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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 541 records · Page 30

A Multi-Stage Stochastic Risk Assessment With Markovian Representation of Renewable Power

Probabilistic forecasts provide a distribution of possible outputs and so can capture the uncertainty and variability of Variable Renewable Energy (VRE). However, taking advantage of uncertainty information has practical challenges that make it difficult to integrate probabilistic forecasting into control room decision-making. This paper proposes a novel use-case for probabilistic forecasts by incorporating them into the hour-ahead operations for situational awareness via a risk-averse multi-stage stochastic program. We employ a Markovian representation of the probabilistic forecasts that enables the formulation of the multi-stage problem and avoids a scenario generation phase. We test the model on a realistically sized system to assess risk and showcase the capability of using probabilistic renewable forecast as input to produce probabilistic output forecasts of future system states. The results show that the model can capture time consistency in the reserves and Area Control Error (ACE) forecast. The solution times are adequate for risk profiling in hour-ahead timescales.

forecasting↗

Policy and Regulatory Environment for Utility-Scale Energy Storage: Bangladesh

Bangladesh has experienced significant economic growth and poverty reduction over the past several decades. Recognizing the central role electricity plays in economic development, the Government of Bangladesh (GOB) has established policies to accelerate the growth of the electric power sector. The Bangladesh power grid is transforming into one marked by declining reliance on domestic natural gas reserves and oil-based rental power plants, increasing renewable energy contribution, and shifting demand patterns. The GOB is now reconsidering its prior plans to increase the share of coal capacity in the generation mix to meet demand, shifting its focus instead to electricity imports from neighboring countries, nuclear generation, liquified natural gas imports, and domestic renewable resources such as wind and solar. However, investments in the transmission and distribution system, as well as ancillary services, have not kept pace with investments in generation resources over the past decade. Thus, Bangladesh electricity consumers still experience outages and poor power quality despite adequate installed capacity. On the demand side, population growth and industrialization have fueled steady growth in electricity consumption as efforts to expand access to electricity enabled near-universal electricity access by mid-2020. The combined changes in the mix of generation resources and patterns of electricity demand present new challenges and opportunities in operating and maintaining a reliable power system. Energy storage has the potential to help meet these challenges and accelerate Bangladesh’s energy transition. Declining costs for some energy storage technologies make them increasingly cost-effective solutions to provide a wide range of grid services. Previous analyses of energy storage in the region have identified several potential applications for storage at the bulk system level, including energy arbitrage, ancillary services, and transmission network support. The potential for storage to meet these needs depends on many factors, including physical characteristics of the power system and the policy and regulatory environments in which these energy storage assets would operate. This report applies an Energy Storage Readiness Assessment the National Renewable Energy Laboratory developed for policy makers and regulators to identify priority areas of focus as they continue to develop the appropriate suite of policies, programs, and regulations to enable storage deployment. This assessment uses a simple evaluation scheme to identify the barriers and opportunities for utility-scale energy storage within Bangladesh’s policy and regulatory environment.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Distributionally Robust Bilevel Optimization Model for Distribution Network With Demand Response Under Uncertain Renewables Using Wasserstein Metrics

Here, we consider a distribution network integrating demand response (DR) participants in the presence of uncertain renewable suppliers and outdoor temperatures. A bilevel optimization model is proposed to capture the intricate dynamics between price-incentivized DR participants and distribution system operations, including energy procurement and active/reactive power flows. The model is formulated as a distributional robust bilevel optimization using Wasserstein metrics. We show favorable data-driven properties including out-of-sample guarantee and asymptotic consistency. Furthermore, we present a tractable mixed-integer linear programming reformulation and characterize the worst-case distribution. Computational experiments are conducted on a modified 33-bus system. Our findings underscore the efficacy of the pricing strategies derived from the proposed bilevel optimization model. These strategies not only effectively manage DR participants' behavior but also bring equity considerations among households with various characteristics to light. The results contribute to a deeper understanding of the interplay between distribution system operators and DR participants.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

