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Energy Consumption and Cost Reduction of Future Light-Duty Vehicles through Advanced Vehicle Technologies: A Modeling Simulation Study Through 2050

The U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE’s) Vehicle Technologies Office (VTO) and Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies Office (HFTO) aim to develop sustainable, affordable and efficient technologies for transportation of goods and people. Translating investments in advanced transportation component technologies and powertrains to estimate vehicle-level fuel savings potential is critical for understanding DOE’s impact. In this work, we simulated technologies funded by VTO and HFTO for light duty vehicles. The simulations were performed across: Multiple powertrain configurations (i.e., conventional, power-split, extended-range electric vehicle, battery electric drive, and fuel-cell vehicles), Vehicle classes (i.e., compact car, midsize car, small sport utility vehicle [SUV], midsize SUV, and pickup trucks); and Fuels (i.e., gasoline, diesel, hydrogen, and battery electricity). These various technologies are assessed for six different timeframes: laboratory years 2015, 2020, 2025, 2030, and 2045. A delay of 5 years is assumed between laboratory year and model year (year technology is introduced into production). Finally, uncertainties are included for both technology performance and cost aspects by considering two cases: Low case, aligned with DOE technology manager estimates of expected original equipment manufacturer (OEM) improvements based on regulations, business as usual; and High case, aligned with aggressive technology advancements based on R&D targets developed through support by VTO & HFTO. These scenarios are not intended as predictions of future performances. The energy and cost impact of different technologies were estimated using Autonomie (www.autonomie.net), Argonne vehicle system simulation tool. Autonomie is a state-of-the-art vehicle system simulation tool used to assess the energy consumption, performance and cost of multiple advanced vehicle technologies across classes (from light to heavy duty), powertrains (from conventional to HEVs, FCEVs, PHEVs and BEVs), components and control strategies. Autonomie is packaged with a complete set of vehicle models for a wide range of vehicle classes, powertrain configurations and component technologies, including vehicle level and component level controls. These controls were developed and calibrated using dynamometer test data. Autonomie has been used to support a wide range of studies including analyzing various component technologies, sizing powertrains components for different vehicle requirements, comparing the benefits of powertrain configurations, optimizing both heuristic and route based vehicle energy control and predicting transportation energy use when paired with a traffic modeling tool such as POLARIS. This report documents the assumptions and estimates the vehicle-level energy consumption benefits and associated technology costs for the various types of light duty vehicles. All details of vehicle assumptions and simulation results are available in the spreadsheets accompanying this report.

33 ADVANCED PROPULSION SYSTEMS↗

A Detailed Vehicle Modeling & Simulation Study Quantifying Energy Consumption and Cost Reduction of Advanced Vehicle Technologies Through 2050

The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Vehicle Technologies Office (VTO) and Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies Office (HFTO) aim to develop sustainable, affordable, and efficient technologies for transportation of goods and people. Translating investments in advanced transportation component technologies and powertrains to estimate vehicle-level fuel savings potential is critical for understanding DOE’s impact. In this work, we simulated technologies funded by VTO and HFTO for light duty vehicles. The simulations were performed across: (1) Multiple powertrain configurations (conventional, power-split, extended-range electric vehicle, battery electric drive, and fuel-cell vehicles); (2) Vehicle classes (compact car, midsize car, small sport utility vehicle [SUV], midsize SUV, and pickup trucks); and (3) Fuels (gasoline, diesel, natural gas, hydrogen, and battery electricity). These various technologies are assessed for six different timeframes: laboratory years 2015 (reference), 2020, 2025, 2030, and 2045. A delay of five years is assumed between laboratory year and model year (the year the technology is introduced into production).

