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At least 55 records · Page 3

Internal Variability and Disequilibrium Confound Estimates of Climate Sensitivity from Observations

An emerging literature suggests that estimates of equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS) derived from recent observations and energy balance models are biased low because models project more positive climate feedback in the far future. Here we use simulations from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5) to show that across models, ECS inferred from the recent historical period (1979-2005) is indeed almost uniformly lower than that inferred from simulations subject to abrupt increases in CO2-radiative forcing. However, ECS inferred from simulations in which sea surface temperatures are prescribed according to observations is lower still. ECS inferred from simulations with prescribed sea surface temperatures is strongly linked to changes to tropical marine low clouds. However, feedbacks from these clouds are a weak constraint on long-term model ECS. One interpretation is that observations of recent climate changes constitute a poor direct proxy for long-term sensitivity.

Marvel, Kate↗

In Situ Measurements of Angular-Dependent Light Scattering by Aerosols over the Contiguous United States

This work provides a synopsis of aerosol phase function (F (sub 11)) and polarized phase function (F (sub 12)) measurements made by the Polarized Imaging Nephelometer (PINeph) during the Studies of Emissions, Atmospheric Composition, Clouds and Climate Coupling by Regional Surveys (SEAC4RS) and the Deep Convection Clouds and Chemistry (DC3) field campaigns. In order to more easily explore this extensive dataset, an aerosol classification scheme is developed that identifies the different aerosol types measured during the deployments. This scheme makes use of ancillary data that include trace gases, chemical composition, aerodynamic particle size and geographic location, all independent of PI-Neph measurements. The PI-Neph measurements are then grouped according to their ancillary data classifications and the resulting scattering patterns are examined in detail. These results represent the first published airborne measurements of F (sub 11) and minus F (sub 12) divided by F (sub 11) for many common aerosol types. We then explore whether PI-Neph light-scattering measurements alone are sufficient to reconstruct the results of this ancillary data classification algorithm. Principal component analysis (PCA) is used to reduce the dimensionality of the multi-angle PI-Neph scattering data and the individual measurements are examined as a function of ancillary data classification. Clear clustering is observed in the PCA score space, corresponding to the ancillary classification results, suggesting that, indeed, a strong link exists between the angular scattering measurements and the aerosol type or composition. Two techniques are used to quantify the degree of clustering and it is found that in most cases the results of the ancillary data classification can be predicted from PI-Neph measurements alone with better than 85 percent recall. This result both emphasizes the validity of the ancillary data classification as well as the PI-Neph's ability to distinguish common aerosol types without additional information.

Aerosol phase function↗

Evapotranspiration-Based Irrigation Scheduling in Cool-Season Vegetables

Crop evapotranspiration (ETc) is strongly linked with photosynthetically active vegetation fraction (Fc). Estimation of ETc may support efficiency gains in irrigation water management, which in turn can mitigate nitrate leaching, promote water supply sustainability, and reduce energy costs associated with water pumping or transport. The University of California Cooperative Extension operates the CropManage (CM) model as a freely-available web-application for growers and consultants to support irrigation and nitrogen scheduling decisions. CM accounts for the rapid growth and typically brief cycle of cool-season vegetables, where Fc and crop coefficient (fraction of reference ET) can change daily during canopy development. Daily weather conditions are inherently accounted for by use of grass reference ETo data imported from the California Dept. Water Resources. Crop water requirement calculations are output in terms of irrigation system runtime. Empirical equations are used to estimate daily Fc time-series for a given crop type, primarily as a function of planting date and expected harvest. An applications programming interface (API) enables CM to import satellite-based Fc observations from NASA's Satellite Irrigation Management Support, which uses Landsat imagery to monitor about eight million irrigation acres statewide. The API is intended to provide a check on internal CM predictions of Fc and to facilitate expansion of the web-app to new crops and regions. A replicated irrigation trial was performed on cauliflower during spring/summer 2018 at the USDA Agricultural Research Station in Salinas, CA. The crop was established by sprinkler irrigation, and CropManage was then used to guide a series of drip irrigation treatments at 50%, 75%, 100%, and 150% of ETc replacement levels. Results will be presented with respect to water use efficiency, nitrogen use efficiency, biomass yield, and marketable yield. Additional findings will be presented for a celery trial harvested during autumn 2018.

