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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

‘Flux+Mutability’: a conditional generative approach to one-class classification and anomaly detection

Abstract Anomaly Detection is becoming increasingly popular within the experimental physics community. At experiments such as the Large Hadron Collider, anomaly detection is growing in interest for finding new physics beyond the Standard Model. This paper details the implementation of a novel Machine Learning architecture, called Flux+Mutability, which combines cutting-edge conditional generative models with clustering algorithms. In the ‘flux’ stage we learn the distribution of a reference class. The ‘mutability’ stage at inference addresses if data significantly deviates from the reference class. We demonstrate the validity of our approach and its connection to multiple problems spanning from one-class classification to anomaly detection. In particular, we apply our method to the isolation of neutral showers in an electromagnetic calorimeter and show its performance in detecting anomalous dijets events from standard QCD background. This approach limits assumptions on the reference sample and remains agnostic to the complementary class of objects of a given problem. We describe the possibility of dynamically generating a reference population and defining selection criteria via quantile cuts. Remarkably this flexible architecture can be deployed for a wide range of problems, and applications like multi-class classification or data quality control are left for further exploration.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2015

An improved hindcast approach for evaluation and diagnosis of physical processes in global climate models

Here, we present an improved procedure of generating initial conditions (ICs) for climate model hindcast experiments with specified sea surface temperature and sea ice. The motivation is to minimize errors in the ICs and lead to a better evaluation of atmospheric parameterizations' performance in the hindcast mode. We apply state variables (horizontal velocities, temperature and specific humidity) from the operational analysis/reanalysis for the atmospheric initial states. Without a data assimilation system, we apply a two-step process to obtain other necessary variables to initialize both the atmospheric (e.g., aerosols and clouds) and land models (e.g., soil moisture). First, we nudge only the model horizontal velocities towards operational analysis/reanalysis values, given a 6-hour relaxation time scale, to obtain all necessary variables. Compared to the original strategy in which horizontal velocities, temperature and specific humidity are nudged, the revised approach produces a better representation of initial aerosols and cloud fields which are more consistent and closer to observations and model's preferred climatology. Second, we obtain land ICs from an offline land model simulation forced with observed precipitation, winds, and surface fluxes. This approach produces more realistic soil moisture in the land ICs. With this refined procedure, the simulated precipitation, clouds, radiation, and surface air temperature over land are improved in the Day 2 mean hindcasts. Following this procedure, we propose a “Core” integration suite which provides an easily repeatable test allowing model developers to rapidly assess the impacts of various parameterization changes on the fidelity of modelled cloud-associated processes relative to observations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Latent diffusion can map beam loss to two-dimensional phase-space projections

Beam loss monitors (BLMs) and beam current monitors (BCMs) are ubiquitous at particle accelerators around the world. These simple devices provide noninvasive high-level beam measurements but give no insight into the detailed 6D (𝑥,𝑦,𝑧,𝑝 𝑥 ,𝑝 𝑦 ,𝑝 𝑧 ) beam phase-space distributions or dynamics. We show that generative conditional latent diffusion models can learn intricate patterns to solve the extreme inverse problem of mapping waveforms of tens of BLMs or BCMs along an accelerator to detailed 2D projections of a charged particle beam’s 6D phase-space density. This transformational method can be used at any particle accelerator to transform simple noninvasive devices into detailed beam phase-space diagnostics. We demonstrate this concept via multiparticle simulations of the high-intensity beam in the kilometer-long Los Alamos Neutron Science Center linear proton accelerator.

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Advanced Laboratory and Field Arrays: Accelerate the development of next-generation marine energy conversion systems (Task 3)

This task successfully improved the representation of extreme conditions in wave resource characterization. The previous state of the art to characterize extreme conditions was a purely statistical representation of buoy data; Generalized Extreme Value (GEV) techniques are used to extrapolate joint histograms of significant wave height Hs and energy period T e for a given return period. The task confirmed that H s and T e alone are a poor representation of the actual hazards in extreme events, during which WECs many experience significant impacts from wave groups and breaking waves (i.e., it is not simply the largest wave that may produce the worst condition for a WEC). This task improved both prediction of extreme conditions with “third generation” spectral models, such as WAVEWATCHIII and WAM, and observational quantification of the wave breaking impacts during extreme conditions.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2018

The Role of Input Assumptions and Model Structures in Projections of Variable Renewable Energy: A Multi-Model Perspective of the U.S. Electricity System

