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At least 55 records · Page 3

Species interactions amplify functional group responses to elevated CO 2 and N enrichment in a 24‐year grassland experiment

Abstract Plant functional groups (FGs) differ in their response to global changes, although species within those groups also vary in such responses. Both species and FG responses to global change are likely influenced by species interactions such as inter‐specific competition and facilitation, which are prevalent in species mixtures but not monocultures. As most studies focus on responses of plants growing in either monocultures or mixtures, but rarely both, it remains unclear how interspecific interactions in diverse ecological communities, especially among species in different FGs, modify FG responses to global changes. To address these issues, we leveraged data from a 16‐species, 24‐year perennial grassland experiment to examine plant FG biomass responses to atmospheric CO 2 , and N inputs at different planted diversity. FGs differed in their responses to N and CO 2 treatments in monocultures. Such differences were amplified in mixtures, where N enrichment strongly increased C3 grass success at ambient CO 2 and C4 grass success at elevated CO 2 . Legumes declined with N enrichment in mixtures at both CO 2 levels and increased with elevated CO 2 in the initial years of the experiment. Our results suggest that previous studies that considered responses to global changes in monocultures may underestimate biomass changes in diverse communities where interspecific interactions can amplify responses. Such effects of interspecific interactions on responses of FGs to global change may impact community composition over time and consequently influence ecosystem functions.

Mohanbabu, Neha↗

A neotropical perspective on the uniqueness of the Holocene among interglacials

Abstract Understanding how tropical systems have responded to large-scale climate change, such as glacial-interglacial oscillations, and how human impacts have altered those responses is key to current and future ecology. A sedimentary record recovered from Lake Junín, in the Peruvian Andes (4085 m elevation) spans the last 670,000 years and represents the longest continuous and empirically-dated record of tropical vegetation change to date. Spanning seven glacial-interglacial oscillations, fossil pollen and charcoal recovered from the core showed the general dominance of grasslands, although during the warmest times some Andean forest trees grew above their modern limits near the lake. Fire was very rare until the last 12,000 years, when humans were in the landscape. Here we show that, due to human activity, our present interglacial, the Holocene, has a distinctive vegetation composition and ecological trajectory compared with six previous interglacials. Our data reinforce the view that modern vegetation assemblages of high Andean grasslands and the presence of a defined tree line are aspects of a human-modified landscape.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Baltimore Ecosystem Study: Soil atmosphere fluxes of carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide and methane, 1998 - ongoing

The Baltimore Ecosystem Study (BES) established a network of long-term permanent biogeochemical study plots in 1998. These plots provide long-term data on vegetation, soil and hydrologic processes in the key ecosystem types within the urban ecosystem. The network of study plots includes forest plots (upland and riparian), chosen to represent the range of forest conditions in the area and grass plots (to represent home lawns). Plots are instrumented with lysimeters (drainage and tension) to sample soil solution chemistry, time domain reflectometry probes to measure soil moisture, dataloggers to measure and record soil temperature, and trace gas flux chambers to measure the flux of carbon dioxide, nitrous oxide and methane from soil to the atmosphere. Measurements of in situ nitrogen mineralization, nitrification and denitrification were made at approximately monthly intervals from Fall 1998 - Fall 2000. Detailed vegetation characterization (all layers) was done in summer 1998 and 2015. Data from these plots has been published in Groffman et al. (2006, 2009), Groffman and Pouyat (2009), Savva et al. (2010), Costa and Groffman (2013), Duncan et al. (2013), Waters et al. (2014), Ni and Groffman (2018), Templeton et al. (2019). Literature Cited Costa, K.H. and P.M. Groffman. 2013. Factors regulating net methane flux in urban forests and grasslands. Soil Science Society of America Journal 77:850 - 855. Duncan, J. M., L. E. Band, and P. M. Groffman. 2013. Towards closing the watershed nitrogen budget: Spatial and temporal scaling of denitrification. Journal of Geophysical Research Biogeosciences 118:1-5; DOI: 10.1002/jgrg.20090 Groffman PM, Pouyat RV, Cadenasso ML, Zipperer WC, Szlavecz K, Yesilonis IC,. Band LE and Brush GS. 2006. Land use context and natural soil controls on plant community composition and soil nitrogen and carbon dynamics in urban and rural forests. Forest Ecology and Management 236:177-192. Groffman, P.M., C.O. Williams, R.V. Pouyat, L.E. Band and I.C. Yesilonis. 2009. Nitrate leaching and nitrous oxide flux in urban forests and grasslands. Journal of Environmental Quality 38:1848-1860. Groffman, P.M. and R.V. Pouyat. 2009. Methane uptake in urban forests and lawns. Environmental Science and Technology 43:5229-5235. DOI: 10.1021/es803720h. Ni, X. and P.M. Groffman. 2018. Declines in methane uptake in forest soils. Proceedings of the National Academies of Science of the United States of America 115:8587-8590. Savva, Y., K. Szlavecz, R. V. Pouyat, P. M. Groffman, and G. Heisler. 2010. Effects of land use and vegetation cover on soil temperature in an urban ecosystem. Soil Science Society of America Journal 74:469-480. Templeton, L., M.L. Cadenasso, J. Sullivan, M. Neel and P.M. Groffman. 2019. Changes in vegetation structure and composition of urban and rural forest patches in Baltimore from 1998 to 2015. Forest Ecology and Management. In press. Waters, E.R., J.L. Morse, N.D. Bettez and P.M. Groffman. 2014. Differential carbon and nitrogen controls of denitrification in riparian zones and streams along an urban to exurban gradient. Journal of Environmental Quality 43:955–963.

