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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2020

The production of hydrogen–deuterium exchanged cellulose fibers with exchange-resistant deuterium incorporation

Production of deuterated cellulose is important from both theoretical and practical perspectives. Here, cellulose fibers of cotton and Tencel fibers with exchange-resistant deuterium incorporation were prepared by hydrogen–deuterium exchange treatment. The effect of the micro-structure of cellulose crystallinity index as well as the reaction conditions including catalyst, reaction time, and temperature on the exchange-resistant deuterium incorporation process are reported. The ability of deuterated cellulose fibers to resist protium-exchange during H 2 O washing was also explored. The results found that higher crystallinity index is beneficial to stabilize the deuteration of cellulose fibers. Furthermore, alkaline catalysts such as sodium hydroxide or potassium carbonate and higher exchange temperature as well as longer reaction time contribute significantly to the stabilization of deuterium incorporation in the deuterated cellulose fibers. These observations revealed that the hydrogen–deuterium exchange treatment is effective to obtain exchange-resistant deuterium incorporated cellulose fibers. In addition, cotton fibers with several deuteration levels were produced and could be considered for the study of deuterium effect on cellulose properties.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Structural determination of a full-length plant cellulose synthase informed by experimental and in silico methods

Three-dimensional structure determination and prediction of proteins with intrinsically disordered regions, unstructured regions, conformational flexibility, and lacking homologous structures are challenging. We previously predicted and refined an in silico structure of a plant cellulose synthase from cotton (GhCESA1), and more recently, cryo-electron microscopy (cryo-EM) has resolved a majority of the lengths of two CESA structures from poplar (PttCESA8) and cotton (GhCESA7). However, 26–30% of these cryo-EM structures remain unresolved, including the N-terminal domain, half of the class-specific region, the gating loop region, and the C-terminal domain. Here, we describe the generation and evaluation of a full-length hybrid GhCESA1 model based on this cryo-EM PttCESA8 structure, with unresolved regions completed using this in silico refined GhCESA1 model. All-atom molecular dynamics simulations and subsequent energy minimizations were performed for the in silico and hybrid GhCESA1 models in a lipid bilayer-water-ion environment, and structural stability, dynamics, energetics, contacts, and quality were evaluated. The unresolved regions were found to be the most dynamic, in agreement with their poor electron density with cryo-EM. The hybrid model exhibited a higher total secondary structure content, more favorable intra-protein and protein-lipid interaction energies, and improved quality metrics. Moreover, hydrogen bonding was revealed to be a primary mechanism for intra-protein and protein-lipid contacts. These results demonstrate that in silico structure prediction and refinement may be useful to augment experimental structure determination, especially for disordered and unstructured regions. Furthermore, this hybrid model can serve as a steppingstone to derive full-length homology models of other CESAs found in more experimentally tractable organisms.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Time-dependent thermal degradation of lost circulation materials in geothermal systems

Treatment of lost circulation can represent anywhere from 5 to 25 % of the cost in drilling geothermal wells. The cost of the materials used for lost circulation treatment is less important than their effectiveness at reducing fluid losses. In geothermal systems, the high temperatures (>90 °C) are expected to degrade many commonly used lost circulation materials over time. This degradation could compromise different materials ability to mitigate fluid loss, creating more non-productive time as multiple treatments are needed, but may result in recovering desired permeability zones within the reservoir section over time. This research aimed to study how thermal degradation of eight different lost circulation materials affected their properties relevant to sealing loss zones in geothermal wells. Here, mass loss experiments were conducted with each material at temperatures of 90–250 °C for 1–42 days to measure the breakdown of the material at geothermal conditions, collecting gases during several experiments to determine the waste produced during degradation. Compaction experiments were conducted with the degraded materials to show how temperatures reduced the rigidity and increased packing of the materials. Viscosity tests were conducted to show the impact of different materials on drilling fluid rheology. Microscope observations were conducted to characterize the alterations to each material due to thermal degradation. Organic materials tend to degrade more than inorganic materials, with organics like microcellulose, cotton seed hulls and sawdust losing 30–50 % of their mass after 1 day of heating at 200 °C, while inorganics like magma fiber only lose ~5–10 % of its mass after one day of heating at 200 °C. Granular materials are the strongest when compacted despite any mass loss, while fibrous and flaky materials are fairly weak and breakdown easily under stress. The materials do not generally affect fluid rheology unless they have a viscosifying agent as part of the mixture. Microscopic analysis showed that more rigid materials like microcellulose and cedar fiber degrade in brittle manners with splitting and fracturing, while others like cotton seed hulls degrade in more ductile manners forming meshes or clumps of material. The thermal breakdown of lost circulation materials tested suggests that each material should also be classified by its degree of thermal degradability, as at certain temperatures the materials can lose the capability to bridge loss zones around the wellbore.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2026

