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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 55 records · Page 3
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2023

Comparing Individualized Survival Predictions From Random Survival Forests and Multistate Models in the Presence of Missing Data: A Case Study of Patients With Oropharyngeal Cancer

Background: In recent years, interest in prognostic calculators for predicting patient health outcomes has grown with the popularity of personalized medicine. These calculators, which can inform treatment decisions, employ many different methods, each of which has advantages and disadvantages. Methods: We present a comparison of a multistate model (MSM) and a random survival forest (RSF) through a case study of prognostic predictions for patients with oropharyngeal squamous cell carcinoma. The MSM is highly structured and takes into account some aspects of the clinical context and knowledge about oropharyngeal cancer, while the RSF can be thought of as a black-box non-parametric approach. Key in this comparison are the high rate of missing values within these data and the different approaches used by the MSM and RSF to handle missingness. Results: We compare the accuracy (discrimination and calibration) of survival probabilities predicted by both approaches and use simulation studies to better understand how predictive accuracy is influenced by the approach to (1) handling missing data and (2) modeling structural/disease progression information present in the data. We conclude that both approaches have similar predictive accuracy, with a slight advantage going to the MSM. Conclusions: Although the MSM shows slightly better predictive ability than the RSF, consideration of other differences are key when selecting the best approach for addressing a specific research question. These key differences include the methods’ ability to incorporate domain knowledge, and their ability to handle missing data as well as their interpretability, and ease of implementation. Ultimately, selecting the statistical method that has the most potential to aid in clinical decisions requires thoughtful consideration of the specific goals.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2021

Direct Numerical Simulation of Flow Over a Wall-Mounted Cube with the Nek5000 Spectral Element Code: DNS at Re h = 3900

The direct numerical simulation (DNS) of the canonical wall-mounted unit cube subjected to two distinct incident velocity profiles is performed at a Reynolds number where the bulk flow characteristics are known to become relatively Reynolds number insensitive. The aim of this work is to highlight the sensitivity of such bluff-body flows to mean shear and to provide a representative set of data for such flow scenarios where common turbulence modeling techniques often fail. Simple boundary conditions and a small domain are selected to allow for cost-effective and easy comparisons for model development purposes. In addition to mean velocity profiles, select turbulence statistics are presented in detail. Further, the basic efficacy of eddy viscosity models is evaluated and found to be adequate only for the shear stress components for the bluff-body flows examined here. Other failure mechanisms for RANS are proposed.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

A computational study of turbulent separated flow over a wall-mounted cube at two different Reynolds numbers and incoming velocity profiles

Simulations of the canonical wall-mounted unit cube subjected to two distinct incident velocity profiles is performed at Reynolds numbers (Re) where the bulk flow characteristics are known to become relatively Re-insensitive using both direct numerical simulation (DNS) and wall-resolved large eddy simulation (WRLES). The aim of this work is to highlight the sensitivity of such bluff-body flows to mean shear and to provide a representative set of data for such flow scenarios where common turbulence modeling techniques often fail. Simple boundary conditions are selected to allow for easy comparisons for model development purposes and avoid confounding effects from freestream turbulence. In addition to mean velocity profiles, select turbulence statistics are presented in detail. We find that both mean velocity profiles and mean wake turbulence are Re-insensitive over the range examined here.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2017

Enhanced Hanford Low-Activity Waste Glass Property Data Development: Phase 1

This report summarizes and analyzes data collected on a first test matrix of 36 low-activity waste (LAW) glass compositions intended to expand the LAW glass composition region over which glass property models are valid. The 36 LAW glass compositions were selected using statistical layered experimental design to explore a new glass composition region that overlaps and expands beyond the previously explored LAW glass composition region. The layered design of 36 LAW glasses consisted of 18 outer-layer glasses, 13 inner-layer glasses, a center glass (two replicates), and a glass previously tested at another laboratory (three replicates). The outer-layer glass compositions include extrema of the glass compositions that extend across and slightly beyond the compositions that are expected to be targeted for production. The analyses performed on these glasses include chemical composition (for target compositional verification), density, viscosity, electrical conductivity, crystal fraction, Canister Centerline Cooling with crystal identification, Product Consistency Test response, sulfur solubility, iron redox, and Vapor Hydration Test response. This report documents and discusses the results obtained from this testing.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗
DOE OSTI2025

