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NASA NTRS2010

Forced and Unforced Variability of Twentieth Century North American Droughts and Pluvials

Research on the forcing of drought and pluvial events over North America is dominated by general circulation model experiments that often have operational limitations (e.g., computational expense, ability to simulate relevant processes, etc). We use a statistically based modeling approach to investigate sea surface temperature (SST) forcing of the twentieth century pluvial (1905-1917) and drought (1932-1939, 1948-1957, 1998-2002) events. A principal component (PC) analysis of Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) from the North American Drought Atlas separates the drought variability into five leading modes accounting for 62% of the underlying variance. Over the full period spanning these events (1900-2005), the first three PCs significantly correlate with SSTs in the equatorial Pacific (PC 1), North Pacific (PC 2), and North Atlantic (PC 3), with spatial patterns (as defined by the empirical orthogonal functions) consistent with our understanding of North American drought responses to SST forcing. We use a large ensemble statistical modeling approach to determine how successfully we can reproduce these drought/pluvial events using these three modes of variability. Using Pacific forcing only (PCs 1-2), we are able to reproduce the 1948-1957 drought and 1905-1917 pluvial above a 95% random noise threshold in over 90% of the ensemble members; the addition of Atlantic forcing (PCs 1-2-3) provides only marginal improvement. For the 1998-2002 drought, Pacific forcing reproduces the drought above noise in over 65% of the ensemble members, with the addition of Atlantic forcing increasing the number passing to over 80%. The severity of the drought, however, is underestimated in the ensemble median, suggesting this drought intensity can only be achieved through internal variability or other processes. Pacific only forcing does a poor job of reproducing the 1932-1939 drought pattern in the ensemble median, and less than one third of ensemble members exceed the noise threshold (28%). Inclusion of Atlantic forcing improves the ensemble median drought pattern and nearly doubles the number of ensemble members passing the noise threshold (52%). Even with the inclusion of Atlantic forcing, the intensity of the simulated 1932-1939 drought is muted, and the drought itself extends too far into the southwest and southern Great Plains. To an even greater extent than the 1998-2002 drought, these results suggest much of the variance in the 1932-1939 drought is dependent on processes other than SST forcing. This study highlights the importance of internal noise and non SST processes for hydroclimatic variability over North America, complementing existing research using general circulation models.

Cook, Benjamin I.↗

DOE OSTI2021

A fast multi-fidelity method with uncertainty quantification for complex data correlations: Application to vortex-induced vibrations of marine risers

Here we develop a fast multi-fidelity modeling method for very complex correlations between high- and low-fidelity data by working in modal space to extract the proper correlation function. We apply this method to infer the amplitude of motion of a flexible marine riser in cross-flow, subject to vortex-induced vibrations (VIV). VIV are driven by an absolute instability in the flow, which imposes a frequency (Strouhal) law that requires a matching with the impedance of the structure; this matching is easily achieved because of the rapid parametric variation of the added mass force. As a result, the wavenumber of the riser spatial response is within narrow bands of uncertainty. Hence, an error in wavenumber prediction can cause significant phase-related errors in the shape of the amplitude of response along the riser, rendering correlation between low- and high-fidelity data very complex. Working in modal space as outlined herein, dense data from low-fidelity data, provided by the semi-empirical computer code VIVA, can correlate in modal space with few high-fidelity data, obtained from experiments or fully-resolved CFD simulations, to correct both phase and amplitude and provide predictions that agree very well overall with the correct shape of the amplitude response. We also quantify the uncertainty in the prediction using Bayesian modeling and exploit this uncertainty to formulate an active learning strategy for the best possible location of the sensors providing the high fidelity measurements.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2025

Subdiffraction Imaging of Carrier Dynamics in Halide Perovskite Semiconductors: Effects of Passivation, Morphology, and Ion Motion