Recent wind and solar deployment in the United States has grown at unprecedented rates, but the extent to which this growth will continue is a key question. Energy-economic planning models are often used to develop future projections of these technologies, and although it is well-understood that model outcomes are sensitive to assumptions about technology developments and market conditions, it is less clear how underlying model structures might impact outcomes. For wind and solar technologies, model structures might be an even larger driver due to the complexity required to represent their variability, uncertainty, and location-dependence. Here, we apply three state-of-the-art electric sector planning models to evaluate variable renewable generation under different conditions with both harmonized and native input assumptions to isolate the impact that model structures might have on deployment outcomes. We find growth in wind and solar deployment in all models under a business-as-usual scenario (without new policies), where the median value for variable renewable energy generation share is found to be 27% by 2050 - but with a wide range of estimates (18-43%), types of renewable technologies deployed, and regional distributions across models. With harmonized assumptions about technology costs and market conditions the range narrows slightly, but a large range in penetration outcomes remains (24-41% by 2050) suggesting that model representations play significant roles in projections of future wind and solar deployment. We also assess the implications of achieving 55% wind and solar penetration by 2050 - to assess potential challenges at higher penetration levels - and the magnitude of variable generation under a carbon-constrained future. Finally, we identify research needs to better assess the future deployment of variable renewable energy.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Transient Modeling and Simulation of a Generic Stable Salt Reactor

A SAM system-level model of a generic stable salt reactor has been developed to investigate thermal-hydraulic behavior and safety performance under steady and transient conditions. The model integrates information generated from a reactor physics analysis using PROTEUS and PERSENT, and a computation fluid dynamics (CFD) analysis using STAR-CCM+. A loose, iterative coupling scheme between PROTEUS and SAM is implemented to calculate the equilibrium power and temperature distributions in the steady-state critical core condition. The converged steady-state model is then used in PERSENT to calculate the four reactivity feedback temperature coefficients (Doppler, fuel density, coolant density, and core radial expansion) and kinetic parameters that are needed in SAM to model the temperature feedback effects in transient simulations. Within the fully enclosed liquid fuel pins, natural convection is the dominant heat transfer mechanism. The STAR-CCM+ model of the fuel pin considers conjugate heat transfer from the liquid fuel salt to the pin cladding and external reactor coolant. The CFD results of the axial and radial temperature profiles are used to empirically determine an effective fuel salt thermal conductivity in the SAM fuel pin model so that the temperatures predicted by the SAM model match as closely as possible the CFD results. In the central region of the fuel pin, the effective thermal conductivity is as high as similar to 60 times the physical fuel salt thermal conductivity. The whole-plant SAM model is then used to simulate an unprotected station blackout transient. The results of this simulation showed that the large negative fuel axial expansion reactivity feedback reduces fission power to similar to 2.4% nominal power. The core is cooled by natural circulation, which removes heat in the core to the emergency heat removal system, and ultimately, to the ambient. However, peak fuel salt and cladding temperatures can potentially reach as high as 1500 K, albeit briefly, if the shutdown mechanism fails to operate.

stable salt reactor; transient simulations; system↗
DOE OSTI2024

Accelerating Multiphase Simulations With Denoising Diffusion Model Driven Initializations

This study introduces a hybrid fluid simulation approach that integrates generative diffusion models with physics‐based simulations, aiming at reducing the computational costs of flow simulations while still honoring all the physical properties of interest. Pore‐scale simulations enhance our understanding of applications such as assessing hydrogen and storage efficiency in underground reservoirs. Nevertheless, they are computationally expensive and the presence of non‐unique solutions can require multiple simulations within a single geometry. To overcome the computational cost hurdle, we propose a method that couples generative diffusion models and physics‐based simulations. While training the data‐driven model, we simultaneously generate initial conditions and perform physics‐based simulations using these. This integrated approach enables us to receive real‐time feedback on a single compute node equipped with both CPUs and GPUs. By efficiently managing these processes within a single compute node, we can continuously monitor performance and halt training once the model meets the specified criteria. To test our model, we generate realizations in a real Berea sandstone fracture which shows that our technique is up to 4.4 times faster than commonly used flow simulation initializations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2017

A probabilistic drought forecasting framework: A combined dynamical and statistical approach

