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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2025

Bridging material models across scales: An integrated approach to equation of state and molecular dynamics modeling of copper

New uncertainty-aware equation of state (EOS) and electrical conductivity (EC) models for copper have been developed. The multiphase EOS/EC models are fit to experimental solid/liquid EC isobar measurements as well as density-functional theory molecular dynamics (DFT-MD) EC calculations in both expanded and compressed regimes (0.1–16 g/ cm 3 ⁠). The liquid and solid EOS phases were fit to available experimental data along with additional DFT-MD data over the same range as the EC. Leveraging the DFT-MD data, a corresponding machine-learned interatomic potential (MLIAP) for copper was trained using genetic-algorithm optimization. The copper MLIAP was constrained by EOS shock points at high compressions. The final EOS bounded MLIAP proves to be stable over a large density range (approximately 0.1–20 g/ cm 3 ) with good agreement to an isothermal compression curve, shock Hugoniot, and liquid speed of sound measurements at high pressures (100s of GPa).

Acoustic measurements and instrumentation↗
DOE OSTI2026

Deriving effective electrode–ion interactions from free-energy profiles at electrochemical interfaces

Understanding ion adsorption at electrified metal–electrolyte interfaces is essential for accurate modeling of electrochemical systems. Here, in this study, we systematically investigate the free energy profiles of Na + , Cl − , and F − ions at the Au(111)–water interface using enhanced sampling molecular dynamics with both classical force fields and machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs). Our classical metadynamics results reveal a strong dependence of predicted ion adsorption on the Lennard-Jones parameters, highlighting that—without due care—standard mixing rules can lead to qualitatively incorrect descriptions of ion–metal interactions. We present a systematic methodology for tuning the cross term LJ parameters to control adsorption energetics in agreement with more accurate models. As a surrogate for an ab initio model, we employed the recently released Universal Models for Atoms MLIP, which validates classical trends and displays strong specific adsorption for chloride, weak adsorption for fluoride, and no specific adsorption for sodium, in agreement with experimental and theoretical expectations. By integrating molecular-level adsorption free energies into continuum models of the electric double layer, we show that specific ion adsorption substantially alters the interfacial ion population, the potential of zero charge, and the differential capacitance of the system. Our results underscore the critical importance of force field parameterization and advanced interatomic potentials for the predictive modeling of ion-specific effects at electrified interfaces and provide a robust framework for bridging molecular simulations and continuum electrochemical models.

Roncoroni, Fabrice [Lawrence Berkeley National Lab↗
DOE OSTI2026

From diamond to BC8 to simple cubic and back: Kinetic pathways to post-diamond carbon phases from metadynamics

Understanding the kinetic pathways connecting carbon polymorphs at multimegabar pressures remains a major unsolved problem in high-pressure physics. Here, we provide insights into the long-standing question of BC8 formation and stability by combining a state-of-the-art SNAP machine-learning interatomic potential with enhanced sampling via metadynamics, enabling direct access to transition mechanisms far beyond the reach of standard molecular dynamics. Our simulations show that carbon phase transformations are intrinsically complex, proceeding through multiple intermediate disordered and crystalline states governed by nontrivial kinetic ordering. We determine the upper pressure limit for BC8 formation and reveal that hexagonal diamond transforms to BC8 faster than cubic diamond—an unexpected and experimentally testable prediction. We also identify a 𝑃⁢222 carbon phase that becomes competitive with diamond and simple cubic above 1.8 TPa, and we demonstrate that BC8 may be quenched to ambient conditions at moderate temperatures. Altogether, these results establish a general and transferable framework for resolving kinetic pathways in solid-solid phase transitions and provide physical insights into carbon's complex high-pressure landscape.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Machine-learned quantum molecular dynamics calculations of warm dense equation of state and ionic transport coefficients of deuterated water

White dwarf models require accurate equations of state and ionic transport coefficients in the warm dense matter regime, where kinetic theory models and tabulated equations of state are often inaccurate. In this work, spectral-partitioned density functional theory and machine-learned interatomic potentials are combined to perform large-scale, first-principles quantum molecular dynamics simulations of deuterated water (D 2 O) near the principal Hugoniot. This approach retains Kohn-Sham accuracy while achieving orders-of-magnitude speedup, yielding converged equation of state and transport properties over a broad pressure and temperature range. The results reveal the thermodynamic conditions under which ionic transport models for interdiffusivity and shear viscosity converge and identify those in closest agreement with density functional theory benchmarks at temperatures in the warm dense matter regime. The present framework extends first-principles transport calculations to higher temperatures than previously achieved, and provides an efficient, scalable, and general approach for studying transport properties in complex multicomponent mixtures.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2026

