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Deep Factorization Machine Learning for Disaggregation of Transmission Load Profiles with High Penetration of Behind-The-Meter Solar

The ever-growing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs), especially behind-the-meter (BTM) solar generations, poses imperative operational challenges to system operators such as regional transmission organizations (RTOs). It is important for RTOs to effectively and accurately extract actual load profiles at the transmission level for a single node with significant BTM solar injection. This paper first illustrates the necessity of disaggregating the daily actual load profile of a single node. Furthermore, by segmenting nodes with selected timeseries features, nodes with significant BTM solar generation are identified. Lastly, a bi-level framework is proposed, comprising reference node disaggregation and DeepFM nodal disaggregation, aimed at disaggregating the nodal load profiles from which system operators require more information. By adopting a hybrid Deep Factorization Machine (DeepFM) model, the model achieve accurate results by extracting both linear and nonlinear relations between nodes in the same region and the zonal load and nodal load profile. To overcome the lack of ground truth, this paper segments the load profile into daytime, nighttime, and zero-crossing points and utilizes the latter two for evaluation purposes. The proposed disaggregation procedure is validated using real world, minute-level, normalized, and anonymized nodal data in the PJM service territory.

42 ENGINEERING

Measurement techniques using the electron beam profile scanner at the Fermilab Main Injector

This work presents techniques for non-invasive transverse profile measurements of high-intensity proton beams using an Electron Beam Profile Scanner (EBPS). The EBPS utilizes low-energy electrons as a probe to analyze the transverse size of proton beams, allowing for potential analysis on a single-bunch basis. Recent upgrades to the Fermilab Main Injector have enhanced beam power on target to 1 MW, with future developments targeting 2 MW. The higher beam power has increased the demand for non-invasive diagnostics, as invasive methods can disrupt operations.The techniques presented include 1) the slow scan technique, which serves as a proof of concept for the probe beam, 2) the one-shot scan technique for measuring horizontal beam profiles, and 3) the raster scan technique for analyzing horizontal beam profiles as a function of the longitudinal distribution of the beam. The profiles obtained will be crucial for studying and understanding instabilities in high-power, high-intensity proton beams. This will contribute to optimizing the operation of high-power proton accelerators by minimizing beam loss, activation, and damage to both the diagnostics and the accelerator components.

Mwaniki, Matilda [IIT, Chicago]

Sensitivity of thermodynamic profiles retrieved from ground-based microwave and infrared observations to additional input data from active remote sensing instruments and numerical weather prediction models

Accurate and continuous estimates of the thermodynamic structure of the lower atmosphere are highly beneficial to meteorological process understanding and its applications, such as weather forecasting. In this study, the Tropospheric Remotely Observed Profiling via Optimal Estimation (TROPoe) physical retrieval is used to retrieve temperature and humidity profiles from various combinations of input data collected by passive and active remote sensing instruments, in situ surface platforms, and numerical weather prediction models. Among the employed instruments are microwave radiometers (MWRs), infrared spectrometers (IRSs), radio acoustic sounding systems (RASSs), ceilometers, and surface sensors. TROPoe uses brightness temperatures and/or radiances from MWRs and IRSs, as well as other observational inputs (virtual temperature from the RASS, cloud-base height from the ceilometer, pressure, temperature, and humidity from the surface sensors) in a physical iterative retrieval approach. This starts from a climatologically reasonable profile of temperature and water vapor, with the radiative transfer model iteratively adjusting the assumed temperature and humidity profiles until the derived brightness temperatures and radiances match those observed by the MWR and/or IRS instruments within a specified uncertainty, as well as within the uncertainties of the other observations, if used as input. In this study, due to the uniqueness of the dataset that includes all the above-mentioned sensors, TROPoe is tested with different observational input combinations, some of which also include information higher than 4 km above ground level (a.g.l.) from the operational Rapid Refresh numerical weather prediction model. These temperature and humidity retrievals are assessed against independent collocated radiosonde profiles under non-cloudy conditions to assess the sensitivity of the TROPoe retrievals to different input combinations.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Dataset of Generative AI Workload Power Profiles

