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At least 55 records · Page 3

Stochastic Modeling of Airlines' Scheduled Services Revenue

Airlines' revenue generated from scheduled services account for the major share in the total revenue. As such, predicting airlines' total scheduled services revenue is of great importance both to the governments (in case of national airlines) and private airlines. This importance stems from the need to formulate future airline strategic management policies, determine government subsidy levels, and formulate governmental air transportation policies. The prediction of the airlines' total scheduled services revenue is dealt with in this paper. Four key components of airline's scheduled services are considered. These include revenues generated from passenger, cargo, mail, and excess baggage. By addressing the revenue generated from each schedule service separately, air transportation planners and designers are able to enhance their ability to formulate specific strategies for each component. Estimation results clearly indicate that the four stochastic processes (scheduled services components) are represented by different Box-Jenkins ARIMA models. The results demonstrate the appropriateness of the developed models and their ability to provide air transportation planners with future information vital to the planning and design processes.

Hamed, M. M.↗

Stochastic Modeling of Airlines' Scheduled Services Revenue

Airlines' revenue generated from scheduled services account for the major share in the total revenue. As such, predicting airlines' total scheduled services revenue is of great importance both to the governments (in case of national airlines) and private airlines. This importance stems from the need to formulate future airline strategic management policies, determine government subsidy levels, and formulate governmental air transportation policies. The prediction of the airlines' total scheduled services revenue is dealt with in this paper. Four key components of airline's scheduled services are considered. These include revenues generated from passenger, cargo, mail, and excess baggage. By addressing the revenue generated from each schedule service separately, air transportation planners and designers arc able to enhance their ability to formulate specific strategies for each component. Estimation results clearly indicate that the four stochastic processes (scheduled services components) are represented by different Box-Jenkins ARIMA models. The results demonstrate the appropriateness of the developed models and their ability to provide air transportation planners with future information vital to the planning and design processes.

Hamed, M. M.↗

Precision Departure Release Capability (PDRC) Overview and Results: NASA to FAA Research Transition

NASA researchers developed the Precision Departure Release Capability (PDRC) concept to improve the tactical departure scheduling process. The PDRC system is comprised of: 1) a surface automation system that computes ready time predictions and departure runway assignments, 2) an en route scheduling automation tool that uses this information to estimate ascent trajectories to the merge point and computes release times and, 3) an interface that provides two-way communication between the two systems. To minimize technology transfer issues and facilitate its adoption by TMCs and Frontline Managers (FLM), NASA developed the PDRC prototype using the Surface Decision Support System (SDSS) for the Tower surface automation tool, a research version of the FAA TMA (RTMA) for en route automation tool and a digital interface between the two DSTs to facilitate coordination.

PDRC↗

Structure and Electronic Properties of Mesopores in Si PV Devices with PLEO Contacts

All current state-of-the-art silicon photovoltaic (PV) devices employ some flavor of passivating contact structure to minimize detrimental recombination while providing good conductivity. These properties are most often provided by a dielectric layer (SiNx, Al2O3, or SiOx) that is in contact with the crystalline silicon (c-Si) substrate. The effectiveness of these layers is heavily dependent on the nanoscale structure of both the dielectric layers and the crystalline silicon interface. As an example, the tunneling probability for charge carriers across thin SiOx layers, a process that is critical to maintain high conductivity, is extremely sensitive to the SiOx thickness. SiOx with a thickness below 2 nm readily allows charge carrier tunneling, whereas it is impeded for greater thicknesses. In the latter case it has been shown that modifications to the thermal processing schedule can induce disruptions, or pinholes, in thick SiOx layers that allow transport of charge carriers while maintaining excellent passivation. However, this requires higher temperatures processes that may inhibit widespread adoption by industry. Recently, another option has been presented that may circumvent the necessity for high temperature processing, namely metal assisted chemical etching (MACE). MACE relies on deposition of Ag nanoparticles onto the SiOx layers with subsequent electroless etching to form mesopores in the SiOx layers that are analogous to the pinholes created with high temperature processing. The size and density can be controlled based on the Ag nanoparticle deposition conditions. The resulting contact structure is known as polysilicon on locally etched oxide (PLEO) contacts. The nanoscale structure of the mesopores in PLEO contacts define the device level observables such as recombination current (Jo) and junction resistance. In this work we present atomic resolution transmission electron microscopy (TEM) analysis of mesopores in PLEO contacts formed with a different processing conditions to connect provide insight into how the nanoscale structure of the SiOx layer influences PV device properties. Additionally, we have previously used electron beam induced current (EBIC) to probe local transport properties in Si PV devices with a SiOx layer containing pinholes due to high temperature processing. Using EBIC we were able to directly show the enhance charge carrier transport through the pinholes. Here we also employ EBIC to study non-uniformities in charge carrier recombination and transport associated with mesopores in PLEO contacts and compare these results with our previous work on devices with pinholes in the SiOx formed through high temperature processes. The products of this work provide critical information that is required to both further optimize performance of Si PV devices with PLEO contact and to drive future adoption of this technology by industry.

