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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3

A review of spatial Markov models for predicting pre-asymptotic and anomalous transport in porous and fractured media

Heterogeneity across a broad range of scales in geologic porous media often manifests in observations of non-Fickian or anomalous transport. While traditional anomalous transport models can successfully make predictions in certain geological systems, increasing evidence suggests that assumptions relating to independent and identically distributed increments constrain where and when they can be reliably applied. A relatively novel model, the Spatial Markov model (SMM), relaxes the assumption of independence. The SMM belongs to the family of correlated continuous time random walks and has shown promise across a wide range of transport problems relevant to natural porous media. It has been successfully used to model conservative as well as more recently reactive transport in highly complex flows ranging from pore scales to much larger scales of interest in geology and subsurface hydrology. In this review paper we summarize its original development and provide a comprehensive review of its advances and applications as well as lay out a vision for its future development.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Prediction of laser beam spatial profiles in a high-energy laser facility by use of deep learning

We adapt the significant advances achieved recently in the field of generative artificial intelligence/machine-learning to laser performance modeling in multipass, high-energy laser systems with application to high-shot-rate facilities relevant to inertial fusion energy. Advantages of neural-network architectures include rapid prediction capability, data-driven processing, and the possibility to implement such architectures within future low-latency, low-power consumption photonic networks. Four models were investigated that differed in their generator loss functions and utilized the U-Net encoder/decoder architecture with either a reconstruction loss alone or combined with an adversarial network loss. We achieved inference times of 1.3 ms for a 256 × 256 pixel near-field beam with errors in predicted energy of the order of 1% over most of the energy range. It is shown that prediction errors are significantly reduced by ensemble averaging the models with different weight initializations. These results suggest that including the temporal dimension in such models may provide accurate, real-time spatiotemporal predictions of laser performance in high-shot-rate laser systems.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Predicting partner fitness based on spatial structuring in a light-driven microbial community

Microbial communities have vital roles in systems essential to human health and agriculture, such as gut and soil microbiomes, and there is growing interest in engineering designer consortia for applications in biotechnology ( e . g ., personalized probiotics, bioproduction of high-value products, biosensing). The capacity to monitor and model metabolite exchange in dynamic microbial consortia can provide foundational information important to understand the community level behaviors that emerge, a requirement for building novel consortia. Where experimental approaches for monitoring metabolic exchange are technologically challenging, computational tools can enable greater access to the fate of both chemicals and microbes within a consortium. In this study, we developed an in-silico model of a synthetic microbial consortia of sucrose-secreting Synechococcus elongatus PCC 7942 and Escherichia coli W. Our model was built on the NUFEB framework for Individual-based Modeling (IbM) and optimized for biological accuracy using experimental data. We showed that the relative level of sucrose secretion regulates not only the steady-state support for heterotrophic biomass, but also the temporal dynamics of consortia growth. In order to determine the importance of spatial organization within the consortium, we fit a regression model to spatial data and used it to accurately predict colony fitness. We found that some of the critical parameters for fitness prediction were inter-colony distance, initial biomass, induction level, and distance from the center of the simulation volume. We anticipate that the synergy between experimental and computational approaches will improve our ability to design consortia with novel function.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Framework For Spatial Agricultural Crop Yield Prediction Model Development

This framework was developed to provide data preprocessing for spatiotemporal agricultural yield data and remote sensing data for modelling using artificial neural networks (ANNs) to predict subfield crop yield estimates. The software includes methods to train, validate, and test ANN models. It also include methods to infer on new remote sensing data.

Griffel, LloydM.↗

Predicting responses to climate change using a joint species, spatially dependent physiologically guided abundance model

Abstract Predicting the effects of warming temperatures on the abundance and distribution of organisms under future climate scenarios often requires extrapolating species–environment correlations to climatic conditions not currently experienced by a species, which can result in unrealistic predictions. For poikilotherms, incorporating species' thermal physiology to inform extrapolations under novel thermal conditions can result in more realistic predictions. Furthermore, models that incorporate species and spatial dependencies may improve predictions by capturing correlations present in ecological data that are not accounted for by predictor variables. Here, we present a joint species, spatially dependent physiologically guided abundance (jsPGA) model for predicting multispecies responses to climate warming. The jsPGA model uses a basis function approach to capture both species and spatial dependencies. We apply the jsPGA model to predict the response of eight fish species to projected climate warming in thousands of lakes in Minnesota, USA. By the end of the century, the cold‐adapted species was predicted to have high probabilities of extirpation across its current range—with 10% of lakes currently inhabited by this species having an extirpation probability >0.90. The remaining species had varying levels of predicted changes in abundance, reflecting differences in their thermal physiology. Though the model did not identify many strong species dependencies, the variation in estimated spatial dependence across species suggested that accounting for both dependencies was important for predicting the abundance of these fishes. The jsPGA model provides a new tool for predicting changes in the abundance, distribution, and extirpation probability of poikilotherms under novel thermal conditions.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Accelerated coupled Monte Carlo-Thermal hydraulic calculations using a hybrid GTF-diffusion-based prediction block: first results