This dataset provides a collection of high-resolution (5/10 Hz or every 0.2/0.1 seconds) power consumption profiles for generative artificial intelligence (GenAI) workloads executed on NLR's High Performance Computing (HPC) platform Kestrel. The dataset also includes examples of representative whole-facility power profiles generated using a bottom-up, event-driven, data center energy model . This dataset is designed to support research in energy modeling, infrastructure planning, energy system integration, and sustainability analysis for AI-driven computing systems. The dataset captures time-resolved electrical power measurements across a diverse set of configurations, including variations in job type (inference vs. training), workload (LLM vs. image generation), datasets, and number of compute nodes. Power traces are provided in a standardized format and include both raw/instantaneous and aggregated files. Each profile is accompanied by metadata describing workload parameters, enabling reproducibility and cross-study comparison. The dataset is intended for use in applications such as data center infrastructure planning, energy modeling, demand response and grid impact studies, and development and validation of system-level simulation tools. By making these workload-specific power profiles publicly available, this dataset aims to address the current lack of open, empirical energy data for generative AI systems and to facilitate transparent, reproducible research on the energy and environmental impacts of large-scale AI deployment. If you use this dataset, please cite the associated publication: Vercellino et al., “Measurement of Generative AI Workload Power Profiles for Whole-Facility Data Center Infrastructure Planning,” arXiv:2604.07345 (2026).

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING

Data-Driven Modeling of High-Resolution Residential Load Profiles Using Low-Resolution Smart Meter Measurements

Accurate and high-resolution residential load profiles are essential for power system modeling, demand response planning, and effective grid operation. As the energy sector moves towards a more actively managed distribution system, the ability to understand residential energy consumption at a minute-by-minute scale becomes increasingly critical. High-resolution load profiles provide key insights into demand patterns and user behavior, enabling grid operators to design more effective energy solutions; however, residential load measurements in the field are typically recorded at low resolutions, such as 15-60 minutes, which makes it hard to study the characteristics of different residential customers. This paper addresses these challenges by introducing a data-driven approach to generate realistic, high-resolution residential load profiles based on lowre-solution measurements and weather information. The proposed method retains the key features of the actual residential load measurements while offering appliance-level energy consumption details for each residential building. The results demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed load profile generator, proving its capability to support utilities in optimizing residential energy management and ensuring a more reliable and resilient grid.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION

Load Profiles Data for the EVI-RoadTrip Web Tool

The dataset contains EVI-RoadTrip outputs, minute-by-minute load profiles in kW for each station in the simulation based on assumed utilization and network density. The load profiles are aggregated to lower spatial resolution (e.g., state-level, corridor-level) by summation of all station loads associated with the respective geography. This results in a load profile for each scenario that summarizes the corridor's, state's, or county's load profile in minute-level resolution.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI

Thermodynamic Profiling Through ASSIST Observations and TROPoe Retrievals

This report reviews the most relevant theoretical aspects of thermodynamic profiling techniques based on spectral observations from ASSIST-II infrared radiometers and TROPoe retrievals. The ASSIST+TROPoe system is a cutting-edge remote sensing technology deployed during the AWAKEN and WFIP3 field campaigns to estimate high-frequency profiles of temperature and humidity in the atmosphere. These profiles are highly valuable for characterizing atmospheric stratification, improving wind models, and understanding the impacts of wind plants on the climate. In this document, we discuss the operating principles of ASSIST, the physics of atmospheric infrared radiation, and the mathematical framework and capabilities of TROPoe. Sources of uncertainties in both the instrument and the retrieval method are also thoroughly addressed. This guide is designed to help users of ASSIST, TROPoe, and thermodynamic data in collecting, estimating, and applying thermodynamic profiles rigorously and scientifically.

17 WIND ENERGY

Hourly Electricity Demand Profiles for Each County in the Contiguous United States

This dataset provides estimated hourly electricity demand for each county in the contiguous United States from 2016-2023. The demand profiles represent the sum of two components: (1) Weighted averages of reported hourly demand profiles for North American Electric Reliability Corporation balancing authority (BA) regions and subregions, scaled to match annual estimates of county-level retail sales and direct use of electricity and weighted by the estimated percentage of county load served by each BA region or subregion. (2) Weighted averages of modeled hourly, county- and sector-level distributed photovoltaic (DPV) capacity factor profiles, scaled to match annual estimates of on-site consumption of DPV-generated electricity for each county and weighted by the percentage of consumption attributable to each sector Annual county-level retail sales are estimated by aggregating utility-reported sales to the state level and allocating the results to counties according to each county's share of state population. Annual county-level direct use is calculated by aggregating power plant-reported direct use values. Annual county-level on-site consumption of DPV-generated electricity is estimated by aggregating utility-reported net metering data to determine the amount of DPV-generated electricity sold back to the grid for each state, subtracting those values from modeled state-level DPV generation estimates, and allocating the results to counties according to each county's share of statewide modeled DPV generation. The open-source Python code used to develop this dataset is available at "Historical Load Data Repository" link below.