ENGINEERING,SOLAR ENERGY↗

Automated Long - Term Scheduling for the SOFIA Airborne Observatory

The NASA Stratospheric Observatory for Infrared Astronomy (SOFIA) is a joint US/German project to develop and operate a gyro-stabilized 2.5-meter telescope in a Boeing 747SP. SOFIA's first science observations were made in December 2010. During 2011, SOFIA accomplished 30 flights in the "Early Science" program as well as a deployment to Germany. The new observing period, known as Cycle 1, is scheduled to begin in 2012. It includes 46 science flights grouped in four multi-week observing campaigns spread through a 13-month span. Automation of the flight scheduling process offers a major challenge to the SOFIA mission operations. First because it is needed to mitigate its relatively high cost per unit observing time compared to space-borne missions. Second because automated scheduling techniques available for ground-based and space-based telescopes are inappropriate for an airborne observatory. Although serious attempts have been made in the past to solve part of the problem, until recently mission operations staff was still manually scheduling flights. We present in this paper a new automated solution for generating SOFIA long-term schedules that will be used in operations from the Cycle 1 observing period. We describe the constraints that should be satisfied to solve the SOFIA scheduling problem in the context of real operations. We establish key formulas required to efficiently calculate the aircraft course over ground when evaluating flight schedules. We describe the foundations of the SOFIA long-term scheduler, the constraint representation, and the random search based algorithm that generates observation and instrument schedules. Finally, we report on how the new long-term scheduler has been used in operations to date.

Civeit, Thomas↗

Integration Process for the Habitat Demonstration Unit

The Habitat Demonstration Unit (HDU) is an experimental exploration habitat technology and architecture test platform designed for analog demonstration activities The HDU project has required a team to integrate a variety of contributions from NASA centers and outside collaborators and poses a challenge in integrating these disparate efforts into a cohesive architecture To complete the development of the HDU from conception in June 2009 to rollout for operations in July 2010, a cohesive integration strategy has been developed to integrate the various systems of HDU and the payloads, such as the Geology Lab, that those systems will support The utilization of interface design standards and uniquely tailored reviews have allowed for an accelerated design process Scheduled activities include early fit-checks and the utilization of a Habitat avionics test bed prior to equipment installation into HDU A coordinated effort to utilize modeling and simulation systems has aided in design and integration concept development Modeling tools have been effective in hardware systems layout, cable routing and length estimation, and human factors analysis Decision processes on the shell development including the assembly sequence and the transportation have been fleshed out early on HDU to maximize the efficiency of both integration and field operations Incremental test operations leading up to an integrated systems test allows for an orderly systems test program The HDU will begin its journey as an emulation of a Pressurized Excursion Module (PEM) for 2010 field testing and then may evolve to a Pressurized Core Module (PCM) for 2011 and later field tests, depending on agency architecture decisions The HDU deployment will vary slightly from current lunar architecture plans to include developmental hardware and software items and additional systems called opportunities for technology demonstration One of the HDU challenges has been designing to be prepared for the integration of presently unanticipated systems Results of the HDU field tests will influence future designs of habitat systems.

Gill, Tracy↗

Spacelab Mission Implementation Cost Assessment (SMICA)

A total savings of approximately 20 percent is attainable if: (1) mission management and ground processing schedules are compressed; (2) the equipping, staffing, and operating of the Payload Operations Control Center is revised, and (3) methods of working with experiment developers are changed. The development of a new mission implementation technique, which includes mission definition, experiment development, and mission integration/operations, is examined. The Payload Operations Control Center is to relocate and utilize new computer equipment to produce cost savings. Methods of reducing costs by minimizing the Spacelab and payload processing time during pre- and post-mission operation at KSC are analyzed. The changes required to reduce costs in the analytical integration process are studied. The influence of time, requirements accountability, and risk on costs is discussed. Recommendation for cost reductions developed by the Spacelab Mission Implementation Cost Assessment study are listed.