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

A multidimensional approach to quantum state tomography of photoelectron wavepackets

There is a growing interest in reconstructing the density matrix of photoelectron wavepackets, in particular in complex systems where decoherence can be introduced either by a partial measurement of the system or through coupling with a stochastic environment. To this end, several methods to reconstruct the density matrix, quantum state tomography protocols, have been developed and tested on photoelectrons ejected from noble gases following absorption of extreme ultraviolet (XUV) photons from attosecond pulses. It remains a challenge to obtain model-free, single scan protocols that can reconstruct the density matrix with high fidelities. Current methods require extensive measurements or involve complex fitting of the signal. Efficient single-scan reconstructions would be of great help to increase the number of systems that can be studied. We propose a new and more efficient protocol that is able to reconstruct the continuous variable density matrix of a photoelectron in a single time delay scan. It is based on measuring the coherences of a photoelectron created by absorption of an XUV pulse using a broadband infrared (IR) probe that is scanned in time and a narrowband IR reference that is temporally fixed to the XUV pulse. We illustrate its performance for a Fano resonance in He as well as mixed states in Ar arising from spin-orbit splitting. We show that the protocol results in excellent fidelities and near-perfect estimation of the purity.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

A Comprehensive Simulation Study to Evaluate Future Vehicle Energy and Cost Reduction Potential

Under the umbrella of EERE’s Office of Sustainable Transportation, the U.S. Department of Energy’s (DOE) Vehicle Technologies Office (VTO) and Hydrogen and Fuel Cell Technologies Office (HFTO) seek to develop sustainable, affordable, and efficient technologies for transportation of goods and people. Translating investments in advanced transportation component technologies and powertrains to estimate the potential for vehicle-level fuel savings is critical to understanding DOE’s impact and success in this mission For this study, Argonne National Laboratory (Argonne) simulated technologies funded by VTO and HFTO for light-duty vehicles across the following: Powertrain configurations (conventional, power-split hybrid electric vehicle, extended-range electric vehicle, battery electric drive, and fuel-cell vehicles); Vehicle classes (compact car, mid-size car, small sport utility vehicle [SUV], mid-size SUV, and pickup truck); Fuels (gasoline, diesel, natural gas, hydrogen, and battery electricity). We assessed each technology for five different timeframes: laboratory years 2015 (reference), 2020, 2025, 2030, and 2045. We assumed a delay of 5 years between laboratory year and model year (i.e., the year the technology is introduced into production). Finally, we included uncertainties for both technology performance and cost by considering two cases (note that these cases are not intended as predictions of future performance): Low case , aligned with DOE technology manager estimates of expected original equipment manufacturer (OEM) improvements based on business as usual regulatory and market environments; High case , aligned with aggressive technology advancements based on research and development (R&D) targets developed through support by VTO and HFTO. We estimated the energy and cost impact of different technologies using Autonomie (Argonne undated), a state-of-the-art vehicle system simulation tool developed by Argonne and used to assess the energy consumption, performance, and cost of multiple advanced vehicle technologies. The tool comprises a complete set of vehicle models to assess impacts across a wide range of classes (from light- to heavy-duty), powertrain configurations (from conventional to hybrid electric vehicles [HEVs], fuel cell electric vehicles [FCEVs], plug-in hybrid electric vehicles [PHEVs], and battery electric vehicles [BEVs]), components, and control strategies, including vehicle-level and component-level controls developed and calibrated using dynamometer test data. Autonomie has been used to support a wide range of studies: analyzing various component technologies, sizing powertrain components to meet different vehicle requirements, comparing the benefits of powertrain configurations, optimizing both heuristic and route-based vehicle energy control, and predicting transportation energy use when paired with a traffic modeling tool such as POLARIS. This report documents the assumptions made and the vehicle-level energy consumption benefits and associated technology costs estimated for various types of light-duty vehicles. Details regarding vehicle assumptions and simulation results are available in the spreadsheets accompanying this report.

08 HYDROGEN↗

The SuperCam Instrument Suite on the NASA Mars 2020 Rover: Body Unit and Combined System Tests

