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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3

Dynamical Zodiacal Cloud Models Constrained by High Resolution Spectroscopy of the Zodiacal Light

We have developed a set of self-consistent dynamical models of the Zodiacal cloud, following the orbital evolution of dust particles. Three populations were considered, originating from the Kuiper belt, asteroids and comets. Using the models developed, we investigated how the solar spectrum is changed by scattering by the zodiacal cloud grains and compared the obtained spectra with the observations.

Ipatov, S. I.↗

Vortex cloud model for body vortex shedding and tracking

The discrete vortex cloud approach models a missile airframe's vortex wake by means that are capable of treating a variety of configurations over a range of flow conditions. Attention is given to the sheets of vorticity formed on the lee side of a missile at moderate angles-of-attack. While three-dimensional attached flow models are used to represent the missile body, two-dimensional, incompressible, separated flow models are used to represent the separated vortex wake. The predicted pressure distribution of the body under the influence of the freestream and the separation vortex wake are used to calculate aerodynamic loads on the body. The separation vortex wake is represented by clouds of discrete vortices in cross flow planes normal to the body axis.

Mendenhall, Michael R.↗

Observational constraints on an embedded cloud model for the soft X-ray diffuse background

The reason for the observed anticorrelation between soft X-ray diffuse background (SXRB) and neutral hydrogen column densities are considered. Using the B and C band data from an all-sky survey of the SXRB, as well as data in the Be band, it is shown that the Jakobsen and Kahn (1986) embedded cloud model, in which several statistical properties of the SXRB in the B and C bands were used to constrain their model parameters, cannot fit the observed band ratios, except in the limit in which virtually all of the emission originates in the near side of the absorbing gas. It was also shown that model parameters corresponding to appreciably mixed emission and absorption, as proposed by Bunner et al. (1969) and Davidsen et al. (1972), do not fit the data. Model parameters corresponding to the absorption models of Bowyer et al. (1968), Bunner et al. (1969), Davidsen et al. (1972), and Yentis et al. (1972), cannot fit the data unless the absorbing material is more strongly clumped than is permitted by 21-cm observations.

Burrows, D. N.↗

Evaluating Climate Models’ Cloud Feedbacks Against Expert Judgment

Abstract The persistent and growing spread in effective climate sensitivity (ECS) across global climate models necessitates rigorous evaluation of their cloud feedbacks. Here we evaluate several cloud feedback components simulated in 19 climate models against benchmark values determined via an expert synthesis of observational, theoretical, and high‐resolution modeling studies. We find that models with smallest feedback errors relative to these benchmark values generally have moderate total cloud feedbacks (0.4–0.6 W m −2 K −1 ) and ECS (3–4 K). Those with largest errors generally have total cloud feedback and ECS values that are too large or too small. Models tend to achieve large positive total cloud feedbacks by having several cloud feedback components that are systematically biased high rather than by having a single anomalously large component, and vice versa. In general, better simulation of mean‐state cloud properties leads to stronger but not necessarily better cloud feedbacks. The Python code base provided herein could be applied to developmental versions of models to assess cloud feedbacks and cloud errors and place them in the context of other models and of expert judgment in real‐time during model development.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

The effect of convective life cycle stage on microwave brightness temperature/rainrate relations as determined from 3-D cloud model results

The relationship between the rain rate and the brightness temperature (Tb) was investigated using a cloud model/microwave radiative transfer model combination to obtain the rain-rate/Tb relations for four different frequencies: 10, 19, 37, and 86 GHz. The results at 19, 37, and 86 GHz were found to be significantly affected by ice in the modeled convective system, while the results at 10 GHz showed very little effect. Nonprecipitating cloud water was found to affect Tb in two ways. First, at low rain rates, the presence of significant cloud water produced higher Tb values than in cases with little cloud water. The second effects occurs at 19, 37, and 86 GHz at higher rainrates associated with significant ice formation; the scattering by ice lowered the Tb.

Adler, Robert F.↗

Comparison of Histograms for Use in Cloud Observation and Modeling

Cloud observation and cloud modeling data can be presented in histograms for each characteristic to be measured. Combining information from single-cloud histograms yields a summary histogram. Summary histograms can be compared to each other to reach conclusions about the behavior of an ensemble of clouds in different places at different times or about the accuracy of a particular cloud model. As in any scientific comparison, it is necessary to decide whether any apparent differences are statistically significant. The usual methods of deciding statistical significance when comparing histograms do not apply in this case because they assume independent data. Thus, a new method is necessary. The proposed method uses the Euclidean distance metric and bootstrapping to calculate the significance level.