14 SOLAR ENERGY

Profile Generation for GPU Targets

GPU accelerators are ubiquitous, but their ecosystem is far less evolved than the host one. Compiler heuristics are often tuned for CPUs and reused for GPU. Similarly, tooling and more evolved optimization techniques are historically not available on GPU targets. In this work, we address one of these shortcomings and enable profile generation and profile-guided optimizations (PGO) for GPU targets. While this is only a single step towards a CPU equivalent ecosystem for offload devices, it shows how old misconceptions on the limitations of GPUs are often not warranted anymore. Through our implementation in LLVM/Offload, we enable device-side PGO for full scientific applications and open up tooling opportunities, including code coverage analysis and compiler-built-in roofline analysis. Our evaluation highlights the performance implications of profile generation, the insights gained from these profiles, and the (missed) opportunities in utilizing the information for GPU compilation.

McDonough, Ethan Luis [Lawrence Livermore National

Tutorial: Machine-Learning-Based CREASE-2D Analysis of 2D SAXS Profiles to Characterize Anisotropic Nanostructures in Soft Materials

We present a tutorial to guide users on how to extend the Computational Reverse Engineering Analysis of Scattering Experiments-2D (CREASE-2D) framework to interpret their experimental two-dimensional small-angle scattering (SAS) data from soft materials (e.g., polymers, peptide amphiphiles, biomolecular fibrils). Unlike most traditional SAS analysis approaches, which typically rely on azimuthally averaged onedimensional (1D) profiles, CREASE-2D utilizes the complete 2D scattering profile to reveal information about anisotropy in the structure. In past applications, CREASE has provided insights into complex structural features, including the cross-sectional shapes of assembled nanostructures and dispersity in these features, which are difficult to discern with existing analytical models. While (1D- ) CREASE has been applied to SANS and SAXS data, this tutorial shares the steps for implementing CREASE-2D using an example of a dipeptide solution system, for which we have SAXS data. We present details for these steps involved in using CREASE-2D to interpret SAXS profiles: how to preprocess SAXS data, define relevant structural features, generate three-dimensional real-space structures for specific values of these features, train a machine learning (ML) surrogate model to predict scattering profiles for given structural features, and optimize these features using genetic algorithms (GA). Then, we use these steps to interpret complex 2DSAXS data collected from dipeptide solutions that, in microscopy images, exhibit nanoscale structures that could be elliptical tubes/ flat tapes/cylinders or a combination of these cross sections. Open-source codes, computational hardware, and software requirements, as well as the strengths and limitations of this protocol, are also presented. We expect researchers working with (soft) biomaterials, peptide amphiphiles, amphiphilic polymer solutions, polymer nanocomposites, and blends of particles/polymers will find this CREASE-2D method and this tutorial of use.

CREASE

Inelastic deformation of diamond single crystals shock compressed to multimegabar stresses: Wave profile calculations

As the archetypal strong solid, the response of diamond shock compressed to multimegabar stresses is important for fundamental science and for numerical simulations of wave profiles for applications in high energy density physics experiments. Previous experiments and analysis have shown that the commonly used hydrodynamic assumption is invalid for diamond shock compressed to stresses below melt and an elastic–inelastic description is needed. Here, we present a phenomenological material model for calculating wave profiles in shock compressed diamond single crystals that incorporates this description. Also, to support the modeling effort, we carried out wave profile measurements on shock compressed diamond single crystals at the Sandia Z facility to augment previous measurements. Wave profiles for [100] and [111] diamond calculated using the material model provide a good match to the elastic–inelastic response (observed two-wave structure) measured at ∼325 and ∼360 GPa. Furthermore, the calculated peak stresses for single (overdriven) waves provide a good match to the measured Hugoniot states for stresses reaching ∼700 GPa, which is near melting conditions. The present results show that the diamond single crystal response at multimegabar shock stresses is characteristic of a brittle solid—pressure-dependent strength and strength loss due to inelastic deformation.