The SuperCam instrument suite provides the Mars 2020 rover, Perseverance, with a number of versatile remote-sensing techniques that can be used at long distance as well as within the robotic-arm workspace. These include laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS), remote time-resolved Raman and luminescence spectroscopies, and visible and infrared (VISIR; separately referred to as VIS and IR) reflectance spectroscopy. A remote micro-imager (RMI) provides high-resolution color context imaging, and a microphone can be used as a stand-alone tool for environmental studies or to determine physical properties of rocks and soils from shock waves of laser-produced plasmas. SuperCam is built in three parts: The mast unit (MU), consisting of the laser, telescope, RMI, IR spectrometer, and associated electronics, is described in a companion paper. The on-board calibration targets are described in another companion paper. Here we describe SuperCam’s body unit (BU) and testing of the integrated instrument. The BU, mounted inside the rover body, receives light from the MU via a 5.8 m optical fiber. The light is split into three wavelength bands by a demultiplexer, and is routed via fiber bundles to three optical spectrometers, two of which (UV and violet; 245–340 and 385–465 nm) are crossed Czerny-Turner reflection spectrometers, nearly identical to their counterparts on ChemCam. The third is a high-efficiency transmission spectrometer containing an optical intensifier capable of gating exposures to 100 ns or longer, with variable delay times relative to the laser pulse. This spectrometer covers 535–853 nm ( $105\text{--}7070~\text{cm}^{-1}$ Raman shift relative to the 532 nm green laser beam) with $12~\text{cm}^{-1}$ full-width at half-maximum peak resolution in the Raman fingerprint region. The BU electronics boards interface with the rover and control the instrument, returning data to the rover. Thermal systems maintain a warm temperature during cruise to Mars to avoid contamination on the optics, and cool the detectors during operations on Mars.Results obtained with the integrated instrument demonstrate its capabilities for LIBS, for which a library of 332 standards was developed. Examples of Raman and VISIR spectroscopy are shown, demonstrating clear mineral identification with both techniques. Luminescence spectra demonstrate the utility of having both spectral and temporal dimensions. Finally, RMI and microphone tests on the rover demonstrate the capabilities of these subsystems as well.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

Functional diversification within the heme-binding split-barrel family

Due to neofunctionalization, a single fold can be identified in multiple proteins that have distinct molecular functions. Depending on the time that has passed since gene duplication and the number of mutations, the sequence similarity between functionally divergent proteins can be relatively high, eroding the value of sequence similarity as the sole tool for accurately annotating the function of uncharacterized homologs. Here, we combine bioinformatic approaches with targeted experimentation to reveal a large multifunctional family of putative enzymatic and nonenzymatic proteins involved in heme metabolism. This family (homolog of HugZ (HOZ)) is embedded in the “FMN-binding split barrel” superfamily and contains separate groups of proteins from prokaryotes, plants, and algae, which bind heme and either catalyze its degradation or function as nonenzymatic heme sensors. In prokaryotes these proteins are often involved in iron assimilation, whereas several plant and algal homologs are predicted to degrade heme in the plastid or regulate heme biosynthesis. In the plant Arabidopsis thaliana, which contains two HOZ subfamilies that can degrade heme in vitro (HOZ1 and HOZ2), disruption of AtHOZ1 (AT3G03890) or AtHOZ2A (AT1G51560) causes developmental delays, pointing to important biological roles in the plastid. In the tree Populus trichocarpa, a recent duplication event of a HOZ1 ancestor has resulted in localization of a paralog to the cytosol. Structural characterization of this cytosolic paralog and comparison to published homologous structures suggests conservation of heme-binding sites. This study unifies our understanding of the sequence-structure-function relationships within this multilineage family of heme-binding proteins and presents new molecular players in plant and bacterial heme metabolism.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Earth Filter Mathematica Toolbox V4 User’s Guide: Simplifying, Visualizing and Quick Modeling of All Fission Products from 60 Nuclear Sources

The Earth Filter Mathematica toolbox is a set of user-friendly routines that accurately calculate the ingrowth and decay of any of the 908 fission products for an infinite combination of sources over a large dynamic range and large time scales. This toolbox was developed by Dr. W. P. Brug at Los Alamos National Laboratory and eliminates the need for the user to define and solve differential equations by automatically scanning the ENDF-349 dataset and creating a complete set of differential equations (including delayed neutron branches to both the ground and metastable states) for every fission product. Additionally, this code allows the user to choose the data source for half-lives from several key references (i.e., TORI, IAEA, ENDF or NUDAT.) The complete set of ENDF-349 independent and cumulative fission yields for all 60 isotopic targets and 4 different neutron spectrums are included. This allows nearly any nuclear fission source to be accurately modeled as a linear combination of endpoint sources. The Earth Filter Toolbox has no limit as to the length of split list, and split lists of 5 or more endpoint sources can be quite common.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Geometric control of hyperbolic exciton-polariton condensate dimers

