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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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DOE OSTI2023

Perspectives on the status of fusion energy research and near term directions [Slides]

Over the past few years, nearly five billion dollars of private investments from private industry sparked excitement for accelerating the development of fusion energy technologies. Driving these investments are various technical advances in research such as those at facilities such as JET, EAST, NIF, etc. At the same time, the Office of the President, in the spring of 2022, announced a commitment to fusion energy development as part of its strategy to combat climate change. With the goal of a pilot power plant by the 2040s, the research strategy shifted to public private partnerships as a means for the government to support the lofty goal of shorten the deployment time of fusion energy technologies. The rapid change in strategy created a quickly changing research landscape with many potential opportunities. In this presentation, I will attempt to paint a picture of the current state of fusion energy, highlight major challenges, and provide insights into some near-term opportunities for LANL.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Corrosion Testing Trade Study on Testing Methods in Molten Salts

In assessing molten salt compatibility with structural materials, static testing is often reported because it is easy to conduct. However, in order to assess mass transfer, where material dissolves in the salt in the hot section and may precipitate out of the liquid in colder regions, a flowing salt experiment in a temperature gradient is needed. While a forced convection or pumped loop produces prototypic flowing conditions, it also is a multi-million dollar investment. Among the less expensive dynamic testing options, the thermal convection loop (TCL) was favored during the 1960’s development of molten salt reactor technology. Because the workforce and core facilities are currently available to conduct TCL experiments, it is the least expensive strategy to evaluate candidate structural alloys in flowing molten salt conditions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2023

Development and Bench-Scale Testing of a Novel Biphasic Solvent-Enabled Absorption Process for Post-Combustion Carbon Capture (Final Technical Report)

A new class of biphasic solvents was developed, and the concept of the enabled carbon dioxide (CO 2 ) absorption process was tested for post-combustion carbon capture in our previous lab-scale research. The primary goals of this project were to advance the development of the novel biphasic CO 2 absorption process (BiCAP) and validate its technical advantages by testing the integrated technology at a 40 kWe bench-scale with actual coal-derived flue gas in a power plant environment. The project was led by the University of Illinois at Urban-Champaign (UIUC), and Trimeric Corporation served as a sub-awardee providing support in basic design and techno-economic studies. To achieve the project goals and objectives, solvent management studies, process modeling and optimization, bench-scale equipment design, construction and testing, and technical, economic and environmental assessments have been conducted. The two top-performing biphasic solvents developed in our previous research were used in this project. Biphasic solvent emissions and control were investigated in the laboratory. The emissions of the biphasic solvents from the absorber were comparable to or lower than the reference 30 wt% monoethanolamine (MEA) solution, while they could be more effectively removed in the water wash column. Lab-scale testing of solvent degradation reclamation has revealed that vacuum distillation was feasible for biphasic solvent reclamation. Aspen Plus models were used to optimize the BiCAP, and a CO 2 stripping configuration introducing a secondary cold solvent feed to the stripper was identified to be the most energy efficient. A 40 kWe bench-scale, integrated BiCAP system was successfully designed, fabricated, and installed at the UIUC’s Abbott Power Plant. Parametric testing with synthetic flue gas has demonstrated that the two biphasic solvents required a more than 40% lower heat duty for CO 2 desorption as compared to the reference MEA tested on the same bench-scale skid. Slipstream testing with actual coal flue gas for a total of 31 days in two test campaigns has further demonstrated stable operation of the bench-scale skid. During the first campaign targeting 90% CO 2 removal, the heat duty averaged at 2,183 MJ/tonne of CO 2 captured and during the second campaign targeting 95% removal, the heat duty averaged at 2,450 MJ/tonne of CO 2 captured. A techno-economic analysis has revealed that for integration of the BiCAP into a 650-MWe pulverized coal-fired power plant, the parasitic power loss was reduced by ~20%, and the cost of CO 2 capture was reduced by ~21% ($36.3/tonne on a December 2018 dollar basis) compared to the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE)’s baseline Case B12B. As progression from this bench-scale development effort, a new project “Engineering-Scale Testing of the Biphasic Solvent Based CO 2 Absorption Capture Technology at a Covanta Waste-to-Energy Facility” was awarded by the DOE, launched in February 2023, to allow the team to further test the technology and demonstrate its technical and economic advantages at a pilot scale.

