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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3

Characterizing Signatures of Geothermal Exploration Data with Machine Learning Techniques: An Application to the Nevada Play Fairway Analysis

We are introducing machine learning methods to the play fairway analysis to generate geothermal potential maps to support the evaluation of geothermal resource potential and the exploration for undiscovered blind geothermal systems in the Nevada Great Basin region. Our project aims to identify new ways to combine the play fairway data and empirically organize relationships between feature weights and labels in an improved workflow. As a means of doing this, we introduce machine learning methods to evaluate the influence of certain geological and geophysical features/feature sets in predicting geothermal favorability. This report highlights promising approaches based on supervised and unsupervised learning methods. First, we demonstrate a filter method applied to supervised classification modeling. The supervised filter method is based on permutation analysis to evaluate every possible feature combination/drop out scenario and rank feature influence based on the performance variance of supervised classification models. Additionally, we present an unsupervised factor analysis based on principal component analysis coupled with a semi-supervised kmeans clustering algorithm. This analysis allows us to identify the optimal number of groups/clusters for training sites and structural settings to identify feature patterns including correlation, variance, and latent and dominant feature relationships. The results from these methods offer a promising avenue for identifying favorable sources of predictive information to identify the locations of blind geothermal systems and furthering our understanding of complex geothermal feature and label relationships in the Great Basin region and beyond.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

Projected changes in the terrestrial and oceanic regulators of climate variability across sub-Saharan Africa

Future changes in the sign and intensity of ocean–land–atmosphere interactions have been insufficiently studied, despite implications for regional climate change projections, extreme event statistics, and seasonal climate predictability. In response to this deficiency, the present study focuses on projected responses to the enhanced greenhouse effect in: (1) the mean state of the atmosphere and land surface; (2) oceanic and terrestrial drivers of sub-Saharan climate variability; and (3) total seasonal climate predictability of sub-Saharan Africa, a region known for its pronounced land–atmosphere coupling. Analysis focuses on output from 23 Earth System Models in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase Five for the late twentieth and twenty-first centuries. It is projected that the greatest warming across sub-Saharan Africa will occur over the Sahel, the monsoon season will become more persistent into late summer and autumn, short rains in the Horn of Africa (HOA) will intensify, and leaf area index will increase across the HOA. Stepwise Generalized Equilibrium Feedback Assessment, i.e. a multivariate statistical approach, is applied to the model output over sub-Saharan Africa in order to explore the oceanic and terrestrial drivers of regional climate. The models indicate that the study region’s climate variability is dominated by oceanic drivers, with secondary contributions from soil moisture and very modest impacts from vegetation. Overall, the general model consensus of future projections indicates a concerning diminished seasonal predictability of sub-Saharan African regional climate based on key oceanic and terrestrial predictors and an elevated role of the land surface (associated with soil moisture anomalies) compared to oceanic drivers in regulating regional climate variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

MOOSE Reactor Module: An Open-Source Capability for Meshing Nuclear Reactor Geometries

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Nuclear Energy Advanced Modeling and Simulation (NEAMS) program has developed numerous physics solvers utilizing the open-source Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework for multiphysics reactor analysis. These solvers require input finite element meshes representing the discretized spatial domain. Typically, reactor analysts turn to licensed tools for the creation of reactor geometry meshes. Recently, open-source functionality has been added to the MOOSE framework to mesh common reactor geometries and improve MOOSE-based nuclear reactor application user workflows. The new functionality is primarily contained in the new Reactor module of MOOSE and includes support for hexagonal pins, assemblies, and cores, extended Cartesian geometry support, options for modeling static and rotating control drums within a hexagonal assembly, core periphery triangulation, and automatic tagging of pin, assembly, plane, and depletion regions for easier post processing of physics results. A set of reactor geometry mesh builder objects further streamlines the construction of hexagonal and Cartesian cores and allows mapping of materials to regions during mesh generation. The meshes produced with the MOOSE Reactor module may be used directly within MOOSE-based applications or exported as Exodus II files for use in other finite element solvers. The tools have been demonstrated and verified using a variety of NEAMS physics solvers on a range of reactor applications, including a sodium-cooled fast reactor core analysis using Griffin, a fast reactor assembly thermal deformation analysis using MOOSE Tensor Mechanics, and a heat pipe–cooled microreactor coupled analysis using Griffin, Bison, and Sockeye. MOOSE’s Reactor module provides significant advantages compared to the use of external meshing tools when analyzing Cartesian and hexagonal reactor lattices using MOOSE-based applications: immediate accessibility (open-source) to the end user, low barrier to entry for new users, speed of mesh generation, volume preservation of meshed fuel pins, and simplification of analysis workflow when used in conjunction with MOOSE-based applications.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Physics demonstration and verification of MOOSE framework reactor module meshing capabilities

