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An Approach to Dynamic Human Reliability Analysis and Its Data Collection Framework

Human reliability analysis (HRA) is a method for evaluating human errors in a variety of complex systems such as nuclear power plants, military systems, aircraft, and chemical plants. Most HRA methods currently used by regulatory institutes or utilities are called static HRA and are carried out by simple worksheets or simple calculators. To date, there are many unsolved or intrinsic challenges in static HRA. For example, existing static HRA does not realistically model and evaluate human actions as they would be performed at actual systems. There is no method with HRA to objectively estimate the time required for human actions despite being essential to HRA processes. In addition, many HRA methods still rely on a dataset generated prior to the 1980s, from unrelated industry experience or simply from expert judgment. Accordingly, this study attempted to research how to overcome the challenges of existing HRA via dynamic risk assessment (a.k.a., simulation-based or computation-based risk assessment) techniques. First, this study developed a dynamic HRA method, named as PRocedure-based Investigation Method of EMRALD Risk Assessment – HRA (PRIMERA-HRA). The PRIMERA-HRA mainly concentrates on providing HRA analysts with specific guidelines on how to reasonably model human actions, assign human reliability data and evaluate output of simulation within a dynamic probabilistic risk assessment tool, called as Event Modeling Risk Assessment using Linked Diagrams (EMRALD). Second, this study also developed a module for performance shaping factors (i.e., the key concept in HRA quantification) applicable to dynamic HRA, then implemented it based on PRIMERA-HRA within the EMRALD tool. Third, this study developed an HRA data collection framework to support dynamic HRA, called as Simplified Human Error Experimental Program (SHEEP). Originally, the SHEEP study aimed to support static HRA and its data collection, but recently extended the scope to the new technologies such as dynamic HRA or HRA for advanced reactors. SHEEP focuses on the use of data collected from simplified simulators to complement—but not replace—data collection studies using full-scope simulators and actual operators. To date, many experiments were conducted under the SHEEP framework. Multiple analyses, such as human performance analysis, human error analysis, task complexity analysis, learning effect analysis and time distribution analysis, were also carried out using the collected data. Then, based on the major insights, an approach to inferring full-scope data based on simplified simulator data was proposed. The PRIMERA-HRA and SHEEP research are expected to evaluate human actions more realistically than existing static HRA, provide an opportunity to collect more HRA data with reasonable cost and labor, then contribute to enhance the quality of HRA.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Friction Experiment Data Analysis

The Spent Fuel Waste Disposition (SFWD) program under the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) is planning a seismic shake table test of full-scale dry storage systems of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) to close the gap related to the seismic loads on the fuel assemblies in dry storage systems. This test will allow for quantifying the strains and accelerations on surrogate fuel assembly during representative earthquakes. A concrete layer will be installed on the shake table before the test to simulate conditions representative of an ISFSI pad. In the shake table tests with the vertical cask, the cask will be free-standing because this is representative of all, except two, ISFSIs in the U.S. with vertical dry storage casks. The static and dynamic friction coefficients between the steel bottom of the cask and the concrete layer on the shake table are important parameters that will affect cask behavior during the test. These parameters must be known for the pre- and post-test modelling, data analysis, and model validation. The friction experiment was performed at the Engineering Department of the University of New Mexico (UNM) to determine the friction coefficients between a steel plate with the same finish as the bottom of the vertical cask manufactured for the test and different concrete surfaces. In this experiment the steel plate was fixed and the concrete sample was pulled over the plate with a constant displacement rate using an MTS machine. This allowed for collecting continuous horizontal force data over the length of the steel plate. Four displacement rates and three vertical loads were used. The tests were performed with four concrete blocks with different degrees of the surface roughness - light sandblast, light to medium sandblast, medium bush hammer, and heavy sandblast. The total number of tests was 48. The data were used to calculate static and dynamic friction coefficients.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Optimizing Alabama’s CO 2 Storage in Shelby County (Project OASIS): Task 4.0 Deliverable – Geologic Analysis Report

