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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2026

Advanced Semi-Supervised Learning With Uncertainty Estimation for Phase Identification in Distribution Systems

The integration of advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) into power distribution networks generates valuable data for tasks such as phase identification; however, the limited and unreliable availability of labeled data in the form of customer phase connectivity presents challenges. To address this issue, we propose a semi-supervised learning (SSL) framework that effectively leverages labeled and unlabeled data. Our approach incorporates self-training, label spreading, and Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) to enhance phase identification with AMI data. Our method uses an ensemble of multilayer perceptron classifiers in a self-training setup, iteratively adding high-confidence pseudo-labels to improve robustness. We also apply label spread to propagate labels based on data similarity, which enhances generalization across diverse distributions. In addition, we employ a BNNs with uncertainty estimation, boosting confidence in predictions and reducing phase identification errors. In our case study, we achieved approximately 98% +/- 0.08 accuracy with uncertainty using minimal and unreliable labeled data from a real U.S. utility, Duquesne Light Company. Our SSL approach, combined with uncertainty estimation, provides an efficient solution for phase identification in AMI data, ultimately improving the reliability of smart grid applications.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2024

Hydrogen Detection Strategies to Support H2@SCALE - The NREL Sensor Laboratory

Hydrogen represents a major pathway to decarbonize and stabilize the national and international energy industry and select manufacturing markets. To facilitate the development of hydrogen markets, the US Department of Energy initiated H2@Scale to bring together stakeholders to advance affordable hydrogen production, transport, storage, and utilization to increase revenue opportunities in multiple energy sectors. One major impediment to hydrogen implementation is cost. To expedite the use of hydrogen in energy and other markets, the United States announced in 2021 the Hydrogen Shot, which seeks to reduce the cost of clean hydrogen by 80% to $1 per 1 kilogram in 1 decade ("1 1 1"). As the cost of hydrogen drops, new applications will emerge that will require unique configurations of existing equipment and infrastructure, and eventually lead to advances in the generation and utilization of hydrogen. As the hydrogen economy expands, sensors and detection methods will need to adapt to changing infrastructure demands to address the primary targets of health & safety, emissions monitoring, and process control. The NREL Sensor Laboratory is playing a pivotal role in advancing the use of hydrogen sensors and detection methodologies in each of these categories to support DOE's mission for safe and efficient utilization in emerging markets. Health & safety monitors are required to ensure that operators and facilities can react to unintended hydrogen releases, either as GH2, LH2, or as a constituent of blends (e.g., natural gas or ammonia). Current detection methodologies focus on safety applications to detect near its lower flammable limit (4 vol %), and typically include point sensors in applications such as fixed or mobile detectors (e.g., personal gas monitors). Methodologies amenable for area detection include acoustic, emerging optical imaging methods, and flame detectors. Comparable detection strategies can be utilized for emissions monitoring and quantization, however few methods can simultaneously cover both low (emissions) and high (health & safety) levels. Deployment of emission level detectors will be required to 1) reduce product loss through small but potentially significant leaks from an environmental or cost perspective, 2) reduce downtime of high demand systems by early identification of eminent system failures (leaks through pump or compressor seals indicative of impending failure), and 3) address potential emission monitoring requirements that may be set by regulating bodies. The first two points should be adopted by industry to reduce the cost-of-goods-sold. The third main category for hydrogen detection relates to process control and may be advantageous for many existing applications. Two main applications are emerging. For example, the purity requirements for hydrogen that is dispensed from refueling systems for hydrogen fuel cell electric vehicles (FCEV) is rigorously regulated by the Standard SAE J2719, which prescribes maximum allowable levels of multiple impurities in the hydrogen fuel and must be verified by a regulatory body. Hydrogen contaminant detectors (HCD) integrated to the fueling station can assure this compliance. HCDs must be able operate in 100% H2 backgrounds and be able to distinguish between multiple contaminants at low ppm to low ppb levels. Secondly, as a strategy to decarbonize the natural gas grid, there are proposals to blend hydrogen with natural gas. This blending will affect transport applications (pipeline infrastructure), stationary combustion systems (turbines), and consumer and commercial appliances. In the short-term, hydrogen levels up to 20% are proposed. Variations in the hydrogen level can have dramatic impact on the combustion process and on the potential response of safety sensors. These mixtures may be regulated so that the concentration at a delivery point must be monitored with high precision. However, routine maintenance may introduce background gases such as ambient air (with water) or maintenance gases (introduced with welding processes or adhesive outgassing.) Therefore, the detection methodology must be robust enough to recover or respond to various contaminants. Several reviews can be found in literature addressing sensing and detection technologies, including their limitations and applications. However, for most applications, limitations can be alleviated by combining various detection techniques either through system integration or implementation of machine learning methods (artificial intelligence). In this presentation, we will discuss several applications, highlight their current approach for hydrogen detection, and suggest detection strategies to supplement their limitations.