In this article, we spatially resolve photocarrier dynamics in halide perovskites using time-resolved electrostatic force microscopy (trEFM) to map surface potential equilibration during photoexcitation. We present a unified interpretation of trEFM, which measures the evolution of the surface potential in response to photoexcitation. We show that trEFM measurements correlate with surface recombination velocity and carrier lifetimes, validated with time-resolved photoluminescence imaging. We further validate the interpretation of trEFM through wavelength- and intensity-dependent measurements and with drift-diffusion simulations. We compare several passivation agents, including (3-aminopropyl)trimethoxysilane (APTMS), [3-(2-aminoethylamino)propyl]trimethoxysilane (AEAPTMS), and phenethylammonium iodide (PEAI). The results reveal heterogeneity in surface potential equilibration times that correlates with perovskite film morphology and nanoscale variations in recombination dynamics following surface passivation. Not only do our results highlight the potential for further improvement of passivation strategies, but also the necessity of high spatial and temporal resolution methods, like trEFM, to evaluate next-generation semiconductors.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

NASA NTRS2000

Svalbard: A Window for Understanding Temporal/Spatial Aspects of Solar Wind Coupling to the Magnetosphere and Ionosphere

The research facilities on the Svalbard archepelego provide a unique opportunity for observing the temporal and spatial characteristics of the interaction of the solar wind with the magnetosphere-ionosphere system. The first sounding rockets from the SvdRak range at Ny-Alesund have opened a new perspective for separating temporal and spatial effects. Finding a correlation between observations from the rockets and the Wind satellite located nearly 200 R(sub E) upstream in the solar wind that had a lag time less than the advection time forced consideration of tilted phase planes of the interp1anetary electric field. From this it was deduced that the interaction process has to involve high latitude merging, the interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) B(sub Y) bifurcates the cusp relative to the high latitude source regions in the Northern and Southern Hemispheres, IMF B(sub X) controls the interaction time in each hemisphere, and the small convection cell is driven by opposite hemisphere merging. Studies with 4 satellites in the solar wind have shown that the tilt of the phase plane varies on a minute-by-minute basis and change significantly on time scales of tens of minutes. Images of the cusp at 557.7 nm provide a nearly instantaneous picture of the temporal and spatial characteristics of merging at the magnetopause and show that the process can occur at multiple locations. The rate and location vary with time.

Maynard, Nelson C.↗

NASA NTRS2018

Spatial Correlation Structures in SMAP Near-Surface Soil Moisture (How Spatially Correlated are the Temporal Variations of Soil Moisture at Different Locations? and Why Is This of Interest?)

Spatial correlation structures can describe the degree to which soil moisture at a specified location co-varies in time with that at other, remote locations. Using four years of warm season SMAP Level 2 near-surface soil moisture data, we compute these spatial correlation structures for points across North America. The character of these structures is seen to differ geographically; the structures found for the west-central US, for example, are significantly more spatially extensive. We then demonstrate how these structures can potentially be used to reconstruct soil moisture fields during the pre-SMAP era. In this exercise, we consider as "truth" the soil moistures produced in a long-term offline land surface model simulation (1980-2014) that utilizes precipitation forcing based on a high density of precipitation gauges. Then, for a given location within the continent, we construct an"estimated" soil moisture time series based solely on historical soil moisture information simulated at least 300 km distant from the location, using the SMAP-based spatial correlation structures to determine how to make best use of the remote information. The reconstructed soil moistures are found to have significant skill relative to the assumed truth, suggesting that the same approach, when applied in areas of low rain gauge density (i.e., in areas for which historically simulated soil moistures are necessarily inaccurate), could provide useful historical soil moisture estimates through the SMAP-guided extraction of relevant information from neighboring gauged regions.

Koster, Randal↗

NASA NTRS1991

Tidal and atmospheric forcing of the upper ocean in the Gulf of California. I - Sea surface temperature variability

SST variability in the northern Gulf of California is examined on the basis of findings of two years of satellite infrared imagery (1984-1986). Empirical orthogonal functions of the temporal and spatial SST variance for 20 monthly mean images show that the dominant SST patterns are generated by spatially varying tidal mixing in the presence of seasonal heating and cooling. Atmospheric forcing of the northern gulf appears to occur over large spatial scales. Area-averaged SSTs for the Guaymas Basin, island region, and northern basin exhibit significant fluctuations which are highly correlated. These fluctuations in SST correspond to similar fluctuations in the air temperature which are related to synoptic weather events over the gulf. A regression analysis of the SST relative to the fortnightly tidal range shows that tidal mixing occurs over the sills in the island region as well as on the shallow northern shelf. Mixing over the sills occurs as a result of large breaking internal waves of internal hydraulic jumps which mix over water in the upper 300-500 m.