Groffman, Peter M↗

Taxon-specific microbial growth and mortality patterns reveal distinct temporal population responses to rewetting in a California grassland soil

Abstract Microbial activity increases after rewetting dry soil, resulting in a pulse of carbon mineralization and nutrient availability. The biogeochemical responses to wet-up are reasonably well understood and known to be microbially mediated. Yet, the population level dynamics, and the resulting changes in microbial community patterns, are not well understood as ecological phenomena. Here, we used sequencing of 16S rRNA genes coupled with heavy water (H218O) DNA quantitative stable isotope probing to estimate population-specific rates of growth and mortality in response to a simulated wet-up event in a California annual grassland soil. Bacterial growth and mortality responded rapidly to wet-up, within 3 h, and continued throughout the 168 h incubation, with patterns of sequential growth observed at the phylum level. Of the 37 phyla detected in the prewet community, growth was found in 18 phyla while mortality was measured in 26 phyla. Rapid growth and mortality rates were measurable within 3 h of wet-up but had contrasting characteristics; growth at 3 h was dominated by select taxa within the Proteobacteria and Firmicutes, whereas mortality was taxonomically widespread. Furthermore, across the community, mortality exhibited density-independence, consistent with the indiscriminate shock resulting from dry-down and wet-up, whereas growth was density-dependent, consistent with control by competition or predation. Total aggregated growth across the community was highly correlated with total soil CO2 production. Together, these results illustrate how previously “invisible” population responses can translate quantitatively to emergent observations of ecosystem-scale biogeochemistry.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Exploring viral particle, soil, and extraction buffer physicochemical characteristics and their impacts on extractable viral communities

Viruses are expected to be pivotal members of soil ecosystems, and recent advances in viral size fraction metagenomic (viromic) approaches have improved our ability to interrogate soil viral ecology. However, viromics relies on extraction buffers to effectively desorb viral particles from the soil matrix for downstream analysis, and viral extraction efficiency could be affected by the interplay between viral particles, soils, and extraction buffer chemistry. Here, we investigated whether extraction buffer chemistry affected extractable viral community composition measured by viromics from different soil types, for both biological (samples collected 1 m apart) and technical (subsamples from the same soil homogenate) replicates. We investigated pH manipulation of protein-supplemented phosphate-buffered saline buffer (PPBS, pHs 4.5, 5.5, 6.5, and 7.5) on forest, grassland and wetland soils that exhibited different soil edaphic properties, and we tested different buffer chemistries (PPBS, Carbonated Buffer, Glycine, and Saline Magnesium) on just the wetland soil. Spatial distance (i.e., biological replicate) was the primary driver of extractable viral community composition across all buffers and soils tested. Differences in viral community composition according to extraction buffer properties were only observed in the grassland technical replicates at PPBS buffer pH 4.5, and in both the wetland technical and biological replicates treated with different buffer chemistries, but the effects of buffer chemistry were secondary to spatial distance in the biological replicates. The lack of buffering capacity in the grassland soil technical replicates likely increased sorption of viral particles at pH 4.5, but neither protein composition nor isoelectric point explained this phenomenon. In conclusion, given that most soil viral ecological studies to date include sample collection over distances much farther apart than the 1-m distances considered here, results suggest that extraction buffer chemistry is likely of much lower importance than ecological considerations, such as spatial distance, in the design of future soil viral ecological investigations.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

