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At least 55 records · Page 3

Summary Report for the NEPA Impact Analysis. Revision 1

The Waste Isolation Pilot Plant (WIPP), located in southeastern New Mexico, has been developed by the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) for the geologic (deep underground) disposal of defense-related transuranic (TRU) waste. Containment of TRU waste at the WIPP facility is derived from standards set forth in Title 40 of the Code of Federal Regulations (CFR), Part 191. The DOE assesses compliance with the containment standards according to the Certification Criteria in Title 40 CFR Part 194 by means of Performance Assessment (PA) calculations performed by Sandia National Laboratories (SNL). WIPP PA calculations estimate the probability of radionuclide releases from the repository to the accessible environment for a regulatory period of 10,000 years after facility closure. The DOE Carlsbad Field Office (CBFO) has initiated a National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) action for a proposal to excavate and use additional transuranic (TRU) waste disposal panels at the WIPP facility. This report documents an analysis undertaken as part of an effort to evaluate the potential environmental consequences of the proposed action. Although not explicitly required for a NEPA analysis, evaluations of a dose indicator to hypothetical members of the public after final facility closure are presented in this report. The analysis is carried out in two stages: first, Performance Assessment (PA) calculations quantify the potential releases to the accessible environment over a 10,000-year post-closure period. Second, dose was evaluated for three hypothetical exposure pathways using the conservative radionuclide concentrations assumed to be released to the accessible environment.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Enhancing the Energy Efficiency of Room Air Conditioners in Malaysia: Opportunities and Impact Analysis

The global room air conditioner (AC) market is rapidly transitioning toward variable-speed units, offering significant opportunities for energy-efficient designs and the adoption of low-global warming potential (GWP) refrigerants. Emerging economies, particularly in regions such as Malaysia, are expected to drive consumer demand for ACs. This report reviews key trends in the Malaysian AC market, including the availability of high-efficient ACs. Currently, variable-speed units account for 30–65% of the market, achieving cooling seasonal performance factor (CSPF) levels of between 5.0 and 6.0. Cost comparisons show that CSPF 5–6-rated, inverter-driven room ACs are competitively priced against lower-efficiency, fixed-speed units.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Explicit Dynamic Impact Analysis of the Building 3525 Packages

This report describes the methodology used for the safety basis analysis of the Building (Bldg.) 3525 casks and presents preliminary results for a selected geometry. The specific problem analyzed is a free fall load case onto an unyielding target at various orientations. The various orientations were analyzed to ensure that the packages were subjected to the orientation that causes the most damage. The analysis approach, material modeling, finite element modeling, and results for the selected case are presented, along with a brief discussion of conservatism and uncertainties. The results for the analyzed load cases show that through selected administrative controls, no breach of the container or loss of shielding will occur in the package.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Design of solvent-assisted plastics recycling: Integrated economics and environmental impacts analysis

In 2018, the United States generated over 35. 7 million tons of plastic waste, with only 8.4% being recycled and the other 91.6% incinerated or disposed of in a landfill. The continued growth of the polymer market has raised concerns over the end of life of plastics. Currently, the waste management system is faced with issues of inefficient sorting methods and low-efficiency recycling methods when it comes to plastics recycling. Mechanical recycling is the commonest recycling method but presents a lower-valued recycled material due to the material incompatibilities introduced via the inefficient sorting methods. Chemical recycling offers a promising alternative as it potentially allows for plastics to maintain their original properties. To that end, there is the need to investigate feasible chemical recycling methods to help mitigate the challenging problem posed by plastics at the end-of-life stage. This work proposes a conceptual solvent-assisted plastics recycling framework based on a superstructure optimization approach. This framework is evaluated using a representative case study to recover Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET). In this case study, it is found that polymer recovery is both economically and environmentally favorable when compared to traditional methods of disposal such as incineration.