Aqueous ionic liquid–mediated depolymerization of textile waste

Textile waste, dominated by polyester-cotton blends, largely evades recycling and ends up in landfills or incinerators. Here, we demonstrate an aqueous ionic liquid–mediated route for selective depolymerization of textile waste, including polyester and polycotton (polyester/cotton blend). Using aqueous cholinium lysinate ([Ch][Lys]), we depolymerized poly(ethylene terephthalate) (PET) textiles with over 95 % terephthalic acid (TPA) yields, comparable to virgin PET resin. Notably, colored fabrics showed no inhibitory effect from dyes. While protic ionic liquids such as ethanolammonium acetate showed limited efficiency, their precursor amine enabled near-complete PET conversion—ethanolamine promoted aminolysis with byproduct formation whereas butylamine achieved higher TPA recovery through combined hydrolysis and aminolysis. Importantly, polycotton blends achieved complete PET depolymerization with TPA yield above 85 % and preserved cotton. These results establish aqueous ionic liquids as efficient, selective agents for deconstructing polyester in blended textiles, offering flexible product and ionic liquid management pathways toward scalable and facile textile recycling.

Amines↗
DOE OSTI2021

Integrated cooling (i-Cool) textile of heat conduction and sweat transportation for personal perspiration management

Perspiration evaporation plays an indispensable role in human body heat dissipation. However, conventional textiles tend to focus on sweat removal and pay little attention to the basic thermoregulation function of sweat, showing limited evaporation ability and cooling efficiency in moderate/profuse perspiration scenarios. Here, we propose an integrated cooling (i-Cool) textile with unique functional structure design for personal perspiration management. By integrating heat conductive pathways and water transport channels decently, i-Cool exhibits enhanced evaporation ability and high sweat evaporative cooling efficiency, not merely liquid sweat wicking function. In the steady-state evaporation test, compared to cotton, up to over 100% reduction in water mass gain ratio, and 3 times higher skin power density increment for every unit of sweat evaporation are demonstrated. Besides, i-Cool shows about 3 °C cooling effect with greatly reduced sweat consumption than cotton in the artificial sweating skin test. The practical application feasibility of i-Cool design principles is well validated based on commercial fabrics. Owing to its exceptional personal perspiration management performance, we expect the i-Cool concept can provide promising design guidelines for next-generation perspiration management textiles.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2024

Precise relative magnitude measurement improves fracture characterization during hydraulic fracturing

SUMMARY Microseismic monitoring is an important technique to obtain detailed knowledge of in-situ fracture size and orientation during stimulation to maximize fluid flow throughout the rock volume and optimize production. Furthermore, considering that the frequency of earthquake magnitudes empirically follows a power law (i.e. Gutenberg–Richter), the accuracy of microseismic event magnitude distributions is potentially crucial for seismic risk management. In this study, we analyse microseismicity observed during four hydraulic fracture treatments of the legacy Cotton Valley experiment in 1997 at the Carthage gas field of East Texas, where fractures were activated at the base of the sand-shale Upper Cotton Valley formation. We perform waveform cross-correlation to detect similar event clusters, measure relative amplitude from aligned waveform pairs with a principal component analysis, then measure precise relative magnitudes. The new magnitudes significantly reduce the deviations between magnitude differences and relative amplitudes of event pairs. This subsequently reduces the magnitude differences between clusters located at different depths. Reduction in magnitude differences between clusters suggests that some attenuation-related biases could be effectively mitigated with relative magnitude measurements. The maximum likelihood method is applied to understand the magnitude frequency distributions and quantify the seismogenic index of the clusters. Statistical analyses with new magnitudes suggest that fractures that are more favourably oriented for shear failure have lower b-value and higher seismogenic index, suggesting higher potential for relatively larger earthquakes, rather than fractures subparallel to maximum horizontal principal stress orientation.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2026

