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At least 55 records · Page 3

Reduced‐Order Probabilistic Emulation of Physics‐Based Ring Current Models: Application to RAM‐SCB Particle Flux

Abstract In this work, we address the computational challenge of large‐scale physics‐based simulation models for the ring current. Reduced computational cost allows for significantly faster than real‐time forecasting, enhancing our ability to predict and respond to dynamic changes in the ring current, valuable for space weather monitoring and mitigation efforts. Additionally, it can also be used for a comprehensive investigation of the system. Thus, we aim to create an emulator for the Ring current‐Atmosphere interactions Model with Self‐Consistent magnetic field (RAM‐SCB) particle flux that not only improves efficiency but also facilitates forecasting with reliable estimates of prediction uncertainties. The probabilistic emulator is built upon the methodology developed by Licata and Mehta (2023), https://doi.org/10.1029/2022sw003345 . A novel discrete sampling is used to identify 30 simulation periods over 20 years of solar and geomagnetic activity. Focusing on a subset of particle flux, we use Principal Component Analysis for dimensionality reduction and Long Short‐Term Memory (LSTM) neural networks to perform dynamic modeling. Hyperparameter space was explored extensively resulting in about 5% median symmetric accuracy across all data sets for one‐step dynamic prediction. Using a hierarchical ensemble of LSTMs, we have developed a reduced‐order probabilistic emulator (ROPE) tailored for time‐series forecasting of particle flux in the ring current. This ROPE offers accurate predictions of omnidirectional flux at a single energy with no pitch angle information, providing robust predictions on the test set with an error score below 11% and calibration scores under 8% with bias under 2% providing a significant speed up as compared to the full RAM‐SCB run.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

A windowed mean trajectory approximation for condensed phase dynamics

We propose a trajectory-based quasi-classical method for approximating dynamics in condensed phase systems. Building upon the previously developed optimized mean trajectory approximation that has been used to compute linear and nonlinear spectra, we borrow some ideas from filtering trajectory methods to obtain a novel semiclassical method for the dynamical propagation of density matrices. This new approximation is tested rigorously against standard multistate electronic models, spin-boson models, and models of the Fenna–Matthews–Olson complex. For dissipative systems, the current method is significantly better or as good as many other semiclassical methods available, especially at low temperatures and for off-diagonal density matrix elements, whereas for scattering models, the current method bears similar limitations as mean-field propagation schemes. All results are tested against the numerically exact hierarchical equations of motion method. In conclusion, the new method shows excellent agreement across various parameter regimes with numerically exact results, highlighting the robustness and accuracy of our approach.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Three-Dimensional Heat Flux and Thermal Analysis of Angled Tungsten Samples on DIII-D

ITER-grade tungsten and dispersoid-strengthened tungsten samples with the top surface angled at ~15° towards the incident plasma flux were exposed to 9 H-mode discharges with edge-localized modes (ELMs) in the lower divertor of DIII-D tokamak using the Divertor Material Evaluation System (DiMES). Surface damage included cracking and flaking of material on the two samples farthest away from the plasma strike point, and significant melting of the two samples closest to the strike point. Heat flux and thermal analysis tools new to DIII-D have been applied to better understand this material response and to help optimize the exposure conditions for future experiments. SMITER field-line tracing simulations based on IRTV data and EFIT equilibria estimate an average inter-ELM perpendicular heat flux, 𝑞⊥,𝑖nter−𝐸LM , on the angled surfaces of 10.1 – 19.6 MW/m² for a majority of the 9 discharges, increasing to 15.6 – 24.5 MW/m² for the single, higher-power shot where samples melted. Fast camera data showed shallow intra-ELM melting and re-solidification, which transitioned to bulk inter-ELM melting with melt motion in the 𝐽⃗ 𝑥 𝐵⃗ direction. About 50% of the protruding volume of the most affected sample was displaced via melt-motion. SIERRA thermal modeling software was able to reproduce an onset time of melting consistent with fast camera data and final sample conditions, within < 200 ms. Maximum surface temperatures of 3122 K and 2787 K are estimated for the samples farthest away from the strike point, while the closest samples achieve melting at 4067 ms and 4750 ms into the ~5000 ms plasma exposure. A +10% increase in both the SMITER 𝑞⊥,𝑖nter−𝐸LM calculations and the estimated ELM heat loads 𝑞⊥, 𝐸LM was required to achieve this result, which is within the uncertainty of the diagnostic data but likely accounts for non-ideal geometry effects plus other physics uncertainties not included in this first iteration of modeling. This work provided valuable estimates of the 3D temperature evolution to help better understand the observed surface morphology and internal recrystallization of samples, which are discussed in detail in a complementary manuscript [1]. Benchmarking efforts with more diagnosed DIII-D experiments are underway to further refine the SMITER and SIERRA models for DiMES. Future use of these tools will enable researchers to precisely target heat flux exposure conditions in DIII-D to test, but not exceed, the thermomechanical limitations of novel plasma-facing materials.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Poisson-response Tensor-on-Tensor Regression and Applications