The DECam MAGIC Survey: Spectroscopic Follow-up of the Most Metal-poor Stars in the Distant Milky Way Halo *

In this work, we present high-resolution spectroscopic observations for six metal-poor stars with [Fe/H] < –3 (including one with [Fe/H] < –4), selected using narrowband Ca ii HK photometry from the DECam MAGIC Survey. The spectroscopic data confirm the accuracy of the photometric metallicities and allow for the determination of chemical abundances for 16 elements, from carbon to barium. The program stars have chemical abundances consistent with the [Fe/H] < –3 range. A kinematic/dynamical analysis suggests that all program stars belong to the distant Milky Way halo population (heliocentric distances 35 < d helio /kpc ≲ 55), including three with high-energy orbits that might have been associated with the Magellanic system and one, J0026−5445, having parameters consistent with being a member of the Sagittarius stream. The remaining two stars show kinematics consistent with the Gaia-Sausage/Enceladus dwarf galaxy merger. J0433−5548, with [Fe/H] = –4.12, is a carbon-enhanced ultra metal-poor star, with [C/Fe] = +1.73. This star is believed to be a bona fide second-generation star, and its chemical abundance pattern was compared with yields from metal-free supernova models. Results suggest that J0433−5548 could have been formed from a gas cloud enriched by a single supernova explosion from an ∼11 M ⊙ star in the early Universe. The successful identification of such objects demonstrates the reliability of photometric metallicity estimates, which can be used for target selection and statistical studies of faint targets in the Milky Way and its satellite population. These discoveries illustrate the power of measuring chemical abundances of metal-poor Milky Way halo stars to learn more about early galaxy formation and evolution.

CEMP stars↗
NASA NTRS1974

Application of a Kalman filter identification technique to flight data from the X-22A variable stability V/STOL aircraft

A digital identification technique based on Kalman filter theory was developed for the estimation of V/STOL aircraft stability and control parameters from flight data. The application of this technique to flight data from flying qualities experiments using the variable stability X-22A V/STOL aircraft is discussed. The estimation algorithm is briefly reviewed, experimental and data acquisition procedures used in the X-22A flight programs are outlined, and specific problem areas such as the determination of noise statistics and selection of pilot inputs to enhance identifiability are discussed. Results are presented for a wide range of simulated dynamic configurations.

Lebacqz, J. V.↗
NASA NTRS1976

Literature review of some selected types of results and statistical analyses of total-ozone data

The depletion of ozone in the stratosphere is examined, and causes for the depletion are cited. Ground station and satellite measurements of ozone, which are taken on a worldwide basis, are discussed. Instruments used in ozone measurement are discussed, such as the Dobson spectrophotometer, which is credited with providing the longest and most extensive series of observations for ground based observation of stratospheric ozone. Other ground based instruments used to measure ozone are also discussed. The statistical differences of ground based measurements of ozone from these different instruments are compared to each other, and to satellite measurements. Mathematical methods (i.e., trend analysis or linear regression analysis) of analyzing the variability of ozone concentration with respect to time and lattitude are described. Various time series models which can be employed in accounting for ozone concentration variability are examined.

Myers, R. H.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Optimal airframe synthesis for gust loads

An optimization capability for sizing airframe structures that are subjected to a combination of deterministic and random flight loads was established. The random vibration environment introduces the need for selecting a statistical process that best describes the random loads and permits computation of the dynamic response parameters of interest. Furthermore, it requires a formulation of design constraints that would minimize the conservativeness in the design and retain computational viability. The random loads are treated as a stationary, homogeneous process with a Gaussian probability distribution. The formulation of the analysis problem, the structure of the optimization programming system and a representative numerical example are discussed.