Data for Transposon Signatures of Allopolyploid Genome Evolution

Hybridization brings together chromosome sets from two or more distinct progenitor species. Genome duplication associated with hybridization, or allopolyploidy, allows these chromosome sets to persist as distinct subgenomes during subsequent meioses. Here, we present a general method for identifying the subgenomes of a polyploid based on shared ancestry as revealed by the genomic distribution of repetitive elements that were active in the progenitors. This subgenome-enriched transposable element signal is intrinsic to the polyploid, allowing broader applicability than other approaches that depend on the availability of sequenced diploid relatives. We develop the statistical basis of the method, demonstrate its applicability in the well-studied cases of tobacco, cotton, and Brassica napus, and apply it to several cases: allotetraploid cyprinids, allohexaploid false flax, and allooctoploid strawberry. These analyses provide insight into the origins of these polyploids, revise the subgenome identities of strawberry, and provide perspective on subgenome dominance in higher polyploids.

Genomics↗
DOE OSTI2020

Geothermal Deep Direct Use for Turbine Inlet Cooling in East Texas

The National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL), the Southern Methodist University Geothermal Laboratory (SMU), Eastman Chemical (Longview, TX), and TAS (Houston, TX) evaluated the feasibility of using geothermal heat to improve the performance of a natural-gas power plant in East Texas. The area of interest is the Eastman Chemical plant in Longview, Texas, which is on the northwestern margin of a geologic region known as the Sabine Uplift. The feasibility study focused on determining the potential for accessing a subsurface hot-water geothermal resource within a 10-km radius of the site to provide thermal energy for absorption chillers. Wells within a 20-km radius are included for broader geological comparison to determine the heat flow, temperature-at-depth, field porosity and permeability. The lithologies of most interest are the Lower Cretaceous Trinity Group and Upper Jurassic Cotton Valley Group. The deeper Cotton Valley formations are hotter (averaging 117 to 130°C), yet permeability and porosity are low. The shallower Trinity Group contains more variability in permeability and porosity and lower temperatures averaging about 98 to 117°C. The shallower formations are considered despite the lower temperature because of increased ability to produce larger volumes of water and extract enough heat before reinjection. The complete SMU analysis is available in the National Geothermal Data System (NGDS). Tapping such deep geothermal sources for direct heating (as opposed to power generation) is known as geothermal deep direct use (DDU). Geothermal DDU has potential across a wide swath of the United States but is underutilized due to challenging project economics associated with developing a deep geothermal resource for what are typically small-scale, variable-demand projects. This project examines the feasibility of geothermal energy integration in a natural-gas combined cycle power station in East Texas. The DDU resource is tapped to drive absorption chillers (24/7) for production of chilled water at 5-10°C (41-50°F). This chilled water is stored until needed, which allows for continuous operation with a relatively small-capacity geothermal/absorption chiller system. When conditions are favorable, the chilled water is dispatched to cool the air entering the compressor stage of a gas combustion turbine. This process, known as turbine inlet cooling (TIC), boosts power production during periods of high temperature and high-power demand. Such systems can enhance grid reliability and reduce the cost for peak-demand power. A simulation model of the power plant was developed in IPSEpro software and validated against operational data from the plant. This model allowed the team to estimate the additional power that could be produced by applying TIC under different operating and ambient conditions. Absorption chiller performance was estimated from vendor sources to determine the production rate of chilled water from the geothermal resource. Geothermal drilling and development costs were estimated using NREL's GEOPHIRES 2.0. The expected lower drilling costs in this region led to an estimated cost of geothermal heat of about $4/MMBtu (1.4 cents/kWh t ). The estimated cost for the absorption chillers and TIC hardware were obtained from literature sources and project partners. Hourly data were obtained for weather, natural gas and electricity prices, and plant operating state for 2017, which served as a representative year. NREL estimated the capital cost, operating cost, and additional electricity production and revenue for different combinations of geothermal capacity, chiller capacity, and water storage-tank size. The analysis drove toward smaller geothermal and chiller systems to reduce equipment cost. A relatively low-cost water storage tank accumulated the near-continuous chilled water output for later use when TIC was most valued.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2022