An interdisciplinary analysis of Colorado Rocky Mountain environments using ADP techniques

The author has identified the following significant results. Good ecological, classification accuracy (90-95%) can be achieved in areas of rugged relief on a regional basis for Level 1 cover types (coniferous forest, deciduous forest, grassland, cropland, bare rock and soil, and water) using computer-aided analysis techniques on ERTS/MSS data. Cost comparisons showed that a Level 1 cover type map and a table of areal estimates could be obtained for the 443,000 hectare San Juan Mt. test site for less than 0.1 cent per acre, whereas photointerpretation techniques would cost more than 0.4 cent per acre. Results of snow cover mapping have conclusively proven that the areal extent of snow in mountainous terrain can be rapidly and economically mapped by using ERTS/MSS data and computer-aided analysis techniques. A distinct relationship between elevation and time of freeze or thaw was observed, during mountain lake mapping. Basic lithologic units such as igneous, sedimentary, and unconsolidated rock materials were successfully identified. Geomorphic form, which is exhibited through spatial and textual data, can only be inferred from ERTS data. Data collection platform systems can be utilized to produce satisfactory data from extremely inaccessible locations that encounter very adverse weather conditions, as indicated by results obtained from a DCP located at 3,536 meters elevation that encountered minimum temperatures of -25.5 C and wind speeds of up to 40.9m/sec (91 mph), but which still performed very reliably.

Hoffer, R. M.↗

Opposite Response of DNA and RNA Viruses to Soil Warming and Implications for Microbial Functions

Soil viruses control the dynamics and metabolism of their hosts, strongly modifying carbon and nutrient cycling as well as soil biochemistry. Warming specifically affects viruses and their hosts, but the consequences of climate warming on the virus–host interactions, and for soil functions, remain unknown. Here, we investigated the viral communities and the virus–host interactions under warming in situ based on a forest soil column translocation experiment. The abundance of the Petitvirales (DNA viruses) decreased by 25%, but that of the Durnavirales and Martellivirales (RNA viruses) strongly increased. The DNA viral lysogenic signals and RNA viral lytic proteins increased in soil, indicating the opposite lifestyles of DNA and RNA viruses. Correspondingly, the DNA abundance of viral hosts increased, whereas RNA viral hosts remained stable. The high DNA viruses/host ratios reflect very intensive interactions between the virus and host, leading to the drop in the host functions (such as carbon metabolism processes and nitrogen and phosphorus cycles) up to 43%. In contrast, the functions of the hosts for RNA viruses increased by up to 48%. The fundamental difference in behaviour of DNA and RNA viruses is that the former use mainly lysogenic, whereas the latter lytic, lifestyles and thus control the responses of host communities to warming. Conclusively, the opposite response of DNA and RNA viruses to warming in abundance, lifestyle, and interactions with hosts leads to divergent changes in nutrient fluxes in soil. These new perspectives on viral regulations of microbial communities and their function under soil warming reveal the undeniable role of viruses in microbial ecology.

forest soil↗

Inter-Kingdom Viral Interactions

Please cite as : Josué A. Rodríguez-Ramos, Amy E. Zimmerman, Ruonan Wu, Sheryl Bell, Trinidad Alfaro, Kirsten Hofmockel, William C. Nelson. 2025. Inter-Kingdom Viral Interactions. [Data Set] PNNL DataHub. This data is published under a CC0 license. The authors encourage data reuse and request attribution by referencing the above citations for the data package and associated manuscript. Deciphering viral ecology in soils is challenging due to their high physiochemical and community complexity. To enhance detection of sub-communities of DNA and RNA viruses, we applied fractionation approaches to soils collected across a moisture gradient from a grassland field experiment. Analyses included metagenomics and metatranscriptomics of size-fractionated extracellular viruses (i.e., DNA and RNA viromes), metagenomics of bacteria/archaea- or eukaryote-enriched samples, and whole soil metatranscriptomes with rRNA-depletion or polyadenylation enrichment. While RNA virome and whole soil RNA methods captured similar viral diversity, RNA viromes identified longer, higher-quality genomes. Further, we showed that significantly more DNA viruses were active in higher moisture than lower moisture samples, whereas responses by overall diversity vary by genome type (DNA versus RNA genomes). Finally, we demonstrate the power of fractionation approaches for identifying distinct viral communities that infect unique hosts, which has significant implications for ecological investigations, particularly related to interkingdom interactions.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Save or spend? Diverging water‐use strategies of grasses and encroaching clonal shrubs