Paden, Cynthia A.↗

NASA NTRS2011

Variability of Basal Melt Beneath the Pine Island Glacier Ice Shelf, West Antarctica

Observations from satellite and airborne platforms are combined with model calculations to infer the nature and efficiency of basal melting of the Pine Island Glacier ice shelf, West Antarctica, by ocean waters. Satellite imagery shows surface features that suggest ice-shelf-wide changes to the ocean s influence on the ice shelf as the grounding line retreated. Longitudinal profiles of ice surface and bottom elevations are analyzed to reveal a spatially dependent pattern of basal melt with an annual melt flux of 40.5 Gt/a. One profile captures a persistent set of surface waves that correlates with quasi-annual variations of atmospheric forcing of Amundsen Sea circulation patterns, establishing a direct connection between atmospheric variability and sub-ice-shelf melting. Ice surface troughs are hydrostatically compensated by ice-bottom voids up to 150m deep. Voids form dynamically at the grounding line, triggered by enhanced melting when warmer-than-average water arrives. Subsequent enlargement of the voids is thermally inefficient (4% or less) compared with an overall melting efficiency beneath the ice shelf of 22%. Residual warm water is believed to cause three persistent polynyas at the ice-shelf front seen in Landsat imagery. Landsat thermal imagery confirms the occurrence of warm water at the same locations.

Bindschadler, Robert↗

NASA NTRS1975

Wind-tunnel investigation of surface-pressure fluctuations associated with aircraft buffet

Fluctuating pressures and forces that cause aircraft buffeting have been measured on a semispan rigid-wing model of a typical variable-sweep fighter-type aircraft at transonic speeds. The rms spectral and spatial correlation characteristics of wing fluctuating pressures, fluctuating pressure summations, and structural responses are presented and discussed for a Mach number of 0.85, wing sweep angles of 26 and 72 deg, and angles of attack up to 12 deg. The fluctuating pressure characteristics beneath wing shock waves and leading-edge vortices and in regions of attached and separated flows are presented. Results indicate that: (1) the mean and fluctuating static pressure characteristics are related; (2) a circulation oscillation exists for attached flow conditions below buffet onset; and (3) a significant coupling exists between the wing shock-wave oscillation and the wing first torsional mode when shock-induced separation is present.

Riddle, D. W.↗

NASA NTRS2013

Interactive Ozone and Methane Chemistry in GISS-E2 Historical and Future Climate Simulations

The new generation GISS climate model includes fully interactive chemistry related to ozone in historical and future simulations, and interactive methane in future simulations. Evaluation of ozone, its tropospheric precursors, and methane shows that the model captures much of the largescale spatial structure seen in recent observations. While the model is much improved compared with the previous chemistry-climate model, especially for ozone seasonality in the stratosphere, there is still slightly too rapid stratospheric circulation, too little stratosphere-to-troposphere ozone flux in the Southern Hemisphere and an Antarctic ozone hole that is too large and persists too long. Quantitative metrics of spatial and temporal correlations with satellite datasets as well as spatial autocorrelation to examine transport and mixing are presented to document improvements in model skill and provide a benchmark for future evaluations. The difference in radiative forcing (RF) calculated using modeled tropospheric ozone versus tropospheric ozone observed by TES is only 0.016W/sq. m. Historical 20th Century simulations show a steady increase in whole atmosphere ozone RF through 1970 after which there is a decrease through 2000 due to stratospheric ozone depletion. Ozone forcing increases throughout the 21st century under RCP8.5 owing to a projected recovery of stratospheric ozone depletion and increases in methane, but decreases under RCP4.5 and 2.6 due to reductions in emissions of other ozone precursors. RF from methane is 0.05 to 0.18W/ sq. m higher in our model calculations than in the RCP RF estimates. The surface temperature response to ozone through 1970 follows the increase in forcing due to tropospheric ozone. After that time, surface temperatures decrease as ozone RF declines due to stratospheric depletion. The stratospheric ozone depletion also induces substantial changes in surface winds and the Southern Ocean circulation, which may play a role in a slightly stronger response per unit forcing during later decades. Tropical precipitation shifts south during boreal summer from 1850 to 1970, but then shifts northward from 1970 to 2000, following upper tropospheric temperature gradients more strongly than those at the surface.

