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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3

Uncertainty-Aware, Structure-Preserving Machine Learning Approach for Domain Shift Detection From Nonlinear Dynamic Responses of Structural Systems

Complex structural systems deployed for aerospace, civil, or mechanical applications must operate reliably under varying operational conditions. Structural health monitoring (SHM) systems help ensure the reliability of these systems by providing continuous monitoring of the state of the structure. SHM relies on synthesizing measured data with a predictive model to make informed decisions about structural states. However, these models—which may be thought of as a form of a digital twin—need to be updated continuously as structural changes (e.g., due to damage) arise. We propose an uncertainty-aware machine learning model that enforces distance preservation of the original input state space and then encodes a distance-aware mechanism via a Gaussian process (GP) kernel. The proposed approach leverages the spectral-normalized neural GP algorithm to combine the flexibility of neural networks with the advantages of GP, subjected to structure-preserving constraints, to produce an uncertainty-aware model. This model is used to detect domain shift due to structural changes that cannot be observed directly because they may be spatially isolated (e.g., inside a joint or localized damage). This work leverages detection theory to detect domain shift systematically given statistical features of the prediction variance produced by the model. The proposed approach is demonstrated on a nonlinear structure being subjected to damage conditions. In conclusion, it is shown that the proposed approach is able to rely on distances of the transformed input state space to predict increased variance in shifted domains while being robust to normative changes.

Algorithms↗

Toward the origins of binding energy shifts and “satellites” formation during plasma-XPS measurements

In-plasma x-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (plasma-XPS) emerges as a powerful platform for real-time, in situ chemical analysis under conditions relevant to semiconductor processing and other plasma-enabled technologies. This study investigates the origins of binding energy (BE) shifts and the formation of “satellite” peaks observed during plasma-XPS measurements across conductive, dielectric, and gas-phase systems. Using a standard laboratory-based ambient pressure XPS apparatus coupled with an alternating current (AC)-driven capacitively coupled plasma source, we demonstrate that metastable surface species, such as transient Au oxides, can be detected during plasma exposure, revealing chemical states that are hardly accessible using conventional ultrahigh vacuum (UHV) XPS. In dielectric samples (e.g., undoped diamond, sapphire), we observe pressure- and plasma-type-dependent BE shifts of more than 50 eV, attributed to x-ray-induced and plasma-mediated surface charging. These shifts are mitigated at higher pressures/plasmas or in electronegative plasmas (e.g., O 2 ), the latter due to enhanced charge compensation mechanisms involving slow negative ions. For gas-phase species, AC-plasma excitation leads to spectral broadening and the emergence of “satellite” peaks with energy separations of a few electron volts, linked to oscillating local plasma potentials in the probing volume. Furthermore, these findings highlight the complex and important interplay between plasma parameters, surface charging, and local electric fields in shaping XPS spectra. Overall, plasma-XPS emerges as a critical metrological tool for probing transient surface chemistry, with implications for semiconductor processing, material synthesis, and plasma diagnostics.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Transcription of hepatitis B surface antigen shifts from cccDNA to integrated HBV DNA during treatment

The cornerstone of functional cure for chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) loss from blood. HBsAg is encoded by covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) and HBV DNA integrated into the host genome (iDNA). Nucleos(t)ide analogs (NUCs), the mainstay of CHB treatment, rarely lead to HBsAg loss, which we hypothesized was due to continued iDNA transcription despite decreased cccDNA transcription. To test this, we applied a multiplex droplet digital PCR that identifies the dominant source of HBsAg mRNAs to 3,436 single cells from paired liver biopsies obtained from 10 people with CHB and HIV receiving NUCs. With increased NUC duration, cells producing HBsAg mRNAs shifted their transcription from chiefly cccDNA to chiefly iDNA. This shift was due to both a reduction in the number of cccDNA-containing cells and diminished cccDNA-derived transcription per cell; furthermore, it correlated with reduced detection of proteins deriving from cccDNA but not iDNA. Despite this shift in the primary source of HBsAg, rare cells remained with detectable cccDNA-derived transcription, suggesting a source for maintaining the replication cycle. Functional cure must address both iDNA and residual cccDNA transcription. Further research is required to understand the significance of HBsAg when chiefly derived from iDNA.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Demonstration of Monte Carlo Reference Equilibrium Core Solutions for Pebble Bed Reactors Using Shift in kugelpy