SuiteGoo [Slides]

SuiteGoo is a liquid product used to detect "undetectable" material traces. It is used when you need to improve detection limits, anywhere where cotton swiping is used, and anywhere where cotton swiping fails. It is also used by law enforcement to find DNA from fingerprints, used by health care to detect the presence of viruses and bacteria, used by emergency response to detect explosive traces, and used by environmental management to detect pollutant traces.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Investigation of U content in J-swipe/PIC samples

This final report documents the results of an evaluation of the U content in J-swipes for the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). J-swipes are manufactured with inked numbers (1–30) and U backgrounds that are considered consistent across different lots and manufacturing times. These characteristics make them ideal for use by IAEA inspectors for pre-inspection check samples to ensure inspectors are not cross-contaminating sites. However, recent work has found elevated U concentrations in the inked numbers compared with the J-swipe material. To determine whether the inked numbers correlate with the U backgrounds, triplicate U content measurements were made on Swipes 1, 2, 11, 22, and 28. Triplicates of each swipe were processed through the standard chemistry used by the Oak Ridge National Laboratory Network of Analytical Laboratories team and analyzed for U content by isotope dilution via multicollector inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry. Finally, samples were made by mass consisting of only ink areas and only cotton swipe material to determine the trace element differences between the cotton and the ink.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗
DOE OSTI2026

230 Th/ 234 U Model Age of International Atomic Energy Agency Sample 27107-14-04 Measured at Los Alamos National Laboratory

This report details the uranium age-dating of International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) bulk environmental cotton swipe sample 27107-14-04 at Los Alamos National Laboratory (LANL). The 230 Th/ 234 U radiochronometer was used to determine sample model age requiring the following analyses: U assay, U isotope composition, Th assay and Th isotope composition. Sample 27107-14-04 was received at LANL on November 3, 2025, along with cotton swipe blank 30124-24-20.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗
DOE OSTI2022

Leafweb: Dataset in Support of Coupled Modeling of Photophysics, Photochemistry, and Biochemistry of Photosynthesis, December 2022 Release

This data set contains measurements of leaf gas exchange and Pulse-Amplitude Modulated (PAM) fluorometry of light, carbon dioxide (CO2), oxygen (O2), and temperature responses from 26 C3 photosynthetic and four C4 photosynthetic species measured by independent researchers in Canada, China, Finland, Netherlands, and United States in the field, garden, or greenhouse. Data were collected between 1987 and 2021, however data for individual species only provide coverage over a few hours to one year. Species include three lianas, three shrubs, two boreal deciduous trees, two boreal evergreen needle-leaf tree, three temperate deciduous trees, four tropical deciduous trees, three tropical evergreen trees, one C3 grass, three C4 grasses, and six crop varieties. These measurements are conducted according to standard protocols in gas exchange (Long and Bernacchi 2003) and PAM fluorometry (Baker 2008). The Scots pine (Pinus sylvestris) dataset contains one-year continuous fluorometry observations made at intervals of 10 or 30 minutes in the field under natural environments using Walz monitoring PAM. Measurements from all other 29 species include simultaneous PAM fluorometry and gas exchange observations. Among these 29 species, seven species were measured with light response curves only (i.e., light intensity varied systematically with ambient CO2 concentration controlled at a constant level, e.g., 400 ppm). All the other 22 species were measured with both the light response and CO2 response (i.e., ambient CO2 concentration varied systematically with light intensity controlled at a constant level, e.g., 1200 µmolm-2s-1). For most species, measurements were made with temperature controlled at ~ 25 degrees Celsius (C) with the exceptions of Scots pine (natural diurnal and seasonal variations), tomato cultivar Basket Vee (~ 21 degrees C), and cotton which contained temperature stress experiments (9 to 40 degrees C). All measurements were made at ambient O2 concentration except for the tomato cultivar Basket Vee and cotton which used two O2 levels (2 and 21%) and rice and tomato cultivar Growdena which used five O2 levels (2, 10, 21, 35, and 50%). This dataset supports the complete modeling of photosynthesis at the leaf scale, including photophysical, photochemical, and biochemical reactions. It will support research in the applications of remotely sensed solar induced chlorophyll fluorescence and the responses of energy dissipation pathways to environmental variations across species and climates. This dataset contains 260 data files in comma separate (.csv) format contained inside 11 compressed (*.zip) files. Additional metadata are provided: one data dictionary, a species information table, and a file-level metadata file in comma separate (.csv) format and a user guide in PDF (*.pdf) format.