20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2022

Low-temperature electroplating of zirconium: Ionic mixture methods

Non-aqueous ionic mixture electroplating allows for room-temperature or near-room-temperature applications of thin metal films, typically metals for which aqueous solvents cannot be used. While there are many methods of plating zirconium, each has disadvantages that ionic liquid plating could correct. However, ionic liquid plating requires further research and development, as a new class of solvents were only developed a few years ago. Current ionic liquids cost several thousand dollars per liter, yet produce films with less than 90% surface coverage as well as deposition of salt species that enable interdiffusion through the Zr. Film coverage needs to be increased while maintaining approximate room temperatures and lower solvent costs. Current ionic liquid technology has suffered from poor surface wetting and limited Zr diffusivity leading to dendrite formation which inhibits total surface coverage. Zr electroplating can be improved by application of room-temperature ionic mixtures as the plating medium. We have successfully demonstrated the capability to plate high-quality metallic zirconium layers using deep eutectic solvents (DES) and DES-ionic liquid (IL) mixtures. Plating thicknesses of up to 6 microns have been achieved, and the coatings are conformal to the substrate and not dendritic, with low contamination from the plating solution. Our current method uses the DES ethaline (a 1:2 ratio of choline chloride and ethylene glycol) to complex zirconium (IV) ions (present via the addition of ZrF4). We pulse plate the Zr from a bath with an overabundance of LiF, in accordance with prior literature. We have also had success in mixing the DES with ILs, such as Triethylsulfonium bis(trifluoromethylsulfonyl)imide, 1-Butyl-3-methylpyridinium bis(trifluormethylsulfonyl)imide, Methyl-trioctylammonium bis(trifluoromethylsulfonyl)imide, and Diethylmethyl(2-methoxyethyl)ammonium bis(trifluoromethylsulfonyl)imide.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2022