The recently developed Reactor module in the open-source MOOSE framework includes finite element meshing capabilities for analysis of common reactor geometries. Capabilities in the Reactor module have been employed to generate meshes for physics applications including a sodium-cooled fast reactor core analysis using Griffin, a fast reactor assembly thermal deformation analysis using MOOSE Tensor Mechanics, and a heat-pipe cooled microreactor coupled analysis using Griffin, Bison, and Sockeye. The process to build these meshes using MOOSE's meshing capabilities is described. Physics simulation results using MOOSE-based meshes have been verified to match results which leverage external meshing software such as Cubit or Argonne's Mesh Tools. MOOSE's Reactor module provides significant advantages compared to the use of external meshing tools when analyzing Cartesian and hexagonal reactor lattices using MOOSE-based applications: accessibility to the end user, low barrier to entry for new users, speed of mesh generation, volume preservation of meshed fuel pins, and simplification of analysis workflow when using MOOSE applications.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Implementation and Verification of Cable Bending Stiffness in MoorDyn: Preprint

Cable bending stiffness capabilities have been added to MoorDyn to enable modeling of dynamic power cables. The relatively large motions experienced by floating wind turbines and wave energy converters pose a challenge for power cables, whose internal components provide significant bending resistance and are sensitive to deformation. The behavior and associated design considerations of power cables in these highly dynamic applications make coupled analysis relevant for design. MoorDyn is a lumped-mass mooring dynamics model that is used for floating wind energy simulation (often coupled with OpenFAST) and floating wave energy converter simulation (often coupled with WEC-Sim). Its existing line elasticity formulation considers axial stiffness only. To properly capture the dynamics of power cables, a cable bending stiffness model has been added that approximates cable curvature based on the difference in tangent vectors of adjacent line elements. The resulting bending moment is realized by applying forces on adjacent nodes, leaving the underlying lumped-mass formulation unchanged. The bending stiffness implementation is verified in static conditions against analytical solutions and then in a dynamic power cable scenario in comparison with OrcaFlex. The dynamic scenario uses prescribed motions and includes wave loadings on the cable. Results indicate correct implementation of bending stiffness and show close agreement with OrcaFlex.

50 EE - Wind and Water Power Program - Water (EE-4↗

Summary of Pilot Project State Technical Assistance on Multi-Sector Analysis for Electric and Petroleum Fuels

The Oregon Energy Security Plan, (ODOE 2024) published in September 2024, builds a strong case for the state to give acute attention to the fuel supply chain. In December 2024, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) in partnership with Oregon Department of Energy (ODOE), announced a pilot project to conduct an analysis that synthesizes current and projected transportation fuel dynamics, supply chain risks, and risk comparators with relevant sectors, such as transportation electrification, sponsored by the Department of Energy’s (DOE) Office of Cybersecurity, Energy Security, and Emergency Response (CESER). The study, is intended to leverage existing modeling and frameworks from a recent 2024 sector coupling analysis supported by the DOEs Office of Electricity (OE) (B. Mitra, S. Pal, et al., Coupling of the Electricity and Transportation Sectors - Part I: Sector Overviews 2024) (B. Mitra, S. Pal and J. Reeve, et al. 2024). While the PNNL team set out to conduct a quantitative risk analysis driven by detailed data that synthesizes current and projected transportation fuel dynamics, supply chain risks, and risk comparators with relevant sectors. The intention was to provide an approach that could be extendable to other parts of the country. They encountered data limitations and adjusted their approach accordingly. This report summarizes PNNL's original plan for executing the study, including limitations for obtaining data requirements for fuel flows and interim products, as well as a risk matrix that can be used to identify supply chain risks.

02 PETROLEUM↗

Transitioning from Simulation to Reality: Applying Chatter Detection Models to Real-World Machining Data

Chatter, a self-excited vibration phenomenon, is a critical challenge in high-speed machining operations, affecting tool life, product surface quality, and overall process efficiency. While machine learning models trained on simulated data have shown promise in detecting chatter, their real-world applicability remains uncertain due to discrepancies between simulated and actual machining environments. The primary goal of this study is to bridge the gap between simulation-based machine learning models and real-world applications by developing and validating a Random Forest-based chatter detection system. This research focuses on improving manufacturing efficiency through reliable chatter detection by integrating Operational Modal Analysis (OMA), Receptance Coupling Substructure Analysis (RCSA), and Transfer Learning (TL). The study applies a Random Forest classification model trained on over 140,000 simulated machining datasets, incorporating techniques like Operational Modal Analysis (OMA), Receptance Coupling Substructure Analysis (RCSA), and Transfer Learning (TL) to adapt the model for real-world operational data. The model is validated against 1600 real-world machining datasets, achieving an accuracy of 86.1%, with strong precision and recall scores. The results demonstrate the model’s robustness and potential for practical implementation in industrial settings, highlighting challenges such as sensor noise and variability in machining conditions. This work advances the use of predictive analytics in machining processes, offering a data-driven solution to improve manufacturing efficiency through more reliable chatter detection.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Image Analysis for Rapid Assessment and Quality-Based Sorting of Corn Stover