Hajela, P.↗
NASA NTRS1987

Spectral characteristics and the extent of paleosols of the Palouse formation

Three spectral models defining the spatial distribution of soil areas by levels of amorphous iron, organic carbon, and the ratio of amorphous iron to organic carbon were developed and field verification studies were conducted. The models used particular Thematic Mapper band ratios selected by statistical correlation with soil chemical data. The ability of the models to indicate erosion severity and to differentiate between iron enriched and carbonate paleosols is discussed. In addition, the effect of vegetation cover on paleosols is addressed.

Frazier, B. E.↗
NASA NTRS1992

LDA measurements in a Mach 2 flow over a rearward facing step with staged transverse injection

Measurements of the mean velocity field and selected turbulence statistics have been obtained via 2D LDA in a Mach 2 flow over a rearward facing step with downstream transverse injection. Axial mean velocity profiles, profiles of the axial and normal RMS levels, and the correlation coefficient between the axial and normal fluctuating components are presented for locations upstream of the step. These data, through comparison with other reported measurements in zero pressure gradient compressible boundary layers indicate that the boundary layers upstream of the step are consistent with 'quasi-equilibrium' turbulent boundary layers with the adiabatic wall boundary condition. Mean velocity field measurements on the symmetry plane of the tunnel are compared to laser induced iodine fluorescence measurements reported in the literature and obtained in the same facility. This comparison demonstrates the quality of the present LDA data set and shows that particle lag is not significant in the LDA measurements despite the complex nature of the downstream flow.

Wang, J.-A.↗
NASA NTRS1999

Spectral Modeling of the EGRET 3EG Gamma Ray Sources Near the Galactic Plane

The third EGRET catalog lists 84 sources within 10 deg of the Galactic Plane. Five of these are well-known spin-powered pulsars, 2 and possibly 3 others are blazars, and the remaining 74 are classified as unidentified, although 6 of these are likely to be artifacts of nearby strong sources. Several of the remaining 68 unidentified sources have been noted as having positional agreement with supernovae remnants and OB associations. Others may be radio-quiet pulsars like Geminga, and still others may belong to a totally new class of sources. The question of the energy spectral distributions of these sources is an important clue to their identification. In this paper, the spectra of the sources within 10 deg of Galactic Plane are fit with three different functional forms; a single power law, two power laws, and a power law with an exponential cutoff. Where possible, the best fit is selected with statistical tests. Twelve, and possibly an additional 5 sources, are found to have spectra that are fit by a breaking power law or by the power law with exponential cutoff function.

Bertsch, D. L.↗
NASA NTRS2000

Atlas of Seasonal Means Simulated by the NSIPP 1 Atmospheric GCM

This atlas documents the climate characteristics of version 1 of the NASA Seasonal-to-Interannual Prediction Project (NSIPP) Atmospheric General Circulation Model (AGCM). The AGCM includes an interactive land model (the Mosaic scheme), and is part of the NSIPP coupled atmosphere-land-ocean model. The results presented here are based on a 20-year (December 1979-November 1999) "ANIIP-style" integration of the AGCM in which the monthly-mean sea-surface temperature and sea ice are specified from observations. The climate characteristics of the AGCM are compared with the National Centers for Environmental Prediction (NCEP) and the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasting (ECMWF) reanalyses. Other verification data include Special Sensor Microwave/Imager (SSNM) total precipitable water, the Xie-Arkin estimates of precipitation, and Earth Radiation Budget Experiment (ERBE) measurements of short and long wave radiation. The atlas is organized by season. The basic quantities include seasonal mean global maps and zonal and vertical averages of circulation, variance/covariance statistics, and selected physics quantities.