Coupled many-body quantum systems exhibit rich emergent physics with diverse stationary and dynamical behaviours. By engineering platforms with tunable and distinct coupling mechanisms, new insights emerge into the collective behaviour of coupled many body systems. Particles can be exchanged via evanescent or ballistic coupling: the former, based on proximity, yields large spectral splitting, while the latter requires strict phase-matching, analogous to phase-coupled harmonic oscillators and has a smaller impact on the energy landscape. We demonstrate an all-optically tunable quantum fluid dimer based on exciton-polariton condensates in a photonic crystal waveguide with hyperbolic (saddle-like) dispersion. Varying the dimer’s angle relative to the grating tunes the coupling from evanescent to ballistic. We directly observe spectral features and mass flow shaped by the saddle dispersion. This work highlights photonic crystals as powerful platforms to explore condensed matter phenomena lying at the interface between delay-coupled nonlinear oscillators and tight binding physics.

Georgakilas, Ioannis [IBM Research-Zurich, Rüschli↗

Shape evolution in neutron-rich odd-even 105–109 Nb isotopes

Background: Neutron-rich nuclei around 𝑍 ≈ 40 are well known for exhibiting multiple shape transitions. Here, this region shows one of the sharpest shape transitions in the nuclear chart, evolving from a spherical vibrator at 𝑁 = 58 to a strongly deformed prolate shape at 𝑁 = 60. The largest deformations are observed for 38 Sr and 40 Zr . This abrupt shape transition disappears at 𝑍 = 36 and below, where a shape transition from spherical to oblate nuclei is predicted. On the other hand, for 𝑍 ≥ 42 and 𝑁 ≥ 60, the shape is known to evolve from axial to triaxial. While the even-𝑍 nuclei in this region have already been extensively studied, new insights can be gained from the studies of odd-𝑍 isotopes for a better understanding of the underlying mechanisms driving these phenomena. Purpose: The 41 Nb nuclei lie at the boundary between axially deformed Zr and triaxially deformed Mo nuclei. This work investigates the nuclear structure of very neutron-rich Nb nuclei up to 𝑁 = 68. The goal is to understand how the nuclear shape evolves as a function of isospin in this isotopic chain and provide new insights into the emergence of triaxial deformation. Methods: The structure of the neutron-rich Nb isotopes was investigated using state-of-the-art high-resolution 𝛾-ray spectroscopy of fission fragments produced via two different fission reactions. The use of 9 Be ⁢( 238 U, 𝑓) inverse kinematics, with a detection system comprising AGATA, EXOGAM, and VAMOS++, enabled the measurement of prompt and delayed 𝛾 rays from isotopically identified fission fragments, and 𝛾−𝛾−𝛾−𝛾 highfold data were obtained from a spontaneous fission source of 252 Cf using the Gammasphere array. Results: The level scheme of 105 Nb has been significantly extended, with the addition of two negative-parity bands observed for the first time. A new level scheme is proposed for 107 Nb, which is not in agreement with an earlier measurement, and new levels and transitions have been added to the very neutron-rich 109 Nb. The degree of triaxiality of the new bands is discussed on the basis of signature splitting analysis. The recently reported level scheme of 99 Nb has been revised. Conclusions: This systematic study on the Nb isotopic chain, compared to Zr and Mo, indicates that while the ground-state band exhibits a triaxial deformation, attributed to a proton hole coupled to a triaxially deformed Mo core, the negative-parity bands, based on isomeric bandheads, display an axially symmetric deformed structure, similar to that observed in the Zr isotopes, revealing the existence of a shape coexistence in the neutron-rich Nb nuclei.