We introduce Poisson-response tensor-on-tensor regression (PToTR), a novel regression framework designed to handle tensor responses composed element-wise of random Poisson-distributed counts. Tensors, or multi-dimensional arrays, composed of counts are common data in fields such as inter national relations, social networks, epidemiology, and medical imaging, where events occur across multiple dimensions like time, location, and dyads. PToTR accommodates such tensor responses alongside tensor covariates, providing a versatile tool for multi dimensional data analysis. We propose algorithms for maximum likelihood estimation under a canonical polyadic (CP) structure on the regression coefficient tensor that satisfy the positivity of Poisson parameters and then provide an initial theoretical error analysis for PToTR estimators. We also demonstrate the utility of PToTR through three concrete applications: longitudinal data analysis of the Integrated Crisis Early Warning System database, positron emission tomography (PET) image reconstruction, and change-point detection of communication patterns in longitudinal dyadic data. These applications highlight the versatility of PToTR in addressing complex, structured count data across various domains.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Generation of lognormal synthetic Lyman-α forest spectra for P 1 D analysis

The one-dimensional flux power spectrum (P 1 D ) of the Lyman-α forest probes small-scale structure in the intergalactic medium (IGM) and is therefore sensitive to a variety of cosmological and astrophysical parameters. These include the amplitude and shape of the matter power spectrum, the thermal history of the IGM, the sum of neutrino masses, and potential small-scale fluctuations due to the nature of dark matter. However, P 1 D is also highly sensitive to observational and instrumental systematics, making accurate synthetic spectra essential for validating analyses and quantifying these effects, especially in high-volume surveys like the Dark Energy Spectroscopic Instrument (DESI). We present an efficient lognormal mock framework for generating one-dimensional Lyman-α forest spectra tailored for P 1 D analysis. Our method captures the redshift evolution of the mean transmitted flux and the scale-dependent shape and amplitude of the one-dimensional flux power spectrum by tuning Gaussian field correlations and transformation parameters. Across the DESI Early Data Release (EDR) redshift range (2.0 ≤ z ≤ 3.8), and a wide range of scales (10 -4 s km -1 ≤ k ≤ 1.0 s km -1 ), our mocks recover the mean flux evolution with redshift to sub-percent accuracy, and the P 1 D at the percent level. Additionally, we discuss potential extensions of this framework, such as the incorporation of astrophysical contaminants, continuum uncertainties, and instrumental effects. Such improvements would expand its utility in ongoing and upcoming surveys and enable a broader range of validation efforts and systematics studies for P 1 D inference and precision cosmology.

Lyman alpha forest↗

Machine learning analysis of high-repetition-rate two-dimensional Thomson scattering spectra from laser-produced plasmas

With the emergence of high-repetition-rate two-dimensional Thomson scattering (TS) measurements, improving spectral data analysis is a key area of interest. Here, we present a new way to derive the electron temperature and density of laser-driven blast waves in plasmas from their TS spectra with machine learning (ML). This analysis occurs in both the non-collective (α < 1) and collective (α > 1) scattering regimes with the goal of autonomously and more accurately determining T c and n e both where spectral data has been collected and to give the ability to predict these attributes in regions where data has not been collected. We introduce three ML models, one trained only on experimental data, one only on synthetic data, and one using transfer learning, and compare their speed and accuracy with the conventional TS inversion algorithms in the open source PlasmaPy python package.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Applicability of 1D site response analysis to shallow sedimentary basins: A critical evaluation through physics-based 3D ground motion simulations