Imaging in the visible spectrum is a low-cost tool that can be readily deployed for in-field or over-belt monitoring of biomass quality for bio-refining operations. Rapid image analysis coupled with innovative preprocessing may reduce the impacts of feedstock variability through identification of contaminants or other material attributes to guide selective sorting and quality management. Image analysis was employed to evaluate the quality of corn stover in red-green-blue (RGB) chromatic space. This study used controlled, bench-scale imaging as a proof-of-concept for rapid quality assessment of corn stover based on variations in material attributes, including chemical and physical attributes, that relate to biological degradation and soil contamination. Additionally, logistic regression-based classification algorithms were used to develop a method for biomass screening as a function of biological degradation or soil contamination. This study demonstrated the use of image analysis to extract features from RGB color space to investigate variations in critical material attributes from chemical composition of corn stover. Fourier transform infrared (FT-IR) suggested a correlation between red band intensity and biological degradation, while detailed surface texture analysis was found to distinguish among variations in ash. These insights offer promise for development of a rapid screening tool that could be deployed by farmers for in-field assessment of biomass quality or biorefinery operators for in-line sorting and process optimization.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

Updates to the n+ 63,65 Cu RRR+URR Evaluations [Slides]

This work updates neutron reactions on 63,65 Cu. It also discusses the motivations of the research which is to correct deficiencies in benchmark performance since critical assembly configurations use Cu as a reflector. This presentation discusses the incorporation of URR parameters fit to 2017 63 Cu(n, γ) measurement by Weigand et al., as well as preliminary work on angular distributions and states that validation against copper-sensitive ICSBEP benchmarks is ongoing. The presentation concludes by stating that R -matrix analysis coupled to consistent average parameters used in the URR have been performed for 63,65 Cu isotopes, that future work will focus on the angular distributions, and that an analysis of additional data measured on natural Cu sample is in progress.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Implementation and Verification of Cable Bending Stiffness in MoorDyn

The relatively large motions experienced by floating wind turbines and wave energy converters pose a challenge for power cables, whose internal components provide significant bending resistance and are sensitive to deformation. The behavior and associated design considerations of power cables in these highly dynamic applications make coupled analysis relevant for design. Bending stiffness capabilities have recently been added to the lumped-mass mooring dynamics model MoorDyn to enable simulation of dynamic power cables. MoorDyn is a common modeling choice for floating wind energy simulation (often coupled with OpenFAST) and floating wave energy converter simulation (often coupled with WEC-Sim) but the model’s previous line elasticity formulation only considered axial stiffness. To properly capture the dynamics of power cables, a bending stiffness model has been added that approximates cable curvature based on the difference in tangent vectors of adjacent elements. The resulting bending moment is realized by applying forces on adjacent nodes, enabling cable modeling while leaving the underlying lumped-mass formulation unchanged. In this paper, the new bending stiffness implementation is verified in static conditions against analytical solutions and then in a dynamic power cable scenario in comparison with the commercial simulator OrcaFlex. The dynamic scenario uses prescribed motions and includes wave loadings on the cable. Results indicate correct implementation of bending stiffness and show close agreement with OrcaFlex.

50 EE - Wind and Water Power Program - Water (EE-4↗

Multi-stage heat release of multi-component fuels: Insights and implications for advanced engine operation

