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At least 55 records · Page 3

The non-existence of the Oort cometary shell

The procedures adopted as theory for a shell of comets are shown to be invalid. Any plot of numbers of long-period comets against 1/a will automatically exhibit a peak at small values of this parameter, and cannot be inverted to demonstrate a high volume-density of aphelia in space. The positions of actual aphelion-points show no sign of any concentration at any range. Further, the aphelion-distance undergoes large almost random changes owing to planetary perturbations at each return, and present values can yield no indication of original positions. A recent attempt to save the shell-theory by making use solely of comets with large perihelion-distance is shown to rest on exactly the same errors as have done all the earlier presentations. The plain conclusions emerge that the shell-theory is devoid of any support by facts, and that the alleged shell of comets is non-existent.

Lyttleton, R. A.↗

Theory of the rotation of the rigid earth

Equations of motion for a triaxial rigid earth are derived in Andoyer variables. The reference plane is the ecliptic of date which is moving as a result of planetary perturbations. By using this noninertial system, the development of the disturbing function for the sun and moon is simplified, with an additional term appearing in the Hamiltonian which, however, contributes only to precessional motion. The nutation terms derived are compared with those of Woolard.

Kinoshita, H.↗

Comments on the Venus rotation pole

Possible orientations of the Venus rotation pole as a function of planetary oblateness are calculated, taking into account the variation of the orbital inclination and motion of the nodal line produced by long-term planetary perturbations and assuming the obliquity to be fully damped. If the obliquity is stabilized against solar tides by core-mantle viscous coupling, a fully damped obliquity is the expected state. An analysis of earth-based radar data from 1964 to 1977 yields a pole position which lies near damped pole positions of small oblateness, no more than about 10 to the 6th. Possible implications of this result are considered.

Ward, W. R.↗

On observing comets for nuclear rotation

The prevalent non-gravitational motions among comets demonstrate that the sublimination does not reach a maximum at the instant of maximum insolation on the nucleus. The occurrence of halos or "parabolic" envelopes in the comae of some comets and of jets, rays, fans, streamers and similar phenomena very near the nucleus in the brightest comets demonstrates that the sublimation process is not uniform over the nuclei. In other words, the nuclei of many comets contain relatively small active regions which provide much or most of the sublimation when these areas are turned toward the Sun. The period of rotation can be determind by measurement of the diameters of the halos or of the latus recta of the "parabolic" envelopes, if the expansion velocities are averaged from observations as a function of solar distance. Experience from analyses of some 80 well observed comets shows that the nuclei are "spotted" for more than a third of all comets, regardless of the "age" as measured by the original inverse semimajor axis including correction for planetary perturbations.

Whipple, F. L.↗

The long-term motion of comet Halley

The orbital motion of comet Halley is numerically integrated back to 1404 BC. Starting with an orbit based on the 1759, 1682, and 1607 observations of the comet, the integration was run back in time with full planetary perturbations and nongravitational forces taken into account at each 0.5 day time-step. Small empirical corrections were made to the computed perihelion passage time in 837 and to the osculating orbital eccentricity in 800. In nine cases, the perihelion passage times calculated by Kiang (1971) from Chinese observations have been redetermined, and osculating orbital elements are given at each apparition from 1910 back to 1404 BC.

Yeomans, D. K.↗

Comet Tempel-Tuttle and the Leonid meteors

The distribution of dust surrounding periodic comet Tempel-Tuttle has been mapped by analyzing the associated Leonid meteor shower data over the 902-1969 interval. The majority of dust ejected from the parent comet evolves to a position lagging the comet and outside the comet's orbit. Hence, it appears that radiation pressure and planetary perturbations, rather than ejection processes, control the dynamic evolution of the Leonid particles. Significant Leonid meteor showers are possible roughly 2500 days before or after the parent comet reaches perihelion, but only if the comet passes closer than 0.025 AU inside or 0.010 AU outside the earth's orbit. Although the conditions in 1998-1999 are optimum for a significant Leonid meteor shower, the event is not certain because the dust particle distribution near the comet is far from uniform. The orbit of comet Tempel-Tuttle has been redetermined for the 1366-1966 observed interval.

Yeomans, D. K.↗

Comments on the long-term stability of the earth's obliquity

Continued tidal evolution of the earth-moon system will lengthen the day and expand the lunar orbit. Both of these changes increase the present 26,000-year equinoctial precession period. In less than two billion years, this period will become comparable to the approximately 49,000- and 69,000-year periods of important terms describing the precession of the earth's orbit plane due to planetary perturbations. These events occur when the lunar orbital semimajor axis drifts past approximately 66.5 and 68.0 earth radii, respectively, and will be accompanied by large oscillations of the obliquity and severe climatic alterations. The current rate of lunar recession implies that these resonances should have been encountered already, had present conditions been the norm throughout geologic time.