Ozone↗

NASA NTRS1993

Interannual Sea Level Variations in the Tropical Indian Ocean from Geosat and Shallow Water Simulations

Sea level variations of the Indian Ocean north of 20 deg S are analyzed from Geosat satellite altimeter data over April 1985-September 1989. These variations are compared and interpreted with numerical simulations derived from a reduced gravity model forced by FSU observed winds over the same period. After decomposition into complex empirical orthogonal functions, the low-frequency anomalies are described by the first two modes for observations as well as for simulations. The sums of the two modes contain 34% and 40% of the observed and simulated variances, respectively. Averaged over the basin, the observed and simulated sea level changes are correlated by 0.92 over 1985-1988. The strongest change happens during the El Ninio 1986-1987: between winter 1986 and summer 1987 the basin-averaged sea level rises by approx. 1 cm. These low-frequency variations can partly be explained by changes in the Sverdrup circulation. The southern tropical Indian Ocean between 1O deg and 20 deg S is the domain where those changes are strongest: the averaged sea level rises by approx. 4.5 cm between winter 1986 and winter 1987. There, the signal propagates southwestward across the basin at a speed similar to free Rossby waves. Sensitivity of observed anomalies is examined over 1987-1988, with different orbit ephemeris, tropospheric corrections, and error reduction processes. The uncertainty of the basin-averaged sea level estimates is mostly due to the way the orbit error is reduced and reaches approx. 1 cm. Nonetheless, spatial correlation is good between the various observations and better than between observations and simulations. Sensitivity of simulated anomalies to the wind uncertainty, examined with Former Soviet Union (FSU) and European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) forcings over 1985-1988, shows that the variance of the simulations driven by ECMWF is 52% smaller, as FSU winds are stronger than ECMWF. Results show that the wind strength also affects the dynamic response of the ocean: anomalies propagate westward across the basin more than twice as fast with FSU than with ECMWF. It is found that the discrepancy is larger between ECMWF and FSU simulations than between observations and FSU simulations.

Perigaud, Claire↗

NASA NTRS2010

Vibration Response Predictions for Heavy Panel Mounted Components from Panel Acreage Environment Specifications

The development of new launch vehicles in the Aerospace industry often relies on response measurements taken from previously developed vehicles during various stages of liftoff and ascent, and from wind tunnel models. These measurements include sound pressure levels, dynamic pressures in turbulent boundary layers and accelerations. Rigorous statistical scaling methods are applied to the data to derive new environments and estimate the performance of new skin panel structures. Scaling methods have proven to be reliable, particularly for designs similar to the vehicles used as the basis for scaling, and especially in regions of smooth acreage without exterior protuberances or heavy components mounted to the panel. To account for response attenuation of a panel-mounted component due to its apparent mass at higher frequencies, the vibroacoustics engineer often reduces the acreage vibration according to a weight ratio first suggested by Barrett. The accuracy of the reduction is reduced with increased weight of the panel-mounted component, and does not account for low-frequency amplification of the component/panel response as a system. A method is proposed that combines acreage vibration from scaling methods with finite element analysis to account for the frequency-dependent dynamics of heavy panel-mounted components. Since the acreage and mass-loaded skins respond to the same dynamic input pressure, such pressure may be eliminated in favor of a frequency-dependent scaling function applied to the acreage vibration to predict the mass-loaded panel response. The scaling function replaces the Barrett weight ratio, and contains all of the dynamic character of the loaded and unloaded skin panels. The solution simplifies for spatially uncorrelated and fully correlated input pressures. Since the prediction uses finite element models of the loaded and unloaded skins, a rich suite of response data are available to the design engineer, including interface forces, stress and strain, as well as acceleration and displacement. An extension of the method is also developed to incorporate the effect of a local protuberance near a heavy component. Acreage environments from traditional scaling methods with and without protuberance effects serve as the basis for the extension. Authors:

Harrison, Phillip↗

NASA NTRS1995

Temporal variation of meandering intensity and domain-wide lateral oscillations of the Gulf Stream