This report describes how to produce reference solutions for the equilibrium core search of pebble bed reactors using the pyrates Python library. The pyrates library uses the kugelpy methodology to perform running-in calculations to reach an equilibrium core. This approach relies on full-core Monte Carlo neutron transport calculations and the shifting of fuel pebble inventory through the reactor to simulate pebble movement in the core from one step to the next of a running-in scenario. In addition to the use of Serpent for the Monte Carlo neutron transport calculations, as part of this work, updates for the use of the Shift Monte Carlo code were integrated into the official pyrates GitHub repository. Comparisons of running-in simulations for a generic pebble bed reactor produced by using pyrates with Serpent and Shift are shown. Although consistent trends are shown between the use of the two Monte Carlo codes, the limiting factor in either calculation is the computation time due to the need to perform several hundred full-core neutron transport calculations before an equilibrium core is reached.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Demonstration of Monte Carlo Reference Equilibrium Core Solutions for Pebble Bed Reactors Using Shift in kugelpy

This report describes how to produce reference solutions for the equilibrium core search of pebble bed reactors using the pyrates Python library. The pyrates library uses the kugelpy methodology to perform running-in calculations to reach an equilibrium core. This approach relies on full-core Monte Carlo neutron transport calculations and the shifting of fuel pebble inventory through the reactor to simulate pebble movement in the core from one step to the next of a running-in scenario. In addition to the use of Serpent for the Monte Carlo neutron transport calculations, as part of this work, updates for the use of the Shift Monte Carlo code were integrated into the official pyrates GitHub repository. Comparisons of running-in simulations for a generic pebble bed reactor produced by using pyrates with Serpent and Shift are shown. Although consistent trends are shown between the use of the two Monte Carlo codes, the limiting factor in either calculation is the computation time due to the need to perform several hundred full-core neutron transport calculations before an equilibrium core is reached.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Analysis of the weighted shifted boundary method for the Poisson and Stokes problems

The Shifted Boundary Method (SBM) belongs to the class of unfitted (or immersed, or embedded) finite element methods, and relies on reformulating the original boundary value problem over a surrogate (approximate) computational domain. Accuracy is maintained by properly shifting the location and values of the boundary conditions. This avoids integration over cut cells and the associated implementation issues. Recently, the Weighted SBM (WSBM) was proposed for the Navier-Stokes equations with free surfaces and the Stokes flow with moving boundaries. The attribute “weighted” in the name WSBM stems from the fact that its variational form is weighted with the elemental volume fraction of active fluid. The motivation for the development of the WSBM was the preservation of the volume of active fluid to a higher degree of accuracy, which in turn resulted in improved stability and robustness characteristics in moving-boundary, time-dependent simulations. In this article, we present the numerical analysis of the WSBM formulations for the Poisson and Stokes problems. We give mathematical conditions under which the bilinear forms defining the discrete variational formulations are uniformly coercive (Poisson problem) or inf-sup stable (Stokes problem). By these results, stability and optimal convergence is proven in the natural norm; L2-error estimates can also be derived.

Approximate domain boundaries↗

A weighted shifted boundary method for immersed moving boundary simulations of Stokes' flow

The Shifted Boundary Method (SBM) belongs to the class of unfitted (or immersed, or embedded) finite element methods, and relies on reformulating the original boundary value problem over a surrogate (approximate) computational domain. The surrogate domain is constructed so as to avoid cut cells and the associated problematic implementation and numerical integration issues. Accuracy is maintained by modifying the original boundary conditions using Taylor expansions: hence the name of the method, that shifts the location and values of the boundary conditions. Here, in this article, we extend the SBM to the simulation of incompressible Stokes flow, by appropriately weighting its variational form with the elemental volume fraction of active fluid. This approach allows to drastically reduce spurious pressure oscillations in time, which are produced if the total volume of active fluid were to change abruptly over a time step. The proposed Weighted SBM (W-SBM) exactly preserves states of hydrostatic equilibrium, and induces small mass and momentum conservation errors, which converge as the grid is refined. This is in analogy to cutFEMs and related unfitted approaches, which rely on an affine representation of cut boundaries. We demonstrate the robustness and accuracy of the proposed method with an extensive suite of two-dimensional tests.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Real-Time Gear-Shift Optimization for an Autonomous Wheel Loader