High-pressure melt dynamics in shock-compressed titanium

In this work we study the high-pressure melting behavior of titanium using laser-driven shock compression with in situ femtosecond x-ray diffraction and molecular-dynamics simulations based on a machine-learned interatomic potential. The MD simulations predict the solid-liquid coexistence on the Hugoniot in the ∼111−124GPa range. Experimentally, we observe the first evidence of liquid at 86 GPa. We also observe pronounced microstructural changes with pressure, with strong grain refinement associated with the emergence of liquid, within the solid-liquid coexistence (∼110−126GPa). Above 126 GPa, we observe the persistence of residual levels of highly textured crystalline Ti to ∼180GPa, well above the expected melt completion pressure. We discuss the accuracy that current laser-shock experimental platforms have at determining the melt onset and completion pressures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Atomistic Simulation of Glasses and Amorphous Materials: Challenges and Opportunities for the Next Decade

Atomistic simulations have become indispensable tools for understanding glass structure, dynamics, and properties, yet persistent challenges limit their predictive power. This perspective examines three interconnected issues, namely glass formation procedures, interatomic potential development, and machine learning applications, which emerged from the 5th International Workshop on Challenges of Atomistic Simulations of Glasses and Amorphous Materials. We identify convergent community priorities for (i) standardized validation protocols, (ii) curated benchmark datasets with complete metadata, and (iii) open repositories for glasses. A systematic was forward is provided by a hierarchical validation framework for assessing the structural fidelity, property prediction, and behavioral realism of simulation techniques. Looking ahead, transformative advances are promised by the fusion of classical techniques with machine learning based approaches, for instance, by integrating swap Monte Carlo with machine-learning (ML) potentials, leveraging foundation models through transfer learning, and finetuning ML potentials with experimental data. Progress depends on the community committing to validated models, reproducible protocols, and sustained data sharing.

Krishnan, N. M. Anoop↗
DOE OSTI2026

HydraGNN v5.0

HydraGNN v5.0 expands the code base into a more portable, scalable, and flexible framework for scientific graph learning, with particular strength in atomistic machine-learning interatomic potentials and large-scale distributed training. The release adds Fully Sharded Data Parallel (FSDP) support alongside existing DDP and DeepSpeed paths, including FSDP-aware checkpointing and optimizer integration, and introduces a configurable multi-precision training workflow supporting FP32, BF16, and FP64 across GPUs and Intel XPUs. For atomistic modeling, HydraGNN v5.0 strengthens its MLIP capabilities through dynamic graph construction at every forward pass, energy-conserving force prediction via automatic differentiation, and per-atom energy loss formulations, while extending EGNN models to properly handle periodic boundary conditions. The release also broadens model expressiveness through graph-level attribute conditioning, adds new multi-task and model-parallel extensions such as MACE support and encoder/decoder branch optimization, and expands application coverage with integrated examples for datasets including OC25, Nabla2-DFT, QCML, Open Polymers 2026, and OPF. In parallel, HydraGNN v5.0 improves production readiness through performance optimizations for large-scale runs, stratified sampling and linear-regression preprocessing utilities, and tested installation scripts for DOE supercomputers including Frontier, Aurora, Perlmutter, and Andes. Overall, the release advances HydraGNN as a robust software platform for scalable graph neural networks across materials science, chemistry, and scientific machine learning workflows