The development of rainfall retrievals from radar at Darwin

Abstract. The U.S. Department of Energy Atmospheric Radiation Measurement program Tropical Western Pacific site hosted a C-band polarization (CPOL) radar in Darwin, Australia. It provides 2 decades of tropical rainfall characteristics useful for validating global circulation models. Rainfall retrievals from radar assume characteristics about the droplet size distribution (DSD) that vary significantly. To minimize the uncertainty associated with DSD variability, new radar rainfall techniques use dual polarization and specific attenuation estimates. This study challenges the applicability of several specific attenuation and dual-polarization-based rainfall estimators in tropical settings using a 4-year archive of Darwin disdrometer datasets in conjunction with CPOL observations. This assessment is based on three metrics: statistical uncertainty estimates, principal component analysis (PCA), and comparisons of various retrievals from CPOL data. The PCA shows that the variability in R can be consistently attributed to reflectivity, but dependence on dual-polarization quantities was wavelength dependent for 1 10mmh-1. Rainfall estimates during these conditions primarily originate from deep convective clouds with median drop diameters greater than 1.5 mm. An uncertainty analysis and intercomparison with CPOL show that a Colorado State University blended technique for tropical oceans, with modified estimators developed from video disdrometer observations, is most appropriate for use in all cases, such as when 1 10mmh-1 (deeper convective rain).

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Microwave power transmission system studies. Volume 4: Sections 9 through 14 with appendices

The microwave rectifier technology, approaches to the receiving antenna, topology of rectenna circuits, assembly and construction, ROM cost estimates are discussed. Analyses and cost estimates for the equipment required to transmit the ground power to an external user. Noise and harmonic considerations are presented for both the amplitron and klystron and interference limits are identified and evaluated. The risk assessment discussion is discussed wherein technology risks are rated and ranked with regard to their importance in impacting the microwave power transmission system. The system analyses and evaluation are included of parametric studies of system relationships pertaining to geometry, materials, specific cost, specific weight, efficiency, converter packing, frequency selection, power distribution, power density, power output magnitude, power source, transportation and assembly. Capital costs per kW and energy costs as a function of rate of return, power source and transportation costs as well as build cycle time are presented. The critical technology and ground test program are discussed along with ROM costs and schedule. The orbital test program with associated critical technology and ground based program based on full implementation of the defined objectives is discussed.

Maynard, O. E.↗

NASCAP charging calculations for a synchronous orbit satellite

The use of the NASA Charging Analyzer Program (NASCAP) for the computation of spacecraft charge up in the energetic plasma environment of geosynchronous orbits is described. Spacecraft modelling, materials parameters, and NASCAP charging analyses are described. The synchronous orbit plasma environment used in the stress analysis employs a two Maxwellian energy distribution to determine the fluxes. Several NASCAP runs performed to determine the location and magnitude of environmentally induced voltage stresses are analyzed.

Sanders, N. L.↗

A search for energetic ion directivity in large solar flares

One of the key observational questions for solar flare physics is: What is the number, the energy spectrum, and the angular distribution of flare accelerated ions? The standard method for deriving ion spectral shape employs the ratio of influences observed on the 4-7 MeV band to the narrow neutron capture line at 2.223 MeV. The 4-7 MeV band is dominated by the principal nuclear de-excitation lines from C-12 and O-16 which are generated in the low chromosphere by the direct excitation or spallation of nuclei by energetic ions. In contrast, the narrow 2.223 MeV line is produced by the capture of thermal neutrons on protons in the photosphere. These capture neutrons are generated by energetic ion interactions and thermalized by scattering in the solar atmosphere. In a series of papers, Ramaty, Lingenfelter, and their collaborators have calculated the expected ratio of fluence in the 4-7 MeV band to the 2.223 MeV line for a wide range of energetic ion spectral shapes (see, e.g. Hua and Lingenfelter 1987). Another technique for deriving ion spectral shapes and angular distributions uses the relative strength of the Compton tail associated with the 2.223 MeV neutron capture line (Vestrand 1988, 1990). This technique can independently constrain both the angular and the energy distribution of the energetic parent ions. The combination of this tail/line strength diagnostic with the line/(4-7) MeV fluence ratio can allow one to constrain both properties of the energetic ion distributions. The primary objective of our Solar Maximum Mission (SMM) guest investigator program was to study measurements of neutron capture line emission and prompt nuclear de-excitation for large flares detected by the Solar Maximum Mission/ Gamma-Ray Spectrometer (SMM/GRS) and to use these established line diagnostics to study the properties of flare accelerated ions.