Off-road vehicles, such as wheel loaders, consume a significant amount of fuel during the transportation of materials. The gear-shifting process is crucial in fuel savings for transportation, and therefore, optimization of gearshifts is important for vehicle control. For an autonomous off-road vehicle, there is potential for more fuel savings by proper coordination of gearshift optimization and optimization of other control inputs. This brief proposes a new method for integrating gear-shifting into transportation optimization for an autonomous wheel loader to minimize fuel consumption. Furthermore, tests conducted on short loading cycles show that this method can save around 10%–20% of fuel on average compared with a conventional gearshift-scheduling method.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

Quantum calculations of the cavity shift in electron magnetic moment measurements

The measurement of the anomalous electron magnetic moment g – 2 through quantum transitions of a single trapped electron is the most stringent test of quantum field theory. These experiments are now so precise that they must account for the effects of the cavity containing the electron. Classical calculations of this “cavity shift” must subtract the electron’s divergent self-field, and thus require knowledge of the exact Green’s function for the cavity’s electromagnetic field. We perform the first fully quantum calculation of the cavity shift in a closed cavity, which instead involves subtracting linearly divergent cavity mode sums and integrals. Using contour integration methods, we find perfect agreement with existing classical results for both spherical and cylindrical cavities, justifying their current use. Moreover, our mode-based results can be naturally generalized to account for systematic effects, necessary to push future measurements to the next order of magnitude in precision.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Dualities among massive, partially massless and shift symmetric fields on (A)dS

We catalog all the electromagnetic-like dualities that exist between free dynamical bosonic fields of arbitrary symmetry type and mass on (anti-) de Sitter space in all dimensions, including dualities among the partially massless and shift symmetric fields. This generalizes to all these field types the well known fact that a massless p-form is dual to a massless (D − p − 2)-form in D spacetime dimensions. In the process, we describe the structure of the Weyl modules (the spaces of local operators linear in the fields and their derivative relations) for all the massive, partially massless and shift symmetric fields.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Drought shifts dissolved organic matter sources from above- to belowground and stress-induced processes in Amazon white-sand forests

White-sand forests contribute significantly to dissolved organic matter (DOM) production in the central Amazon, forming blackwater rivers that dominate organic matter export from the Amazon basin to the ocean. Despite their importance in controlling DOM export, white-sand forests are understudied, and it remains unclear whether systematic changes in the formation of blackwater DOM occur and how seasonal variations and extremes like El Niño-associated droughts impact them. We collected soil porewater from two central Amazon white-sand forests for two years, spanning a wet La Niña year followed by an El Niño drought year. The molecular composition of DOM was analyzed using high-resolution mass spectrometry, and correlation network analysis was employed to identify ecologically meaningful DOM subsets. Using additional chemical characterization, database annotations, correlation with 14C-age of DOM and climatic variables, and ecological null modeling, we propose five distinct DOM sources: plant litter and throughfall, soil organic matter (SOM) decomposition, root exudation, and two drought response subsets of likely microbial and plant origin. During drought conditions, aboveground plant-derived compounds decreased, while SOM products, root exudates, and drought response compounds increased. These drought responses were qualitatively similar in both years but notably amplified in the drier El Niño year. Drought amplified deterministic control over DOM composition, indicating that DOM reflected directed biological responses and that future droughts are likely to generate similar shifts. Overall, drought substantially altered belowground carbon cycling by shifting DOM sources and inducing stress responses, effects expected to recur and potentially intensify under future climate scenarios.

Lange, Dan F.↗

Engineered Endosymbionts that Modulate Primary Macrophage Function and Attenuate Tumor Growth by Shifting the Tumor Microenvironment

Modulating gene expression in macrophages can be used to improve tissue regeneration and redirect tumor microenvironments (TMEs) toward positive therapeutic outcomes. We have developed Bacillus subtilis as an engineered endosymbiont (EES) capable of residing inside the eukaryotic host cell cytoplasm and controlling the fate of macrophages. Secretion of mammalian transcription factors (TFs) from B. subtilis that expresses listeriolysin O (LLO; allowing the EES to escape destruction by the macrophage) modulated expression of surface markers, cytokines, and chemokines, indicating functional changes in a macrophage/monocyte cell line. The engineered B. subtilis LLO TF strains were evaluated in murine bone marrow-derived macrophages (BMDMs) by flow cytometry, chemokine/cytokine profiling, metabolic assays, and RNA-Seq delivery of TFs by the EES shifted BMDM gene expression, production of cytokine and chemokines, and metabolic patterns, indicating that the TF strains could guide primary macrophage function. Thereafter, the ability of the TF strains to alter the TME was characterized in vivo in an orthotopic murine model of triple-negative breast cancer to assess therapeutic effects. The TF strains altered the TME by shifting immune cell composition and attenuating tumor growth. Additionally, multiple doses of the TF strains were well-tolerated by the mice. The use of B. subtilis LLO TF strains as EES showed promise as a unique cancer immunotherapy by directing the immune function intracellularly. The uses of EES could be expanded to modulate other mammalian cells over a range of biomedical applications.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