Abushawish, M. [Université Claude-Bernard Lyon 1 (↗

Subpolar North Atlantic Mean State Affects the Response of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation to the North Atlantic Oscillation in CMIP6 Models

Abstract The Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) plays an important role in climate, transporting heat and salt to the subpolar North Atlantic. The AMOC’s variability is sensitive to atmospheric forcing, especially the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO). Because AMOC observations are short, climate models are a valuable tool to study the AMOC’s variability. Yet, there are known issues with climate models, like uncertainties and systematic biases. To investigate this, preindustrial control experiments from models participating in the phase 6 of Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) are evaluated. There is a large, but correlated, spread in the models’ subpolar gyre mean surface temperature and salinity. By splitting models into groups of either a warm–salty or cold–fresh subpolar gyre, it is shown that warm–salty models have a lower sea ice cover in the Labrador Sea and, hence, enable a larger heat loss during a positive NAO. Stratification in the Labrador Sea is also weaker in warm–salty models, such that the larger NAO-related heat loss can also affect greater depths. As a result, subsurface density anomalies are much stronger in the warm–salty models than in those that tend to be cold and fresh. As these anomalies propagate southward along the western boundary, they establish a zonal density gradient anomaly that promotes a stronger delayed AMOC response to the NAO in the warm–salty models. These findings demonstrate how model mean state errors are linked across variables and affect variability, emphasizing the need for improvement of the subpolar North Atlantic mean states in models.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Data association algorithm for large-scale multi-object tracking with complex interactions

We present an online multi-object tracking algorithm to track multiple objects across a large number of image frames. Our work is motivated by the need to study evolution of nanoscale objects by transmission electron microscopy. The proposed approach is based on the existing multi-way data association tracking algorithm that is capable of tracking interacting objects with complex behaviors (i.e., merge, split, overlap, and appearance or disappearance). The multi-way data association is an offline algorithm to associate objects across all image frames at one step with a global optimization, which does not scale very well for large number of image frames. The proposed online tracking algorithm processes image frames as they arrive by detecting all objects in the newly arrived image frame and making the associations of the objects to those detected from the previous frame by the multi-way data association. This frameby-frame association scheme can cause fragmented traces of the objects that are occasionally misdetected for some image frames. We overcome this issue by allowing previously unassociated objects to be associated when the objects reappear within a fixed number of future image frames, namely the frame-delayed association. We combine the multi-way data association with the frame-delayed association to be able to track interacting objects with accurate handling of object disappearance events. The proposed method is validated through applications to simulated multi-object tracking problem and a real multi-object tracking problem. Here, the outcome of the proposed method is compared with four state-of-the-art algorithms.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Wastewater Disposal Has Not Significantly Altered the Regional Stress State in Southern Kansas

Wastewater disposal is primarily responsible for the increased seismicity rate since ~2013 in southern Kansas. Previous work that used shear-wave splitting (SWS) in southern Kansas interpreted an ~90° temporal rotation in the fast polarization direction and attributed it to increased pore pressures resulting from fluid injection. However, this interpreted rotation coincided with a change in the stations used to make the SWS measurements. We investigate the temporal variability of fast azimuths in southern Kansas by making SWS measurements on earthquake families with similar source–receiver paths recorded on a stable local seismic network. We select high-quality SWS measurements by investigating the stability of results across 65 different frequency bands between 0.5 and 15 Hz. We find that the fast polarization direction in southern Kansas is relatively constant with an average east-northeast (~N79°E) orientation between 2014 and 2017. Our fast polarization measurements are primarily a reflection of the maximum principal horizontal stress direction (SHmax). We observe a slight spatial change in SHmax to the northeast (~N55°E) near the Nemaha ridge in Oklahoma. However, we do not observe any significant temporal rotation of SHmax or variation in delay time (i.e., crack density) in southern Kansas, contrary to the earlier study. The previously interpreted ~90° rotation may either be a reflection of a very local stress change or a misinterpretation of SWS results potentially due to the use of inconsistent source–receiver paths. Our SWS measurements cover the period of peak wastewater disposal and seismicity rates and suggest an absence of significant temporal rotations in the local anisotropy and stress orientations associated with wastewater disposal.