In order to improve drought forecasting skill, this study develops a probabilistic drought forecasting framework comprised of dynamical and statistical modeling components. The novelty of this study is to seek the use of data assimilation to quantify initial condition uncertainty with the Monte Carlo ensemble members, rather than relying entirely on the hydrologic model or land surface model to generate a single deterministic initial condition, as currently implemented in the operational drought forecasting systems. Next, the initial condition uncertainty is quantified through data assimilation and coupled with a newly developed probabilistic drought forecasting model using a copula function. The initial condition at each forecast start date are sampled from the data assimilation ensembles for forecast initialization. Finally, seasonal drought forecasting products are generated with the updated initial conditions. This study introduces the theory behind the proposed drought forecasting system, with an application in Columbia River Basin, Pacific Northwest, United States. Results from both synthetic and real case studies suggest that the proposed drought forecasting system significantly improves the seasonal drought forecasting skills and can facilitate the state drought preparation and declaration, at least three months before the official state drought declaration.

data assimilation↗
DOE OSTI2016

Higher harmonic flow coefficients of identified hadrons in Pb-Pb collisions at $\sqrt{s_{\mathrm{NN}}}=2.76 $ TeV

The elliptic, triangular, quadrangular and pentagonal anisotropic flow coefficients for π ± , K ± and p + $\bar{p}$ in Pb-Pb collisions at √s NN =2.76 TeV were measured with the ALICE detector at the Large Hadron Collider. The results were obtained with the Scalar Product method, correlating the identified hadrons with reference particles from a different pseudorapidity region. Effects not related to the common event symmetry planes (non-flow) were estimated using correlations in pp collisions and were subtracted from the measurement. The obtained flow coefficients exhibit a clear mass ordering for transverse momentum (p T ) values below ≈ 3 GeV/c. In the intermediate p T region (3 < p T < 6 GeV/c), particles group at an approximate level according to the number of constituent quarks, suggesting that coalescence might be the relevant particle production mechanism in this region. The results for p T < 3 GeV/c are described fairly well by a hydrodynamical model (iEBE-VISHNU) that uses initial conditions generated by A Multi-Phase Transport model (AMPT) and describes the expansion of the fireball using a value of 0.08 for the ratio of shear viscosity to entropy density (η/s), coupled to a hadronic cascade model (UrQMD). Finally, expectations from AMPT alone fail to quantitatively describe the measurements for all harmonics throughout the measured transverse momentum region. However, the comparison to the AMPT model highlights the importance of the late hadronic rescattering stage to the development of the observed mass ordering at low values of p T and of coalescence as a particle production mechanism for the particle type grouping at intermediate values of p T for all harmonics.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2024

Modeling and simulations of hydrodynamic shocks in a plasma flowing across randomized ICF scale laser beams

High-energy laser beams interacting with flowing plasmas can produce a plasma response that leads to deflection of the beam, beam bending. Such beams have usually a speckle structure generated by optical smoothing techniques that reduce the spatial and temporal coherence in the laser field pattern. The cumulative plasma response from laser speckles slows down the velocity of the incoming flow by momentum conservation. For slightly super-sonic flow the cumulative plasma response to the ponderomotive force exerted by the beam speckle ensemble is the strongest, such that slowing down the flow to subsonic velocities leads eventually to the generation of a shock around the cross section of the beam. This scenario has been predicted theoretically and is confirmed here by our hydrodynamic simulations in two dimensions with speckled beams and in one dimension with a reduced model. The conditions of shock generation are given in terms of the ponderomotive pressure, speckle size and the flow velocity. The nonlinear properties of the shocks are analyzed using Rankine–Hugoniot relations. According to linear theory, temporally smoothed laser beams exhibit a higher threshold for shock generation. Numerical simulations with beams that are smoothed by spectral dispersion compare well with the linear theory results, diverging from those produced by beams with only a random phase plates in the nonlinear regime. The conditions necessary for shock generation and their effects on the laser plasma coupling in inertial confinement fusion (ICF) experiments are also discussed.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2016

ℤ{sub 2} SIMP dark matter

Dark matter with strong self-interactions provides a compelling solution to several small-scale structure puzzles. Under the assumption that the coupling between dark matter and the Standard Model particles is suppressed, such strongly interacting massive particles (SIMPs) allow for a successful thermal freeze-out through N-to-N{sup ′} processes, where N dark matter particles annihilate to N{sup ′} of them. In the most common scenarios, where dark matter stability is guaranteed by a ℤ{sub 2} symmetry, the seemingly leading annihilating channel, i.e. 3-to-2 process, is forbidden, so the 4-to-2 one dominate the production of the dark matter relic density. Moreover, cosmological observations require that the dark matter sector is colder than the thermal bath of Standard Model particles, a condition that can be dynamically generated via a small portal between dark matter and Standard Model particles, à la freeze-in. This scenario is exemplified in the context of the Singlet Scalar dark matter model.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Methods and systems for obtaining reconstructed low-frequency seismic data for determining a subsurface feature