ENERGY STORAGE,HYDROGEN↗
DOE OSTI2025

Uncertainty quantification of a physics-informed model based on sparse identification of a Thermal Energy Distribution System

Integrated energy systems (IES)s are crucial for enhancing the economy and efficiency of power generation sources (e.g., nuclear energy) necessary to unleash American energy dominance. These systems can be integrated with thermal energy storage (TES) and intermittent renewable energies to optimize overall energy use, peak-load regulation, and demand-side responses. However, the stabilization of energy generation, transport, and utilization introduces operational complexities that exceed the challenges of managing each sub-component individually. Currently, though IESs rely on human operators for efficiency and stability, reducing human error risk and enhancing performance through automation is highly desirable. Recent advances at Idaho National Laboratory have demonstrated successful control of the Thermal Energy Distributed System (TEDS). However, the automatic control system depends on a deterministic Sparse Identification of Nonlinear Dynamics with Control (SINDyC) model, which are trained based on simulation data from physics-based simulations. Because of uncertainties in physics-based simulation, SINDyC model results in large discrepancies against experimental data and cannot be reliably used in automatic control. In this paper, we present an innovative approach to address these discrepancies by quantifying uncertainties and developing a more robust model. We first generated trajectories by using first-principles physics codes to encapsulate the experiment. Next, we trained thousands of models by randomly sampling these trajectories. We then collapsed all those models into one probabilistic SINDyC by fitting a multivariate Gaussian distribution onto the resulting coefficient’s distribution. Despite its simplicity, our approach successfully produced 95% confidence intervals that captured the experimental trajectories. It even did so with a higher probability and better U-pooling score across six of the seven relevant quantities of interest (QoIs), as compared to other classical approaches. In conclusion, ongoing research is focusing on generating new experimental trajectories to validate this approach, and on employing Bayesian calibration to refine parametric uncertainties and guide future model development efforts.

22 - GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗
DOE OSTI2026

Verification and Validation of Performance with Dissemination of Best Practices in District Energy and CHP for Enhanced Resiliency, Energy Efficiency, and Cybersecurity

This report contains the results of the International District Energy Association’s work to analyze, validate, and verify performance data of existing district energy systems and identify industy best practices for the purpose of improving system reliability, resiliency, and efficiency, and to accellerate decarbonization. In addition to a technical evaluation of the surveyed systems and identification of a series of technical performance metrics, the report illustrates the accompanying operations and financial best practices employed by surveyed systems to fully serve their customer base. Additionally, the third chapter of the report describes the current landscape of cybersecurity threats and counteracting measures, and recommends a series of steps for effectively guarding highly networked district energy systems against cybersecurity attacks.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Eucalyptus – An Analysis Suite for Fault Trees with Uncertainty Quantification

Eucalyptus is a novel code developed at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory to incorporate uncertainty quantification into Fault Tree Analysis (FTA). This tool addresses the challenge of imperfect knowledge in “grey-box” systems by allowing analysts to incorporate and propagate uncertainty from component-level assessments to system-level effects. Eucalyptus facilitates a consistent evaluation of the impact of subject matter expert judgment and knowledge gaps on overall system response by Monte Carlo generation of possible system fault trees, sampling probabilities of the existence of subsystems and components. Here, the code supports the specification of fault trees through text and allows export to various formats, including auto-generated images, easing analysis and reducing errors. It has undergone extensive verification testing, demonstrating its reliability and readiness for deployment, and leverages on-node parallelism for rapid analysis. Example analyses are shown that include the identification of system failure paths and quantification of the value of further information about system components.