air temperature↗
DOE OSTI2022

A Chromosome-Scale Genome Assembly of a Helicoverpa zea Strain Resistant to Bacillus thuringiensis Cry1Ac Insecticidal Protein

Helicoverpa zea (Lepidoptera: Noctuidae) is an insect pest of major cultivated crops in North and South America. The species has adapted to different host plants and developed resistance to several insecticidal agents, including Bacillus thuringiensis (Bt) insecticidal proteins in transgenic cotton and maize. Helicoverpa zea populations persist year-round in tropical and subtropical regions, but seasonal migrations into temperate zones increase the geographic range of associated crop damage. To better understand the genetic basis of these physiological and ecological characteristics, we generated a high-quality chromosome-level assembly for a single H. zea male from Bt-resistant strain, HzStark_Cry1AcR. Hi-C data were used to scaffold an initial 375.2 Mb contig assembly into 30 autosomes and the Z sex chromosome (scaffold N50 = 12.8 Mb and L50 = 14). The scaffolded assembly was error-corrected with a novel pipeline, polishCLR. The mitochondrial genome was assembled through an improved pipeline and annotated. Assessment of this genome assembly indicated 98.8% of the Lepidopteran Benchmark Universal Single-Copy Ortholog set were complete (98.5% as complete single copy). Repetitive elements comprised approximately 29.5% of the assembly with the plurality (11.2%) classified as retroelements. This chromosome-scale reference assembly for H. zea, ilHelZeax1.1, will facilitate future research to evaluate and enhance sustainable crop production practices.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Data and scripts associated with “Point-scale organic-matter decomposition in streambeds is weakly associated with reach-scale respiration”

This data package is associated with “Point-scale organic-matter decomposition in streambeds is weakly associated with reach-scale respiration” published in EGU Biogeosciences (Stegen et al., 2026; https://doi.org/10.5194/bg-23-3981-2026). It contains cotton strip decomposition rates (Kcd and Kdd) collected across the Yakima River Basin (YRB), Washington, USA. These data were collected to support a broader study examining the drivers of spatial variability in sediment respiration rates in the Yakima River Basin. Associated data used in analysis, metadata, and field protocols can be accessed at https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/datasets/doi:10.15485/1923689, https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/datasets/doi:10.15485/1969566, and https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/datasets/doi:10.15485/1987520. This data package is associated with the repository found at https://github.com/river-corridors-sfa/rcsfa-ST-2B-SSS-cotton-strip. A preliminary version of this data package was published in December 2025 at the time of manuscript submission. It was updated in June 2026, at the time of manuscript acceptance, to include additional metadata (this readme, data dictionary, and file level metadata). The data did not change. For details on how to navigate data packages generated by this project, see https://data.ess-dive.lbl.gov/portals/PNNLRiverCorridorSFA/About. In addition to a readme, this data package also includes a file-level metadata (FLMD) file that describes each file and a data dictionary (DD) that describes all column/row headers and variable definitions. This data package consists of (1) readme; (2) data dictionary (dd); (3) file level metadata (flmd); and (4) four folders: (1) R-scripts; (2) figures; (3) outputs from the scripts; and (4) published data. The published data folder contains a readme directing the user to download data in order to run the R-scripts. All files are .csv, .pdf, .R, .Rmd, and .txt. We acknowledge the Yakama Nation as owners and caretakers of the lands where we collected these data. We thank the Confederated Tribes and Bands of the Yakama Nation Tribal Council and Yakama Nation Fisheries for working with us to facilitate sample collection and optimization of data usage according to their values and worldview.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2020

Loamy sand soil approaches organic carbon saturation after 37 years of conservation tillage