Lehr, Austin L.↗

Impact Analysis of Utility-Scale Energy Storage on the ERCOT Grid in Reducing Renewable Generation Curtailments and Emissions

This paper explores the solutions for minimizing renewable energy (RE) curtailment in the Texas Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT) grid. By utilizing current and future planning data from ERCOT and the System Advisor Model from the National Renewable Energy Laboratory, we examine how future renewable energy (RE) initiatives, combined with utility-scale energy storage, can reduce CO2 emissions while reshaping Texas’s energy mix. The study projects the energy landscape from 2023 to 2033, considering the planned phase-out of fossil fuel plants and the integration of new wind/solar projects. By comparing emissions under different load scenarios, with and without storage, we demonstrate storage’s role in optimizing RE utilization. The findings of this paper provide actionable guidance for energy stakeholders, underscoring the need to expand wind and solar projects with strategic storage solutions to maximize Texas's RE capacity and substantially reduce CO2 emissions.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Supporting data for climatic clustering and longitudinal analysis with impacts on food, bioenergy, and pandemics

This data supports the conclusions found in climatic clustering and longitudinal analysis with impacts on food, bioenergy, and pandemics. Included here are (i) the binarized geolocation vectors used for exhaustive vector comparisons, (ii) the resulting climatic networks, (iii) the results of applying Markov clustering to the climatic networks, and (iv) the results of applying Correlation-of-Correlations (cor-cor) to the climatic networks. The set of binarized geolocation vectors that are used as inputs for the Combinatorial Metrics library (CoMet) are of the form comet-UUUUUxVVVVV-XXXX-YYYY.shuffled.tped where UUUUU is the number of vectors, VVVVV is the length of each vector, XXXX is the starting year, and YYYY is the ending year. Each line corresponds to a geolocation vector of binary elements A (i.e., 0) and T (i.e., 1). The set of climatic networks that are used for downstream network analysis are of the form network-U-way-XXXX-YYYY.parsed.txt where U is the order of the comparison (2-way or 3-way), XXXX is the starting year, and YYYY is the ending year. Each line corresponds to an edge linking two geolocations (defined by latitude and longitude) with its corresponding edge weight (i.e., DUO score). The set of cluster results are of the form clusters-U-way-XXXX-YYYY-thresh-VVVV-inflation-WWW.clustered.txt where U is the order of the comparison (2-way or 3-way), XXXX is the starting year, YYYY is the ending year, VVVV is the similarity threshold, and WWW is the Markov clustering inflation rate. Each line corresponds to a single cluster and is composed of a number of corresponding geolocations (defined by latitude and longitude). The set of cor-cor results are of the form corcor-U-way-XXXX-YYYY.cumulative.txt where U is the order of the comparison (2-way or 3-way), XXXX is the starting year, and YYYY is the ending year. Each line corresponds to a single geolocation with it's corresponding cor-cor value.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Integrated Risk-Informed Condition Based Maintenance Capability and Automated Platform: Technical Report 1

Due to continuing global energy market trends, driven heavily by the abundant preserves of natural gas, there is an immediate need to reduce costs associated with operation and maintenance (O&M) for the current domestic nuclear power industry and for future reactor developments. This is to ensure that nuclear power generation remains an economically competitive and viable option in the energy market. O&M costs include labor-intensive preventive maintenance (PM) programs, which involve manually-performed inspection, calibration, testing, and maintenance of plant assets at periodic frequency and time-based replacement of assets, irrespective of their condition. This has resulted in an expensive, labor-centric business model to achieve high capacity factors. Fortunately, there are technologies (advanced sensors, data analytics, and risk assessment methodologies) that can enable the transition from a labor-centric business model to a technology-centric business model. The technology-centric business model will result in a significant reduction of PM activities, laying the foundation for real-time condition assessment of plant assets, reducing overall labor and part costs. To enable this transition, PKMJ Technical Services LLC is partnering with the U.S. Department of Energy’s Idaho National Laboratory (operated by the Battelle Energy Alliance, LLC) and the Public Services Enterprise Group (PSEG) Nuclear, LLC in the Integrated Risk-Informed Condition-Based Maintenance Capability and Automated Platform Project. In this report, the configuration of a digital cloud platform using Microsoft Azure is discussed, data from the PSEG Salem Nuclear Generating Station Units 1 & 2 are imported into a digital cloud platform, and the data is used for an evaluation of several key areas: cost impact analysis, risk-informed model development, and preventive maintenance strategy optimization. First, the cost impact analysis reviews which plant assets are potential good candidates for condition-based monitoring. Next, INL utilized the data in their local environment to develop the risk-informed model; which provides estimates of failure rates and probability of failures of assets based upon their past performance. The developed model is performed on assets selected from the cost impact analysis. Lastly, engineers assess the preventive maintenance strategy for the selected assets at PSEG against maintenance strategies in the nuclear industry for similar assets to potentially identify acceptable justification for the extension of current maintenance frequencies.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Substation Configuration Survey for Electromagnetic Coupling Analysis

