess the release rate of {sup 85}Sr and {sup 60}Co radionuclides. • Simple mathematical models were used to detect leaching mechanisms. • Long-term leaching behavior of {sup 85}Sr and {sup 60}Co from cementitious matrix was assessed. The development of cementitious materials remains a vital goal to produce valuable products with good mechanical, physical and chemical properties suitable for the safe disposal of concentrated radionuclides resulted from the treatment of contaminated solutions. In this paper, zeolite cement with good properties was laboratory synthesized from industrial by-products fly ash and characterized using various characterization techniques. The leaching characteristics of strontium and cobalt radionuclides from the synthesized zeolite cement were scrutinized conforming with the standard leaching methodology of International Atomic Energy Authority (IAEA). A mechanical strength assessment was executed to characterize the extent of immobilization process of the solidified matrices. The cumulative leaching fraction (φ) of the two studied radionuclides was found to be less than 5% in all examined conditions, which implies the applicability of the IAEA-recommended methodology for estimating the diffusion coefficient. The experimental leaching data were regressed nonlinearly to various mathematical kinetic models to assess the controlling leaching mechanism and to determine the leaching parameters. The regression results indicated that strontium ({sup 85}Sr) and cobalt ({sup 60}Co) leaching resulted from two succeeding mechanisms: as first order kinetic reaction, and then diffusion. The calculated values of leachability indices signify that the performance of each of the studied matrices is within an acceptable range. A simplified mathematical model, rooted in the first order reaction and diffusion mechanisms, was simulated to predict the radionuclides leaching rates from zeolite cement matrices. By comparing the synthesized zeolite cement with other cementitious materials, it can be concluded that the synthesized material can be classified as an efficient material suitable to immobilize {sup 85}Sr and {sup 60}Co from radioactive wastes. The acquired findings demonstrated that the studied immobilized waste matrices have acceptable mechanical effectiveness.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Accurate parameterization of the kinetic energy functional

The absence of a reliable formulation of kinetic energy density functional has hindered the development of orbital free density functional theory. Using the data-aided learning paradigm, we propose a simple prescription to accurately model the kinetic energy density of any system. Our method relies on a dictionary of functional forms for local and nonlocal contributions which have been proposed in the literature and the appropriate coefficients are calculated via a linear regression framework. To model the nonlocal contributions, we explore two new nonlocal functionals - a functional that captures fluctuations in electronic density and a functional that incorporates gradient information. Since, the analytical functional forms of the kernels present in these nonlocal terms are not known from theory, we propose a basis function expansion to model these seemingly difficult nonlocal quantities. This allows us to easily reconstruct kernels for any system using only a few structures. The proposed method is able to learn kinetic energy densities and total kinetic energies of molecular and periodic systems, such as H 2 , LiH, LiF and a one-dimensional chain of 8 hydrogens using data from Kohn-Sham density functional theory calculations for only a few structures. For the ease of reproduction, codes used to generate the models are provided in the supporting materials.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2021

LLEPE

LLEPE (liquid-liquid equilibrium parameter estimator) is a tool for estimating thermodynamic parameters like standard enthalpies, standard molar volumes and Pitzer coefficients, by combining Gibbs minimization with regression to multiphase equilibrium isotherm data. It also includes visualization tools to access data quality and prediction model performance.

ILOEJE, CHUKWUNWIKE↗
DOE OSTI2020

Developing and Evaluating Metrics for Demand Flexibility in Buildings: Comparing Simulations and Field Data

Building demand flexibility (DF) has attracted significant attention in recent years among researchers, technology developers and control companies, aggregators, utilities, and many others. There are numerous challenges with today’s electricity systems such as managing peak demand capacity and integrating variable renewables into the grid. Flexible building loads can provide various grid services to help reduce electricity costs, smooth out renewables intermittency and balance supply and demand. Recognizing this, the US DOE is leading the Grid-interactive Efficient Buildings (GEB) initiative which includes research to evaluate the potential, availability and timing of flexible loads. In this paper we present load shed metrics for three building types – medium office, large office and retail store – and compare prototype simulation results with measured data from 12 actual buildings that participated in hot summertime utility demand response (DR) events. The DR strategies included varying zone temperature and reducing light levels. The magnitude of a key DF metric, “demand decrease intensity” (or “shed intensity”) (W/ft2), between the simulation results and field data are similar (14-32% differences) for both mean and median values, though the field data show much larger variation among DR events. The coefficient p-values from linear regression model tests showed that outside air temperature is a significant variable for the whole building shed intensity when the resetting zone temperature strategy is deployed. These findings support the concept of using prototype building simulation to estimate building DF and expanding future simulation research to additional building types and climate zones.