Geochemistry & Geophysics↗

Behavior of B in passivating gels formed on International Simple Glass in acid and basic pH

International Simple Glass altered for years in silica saturated conditions develops a passivating gel, which retains some mobile elements such as B and Ca in its inner region. It has been suggested that the retention of these elements impacts the dissolution rate of the glass. However, the elements' retention mechanism, speciation, and diffusion properties are still unknown. This study finds that simultaneous presence of B and Ca in the solution can dramatically slow down glass alteration. However, splitting the B and Ca into two different solutions with other glass elements did not give similar protection against glass alteration. These experiments along with other experiments conducted in basic or acid pH, in which isotopically tagged B can diffuse in gels revealed that (i) water diffusion is not dramatically affected by the retention of B and Ca in passivating gels, and (ii) slow diffusion and high retention of B is observed only in gels developed in basic pH during the tracing experiments. Finally, this last mechanism therefore appears as one of the many mechanisms controlling the glass dissolution rate in the residual regime.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Probing Galaxy Evolution in Massive Clusters Using ACT and DES: Splashback as a Cosmic Clock

In this work, we measure the projected number density profiles of galaxies and the splashback feature in clusters selected by the Sunyaev–Zel'dovich effect from the Advanced Atacama Cosmology Telescope (AdvACT) survey using galaxies observed by the Dark Energy Survey (DES). The splashback radius is consistent with CDM-only simulations and is located at 2.4$_{-0.4}^{+0.3}$ Mpch -1 . We split the galaxies on color and find significant differences in their profile shapes. Red and green-valley galaxies show a splashback-like minimum in their slope profile consistent with theory, while the bluest galaxies show a weak feature at a smaller radius. We develop a mapping of galaxies to subhalos in simulations and assign colors based on infall time onto their hosts. We find that the shift in location of the steepest slope and different profile shapes can be mapped to the average time of infall of galaxies of different colors. The steepest slope traces a discontinuity in the phase space of dark matter halos. By relating spatial profiles to infall time, we can use splashback as a clock to understand galaxy quenching. We find that red galaxies have on average been in clusters over 3.2 Gyr, green galaxies about 2.2 Gyr, while blue galaxies have been accreted most recently and have not reached apocenter. Using the full radial profiles, we fit a simple quenching model and find that the onset of galaxy quenching occurs after a delay of about a gigayear and that galaxies quench rapidly thereafter with an exponential timescale of 0.6 Gyr.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Interplay of molecular dynamics and radiative decay of a TADF emitter in a glass-forming liquid

Herein we investigate the role of molecular dynamics in the luminescent properties of a prototypical thermally activated delayed fluorescence (TADF) emitter, NAI-DMAC, in solution using a combination of temperature dependent time-resolved photoluminescence and absorption spectroscopies. We use a glass forming liquid, 2-methylfuran, to introduce an abrupt change in the temperature dependent diffusion dynamics of the solvent and examine the influence this has on the emission intensity of NAI-DMAC molecules. Comparison of experiment with first principles molecular dynamics simulations reveals that the emission intensity of NAI-DMAC molecules follows the temperature-dependent self-diffusion dynamics of the solvent. A marked reduction of emission intensity is observed as the temperature decreases toward the glass transition because the rate at which NAI-DMAC molecules can access emissive molecular conformations is greatly reduced. Below the glass transition, the diffusion dynamics of the solvent changes more slowly with temperature, which causes the emission intensity to decrease more slowly as well. The combination of experiment and computation suggests a pathway by which TADF emitters may transiently access a distribution of conformational states and avoid the need for an average conformation that strikes a balance between lower singlet–triplet energy splittings versus higher emission probabilities.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Tracing back the birth environments of Type Ia supernova progenitor stars: a pilot study based on 44 early-type host galaxies