Suarez, Max J.↗
NASA NTRS1986

The Medium Sensitivity Survey and the X-ray selected quasar sample

Statistical investigations of X-ray-emitting quasars are reviewed, focusing on the possible incompleteness of the Einstein IPC Medium Sensitivity Survey (MSS) (Maccacaro et al., 1982; Stocke et al., 1983; Gioia et al., 1984). The criteria used in constructing the MSS and calculating the source parameters are discussed, and the corrections determined for each line of sight by Maccacaro and Gioia (1986) on the basis of the H I measurements of Stark et al. (1986) are shown to have no effect on the completeness of the MSS extragalactic sample as a whole and of the quasar sample in particular. Other possible reasons for inconsistencies between the MSS sample and optically selected quasar samples are considered; ongoing efforts to expand the MSS sample are described; and some preliminary results are presented in graphs.

Gioia, Isabella M.↗
NASA NTRS1994

Long-term changes in the statistical distribution of Dobson total ozone in selected Northern Hemisphere geographical regions

The daily averages of total column amount of ozone taken in the period 1964-1988 at a network of 24 Dobson stations have been analyzed. Year-round data as well as summer data (May - Aug.) and winter data (Dec. - March) have been examined in the following regions: latitude bands (30 deg N - 39 deg N, 40 deg N - 52 deg N, 30 deg N - 60 deg N), North America, Europe, and Japan. To find year-to-year changes in the shape of the annual statistical distribution of total ozone (ASDTO) for these regions, we analyze trends in the following statistic characteristics of ASDTO: mean, standard deviation, median, and 10 and 90 percentiles. Time series of the statistical characteristics for the selected regions have been combined by averaging the individual stations values of these characteristics. The trends have been calculated by the multiple regression model adjusted for: the 11-year solar cycle, the Southern Oscillations effects, and for serial correlations. We have found that: a) in all regions (excluding Japan, North America), the shape of ASDTO has been drifting towards low ozone values. The drift seems to be not accompanied with a transformation in the shape of ASDTO. The drift speed (the rate of decrease in the annual means of total ozone) is of order 1-3 percent per decade (in the period 1970-1988). b) In Japan, the interannual changes in the shape of ASDTO have not been revealed. c) In North America, the drift of the year-round ASDTO (the year-round ASDTO comprises all the daily means of total ozone in a given year) has been accompanied with a transformation in the shape. The shape of the year round ASDTO becomes narrower. d) In all regions, except Japan and the band 30 deg - 39 deg N, the winter ASDTO (the winter ASDTO comprises the data taken in the period December in a given year through March next year) moves faster towards low ozone values than the summer ASDTO (the summer ASDTO comprises the data taken in the period May through August in a given year).

Krzyscin, Janusz W.↗
DOE OSTI2019

Recommended Nuclear Data for the Production of Selected Therapeutic Radionuclides

Increasing interest in the treatment of human disease by means of targeted radionuclide-based therapies requires an accurate understanding of achievable yields and quantification of realisable degrees of purity. Important studies within a more extensive Coordinated Research Project of the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA CRP) have included in-depth assessments and evaluations of all available measured cross-section data for ten nuclear reactions leading to the formation of 131 Cs, 131 Ba, 225 Ac, 225 Ra, 227 Th, 227 Ac, 230 U and 230 Pa for various on-going and proposed therapeutic applications in nuclear medicine. Equivalent studies were also undertaken of possible reactions to produce the 178W /low-spin 178m Ta generator system that has been clinically applied in diagnosis by means of SPECT - these particular cross-section studies and recommendations are included in this paper for completeness. All available measured data have been critically reviewed and assessed to produce statistically consistent datasets. Selected datasets have been fitted by a least-squares method with Padé approximations of variable order to evaluate the production cross sections and corresponding uncertainties. New measurements have been made in some instances, and reported data have been adjusted to accommodate new nuclear decay or monitor reaction data which altered the original reported quantities adversely. Insufficient measured data are available in many cases to permit a reliable evaluation of cross sections, and these instances are discussed. Finally, recommended therapeutic radionuclide production reaction data and their uncertainties are available on the Web page of the IAEA Nuclear Data Section at www-nds.iaea.org/radionuclides/ and also at the IAEA medical portal www-nds.iaea.org/medportal/.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