Fault Tree Analysis↗
DOE OSTI2024

Improving Grid Awareness by Empowering Utilities with Machine Learning and Artificial Intelligence

Gap filling time series data typically depends on linear interpolation. More recently gap filling advancements include machine learning techniques. However, none leverage advanced learning approach that uses cohort training or a neighborhood informed approach, which is described in this report. The report also describes a physics informed approach using Reduced Order Models (ROM). There are several methods to capture the nature of the detailed system in aggregated models, however there is a trade-off for these methods developed for multiple applications. These methods have specific requirements and applications that includes consideration of dynamics or covering a larger range of operating conditions, etc. The various methods of aggregation are: 1) Thevenin equivalents for downstream networks 2) Equivalent feeder representation to capture downstream network losses accurately 3) Structured reduced order models for dynamics 4) System identification-based ROM (abstract dynamical model) Methods described in items 1 and 2 above are ideal for steady-state models and useful for this application. Of these two methods, based on the data availability, the targeted application, the reduced order model that is proposed to be developed is the equivalent feeder model representation. This includes a structure of the reduced order model whose parameters can be determined by the system load and losses with the meter measurements.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Identification and control of the exhaust using gas perturbations in the DIII-D tokamak

This paper presents perturbative experiments that enable the validation and development of control-oriented models for exhaust control. We identify the response of the divertor plasma and scrape-off layer in the DIII-D tokamak to deuterium and nitrogen multi-sine perturbations, in favorable and unfavorable field directions for H-mode access. We obtained good signal-to-noise ratios in the 1–10 Hz frequency range by measuring Balmer-alpha, Lyman-alpha, and N 4+ line emission, radiated power, and neutral pressure. We find a similar phase response across gas species and magnetic field directions, while the gain response is nonlinear. With these experiments, we identify a control-oriented model to design a divertor radiated power controller to track specified reference waveforms in conjunction with resonant magnetic perturbations. Although the physics basis for compatibility between detachment and resonant magnetic perturbation edge-localized mode suppression remains to be demonstrated, the present results provide a robust controller that represents a promising step toward future joint control strategies.

detachment control↗
DOE OSTI2024

Witnessing Entanglement and Quantum Correlations in Condensed Matter: A Review

The detection and certification of entanglement and quantum correlations in materials is of fundamental and far-reaching importance, and has seen significant recent progress. It impacts both the understanding of the basic science of quantum many-body phenomena as well as the identification of systems suitable for novel technologies. Frameworks suitable to condensed matter that connect measurements to entanglement and coherence have been developed in the context of quantum information theory. These take the form of entanglement witnesses and quantum correlation measures. Here, the underlying theory of these quantities, their relation to condensed matter experimental techniques, and their application to real materials are comprehensively reviewed. In addition, their usage in, e.g., protocols, the relative advantages and disadvantages of witnesses and measures, and future prospects in, e.g., correlated electrons, entanglement dynamics, and entangled spectroscopic probes, are presented. Consideration is given to the interdisciplinary nature of this emerging research and substantial ongoing progress by providing an accessible and practical treatment from fundamentals to application. Particular emphasis is placed on quantities accessible to collective measurements, including by susceptibility and spectroscopic techniques. This includes the magnetic susceptibility witness, one-tangle, concurrence and two-tangle, two-site quantum discord, and quantum coherence measures such as the quantum Fisher information.