Accurate predictions of spatial power and temperature distributions require the coupling of a neutron transport solver with a thermal-hydraulic (TH) feedback. Nowadays, Monte Carlo (MC) codes are widely coupled to TH solvers, typically via a Picard iteration (PI) method, due to the higher fidelity that such frameworks can produce. To speed up a PI, a prediction step can produce an improved initial guess for a source distribution and feed it to the MC code. Recent work investigated a prediction step that uses generalized transfer functions (GTFs) to predict the macroscopic cross sections' variations following a perturbation in TH properties, such as coolant density. The previous method also relied on first order perturbation (FOP) theory to predict perturbed power profiles, rather than using an expensive MC iterate. The implemented FOP method relied on generating a fission matrix from which the forward and adjoint Eigenmodes were extracted and later used to for power calculations. The generation of the fission matrix can introduce a significant computational overhead, therefore undermining the performance of the proposed hybrid technique when applied to high-dimensional problems, e.g., full core calculations. This work attempts to improve the GTF-FOP prediction step by replacing the FOP solver with a nodal diffusion solver, thus eliminating the need to calculate a fission matrix. The GTF-diffusion step was tested for various moderator density perturbations. In each case, the predicted power distribution showed good agreement with the reference case. The latter is attributed to the generally good prediction of most spatially distributed macroscopic cross sections, except the transport cross section, which will become the focus of future work. (authors)

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Accelerated Coupled Monte Carlo-Thermal Hydraulic Calculations using a Hybrid GTF-Diffusion-based Prediction Block: First Results

Accurate predictions of spatial power and temperature distributions require the coupling of a neutron transport solver with a thermal-hydraulic (TH) feedback. Nowadays, Monte Carlo (MC) codes are widely coupled to TH solvers, typically via a Picard iteration (PI) method, due to the higher fidelity that such frameworks can produce. To speed up a PI, a prediction step can produce an improved initial guess for a source distribution and feed it to the MC code. Recent work [1, 2] investigated a prediction step that uses generalized transfer functions (GTFs) to predict the macroscopic cross sections’ variations following a perturbation in TH properties, such as coolant density. The previous method also relied on first order perturbation (FOP) theory to predict perturbed power profiles, rather than using an expensive MC iterate. The implemented FOP method relied on generating a fission matrix from which the forward and adjoint eigenmodes were extracted and later used to for power calculations. The generation of the fission matrix can introduce a significant computational overhead, therefore undermining the performance of the proposed hybrid technique when applied to high-dimensional problems, e.g., full core calculations. This work attempts to improve the GTF-FOP prediction step by replacing the FOP solver with a nodal diffusion solver, thus eliminating the need to calculate a fission matrix. The GTF-diffusion step was tested for various moderator density perturbations. In each case, the predicted power distribution showed good agreement with the reference case. The latter is attributed to the generally good prediction of most spatially distributed macroscopic cross sections, except the transport cross section, which will become the focus of future work.

22 GENERAL STUDIES OF NUCLEAR REACTORS↗

Machine learning for geophysical characterization of brittleness: Tuscaloosa Marine Shale case study

Brittleness is one of the most important reservoir properties for unconventional reservoir exploration and production. Better knowledge about the brittleness distribution can help to optimize the hydraulic fracturing operation and lower costs. However, there are very few reliable and effective physical models to predict the spatial distribution of brittleness. We have developed a machine learning-based method to predict subsurface brittleness by using multidiscipline data sets, such as seismic attributes, rock physics, and petrophysics information, which allows us to implement the prediction without using a physical model. The method is applied on a data set from Tuscaloosa Marine Shale, and the predicted rock physics template is close to the calculated value from conventional inverted elastic parameters. Therefore, the proposed method helps determine areas of the reservoir that have optimal geomechanical properties for successful hydraulic fracturing.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