Project OASIS (Optimizing Alabama’s CO 2 Storage in Shelby County) is a geologic and reservoir characterization study designed to evaluate deep saline formations for potential long-term carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) storage in central Alabama near the National Carbon Capture Center (NCCC) and Alabama Power’s Plant Gaston. The project centers on the Cambro-Ordovician Knox Group and underlying strata such as the Conasauga and Rome Formations, which were investigated through the drilling of two stratigraphic test wells to obtain electronic well logs, core, and sidewall core plugs. These data provide direct measurements of porosity, permeability, and lithologic variability critical for reservoir characterization. Complementing the well program, a limited 2D seismic survey was acquired to help select the site for Westover #2, and a more regional Seismic Exchange (SEI) seismic survey was licensed and interpreted to define structural and stratigraphic frameworks in a new Static Earth Model (SEM), map reservoir continuity, and identify potential sealing intervals. Integrated with geologic and reservoir modeling, these datasets form the basis for evaluating storage capacity, injectivity, and containment.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗

MOOSE framework enhancements for meshing reactor geometries

MOOSE is an open-source, parallel finite element framework designed to permit rapid development of robust multi-physics modeling capabilities. Under the DOE-NEAMS program, numerous solvers have been developed utilizing the open-source MOOSE framework for multiphysics reactor analysis. These solvers require input finite element meshes representing the discretized geometry. Typically, reactor analysts turn to licensed external tools for creation of reactor geometry meshes. Recently, enhancements have been added to the MOOSE framework to mesh common reactor geometries and improve MOOSE-based application user workflows. Support for hexagonal pins, assemblies, and cores has been added, and Cartesian support has been extended. Options for modeling static and rotating control drums within a hexagonal assembly are now available. Pin, assembly, and plane regions can be identified through automatically applied tags on the mesh called 'reporting IDs' for easier post- processing of physics results. An external open-source triangle routine has been leveraged within MOOSE to mesh core periphery zones. A set of reactor geometry builder routines further streamline the construction of hexagonal and Cartesian cores and include the ability to assign materials to regions during mesh generation. The new meshing routines are available through the MOOSE framework in the open-source 'Reactor' module, and the resulting directly within MOOSE-based applications or exported as Exodus II files for use in other finite element solvers. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Cross Section Generation Capability in Griffin

The Griffin code is a Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) based reactor multiphysics analysis application jointly developed by Idaho National Laboratory and Argonne National Laboratory. The code includes a variety of steady-state solvers for fixed-source, k-eigenvalue, adjoint, and subcritical multiplication, as well as transient solvers for point-kinetics, improved quasi-static, and spatial dynamics. The code reads multigroup cross sections in the ISOXML format generated from external deterministic or Monte Carlo cross section generation codes. The implementation of the cross section generation capability in Griffin was initiated last year by plugging in the cross section application programming interface (CSAPI) and reviewing the methodologies for treating particulate fuels. The focus this year was on improving the CSAPI integration and implementing advanced self-shielding methods for applications to advanced reactor problems with TRISO fuels. First, the process for cross section library generation was updated to accurately and rigorously produce isotopic cross section data. Second, the equivalent Dancoff factor cell method performing slowing down calculations on the fly for the resonance treatment was implemented in CSAPI to improve the accuracy of effective multigroup cross sections in the resonance energy range. Third, the iterative local spatial self-shielding method was implemented under the calculation framework of the equivalent Dancoff factor cell method to accurately deal with the double heterogeneity effect of particulate fuel. The updated CSAPI with the advanced self-shielding methods, together with the cross section libraries generated based on the improved process, were tested for pin-cell, unit-cell, and fuel assembly problems with various resonance self-shielding conditions based on very high temperature reactor, high temperature test reactor, and Empire benchmark cores, indicating that the updated CSAPI in Griffin is able to produce multigroup cross sections accurately and efficiently. We also showed that the methodology worked well for pebble bed fuel from HTR-10, but the capability still needs to be fully integrated into CSAPI. In the future, further benchmark tests will be performed for various thermal reactor core problems, including particulate fuel-based pebble bed reactors.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Cross Section Generation Capability in Griffin