Impacts of a high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) on the power grid are a growing concern due to the increased reliance on the power grid. A critical area of research is quantifying power system equipment response to HEMP since this is not known in general. Substation site surveys were performed at seven high voltage substations across the United States to gather substation layout and construction details pertinent to HEMP coupling calculations and component vulnerability assessments. The primary objective for the survey was to gather information on cable layouts and cable construction within substations. Additional information was also gathered on equipment present within the substations and control house layouts. This report provides information gathered from the substation surveys.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A framework to enhance disaster debris estimation with AI and aerial photogrammetry

This study addresses the critical need to enhance disaster preparedness and response, focusing on hurricane impact assessment and debris estimation. Accurate assessments in this context are critical for post-event search-and-rescue (SAR) operations and resource distribution. Recent computing advancements are revealing the potential of unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) and artificial intelligence (AI) technologies in collecting data and assisting with post-hurricane reconnaissance. However, the use of AI and UAV photogrammetry for accurate disaster impact analysis remains underexplored. To this end, this study proposes a damage and debris analysis framework harnessing reality capture through aerial imagery and photogrammetry. Within this framework, a region-based neural network is leveraged to detect debris locations in aerial imagery with favorable performance. In a testbed within the Beaumont-Port Arthur region, in Southeast Texas, this study performs 3D reality captures of the built environment. Since the accuracy of the 3D reality capture is of importance in research areas associated with time-sensitive disaster response, we further investigate the optimal 2D aerial imagery overlap ratio required to generate a sufficiently accurate 3D model for disaster impact analysis and debris volume estimation. Results indicate that, in the case of aerial imagery for infrastructure systems, a minimum of 60 % overlap is recommended for damage assessment and debris analysis. In contrast, for flat green areas, a minimum of 50 % overlap is adequate. Overall, for disaster response applications, our study reveals that an overlap ratio between 60 % and 70 % is optimal for achieving a balance between time efficiency and data quality in aerial data collection. Furthermore, these quantitative recommendations are crucial for enabling efficient disaster response efforts. Additionally, our study outcomes will improve disaster impact analysis and facilitating timely and effective response strategies.

Artificial intelligence↗

Combining Planck and SPT Cluster Catalogs: Cosmological Analysis and Impact on the Planck Scaling Relation Calibration