Abstract Shrub encroachment is one of the primary threats to mesic grasslands around the world. This dramatic shift in plant cover has the potential to alter ecosystem‐scale water budgets and responses to novel rainfall regimes. Understanding divergent water‐use strategies among encroaching shrubs and the grasses they replace is critical for predicting shifts in ecosystem‐scale water dynamics as a result of shrub encroachment, particularly if drought events become more frequent and/or severe in the future. In this study, we assessed how water‐use traits of a rapidly encroaching clonal shrub (Cornus drummondii) and a dominant C 4 grass (Andropogon gerardii) impact responses to changes in water availability in tallgrass prairie. We assessed intra‐annual change in depth of water uptake, turgor loss point and stomatal regulation in each species. Sampling took place at Konza Prairie Biological Station (northeastern KS, USA) during the 2021 and 2022 growing seasons. Cornus drummondiishifted from shallow to deep soil water sources across the 2021 and 2022 growing seasons. This plasticity in depth of water uptake facilitated a ‘wasteful’ water‐use strategy inC. drummondii, where stomatal conductance and transpiration rates continued to increase even when no further gain in photosynthetic rate occurred.A. gerardiiphotosynthetic rates and stomatal conductance were more variable through time and were more responsive to changes in leaf water potential thanC. drummondii. However, intra‐annual adjustment of turgor loss point was more pronounced inC. drummondii(Δπ TLP = −0.48 MPa ± 0.15 SD) than inA. gerardii(Δπ TLP = −0.29 MPa ± 0.19 SD). Synthesis. These results suggest thatC. drummondiiis highly resilient to changes in water availability in surface soils and will likely remain unaffected by future droughts unless they are severe enough to reduce the availability of deep soil water. Given that clonal shrubs are key invaders of grasslands world‐wide, increased leaf‐level water loss is expected to accelerate ecosystem‐level drying as clonal shrub encroachment proceeds in mesic grasslands.

Environmental Sciences & Ecology↗

AmeriFlux US-Jo1 Jornada Experimental Range Bajada Site

This is the AmeriFlux version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Jo1 Jornada Experimental Range Bajada Site. Site Description - The Jornada Basin Experimental Range (JER) covers 783 km2 in the La Jornada del Muerto Plain of the northern Chihuahuan Desert and is located 20km of Las Cruces, NM. Extensive livestock grazing at the JER and througout the US Southwest was coincident with large-scale grassland deterioration and transition to shrubland begining in the 1800s. The JER was established n 1912 to investigate these rangeland changes and has since become a central location for understanding dryland ecology. This flux tower monitors CO2 and H2O dynamics in a representative shrubland on the piedmont slope (bajada) of the San Andreas mountains. The dominant shrubs are evergreen Larrea tridentata (Creosote) and winter-deciduous Prosopis glandulosa (Honey Mesquite). Other cover types include Flourensia cernua (tarbush) and patchy occurences of the grasses Muhlenbergia porteri (Bush Muhly) and Dasyochloa pulchella (Fluff Grass). The site is occasionally visited by stray domestic cattle, free-ranging introduced Oryx, and other native herbivores (Jack Rabbits, Desert Pronghorn). Soils at the site are Ustic Calciargids and parent material consists of limestone, other sedimentary rock, and some igneous rock. Virtual Site Visit: https://youtu.be/v1uJCKuicqs​