The Griffin code is a Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) based reactor multiphysics analysis application jointly developed by Idaho National Laboratory and Argonne National Laboratory. The code includes a variety of steady-state solvers for fixed-source, k-eigenvalue, adjoint, and subcritical multiplication, as well as transient solvers for point-kinetics, improved quasi-static, and spatial dynamics. The code reads multigroup cross sections in the ISOXML format generated from external deterministic or Monte Carlo cross section generation codes. The implementation of the cross section generation capability in Griffin was initiated last year by plugging in the cross section application programming interface (CSAPI) and reviewing the methodologies for treating particulate fuels. The focus this year was on improving the CSAPI integration and implementing advanced self-shielding methods for applications to advanced reactor problems with TRISO fuels. First, the process for cross section library generation was updated to accurately and rigorously produce isotopic cross section data. Second, the on-the-fly slowing down method for the resonance treatment was implemented in CSAPI to improve the accuracy of effective multigroup cross sections in the resonance energy range. Among various on-the-fly slowing down methods, the equivalent Dancoff factor cell method was employed. Third, the iterative local spatial self-shielding method was implemented under the calculation framework of the equivalent Dancoff factor cell method to accurately deal with the double heterogeneity effect of particulate fuel. The updated CSAPI with the advanced self-shielding methods, together with the cross section libraries generated based on the improved process, were tested for the very high temperature reactor (VHTR), high temperature test reactor (HTTR), and Empire benchmark problems with various resonance self-shielding conditions, indicating that the updated CSAPI in Griffin is able to produce multigroup cross sections accurately and efficiently. We also show that the methodology works well for pebble bed fuel from HTR-10, but the capability still needs to be fully integrated into CSAPI. In the future, further benchmark tests will be performed for various thermal reactor core problems, including particulate fuel-based pebble bed reactors.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Fundamental Studies of the Vibrational, Electronic, and Photophysical Properties of Tetrapyrrolic Architectures