Multi-stage heat release (MSHR) is a unique phenomenon typically seen in lean/diluted and low- to intermediate-temperature combustion. Despite its relevance to advanced engine operation, the MSHR of multi-component fuels has barely been quantified. This study aims to characterize the MSHR of multi-component fuels in a rapid compression machine (RCM) at conditions representative of advanced combustion engines. New experimental data are first reported in the RCM at an equivalence ratio of 0.4, pressure of 60 bar and temperatures from 702 to 795 K for a research grade, multi-component gasoline surrogate, termed PACE-20. Here, experiments confirm the existence of MSHR for PACE-20 at all temperatures, and reveal the strong inhibiting effect of temperature on MSHR, where increasing temperature inhibits MSHR by suppressing first stage heat release and promoting second and third stage heat release. A detailed chemical kinetic model is also adopted to model the experiments, with good agreement observed. The response of MSHR characteristics to changes in different engine operating parameters (i.e., temperature, pressure, equivalence ratio and CO 2 dilution level) and fuel compositions (i.e., mole fraction of n-pentane, n-heptane, isooctane, cyclopentane, 1-hexene, ethanol and aromatics in PACE-20) is further evaluated via statistical analysis coupling quasi-random sampling, extensive computer experiments and high-dimensional model representation. The change in MSHR is characterized through 8 quantities of interest (QOIs), i.e., duration and extent of each heat release stage, and their standard deviations. The analysis highlights the dependence of the QOIs on the individual parameters as well as their interplays, with temperature exhibiting the strongest impact among all parameters. Furthermore, it is demonstrated that if MSHR is to be facilitated and combustion phasing is to be extended to enable engine operation at higher compression ratios, it is recommended to operate the engine at low intake temperatures, boosted intake pressures and high CO 2 dilutions (i.e., high EGR levels) with gasoline fuels containing more n-pentane and less aromatics.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Developing Data-Driven Synthetic Infrastructure Models for Resilience Analysis

Research on infrastructure resilience has produced promising methods to simulate and optimize complex networks to improve performance. However, restrictions on sharing infrastructure models and the steep cost of developing and maintaining infrastructure models presents a roadblock to adoption. To overcome this limitation, this research focuses on methods to create data-driven infrastructure models that will help improve infrastructure resilience and security. The analysis couples incomplete utility data, geospatial data, machine learning, and synthetic network generation methods to rapidly develop and update infrastructure models. The methods are validated using realistic utility models and site-specific data, with a focus on Puerto Rico due to its unique infrastructure challenges and available data. This research highlights promising opportunities for the use of synthetic network generation and machine learning to create infrastructure models when very little data is available. Results demonstrate that hybrid methods, which combine sparse utility data with synthetic models, can enhance model accuracy, and machine learning can predict model attributes using training data from other models. However, the complexity of infrastructure systems means that even minor changes in network connectivity can significantly impact simulation results. Resilience analysis using synthetic infrastructure models shows that while some system behaviors are preserved, the magnitude of disruptions may not be accurately represented, indicating the need for more research and validation before using synthetic models for critical infrastructure investment decisions. The framework outlined in this report represents a significant advance to infrastructure model development and could be applied to additional domains and sites. Future research will continue to streamline and validate methods to help reduce roadblocks to resilience analysis.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Unstructured mesh-based multi-physics reactor transient simulation with iMC code

In this study, we present a time-dependent Monte Carlo simulation result about a complex fuel-loaded light water reactor system with thermal-hydraulic feedback using the KAIST iMC code. The intra-pin temperature distribution is calculated based on Monte Carlo-tallied detailed power distribution and the finite element heat transfer method. The temperature effect of fuel, absorber, and coolant are adequately reflected into the dynamic response by the on-the-fly Doppler broadened cross-section correction. For the time-dependent Monte Carlo transport simulation, the predictor-corrector quasi-static Monte Carlo method is used for this study. We tested the coupled analysis framework with a 17-by-17 fuel assembly loaded with the centrally-shielded burnable absorber (CSBA) fuel element. The temperature feedback effect on the material cross-section and the moderator density incurred negative reactivity in response to the external positive reactivity insertion, showing the inherent stability of the reactor system. The pin-wise power and temperature change during the system transient are presented and discussed. (authors)

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Exploring poly-crystallization in semiconductors through assumption-less growth simulations: CdTe/CdS case study

Crystal growth is a complex process with far-reaching implications for high-performance materials across various fields. Recent advancements in structural analysis methods such as polyhedral template matching, which allows semiconductor-specific analysis, coupled with simulation technology, have enabled the comprehensive study of crystallization dynamics in semiconductors. However, the exploration of polycrystalline semiconductors created with minimal external intervention of the crystallization processes is relatively uncharted in comparison with metals. In this study, we employ molecular dynamics to simulate the growth of polycrystalline CdTe/CdS with the assumptions of classical mechanics, a Stillinger–Weber potential, an amorphous substrate, and common vapor growth conditions to allow the polycrystalline structures to evolve naturally. Post-simulation, we identify and analyze impactful structures and events, comparing them to theory and experiment to gain insight into various modes of crystallization dynamics. Two research questions guided the study: (1) How realistic are assumption-less simulated polycrystalline semiconductor structures? (2) To what extent can the approach provide insight into crystallization? The simulations, performed with minimal external control, yield polycrystalline structures mirroring experimental findings. The analysis reveals key crystallization insights, such as the role of amorphous atoms in the transition from nucleation to grain growth and the transformative impact of single events, such as dislocations, on crystallization dynamics. The method paves the way for reproducing and analyzing realistic polycrystalline semiconductor structures with minimal simulation assumptions across various growth modes.