Vestrand, W. Thomas↗

Innovative Utility Offerings at the Distribution Edge: Case Studies from Around the Globe

The global evolution of the electricity sector - from deregulation, to higher penetrations of DERs, to digitization and changing consumer preferences - has delivered the utility industry to an inflection point. The vertically integrated, regulated model that persisted over most of the 20th century is undergoing a transformation, and utilities worldwide are responding with new approaches to the provision of products and services. This report catalogs several of these innovative approaches to incorporate new technologies such as electric vehicles, meet societal goals for a cleaner, more efficient electricity system, and empower consumers to make smarter energy choices and provide system benefits. The report comprises a series of 10 case studies across six continents, and features solutions touching on energy supply, energy efficiency, lighting, transport, data, heating and cooling, and rural/off-grid solutions. The diversity of products, programs, and markets documented illustrates the extent of the shift underway. Ultimately, the report demonstrates that utilities will continue to serve as critical partners in a global energy transition, and have been actively engaged in securing their position as such.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Survey of quantitative data on the solar energy and its spectra distribution

This paper presents a survey of available quantitative data on the total and spectral solar irradiance at ground level and outside the atmosphere. Measurements from research aircraft have resulted in the currently accepted NASA/ASTM standards of the solar constant and zero air mass solar spectral irradiance. The intrinsic variability of solar energy output and programs currently under way for more precise measurements from spacecraft are discussed. Instrumentation for solar measurements and their reference radiation scales are examined. Insolation data available from the records of weather stations are reviewed for their applicability to solar energy conversion. Two alternate methods of solarimetry are briefly discussed.

Thekaekara, M. P.↗

Open-source Tools for Solving Grid Optimization Problems: ARPA-e Benchmark Algorithm Overview [Slides]

This document contains the official formulation that will be used for evaluation in Challenge 2 of the Grid Optimization (GO) Competition. Minor changes may occur within the formulation. Entrants will be notified when a new version is released. Changes are not expected to be of a significance that would cause a change in approach for the Entrants. This formulation builds upon the Challenge 1 formulation published in ARPA-E DE-FOA-0001952. Entrants will be judged based on the current official Challenge 2 formulation posted on the GO Competition website (this document, which is subject to change), not the formulation posted in DE-FOA-0001952. Entrants are permitted and encouraged to use any alternative problem formulation and modeling convention within their own software (such as convex relaxation, decoupled power flow formulations, current-voltage formulations, etc.) in an attempt to produce an exact or approximate solution to this particular mathematical program. However, the judging of all submitted approaches must conform to the official formulation presented here.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

An Accurate, Error-Tolerant, and Energy-Efficient Neural Network Inference Engine Based on SONOS Analog Memory

In this work, we demonstrate SONOS (silicon-oxide-nitrideoxide- silicon) analog memory arrays that are optimized for neural network inference. The devices are fabricated in a 40nm process and operated in the subthreshold regime for in-memory matrix multiplication. Subthreshold operation enables low conductances to be implemented with low error, which matches the typical weight distribution of neural networks, which is heavily skewed toward near-zero values. This leads to high accuracy in the presence of programming errors and process variations. We simulate the end-to-end neural network inference accuracy, accounting for the measured programming error, read noise, and retention loss in a fabricated SONOS array. Evaluated on the ImageNet dataset using ResNet50, the accuracy using a SONOS system is within 2.16% of floating-point accuracy without any retraining. The unique error properties and high On/Off ratio of the SONOS device allow scaling to large arrays without bit slicing, and enable an inference architecture that achieves 20 TOPS/W on ResNet50, a >10× gain in energy efficiency over state-of-the-art digital and analog inference accelerators.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Sustainable Data Evolution Technology (SDET) for Power Grid Optimization (Final Report)