Johnson, Lee↗

Global Airborne Sampling Reveals a Previously Unobserved Dimethyl Sulfide Oxidation Mechanism in the Marine Atmosphere

Dimethyl sulfide (DMS), emitted from the oceans, is the most abundant biological source of sulfur to the marine atmosphere. Atmospheric DMS is oxidized to condensable products that form secondary aerosols that affect Earth’s radiative balance by scattering solar radiation and serving as cloud condensation nuclei. We report the atmospheric discovery of a previously unquantified DMS oxidation product, hydroperoxymethyl thioformate (HPMTF, HOOCH2SCHO), identified through global-scale airborne observations that demonstrate it to be a major reservoir of marine sulfur. Observationally constrained model results show that more than 30% of oceanic DMS emitted to the atmosphere forms HPMTF. Coincident particle measurements suggest a strong link between HPMTF concentration and new particle formation and growth. Analyses of these observations show that HPMTF chemistry must be included in atmospheric models to improve representation of key linkages between the biogeochemistry of the ocean, marine aerosol formation and growth, and their combined effects on climate.

DMS gas-phase oxidation product↗

Innovative Thermal Management & Control to Surmount Challenges of Exploring Ocean Worlds on Europa and Enceladus

Probes to penetrate the thick ice shells of our solar system’s Ocean Worlds have been studied for nearly 20 years, since scientific evidence strongly suggested a subsurface ocean on the Jupiter moon called Europa. There is keen scientific interest in exploring four significant themes on such proposed missions: 1) Geodynamics, 2) Geochemistry, 3) Habitability, and 4) Life Detection. The ice shells of Ocean Worlds are predicted to be up to 40 km thick; they exhibit extreme thermal environments, with ice temperatures from 100 K to 270 K, and extreme pressure environments from vacuum to 53 MPa. Jet Propulsion Laboratory has conducted a broad-look investigation of proposed mission concepts to Europa to identify the significant technology and operational challenges of Europa ice-penetration. The thermal-mechanical system (TMS) of an ice penetration probe (IPP) designed to access the ocean of an icy moon using radioisotope thermoelectric generators for heat and power faces technological hurdles exacerbated by severe thermal and volume constraints. This study identified thermal management and control (TMC) challenges that are strongly linked to: ice penetration start-up, mobility and navigation in the ice, communications while in the ice sheet, and detecting and avoiding in-ice hazards. The major objectives of the TMC system are: 1) Absorb internal thermal energy from the IPP radioisotope power source, 2) Maintain liquid water conditions around the IPP at all times, 3) Manage and control thermal flows from probe nose to tail, and 4) Provide pressure containment for all internal probe components. This work discusses the baseline TMC system architecture and design developed to accomplish these objectives, and survive and transit the extreme ice thicknesses in pursuit of Icy/Ocean Worlds science goals. The proposed TMC system consisting of an internal pumped two-phase fluid loop “thermal bus” for thermal energy capture, variable conductance heat pipe system for passively adaptive thermal energy transport around the probe, and water jetting system for ice cutting is described and discussed. Critical testing performed to date is described.