We provide the first combined cosmological analysis of the South Pole Telescope (SPT) and Planck cluster catalogs. The aim is to provide an independent calibration for Planck scaling relations, exploiting the cosmological constraining power of the SPT-SZ cluster catalog and its dedicated weak lensing (WL) and X-ray follow-up observations. We build a new version of the Planck cluster likelihood. In the νΛ CDM scenario, focusing on the mass slope and mass bias of Planck scaling relations, we find ${\alpha }_{\mathrm{SZ}}={1.49}_{-0.10}^{+0.07}$ and ${\left(1-b\right)}_{\mathrm{SZ}}={0.69}_{-0.14}^{+0.07}$, respectively. The results for the mass slope show a ~4 σ departure from the self-similar evolution, α SZ ~ 1.8. This shift is mainly driven by the matter density value preferred by SPT data, Ωm = 0.30 ± 0.03, lower than the one obtained by Planck data alone, ${{\rm{\Omega }}}_{m}={0.37}_{-0.06}^{+0.02}$. The mass bias constraints are consistent both with outcomes of hydrodynamical simulations and external WL calibrations, (1 – b) ~ 0.8, and with results required by the Planck cosmic microwave background cosmology, (1 – b) ~ 0.6. From this analysis, we obtain a new catalog of Planck cluster masses M 500 . We estimate the ratio between the published Planck M SZ masses and our derived masses M 500 , as a "measured mass bias," ${\left(1-b\right)}_{M}$. We analyze the mass, redshift, and detection noise dependence of ${\left(1-b\right)}_{M}$, finding an increasing trend toward high redshift and low mass. These results mimic the effect of departure from self-similarity in cluster evolution, showing different dependencies for the low-mass, high-mass, low-z, and high-z regimes.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Calculation of Moisture-Dependent, Anisotropic Parameters Supporting the Hanford Site's Composite Analysis, Cumulative Impact Evaluation, and Performance Assessments

Variable, moisture (tension) dependent anisotropy (MDA) in unsaturated soils is an effective, large-scale (macroscopic) flow property that results from media heterogeneities at a smaller scale. The purpose of this environmental calculation file (ECF) is to document the variable MDA calculations using a script routine. The accuracy of the script calculations are cross-checked against results using other software. Appendices for this ECF are Appendix A, which documents supporting script use; Appendix B, which provides supporting spreadsheet calculations; and Appendix C, which provides supporting utility calculations. The work is in support of vadose zone flow and transport models used in performance assessment (PA), composite analysis (CA), and cumulative impact evaluation (CIE) at the Hanford Site.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

Oregon Roadway CSZ Liquefaction and Landslide Impact Screening Analysis

The roadway transportation routes and the surrounding environments in Oregon will be subject to ground acceleration and potential associated deformation due to the propagation of waves of energy during a Cascadia Subduction Zone (CSZ) earthquake. Linear features such as highways may be subject to partial or complete disruption of their function resulting from ground deformations at and along the roadway. A potential source of these disruptions associated with a CSZ event are landslides and liquefaction in the soils along and beneath the highways and local roadways. The construction of the Oregon roadway system and urban development have occurred largely along the banks of the rivers—those along the Pacific coast, and along the valleys throughout the Oregon Coast Range and Cascade Mountains. These locations also represent areas where landslides and liquefaction have occurred historically, or may potentially occur in the future, presenting a significant vulnerability for the roadway system and dependent post-CSZ earthquake emergency response and recovery effort. Many of the Oregon areas with landslide- and liquefaction-prone soils have the potential to impact roadway transportation routes after a major earthquake causing delays in establishing routes to transport emergency response personnel and resources to impacted areas and communities. This report presents methods used to project the impacts that CSZ earthquake-induced landslides and liquefaction may have on roadways across Oregon. First, this report presents an approach for estimating the risk of landslides to Oregon roadways, and determining approximate reopening times. Second, this report presents a similar approach for estimating the risk of liquefaction-induced ground displacements to roadway pavements, also resulting in approximate reopening times for roadway segments. The outcomes of these two ground failure analyses serve as inputs to a broader analysis of CSZ earthquake impacts to Oregon’s surface transportation system and its ability to support post-disaster response and recovery activities, as part of the Oregon Transportation Systems Regional Resiliency Assessment Program project (CISA 2021).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

Simulation-Based Analysis of Impacts of Reduced Envelope and Duct Air Leakage on Indoor Air Pollutant Concentrations in Occupied Manufactured Homes