Restoration Hydro: A Watershed Approach to Standard Modular New Hydropower

The objectives of FOA DE- FOA-0001836- “Standard Modular Hydropower” included designing a standardized, modular, and environmentally compatible hydropower schematic for implementation in greenfield sites that generate up to 10 MW of capacity. Utilizing funds competitively awarded under DOE’s Water Power Technologies Office, the Natel Energy team developed a concept for modular new stream reach (NSR) hydropower that incorporates multi species upstream and downstream fish passage, improved river channel connectivity, and recreational modules. The in-stream design of the collective modules minimized site specific design and maximized the opportunities for modularity. Financial data was also presented using actual costs from regional suppliers, with figures provided in 2022 dollars. While the project team did not address potential permitting process improvements, the site selection criteria did consider established barriers to hydropower development such as tribal and preserved lands, interconnection proximity, and endangered species to exclude or deprioritize. The project’s design schematic met the objectives of the FOA, and presented a unique solution that targets alluvial pockets as natural features for sustainable development. Natel’s concept also incorporated the company's fish-safe Restoration Hydro Turbine for safe downstream passage, while featuring a rock arch that integrates fish passage, water, recreation, and grade control modules (including sediment). Alignment with the Department of Energy Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy (EERE) “Innovative Design Concepts for Standard Modular Hydropower and Pumped-Storage Hydropower” Program: According to the Hydropower Vision (DOE, 2016), approximately 16 GW of hydropower growth is possible with the development of technology solutions that balance efficiency, economics, and environmental sustainability. The desired outcome of the SMH program is transformational innovation specifically in the site identification, conceptual, and detailed design phases of technology development lifecycles (DOE, 2018). In developing the SMH design schematic, the team aimed to address the opportunities outlined in the Vision through an inverted design philosophy; rather than singularly prioritizing efficiency and power production, the team focused on integrating hydropower with restoration of degraded streams to optimal ecosystem function and provision of exceptional recreation value as design criteria. To achieve this, Restoration Hydro incorporates the principles of nature-based engineering (WWAP, 2018) and biomimicry (Biomimicry NL.) to strategically deploy complementary combinations of permanent, semi-permanent, and ephemeral low-head structures - such as natural and engineered log jams - that harness geomorphological and hydrological processes at the landscape-scale. Primary applications of Restoration Hydro include: 1) restoration of degraded watersheds’ natural ecological function and enhancement of hydrological connectivity; and 2) creation of associated co-benefits to hydro production, including increased groundwater recharge, improved sediment transport and management, improved water security and water quality. Restoration Hydro projects build upon proven watershed restoration engineering techniques by integrating hydropower turbines into low-head structures using innovative and evolving civil works concepts that facilitate fish and sediment passage, and in some cases create additional revenue-generating recreational opportunities. Powering low-head structures creates a directly monetizable layer of economic value in the form of flexible, reliable, renewable energy on top of the already high-value water, environmental and recreational benefits of watershed and river restoration. The approach aims to create a virtuous, self-reinforcing cycle whereby Restoration Hydro projects support the scaling of ecosystem restoration activities, creating a water-energy-carbon multiplier effect that, through the principles of adaptive change management: 1) improves the resilience of landscapes and downstream population centers for changing hydrological cycles; 2) creates a reliable energy resource that facilitates the integration of intermittent renewable power sources into grids; and 3) supports climate change mitigation through grid decarbonization and enhanced ecosystem carbon capture and retention.

13 HYDRO ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

FY22 Economic Impact Summary

In 2022, Idaho National Laboratory was one of the state’s top employers (sixth overall). INL directly employed a total of 5,460 positions, a 4% growth from the previous year. The large growth of Idaho’s economy between 2021 and 2022 means INL’s economic impact on the state has also deepened. Dollars that INL has brought into the state tend to stay and circulate longer, facilitating increased impacts and growth rates for the state. INL, along with the other 16 national labs housed under the Department of Energy (DOE), perform research focused on: nuclear energy, integrated energy systems (such Summary Results as microgrid, battery and environmental research), and national security. This study evaluates the economic activity of INL within the economy of Idaho. This study estimates the total economic impact generated by INL apart from any other DOE or Department of Defense operations within the state. Total operational impacts of INL in 2022 amounted to $\$ $3.38 billion in output, $\$ $2.42 billion in gross state product (GSP), and 16,445 jobs throughout Idaho.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Vibration Analysis - Presented to the MMWG Predictive Maintenance User’s Group [Slides]

Vibration Analysis monitors the condition of rotating equipment by focusing on the mechanical vibration the equipment transmits. For very little investment (a few thousands) you can protect millions of dollars of assets. Vibration Analysis is used to monitor fans, pumps, motors, compressors, chillers, and fixed structures. It is used to detect bearing problems, belt problems, bent shaft, misalignment, oil whirl, resonance, cavitation, recirculation, gear problems, mechanical looseness, sheave problems, unbalance, and some electrical problems including broken rotor bars and loose stators.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Comparison of the Neutronic Performance of IRP-1 and IRP-2 at SNS

The Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) operated from start-up, in May 2006, through December, 2017 before replacing the Inner Reflector Plug (IRP). This component is the most costly and time-consuming “regular maintenance” replacement foreseen in the operation of the First Target Station (FTS). The IRP includes beryllium reflector blocks, steel and aluminum support structures, aluminum moderator vessels (which in turn include gadolinium and cadmium neutron poisons) and water coolant systems. The lifetime of this multi-million dollar component is driven by poison and decoupler burnup in moderator vessels. The moderators include these neutron poisons to best match neutron beam performance with scattering instrument needs. The burnup that comes with use changes the performance of the moderators until they no longer server their intended purpose. The reasonable desire to maximize the IRP lifetime means that the moderator performance at the Beginning Of Life (BOL) is significantly “over poisoned” and different from the performance at moderator End Of Life (EOL). Upon installation of the second IRP article, IRP-2, the SNS Neutronics team characterized the performance of the neutron beamlines in order to assess the differences between them, primarily by comparing the EOL performance of IRP-1 to the BOL performance of IRP-2. While IRP-2 was largely similar to IRP-1 in its conceptual design, there were some differences in the specific design of IRP-2 to support enhanced manufacturability, and the change from IPR-1 to IRP-2 coincided with the replacement of the light water in the IRP cooling loop with heavy water, as had been intended in the SNS design but not implemented during construction because of heavy water availability.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Measuring and Valuing Resilience: A Literature Review for the Power Sector

The New York State Energy Research and Development Authority (NYSERDA) partnered with NREL to address some of the key research needs for New York State in advancing power sector resilience. NYSERDA requested a literature review specifically focused on measuring and valuing energy resilience to identify existing work and gaps in research to inform NYSERDA's energy resilience efforts. While the costs of resilience investments are relatively well known, it is also important to adequately convey the benefits of these investments. This often means assigning metrics and estimating the dollar value of potential advantages of resilience enhancements.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2023

U.S. Solar Photovoltaic System and Energy Storage Cost Benchmarks, With Minimum Sustainable Price Analysis: Q1 2023

The U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) Solar Energy Technologies Office (SETO) aims to accelerate the advancement and deployment of solar technology in support of an equitable transition to a decarbonized economy no later than 2050, starting with a decarbonized power sector by 2035. Its approach to achieving this goal includes driving innovations in technology, hardware, and soft cost reductions to make solar affordable and accessible for all. As part of this effort, SETO must track solar cost trends so it can focus its research and development (R&D) on the highest-impact activities. The benchmarks in this report are bottom-up cost estimates of all major inputs to PV and energy storage system installations. Bottom-up costs are based on national averages and do not necessarily represent typical costs in all local markets. Like last year's report, this year's report includes two distinct sets of benchmarks: minimum sustainable price (MSP) benchmarks and modeled market price (MMP) benchmarks. MSP benchmarks can be interpreted as the minimum price a company needs to charge to remain financially solvent in the long term based on the minimum sustainable prices of all inputs including minimum sustainable profit margins. MMP benchmarks can be interpreted as the actual cash sales price a company charges in the given benchmark period. These simplified estimates are useful for tracking technological progress, but they do not reflect all experiences. In fact, no individual estimate under any approach can reflect the diversity of the PV and storage manufacturing and installation industries. Our residential MMP benchmark ($2.90 per watt direct current [Wdc]) is 24% higher than the MSP benchmark ($2.34/Wdc) and 9% lower than our MMP benchmark ($3.18/Wdc) from Q1 2022 in 2022 U.S. dollars (USD). For community solar, our MMP benchmark ($1.75/Wdc) is 18% higher than our MSP benchmark ($1.49/Wdc). Our Q1 2022 benchmark report has no community solar system for comparison. For utility-scale systems with one-axis tracking, our MMP benchmark ($1.17/Wdc) is 22% higher than our MSP benchmark ($0.96/Wdc) and 10% higher than its counterpart ($1.07/Wdc) in Q1 2022 in 2022 USD.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Residential Solar-Adopter Income and Demographic Trends: 2023 Update [Slides]