Lee, Kuan-Lin↗

Physics and Modeling of Quasi-Steady and Forced Shock Trains

The dual-mode scramjet is a propulsive concept for contemporary hypersonic vehicles promising flight cruise speeds upwards of Mach 5. Despite decades of development and a recent resurgence in interest, such engines are not routinely deployed for commercial or military purposes. Instead, they have been confined to the realm of ground-test research and limited one-off flight test missions. One of the key stumbling blocks on the critical path to deployment of a dual-mode scramjet is the optimal design and stable operation of the isolator, a typically constant area duct that separates the scramjet inlet from the combustor. During ramjet mode at Mach numbers from 3 to 5 and during the transition to scramjet mode at higher Mach numbers, the isolator contains the pseudo-shock. Necessary to meet the back-pressure in the combustor, the pseudo-shock is typically divided into a shock dominated shock train region followed by a turbulence driven mixing region. Fluctuations in combustor pressure due to vehicle maneuvering, throttling, or combustion instabilities drive the shock train to shift streamwise within the isolator. In response to sharp pressure fluctuations, the shock train is unable to stabilize within the isolator, and the scramjet unstarts by ejecting the shock train out the inlet. This work addresses three key gaps in understanding of the isolator pseudo-shock. The phenomenon is studied in three experimental facilities to investigate the quasi-steady and unsteady fluid dynamics of the shock train in fueled and un-fueled test conditions. The strong link between boundary layer morphology and shock train structure is studied in detail and used as a tool to evaluate the state-of-the-art definitions and models of the pseudo-shock. Identifying the limitations of these models, a new process driven flux-conserved pseudo-shock model is proposed. This provides a computationally efficient model grounded in the fluid dynamic mechanisms of the pseudo-shock with better predictive capability than the current state-of-the-art across all facilities tested. The unsteady behavior of the shock train is further investigated to identify and understand two distinct forced dynamic modes: mechanically induced, low-rate forcing and high-rate combustion driven unsteadiness that sheds upstream propagating shocks. The proposed process driven model is found to be effective in the the limiting case of high-rate combustion driven unsteadiness by evaluating the model in a shock stationary reference frame. Further analysis identifies the approximately rigid chain motion of the shock train structure to mechanically induced forcing. The time delay between the onset of forced dynamics is found to saturate to a constant value and maximum shock train speed along the isolator with respect to the perturbation rate of change. The result of this work provides dual-mode scramjet designers with improved tools and physical understanding to develop more efficient, robust, and capable propulsion systems for hypersonic vehicles.

JAXA↗

Marin County Wildfires Ii: Improving Fire Suppression Modeling to Inform Fire Prevention and Suppression Decisions in Marin County, Ca

A future of increased wildfires requires greater integration of spatial analysis and local knowledge of emergency responders. We examine the application of a Potential Operational Delineations (PODs) framework for strategic pre-fire planning in Marin County. PODs are spatial units for wildfire management that combine predictive modeling and local firefighter expertise to identify potential control locations as unit boundaries and assess the difficulty of suppression within units. Additionally, this project explores the integration of road networks and social vulnerability to assess environmental justice in evacuation safety. This project constitutes a novel application of the PODs framework as it integrates expertise from Marin County senior firefighters with a Fireline Location Model (FLM) to achieve POD definition and uses a Suppression Difficulty Score (SDS) to rank each POD. The FLM uses network analysis and hydrologic modeling to identify key roads and ridgelines as boundaries and combines them with expert knowledge, in the form of workshops, to construct PODs. Once identified, PODs are classified using SDS, which includes processed inputs such as LiDAR-derived aboveground biomass, ECOSTRESS Evaporative Stress Index, land use cover type from Sentinel-2 Imagery, and a digital elevation model. Environmental justice for evacuation safety incorporated three key road metrics such as connectivity, travel area, and exit capacity, the Social Vulnerability Index from the Center for Disease Control, and cell coverage to determine a final Evacuation Difficulty Score. Results indicate a strong link between road networks as primary POD boundaries, with ridgelines and waterways as secondary and tertiary locations. Specifically, we find 78.5% of expertise-identified POD boundaries align with FLM-determined boundaries. More validation is needed to support this process; however, initial results signal a feasible framework to integrate expertise and spatial analysis in local level strategic fire planning

Wildfire modeling↗

Decadal Changes in the Antarctic Sea Ice Response to the Changing ENSO in the Last Four Decades

Variation of the sea ice fraction (SIF) over the Ross/Amundsen/Bellingshausen Sea (RAB) is investigated focusing on the decadal difference in time-lagged response to ENSO between the late 20th century (1980-2000, L20) and the early 21st century (2001-2021, E21). Moving correlation of the ENSO index against the SIF and sea surface temperature (SST), respectively, over the RAB region indicates that they are more strongly linked in the L20 than in the E21, with a time lag of up to two seasons. Time-lagged regressions onto the mature phase of El Niño reveal that the SIF decrease and SST increase over the RAB is relatively weaker in the E21 and most pronounced at a shorter time-lag of 0-4 months. In contrast, the SIF melt in the L20 continues to grow and reaches its peak at approximately two season lag (5-7 month). Near-surface wind, upper-level circulation and geopotential height, and wave activity in response to the ENSO in the L20 explain that they create a zonally oriented system of high- and low-pressure areas with a two-season lag, enhancing the poleward meridional flow that plays a key role in sea ice melt in the Ross and Amundsen Sea during El Niño. However, in the E21, this pattern is no longer active at the same lag, and the circulation determines the region of maximum sea ice melt east of the pattern observed in the L20. This study suggests that stronger ENSO on average and higher frequency of eastern Pacific ENSO occurrence in the L20 are associated with this decadal change in the lagged response of the RAB SIF to ENSO.