One-dimensional site response analysis (1D SRA) remains the standard practice in considering the effect of local soil deposits and predicting site-specific ground motions, although its range of applicability to realistic seismic wavefields is still in question. In this 1D approach, horizontal and vertical ground shaking are assumed to be induced by vertically propagating shear and compressional waves, respectively. A recent study based on analytical two-dimensional (2D) plane waves and simple point source earthquake simulations has shown two mechanistic limitations in this 1D modelling technique for general inclined seismic waves, that is, systematic over-prediction of the vertical motion and wave trapping in the 1D soil column. In this article, we evaluate in detail the applicability of this 1D modelling approach to realistic three-dimensional (3D) simulated seismic wavefields in shallow sedimentary basins. Linear-viscoelastic 1D SRA predictions using two types of input motions that are commonly used in practice—rock outcrop and in-column motions, are compared with the reference true site response results from 3D earthquake simulations in terms of various measures in the frequency and time domain. It is shown that the horizontal motion in the 3D seismic wavefield exhibits dominant shear wave propagation phenomenon, while the vertical motion is a combined effect of compressional and shear waves and can be over-predicted by the 1D approach when the incident seismic waves are inclined. Direct evidence of the wave refraction process that leads to the vertical motion over-prediction is provided. 1D SRA with in-column inputs can yield motions that have significantly longer duration compared to the true 3D site response solution due to trapped waves, casting in doubt the frequent need for increased soil damping in existing site studies to compensate for wave attenuation due to scattering alone. Sensitivity investigation on the increase of soil profile damping by a multiplier D mul shows D mul values compatible with those found in the literature for both horizontal and vertical motions. It is shown that the level of D mul optimized for a best match of the spectral acceleration is dependent on the characteristic of the input motion and a larger D mul is typically required for the vertical component. In contrast, 1D SRA with outcrop motions predicts motions with shorter significant duration due to its inability to capture the basin-edge generated surface waves. A suite of ground motion simulations was performed to assess the sensitivity of the observations to the basin geologic structure including the velocity gradient, rock-basin impedance contrast and basin depth. The analysis results show that the accuracy of the simplified 1D procedure is dependent on the wavefield composition of both the input motions and the true 3D site response solution. While the horizontal motions in shallow sedimentary basins can, to the first order, be reasonably captured by the simplified 1D approach, 1D SRA for the vertical component is in general not reliable and contributions from inclined shear waves should be accounted for in site-specific evaluation of the vertical design ground motion.

1D assumption↗

New Mobility Technology Assessment - Benefits, Risks, and Safety

The age of vehicle automation is upon us. The fundamental perception and control technology is maturing as we speak (and write) with robo-taxis proliferating in select US cities. The news cycle is no longer filled with technological skepticism, but rather societal commentary on our collective response and use of the technology. This maturing of the technology is also accompanied by a renaissance in new types of urban movement technology to more effectively link people with goods, services, and employment, particularly in dense development areas where vehicle congestion (even automated vehicles) prevents high quality mobility. The National Renewable Energy Laboratory, through the DOE Clean Energy to Communities (C2C) program has worked with two jurisdictions to assess the benefits, risks, and safety concerns for a new product offering based on suspended cable technology which is fully automated and proposes an aerial network of self-propelled gondolas. The recognized need, independent of the technology, is to fairly assess the benefits of the proposed transportation system, assess its technical maturity, as well as risks and safety concerns. Using this new technology as an example, a technology represented by Swyft Cities, NREL developed a succession of mini-studies that characterized the technical maturity level, assessed the proposed benefits for Greenville, SC, examined the risks involved in moving forward with an emerging mobility technology, and determined the governing safety protocols and standards that are applicable to the space. These mini-case studies, though centered on Swyft Cities aerial automated gondola technology, are highly transferable to any type of new mobility technology and lays out a repeatable process for assessing new technology within an city or community context.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Verification and Demonstration of One-Dimensional Freezing Model in SAM for Salt-Cooled Reactor Analysis Applications

This work presented the development and implementation of the one-dimensional freezing model in system analysis code, SAM, as well as code verification, and code demonstration during a postulated overcooling transient, for fluoride salt-cooled high-temperature reactor (FHR) system and safety analysis applications. The paper at first summarized the freezing model, finite element numerical method, and special numerical treatment for handling phase appearance/disappearance. Analytical solutions were derived for two cases (with and without solid walls) for code verifications purpose. As expected, numerical results predicted by the SAM code agreed very well with the analytical solution. A code demonstration was then performed on a postulated protected overcooling event transient of a generic reference PB-FHR design. The code was found to successfully predict salt freezing during such a postulated event. However, due to lack of salt freezing testing data, code validation has not been performed in this work, which will be pursued in later studies when such data becomes available.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Imaging Three-Dimensional Molecular Structure and Dynamics with Multiparticle Covariance and Cumulant Coulomb Explosion Analysis