Ward, W. R.↗

Asteroidal source of ordinary chondrites (Meteoritical Society Presidential Address 1984)

The orbital evolution of asteroidal fragments injected into the 3-1 Kirkwood gap resonance at 2.5 AU is investigated on the basis of a Monte Carlo simulation. The diameters of the fragments in the simulation were between 10 cm and 20 km, and it was assumed that the fragments cross the orbital path of the earth every one million years. The effects of close encounter planetary perturbations, the nu dot 6 secular resonance, and the ablative effects of the earth atmosphere were also taken into account. It is found that: (1) the predicted meteorite orbits closely matched the known orbits of ordinary chondrites; and (2) the total flux was in approximate agreement with the observed fall rate of ordinary chondrites. About 90 percent of the predicted impacting bodies were created by fragmentation of larger earth crossing asteroidal fragments, the largest of which were observed in the vicinity of the Apollo-Amor objects. The numerical results are presented in a series of graphs.

Wetherill, G. W.↗

The radial velocity search for extrasolar planets

Researchers are measuring small changes in the line-of-sight velocities of stars to detect the oscillating reflex acceleration induced by large planets. The intention is to observe enough stars for a long enough time to be able to make a statement of the probability of planets in a certain range of masses even if no planetary perturbations are detected. To make these measurements of Doppler shift with the required sensitivity, a new instrument was specifically designed, built and tested for this campaign of ground-based planet detection. The instrument is an optical spectrometer for which wavelengths are first calibrated by transmission through a tunable Fabry-Perot etalon interferometer. The intrinsic stability of the etalon and an image-scrambling fiber optic light feed provide great sensitivity to line-of-sight accelerations and immunity to systematic errors.

Mcmillen, Robert S.↗

Dust particles from comets and asteroids collected at the Earth's orbit: Parent-daughter relationships

The relative contributions of comets and asteroids to the reservoir of dust in the interplanetary medium is not well known. There are direct observations of dust released from comets and there is evidence to associate the IRAS dust bands with possible collisions of Asteroids in the main belt. It is believed that one may combine lab analysis of the physics and chemistry of captured particles with orbital data in order to identify comet and asteroid parent bodies. It is possible to use the collected orbits of the dust to connect with its source in two ways. One is to consider the long time orbit evolution of the dust under Poynting-Robertson drag. The other is to look at the prompt orbit change of dust from comets onto trajectories that intersect the earth's orbit. In order to characterize the orbits of dust particles evolved over a long period of time, a study of its orbital evolution was undertaken. Various parameters associated with these dust orbits as they cross the Earth's orbit were considered in order to see if one may discriminate between particles evolved from comets and asteroids. The method was to calculate by a numerical procedure the orbits of dust particles after they left their parent bodies. It appears that as the particles pass the Earth's orbit, asteroidal grains and cometary grains can be differentiated on the basis of their measured orbital eccentricities even after much planetary perturbation. Broad parent daughter associations can be made on this basis from measurement of their trajectories intercepted in earth orbit.

Jackson, A. A.↗

The radial velocity search for extrasolar planets

Radial velocity measurements are being made to search for planets orbiting stars other than the Sun. The reflex acceleration induced on stars by planets can be sensed by measuring the small, slow changes in the line-of-site velocities of stars. To detect these planetary perturbations, the data series must be made on a uniform instrumental scale for as long as it takes a planet to orbit its star. A spectrometer of extreme stability and unprecedented sensitivity to changes in stellar radial velocities was operated.

Mcmillan, Robert S.↗

Long-term orbital evolution of short-period comets found in Project Cosmo-DICE

Orbital evolutions of about 160 short-period (SP) comets are numerically integrated for 4400 years in the framework of a realistic dynamical model. By the round-trip error in closure test, a reliable time space of the integrated orbits is estimated for each comet. Majority of the SP comets with their Tisserand's constant(J) between 2.8 and 3.1 are found to evolve within the past 1000-2000 years from the orbits whose perihelia are near the Jovian orbit to the orbits with perihelia of 1-2 AU. This evolution is much more rapid than that expected from Monte Carlo simulations based on symmetric distribution of planetary perturbations, thus suggesting that asymmetry of perturbation distribution play an important role in cometary evolution. Several comets are shown to evolve from the near-Saturn orbits and then to be handed over under the control of Jupiter. We also find that a few comets were captured from long-period orbits (a = 75-125 AU) via only a few close encounters with Jupiter. It is confirmed that the captured SP comets of low-inclination with 2.7 less than J less than 3.1 show more or less strong chaotic behavior. On the other hand, comets with longer orbital period and/or of high inclination reveal slow or quasi-periodic orbital evolution.