The path of the Gulf Stream exhibits two modes of variability: wavelike spatial meanders associated with instability processes and large-sale lateral shifts of the path presumably due to atmospheric forcing. The objectives of this study are to examine the temporal variation of the intensity of spatial meandering in the stream, to characterize large-scale lateral oscillations in the stream's path, and to study the correlation betwen these two dynamically distinct modes of variability. The data used for this analysis are path displacemets ofthe Gulf Stream between 75 deg and 60 deg W obtained from AVHRR-derived (Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer) infrared images for the period April 1982 through December 1989. Meandering intensity, measured by the spatial root-mean-sqaure displacement of the stream path, displays a 9-month dominant periodicity which is persistent through the study period. The 9-month fluctuation in meandering intensity may be related to the interaction of Rosseby waves with the stream. Interannual variation of meandering intensity is also found to be significant, with meandering being mich more intense during 1985 than it was in 1987. Annual variation, however,is weak and not well-defined.The spatially averaged position of the stream, which reflects nonmeandering large-scale lateral oscillations of the stream path, is dominated by an annual cycle. On average, the mean position is farthest north in November and farthest south in April. The first empirical orthogonal function mode of the space-time path displacements represents lateral oscillatins that are in-phase over the space-time domain. Interannual oscillations are also observed and are found to be weaker than the annual oscillation. The eigenvalue of the first mode indicates that about 21.5% of the total space-time variability of the stream path can be attibuted to domain-wide lateral oscillation. The correlation between meandering intensity and domain-wide lateral oscillations is very weak.

Lee, Tong↗

DOE OSTI2025

Spatial mapping of the localized corrosion behavior of a magnesium alloy AZ31B tungsten inert gas weld

Sections of a magnesium alloy, AZ31B, joined with tungsten inert gas (TIG) welding, were examined with scanning electrochemical microscopy (SECM) and scanning Kelvin probe force microscopy (SKPFM) to investigate corrosion mechanisms by correlating observed corrosion behavior with weld-affected microstructural variations. Insight into the changing nature of the galvanic couples between weld zones and at localized microgalvanic sites were investigated using SECM and SKPFM to map both electrochemically active regions and Volta potential differences across the weld-affected zones. The formation of an Al-Zn solidification network in the fusion zone (FZ) at and near the TIG weld epicenter differs from the outer heat-affected zone (HAZ), where intermetallic particles (IMPs) are the notable secondary phase from the magnesium matrix. These microstructures were mapped with SKPFM before and after brief exposure to a salt solution, revealing micro-galvanic couples as the main driving force to corrosion initiation and propagation within each zone. The IMPs and Al-Zn solidification network act as strong cathodes and govern the corrosion processes. The galvanic coupling and evolution of the intrinsic corrosion behavior between the weld zones is explained by monitoring the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) with SECM over time. Anodically induced cathodic activation is confirmed for this welded material, as micro-galvanic couples between microstructural features are found to transition over time to broad electrochemically active areas within the weld-affected zones, resulting in polarity reversal as time of exposure proceeds.

Anodically induced cathodic activation↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Comparison of Corcos-Based and Experimentally-Derived Coherence Factors for Buffet Forcing Functions Estimation

In this paper, high-spatial-resolution unsteady Pressure Sensitive Paint (uPSP) data are utilized to compare two methods for panel Buffet Forcing Functions (BFF) estimation for the Space Launch System (SLS). Such methods are based on discrete pressure measurements within a panel but employ coherence factors to account for partially-correlated fluctuating pressures across the whole panel. In one method, coherence factors are derived based on the Corcos model, whereas the second method utilizes experimentally-derived coherence factors. To simulate discrete measurements using uPSP data, suitable subsets of the data are extracted. When full uPSP resolution is retained, uPSP data provide a benchmark to assess discrete-measurements-based methods. The analysis focuses on the peak SLS buffet environment located downstream of the Forward Attachment Hardware (FAH) between the core stage and solid rocket boosters. Trends of Corcos-based and experimentally-derived coherence factors are in reasonable agreement with the benchmark. However, at certain frequencies, experimentally-derived coherence factors are sensitive to the separation distance between pressure measurements utilized to compute coherence lengths. Such sensitivity originates from deviation of the experimental-based coherence function from an exponential decay assumption. On the other hand, the present implementation of the Corcos model fails to capture certain nonturbulent boundary layer related environments, such as a subharmonic of FAH vortex-shedding. For all methods presented in this paper, at near transonic conditions, increased pressure coherence and spatial nonuniformity lead to BFF overestimation and sensitivity to the pressure measurement location within the panel.