Young-Kwon Lim↗

Are You In or Out: the Influence of Sea Ice Drift on Sea Ice Survivability

The state of Arctic sea ice influences aspects of many global systems including ecosystems, economies, geopolitics, and climate. And, it is in severe decline. Numerous studies have considered the factors that influence Arctic sea ice decline using monthly mean or gridded data. However, these methods struggle to cleanly separate the influences on sea ice melt because the sea ice cover is always moving; thus, different sea ice floes and sea ice regimes constitute the monthly average sea ice state within the Eulerian frame. This study uses a LaGrangian sea ice parcel tracking satellite database to investigate the factors that influence sea ice parcel survivability. The concept of sea ice survivability is defined as the likelihood that a sea ice parcel will last through the summer melt season. Survivability can be stratified in many ways to analyze how it changes as a function of sea ice regime, region, and sea ice characteristics. How is the survivability of first year (FY) and multi-year (MY) ice classes influenced by sea ice motion? This is the central question addressed in this presentation. Specifically, this analysis determines sea ice survivability as a function of distance traveled by sea ice parcels and compares the survivability statistics for sea ice parcels that stay in their starting region versus those that leave their starting region. The preliminary results indicate that the influence of sea ice movement on survivability depends strongly on which region the sea ice resides in at the beginning of the growth season. Lastly, we find substantial inter-annual variability in the regional distribution of sea ice survivability that seems to be strongly linked to sea ice parcel drift between regions of the Arctic Ocean. Moreover, we use these results to discuss the potential contribution of changes in sea ice motion on the observed slowdown in Arctic sea ice extent loss.

Patrick C Taylor↗

Impact Of Rotation on the Sun’s Subsurface Structure

It is well known that the dynamical evolution of subsurface flows of the Sun and magnetic fields is strongly linked to rotation. Observational investigation of sub surface structuring and dynamics can be performed only with relatively low resolution using helioseismic inversion techniques. To confidently model the coupling of turbulent convection, magnetic fields, and rotation in the solar interior, we perform advanced radiative hydrodynamic and MHD modeling of local scales. To explore the coupling effects in the upper layers of the convection zone, we present results of analysis from a series of hydrodynamic simulations performed for a 25-Mm-deep computational domain at different latitudes obtained for 1) the Carrington rotation rate at all latitudes and 2) the realistic rotation rate from the global helioseismic inversions during the solar minimum. Using additional 3D radiative hydrodynamic models, we reveal how physical properties of the solar convection are affected by rotation.

Heliophysics↗

Isocyanate Cross-Linked Silica: Structurally Strong Aerogels

Molecular-level synergism between the silica nanoparticles of pre-formed monoliths and molecular cross-linkers inverts the relative host-guest roles in glass-polymer composites, leading to new strong low-density materials. Attempts to load gels with variable amounts of polyurethane precursors such as di-ISO and diol end-capped polybutylene adipate followed by heat treatment, washing, and supercritical drying led to opaque materials, somewhat stronger than silica but still quite brittle and much inferior to the materials described above. Direct mixing of a diisocyanate and an alcohol-free sol has been attempted recently by Yim et al. Reportedly, that procedure leads to week-long gelation times and requires an at least equally long aging period. In our attempt to add various amounts of di-ISO in a base-catalyzed sol in PC, we also noticed a week-long gelation time. The resulting aerogels were translucent but no less brittle than native silica. According to more recent studies, if propylene carbonate is replaced with acetone, it leads not only to shorter processing times, but also to much stronger gels that can tolerate loads in excess of 40 kg in the arrangement presented. We attribute that behavior to the lower viscosity of acetone, that allows faster diffusion of the di-ISO solution within the pores before di-ISO has time to react with the surface of silica. Further studies are underway to vary the chemical identity of the diisocyanate, as well as the composition and density of silica.