75 CONDENSED MATTER PHYSICS, SUPERCONDUCTIVITY AND↗
DOE OSTI2025

Harnessing on-machine metrology data for prints with a surrogate model for laser powder directed energy deposition

In this study, we leverage the massive amount of multi-modal on-machine metrology data generated from Laser Powder Directed Energy Deposition (LP-DED) to construct a comprehensive surrogate model of the 3D printing process. By employing Dynamic Mode Decomposition with Control (DMDc), a data-driven technique, we capture the complex physics inherent in this extensive dataset. This physics-based surrogate model emphasizes thermodynamically significant quantities, enabling us to accurately predict key process outcomes. The model ingests 21 process parameters, including laser power, scan rate, and position, while providing outputs such as melt pool temperature, melt pool size, and other essential observables. Furthermore, it incorporates uncertainty quantification to provide bounds on these predictions, enhancing reliability and confidence in the results. We then deploy the surrogate model on a new, unseen part and monitor the printing process as validation of the method. Our experimental results demonstrate that the predictions align with actual measurements with high accuracy, confirming the effectiveness of our approach. Furthermore, this methodology not only facilitates real-time predictions but also operates at process-relevant speeds, establishing a basis for implementing feedback control in LP-DED.

Digital twins↗
DOE OSTI2024

Weighted Composition Operators for Learning Nonlinear Dynamics

Operator theoretic methods in dynamical system have been dominated by the use of Koopman operators and their continuous time counterparts, such as Koopman Generators and Liouville Operators. The advantage gained from their use primarily stems from the ability to extract subspaces and eigenfunctions within a space of observables that are invariant with respect to the Koopman operator over that space. When this occurs, a dynamic mode decomposition of the systems state provides a linear model for the dynamical system. Not all Koopman operators have eigenfunctions that may be exploited in this manner. However, the framework can still be leveraged for approximations using other operators. In this setting, we present a different operator for the study of dynamical systems, the weighted composition operator. These operators are compact for a wide range of dynamics and spaces, and through their interactions with occupation kernels and vector valued kernels, they admit an estimation of the underlying dynamics. Here, this manuscript presents a new algorithm for the data driven study of dynamical systems from data, and also provides two numerical experiments where convergence is achieved as a proof of concept.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2025

Double-null power-sharing dynamics in MAST-U

Maintaining an effective double-null (DN) configuration is expected to be challenging in reactor-scale tokamak devices. As divertor power-sharing is closely linked to the magnetic topology, even minor variations can lead to fast power-sharing fluctuations which exacerbate the already daunting exhaust challenge. While the static aspects of DN power-sharing have been extensively studied across various devices, this paper presents the first detailed investigation of its dynamic behaviour. We employ dedicated H-mode experiments in MAST-U, in Super-X divertor configuration, featuring perturbation frequencies up to 200 Hz. Our results clearly show no significant dynamic damping of the power-sharing within this frequency range: the divertor responds equally to both fast and slow perturbations. Moreover, the dynamic response also aligns with quasi-static results from slow ramps, implying that static power-sharing models remain valid even for fast fluctuations. Occasionally, some deviations from the otherwise mainly linear behaviour are observed, alongside notable scatter and asymmetries between upwards and downwards trajectories. These observations are likely linked to changes in core conditions, though the underlying mechanisms remain unclear and require further study.

divertor↗
DOE OSTI2026

Systematic multi-machine analysis of the exhaust time-dependent behavior in tokamaks

The understanding of the time-scales and associated transient behavior of fusion exhaust plasmas plays a crucial role in its dynamic modeling and its control. This work presents an overview of experimental investigations of the exhaust dynamics in TCV, MAST-U, ASDEX-Upgrade, WEST, DIII-D, and JET. From the presented experiments, a clear picture arises on properties of the exhaust dynamics across machines. Particularly, we observe that the scrape-off layer equilibrates on fast time-scales ($>$ 70 Hz) and that exhaust dynamics measured in response to gas valve modulations mostly behave smoothly and linearly, with similarities across devices, across scenarios (H-mode, L-mode), injected species, and injection locations. The measurements presented have formed the basis for systematic exhaust control on the considered devices. We now present this database for the essential validation of dynamic exhaust models for reactor design and control.