The report describes income, demographic, and other socio-economic trends among U.S. residential rooftop solar adopters. The report is based on address-level data for roughly 3.4 million residential rooftop solar systems installed through 2022, representing 86% of all U.S. systems. With its unique size, geographic scope, and level of detail, this report is intended to serve as a foundational reference document for policy-makers, industry stakeholders, and researchers. Key findings include the following: (1) Median solar adopter income was about $\$117$k/year in 2022, compared to a U.S. median of about $\$69$k/year for all households and $\$86$k/year for all owner-occupied households; (2) The degree of income skew varies significantly across all states, but all exhibit some positive income skew relative to all households in the state, with median solar-adopter incomes ranging from 108-180% of the respective state-median income for all households; (3) Roughly 45% of solar adopters in 2022 had incomes below 120% of their area median income (AMI), a threshold sometimes used to define “low-and-moderate income” (or LMI), while 23% were below 80% of AMI, often used to define “low-income”; (4) Solar adoption continues to shift toward less affluent households, with the median current income of solar adopters dropping from $\$140$k for households that installed systems in 2010 to $\$117$k in 2022; (5) PV systems installed in 2022 by households earning less than $50k had a median size of 6.1 kW, 34% were third-party owned, and 5% included battery storage, compared to corresponding values of 7.6%, 17%, and 15% for households earning more than 200 dollars k; and (6) Compared to all households in their respective state, solar adopters tend to be negligibly more rural; have higher home values; and are more likely to be college educated, identify as non-Hispanic white, live outside a disadvantaged community (DAC), be middle-aged, work in a business or financial occupation, and own a single-family home In conjunction with the report, Berkeley Lab has published an updated accompanying set of online data visualizations that allow users to further explore the underlying data. Berkeley Lab is also offering related analytical support to states, local agencies, and other organizations on issues related to solar adoption among low-to-moderate income households.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2023

Surface Roughness Effects from Additive Manufacturing in High Efficiency Gas Turbine Combustion Systems

In the past, clean combustion systems were characterized by high system development costs due to growing complexity and escalating manufacturing costs from conventional manufacturing processes. As a result, high efficiency concepts are difficult to design and more difficult to be cost-effectively manufactured. In recent years, with the introduction of additive manufacturing (AM) technologies, the rapid prototyping and mass production processes of clean combustion systems are promising to be significantly simplified with significant reduction in terms of engine manufacturing cost and engine energy cost. Compared with conventional manufacturing built parts, the AM process enabled a simpler design to be adopted for the nozzle, reducing the number of required braze and weld joints from twenty-five to just five. The resulting nozzle was 25% lighter and five times more durable and contributed to a 15% reduction in fuel burn in comparison with the previous model produced. Applying these improvements to a fleet of 5,000 turbofan engines at 150 kN thrust would result in fuel cost savings of $ \$ $6B annually (at $ \$ $5/gallon Jet-A fuel price, 700 gallon/hour fuel consumption rate, and 2,300 operational hours per year), and reduce CO2 emissions by more than 25 million tons per year. These advances support core Department of Energy (DOE) missions in energy efficiency, improving productivity, and environmental sustainability. Maximizing the benefit of these new capabilities will require high prediction capability of high speed turbulent flow with wall modeled Large Eddy Simulation (LES). GE Aviation maintains that advanced simulation technology and supercomputing is required in order to provide the appropriate boundary conditions to realize the maximum potential of AM and Ceramic Matrix Composite to reduce cooling flow, a first order penalty on the Brayton cycle. The algorithm developed using the ANSYS/Fluent software would provide the foundation for entirely new avenues of research and development with potential multi-billion dollar impact to the US economy, and significant reduction in carbon based emissions across the aerospace and power generation industries. The formulation of this iWLES (integral wall model for LES) is generic and allows to capture the changes in flow dynamics that have a significant impact on the wall bounded flow characteristics, such as swirler effective area, bulk swirl number, local pressure distribution, exit velocity profile, and turbulence kinetic energy profile. A periodic channel flow with rough flat plate is simulated using LES (Wall-Adapting Local Eddy-viscosity) model to verify the implementation of iWLES in the Fluent User Defined Function (UDF). As the flow fields are highly sensitive due to surface roughness of the wall bounded flows in the combustion systems, there is significant potential to conduct further LES studies focusing on the turbulence boundary layer interaction. Accurately capturing near wall physics will elucidate the impact of rough surfaces on combustor flow and aero-thermal interactions.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2023