Leventis, Nicholas↗

Mechanically Strong, Polymer Cross-linked Aerogels (X-Aerogels)

Aerogels comprise a class of low-density, high porous solid objects consisting of dimensionally quasi-stable self-supported three-dimensional assemblies of nanoparticles. Aerogels are pursued because of properties above and beyond those of the individual nanoparticles, including low thermal conductivity, low dielectric constant and high acoustic impedance. Possible applications include thermal and vibration insulation, dielectrics for fast electronics, and hosting of functional guests for a wide variety of optical, chemical and electronic applications. Aerogels, however, are extremely fragile materials, hence they have found only limited application in some very specialized environments, for example as Cerenkov radiation detectors in certain types of nuclear reactors, aboard spacecraft as collectors of hypervelocity particles (refer to NASA's Stardust program) and as thermal insulators on planetary vehicles on Mars (refer to Sojourner Rover in 1997 and Spirit and Opportunity in 2004). Along these lines, the X-Aerogel is a new NASA-developed strong lightweight material that has resolved the fragility problem of traditional (native) aerogels. X-Aerogels are made by applying a conformal polymer coating on the surfaces of the skeletal nanoparticles of native aerogels (see Scanning Electron Micrographs). Since the relative amounts of the polymeric crosslinker and the backbone are comparable, X-Aerogels can be viewed either as aerogels modified by the templated accumulation of polymer on the skeletal nanoparticles, or as nanoporous polymers made by remplated casting of polymer on a nanostructured framework. The most striking feature of X-Aerogels is that for a nominal 3-fold increase in density (still a ultralighweight material), the mechanical strength can be up to 300 times higher than the strength of the underlying native aerogel. Thus, X-Aerogels combine a multiple of the specific compressive strength of steel, with the the thermal conductivity of styrofoam. X-Aerogels have been demonstrated with several polymers such as polyurethanes/polyureas, epoxies and polyolefins, while crosslinking of approximately 35 different oxide aerogels yields a range of dimensionally stable, porous lightweight materials with unique combinations of structural, magnetic and optical properties. The main theme in materials development for space exploration is multifunction. For example, use of one material for thermal insulation/structural component will free weight for useful payload. In that regard, X-aerogels are evaluated at NASA for cryogenic fuel storage tanks and for spacesuits. Along the same lines, major impact fro X-Aerogels is also expected in commercial applications for thermal/acoustic insulation, in catalytic reformers and converters, in filtration membranes and membranes for fuel cells, as platforms for optical, electrical and magnetic sensors, and as lightweight structural component for aircraft and satellites.

Leventis, Nicholas↗

Chondrule rims and interchondrule matrix in UOC

Opaque rims around chondrules and clasts were distinguished from opaque, interchondrule matrix apparently unrelated spatially to chondrules and clasts. Microprobe and electron microscope techniques were used. The mean chemical composition for dark rim and matrix in Bishunpur and Tieschitz are similar to the opaque matrix of Huss, et al. However, the mean dark rim compositions in Bishunpur have significantly higher Fe, and lower Na, K, Al and Si than opaque interchondrule matrix. The opaque matrix of Huss, et al, essentially lies between these compositions. In Tieschitz only rim material was observed. In Tieschitz the rims are Si-poor and dominated by normative olivine (Fo50). Again there is an Na, K, Al component but is often nepheline normative rather than albitic. It too is probably present as glass, Ashworth (pers.comm.). In Bishunpur rims as well as the silicate-FeS, FeNi layering described by Allen, et al, discontinuous layering was observed within the silicate portion. This is apparently due to variations in the proportions of the components, particularly in the glassy phase. In Bishunpur there is a strong genetic link between matrix and rims, although rims seem to have formed under different, possibly more oxidizing, conditions. Also the presence of the same component in rims, matrix chondrules, and clasts suggests a common source.

Alexander, C.↗

Potential modulation on the SCATHA spacecraft

A small (1-V) modulation of the spacecraft potential is observed on the SCATHA satellite through its effects on the data from four instruments: two particle detectors and two field detectors. It is shown that there is a strong causal link between the modulation of the potential at this 1-V level and a nonuniform distribution of the photoemissive properties of the conducting material on the surface of the satellite.