Deformation

Measurements of radial neutral density profiles from Balmer- α emission in Wendelstein 7-X

Radial neutral density profiles are estimated from measurements of passive H α emission in the Wendelstein 7-X stellarator. To parametrize the generally three-dimensional distribution with a low number of degrees of freedom, the neutral density is reduced to a flux surface quantity. Accounting for emission from excitation and recombination processes, neutral density profiles are derived independently for each of the available lines of sight. Density profiles obtained from the different viewing geometries are found to vary within one order of magnitude. Toroidally oriented lines of sight predict systematically lower neutral densities when compared to poloidally oriented ones. This discrepancy is attributed to the simplifications inherent in the imposed model and significant differences in integration volumes across the viewing geometries. In line with expectations, obtained neutral densities are found to decrease with increasing plasma density. Key restrictions of the model include the reduction of the neutral density to a flux surface quantity, uncertainties in the plasma profiles and instrument function, and line integration effects outside the last closed flux surface.

Wendelstein 7-X

Assessing time-dependent temperature profile predictions using reduced transport models for high performing NSTX plasmas

Time-dependent, predictive simulations were performed with the 1.5D tokamak integrated modeling code TRANSP on a large set of well-analyzed, high performing discharges from the National Spherical Torus Experiment (NSTX) in order to evaluate how well modern reduced transport models can reproduce experimentally observed temperature profiles in spherical tokamaks. Overall, it is found that simulations using the Multi-Mode Model (MMM) more consistently agree with the NSTX observations than those using the Trapped Gyro-Landau Fluid (TGLF) model, despite TGLF requiring orders of magnitude greater computational cost. When considering all examined discharges, MMM has median overpredictions of electron temperature (T e ) and ion temperature (T i ) profiles of 28% and 27%, respectively, relative to the experiment. TGLF overpredicts T e by 46%, with much larger variance than MMM, and underpredicts T i by 25%. As the ratio of kinetic to magnetic field pressure (β) is increased across NSTX discharges, TGLF predicts lower T e and significant flattening of the T i profile, conflicting with NSTX observations. When using an electrostatic version of TGLF, both T e and T i are substantially overpredicted, underscoring the importance of electromagnetic turbulence in the high β spherical tokamak regime. Additionally, calculations with neural net surrogate models for TGLF were performed outside of TRANSP with a time slice flux matching transport solver, finding better agreement with experiment than the TRANSP simulations, highlighting the impact of different transport solvers and simulation techniques. Furthermore, the reasonable agreement with experiment of temperature profiles predicted by MMM motivates a more detailed examination of the sensitivities of the TRANSP simulations with MMM to different NSTX plasma regimes in a companion paper (Lestz et al Plasma Phys. Control. Fusion 67 105030), in preparation for self-consistent, time-dependent predictive modeling of NSTX-U scenarios.

Lestz, J. B. [General Atomics, San Diego, CA (Unit

Gyrokinetic profile prediction and validation of a negative triangularity plasma in ASDEX Upgrade

In this work, gyrokinetic simulations are performed with the CGYRO code (Candy et al 2016 J. Comput. Phys. 324 73–93) for a negative triangularity H-mode plasma in ASDEX Upgrade, and compared with experimental measurements. The PORTALS framework (Rodriguez-Fernandez et al 2024 Nucl. Fusion 64 076034) is used to accelerate the prediction of kinetic profiles for this plasma, using surrogate modeling and Bayesian optimization. Ion heat flux, electron heat flux, and electron particle flux are simultaneously matched across the simulated radial regime of the plasma (normalized radius $r/a = 0.35-0.90$), and the resulting ion temperature, electron temperature, and electron density profiles match well with the experimental profile data within this radial range. A synthetic Correlation Electron Cyclotron Emission diagnostic is applied to find well-matched electron temperature fluctuation properties between simulation and experiment. The flux-matched profiles provide a basis for investigation of the turbulence nature across the plasma radius, revealing the dominance of Trapped Electron Mode turbulence at $r/a = 0.35$, the dominance of Ion Temperature Gradient turbulence at $r/a = 0.55$, 0.75, and 0.83, and an instability boundary at $r/a = 0.90$.