Liu, Jingjing↗
DOE OSTI2021

A generalized machine learning workflow to visualize mechanical discontinuity

Accurate detection and mapping of mechanical discontinuity in materials has widespread industrial and research applications. Herein, we developed a generalized machine-learning framework for visualizing single mechanical discontinuity embedded in material of any composition, velocity, density, porosity, and size with limited data. The proposed visualization of discontinuity requires accurate estimations of the length, location, and orientation of the embedded discontinuity by processing multipoint wave-transmission measurements. k-Wave simulator is used to create a large dataset of elastic waveforms recorded during multi-point wave-transmission measurements through materials containing single mechanical discontinuity. k-Wave simulator considers the wave attenuation, dispersion, and mode conversion in wave motion. Discrete wavelet transform (DWT) and statistical feature extraction are essential for data preprocessing prior to the data-driven model development. DWT also minimizes the effect of noise. Using hyper-parameter tuning and cross validation, gradient boosting regression can visualize the mechanical discontinuity with an accuracy of 0.85, in terms of coefficient of determination. A double-layered neural network-based regression has better performance with an accuracy of 0.95. Use of convolutional neural network converts the predictive task from a waveform processing to an image processing problem. Convolutional neural network achieved a generalization performance of 0.91. The proposed generalized workflow requires robust simulation of wave propagation, signal processing, feature engineering, and model evaluation. Sensors closest to the source and those located opposite the source are the most significant for the desired visualization. Notably, the sensors closest to the source capture the non-linear associations, whereas the sensor on the border opposite to the source capture the linear associations between the measured waveforms and the properties of the mechanical discontinuity.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Proper orthogonal descriptors for efficient and accurate interatomic potentials

Here, we present the proper orthogonal descriptors for efficient and accuracy representation of the potential energy surface. The potential energy surface is represented as a many-body expansion of parametrized potentials in which the potentials are functions of atom positions and parameters. The proper orthogonal decomposition is employed to decompose the parametrized potentials into a set of proper orthogonal descriptors (PODs). Because of the rapid convergence of the proper orthogonal decomposition, relevant snapshots can be sampled exhaustively to represent the atomic neighborhood environment accurately with a small number of descriptors. The proper orthogonal descriptors are used to develop interatomic potentials by using a linear expansion of the descriptors and determining the expansion coefficients from a weighted least-squares regression against a density functional theory (DFT) training set. We present a comprehensive evaluation of the POD potentials on previously published DFT data sets comprising Li, Mo, Cu, Ni, Si, Ge, and Ta elements. The data sets represent a diverse pool of metals, transition metals, and semiconductors. The accuracy of the POD potentials are comparable to that of state-of-the-art machine learning potentials such as the spectral neighbor analysis potential (SNAP) and the atomic cluster expansion (ACE).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Optimizing Piezoelectric Nanocomposites by High‐Throughput Phase‐Field Simulation and Machine Learning

Abstract Piezoelectric nanocomposites with oxide fillers in a polymer matrix combine the merit of high piezoelectric response of the oxides and flexibility as well as biocompatibility of the polymers. Understanding the role of the choice of materials and the filler‐matrix architecture is critical to achieving desired functionality of a composite towards applications in flexible electronics and energy harvest devices. Herein, a high‐throughput phase‐field simulation is conducted to systematically reveal the influence of morphology and spatial orientation of an oxide filler on the piezoelectric, mechanical, and dielectric properties of the piezoelectric nanocomposites. It is discovered that with a constant filler volume fraction, a composite composed of vertical pillars exhibits superior piezoelectric response and electromechanical coupling coefficient as compared to the other geometric configurations. An analytical regression is established from a linear regression‐based machine learning model, which can be employed to predict the performance of nanocomposites filled with oxides with a given set of piezoelectric coefficient, dielectric permittivity, and stiffness. This work not only sheds light on the fundamental mechanism of piezoelectric nanocomposites, but also offers a promising material design strategy for developing high‐performance polymer/inorganic oxide composite‐based wearable electronics.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2025

The northeast materials database for magnetic materials

The discovery of magnetic materials with high operating temperature ranges and optimized performance is essential for advanced applications. Current data-driven approaches are limited by the lack of accurate, comprehensive, and feature-rich databases. This study aims to address this challenge by using Large Language Models (LLMs) to create a comprehensive, experiment-based, magnetic materials database named the Northeast Materials Database (NEMAD), which consists of 67,573 magnetic materials entries (www.nemad.org). The database incorporates chemical composition, magnetic phase transition temperatures, structural details, and magnetic properties. Enabled by NEMAD, we trained machine learning models to classify materials and predict transition temperatures. Our classification model achieved an accuracy of 90% in categorizing materials as ferromagnetic (FM), antiferromagnetic (AFM), and non-magnetic (NM). The regression models predict Curie (Néel) temperature with a coefficient of determination (R 2 ) of 0.87 (0.83) and a mean absolute error (MAE) of 56K (38K). These models identified 25 (13) FM (AFM) candidates with a predicted Curie (Néel) temperature above 500K (100K) from the Materials Project. This work shows the feasibility of combining LLMs for automated data extraction and machine learning models to accelerate the discovery of magnetic materials.

Ferromagnetism↗