Coulomb explosion imaging (CEI) provides a direct means of imaging molecular geometry by correlating fragment ion momenta following the fragmentation of a molecular polycation. Here, we demonstrate the use of three-body covariance and four-body cumulant analysis to extract three-dimensional (3D) structural information from the X-ray-induced Coulomb explosion of tert-butyl iodide (C4H9I). Site-selective ionization at the iodine 4d edge with intense femtosecond soft X-ray pulses from an X-ray free-electron laser (XFEL) enables rapid charge buildup and molecular breakup. By correlating ionic fragments in the molecular frame, we isolate complete dissociation channels and reveal subtle structural changes, such as umbrella-type motion of the branched alkyl chain, during the ionization process. Comparison with point-charge simulations of the Coulomb explosion shows close agreement, validating the approach. Furthermore, these results establish covariance/cumulant mapping as a powerful strategy for imaging complex three-dimensional molecular structures and point the way toward time-resolved CEI using both XFEL and tabletop sources for capturing ultrafast structural dynamics.

Imaging↗

Accurate measurement of porosity size and morphology in aluminium alloy laser welds

Conventional two-dimensional optical microscopy is the most common tool for capturing and quantifying keyhole collapse porosity and other defects formed during the laser welding of aluminium alloys. This approach is of limited utility since only a single longitudinal or transverse metallographic cross-section, comprising only a small fraction of the overall weld volume, can be extracted or analysed at a time. X-ray computed tomography tools, on the other hand, enable three-dimensional visualisation and analysis of porosity and defects to be made across the full weld volume. When comparing these two measurement techniques, two-dimensional microscopy tools significantly underestimated the fraction of defects present within the weld at levels between 50% and 80%. Three-dimensional x-ray computed tomography tools also provide a means for accurately characterising the location, size and morphology of irregularly shaped defects. By categorising the defect shapes using a Zingg's shape analysis, in which the distribution of defect morphologies could be quantified as disk, rod and spherical shapes, a transition in defect morphology moving from stationary beam to oscillating beam welds was detected and quantified.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Four-Dimensional Quasielastic Neutron Scattering (4D-QENS) Analysis of Correlated Ionic Conduction in Sr⁢Cl2

Methods of elucidating the mechanisms of fast-ion conduction in solid-state materials are pivotal for advancements in energy technologies such as batteries, fuel cells, sensors, and supercapacitors. In this study, we examine the ionic conduction pathways in single crystal Sr⁢Cl2, which is a fast-ion conductor above 900 K, using four-dimensional quasielastic neutron scattering (4D-QENS). We explore both coherent and incoherent neutron scattering at temperatures above the transition temperature into the superionic phase to explore the correlated motion of hopping anions. Refinements of the incoherent QENS yield residence times and jump probabilities between lattice sites in good agreement with previous studies, confirming that ionic hopping along nearest-neighbor directions is the most probable conduction pathway. However, the coherent QENS reveals evidence of de Gennes narrowing, indicating the importance of ionic correlations in the conduction mechanism. This highlights the need for improvements both in the theory of ionic transport in fluorite compounds and the modeling of coherent 4D-QENS in single crystals.

Coles, Jared [Materials Science Division, Argonne ↗

High-speed particle analysis using forward and backward two-dimensional angular optical scattering

Measurement of two-dimensional angle-resolved optical scattering (TAOS) patterns is an attractive technique for detecting and characterizing micron-sized high-speed flying particles. The elastic-scattering intensity pattern from a single particle as a function of spherical coordinate angles θ and ϕ provides detailed information on the particle’s morphology. By use of an ellipsoidal reflector and a high-speed CCD camera, scattering from a CW-laser was detected and resolved over a large angular range (θ from 12° to 168° and ϕ from 0° to 360°) from spherically shaped particles (e.g., amorphous silica and borosilicate glass) flowing through the reflector’s focal plane at speeds of 20 to 30 m/s. The scattering pattern from individual particles flying through the focal plane of the ellipsoid mirror provides insights about a particle’s size, clustering, roughness, and velocity.

Optics and optical instruments↗

MHD Analysis of Dual-Coolant Lead-Lithium Blanket for Spherical Tokamak Advanced Reactor

The tritium breeding blanket is vital for future fusion power plants, with the Spherical Tokamak Advanced Reactor (STAR) project highlighting the dual-coolant lead-lithium (DCLL) design. The DCLL blanket performs shielding, energy exhaust, and tritium breeding using a lead-lithium alloy , with lithium as the breeder and lead as the neutron multiplier. It also serves as the primary coolant, with helium providing supplemental cooling. Reduced-activation ferritic/martensitic steel is used for the blanket structure. Magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) phenomena influence the liquid metal flow in a magnetic field, affecting heat transfer in the breeder affected by energetic neutrons. Understanding key flow parameters in such conditions is critical for efficient DCLL design. This study uses three-dimensional thermofluid MHD analysis with ANSYS CFX software, modified at Princeton Plasma Physics Laboratory, to simulate high Hartmann flows. The neutronics code MCNP, coupled with plasma equilibrium, provides heat source distribution. In conclusion, we examine electromagnetic interactions in adjacent fluid domains and analyze the magnetic field’s impact on flow distribution in the inboard and outboard blanket layout, using detailed mesh generation for accurate results.