buffet↗

NASA NTRS2023

Comparison of Corcos-Based and Experimentally-Derived Coherence Factors for Buffet Forcing Function Estimation

In this paper, high-spatial-resolution unsteady Pressure Sensitive Paint (uPSP) data are utilized to compare two methods for panel Buffet Forcing Function (BFF) estimation for the Space Launch System (SLS). Such methods are based on discrete pressure measurements within a panel but employ coherence factors to account for partially-correlated fluctuating pressures across the whole panel. In one method, coherence factors are derived based on the Corcos model, whereas the second method utilizes experimentally-derived coherence factors. To simulate discrete measurements using uPSP data, suitable subsets of the data are extracted. When full uPSP resolution is retained, uPSP data provide a benchmark to assess discrete-measurement-based methods. The analysis focuses on the peak SLS buffet environment located downstream of the Forward Attachment Hardware (FAH) between the core stage and solid rocket boosters. Trends of Corcos-based and experimentally-derived coherence factors are in reasonable agreement with the benchmark. However, at certain frequencies, experimentally-derived coherence factors are sensitive to the separation distance between pressure measurements utilized to compute coherence lengths. Such sensitivity originates from deviation of the experimentally-based coherence function from an exponential decay assumption. On the other hand, the present implementation of the Corcos model fails to capture certain nonturbulent boundary layer related environments, such as a subharmonic of FAH vortex-shedding. For all methods presented in this paper, at near transonic conditions, increased pressure coherence and spatial nonuniformity lead to BFF overestimation and sensitivity to the pressure measurement location within the panel.

transonic buffet↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Comparison of Corcos-based and experimentally-derived coherence factors for BFFs estimation

In this paper, high-spatial-resolution unsteady Pressure Sensitive Paint (uPSP) data are utilized to compare two methods for panel Buffet Forcing Functions (BFF) estimation for the Space Launch System (SLS). Such methods are based on discrete pressure measurements within a panel but employ coherence factors to account for partially-correlated fluctuating pressures across the whole panel. In one method, coherence factors are derived based on the Corcos model, whereas the second method utilizes experimentally-derived coherence factors. To simulate discrete measurements using uPSP data, suitable subsets of the data are extracted. When full uPSP resolution is retained, uPSP data provide a benchmark to assess discrete-measurements-based methods. The analysis focuses on the peak SLS buffet environment located downstream of the Forward Attachment Hardware (FAH) between the core stage and solid rocket boosters. Trends of Corcos-based and experimentally-derived coherence factors are in reasonable agreement with the benchmark. However, at certain frequencies, experimentally-derived coherence factors are sensitive to the separation distance between pressure measurements utilized to compute coherence lengths. Such sensitivity originates from deviation of the experimental-based coherence function from an exponential decay assumption. On the other hand, the present implementation of the Corcos model fails to capture certain non-turbulent boundary layer related environments, such as a subharmonic of FAH vortex-shedding. For all methods presented in this paper, at near transonic conditions, increased pressure coherence and spatial nonuniformity lead to BFF overestimation and sensitivity to the pressure measurement location within the panel.

transonic buffet↗

NASA NTRS1994

Spatial organization and time dependence of Jupiter's tropospheric temperatures, 1980-1993

The spatial organization and time dependence of Jupiter's temperature near 250-millibar pressure were measured through a jovian year by imaging thermal emission at 18 micrometers. The temperature field is influenced by seasonal radiative forcing, and its banded organization is closely correlated with the visible cloud field. Evidence was found for a quasi-periodic oscillation of temperatures in the Equatorial Zone, a correlation between tropospheric and stratospheric waves in the North Equatorial Belt, and slowly moving thermal features in the North and South Equatorial Belts. There appears to be no common relation between temporal changes of temperature and changes in the visual albedo of the various axisymmetric bands.