Nakamura, Tsuko↗

Asteroid orbit determination using Bayesian probabilities

Bayesian a priori and a posteriori probability densities are employed to determine asteroid orbital elements from optical astrometric observations. For near-earth asteroids and Jupiter Trojans, the two-body approximation can yield grossly erroneous uncertainty estimates because of the scattering effect of close planetary encounters or prolonged weak planetary perturbations. For main-belt asteroids, the two-body approximation works efficiently, from which it is inferred that, although the ephemeris must be computed from an integrated orbit, only approximate partial derivatives are needed to attain sufficient accuracy in predicting ephemeris uncertainties. The semimajor and semiminor axes of the 2D 1-sigma sky-plane uncertainty ellipse during the years 1993 to 2005 in the many-body and two-body linear approximations are shown.

Muinonen, Karri↗

Detection of asteroidal dust particles from known families in near-Earth orbits

The orbital evolution of dust particles with two different sizes (diameters equal to 4 and 9 microns) originating from the Eos, Koronis, and Themis asteroidal families was studied. All the planetary perturbations, radiation pressure, Poynting-Robertson light drag, and corpuscular solar wind effects are included in the calculation. It is concluded that for particles having diameters ranging from 4 to 9 microns, Eos particles are quite different in orbital elements from Themis and Koronis particles. For Koronis and Themis particles, the best times to collect them are around April and October.

Dermott, Stanley F.↗

Obliquity-oblateness feedback: Are climatically sensitive values of obliquity dynamically unstable?

A new model is presented for feedback between rotational and climatic variations, operative on time scales of 10(exp 4) - 10(exp 7) years. Due to the combined effect of planetary perturbations to the Earth's orbit plane and luni-solar torques on the oblate figure of the Earth, the obliquity varies by approximately 1 deg on a 4 x 10(exp 4) year time scale. Associated changes in the seasonal and latitudinal pattern of incident solar radiation cause major glaciations. Mass transport from the oceans to the polar ice sheets during these glaciations can change the gravitational oblateness of the Earth by amounts approaching 1%. As the rate of spin axis precession is directly proportional to the oblateness, the climatically forced mass transport can by dynamically significant. A simple parameterization of this coupled orbital-rotational-climatic system suggests that there is a strong tendency for the system to evolve away from climatically sensitive values of the obliquity. This may explain the mid-Pleistocene transition from an obliquity dominated regime to the present regime in which most climatic variability is concentrated at longer (10(exp 5) year) periods.

Bills, Bruce G.↗

Massive Remnant of Evolved Cometary Dust Trail Detected in the Orbit of Halley-Type Comet 55P/Tempel-Tuttle

There is a subpopulation of Leonid meteoroid stream particles that appear to form a region of enhanced numbers density along the path of the stream. This structure has been detected in the vicinity of the parent comet, and its variation from one apparition to the next has been traced. A significant amount of known comet 55P/Tempel-Tuttle debris is in this component, called a "filament," which has dimensions exceeding by an order of magnitude that expected for a cometary dust trail. As filament particles are of a size comparable to those found in trails, the emission ages of the particles comprising the filament must be intermediate between the age of the current trail particles (which have not been observed) and the age of the background particles comprising the annual showers. The most likely explanation for this structure is planetary perturbations acting differently on the comet and large particles while at different mean anomalies relative to each other.

Jenniskens, P.↗

Orbital Analysis for Near-Earth Objects

For recently discovered Near-Earth Objects (NEO) two body computations can be used to determine the minimum distance between the object's orbit and that of the Earth. Determinations can then be made for potential near-term threats to the Earth. This preliminary orbit analysis must be followed with planetary perturbation computations of the object's future motion to predict actual close Earth approaches.

Near-Earth Objects Comets Meteors Astronomy↗

Structure of the Edgeworth-Kuiper Belt (EKB) Dust Disk and Implications for Extrasolar Planet(s) epsilon Eridani

Numerical simulations of the orbital evolution of dust particles from Edgeworth-Kuiper Belt (EKB) objects show that the three giant planets, Neptune, Jupiter, and Saturn impose distinct and dramatic signatures on the overall distribution of EKB dust particles. The features are very similar to those observed in the dust disk around the nearby star Eridani. Numerical simulations of dust particles in the epsilon Eridani system show that planetary perturbations may be responsible for the observed features

Liou, J. -C.↗