The environmental dependence of Type Ia supernova (SN Ia) luminosities is well established, and efforts are being made to find its origin. Previous studies typically use the currently observed status of the host galaxy. However, given the delay time between the birth of the progenitor star and the SN Ia explosion, the currently observed status may differ from the birth environment of the SN Ia progenitor star. In this paper, employing the chemical evolution and accurately determined stellar population properties of 44 early-type host galaxies, we, for the first time, estimate the SN Ia progenitor star birth environment, specifically [Fe/H] Birth and [α/Fe] Birth . We show that [α/Fe] Birth has a $30.4^{\text{+10.6}}_{-10.1}{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ wider range than the currently observed [α/Fe] Current , while the range of [Fe/H] Birth is not statistically different ($17.9^{\text{+26.0}}_{-27.1}{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$) to that of [Fe/H] Current . The birth and current environments of [Fe/H] and [α/Fe] are sampled from different populations (p-values of the Kolmogorov–Smirnov test <0.01). We find that light-curve fit parameters are insensitive to [Fe/H] Birth (<0.9σ for the non-zero slope), while a linear trend is observed with Hubble residuals (HRs) at the 2.4σ significance level. With [α/Fe] Birth , no linear trends (<1.1σ) are observed. Interestingly, we find that [α/Fe] Birth clearly splits the SN Ia sample into two groups: SN Ia exploded in [α/Fe] Birth -rich or [α/Fe ]Birth -poor environments. SNe Ia exploded in different [α/Fe] Birth groups have different weighted-means of light-curve shape parameters: 0.81 ± 0.33 (2.5σ). They are thought to be drawn from different populations (p-value = 0.01). Regarding SN Ia colour and HRs, there is no difference (<1.0σ) in the weighted-means and distribution (p-value > 0.27) of each [α/Fe] Birth group.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Development of an Alternative Approach to Demonstrating Environmental Performance in the UK - 19354

European basic safety standards require that exposure of humans to the potentially harmful effects of ionising radiation are optimised so that they are as low as reasonably achievable, taking account of economic and societal factors. In the United Kingdom the responsibility for ensuring that exposures to humans are optimised is split between two regulatory functions. The Office of Nuclear Regulation regulates exposures to workers in all scenarios and to members of the public in the event of an accident. Environmental regulators in each of the four nations comprising the United Kingdom regulate exposures to members of the public from normal operations. Since the early 1990's, all permissions granted to nuclear sites in the UK for the discharge/disposal of radioactive waste to the environment have contained conditions requiring holders to demonstrate that they minimise the generation of radioactive waste, apply appropriate abatement and discharge/dispose of it in a way that minimises impacts on members of the public and the environment. For many years, the industry standard for providing this demonstration, which was heavily influenced by regulatory expectations and feedback, was to undertake one or a series of multi-attribute decision assessments (MADA). Wood's team of environmental specialists has been involved in undertaking such MADA studies for many years. Since the mid-2000's, our team has become increasingly aware of some of the limitations of undertaking MADA to demonstrate environmental performance for large scale new nuclear build projects and, in particular, the next generation of new nuclear power stations that are being planned and implemented in the UK. We have collaborated with the vendors of reactor technologies, the prospective/owner operators of new nuclear power stations and the developers of new facilities on existing sites to develop an alternative approach to demonstrating environmental performance. Our alternative approach comprises three main pillars which are summarised as: - Evolution - benefit from progressive improvements, operational experience and recent permitting activities. Our alternative approach uses the claim, argument, evidence approach which is commonly used for nuclear safety cases and which allows us to 'tell the story' of how environmental performance has been achieved. We have successfully deployed this approach for all new nuclear power stations proposed in the UK. - Integration - ensure that optimisation is integrated into the project programme and forms part of the 'big picture'. Our alternative approach allows environmental performance to be managed better throughout the life cycle of the project and ensures that our outputs are 'living' documents and do not 'sit on the shelf'. We have successfully demonstrated how this can be applied during rationalisation of major schemes and significant design changes on nuclear new build projects. - Opportunity - identify the best time to deliver elements of the programme. Our alternative approach aims to minimise the overall time, trouble and costs associated with demonstrating environmental performance by ensuring that decisions are made at the time when they offer greatest benefit and by minimising unnecessary rework. Our advice has helped to reduce the project costs and minimise delays associated with regulatory queries and interventions. This paper describes the journey that we have taken with our clients in developing our alternative approach to demonstrating environmental performance. We explain the UK regulatory context and explore the need for change. We present a number of case studies related to new nuclear power stations and other new facilities on existing nuclear sites that demonstrate the successful application of our alternative approach. We provide examples of how we have successfully implemented the outputs of our alternative approach into project and corporate management arrangements. Finally, we examine feedback from clients, regulators and other interested parties to propose future refinements. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