Guynes, B. V.↗

Deformation and annealing study of Nicraly

Extensive experiments were carried out on the ODS alloy Nicraly, (an alloy prepared by mechanical alloying and consolidating a powder blend consisting of 16% chromium, 4% aluminum, 2-3% yttria, balance nickel), in efforts to develop methods of controlling the grain size and grain shape of the material. The experiments fell into two general categories: variations in the annealing parameters using the as-extruded material as it was received, and various thermomechanical processing schedules (various combinations of cold work and annealing). Success was achieved in gaining grain size and grain shape control by annealing of the as-extruded material. By proper selection of annealing temperature and cooling rates, the grain size of the as-received material was increased almost two orders of magnitude (from an average grain dimension of 0.023 mm to 1.668 mm) while the aspect ratio was increased by some 50% (from 20:1 to 30:1). No success was achieved in gaining significant control of the grain size and shape of the material by thermo-mechanical processing.

Trela, D. M.↗

Redox chemistry of plutonium and plutonium surrogates in vitrified nuclear wastes

Lanthanide borosilicate glasses containing Pu and the analog element, Ce, were subjects of an X-ray absorption spectroscopy investigation to quantify the +3/+4 ratio of the redox-sensitive element. The data show that the dominant oxidation states are +4 for Pu and +3 for Ce. The data also indicate that the reductive potential of glasses can be quantified, although allowances must be made for glass composition, from a solution chemistry method adapted to glass chemistry. These data can therefore be used to formulate glass compositions and processing schedules that lead to knowledge of the oxidation state of Pu in melts. Furthermore, the data show that Ce is a poor analog for Pu behavior in melt and that the suitability of surrogates can be evaluated by this method. The methods demonstrated in this paper can be used to estimate the oxidation states of a range of multi-valent elements as functions of temperature and composition with data from only a single redox couple.

38 RADIATION CHEMISTRY, RADIOCHEMISTRY, AND NUCLEA↗

Revealing Micro-Scale Doping Variations in Thin-Films via Simultaneous Luminescence and Current Collection Measurements

Doping thin films used for photovoltaic absorbers is both critical to maximize device voltage and challenging due to complex interactions between point defects in these materials. Such interactions can result in compensation of the intended dopant species, meaning that the active charge-carrier concentration is lower than the concentration incorporated dopants. Charge-carrier compensation is directly related to the open-circuit voltage (VOC) deficit, or magnitude of VOC relative to the theoretical limit. Understanding how the carrier concentration varies within thin-films is necessary to design material processing schedules to minimize this VOC deficit and produce more efficient devices. Unfortunately, measurements of the free carrier concentration are generally relevant at the device level and cannot resolve local differences. Resolving local doping differences in thin-films such as Cd(Se,Te), CZTS, and CIGSe requires techniques with micron or sub-micron spatial resolution due to the polycrystalline structure as well as intended and unintended composition variations in these materials. In this contribution, we show how simultaneous measurement of cathodoluminescence (CL) and electron-beam-induced current (EBIC) can be used to expose doping variations in Cd(Se,Te) thin-films. Simultaneous collection of these signals reveals unexpected differences in the electric field strength through the device thickness due to spatial variation in the carrier concentration.

41 EE - Solar Energy Technologies Office (EE-4S)↗

Effect of Processing on Precipitation Kinetics in Nano Polycrystalline 7075 Aluminum Alloy

Fairmount Technologies (FT) seeks to optimize the thermomechanical processing of Aluminum Alloy 7075. The target yield strength is 20% higher than commercially available 7075-T6 temper sheet which will enable structural light weighting by a similar magnitude and reduce the carbon footprint of the transportation sector. To reduce processing cost and make this commercially viable, it is important to understand physical mechanisms driving microstructural changes. A mesoscale phase-field model seeded with experimentally measured microstructures and assessed thermodynamic and kinetic properties will be developed and exercised using HPC at PNNL. It will account for the effect of deformation, temperature, and chemistry on precipitation kinetics in nanocrystalline microstructures. Our objective is to understand this “stress-aging” coupling by performing parametric simulations with mesoscale models for a better understanding of GP zone and η' formation in nanocrystalline 7075 Al. This will help FT optimize processing schedules to achieve desired microstructures that increase both strength and ductility.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Glass Formulation and Testing with RPP-WTP HLW Simulants (Final Report)

This report presents the results from HLW glass formulation work that was conducted at the Vitreous State Laboratory of The Catholic University of America during Part B1 of the RPP-WTP Project (formally known as TWRS-P) in support of the Privatization contractor, BNFL, Inc. Glass formulation development is required to provide data that are essential for design of the vitrification facility in the near term and for safe and reliable operation of that facility in the longer-term. These data also form the bases from which contractually and technically acceptable immobilized high-level waste (IHLW) products will be devised. Glass formulation therefore impacts many aspects of the vitrification facility design, overall process economics, and contractual compliance. As an integral part of the overall system design, development of glass formulations requires input from many sources including tank waste characterization, pretreatment process definition, flow sheet development, and processing schedules. Accordingly, the glass formulation effort must be responsive to new information as the facility design basis evolves.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