CFD/FEA Co-Simulation Framework for Analysis of the Thermal Barrier Coating Design and Its Impact on the HD Diesel Engine Performance

Thermal barrier coatings (TBCs) have been investigated both experimentally and through simulation for mixing controlled combustion (MCC) concepts as a method for reducing heat transfer losses and increasing cycle efficiency, but it is still a very active research area. Early studies were inconclusive, with different groups discovering obstacles to realizing the theoretical potential. Nuanced papers have shown that coating material properties, thickness, microstructure, and surface morphology/roughness all can impact the efficacy of the thermal barrier coating and must be accounted for. Adding to the complexities, a strong spatial and temporal heat flux inhomogeneity exists for mixing controlled combustion (diesel) imposed onto the surfaces from the impinging flame jets. In support of the United States Department of Energy SuperTruck II program goal to achieve 55% brake thermal efficiency on a heavy-duty diesel engines, this study sought to develop a deeper insight into the inhomogeneous heat flux from mixing controlled combustion on thermal barrier coatings and to infer concrete guidance for designing coatings. To that end, a co-simulation approach was developed that couples high-fidelity computational fluid dynamics (CFD) modeling of in-cylinder processes and combustion, and finite element analysis (FEA) modeling of the thermal barrier-coated and metal engine components to resolve spatial and temporal thermal boundary conditions. The models interface at the surface of the combustion chamber; FEA modeling predicts the spatially resolved surface temperature profile, while CFD develops insights into the effect of the thermal barrier coating on the combustion process and the boundary conditions on the gas side. The paper demonstrates the capability of the framework to estimate cycle impacts of the temperature swing at the surface, as well as identify critical locations on the piston/thermal barrier coating that exhibit the highest charge temperature and highest heat fluxes. In addition, the FEA results include predictions of thermal stresses, thus enabling insight into factors affecting coating durability. An example of the capability of the framework is provided to illustrate its use for investigating novel coatings and provide deeper insights to guide future coating design.

42 ENGINEERING↗

CORSAIR: A Framework for Human Mobility Prediction through Visit Characterization and Spatial Behavior Modeling

The rapid advancement of location acquisition technologies has led to the daily collection of vast amounts of mobile trajectory data, facilitating in-depth research on human mobility and enabling more accurate mobility prediction models. However, existing methodologies often fall short in capturing the intricate dynamics of human navigation and spatial behavior. This paper addresses this gap by exploring the multifaceted relationships between individuals and their environments, considering the diverse influences of personal preferences and experiences. Some places hold sentimental value and are visited frequently, while others serve as transient points of passage. To model these differences, we introduce CORSAIR, a novel visit characterization framework that leverages visitation patterns and dwell times to delineate an individual’s relationship with specific places. CORSAIR classifies visits into seven distinct types: casual, occasional, routine, special, anchor, important, and resettling. Also, we show that explicitly recognizing these distinct visit types and incorporating nuanced visit intents into mobility prediction models leads to a substantial improvement in prediction accuracy. This distinction allows for more precise modeling of the individual’s transitions, enhancing the personalization and relevance of location-based services. Our findings suggest that a deeper understanding of the complexities of individual-environment interactions is crucial for developing effective predictive tools in mobility research.

Amichi, Licia [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000177631394)↗

Synchronizing the consistency relation

We study the N-point function of the density contrast to quadratic order in the squeezed limit during the matter-dominated (MD) and radiation-dominated (RD) eras in synchronous gauge. Since synchronous gauge follows the free-fall frame of observers, the equivalence principle dictates that in the gradient approximation for the long-wavelength mode there is only a single, manifestly time-independent consistency relation for the N-point function. This simple form is dictated by the initial mapping between synchronous and local coordinates, unlike Newtonian gauge and its correspondingly separate dilation and Newtonian consistency relations. Dynamical effects only appear at quadratic order in the squeezed limit and are again characterized by a change in the local background, also known as the separate universe approach. We show that for the 3-point function the compatibility between these squeezed-limit relations and second-order perturbation theory requires both the initial and dynamical contributions to match, as they do in single-field inflation. This clarifies the role of evolution or late-time projection effects in establishing the consistency relation for observable bispectra, which is especially important for radiation acoustic oscillations and for establishing consistency below the matter-radiation equality scale in the MD era. Defining an appropriate angle and time average of these oscillations is also important for making separate universe predictions of spatially varying local observables during the RD era, which can be useful for a wider range of cosmological predictions beyond N-point functions.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Spatial correlations of entangled polymer dynamics