Shifts in Carbon Emissions Versus Sequestration From Hydropower Reservoirs in the Southeastern United States

Reservoirs are a significant source of carbon (C) to the atmosphere, but their emission rates vary in space and time. Here we compared C emissions via diffusive and ebullitive pathways at several stations in six large hydropower reservoirs in the southeastern US that were previously sampled in summer 2012. We found that carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) diffusion was the dominant flux pathway during 2012 and 2022, with only three exceptions where methane (CH 4 ) diffusion or CH 4 ebullition dominated. CH 4 diffusion rates were positively associated with water temperature. However, we found no clear predictors of CH 4 ebullition, which had extremely high variability, with rates ranging from 0 to 739 mg C m -2 day -1 . For CO 2 diffusion, the direction of the flux shifted between 2012 and 2022, where all but three stations across all reservoirs emitted CO 2 in summer 2012, but every station sequestered CO 2 in summer 2022. Here, indicators of greater algal production were associated with CO 2 sequestration, including surface chlorophyll- a concentration, surface dissolved oxygen saturation, and pH. Additional sampling campaigns outside the summer season highlighted the importance of seasonal phenology in primary production on the direction of CO 2 diffusive fluxes, which shifted to positive CO 2 fluxes by the end of August as productivity decreased. Our results demonstrate the importance of capturing CO 2 sequestration in field and modeling measurements and understanding the seasonal drivers of these estimates. Measuring C emissions from multiple pathways in reservoirs and understanding their spatiotemporal responses and variability are vital to reducing uncertainties in global upscaling efforts.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗

Unprecedented Shifts in Hydrology Are Emerging Across California's Critical Basins: An Evaluation From 0.5 to 3.5°C

With advances in climate models and downscaling techniques, stakeholders anticipate high-resolution analysis to inform regional to local changes in water management. Here, we produce hydrologic projections from an ensemble of Earth System Models (ESMs) that were selected and downscaled to support California's 5th Climate Assessment. An ensemble of 19 ESMs was downscaled to a 3-km resolution across California using a statistical-dynamical downscaling approach and subsequently run through two calibrated hydrology models. Although California has been extensively studied in the context of climate change, we provide the first evaluation of the warming thresholds at which hydroclimate metrics demonstrate statistically significant shifts. We show that present-day to near-term warming levels in Klamath and Northern Sierra Nevada basins, which serve as a critical source of water for California, show statistically significant decreases in snowfall and peak snowpack and associated decreases in summer snowmelt and runoff. More generally, shifts in these hydroclimate metrics occur for intermediate elevation basins ranging from 1,315 to 1,455 m (4,314.3–4,773.6 ft), while the warming level of emergence is delayed for lower and higher elevation basins. We also find that several basins already demonstrate significant increases in 5- to 100-year runoff intensities, primarily due to the increasing influence of precipitation falling as rain. Hydroclimate metrics with trends that demonstrate near-term warming levels of emergence are reflected in reanalysis-based observations, suggesting California is entering a fundamentally different hydroclimate regime. While this will likely stress California's water management, the research provided can support when to implement adaptation efforts.

Bass, B. [Univ. of California, Los Angeles, CA (Un↗

Streamflow in the United States: Characteristics, trends, regime shifts, and extremes

Long-term streamflow observations contain essential information for understanding hydrological changes and managing water resources. A continental-scale dataset or analysis of temporal streamflow change is still lacking across hydrologic gauges in the Conterminous United States (CONUS). Here, we compiled 70 years of streamflow records from 1951 to 2021 at ~ 8000 hydrologic stations across the CONUS and characterized temporal trends, regime shifts, and extreme events using a Bayesian time series analysis algorithm. We found that the occurrences of sudden streamflow changes (e.g., regime shifts and extreme events) have been increasing with time across the CONUS. In addition, we derived 181 streamflow indicators that are valuable for hydrological and biological applications, such as the duration and frequency of high or low streamflow events. The Mississippi River Basin, especially the middle and lower parts, was a hot spot of high-frequency high-flow events. Overall, we anticipate the dataset generated here offers valuable information for understanding and quantifying changes in water resources across the CONUS.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Eastward-shifting boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation amplifies North America heatwave and wildfire risks in warming climate

Boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) is a key component of tropical climate variability, characterized by eastward and northeastward propagation of organized convection across the Indo-Pacific region. BSISO influences weather and climate extremes through atmospheric teleconnections, but its future changes and related extremes remain unclear. Here, based on Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6, we find that under a high-emission scenario, BSISO convection will shift eastward by ~3° (~300 km) in 2065–2099, driven by moisture profile changes associated with sea surface temperature warming over central-to-eastern Pacific. This eastward-shifted BSISO convection, along with a northward expansion of the westerly jet, strengthens the BSISO teleconnections that extend into broader areas of North America. These changes will increase the BSISO-related heatwave risks by 23% and wildfire risks by 3.5 times over northern North America compared to present-day conditions. The findings underscore the amplification of BSISO’s influence on extreme risks of extreme weather, emphasizing the need for improved adaptation and mitigation strategies for future climates.

BSISO teleconnection↗

The ever-evolving active site: transformation of single atoms to extended structures during the Rh-catalyzed reverse water–gas shift reaction

At low temperatures (< 400°C), single atoms of Rh supported on rutile TiO 2 (rTiO 2 ) are responsible for the formation of CO during the reverse water gas shift (RWGS), while methane production is associated with the Rh-TiO 2 interface due to the correlation between methane formation rates and the volume-averaged Rh nanoparticle diameter. As the temperature is increased to >540°C, there is a notable increase in CO selectivity and methane production rates tend towards zero. The time to reach zero depends on the temperature but independent of the initial Rh structure (single atoms and/or nanoparticles), which is controlled by the catalyst preparation method (wetness impregnation versus colloidal nanoparticles). At 600°C and > 4 h time on stream, the catalytic behaviour becomes completely agnostic to the initial Rh structure as well as weight loading, and the catalysts are highly selective for the reverse water gas-shift reaction. Post-reaction HR-TEM image analysis confirms Rh nanoparticles crystallize/order during the reaction; at 400°C, most of the Rh particles are disordered, while at 600°C, they are more ordered (i.e., development of defined faceting). Infrared spectroscopy of CO adsorption on Rh nanoparticles confirms the appearance of defined facets after annealing in nitrogen at high temperatures. Annealing the Rh/rTiO 2 catalysts prior to the RWGS reaction demonstrates the structural transformation of Rh depends only on time and temperature and not on reactant or product fugacity. Sites responsible for stabilizing Rh single atoms are no longer competent at higher temperatures, enabling their integration into existent nanoparticles. As the reaction temperature is increased to temperatures >540°C, the dominant active site for CO production evolves from single atoms to extended Rh structures.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Designing ITER motional Stark effect line shift (MSE-LS) spectrometers

As a part of ITER beam aided diagnostics, the design of Motional Stark Effect (MSE) diagnostic observing the emission from the Balmer-α line is underway. The physics of Stark splitting shows that the Stark manifold is polarization dependent, and the energy splitting results in a line shift proportional to the electric field. Due to the challenges of maintaining the calibration of the plasma facing mirrors in ITER, the conventional MSE polarimetry measurement technique is replaced with a spectral approach that is deemed more favorable in the ITER environment. The MSE line shift (LS) diagnostic is designed to quantify the Lorentz electric field magnitude by measuring the Stark manifold using visible spectroscopy. In the presence of large magnetic fields and high energy heating beams of 1 MeV, the expected Stark splitting is much larger than in typical devices. The MSE-LS design has unique challenges requiring careful consideration and modeling of its viewing geometry and photon budget. The MSE-LS approach on ITER is promising but has stringent demands on the allowable errors for the statistical and systematic fitting uncertainties. In this study, a full system model and numerical simulations of data for each sightline are completed. For a range of optical transmission fractions, photon noise analysis is conducted to determine the statistical uncertainties. This provides guidance on the spectrometer throughput, dispersion at the detector, optics, and other design choices. A conceptual design of a high throughput spectrometer with a volume phase transmission grating is presented.

Instruments & Instrumentation↗