DCLL↗

3D pore structure reconstruction of fluff region in top of EBR-II irradiated fuel by X-ray micro-computed tomography

Metallic fuels comprised of U-Zr binary and U-Pu-Zr ternary alloys are a promising fuel candidate for sodium-cooled fast reactors and possess many advantages over ceramic fuels such as higher uranium density and improved thermal conductivity. Fluff is a highly porous structure forming at the top of metallic fuel slugs during irradiation and was extensively observed in past sodium-cooled fast reactor (SFR) experiments such as Idaho National Laboratory’s Experimental Breeder Reactor II (EBR-II). Previous investigations have shown that fluff is rich in fissile atoms and hence could have neutronics implications, but its formation mechanisms are not understood. In this work, two cube-shaped lift outs were taken from the fluff and bulk fuel regions of a high burnup U-19Pu-10Zr composition EBR-II fuel slug and characterized by micro computed tomography (Micro-CT) and energy dispersive x-ray spectroscopy (EDS). This was used to characterize differences in microscale porosity and composition between fluff and bulk fuel, and to support or oppose postulated fluff formation mechanisms. Surface EDS showed minimal differences between the elemental compositions of the fluff and fuel cubes. However, three-dimensional (3D) pore analysis from the tomography scans showed significant differences between the fluff and fuel cube pore size distributions at the microscale level. The high porosity and irregular pore distribution seen in macroscale fluff was also present within the micro-scale fluff cube, having a much higher porosity than the fuel cube which was concentrated in a few large pore networks. In conclusion, these results indicate support for a creep driven mechanism of fluff formation.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

A Unified Analytical Method Greenness Score ( uAMGS ) Quantifies How Microscopic Imaging Is Greener Than Conventional Liquid Chromatography

Green chemistry is a set of principles for assessing, developing, and implementing methods that are safer, more efficient, and less detrimental to the environment. The analytical method greenness score (AMGS) is one of many metrics that attempt to evaluate traditional liquid chromatography (LC) based on the energy consumption of the instrument and the safety, health risks, and environmental impact of the solvents employed. Unfortunately, in practice, the AMGS is primarily focused on traditional separation methods in the pharmaceutical industry and is not amenable to cutting-edge separation science, including miniaturization. To broaden this scope, the unified Analytical Method Greenness Score (uAMGS) is presented here, which clarifies and expands on the underlying mathematics and incorporates both dimensional and uncertainty analysis, enabling its application to a broader range of analytical techniques. The uAMGS is used to compare the greenness of two distinct methods: single-molecule microscopy (SMM) and high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC), which were used to collect equivalent data. uAMGS determines that SMM is significantly greener than HPLC due primarily to decreased solvent consumption. Overall, the uAMGS should allow chemists ranging from undergraduates to industrial PhDs to assess the greenness of a wide range of separations.

chemical separations↗

Direct mechanistic connection between acoustic signals and melt pool morphology during laser powder bed fusion

Various nondestructive diagnostic techniques have been proposed for in situ process monitoring of laser powder bed fusion (LPBF), including melt pool pyrometry, whole-layer optical imaging, acoustic emission, atomic emission spectroscopy, high speed melt pool imaging, and thermionic emission. Correlations between these in situ monitoring signals and defect formation have been demonstrated with acoustic signals having been shown to predict pore formation with especially high confidence in recent machine learning studies. Here, in this work, time-resolved acoustic data are collected in both the conduction and keyhole welding regimes of LPBF-processed Ti-6Al-4V alloy. A non-dimensionalized Strouhal number analysis, used in whistle aeroacoustics, is applied to demonstrate that the acoustic signals recorded in the keyhole regimes can be directly associated with the vapor depression morphology. This mechanistic understanding developed from whistle aeroacoustics shows that acoustic monitoring during the LPBF process can provide a direct probe into the vapor depression dynamics and defect occurrence, especially in the keyhole regimes relevant to printing and defect formation.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