Green, Lisa↗

A Fragment-Cloud Model for Breakup of Asteroids with Varied Internal Structures

As an asteroid descends toward Earth, it deposits energy in the atmosphere through aerodynamic drag and ablation. Asteroid impact risk assessments rely on energy deposition estimates to predict blast overpressures and ground damage that may result from an airburst, such as the one that occurred over Chelyabinsk, Russia in 2013. The rates and altitudes at which energy is deposited along the entry trajectory depend upon how the bolide fragments, which in turn depends upon its internal structure and composition. In this work, we have developed an analytic asteroid fragmentation model to assess the atmospheric energy deposition of asteroids with a range of structures and compositions. The modeling approach combines successive fragmentation of larger independent pieces with aggregate debris clouds released with each fragmentation event. The model can vary the number and masses of fragments produced, the amount of mass released as debris clouds, the size-strength scaling used to increase the robustness of smaller fragments, and other parameters. The initial asteroid body can be seeded with a distribution of independent fragment sizes amid a remaining debris mass to represent loose rubble pile conglomerations, can be given an outer regolith later, or can be defined as a coherent or fractured monolith. This approach enables the model to represent a range of breakup behaviors and reproduce detailed energy deposition features such as multiple flares due to successive burst events, high-altitude regolith blow-off, or initial disruption of rubble piles followed by more energetic breakup of the constituent boulders. These capabilities provide a means to investigate sensitivities of ground damage to potential variations in asteroid structure.

Asteroid↗

Venus cloud models

Remote observations of Venus are reviewed. The strongest inferences of cloud properties can be drawn from polarization data which provide information about cloud particles near 68 km. Particle properties are not as well determined at higher and lower levels. If the clouds are generated photochemically from reduced sulfur species, the supply of O2 may be an important constraint on cloud production. Vapor-pressure data reviewed, and it is shown that deep clouds cannot be H2SO4-H2O aerosols unless the mixing ratios of both H2SO4 and H2O approach 0.001 below 50 km.

Wofsy, S. C.↗

Testing the pressure-confined Ly alpha cloud model

The Ly-alpha absorption line forest, seen in quasar spectra, is generally interpreted as being due to cosmologically distributed 'clouds' of primordial gas. Analyses of the observations reveal that the number distribution can be described by power laws: dN/dz is proportional to (1 + z)(sup gamma) and dN/dN(sub HI) is proportional to N(sub HI)(sup -beyda), where N(sub HI) is the HI column density. The typical values for power law indices range between 2 is approximately less than gamma is approximately less than 2.6 and 1.7 is approximately less than gamma is approximately less than 1.9. One model postulates that the Ly-alpha clouds are optically thin entities, photoionized by the background UV flux, J(sub nu) is proportional to (1 + z)(sup j), and confined by an adiabatically evolving intercloud medium (ICM): P(z) is proportional to (1 + z)(sup 5). Analytic studies of this model suggest that the ensuing Ly-alpha line statistics can account for the observations (in particular, the dN/dz and the dN/dN(sub HI) distributions) if the cloud mass spectrum is a power law dN/dN is proportional to M(sup -delta), delta is approximately 1.9, and j is approximately 4. One of the simplifying assumptions incorporated into these studies is the existence of a large mass range for the clouds at all epochs, the validity of which is questionable. The pressure-confined model is investigated using a 1-D spherically symmetric hydrodynamical code to simulate cloud evolution over the epoch 1.8 less than z less than 6. This enables us to relax many of the assumptions incorporated in the analytic studies.

Babul, Arif↗

Confronting the Challenge of Modeling Cloud and Precipitation Microphysics

In the atmosphere, microphysics refers to the microscale processes that affect cloud and precipitation particles and is a key linkage among the various components of Earth’s atmospheric water and energy cycles. The representation of microphysical processes in models continues to pose a major challenge leading to uncertainty in numerical weather forecasts and climate simulations. In this paper, the problem of treating microphysics in models is divided into two parts: i) how to represent the population of cloud and precipitation particles, given the impossibility of simulating all particles individually within a cloud, and ii) uncertainties in the microphysical process rates owing to fundamental gaps in knowledge of cloud physics. The recently-developed Lagrangian particle-based method is advocated as a way to address several conceptual and practical challenges of representing particle populations using traditional bulk and bin microphysics parameterization schemes. For addressing critical gaps in cloud physics knowledge, sustained investment for observational advances from laboratory experiments, new probe development, and next-generation instruments in space is needed. Greater emphasis on laboratory work, which has apparently declined over the past several decades relative to other areas of cloud physics research, is argued to be an essential ingredient for improving process-level understanding. More systematic use of natural cloud and precipitation observations to constrain microphysics schemes is also advocated. Because it is generally difficult to quantify individual microphysical process rates from these observations directly, this presents an inverse problem that can be viewed from the standpoint of Bayesian statistics. Following this idea, a probabilistic framework is proposed that combines elements from statistical and physical modeling. Besides providing rigorous constraint of schemes, there is an added benefit of quantifying uncertainty systematically. Finally, a broader hierarchical approach is proposed to accelerate improvements in microphysics schemes, leveraging the advances described in this paper related to process modeling (using Lagrangian particle-based schemes), laboratory experimentation, cloud and precipitation observations, and statistical methods.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A parameterization of radiation heating at the surface in a numerical cloud model

The development of the parameterized radiation heat flux incorporated in a 2D time-dependent model that was tested for its predictive capabilities during the COHMEX project in 1986 is described, together with two experiments for using the model in the predictive mode. Using the 12 Z sounding during the North Dakota Thunderstorm Project in 1989, it was found that the COHMEX model was quite successful in simulating the convection and predicting the cloud characteristics.