A computer-implemented method for obtaining reconstructed seismic data for determining a subsurface feature, includes: determining an initial training velocity model, training a machine learning model based on first training seismic data and second training seismic data generated from the training velocity model, the first training seismic data corresponding to one or more first frequencies, the second training seismic data corresponding to one or more second frequencies lower than the one or more first frequencies, obtaining, based on measured seismic data and the machine learning model, reconstructed seismic data corresponding to the one or more second frequencies, generating a velocity model based on the measured seismic data, the reconstructed seismic data, and a full waveform inversion (FWI), and when the generated velocity model does not satisfy a preset condition, updating the training velocity model based on the generated velocity model, to obtain updated reconstructed seismic data for determining a subsurface feature.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Inferring fracture dilation and shear slip from surface deformation utilising trained surrogate models

An important task in energy and CO 2 storage (sequestration) in the subsurface is to verify that the surrounding fractures and faults are not activated, acting as leakage pathways. This is achievable through effective and efficient Measurement, Monitoring and Verification (MMV) plans. In this work, two surrogate models are trained to captures dilation (opening) and shear deformation of fractures, and the associated surface deformation. The trained surrogate model, based on conditional Generative-Adversarial Networks (cGAN) receives fracture apertures from dilational fractures together with fracture slips from shear fractures and predicts the combined surface deformation. An inversion algorithm based on Bayesian framework is proposed to identify the geometry of both types of fractures, as well as volume of dilational fractures and deformation moment induced by shear fractures, all from the measured surface deformation data. The inversion algorithm utilises the Differential Evolution (DE) optimisation technique that has the superior performance in finding the global minimum of cost function. The proposed surrogate-assisted inversion successfully inferred the unknown dip, dip direction and the volume of the dilational fractures as well as the induced deformation moment in shear fractures. The model was further tested for the inversion of a field hydraulic fracturing tilt dataset applying different scenarios with varying unknowns to show the model's performance, as well as incorporating shear deformation for better match with the observed data.

Dilation and shear↗
DOE OSTI2018

Analysis of the Trip of a High-Power Turbine-Generator of a Nuclear Power Plant Upon Damage of the Stator Winding Insulation According to Data of Monitoring and Modeling

The operating conditions of a turbine-generator with the stator winding short-circuited to the frame are analyzed. The features of the shape of the zero-sequence voltage during arcing in the damaged gap are described. The operation of the relay protection in these conditions is analyzed. The real oscillograms of the subsequent suppression of the rotor field are theoretically justified. It is shown that improving the thyristor excitation system is necessary and possible.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2015

Tamoxifen affects glucose and lipid metabolism parameters, causes browning of subcutaneous adipose tissue and transient body composition changes in C57BL/6NTac mice

Tamoxifen is a selective estrogen receptor (ER) modulator which is widely used to generate inducible conditional transgenic mouse models. Activation of ER signaling plays an important role in the regulation of adipose tissue (AT) metabolism. We therefore tested the hypothesis that tamoxifen administration causes changes in AT biology in vivo. 12 weeks old male C57BL/6NTac mice were treated with either tamoxifen (n = 18) or vehicle (n = 18) for 5 consecutive days. Tamoxifen treatment effects on body composition, energy homeostasis, parameters of AT biology, glucose and lipid metabolism were investigated up to an age of 18 weeks. We found that tamoxifen treatment causes: I) significantly increased HbA{sub 1c}, triglyceride and free fatty acid serum concentrations (p < 0.01), II) browning of subcutaneous AT and increased UCP-1 expression, III) increased AT proliferation marker Ki67 mRNA expression, IV) changes in adipocyte size distribution, and V) transient body composition changes. Tamoxifen may induce changes in body composition, whole body glucose and lipid metabolism and has significant effects on AT biology, which need to be considered when using Tamoxifen as a tool to induce conditional transgenic mouse models. Our data further suggest that tamoxifen-treated wildtype mice should be characterized in parallel to experimental transgenic models to control for tamoxifen administration effects. - Highlights: • Tamoxifen treatment causes significantly increased HbA{sub 1c}, triglyceride and free fatty acid serum concentrations. • Tamoxifen induces browning of subcutaneous AT and increased UCP-1 expression. • Tamoxifen changes adipocyte size distribution, and transient body composition.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2016

Nonlinear low frequency electrostatic structures in a magnetized two-component auroral plasma