This report presents a simulation-based analysis that estimates the magnitude of indoor air pollutant concentration changes that could result from the proposed energy conservation standards. The analysis was conducted for a 1568 ft 2 , double-wide MH with variations in heating and cooling equipment (either furnace + air conditioner or heat pump) and various types of whole-house mechanical ventilation (continuous exhaust fan or central fan integrated supply), in three locations with varying climate conditions: Chicago IL, Fresno, CA; and Houston TX. The simulations tracked four air pollutants that can reach levels exceeding established safe target levels in homes: acrolein, formaldehyde, fine particulate matter (PM 2.5 ), and nitrogen dioxide (NO 2 ). The simulations considered acrolein and formaldehyde emitted from continuous indoor sources; acrolein, NO 2 and PM 2.5 from cooking; PM 2.5 from dispersed occupant activities; and NO 2 and PM 2.5 from outdoors, using historical data to identify typical levels. The impacts in homes operating or not operating whole-house mechanical ventilation equipment, kitchen and bath exhaust fans, and window opening as ventilation approaches were examined.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

Climatic clustering and longitudinal analysis with impacts on food, bioenergy, and pandemics

Predicted growth in world population will put unparalleled stress on the need for sustainable energy and global food production, as well as increase the likelihood of future pandemics. In this work, we identify high-resolution environmental zones in the context of a changing climate and predict longitudinal processes relevant to these challenges. We do this using exhaustive vector comparison methods that measure the climatic similarity between all locations on earth at high geospatial resolution relative to global-scale analyses. The results are captured as networks, in which edges between geolocations are defined if their historical climate similarities exceed a threshold. We apply Markov clustering and our novel Correlation of Correlations method to the resulting climatic networks, which provides unprecedented agglomerative and longitudinal views of climatic relationships across the globe. The methods performed here resulted in the fastest (9.37x10 18 operations/sec) and one of the largest (168.7x10 21 operations) scientific computations ever performed, with more than 100 quadrillion edges considered for a single climatic network. Our climatic analysis reveals areas of the world experiencing rapid environmental changes, which can have important implications for global carbon fluxes and zoonotic spillover events. Correlation and network analyses of this kind are widely applicable across computational and predictive biology domains, including systems biology, ecology, carbon cycles, biogeochemistry, and zoonosis research.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Machine Learning Analysis of Impact of Western US Fires on Central US Hailstorms

Fires, including wildfires, harm air quality and essential public services like transportation, communication, and utilities. These fires can also influence atmospheric conditions, including temperature and aerosols, potentially affecting severe convective storms. Here, we investigate the remote impacts of fires in the western United States (WUS) on the occurrence of large hail (size: $\geqslant$ 2.54 cm) in the central US (CUS) over the 20-year period of 2001–20 using the machine learning (ML), Random Forest (RF), and Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGB) methods. The developed RF and XGB models demonstrate high accuracy (> 90%) and F1 scores of up to 0.78 in predicting large hail occurrences when WUS fires and CUS hailstorms coincide, particularly in four states (Wyoming, South Dakota, Nebraska, and Kansas). The key contributing variables identified from both ML models include the meteorological variables in the fire region (temperature and moisture), the westerly wind over the plume transport path, and the fire features (i.e., the maximum fire power and burned area). Importantly, the results confirm a linkage between WUS fires and severe weather in the CUS, corroborating the findings of our previous modeling study conducted on case simulations with a detailed physics model.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Phase II Cost-Benefit Analysis: Economic Impact Assessment For Indonesia Building Sector Whole-Building Cooling Solutions

The Net Zero World (NZW) Initiative Collaborative Work Program with the Government of Indonesia (GoI) includes technical assistance and investment mobilization facilitation to accelerate deployment of energy efficiency technologies and solutions for the building sector. A February 2023 US–Indonesia Joint Workshop on Decarbonizing the Building Sector yielded a NZW Indonesia Building Decarbonization Working Group (NZW IBDWG) with four sub working groups (SWGs): SWG-A National Center, SWG-B Capacity Building, SWG-C Investment and Financing, and SWG-D Pilot Projects.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