The spatial correlations of entangled polymer dynamics are examined by molecular dynamics simulations and neutron spin-echo spectroscopy. Due to the soft nature of topological constraints, the initial spatial decays of intermediate scattering functions of entangled chains are, to the first approximation, surprisingly similar to those of an unentangled system in the functional forms. However, entanglements reveal themselves as a long tail in the reciprocal-space correlations, implying a weak but persistent dynamic localization in real space. Furthermore, comparison with a number of existing theoretical models of entangled polymers suggests that they cannot fully describe the spatial correlations revealed by simulations and experiments. In particular, the strict one-dimensional diffusion idea of the original tube model is shown to be flawed. The dynamic spatial correlation analysis demonstrated in this work provides a useful tool for interrogating the dynamics of entangled polymers. Lastly, the failure of the investigated models to even qualitatively predict the spatial correlations of collective single-chain density fluctuations points to a possible critical role of incompressibility in polymer melt dynamics.

74 ATOMIC AND MOLECULAR PHYSICS↗

Application of a Distributed Element Roughness Model to Additively Manufactured Internal Cooling Channels

Abstract Design for cooling effectiveness in turbine blades relies on accurate models for dynamic losses and heat transfer of internal cooling passages. Metal additive manufacturing (AM) has expanded the design space for these configurations, but can give rise to large-scale roughness features. The range of roughness length scales in these systems makes morphology resolved computational fluid dynamics (CFD) impractical. However, volumetric roughness models can be leveraged, as they have computational costs orders of magnitude lower. In this work, a discrete element roughness model (DERM), based on the double-averaged Navier–Stokes equations, is presented and applied to additively manufactured rough channels, representative of gas turbine blade cooling passages. Unique to this formulation of DERM is a generalized sheltering-based treatment of drag, a two-layer model for spatially averaged Reynolds stresses, and explicit treatment of dispersion. Six different AM rough surface channel configurations are studied, with roughness trough to peak sizes ranging from 15% to 60% nominal channel passage half-width, and the roughness Reynolds number ranges from Rek = 60 to 300. DERM predictions for spatially and temporally averaged mean flow quantities are compared to previously reported direct numerical simulation results. Good agreement in the mean velocity profiles, stress balances, and drag partitions are observed. While DERM models are typically calibrated to specific deterministic roughness morphologies at comparatively small roughness Reynolds numbers, the present more generalized DERM formulation has wider applicability. Here, it is demonstrated that the model can accommodate random roughness of large scale, typical of AM.

Engineering↗

Interpreting the spatial distribution of soil properties with a physically-based distributed hydrological model

Digital soil maps are commonly data-driven as the development of physically-based models for soil mapping is difficult due to the complexity of soils. However, physically-based hydrologic models have been successful in simulating water dynamics. Since water movement is a major driver of pedogenesis, the physical rules that govern water movement might help explain and predict the spatial variation of soil properties. Here, we demonstrate the novel use of a physically-based, distributed hydrologic model to inform the spatial distribution of soil properties. The Distributed Hydrology Soil Vegetation Model (DHSVM) was utilized to simulate soil moisture content (SM) and water table depth (WTD) in two hillslope catchments under pasture and forest management wherein hydrologic model outputs were then compared with soil properties measured in situ. SM sensors and wells were installed in both catchments to validate simulations of soil water movement via Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (E). In-situ observations were made at 87 sites within both catchments to study the connection between simulated water movement (SM and WTD) and observed soil properties, namely the depth and thickness of the argillic (Bt), fragic (Btx), and C horizons, and the depth of redoximorphic features. The simulated time series of SM and WTD were also clustered per season using Dynamic Time Warping (DTW), which identified similarity among time series at varying timescales. Model validation suggested that simulations of surficial SM (0–20 cm) were reasonable (E = 0.45), however, simulated subsurface SM (45–60 cm) and WTD were not sufficiently accurate. The thickness of Btx horizons were spatially grouped into different populations by SM clusters from every season except spring. For the other properties, only SM dynamics of specific seasons grouped into significantly different populations, suggesting that the explanatory power of simulated water movement varies seasonally and was greater during winter. Here, we show clusters of simulated SM separated soil properties into statistically different populations, showing that hydrologic models could inform areas that followed different water dynamics related to pedogenic trajectories and related biogeochemical processes not necessarily simulated by the model. As such, physically-based modeling of water dynamics can, therefore, inform and advance digital soil mapping by linking water movement patterns stemming from hydrologic model outputs to spatial patterns of soil properties and pedogenesis.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Using Particle Image Velocimetry to Determine Turbulence Model Parameters