Tweedie, Craig↗

AmeriFlux FLUXNET-1F US-Jo1 Jornada Experimental Range Bajada Site

This is the AmeriFlux Management Project (AMP) created FLUXNET-1F version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Jo1 Jornada Experimental Range Bajada Site. This is the FLUXNET version of the carbon flux data for the site US-Jo1 Jornada Experimental Range Bajada Site produced by applying the standard ONEFlux (1F) software. Site Description - The Jornada Basin Experimental Range (JER) covers 783 km2 in the La Jornada del Muerto Plain of the northern Chihuahuan Desert and is located 20km of Las Cruces, NM. Extensive livestock grazing at the JER and througout the US Southwest was coincident with large-scale grassland deterioration and transition to shrubland begining in the 1800s. The JER was established n 1912 to investigate these rangeland changes and has since become a central location for understanding dryland ecology. This flux tower monitors CO2 and H2O dynamics in a representative shrubland on the piedmont slope (bajada) of the San Andreas mountains. The dominant shrubs are evergreen Larrea tridentata (Creosote) and winter-deciduous Prosopis glandulosa (Honey Mesquite). Other cover types include Flourensia cernua (tarbush) and patchy occurences of the grasses Muhlenbergia porteri (Bush Muhly) and Dasyochloa pulchella (Fluff Grass). The site is occasionally visited by stray domestic cattle, free-ranging introduced Oryx, and other native herbivores (Jack Rabbits, Desert Pronghorn). Soils at the site are Ustic Calciargids and parent material consists of limestone, other sedimentary rock, and some igneous rock. Virtual Site Visit: https://youtu.be/v1uJCKuicqs​

Tweedie, Craig↗

Disturbance: a double-edged sword for restoration in a changing climate

Ecological restoration often relies on disturbance as a tool for establishing target plant communities, but disturbance can be a double-edged sword, at times initiating invasion and unintended outcomes. Here, in this study, we test how fire disturbance, designed to enhance restoration seeding success, combines with climate and initial vegetation conditions to shift perennial versus annual grass dominance and overall community diversity in Pacific Northwest grasslands. We seeded both native and introduced perennial grasses and native forbs in paired, replicated burned-unburned plots in three sites along a latitudinal climate gradient from southern Oregon to central-western Washington. Past restoration and climate manipulations at each site had increased the variation of starting conditions between plots. Burning promoted the expansion of extant forbs and perennial grasses across all sites. Burning also enhanced the seeding success of native perennial grass and native forbs at the northern and central site, and the success of introduced perennial grasses across all three sites. Annual grass dominance was driven more by latitude than burning, with annuals maintaining their dominance in the south and perennials in the north. At the same time, unrestored grasslands surrounding all sites remained dominated by perennial grasses, suggesting that initial plot clearing may have allowed for annual grass invasion in the southern site. When paired with disturbance, further warming may increase the risk of annual grass dominance, a potentially persistent state.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Using Satellite Data to Characterize Land Surface Processes in Morocco

This study endeavors to produce a comprehensive land cover map for Morocco, addressing the absence of such a detailed map in the country. Our research encompasses ecological and climatic aspects specific to Morocco, while the methods used can be adapted to various regions and countries, considering their unique climatic conditions and land cover types. A combination of MODIS and Landsat datasets was employed to create a 5 km resolution Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) map for the entire nation. The process involved the aggregation and advanced processing of these datasets using surface processes algorithms. The resulting LULC map is the first of its kind for Morocco, shedding light on land cover distribution nationwide. It shows that approximately 13.5% of the country is covered by forests, predominantly in the Atlas and Rif mountains, Rabat–Sale, and the southern regions. Grasslands occupy over 16% of the study area, mainly in the north-east and west. Urban areas, including major cities like Casablanca, Rabat, and Marrakech, span nearly 3400 km². Moreover, large areas of shrublands and bare lands are evident across the country, while agricultural lands account for almost 20% of the national territory, mainly in the interior plains and north-western Atlantic coast. This study forms a crucial basis for ecological and climatic research in Morocco and serves as a valuable reference for various disciplines such as agriculture, natural resource management, and climate modeling. The mapping of biophysical parameters for each land cover class is a key feature of our research, and these parameters will be instrumental in a subsequent study examining the impact of urban development on surface climate in Morocco. Overall, our study underscores the importance of understanding biophysical parameters in addressing environmental and societal challenges.

Mohammed Thaiki↗

Grassland ecosystem type drives AM fungal diversity and functional guild distribution in North American grasslands