The ability to capture and utilize light in the near-ultraviolet (NUV), visible and near-infrared (NIR-I and NIR-II) spectral regions (i.e., 320–400, 400–700, 700–1000, 1000–1700 nm) is essential for any solar-energy conversion scheme. Nature employs chlorophylls and bacteriochlorophylls in light-harvesting architectures to absorb light in the blue and red/NIR regions. Accessory pigments (carotenoids, bilins) augment absorption of the (bacterio)chlorophylls in the green region. The harvested energy is funneled to a reaction center protein, where charge separation occurs. Subsequent migration of the electron and the hole stabilizes and stores the energy from light via redox chemistry. The long-term objective of the Bocian/Holten&Kirmaier/Lindsey research program under this DOE grant has been to develop tetrapyrrole-based molecular architectures that absorb sunlight, funnel energy and separate charge with high efficiency. Integral to the program has been iterative cycles of design, synthesis and characterization that provided deep insights into the relationships between chemical composition, electronic structure, and key static and dynamic properties (vibrational, redox, photophysical, energy/charge transfer) of tetrapyrrolic systems. Such architectures included monomers, dyads, larger arrays, and complexes with accessory components. The objective was to develop molecular designs and guiding principles to enhance current and future energy-conversion schemes. Molecular arrays targeted to address one or more fundamental questions concerning light harvesting and energy/charge transfer were constructed from analogues of the naturally occurring hemes, chlorophylls and bacteriochlorophylls. Diverse, tunable synthetic building blocks were prepared that spanned the three respective tetrapyrrole families, which are the porphyrins, chlorins and bacteriochlorins. Thus, the research focused on porphyrins as well as synthetic surrogates for chlorophylls (chlorins, 13 1 -oxophorbines and chlorin-imides) and bacteriochlorophylls (bacteriochlorins, bacterio-13 1 -oxophorbines and bacteriochlorin-imides), generically termed hydroporphyrins. Although the three tetrapyrrole classes (porphyrins, chlorins and bacteriochlorins) absorb light strongly in the violet-blue spectral region, the long-wavelength absorption band typically lies in the green-orange, red, and NIR regions, respectively, with increasing intensity. Understanding the spectra, electronic structure, and energy/charge-transfer properties of such tetrapyrrolic macrocycles is of central importance for the rational design of molecular architectures for solar-energy conversion. Our integrated program of molecular design and synthesis coupled with a variety of spectroscopic, electrochemical, and computational studies have probed from first principles how structural and electronic properties of tetrapyrrolic macrocycles dictate spectral properties as well as the rates of ground-state hole/electron transfer and excited-state energy flow in multicomponent architectures. Individual molecules and multicomponent architectures were designed to test ideas of fundamental importance, often requiring the development of new synthetic methodology. The members of the collaborative team had almost daily discussions by phone and/or e-mail concerning design of molecules, flow of compounds between the labs, planning of physical characterization studies, discussing results and analysis and integrating into design of next generation architectures, and the preparation of manuscripts. Furthermore, students and postdocs in the different labs routinely communicated with one another to facilitate the advancement of the research activities. In short, a highly integrated and collaborative research program was well established among the groups. The research effort involved molecular design and synthesis of synthetic molecular architectures by the Lindsey group integrated with physicochemical and photophysical characterization by the Bocian group and the Holten&Kirmaier group (Figure 2). The Bocian group carried out electrochemical, electron paramagnetic resonance (EPR), resonance Raman (RR), and Fourier-transform infrared (FT-IR) studies, as well as density functional theory (DFT) calculations and the time-dependent extension (TDDFT) to gain insight into excited-state properties. The Holten&Kirmaier group carried out static and time-resolved absorption and fluorescence spectroscopy studies and simulated absorption spectra using molecular orbital (MO) energies from DFT as input to the four-orbital model to complement the TDDFT calculations. The combined measurements provided understanding of the vibrational/electronic properties of the individual molecules and the changes that occur upon incorporation into multicomponent architectures. This information underpinned elucidating the mechanisms and timescales of ground-state hole/electron transfer and excited-state energy and charge transfer.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Improved Cross Section Generation Capability of Griffin in FY22

The Griffin code is a Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) based reactor multiphysics analysis application jointly developed by Idaho National Laboratory and Argonne National Laboratory. The code includes a variety of deterministic steady-state transport solvers for fixed source, k-eigenvalue, adjoint, and subcritical multiplication as well as transient solvers for spatial dynamics with the improved quasi-static method. Griffin uses cross section data in the ISOXML format generated from external deterministic or Monte Carlo cross section generation codes. In recent years, the MC 2 -3 modules have been added to Griffin for fast reactor cross section generation, and the self-shielding application programming interface (SSAPI) was implemented in the ISOXML module for thermal reactor cross section generation. The on-the-fly slowing down method and double-heterogeneity treatment have been implemented to SSAPI and verified against particulate fuel-bearing graphite-moderated thermal reactor problems with high accuracy. This year, work has been focused on improving the cross section generation capability of ISOXML and streamlining the cross section generation procedures. In addition, the form function data were added to ISOXML in order to support the pin power reconstruction capability that was newly implemented in Griffin in this fiscal year. To facilitate the cross section generation using MC 2 -3 and SSAPI in Griffin, the cross section generation workflows have been set up for both fast and thermal spectrum reactors. The MOOSE action system tool was devised for fast spectrum problems, and the MOOSE stochastic tool was adopted to the branch calculation procedure for thermal spectrum problems. Meanwhile, to ensure the accuracy of group-constants, the thermal up-scattering kernel calculator accounting for resonance scattering was implemented in ISOXML, demonstrating the accurate computation of a Doppler-broadened scattering kernel of any Legendre order within a reasonable timescale. Other aspects of ISOXML, such as deletion solver and data, documentation, ISOXML file management, and the interface for Mixture, were improved as well.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Phenotypically anchored transcriptomics across diverse agrichemicals reveals conserved pathways and unique gene expression signatures in zebrafish