Lupo Pasini, Massimiliano [Oak Ridge National Labo↗
DOE OSTI2026

matsim-agents v1.0

matsim-agents is a multi-agent AI framework for atomistic materials simulation and discovery. It orchestrates large language models (LLMs), machine-learned interatomic potentials (MLIPs), and DFT codes into a single agentic loop running on laptops and DOE leadership-class supercomputers. MULTI-AGENT ORCHESTRATION A LangGraph state machine with three nodes: a Planner that converts a natural-language research objective into structured tasks; an Executor that dispatches atomistic tools and loops until the queue is empty; and an Analyst that summarizes results into a human-readable report. State is checkpointed after every step and human-in-the-loop gates can be inserted at any edge. HYPOTHESIS-DRIVEN DISCOVERY CHAT An interactive REPL (matsim-agents chat) that couples LLM dialogue with atomistic simulation. Chemical formulas are automatically detected in conversation turns and trigger a full crystal-phase exploration: structure generation → relaxation → stability scoring → result injection back into the conversation, creating a closed hypothesis-refinement loop. CRYSTAL PHASE ENUMERATION Given a composition, the phase explorer enumerates prototypes by stoichiometry: elemental (fcc/bcc/hcp/sc/diamond), binary 1:1 (rocksalt/CsCl/zincblende/ wurtzite/fluorite/rutile), ternary 1:1:3 (cubic perovskite), ternary 1:2:4 (perovskite + spinel), quaternary 1:1:2:6 (Fm-3m double perovskite). 2-D prototypes (graphene, h-BN, MoS2 2H/1T) and multilayer stacking are also supported via --include-2d and --num-layers. SUPERCELL GENERATION AND SITE DECORATION Auto-tiling to a minimum atom count (--min-atoms), explicit NxNxN tiling (--supercell), symmetry-distinct site decorations (--n-orderings), and isotropic lattice-scale sweeps (--lattice-scales) for volume bracketing. MLFF RELAXATION AND STABILITY SCORING HydraGNN (multi-headed GNN) drives structure relaxation via ASE with FIRE, BFGS, or BFGSLineSearch. Stability output: delta-E/atom ranking across phases and a max-residual-force dynamical-stability proxy. Other MLIPs (MACE, NequIP, Orb) can be plugged in through the same interface. DFT BACKENDS Quantum ESPRESSO pw.x and VASP 6.6 are first-class labellers. Both have validated GPU builds and SLURM/PBS launchers for three DOE platforms: Frontier (AMD MI250X, ROCm), Aurora (Intel PVC, oneAPI), Perlmutter (NVIDIA A100, CUDA). QE produces ~100 binaries (pw.x, ph.x, epw.x, ...). VASP supports scf, relax, vc-relax, and vc-relax-shape run types. ACTIVE-LEARNING LOOP matsim-agents al run CONFIG.yaml drives an iterative HydraGNN-DFT loop: MD generates candidates → ensemble/MC-dropout uncertainty selects the most informative → DFT labels them in parallel inside one allocation → dataset grows → HydraGNN retrains → repeat. DFT backend is a single YAML toggle (dft.backend: vasp | qe). LLM-generated seed structures are supported (no curated POSCAR library needed). Config uses ${VAR}, ${VAR:-default}, ${VAR:?msg} shell-style substitution for cross-user/cross-site portability. LLM BACKENDS Ollama (local, default), vLLM (HPC multi-GPU serving), OpenAI, Anthropic, HuggingFace Transformers+Accelerate. Selected at runtime via flag or env var with no code changes. HPC PORTABILITY Same Python entry points run on Frontier (ROCm 7.2), Aurora (oneAPI), and Perlmutter (CUDA 12). DFT and ML stacks are never co-loaded in the same shell; they couple through the scheduler and filesystem. Advanced multi-node launchers (serve, discovery-chat, single-relaxation, active-learning, QE warm-start) are provided for all three platforms. CODABENCH COMPETITION BUNDLE A self-contained benchmark: 159 atomistic test structures across 11 material classes, 5 tasks (formation energy, forces, ML relaxation, AI-DFT relaxation, phase stability ranking), public/private leaderboard split (30/70), and four ready-to-run baselines: MACE-MP-0, HydraGNN, UMA, AllScAIP.

Lupo Pasini, Massimiliano [Oak Ridge National Labo↗
DOE OSTI2026

User Manual - HydraGNN v5.0: Distributed Implementation of Multi-Tasking Graph Neural Networks

This document serves as the user manual for HydraGNN v5.0, a scalable graph neural network (GNN) architecture for simultaneous prediction of multiple target properties using multi-task learning (MTL). This version of HydraGNN has been developed primarily to support the development, training, and deployment of predictive graph-based deep learning (DL) models for atomistic materials modeling. HydraGNN is templated over 13 message-passing policies, including invariant models (GIN, PNA, PNAPlus, GAT, MFC, CGCNN, SAGE, SchNet, DimeNet) and equivariant models (EGNN, PNAEq, PAINN, MACE), and supports distributed training via distributed data parallelism (DDP), DeepSpeed, and Fully Sharded Data Parallelism (FSDP) on leadership-class supercomputers. Although HydraGNN can be applied to problems beyond atomistic materials modeling, its current use is confined to homogeneous graphs. Additional capabilities include machine-learned interatomic potentials with energy-conserving forces, General, Powerful, and Scalable Graph Transformer (GraphGPS) global attention, periodic boundary conditions, hyperparameter optimization, mixed-precision training, and uncertainty quantification.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