Conservation tillage is reported to increase soil organic carbon (SOC) and total nitrogen (TN) contents, but long-term (>30 yr) field results quantifying the responses in Coastal Plain Ultisols are sparse. The distribution, accumulation, and topsoil storage of SOC and TN after 37 yr of crop production using conventional (CvT) or conservation tillage (CnT) on a Norfolk loamy sand (fine-loamy, kaolinitic, thermic, Typic Kandiudults) were quantified. Soil samples were collected annually from the 0-5-, 5-10-, and 10-15-cm depth increments beneath corn (Zea mays L.), soybean [Glycine max (L.) Merr.], and cotton (Gossypium hirsutum L.) crops. Overall, SOC and TN accumulation in the 0-5-cm depth were highest for Norfolk soil under CnT. Focusing on total long-term changes for the 0-15-cm sampling depth beneath various corn crops shows that CnT and CvT sequestered 24.7 and 21.4 Mg C ha -1 , respectively. Between 1978 and 2016, there was a highly significant (P < .0001) exponential increase in SOC within the top 5-cm soil depth. However, the exponential curves began to plateau suggesting the Norfolk topsoil was approaching its organic carbon (OC) storage capacity. These field measurements strongly indicate that additional topsoil SOC increases with current tillage and crop management practices are limited.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2025

Preliminary Insights Into the Feasibility of Determining the Purification Date of Enriched Uranium by Direct Measurement of the 230 Th/ 234 U Ratio Using an All-Faraday Detector Configuration on the Neoma MC-ICP-MS

Rationale: Mass spectrometric measurement of the 230 Th/ 234 U ratio to calculate the purification age of enriched uranium is typically conducted via a combination of ion counters and faraday detectors, thus requiring an inter-detector calibration scheme. Here, our aim is to understand whether the pursuit of a simplified measurement scheme involving only faraday detectors is feasible. Methods: We investigate the possibility of determining U-Th model ages for two enriched uranium standards (NBL U630 and U850) by direct measurement of the 230 Th/ 234 U ratio (without chromatographic separation or isotope dilution) on a ThermoFisher Scientific Neoma MC-ICP-MS utilizing both solution and laser ablation (LA)-based sampling techniques and an all-faraday detector configuration. Results: For the solution mode analyses conducted on aliquots containing sub μg/mL total U, we produce composite average 230 Th/ 234 U model dates of May 19, 1988 (± 351 days), and March 26, 1961 (± 2.5 years) using the directly measured 230 Th/ 234 U ratios for the NBL U630 and U850 uranium standards, which have certified purification dates of June 6, 1988 (± 190 days), and December 31, 1957 (± 36.5 days), respectively. The ages produced by LA-based sampling of dried residues of the same standards deposited onto cotton TexWipes are less accurate and of poorer precision (June 23, 2004 ± 8.7 years for U630 and December 21, 1965 ± 7.9 years for U850) but still yield meaningful information in regards to the purification date. Conclusions: We believe that further refinement of the all faraday detector measurement approach to include development of a more robust Th/U relative sensitivity factor determination, signal cutoff selection, and data processing protocols will allow for this approach to be confidently applied to enriched uranium materials with unknown purification histories. Potential advantages of the method include the reduced sample handling and infrastructure requirements as well as the ability to simultaneously generate a broad picture of the uranium isotopic composition in tandem with the U-Th age determination.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Modeling Farmers’ Adoption Potential to New Bioenergy Crops: An Agent-Based Approach

The use of fossil fuels is the primary source of greenhouse gas emissions but there are alternatives to these especially in the form of biofuels, fuels derived from bioenergy crops. This paper aims to determine farmers’ potential adoption rates of newly introduced bioenergy crops with a specific example of carinata in the state of Georgia. The determination is done using an agent-based modeling technique with two principal assumptions—farmers are profit maximizer and they are influenced by neighboring farmers. Two diffusion parameters (traditional and expansion) are followed along with two willingness (high and low) scenarios to switch at varying production economics to carinata and other prominent traditional field crops (cotton, peanuts, corn) in the study region. We find that a contract prices around $9, $8 and $7 can be a viable option for encouraging farmers to adopt carinata in low, average, and high profit conditions, respectively. Expansion diffusion (that diffuses all over the geographical area), rather than centered to the few places like traditional diffusion at the early stage of adoption in conjunction with higher willingness conditions influences higher adoption rates in the short-term. As such, the model can be used to understand the behavioral economics of carinata in Georgia and beyond, as well as offering a potential tool to study similar bioenergy crops.

Ullah, Kazi↗