Finite amplitude nonlinear ion-acoustic solitons, double layers, and supersolitons in a magnetized two-component plasma composed of adiabatic warm ions fluid and energetic nonthermal electrons are studied by employing the Sagdeev pseudopotential technique and assuming the charge neutrality condition at equilibrium. The model generates supersoliton structures at supersonic Mach numbers regime in addition to solitons and double layers, whereas in the unmagnetized two-component plasma case only, soliton and double layer solutions can be obtained. Further investigation revealed that wave obliqueness plays a critical role for the evolution of supersoliton structures in magnetized two-component plasmas. In addition, the effect of ion temperature and nonthermal energetic electron tends to decrease the speed of oscillation of the nonlinear electrostatic structures. The present theoretical results are compared with Viking satellite observations.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Nonequilibrium effects on stability of hybrid stars with first-order phase transitions

The stability of hybrid stars with first-order phase transitions as determined by calculating fundamental radial oscillation modes is known to differ from the predictions of the widely used Bardeen-Thorne-Meltzer criterion. We consider the effects of out-of-chemical-equilibrium physics on the radial modes and hence stability of these objects. For a barotropic equation of state, this is done by allowing the adiabatic sound speed to differ from the equilibrium sound speed. We show that doing so extends the stable branches of stellar models, allowing stars with rapid phase transitions to support stable higher-order stellar multiplets similarly to stars with multiple slow phase transitions. We also derive a new junction condition to impose on the oscillation modes at the phase transition. Termed the reactive condition, it is physically motivated, consistent with the generalized junction conditions between two phases, and has the common rapid and slow conditions as limiting cases. Unlike the two common cases, it can only be applied to nonbarotropic stars. Here, we apply this junction condition to hybrid stellar models generated using a two-phase equation of state consisting of nuclear matter with unpaired quark matter at high densities joined by a first-order phase transition and show that, like in the slow limiting case, stars that are classically unstable are stabilized by a finite chemical reaction speed.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2019

Analysis of Differential Financial Impacts of LWR Load-Following Operations. Revision 1

This document reports the application of HERON (Holistic Energy Resource Optimization Network), a newly-developed RAVEN (Risk Analysis Virtual ENvironment) plugin for grid and capacity optimization, to a case study conducted in collaboration with Arizona Public Service (APS). The study is a work in progress; this report presents a description of current models and corresponding results for a particular consideration. APS is anticipating several operational challenges. The first is rapid growth of Variable Renewable Energy (VRE) sources such as wind and solar power providing energy to the grid in the APS service region. This creates challenges for baseload operation of the Palo Verde Generating Station (PVGS), a nuclear power plant co-owned and operated by APS. The second challenge for APS is a change in the cooling water acquisition contract with the Sub Regional Operating Group (SROG). The existing contract is expiring soon, and a renewal is only available for a significantly higher price of water. These two challenges represent a difficulty in maintaining profitability for PVGS as local area demand is highly fluctuant and water prices may increase. Furthermore, excess production at PVGS is currently traded on the Palo Verde energy Hub (PVH), which occasionally offers very low or negative locational marginal prices (LMP) for electricity. This analysis considers the potential benefits of occasional curtailment of PVGS as a method to mitigate unprofitable production hours. Similar to load following, optional daily curtailment would allow APS to elect curtailment of PVGS as low as 70% of its nominal operating level between the hours of 08:00 and 16:00 provided local area demand is met and it is profitable to do so. This document reports a stochastic differential analysis of the Net Present Value (NPV) of PVGS as operated by NPS as a result of optional curtailment operation. To model this differential case, HERON has been designed from previous efforts in this study as a generic tool to accelerate the design and execution of RAVEN workflows for technoeconomic analysis of grid energy systems. HERON leverages both RAVEN and the CashFlow plugin for RAVEN to stochastically explore or optimize a response surface with energy grid system production capacities as inputs and mean NPV as a goal function. HERON performs these evaluations by stochastically sampling market, weather, and demand events using RAVEN’s ARMA reduced-order model capability to generate boundary conditions for dispatch optimization. The algorithm performs the dispatch optimization for each of the synthetic scenarios. For this case, HERON designs workflows to simulate behavior of the PVH, wind, solar, and APS local area demand, and use these synthetic scenarios to stochastically evaluate the differential benefit of optional curtailment for each scenario. While this study finds optional curtailment to be a potential source of revenue, the magnitude of the differential NPV is sufficiently small that it is unlikely a priority for increasing the profitability of PVGS. Further, the differential NPV shrinks throughout the simulated years, suggesting the long-term benefit of such operation given current assumptions is negligible.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