Surface Roughness Effects from Additive Manufacturing in High Efficiency Gas Turbine Combustion Systems

In the past, clean combustion systems were characterized by high system development costs due to growing complexity and escalating manufacturing costs from conventional manufacturing processes. As a result, high efficiency concepts are difficult to design and more difficult to be cost-effectively manufactured. In recent years, with the introduction of additive manufacturing (AM) technologies, the rapid prototyping and mass production processes of clean combustion systems are promising to be significantly simplified with significant reduction in terms of engine manufacturing cost and engine energy cost. Compared with conventional manufacturing built parts, the AM process enabled a simpler design to be adopted for the nozzle, reducing the number of required braze and weld joints from twenty-five to just five. The resulting nozzle was 25% lighter and five times more durable and contributed to a 15% reduction in fuel burn in comparison with the previous model produced. Applying these improvements to a fleet of 5,000 turbofan engines at 150 kN thrust would result in fuel cost savings of $6B annually (at $5/gallon Jet-A fuel price, 700 gallon/hour fuel consumption rate, and 2,300 operational hours per year),and reduce CO2 emissions by more than 25 million tons per year. These advances support core Department of Energy (DOE)missions in energy efficiency, improving productivity, and environmental sustainability. Maximizing the benefit of these new capabilities will require high prediction capability of high speed turbulent flow with wall modeled Large Eddy Simulation (LES). GE Aviation maintains that advanced simulation technology and supercomputing is required in order to provide the appropriate boundary conditions to realize the maximum potential of AM and Ceramic Matrix Composite to reduce cooling flow, a first order penalty on the Brayton cycle. The algorithm developed using the ANSYS/Fluent software would provide the foundation for entirely new avenues of research and development with potential multi-billion dollar impact to the US economy, and significant reduction in carbon based emissions across the aerospace and power generation industries. The formulation of this iWLES (integral wall model for LES) is generic and allows to capture the changes in flow dynamics that have a significant impact on the wall bounded flow characteristics, such as swirler effective area, bulk swirl number, local pressure distribution, exit velocity profile, and turbulence kinetic energy profile. A periodic channel flow with rough flat plate is simulated using LES (Wall-Adapting Local Eddy-viscosity) model to verify the implementation of iWLES in the Fluent User Defined Function (UDF). As the flow fields are highly sensitive due to surface roughness of the wall bounded flows in the combustion systems, there is significant potential to conduct further LES studies focusing on the turbulence boundary layer interaction. Accurately capturing near wall physics will elucidate the impact of rough surfaces on combustor flow and aero-thermal interactions.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2023

Rotation Fixture Tooling

Lawrence Livermore National Lab has a need to rotate a device 180 degrees partway through device assembly to install components located on the opposite side of the assembly. This rotation operation must be done in a controlled matter to ensure safe handling of the device, which contains delicate instrumentation and hazardous materials. These devices can take several years and millions of dollars to design, manufacture, and build. The device may weigh up to 200 lbs, which exceeds the laboratory limit of 50 lbs for a one man manual lift or 100 lbs for a two man manual lift. In the past, an overhead crane and come-alongs were used to rotate the device, which was a complex operation that presented more opportunities for mistakes than the desired solution. Complexities of the prior solution include the required proper come-along set-up by skilled workers, several come-along configurations during the rotation of the device, and limited control during the rotation operation. A simpler engineered solution is desired.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2024

A Collaborative Industrial Assessment Center (IAC) for Expanded Outreach within the Southeast