Nutrient exchange forms the basis of the ancient symbiotic relationship that occurs between most land plants and arbuscular mycorrhizal (AM) fungi. Plants provide carbon (C) to AM fungi and fungi provide the plant with nutrients such as nitrogen (N) and phosphorous (P). Nutrient addition can alter this symbiotic coupling in key ways, such as reducing AM fungal root colonization and changing the AM fungal community composition. However, environmental parameters that differentiate ecosystems and drive plant distribution patterns (e.g., pH, moisture), are also known to impact AM fungal communities. Identifying the relative contribution of environmental factors impacting AM fungal distribution patterns is important for predicting biogeochemical cycling patterns and plant-microbe relationships across ecosystems. Here, to evaluate the relative impacts of local environmental conditions and long-term nutrient addition on AM fungal abundance and composition across grasslands, we studied experimental plots amended for 10 years with N, P, or N and P fertilizer in different grassland ecosystem types, including tallgrass prairie, montane, shortgrass prairie, and desert grasslands. Contrary to our hypothesis, we found ecosystem type, not nutrient treatment, was the main driver of AM fungal root colonization, diversity, and community composition, even when accounting for site-specific nutrient limitations. We identified several important environmental drivers of grassland ecosystem AM fungal distribution patterns, including aridity, mean annual temperature, root moisture, and soil pH. This work provides empirical evidence for niche partitioning strategies of AM fungal functional guilds and emphasizes the importance of long-term, large scale research projects to provide ecologically relevant context to nutrient addition studies.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Effects of Revegetation on Soil Physical and Chemical Properties in Solar Photovoltaic Infrastructure

Solar photovoltaic (PV) technology is being deployed at an unprecedented rate. However, utility-scale solar energy development is land intensive and its large-scale installation can have negative impacts on the environment. In particular, solar energy infrastructure can require extensive landscape modification that transforms soil ecological functions, thereby impacting hydrologic, vegetative, and carbon dynamics. However, reintroducing native vegetation to solar PV sites may be a means of restoring their soils. To this end, we investigated critical soil physical and chemical parameters at a revegetated photovoltaic array and an adjacent reference grassland in Colorado, United States. Seven years after revegetation, we found that carbon and nitrogen remained lower in the PV soil than in the reference soil and contained a greater fraction of coarse particles. We also found that the PV modules introduced heterogeneity in the soil moisture distribution, with precipitation accumulating along the lower edges of panels. The redistribution of soil moisture by panel arrays could potentially be used in concert with planting strategies to maximize plant growth or minimize soil erosion, and should be considered when evaluating the potential to co-locate vegetation with solar infrastructure.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Using AVIRIS images to measure temporal trends in abundance of photosynthetic and nonphotosynthetic canopy components

The Jasper Ridge Biological Preserve, Stanford, California is a good example of hardwood rangeland ecosystems in California. Structurally, it is composed of a mosaic of serpentine grasslands, oak savannah, coastal chaparral, and mixed evergreen woodland, representing a broad cross-section of physiognomic classes. The Mediterranean climate produces an extended seasonal drought lasting throughout most of the growing season and has significant impact on the expression of divergent phenological patterns related to contrasting ecological strategies of these taxa. The region is well understood biologically due to the rich history of ecological research at the site. Thus, community characteristics, physiological characteristics, phenology, and temporal dynamics are reasonably well understood for many of the dominant species. Because of its proximity to NASA Ames Research Center, it has been subject to a large number of aircraft data acquisitions over many years. A more complete examination of this database would provide an opportunity to test current remote sensing hypotheses for measurement and detection of ecological attributes, particularly those involving canopy chemistry and physiology. Better definition of ecological rules might permit development of remotely sensed surrogate variables for biological properties that cannot be directly measured or measured with sufficient accuracy.

Ustin, Susan L.↗

Satellite-Based Assessment of Grassland Conversion and Related Fire Disturbance in the Kenai Peninsula, Alaska

Spruce beetle-induced (Dendroctonus rufipennis (Kirby)) mortality on the Kenai Peninsula has heightened local wildfire risk as canopy loss facilitates the conversion from bare to fire-prone grassland. We collected images from NASA satellite-based Earth observations to visualize land cover succession at roughly five-year intervals following a severe, mid-1990's beetle infestation to the present. We classified these data by vegetation cover type to quantify grassland encroachment patterns over time. Raster band math provided a change detection analysis on the land cover classifications. Results indicate the highest wildfire risk is linked to herbaceous and black spruce land cover types, The resulting land cover change image will give the Kenai National Wildlife Refuge (KENWR) ecologists a better understanding of where forests have converted to grassland since the 1990s. These classifications provided a foundation for us to integrate digital elevation models (DEMs), temperature, and historical fire data into a model using Python for assessing and mapping changes in wildfire risk. Spatial representations of this risk will contribute to a better understanding of ecological trajectories of beetle-affected landscapes, thereby informing management decisions at KENWR.

Risk modeling↗