Agrichemicals such as herbicides, fungicides, insecticides, and biocides are widely used in agriculture, yet some are associated with adverse effects in humans and the environment. While many of these chemicals have been extensively studied in vitro and are included in the EPA’s ToxCast program, comprehensive in vivo comparisons using RNA sequencing across structurally diverse agrichemicals, in a single screening platform, are lacking. In this study, we examined structurally diverse agrichemicals found in the U.S. Environmental Protection Agency’s (EPA) Toxcast Phase I and II library by statically exposing early life stage zebrafish at 6 h post fertilization (hpf) until 120 hpf at concentrations ranging from 0.25 to 100 µM. Morphological outcomes were assessed at 120 hpf across 10 endpoints, including yolk sac edema, craniofacial malformations, and axis abnormalities. Chemicals that produced robust concentration-response relationships were selected for transcriptomic profiling. For transcriptomic analysis, zebrafish were statically exposed to each chemical and sampled at 48 hpf, prior to the onset of morphological effects observed at 120 hpf. Differential expression analysis identified between 0 and 4,538 differentially expressed genes (DEGs) per chemical, with no clear correlation to morphological severity. Both DEG and co-expression network analyses revealed chemical-specific expression patterns that converged on shared biological pathways, including neurodevelopment and cytoskeletal organization. Key regulatory genes such as mylpfa and krt4 were identified within co-expression modules, suggesting their potential role in conserved toxicity mechanisms. Semantic similarity analysis of enriched gene ontology (GO) terms, when compared to existing datasets, highlighted gaps in the annotation of neurodevelopmental processes, indicating that some in vivo effects may not be fully captured by current curated resources. The results provide new insights into the modes of action of diverse agrichemicals and establish a framework for understanding how agrichemical structure relates to biological function in a vertebrate model.

agrichemical↗

MOOSE Reactor Module: An Open-Source Capability for Meshing Nuclear Reactor Geometries

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program has developed numerous physics solvers utilizing the open-source Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework for multiphysics reactor analysis. These solvers require input finite element meshes representing the discretized spatial domain. Typically, reactor analysts turn to licensed tools for the creation of reactor geometry meshes. Recently, open-source functionality has been added to the MOOSE framework to mesh common reactor geometries and improve MOOSE-based nuclear reactor application user workflows. The new functionality is primarily contained in the new Reactor module of MOOSE and includes support for hexagonal pins, assemblies, and cores, extended Cartesian geometry support, options for modeling static and rotating control drums within a hexagonal assembly, core periphery triangulation, and automatic tagging of pin, assembly, plane, and depletion regions for easier post processing of physics results. A set of reactor geometry mesh builder objects further streamlines the construction of hexagonal and Cartesian cores and allows mapping of materials to regions during mesh generation. The meshes produced with the MOOSE Reactor module may be used directly within MOOSE-based applications or exported as Exodus II files for use in other finite element solvers. The tools have been demonstrated and verified using a variety of NEAMS physics solvers on a range of reactor applications, including a sodium-cooled fast reactor core analysis using Griffin, a fast reactor assembly thermal deformation analysis using MOOSE Tensor Mechanics, and a heat pipe–cooled microreactor coupled analysis using Griffin, Bison, and Sockeye. MOOSE’s Reactor module provides significant advantages compared to the use of external meshing tools when analyzing Cartesian and hexagonal reactor lattices using MOOSE-based applications: immediate accessibility (open-source) to the end user, low barrier to entry for new users, speed of mesh generation, volume preservation of meshed fuel pins, and simplification of analysis workflow when used in conjunction with MOOSE-based applications.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Valuing Residential Energy Efficiency: Analysis for a Prototypical Southeastern Utility [Slides]