This GA-FL IAC had impacts on workforce development and economic impact for regional small- and medium-sized enterprises. Qualified faculty and campus staff educated and trained cohorts of students regarding state-of-the-art industrial assessments. Students gained hands-on experiences in learning about manufacturing processes, energy systems, developing assessment recommendations/calculations, and client interaction. These skills were complemented by the incorporation of IAC themes into some course curricula. As far as economic impact, the center conducted 66 assessments over 5 years primarily in Georgia and Florida. These represented hundreds of thousands of dollars in potential annual resource savings to the clients and region.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗
DOE OSTI2024

Machine Learning and Data Science to Advance Laboratory Earthquake Prediction and Illuminate the Mechanics of Precursors to Failure

Earthquakes represent one of our greatest natural hazards and in recent years human induced seismicity is adding to the threat. Even a modest improvement in the ability to forecast devastating large earthquakes or smaller shallow events associated with fluid injection could save thousands of lives and billions of dollars. Current efforts to forecast earthquakes are limited by knowledge of earthquake physics and hampered by a lack of reliable lab or field observations. However, recent work has provided a critical opportunity for advancement. We have found: 1) clear and consistent precursors prior to earthquake-like failure in the laboratory and 2) that lab earthquakes can be predicted using machine learning (ML). These works show that stick-slip failure events –the lab equivalent of earthquakes– are preceded by a cascade of micro-failure events that radiate elastic energy in a manner that foretells catastrophic failure. Remarkably, ML predicts the fault zone stress state, the failure time and in some cases the magnitude of lab earthquakes. In addition, the observations include clear precursors to failure in the form of changes in fault zone properties prior to lab earthquakes. Precursors have been observed in previous laboratory studies but their origin is poorly understood and their possible connection to ML based earthquake prediction is unknown. The work conducted under our project has dramatically expanded these efforts. We have developed an integrated data science approach to illuminate the physics of earthquake precursors and lab earthquake prediction. Our work has accelerated the development of ML, artificial intelligence (AI), and related data science approaches by providing massive data sets that are tightly connected to critical scientific problems and by bringing together leading subject matter experts and data scientists. Earthquake physics involves phenomena that are far from equilibrium. Our work has leveraged data science methods to illuminate these phenomena and investigate how they relate to earthquake prediction. In addition to a large database with many types of labeled events that is available to everyone, our work has advanced the fundamental understanding of seismic forecasting, earthquake physics, and fault rheology

58 GEOSCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

LaserNetUS

For this grant the University of Michigan participated in a consortium funded by the DoE Office of Fusion Energy Sciences to establish a national network of Petawatt-class laser systems to act as domestic user facilities that can enable a broad range of frontier scientific research. This consortium is called LaserNetUS and was directly responsive to recommendations made in a recent National Academy of Sciences Report with regard to US strategy for high intensity laser research, “Opportunities in Intense Ultrafast Lasers: Reaching for the Brightest Light”. As detailed in this report, the research in this area has the potential to transform science in a number of research fields and to open up new areas of fundamental research. High field science was initiated in the US in the 1990’s, and subsequently Europe and Asia have embraced this research field, investing more than a billion dollars in this area over the past several years.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗
DOE OSTI2024

Hidden in Plain Sight: How Interior Furnishings Management Can Help Los Alamos National Laboratory Meet the United States Department of Energy's Sustainability Goals [Capstone Project]

In the last three years, LANL has purchased over $50 million in new interior products with a focus on sustainable building and high-quality interior furnishings, carpet, and paint. Purchasing interior products that focus on sustainable manufacturing, however, is only the beginning of properly operating and maintaining an interior space over its useable life. Sustainable commercial furniture, if well maintained and warrantied, can last well beyond the accounting depreciation of the asset, ultimately saving taxpayer dollars. Given DOE’s recently announced built environment sustainability goals, now is the time to look at interior products as an important part of the overall sustainability plan for LANL’s green building initiatives. The scope of this thesis provides an environmentally sustainable O&M process for the procurement, use, and proper decommissioning of interior products. The thesis also provides environmental and financial data to assist with LANL’s overall DOE Matrix milestones, currently due in 2030.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