Kopp, Fred J.↗

A middle and upper tropospheric cloud model

The interplay of the various physical processes involved in the formation, maintenance, and decay of middle and upper tropospheric stratiform clouds is discussed. Ice phase fair weather cloud forms are considered. Simulations of cirriform clouds which attempt to incorporate the physical processes in an interactive manner were performed. A two dimensional time dependent Eulerian numerical model, which incorporates all of the important physical processes in a simplified way, is employed to investigate the role of these processes in the evolution of a cloud in an isolated atmospheric layer. Physical parameters considered are the eddy viscosity and the thermal, water vapor, and ice water eddy diffusivities.

Source record↗

A Quantitative Investigation of Entrainment and Detrainment in Numerically Simulated Convective Clouds: Model Development - Pt. 1

A method is developed which uses numerical tracers to make accurate diagnoses of entraimnent and detrainment rates and of the properties of the entrained and detrained air in numerically simulated clouds. The numerical advection scheme is modified to make it nondispersive, as required by the use of the tracers. Tests of the new method are made, and an appropriate definition of clouds is selected. Distributions of mixing fractions in the model consistently show maximums at the end points, for nearly undilute environmental air or nearly undilute cloud air, with a uniform distribution between. The cumulonimbus clouds simulated here entrain air that had been substantially changed by the clouds, and detrained air that is not necessarily representative of the cloud air at the same level.

Cohen, Charles↗

Toward Better Understanding of Microphysical Processes and Resulting Precipitation Physics: A Merger Of Observations and Cloud Models (Final Report)

A large database of global disdrometer observations and a diverse set of simulations from the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS) were compared using principal component analysis (PCA) in order to better understand warm and ice-based precipitation processes. The analysis demonstrated that six distinct precipitation groups (PGs) with common characteristics were revealed in both the observations and model simulations. These PGs were defined by similar co-variability of rain parameters. However, the model showed large concentrations of drops with a given size compared to the observations. Detailed investigations determined the parameterization of drop breakup was forcing the drops to an equilibrium size with a stronger constraint than was indicated by the observations. A series of sensitivity studies permutating the rain shape parameter in the RAMS 2-moment bulk scheme demonstrated how the assumed shape of the rain distribution influences the microphysics as well as precipitation characteristics. Results were compared to the same simulations performed with a bin microphysics scheme where the rain shape parameter is freely evolving. In the bin scheme, a wide range of shape parameters were found, with horizontal and vertical variability, in addition to being a function of storm lifetime. The results of this study highlight the limitations of a fixed assumed rain distribution in 2-moment microphysics schemes. Model simulations were used to probe the microphysical origins of the six PGs. Rain budgets from a supercell case showed that several of the groups hypothesized to be associated with strong ice microphysical processes had significant contributions from melting hail, but the complexity of ice and warm-rain processes in the supercell precluded definitive determination of microphysical origins for many of the PGs. A case study from the Mid-latitude Continental Convection and Clouds Experiment (MC3E) compared the model PGs to disdrometer observations, and demonstrated the spatial and temporal variability of the PGs which is not possible from disdrometer point measurements alone. The analyses performed during this project demonstrated how statistical analysis can provide a robust method for comparing model simulations and observations, which ultimately resulted identification of limitations in some current microphysics parameterizations as well as insights into precipitation variability which ultimately benefits both observations and modeling efforts.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

A Data Library of Liquid Clouds Modelled With a Large Eddy Simulation Framework

We describe a library of atmospheric large eddy simulations (LES) of liquid-phase boundary layer clouds constructed to enable aerosol–cloud–turbulence interaction studies, support parameterization evaluation and development, and provide training data for machine learning applications. The simulations use a modern LES framework designed for high numerical accuracy, coupled to a detailed spectral bin microphysical scheme. Case studies are configured to represent observed conditions in four key global cloud regions—the Northeastern Atlantic, Northeastern Pacific, Continental United States and Southern Ocean—following a semi-idealised approach. The library also includes aerosol concentration halving and doubling experiments to expose the sensitivities of the case studies to aerosol perturbations. Simulation results are compared to observations on a case-by-case basis, then the library's coverage is evaluated in terms of spreads in meteorological factors and atmospheric boundary layer attributes.

aerosol↗

Vortex cloud model for body vortex shedding and tracking

The present engineering prediction method addresses the aerodynamic characteristics and associated flowfields of circular and noncircular bodies at large incidence angles and arbitrary roll angles. 3D attached-flow models are used to represent the body, and 2D, incompressible, separated flow models are used to represent the separated vortex wake. The predicted pressure distribution of the body, under the influence of both the freestream and the separation vortex wake, is used to calculate aerodynamic loads. The separation vortex wake is represented by clouds of discrete vortices in crossflow planes normal to the body axis.

Mendenhall, Michael R.↗