The increasing amount of variable renewable energy resources and shifts towards more end-use and vehicle electrification suggests profound changes to power system planning and operation. Specifically, renewable energy is expected to shift net peak demand from late afternoon to early evening and end-use electrification may significantly increase winter peak demand. Residential energy efficiency is likely to align well with these shifts as it tends to produce savings in the early evening (e.g., from lighting measures) and coincident with heating loads (e.g., from envelope and space conditioning measures). Despite the opportunity to decrease system costs and emissions, residential energy efficiency is often limited by static valuation methods and its economic potential is considerably less than its technical potential. Using hourly residential energy efficiency characterizations, utility program cost data, and a capacity expansion model, we estimate the benefits of residential energy efficiency for a prototypical, summer-peaking utility in the Southeastern region. We first establish the cost-effective residential energy efficiency portfolio through “competition” with supply-side resources in a forward-looking capacity expansion model. Importantly, we then evaluate several scenarios intended to drive an increasing amount of cost-effective residential energy efficiency through measure cost reductions, increased customer adoption, policy goals (e.g., carbon price), and delivery of an integrated package of measures. The results quantify total system cost and emissions reductions, fossil-fuel plant retirements, and peak demand reductions. Results suggest the design and prioritization of policies and programs to access the untapped amount of cost-effective residential energy efficiency.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Design Status and Experimental Strategy for Initial Molten Salt Irradiation Experiments in HFIR

The development and deployment of molten salt reactor (MSR) technologies require experimental capabilities that can evaluate molten fuel salt behavior and structural material performance under representative irradiation conditions. Although modeling and separate effects testing provide important insight, there remains a critical lack of in-pile data that capture the coupled effects of neutron irradiation, temperature, salt chemistry, and time. Informed by lessons learned from historical MSR programs and recent international irradiation efforts, this report presents a structured approach to addressing existing gaps in molten salt irradiation testing using the High Flux Isotope Reactor (HFIR). A phased irradiation strategy is presented that incrementally increases experimental complexity while managing cost, risk, and facility constraints. The framework progresses from passive, nonfueled static capsule experiments to fueled, instrumented, and ultimately circulating molten salt systems, providing a pathway for materials screening, mechanistic understanding, and qualification-relevant testing. The report defines a near-term Phase 1 passive capsule concept, associated irradiation conditions, and a conceptual post-irradiation examination strategy. Ongoing modeling, out-of-pile testing, and safety analysis activities are described to support continued capability maturation and to enable future phases of molten salt irradiation testing in support of MSR technology deployment.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Creating an Interprocedural Analyst-Oriented Data Flow Representation for Binary Analysts (CIAO)

National security missions require understanding third-party software binaries, a key element of which is reasoning about how data flows through a program. However, vulnerability analysts protecting software lack adequate tools for understanding data flow in binaries. To reduce the human time burden for these analysts, we used human factors methods in a rolling discovery process to derive user-centric visual representation requirements. We encountered three main challenges: analysis projects span weeks, analysis goals significantly affect approaches and required knowledge, and analyst tools, techniques, conventions, and prioritization are based on personal preference. To address these challenges, we initially focused our human factors methods on an attack surface characterization task. We generalized our results using a two-stage modified sorting task, creating requirements for a data flow visualization. We implemented these requirements partially in manual static visualizations, which we informally evaluated, and partially in automatically generated interactive visualizations, which have yet to be integrated into workflows for evaluation. Our observations and results indicate that 1) this data flow visualization has the potential to enable novel code navigation, information presentation, and information sharing, and 2) it is an excellent time to pursue research applying human factors methods to binary analysis workflows.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Data-driven modeling of dynamic occupant thermostat override behavior for demand response applications