control↗
DOE OSTI2025

Fluorescence time profile measurement of LAB based liquid scintillator in response to medium relativistic ion particles

Liquid scintillator is widely used in particle physics experiments due to its high light yield, good timing resolution, scalability and low cost. Certain liquid scintillators exhibit pulse shape discrimination capabilities because of difference in fluorescence timing properties induced by different particles. Its fluoresence timing properties have been measured mostly for radioactive decay sources at MeV energies. Here, we present a novel measurement of fluorescence time properties of Linear Alkyl Benzene (LAB) based liquid scintillator in response to high-energy ions of hydrogen (Z = 1), helium (Z = 2) and krypton at around 200–300 MeV/u for the first time. We compared the results to those from radioactive sources and observed a distinct dE / dX dependence, regardless of the particle type. These findings are essential for physics searches such as the diffuse supernova neutrino background in large liquid scintillator detectors like JUNO, and are also critical towards understanding the underlying scintillation timing mechanism.

Ion identification systems↗
DOE OSTI2025

Multi-technique characterization of iron reduction by an Antarctic Shewanella : an analog system for putative Martian biosignature identification

ABSTRACT Microbes from terrestrial extreme environments enable testing of biosignature production in conditions relevant to astrobiological targets. Mars, which was likely more conducive to life during early warmer and wetter epochs, has inspired missions that search for signs of early life in the surficial rock record, including mineral or organic biosignatures. Microbial iron reduction is a common and ancient metabolism that may have also operated on other rocky celestial bodies. To investigate biosignature production during iron reduction, aShewanellasp. (strain BF02_Schw) isolated from a subglacial discharge known as Blood Falls, Antarctica, was incubated with the electron acceptor ferrihydrite (Fh). Biosignatures associated with Fh reduction were identified using a suite of techniques currently utilized or proposed for Mars missions, including X-ray diffraction and infrared, Mössbauer, and Raman spectroscopy. The biotic origin of features was validated by transcriptional changes observed between treatments with and without Fh and comparison to killed controls. In live treatments, Fh was reduced to magnetite and goethite, both detected in Martian lacustrine basins. Several soluble and volatile metabolites were also detected, including riboflavin and dimethyl sulfide (DMS), which could be astrobiological indicators of active microbial processes. While none of the identified biosignatures individually would serve as definitive proof of life (past or present), detecting concomitant features associated with known terrestrial biotic processes would provide compelling rationale for more targeted life detection missions. Terrestrial extremophiles can support the exploration of astrobiologically relevant microbial processes, validation of life detection instrumentation, and potentially the discovery of new biomarkers. IMPORTANCE Culture-based experiments with terrestrial extremophiles can elucidate biosignatures that may be analogous to those produced under extraterrestrial conditions, and thus inform sampling and technology strategies for future missions. Here, we demonstrate the production of several biosignatures under iron-reducing conditions byShewanellasp. BF02_Schw, originally isolated from an Antarctic analog feature. These biosignatures could be detectable using flight-ready instrumentation. Growth experiments with terrestrial extremophiles can identify biosignatures measurable by current methodologies and inform the development and optimization of techniques for detecting extant or extinct life on other worlds.

Biotechnology & Applied Microbiology↗
DOE OSTI2025

Design, Optimization, and Control of a 100 kW Electric Traction Motor Meeting or Exceeding DOE 2025 Targets

The overall objective of the electric motor portion of the Electric Drives Technology consortium is to research, develop, and test electric motors for use in electric vehicle applications capable of a peak power greater than 100 kW, power density greater than or equal to 50 kW/l, and a cost less than 3.3 $/kW. To meet the electric traction motor power density and cost targets a number of approaches were pursued simultaneously throughout the course of this project which address all of the major volumetric power density variables. The specific research thrusts at the Illinois Institute of Technology (IIT) are the following: multiphysics design for increased power density through maximum utilization of active materials, synthesis of electric machine windings and PM flux barriers with controlled space harmonics, high slot fill windings for increased current loadings or efficiency, aggressive cooling strategies, and design studies and prototype construction of candidate electric machines.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