Actinium–DOTA coordination in water from hybrid ML/MM: Structure, free energies, and water-exchange pathways

Quantitative simulation of trivalent ƒ-block chelates in water remains challenging because bonded and non-bonded force-field models make different approximations for coordination structure, exchange dynamics, and ion–ligand interactions in highly charged systems. Here, we develop a hybrid machine-learning/molecular-mechanics (ML/MM) framework for Ac 3+ –DOTA in explicit solvent by training an E(3)-equivariant neural network potential (MACELES) on mechanically embedded QM/MM data for Ac aquo and Ac–DOTA species and coupling it to NAMD 2.14 with particle-mesh Ewald electrostatics. Nanosecond ML/MM trajectories remain numerically stable and preserve chelate integrity, yielding a compact DOTA inner shell with an inner-sphere water coordination number of CN Ac,O w ≈ 1.7 arising from a dynamic equilibrium between one- and two-water states (37.5% and 59.9% of frames; three waters 2.5%). A 5 ns potential of mean force shows two low-lying basins at CN Ac,O w ≈ 1 and CN Ac,O w ≈ 2. DFT end-state free energies are consistent with the ML/MM profile, and DFT minimum-energy paths provide a qualitative electronic-structure reference for the observed basin connectivity. State-resolved kinetics reveal picosecond water-exchange pathways that couple hydration changes to transient DOTA arm fluctuations, and training-set comparisons show that temperature-matched Ac–DOTA data optimize energy/force accuracy while more diverse solvated data improve charge prediction. Overall, the present hybrid ML/MM model provides a practical description of Ac 3+ –DOTA hydration thermodynamics and short-time exchange behavior in explicit water at MD-like cost.

Actinium↗
DOE OSTI2025

A foundation model for atomistic materials chemistry

Atomistic simulations of matter, especially those that leverage first-principles (ab initio) electronic structure theory, provide a microscopic view of the world, underpinning much of our understanding of chemistry and materials science. Over the last decade or so, machine-learned force fields have transformed atomistic modeling by enabling simulations of ab initio quality over unprecedented time and length scales. However, early machine-learning (ML) force fields have largely been limited by (i) the substantial computational and human effort required to develop and validate potentials for each particular system of interest and (ii) a general lack of transferability from one chemical system to the next. Here, we show that it is possible to create a general-purpose atomistic ML model, trained on a public dataset of moderate size, that is capable of running stable molecular dynamics for a wide range of molecules and materials. We demonstrate the power of the MACE-MP-0 model-and its qualitative and at times quantitative accuracy-on a diverse set of problems in the physical sciences, including properties of solids, liquids, gases, chemical reactions, interfaces, and even the dynamics of a small protein. The model can be applied out of the box as a starting or "foundation" model for any atomistic system of interest and, when desired, can be fine-tuned on just a handful of application-specific data points to reach ab initio accuracy. Establishing that a stable force-field model can cover almost all materials changes atomistic modeling in a fundamental way: experienced users obtain reliable results much faster, and beginners face a lower barrier to entry. Foundation models thus represent a step toward democratizing the revolution in atomic-scale modeling that has been brought about by ML force fields.

Batatia, Ilyes↗
DOE OSTI2025

Deep-learning atomistic semi-empirical pseudopotential model for nanomaterials

The semi-empirical pseudopotential method (SEPM) has been widely applied to provide computational insights into the electronic structure, photophysics, and charge carrier dynamics of nanoscale materials. We present “DeepPseudopot”, a machine-learned atomistic pseudopotential model that extends the SEPM framework by combining a flexible neural network representation of the local pseudopotential with parameterized non-local and spin-orbit coupling terms. Trained on bulk quasiparticle band structures and deformation potentials from GW calculations, the model captures many-body and relativistic effects with very high accuracy across diverse semiconducting materials, as illustrated for silicon and group III-V semiconductors. DeepPseudopot’s accuracy, efficiency, and transferability make it well-suited for data-driven in silico design and discovery of novel optoelectronic nanomaterials.