Abdullah, Sharmin↗

Event-Based Analysis of Solar Power Distribution Feeder Using Micro-PMU Measurements

Solar distribution feeders are commonly used in solar farms that are integrated into distribution substations. In this paper, we focus on a real-world solar distribution feeder and conduct an event-based analysis by using micro-PMU measurements. The solar distribution feeder of interest is a behind-the-meter solar farm with a generation capacity of over 4 MW that has about 200 low-voltage distributed photovoltaic (PV) inverters. The event-based analysis in this study seeks to address the following practical matters. First, we conduct event detection by using an unsupervised machine learning approach. For each event, we determine the event’s source region by an impedancebased analysis, coupled with a descriptive analytic method. We segregate the events that are caused by the solar farm, i.e., locallyinduced events, versus the events that are initiated in the grid, i.e., grid-induced events, which caused a response by the solar farm. Second, for the locally-induced events, we examine the impact of solar production level and other significant parameters to make statistical conclusions. Third, for the grid-induced events, we characterize the response of the solar farm; and make comparisons with the response of an auxiliary neighboring feeder to the same events. Fourth, we scrutinize multiple specific events; such as by revealing the dynamics to the control system of the solar distribution feeder. The results and discoveries in this study are informative to utilities and solar power industry.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Triple oxygen and hydrogen stable isotope composition of water in Murchison carbonaceous chondrite accessed by thermogravimetry-enabled laser spectroscopy

For this work, we have developed the capability to measure 17 O/ 16 O in H 2 O and OH - of hydrous minerals by a technique using thermogravimetric analysis coupled with isotope ratio infrared spectroscopy (TGA-IRIS) on a suite of liquid water standards, terrestrial mineral standards, multi-mineral synthetic mixtures of terrestrial samples, and Murchison carbonaceous chondrite. This 17 O/ 16 O analytical capability is combined with the previously developed TGA-IRIS capability of 18 O/ 16 O, which enables us to calculate Δ `17 O values. Additionally, we have made 2 H/ 1 H measurements by TGA-IRIS on the suite of materials. Analyses of 328 standard water samples sealed into silver tubes (0.25 μL, 174 VSMOW and 154 GISP) analyzed over the course of three years yielded δ 18 O values by TGA-IRIS with precision of ±0.30 ‰, δ 17 O of ±0.24 ‰, Δ `17 O of ±0.126 ‰, and δ 2 H ± 7.5 ‰ (± 1 Std. Dev.). TGA-IRIS analyses of a suite of hydrous minerals (oxy-hydroxide, mica, serpentines, sulfide, phyllosillicates) yields similar precision. TGA-IRIS analyses of the CM2 carbonaceous chondrite Murchison resulted in δ 18 O, δ 17 O, Δ `17 O, and δ 2 H values of the H 2 O and/or OH - from its hydrous minerals. Δ `17 O values of Murchison H 2 O range from 1.034 ‰ at 350 °C, to -0.368 ‰ at 650 °C, to -1.75 ‰ at 850 °C. TGA-IRIS can generate Δ `17 O values of H 2 O and/or OH - in hydrous materials that are well within the precision needed for the analysis of meteoritic samples, as well as samples returned from asteroids, such as Ryugu and Bennu.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Robust PCA-Deep Belief Network Surrogate Model for Distribution System Topology Identification with DERs

With the expansion of distribution networks and increased penetration of distributed energy resources (DERs), it is becoming increasingly important to obtain accurate distribution network topology in real-time. In this paper, a robust principal component analysis coupled deep belief network (PCA-DBN) surrogate model is proposed for distribution system topology identification. It integrates the benefits of robust feature extraction from PCA to deal with data quality issues and filter out noise, and the strength of DBN in capturing the nonlinear relationship between voltage amplitudes and the binary states of switchable connections. This also significantly reduces the DBN training complexity without loss of accuracy. It is shown that the widely used standard deviation of voltage drop and the voltage covariance matrix features yield less accuracy as compared to that of the voltage amplitudes in presence of high penetration of DERs and ZIP loads. Comparison results with other alternatives, such as the random forest (RF), multi-output regression (MOR) and the traditional DBN methods demonstrate that the proposed method can achieve a much higher topology identification accuracy while maintaining robustness to missing data and measurement noise under various penetration levels of DERs.

deep belief network↗