The primary parameter of a standard k-ϵ model, C μ , was calculated from stereoscopic particle image velocimetry (PIV) data for a supersonic jet exhausting into a transonic crossflow. This required the determination of turbulent kinetic energy, turbulent eddy viscosity, and turbulent energy dissipation rate. Image interrogation was optimized, with different procedures used for mean strain rates and Reynolds stresses, to produce useful turbulent eddy viscosity fields. The eddy viscosity was calculated by a least-squares fit to all components of the three-dimensional strain-rate tensor that were available from the PIV data. This eliminated artifacts and noise observed when using a single strain component. Local dissipation rates were determined via Kolmogorov’s similarity hypotheses and the second-order structure function. The eddy viscosity and dissipation rates were then combined to determine C μ . Considerable spatial variation was observed in C μ , with the highest values found in regions where turbulent kinetic energy was relatively low but where turbulent mixing was important, e.g., along the high-strain jet edges and in the wake region. This suggests that use of a constant C μ in modeling may lead to poor Reynolds stress predictions at mixing interfaces. A data-driven modeling approach that can predict this spatial variation of C μ based on known state variables may lead to improved simulation results without the need for calibration.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Dynamic pulse propagation modelling for predictive femtosecond-laser-microbonding of transparent materials

A dynamic pulse propagation modeling for femtosecond laser bonding of Borofloat glass is presented. The temperature evolution and internal modifications are predicted by incorporating the nonlinear electron dynamics along with temperature dependent thermal properties. The modelling predicts the spatial and temporal distribution of absorption coefficient and plasma density that gives quantitative estimations of the heat affected zone and weld geometry. The impact of focusing condition on heat affected zone and weld geometry is investigated, which for the first time to our knowledge allows to numerically determine the desired relative position between the geometrical focus of a femtosecond-laser-pulse and the interface of the two substrates to be welded. The prediction of the modelling on the offset distance is applied to weld Borofloat glass plates having optical contact and can be applied to other dielectric solids.

Sahoo, Pankaj K. (ORCID:0000000209437319)↗

Li-ion Battery Material phase prediction through Hierarchical Curriculum Learning

Li-ion Batteries (LIB), one of the most efficient energy storage devices, are widely adopted in many industrial applications. Imaging data of these battery electrodes obtained from X-ray tomography can explain the distribution of material constituents and allow reconstructions to study electron transport pathways. Therefore, it can eventually help quantify various associated properties of electrodes (e.g., volume-specific surface area, porosity) which determine the performance of batteries. However, these images often suffer from low image contrast between multiple material constituents , making it difficult for humans to distinguish and characterize these constituents through visualization. A minor error in detecting distributions among the material constituents can lead to a high error in the calculated parameters of material properties.We present a novel hierarchical curriculum learning framework to address the complex task of estimating material constituent distribution in battery electrodes. To provide spatially smooth prediction, our framework comprises three modules: (i) an uncertainty-aware model trained to yield inferences conditioned upon global knowledge of material distribution, (ii) a technique to capture relatively more fine-grained (local) distributional signals, (iii) an aggregator to appropriately fuse the local and global effects towards obtaining the final distribution.

Tabassum, Anika↗

Modeling Nanoconfinement Effects Using Active Learning

Predicting the spatial configuration of gas in nanopores of is relevant in applications such as fluid flow forecasting and hydrocarbon reserves estimation. For example, shale reservoirs have suffered from computationally intractable multiscale problems, since fluid properties such as viscosity, density, and adsorption must be calculated by using expensive molecular dynamics (MD) simulations within each nanopore, whereas flow through these connected nanopores must be simulated at the micrometer scale. We utilize machine learning techniques to quickly and accurately model nanoscale confinement effects as an important step toward bridging the nano and micro scales. Our workflow is based on building and training physics-based deep-neural-networks models by learning from a database of MD calculations. The model accounts for the adsorption phenomenon by predicting the statistical distribution of gas inside nanopores. Because large databases of MD calculations are expensive to create, we investigate active learning (AL) as a data set construction strategy. In this workflow, new data are selected based on the model uncertainty via the query-by-committee approach. We show that our workflow obtains accurate models that generalize to real scanning electron microscopy geometries with 1/10th of the number of MD calculations required vs random data set generation. Our method enables the possibility of modeling nanoconfinement effects at the mesoscale, where complex connected sets of nanopores affect flow.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