Orton, Glenn S.↗

DOE OSTI2021

IACMI Project 4.2: Thermoplastic Composite Development for Wind Turbine Blades

(Section 5.1) Composites made from Arkema’s Elium® thermoplastic resin and Johns Manville fiberglass were researched during this project for applications in wind blade manufacturing. A techno-economic model was developed to model this wind blade manufacturing process using these materials in place of traditional composites made with thermoset resin. This model was based on manufacturing a 61.5-meter wind blade, which showed a 4.7% reduction in wind blade cost as compared traditional thermoset materials. These cost savings were not from the thermoplastic material costing less than traditional thermoset materials, but rather from decreased capital costs, faster cycle times and reduced energy requirements and labor costs. (Section 5.2) An infusion and curing model was developed for thermoplastic composite wind blades using PAM-RTM. The primary goal was to demonstrate the infusion simulation for the Elium® resin system on a 13-meter wind blade. Additionally, the exotherm temperature was predicted and compared to measurements, which showed model results within 10% of actual measurements. (Section 5.3) Composite laminate panels and composite sandwich panels with a balsa core were produced; specimens were cut and characterized. Similar composite specimens were made with Elium® thermoplastic resin and Hexion thermoset epoxy (RIMR135/RIMH1366) to enable comparisons between these resin systems. The static test methods included: tensile, compression, in-plane shear, interlaminar shear, flexural, sandwich core shear flexure, and single cantilever beam tests for sandwich beams. Fatigue testing at room temperature was completed to composite laminate panels at a stress ratio of R=0.1 and R=10. In addition, fatigue testing to laminate panels was completed at -30°C, and at room temperature after conditioning specimens at 70°C and 90% relative humidity. Overall, mechanical test results from Elium® composites are similar to epoxy composites. (Section 5.4) Elium composite panels were produced with intentional defects such as voids and nonwetting of fibers to begin to understand performance sensitivity to defects. A thermal digital image correlation (TDIC) method provides high spatial resolution strain field at elevated temperatures and can be used to identify defective regions within composite panels. Flexural modulus differences of 21% were seen between defect and non-defect panels. Other Elium® composite panels were forced to be defective by boiling the resin after infusion, which created voids throughout the composite laminate. X-ray computed tomography scanning was used to view the internal structure of the defect panels. Defect panels had a significant reduction in fatigue life as compared to baseline panels produced without intentional defects. (Section 5.5) Lap shear specimens were fabricated to compare the lap shear strength of an off-the-shelf adhesive (Plexus MA590) and two new adhesives developed by Arkema (Bostik SAF30 90 and Bostik SAF30 120). ISO standard 4587:2003 was used to standardize the testing method and sample fabrication. Lap shear specimens were made at 1mm, 3mm, and 10mm thicknesses. The Bostik adhesive lap shear test results were similar to Plexus for all thicknesses. (Section 5.6) Fiber-reinforced polymer (FRP) composites are typically used in high-performance applications (e.g., aerospace), and their expansion into high-volume industries (e.g. consumer automotive and wind turbine blade manufacturer or similar) is hindered by their cost and a lack of efficient manufacturing techniques. Monitoring the curing process of these composites during manufacturing can improve the efficiency of the process, and therefore reduce the manufacturing cost. Cure monitoring techniques were developed that use probabilistic estimation methods and surface temperature measurements made using infrared cameras. These techniques enable real-time monitoring of the infusion process to locate manufacturing flaws, and they can, potentially, estimate residual stresses in the part. Their commercialization will help facilitate expansion of FRP composites in high-volume industries. (Section 5.7) A 13-meter composite wind blade was produced with Elium® resin and Johns Manville fiberglass; this blade was made with VARTM processing similar to how megawatt-scale wind blades are currently manufactured, but no post-mold heating was used for this thermoplastic composite blade. The wind blade underwent full-scale validation for static loading (4-different load orientations) and flapwise fatigue loading to simulate 20-years of operational loads. The thermoplastic composite wind blade withstood the loading without any noted issues and performed similar to results from a previous full-scale validation to an equivalent epoxy composite wind blade produced with the same blade molds. (Section 5.8) A study was conducted to determine the feasibility of recycling composite wind turbine blade components fabricated with glass fiber reinforced Elium® thermoplastic resin. Dissolution, which is a process unique to thermoplastic matrices, allows recovery of both the polymer matrix and full-length glass fibers, while maintaining their stiffness and strength throughout the recovery process. The economics of recycling is favorable if 50% of the glass fiber is recovered and resold for a process of $\$$ 0.28/kg, and 90% of the resin is recovered and resold at a price of $\$$ 2.50/kg.(Section 10) Recommendations are outlined for commercializing thermoplastic resin for composite wind blade production, in addition to recommended areas for future research.

17 WIND ENERGY↗