Buildings consume nearly 40% of global energy and produce similar emissions. Whiletechnological advances address efficiency, occupant behavior causes energy use variations up to 300% between identical buildings. This gap between predicted and actual building performance impacts building design, operations, and grid demand management programs. Through analyses of smart thermostat data from 1,400 single-occupant homes, the researchdemonstrates that occupants respond to 8°F thermostat setpoint changes within a median of 15 minutes, while 2°F changes trigger responses within a median of 30 minutes. This highlights an understudied temporal relationship between thermostat setbacks and response time of occupant behaviors. Models of such behavior dynamics are required to incorporate occupant impacts into building performance simulation. A key contribution of this dissertation is the Thermal Frustration Theory (TFT), which positsthat thermal discomfort driven behaviors are caused by the time-accumulation of discomfort, not simply a temperature deviation threshold or a delay from an initiating event. Using a dataset of 634 thermostats, each with 25+ manual setpoint changes, a comparative analysis of TFT and comfort zone and a delayed response theories demonstrated that personalized TFT models better predict when manual setpoint change occur. This was measured by the area under the curve statistical measure (AUC); all three models perform similarly by a Matthews Correlation Coefficient measure. Higher AUC performance is especially important for modeling occupant behavior in demand response programs where false negatives of rare occupant interactions could adversely affect grid stability. EnergyPlus based simulations were conducted with TFT-derived occupant models, demonstrating the ability to identify parameters of known TFT models from only data observable with smart thermostats, even under the presence of noise from routine overrides. Overall, the dissertation highlights that thermostat interactions are neither static,instantaneous, nor driven solely by the environment. Instead, temporal accumulation of discomfort and routine-based behavior play important roles. The methodology and results offer a pathway towards more accurate modeling of human-building interactions for policy assessment, building design, and demand response programs.

Sharma, Kunind [Northeastern University] (ORCID:00↗

Incorporating Valve Switching Losses Into a Static Optimal Control Algorithm for the Hybrid Hydraulic-Electric Architecture (HHEA)

The Hybrid Hydraulic-Electric Architecture (HHEA) has, in recent years, been proposed as an energy efficient alternative to conventional load-sensing architectures in mobile machines such as excavators and wheel-loaders. HHEA leverages the advantages of hydraulic power and electric power to eliminate throttling valves while also improving the energy and control performance of the system. The architecture utilizes a set of common pressure rails to provide a majority of power and and a small electric motor driven pump to modulate this power to meet the exact demand. Previous work has developed a computationally efficient Lagrange Multiplier approach for determining the optimal pressure rail selections that minimizes the energy losses in the system. The static model used considers only the energy use for each pressure rail selection but not the losses associated with the valves during the transition. This paper presents an approach to include the switching losses in the model and in the optimization procedure. To capture the switching losses, switching events between different rails and at various input and output flow rates were simulated with consideration of valve spool dynamics. A parameterized model that summarizes the losses is then obtained, allowing switching losses to be added to the previous energy analysis. The performance of the switching loss model was compared with reference data obtained from a high-fidelity simulation model. To incorporate the switching losses into optimal control algorithm, an efficient dynamic programming approach that prevents frequent switching is adopted in place of the Lagrange multiplier approach. The overall effect of switching losses on the energy consumption and optimal control decisions is presented. In general, switching losses contribute to about 9–10% of input energy.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A novel transfer learning framework for sorghum biomass prediction using UAV-based remote sensing data and genetic markers