This project develops an innovative sustainable data evolution technology (SDET) to create open-access power grid datasets and facilitate updates to these datasets by the power grid community. The lack of open-access, realistic large-scale datasets significantly limits the ability of researchers, developers and ultimately end users to develop, benchmark and compare new methods and tools for optimizing the operation and planning of the grid, which leads to slow adoption by end users. Available open datasets include the IEEE sponsored 14-300 bus transmission test cases and distribution test feeders, the Edinburgh Power Systems Test Case Archive (39-2224 buses), and the Polish cases (2383-3375 buses) available with MATPOWER. These datasets serve certain purposes, but for power grid optimization, they are insufficient in one or more of these aspects: 1) they are too small; 2) they are incomplete in both models and scenarios for optimization purposes; and 3) they are static and are not keeping up with grid needs. The SDET technology delivers large-scale realistic datasets and data-creation tools capable of generating new datasets. We work closely with the Category-2 data repository project awarded by the same GRID DATA program. The generated datasets and data creation tools are compatible with and available through the data repository. The objective is to make this a sustained effort within and beyond the ARPA-E GRID DATA program so that the datasets can evolve over time and meet the current and future needs for power grid optimization and potentially other applications in power grid operation and planning. The novel and disruptive features of SDET differentiate itself from prior work in the following aspects: 1) SDET derives features and metrics for both transmission and distribution (T&D) systems by analyzing many public and private datasets provided by our industry partners National Rural Electric Cooperative Association (NRECA) and PJM Interconnection (PJM). 2) SDET develops data-creation tools and use these tools to generate large-scale open-access realistic datasets that comply with the metrics for both T&D systems. 3) SDET validates the created datasets using industry tools provided by our vendor partner GE Energy Solution. The data creation tools, as well as the created datasets, are integrated into the data repository (DR. POWER) funded by ARPA-E GRID DATA program in Category 2. Users can use the datasets and access these data creation tools to create and update datasets, thus datasets can evolve per user requirements and power grid development. The SDET is a novel and disruptive technology compared to current ad hoc and static dataset generation. It is expected the SDET technology will fundamentally enhance the development, assessment, and adoption of new methods and tools for power grid optimization and other applications, which in turn would significantly improve the reliability, resiliency, and efficiency of the power grid – a major ARPA-E mission objective.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

Electrification 2018 Annual Progress Report

During fiscal year 2018 (FY 2018), the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Vehicle Technologies Office (VTO) funded early stage research & development (R&D) projects that address batteries and electrification of the U.S. transportation sector. The VTO Electrification Sub-Program is composed of Electric Drive Technologies, and Grid Integration activities. The Electric Drive Technologies group conducts R&D projects that advance electric motors and power electronics technologies. The Grid and Charging Infrastructure group conducts R&D projects that advance grid modernization and electric vehicle charging technologies. This document presents a brief overview of the Electrification Sub-Program and progress reports for its R&D projects. Each of the progress reports provide a project overview and highlights of the technical results that were accomplished in FY 2018.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

New Science, New Media: An Assessment of the Online Education and Public Outreach Initiatives of The Dark Energy Survey

As large-scale international collaborations become the standard for astronomy research, a wealth of opportunities have emerged to create innovative education and public outreach (EPO) programming. In the past two decades, large collaborations have focused EPO strategies around published data products. Newer collaborations have begun to explore other avenues of public engagement before and after data are made available. We present a case study of the online EPO program of The Dark Energy Survey, currently one of the largest international astronomy collaborations actively taking data. DES EPO is unique at this scale in astronomy, as far as we are aware, as it evolved organically from scientists' passion for EPO and is entirely organized and implemented by the volunteer efforts of collaboration scientists. We summarize the strategy and implementation of eight EPO initiatives. For content distributed via social media, we present reach and user statistics over the 2016 calendar year. DES EPO online products reached ~2,500 users per post, and 94% of these users indicate a predisposition to science-related interests. We find no obvious correlation between post type and post reach, with the most popular posts featuring the intersections of science and art and/or popular culture. We conclude that one key issue of the online DES EPO program was designing material which would inspire new interest in science. The greatest difficulty of the online DES EPO program was sustaining scientist participation and collaboration support; the most successful programs are those which capitalized on the hobbies of participating scientists. We present statistics and recommendations, along with observations from individual experience, as a potentially instructive resource for scientists or EPO professionals interested in organizing EPO programs and partnerships for large science collaborations or organizations.