Lin, Kailai [University of California, Berkeley, C↗
DOE OSTI2026

Single-cell chromatin accessibility and cis -regulatory element analyses in plants using the scPlantReg platform

Understanding gene regulation is fundamental to plant improvement, but the lack of plant-specific single-cell assay for transposase-accessible chromatin using sequencing (scATAC-seq) frameworks and cross-species databases has limited insights into cell-type-specific cellular regulation. Here we present ‘scPlantReg’, an integrated framework and database for plant scATAC-seq data. scPlantReg supports end-to-end analyses from raw data processing to biological interpretation and features ‘scATACtor’, a supervised machine-learning approach that outperforms existing tools for cell-type annotation. We applied scPlantReg to pearl millet to characterize cell-type-specific chromatin accessibility and identify validated activating and repressing accessible chromatin regions (ACRs), revealing WRKY transcription factors as potential regulators of xylem development. Furthermore, we reanalysed scATAC-seq datasets from 8 plant species, spanning 11 tissues and multiple developmental stages, enabling cross-species comparisons. Furthermore, these analyses uncovered conserved regulatory programmes, including AP2/EREBP-associated ACRs linked to cell wall development and cell-type-conserved TFs across grasses. Collectively, scPlantReg provides a general framework and resource for comparative regulatory analysis in plants.

Epigenomics↗
DOE OSTI2026

Neutron-Antineutron Transition Search at DUNE

Neutron-antineutron transition is a baryon number violating process with ΔB=2, providing a unique insight into potential explanations of the baryon asymmetry in our universe, especially in the context of post-sphaleron baryogenesis. Studies have been conducted across various neutron-rich environments, including free neutron sources, neutron stars, and bound neutrons in large underground neutrino detectors, among which large neutrino experiments have historically obtained the most stringent constraints. The forthcoming Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) will offer especially strong prospects for this search, enabled by the high spatial resolution of its liquid argon time projection chamber. This poster presents a recent study on neutron-antineutron transition at DUNE using machine-learning based event classification.

Yu, Kaiwen [UC, Irvine (main)]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Machine-learning modeling of magnetization dynamics in quasi-equilibrium and driven metallic spin systems

Here, we present a perspective on recent progress in machine-learning (ML) force-field approaches for large-scale Landau–Lifshitz–Gilbert (LLG) simulations of metallic spin systems. Building on a generalization of the Behler–Parrinello (BP) architecture originally developed for quantum molecular dynamics, we develop scalable and transferable ML models that faithfully capture the complex, environment-dependent electron-mediated exchange fields characteristic of itinerant magnets. A central ingredient of this framework is the implementation of symmetry-aware magnetic descriptors based on group-theoretical bispectrum formalisms. Leveraging these ML force fields, LLG simulations faithfully reproduce hallmark non-collinear magnetic orders—such as the 120° and tetrahedral states—on the triangular lattice, and successfully capture the complex spin textures emerging in the mixed-phase states of a square-lattice double-exchange model under thermal quench. We further discuss a generalized potential theory that extends the BP formalism to incorporate both conservative and nonconservative electronic torques, thereby enabling ML models to learn nonequilibrium exchange fields from computationally demanding microscopic approaches such as nonequilibrium Green’s-function techniques. This extension yields quantitatively accurate predictions of voltage-driven domain-wall motion and establishes a foundation for quantum-accurate, multiscale modeling of nonequilibrium spin dynamics and spintronic functionalities.

Descriptors↗
DOE OSTI2025

Geologic hydrogen: From natural occurrences to anthropogenic generation – A review of fundamentals, potential, challenges and prospects