Yield for biofuel crops is measured in terms of biomass, so measurements throughout the growing season are crucial in breeding programs, yet traditionally time- and labor-consuming since they involve destructive sampling. Modern remote sensing platforms, such as unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs), can carry multiple sensors and collect numerous phenotypic traits with efficient, non-invasive field surveys. However, modeling the complex relationships between the observed phenotypic traits and biomass remains a challenging task, as the ground reference data are very limited for each genotype in the breeding experiment. In this study, a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) based Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) model is proposed for sorghum biomass prediction. The architecture is designed to exploit the time series remote sensing and weather data, as well as static genotypic information. As a large number of features have been derived from the remote sensing data, feature importance analysis is conducted to identify and remove redundant features. A strategy to extract representative information from high-dimensional genetic markers is proposed. To enhance generalization and minimize the need for ground reference data, transfer learning strategies are proposed for selecting the most informative training samples from the target domain. Consequently, a pre-trained model can be refined with limited training samples. Field experiments were conducted over a sorghum breeding trial planted in multiple years with more than 600 testcross hybrids. The results show that the proposed LSTM-based RNN model can achieve high accuracies for single year prediction. Further, with the proposed transfer learning strategies, a pre-trained model can be refined with limited training samples from the target domain and predict biomass with an accuracy comparable to that from a trained-from-scratch model for both multiple experiments within a given year and across multiple years.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Semiglobal Safety-Filtered Extremum Seeking With Unknown CBFs

We introduce a safe extremum-seeking (Safe ES) algorithm which achieves the minimization of an unknown objective function while ensuring that an unknown, yet measured, control barrier function (CBF) remains above an arbitrarily small negative value for all time. In other words, “practical safety” is maintained during the entire period of convergence to the constrained extremum. Our design is based on quadratic program (QP) CBF style filters for safety, which is applied in an average and estimated sense. Using nonsmooth analysis tools, we guarantee semiglobal practical asymptotic (SPA) stability of the global constrained optimum, practical convergence to the safe set if starting in a condition violating the CBF, and practical safety for all time—semiglobally—if starting in safe set. The safety result of the paper is analogous with modern notions of SPA stability, guaranteeing that, for any small violation of safety, there exist design coefficients which guarantee that such a small violation is not exceeded. The paper outlines a set of sufficient conditions on the barrier and objective functions, and by way of a Lyapunov argument, we demonstrate that nonconvex constrained optimization problems can be solved. We present these results in the setting of a static map and a dynamical system. A simulation example illustrates the results.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

FY23 Progress on Computational Modeling of the Water-Based NSTF

This report summarizes the system-level modeling effort by Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) of the Natural convection Shutdown heat removal Test Facility (NSTF) in FY23. As a continuation of the modeling effort from FY22, this year’s work focuses on improving the RELAP5-3D model developed previously for two-phase flow simulations. The RELAP5-3D model is updated to more accurately capture the heat loss experienced by the facility. The updated model is compared against experimental data for benchmarking purposes of the RELAP5-3D input model. By correctly accounting for heat loss, the updated RELAP5-3D model can now predict the two-phase baseline case more accurately. The onset and the duration of instability are captured well by the model. Furthermore, analyses are performed to better understand the instability mechanism experienced by the flow where the expansion of the boiling boundary in the chimney is studied in details and the fundamental frequencies of the oscillations are obtained. The updated RELAP5-3D model is further compared against four fault conditions, namely the reduction of riser header inlet flow area, depletion of system inventory, blocked riser channels, and static boiling scenario. For each fault condition, minor modifications and tuning are performed to improve the predictions of the model. The purpose of the analyses is to investigate the capability of RELAP5-3D in predicting complex two-phase flows in possible accident scenarios in actual Reactor Cavity Cooling System (RCCS). Overall, the model is able to capture the behaviors and trends of these fault conditions relatively well. Some discrepancies remain between the experimental data and the predictions, many of which are likely due to the differences in the predicted and experimental vapor generation rate. Future work will focus on the continued development of the current RELAP5-3D input model of the NSTF to both improve the accuracy of the model’s predictive capability and continue supporting the experimental program needs. The mutually beneficial relationship between analysis and experimental efforts has become integral to the parent NSTF program, and the greater objective to fully understand and accurately predict the heat removal performance of a full scale RCCS concept.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