Wolf, R. C.↗

Margin to onset of nucleate boiling and flow instability studies for preliminary MITR design-demonstration element thermal-hydraulics

This study covers the onset of flow instability (OFI) preliminary results obtained from leveraging correlations, in addition to the preliminary thermal hydraulics results such as pressure, flow velocity, temperature, and oxide layer over the design demonstration experiment (DDE) for the Massachusetts Institute of Technology Reactor (MITR). Current computational fluid dynamics (CFD) models in fluid structure interaction (FSI) have added the capability of assessing margins to onset of nucleate boiling (ONB). This study initiates the capability to model the margin to OFI and ONB presented for the MITR. Such study is supportive of the United States High Performance Research Reactor (USHPRR) program. Previous studies provided preliminary thermal-hydraulic and mechanical analyses of the hydrodynamic effects in the MITR DDE under conservative approximations for plate power distribution. In conclusion, this study focuses on providing insights into the OFI future research direction optimizing the transport of thermal energy, mass-flow rates, flow-channel geometries, and boundary conditions.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

The stopping of deuterons in lithium

The interaction of 52 MeV deuterons with lithium was investigated, in view of the optimization of a lithium target for an intense neutron source based on the d-Li stripping reaction. The experimental results are compared with theoretical calculations obtained from an updated version of the Bragg code. This code describes in detail the interaction of charged particles with matter. Within the experimental uncertainties the theoretical results are well reproduced by the experiments.

NASA Program Space Medicine↗

Wind Energy Accomplishments and Year-End Performance Report: Fiscal Year 2023

As the United States' largest source of renewable energy, wind is already playing a vital role in the nation's shift to electricity generated from sustainable resources. Scientists, engineers, and analysts at the U.S. Department of Energy's (DOE's) National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) are propelling our country closer to this clean energy future with new efficient, reliable, and cost-competitive wind technologies and deployment strategies. In Fiscal Year 2023 (FY 2023), NREL received national acclaim for recent wind technology breakthroughs, applauded sustained decades of progress in wind energy research, and heralded new initiatives to support the next generation of wind development. This report and NREL's achievements of the last year set the stage for innovative research to come. Two NREL software innovations used to assess wind technology options were recognized with R&D 100 Awards. The Renewable Energy Potential (reV) model helps planners, developers, and researchers calculate wind energy capacity, generation, and cost for specific facilities, fleets and scenarios. NREL's Simulation and Emulation for Advanced Systems validates transmission and distribution solutions to minimize implementation risks. Both of these tools can be applied to a range of renewable solutions to cut costs and improve the reliability of systems in even the most remote locations. The laboratory commemorated landmark anniversaries for wind energy research facilities and programs managed by NREL. The National Wind Technology Center (NWTC) celebrated 30 years as a world-class hub for renewable energy research. An important component of the NWTC on NREL's Flatirons Campus, the one-of-a-kind 7-megawatt (MW) Controllable Grid Interface wind energy research apparatus, turned 10 this year. The Collegiate Wind Competition completed its tenth annual competition in May 2023. Six years after the grand challenges in wind energy science were first compiled, NREL brought together more than 100 wind energy experts from 15 countries to revisit the field's most pressing research needs. Other key new research initiatives examined ways to simultaneously address the needs for skilled wind energy workers and equitable job opportunities. NREL released the first national-level report evaluating offshore wind industry workforce gaps and ways to build a large, diverse pool of job candidates. The lab also co-hosted the International Partnering Forum's Offshore Wind Workforce Summit as part of its ongoing efforts to address the special challenges of that industry sector. NREL research and development (R&D) for the DOE Wind Energy Technologies Office (WETO) continues to build momentum in its efforts to combat climate change, create clean energy jobs, and promote energy justice. This report provides more detail on these top achievements and other accomplishments made by NREL and its partners during FY 2023 (between Oct. 1, 2022, and Sept. 30, 2023).

accomplishments↗