Growing demand for hydrogen is exposing the environmental and economic limits of reforming-based and carbon-managed supply chains, while the scale-up of electrolytic capacity remains capital-constrained. Geologic hydrogen, defined as molecular H₂ generated and stored within the Earth's crust offers a complementary, potentially lower-cost resource, yet exploration is still ad hoc. This review (1) revisits a global inventory of confirmed hydrogen seeps and subsurface occurrences; (2) analyzes the controlling reactions, migration pathways, and trapping conditions governing these occurrences; (3) proposes a process-based geologic hydrogen system concept analogous to, yet distinct from, the petroleum system; and (4) evaluates potential geologic hydrogen systems within the United States as a representative case study. Here, we contrast natural systems powered by serpentinization, mantle degassing or radiolysis with anthropogenic systems that stimulate the same reactions or convert in-situ hydrocarbons. Stable hydrogen accumulations require generation rates that outpace combined physical, chemical and microbial losses; the Bourakébougou field (Mali) exemplifies a self-recharging, free-gas reservoir sustained by meteoric-water serpentinization beneath an efficient caprock. Prospective geologic hydrogen resources are likely to occur in regions where iron-rich lithologies, deep-seated faults, and low-permeability sealing formations coexist. Applying this principle, we highlight three promising hydrogen play types in U.S. geological terrains: ophiolite belts (Appalachian and Californian regions), the Midcontinent Rift and the Lake Superior banded‑iron formations. Multiphysics numerical models and positive-unlabeled machine-learning workflows help to accelerate play screening and de-risk future production; yet, reaction kinetics, stimulation strategies, and full techno-economic and life-cycle assessments remain pivotal knowledge gaps.

Anthropogenic hydrogen generation↗
DOE OSTI2026

Rapid Coal-Ash Characterization using Geophysical Methods & Machine Learning

Coal combustion products (CCP) are challenging to delineate in heterogeneous field settings. Conventional methods (test pits, coring, and laboratory analyses) are labor-intensive, slow, invasive, and provide sparse spatial coverage. This study evaluates whether rapid non-invasive geophysical screening methods—induced polarization (IP), magnetic susceptibility, and nuclear magnetic resonance (NMR) —combined with surface colorimetry (RGB_24), can discriminate CCP-soil mixtures and provide reliable estimates of CCP content. Laboratory measurements were collected on five CCP-soil mixtures (series) and modeled using (i) a linear baseline, (ii) a calibrated non-linear (power-mean) model, and (iii) a machine-learning (ML) Random Forest approach, with validation via leave-one-series-out and site-specific tests. Across the five series, individual signals—particularly IP and magnetic susceptibility—were strongly predictive of ash content but were consistently outperformed by combined models. The pooled calibrated non-linear and ML models captured the observed non-linearity and achieved high accuracy and precision, improving on linear fits. Colorimetry showed the weakest direct relationship with ash content for the tested samples but improved performance when included in multi-signal models. At pre-selected 3.5% decision threshold, calibrated and ML approaches yielded near-perfect classification (Matthews correlation coefficient ˜ 1), suggesting strong practical operability for field screening. Additionally, field-analog tests highlighted the role of endmembers—accuracy declined without access to end-member measurements but was largely recovered by collecting a minimal labeled pair for local recalibration. With end members, accuracy remained high. Globally trained models performed well on three operational unknowns; however, series-specific refits provided the most accurate predictions. Overall, these results highlight the potential of combining rapid geophysics and minimal local calibration for improved coal-ash delineation.

Peshtani, Klaudio↗
DOE OSTI2026

Crowdsourcing the Frontier: Advancing Hybrid Physics‐ML Climate Simulation via a $\$$50,000 Kaggle Competition

Subgrid machine-learning (machine learning [ML]) parameterizations have the potential to introduce a new generation of climate models that incorporate the effects of higher-resolution physics without incurring the prohibitive computational cost associated with more explicit physics-based simulations. However, important issues, ranging from online instability to inconsistent online performance, have limited their operational use for long-term climate projections. To more rapidly drive progress in solving these issues, domain scientists and ML researchers opened up the offline aspect of this problem to the broader ML and data science community with the release of ClimSim, a NeurIPS Data sets and Benchmarks publication, and an associated Kaggle competition. This paper reports on the downstream results of the Kaggle competition by coupling emulators inspired by the winning teams' architectures to an interactive climate model (including full cloud microphysics, a regime historically prone to online instability) and systematically evaluating their online performance. Our results demonstrate that online stability in the low-resolution real-geography setting is reproducible across multiple diverse architectures, which we consider a key milestone. All tested architectures exhibit strikingly similar offline and online biases, though their responses to architecture-agnostic design choices (e.g., expanding the list of input variables) can differ significantly. Multiple Kaggle-inspired architectures achieve state-of-the-art results on certain metrics such as zonal mean bias patterns and global Root Mean Squared Error, indicating that crowdsourcing the essence of the offline problem is one path to improving online performance in hybrid physics-AI climate simulation.

Environmental sciences↗