CABLE Stage 3 – Ultra‐High Strength/Highly Conductive Al Alloys

This work is to be conducted in support of the CABLE Conductor Manufacturing Prize Program awarded by NREL. The intent is to connect competitor teams with national laboratories that can help accelerate the development of innovative solutions and products. Teams who receive CABLE Prize awards are eligible to utilize vouchers at national laboratories to advance their ideas. NanoAL LLC has been awarded a voucher to utilize at Ames National Laboratory. Ames National Laboratory will perform a scale‐up trial of Nano 6000‐T9 to evaluate and optimize the heat treatment and other processing variables to validate the lab‐scale work done at NanoAL. The final processing schedule will be used to fabricate the submission samples for the Stage 3 contest. All work will be supported by mechanical and electrical conductivity testing be performed by Ames.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Some new satellite sensors and applications.

It would appear that over the next few years general diagnostic space exploration by satellite-borne conventional sensors will be well on its way under the sponsorship of many nations. It is the objective of this paper to review two new sensor developments and an application program. The first sensor (the photopolarimeter) makes use of polarized light to determine unique signatures ranging from aerosols to signatures for surface moisture. The second sensor (the correlation interferometer) makes use of absorption spectroscopy to detect anomalous gas concentrations and will be used to explore the CO sink problem, significant in pollution. In the applications area, some demonstration experiments in the general area of space processing, scheduled for the remaining Apollo flights, are described. If successfull, these experiments will give some indication of typical products which could be produced cost effectively in space.

Steg, L.↗

Tungsten wire-nickel base alloy composite development

Further development and evaluation of refractory wire reinforced nickel-base alloy composites is described. Emphasis was placed on evaluating thermal fatigue resistance as a function of matrix alloy composition, fabrication variables and reinforcement level and distribution. Tests for up to 1,000 cycles were performed and the best system identified in this current work was 50v/o W/NiCrAlY. Improved resistance to thermal fatigue damage would be anticipated for specimens fabricated via optimized processing schedules. Other properties investigated included 1,093 C (2,000 F) stress rupture strength, impact resistance and static air oxidation. A composite consisting of 30v/o W-Hf-C alloy fibers in a NiCrAlY alloy matrix was shown to have a 100-hour stress rupture strength at 1,093 C (2,000 F) of 365 MN/square meters (53 ksi) or a specific strength advantage of about 3:1 over typical D.S. eutectics.

Brentnall, W. D.↗

Evaluation of commercially-available spacecraft-type heat pipes

As part of an effort to develop reliable, cost effective spacecraft thermal control heat pipes, Lewis Research Center of NASA is conducting life tests on 30 commercially-available heat pipes in 10 groups of different design and material combinations. Materials are aluminum and stainless steel, and working fluids are methanol and ammonia. The formation of noncondensible gas is observed for times exceeding 11,000 hours. The heat transport capacities of the pipes are also determined. Considerable gas is found in two groups of methanol pipes; one group shows no gas. One group of ammonia pipes has no observable gas. Another group has much gas. Manufacturers' processing schedules are examined for differences explaining the presence of gas. Heat transport capacity is found to be severely reduced in some pipes containing gas.

Kaufman, W. B.↗

The effect of minority carrier mobility variations on the performance of high voltage silicon solar cells

A multistep diffusion processing schedule is described which allows the attainment of high open circuit voltages in 0.1 ohm/cm silicon cells. The schedule consists of a deep primary diffusion, followed by an acid etch of emmitter surface which is then followed by a shallow secondary diffusion. A correlation is made between the observed voltage increases and the time of primary diffusion. Results indicate that as the primary diffusion time increases, the voltage rises monotonically.

Weizer, V. G.↗

A new methodology of determining directional albedo models from Nimbus 7 ERB scanning radiometer measurements

The Nimbus 7 Earth Radiation Budget (ERB) data set is reviewed to examine its strong and weak points. In view of the timing of this report relative to the processing schedule of Nimbus 7 ERB observations, emphasis is placed on the methodology of interpreting the scanning radiometer data to develop directional albedo models. These findings enhance the value of the Nimbus 7 ERB data set and can be applied to the interpretation of both the scanning and nonscanning radiometric observations.

House, Frederick B.↗