Craven, P. D.↗

A counterrotating core in the merger remnant candidate NGC 3656 (ARP 155)

A study is presented of the internal velocity structure of NGC 3656, a galaxy with several morphological signatures of being in an advanced merger stage. Rotation curves obtained for two slit-position angles show that the inner 1 kpc rotates around an axis roughly perpendicular to the rotation axis in the main body of the galaxy. There are indications that the galaxy is not dynamically relaxed at intermediate radii. The presence of an orthorotating core in a dynamically young galaxy with a dust disk and a shell system provides strong evidence linking kinematically peculiar cores to mergers. However, relating the various merger signatures in this system is not straightforward, as the core and the dust disk rotate around axes perpendicular to each other, which may indicate an independent origin.

Balcells, Marc↗

RF Environment Data Analysis for UAS Operations

As the usage of radio frequency spectrum and uncrewed aircraft systems continue to grow, the radio frequency environment and its implications to flight safety should be understood. This is important to ensure control and command links as well as data collection links maintain strong communications during flight. NASA System-Wide Safety (SWS) is currently developing standards of flight safety but lacks methods for establishing confidence in the availability of radio frequency space to make a go/no-go decision for drone flights. This study examines information about the radio modules used by SWS and how they interact with the RF environment though analysis of historical spectrum data. This review studies the potential effectiveness of observing the power spread and occupancy methods as they apply to the flight system radios. It has been determined that viewing the frequency and time when the environment is greater than a threshold which indicates potential interference levels may give insight into the patterns of spectrum usage.

Radio Frequency↗

Quantifying Changes in the Arctic Shortwave Cloud Radiative Effects

The shortwave cloud radiative effect (SWCRE) is important on the Arctic surface radiation budget and the major source of inter-model spread in predictions of Arctic climate. To better understand the individual contributions of various radiative processes to changes in SWCRE, the paper presents the use of the extended APRP (Atmospheric Radiative Perturbation Potential) method. This involves adding the absorptivity for the upward beam and considering differences in reflectivity between upward and downward beams, as well as analyzing the cloud masking effect resulting from changes in surface albedo in more detail. Using data from the CMIP5 and CMIP6 climate models, the study decomposes the SWCRE over the Arctic surface and analyzes inter-model differences in quadrupled CO2 simulations. The study takes into account the fact that the response of SWCRE to Arctic warming is influenced by changes in surface albedo, cloud amount, and cloud microphysics. Results show that in the sunlight season, the reduction in surface albedo associated with sea ice loss is directly linked to strong negative SWCRE, which explains the considerable model discrepancy. Arctic clouds can hinder the positive surface albedo feedback by changing the albedo in two ways: (1) decreasing incoming shortwave radiation due to cloud reflection and (2) by decreasing the shortwave reaching the surface after being reflected by clouds. In addition, increased (decreased) cloud amount and cloud liquid water are shown to be less (more) incoming shortwave fluxes at the surface, but not dominating factors to the Arctic surface radiation budget and its inter-model variation. Overall, the extended APRP method offers a useful tool for analyzing the complex interactions between clouds and radiative process, reasonably decomposes the individual SWCRE responses at the Arctic surface, and emphasizes that considering not only the cloud amount or its properties, but also surface albedo change is critical for the prediction of SWCRE on the Arctic surface.

Arctic cloud↗

CLAS-ACT: Conformal, Lightweight Antennas for Aeronautical Communications Technology

The growing demand for Unmanned Aerial Vehicles (UAVs) and operating them beyond the line of sight (BLOS) has resulted in an increased interest in using existing satellite communication capabilities for command, control, and telemetry (CC&T). As the user base in this allocated portion of the spectrum expands, there is an increased potential for interference with existing terrestrial fixed-point communication systems. As secondary users, UAVs must seek out new solutions to avoid interfering with these existing ground sites while maintaining good links with satellite constellations. In this presentation, a novel lightweight conformal phased array antenna currently under development is presented that can use null steering and/or beam shaping to avoid ground interference while simultaneously providing strong satellite microwave links for communications. The reduced weight of this design and ability to integrate into the fuselage of smaller UAV platforms will also be discussed as a potential solution to provide BLOS operation via spectrum sharing for an expanding user base.

Meador, Mary Ann↗