gyrokinetic simulation

Nonlinear Alfvén instability simulation and EP transport for ITER reversed shear (steady-state) and monotonic q-profile regimes *

The nonlinear evolution and dynamics of energetic particle (EP) driven instabilities in both steady-state (reversed shear q-profile) and monotonic q-profile regimes of ITER are examined using the global gyro-Landau closure model FAR3d. Both neutral beam and alpha components are included, leading to synergistic effects between the two populations. In order to maintain computational feasibility, the present nonlinear simulation includes all toroidal mode numbers ranging from n = 0 to 15. It cannot be excluded that n’s above this range could introduce larger linear growth rates; however, as indicated from the results, the n = 0 to 15 range is sufficient to provide a strong linear drive and significant nonlinear transport effects. While the toroidal mode numbers n = 6,13 dominate the linear instability growth phase, nonlinear energy transfers in the saturated phase reverse this trend, leading to the dominance of lower n’s in the saturated phase of the simulation. Zonal flow structure generation and EP density flattening are further consequences of the nonlinear phase. The density profile flattening is caused by collectively driven EP radial transport fluxes, which have non-local characteristics. Instantaneous alpha particle transport fluxes are significant (Γ α ~ 2 x 10 20 m –2 s –1 ) for the reversed shear regime and lower (Γ α ~ 1.1 x 10 20 m –2 s –1 ) for the monotonic q-profile case.

AE

Density profile of dynamical halos

Among the most fundamental properties of a dark matter halo is its density profile. Motivated by the recent proposal by García et al . [Mon. Not. R. Astron. Soc. 521 , 2464 (2023)] to define a dynamical halo as the collection of orbiting particles in a gravitationally bound structure, we characterize the mean and scatter of the orbiting profile of dynamical halos as a function of their orbiting mass. Here, we demonstrate that the orbiting profile of individual halos at fixed mass depends on a single dynamical variable, the halo radius 𝑟 h , which characterizes the spatial extent of the profile. The scatter in halo radius at fixed orbiting mass is ≈16%. Only a small fraction of this scatter arises due to differences in halo formation time, with late-forming halos being more compact (smaller halo radii). Accounting for this additional correlation results in an ≈11% scatter in halo radius at fixed mass and halo formation time.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS

Estimation of Forest Aboveground Biomass from Derivatives of Vegetation-Structure Profiles

Several studies have found that the vertical Fourier transform of lidar, interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR), and stereo photogrammetric profiles at empirically-determined spatial frequencies enables high-performance forest aboveground biomass (AGB) estimation. Linear combinations of real and imaginary parts of Fourier transforms of Tomographic (multi-baseline) SAR (TomoSAR) profiles, from Uninhabited Aerial Vehicle Synthetic Aperture Radar (UAVSAR) airborne data, generate ~20%-precision estimates of AGB in the Saskatchewan area of Canada. We found that this 20% precision can be improved to ~15%, a factor of 30% improvement in root mean square error (RMSE) if, in addition to using Fourier transforms of the profile itself, we use Fourier transforms of the spatial, vertical derivative of the profile. The formulation of this "derivative" algorithm is the subject of this paper.

Treuhaft, Robert

WINDPROF: Merged Best-Estimate Wind Profile Data – Nantucket (WFIP3 Campaign)

WINDPROF provides 10-minute wind and turbulence profiles that integrate scanning Doppler lidars, a profiling lidar, a 915 MHz radar wind profiler, and a sonic anemometer across Northeast U.S. coastal and offshore sites during the WFIP3 campaign. Variables include wind speed, wind direction, vertical velocity, turbulence intensity, and turbulent kinetic energy, each with per-instrument quality control and inter-instrument agreement validation. Profiles are mapped to a standardized height grid – a dedicated near-surface level at the sonic measurement height (5 m AGL), 20 m spacing to 100 m, and 30 m spacing above – and carry component and derived uncertainty estimates. Heights are reported above ground level; the site's ground elevation is stored separately. The Nantucket dataset covers 1 February 2024 – 8 September 2025.

17 WIND ENERGY