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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 541 records · Page 30
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2019

Predicting Storm Outages Through New Representations of Weather and Vegetation

This paper presents new developments in an outage prediction model (OPM) for an electric distribution network in the Northeastern United States and assesses their significance to the OPM performance. The OPM uses regression tree models fed by numerical weather prediction outputs, spatially distributed information on soil, vegetation, electric utility assets, and historical power outage data to forecast the number and spatial distribution of outages across the power distribution grid. New modules introduced hereby consist in 1) a storm classifier based on weather variables; 2) a multimodel optimization of regression tree output; and 3) a post-processing routine for more accurately describing tree-leaf conditions. Model implementations are tested through leave-one-storm-out cross-validations performed on 120 storms of varying intensity and characteristics. The results demonstrate that the median absolute percentage error of the new OPM version decreased from 130% to 59% for outage predictions at the service territory level, and the OPM skills for operational forecasts are consistent with the skills based on historical storm analyses.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2025

Distinguishing isotropic and anisotropic signals for X-ray total scattering using machine learning

Understanding structure–property relationships is essential for advancing technologies based on thin films. X-ray pair distribution function (PDF) analysis can access relevant atomic structure details spanning local-, mid- and long-range structure. While X-ray PDF has been adapted for thin films on amorphous substrates, measurements on single-crystal substrates are necessary to accurately determine structure origins for some thin film materials, especially those for which the substrate changes the accessible structure and properties. However, when measuring films on single-crystal substrates, high-intensity anisotropic Bragg spots saturate 2D detector images, overshadowing the thin films' isotropic scattering signal. This renders previous data processing methods for films on amorphous substrates unsuitable for films on single-crystal substrates. To address this measurement need, we developed IsoDAT2D, an innovative data processing approach using unsupervised machine learning algorithms. The program combines dimensionality reduction and clustering algorithms to separate thin film and single-crystal substrate X-ray scattering signals. We use SimDAT2D , a program we developed to generate simulated thin film data, to validate IsoDAT2D . Here we also use IsoDAT2D to isolate X-ray total scattering signal from a thin film on a single-crystal substrate. The resulting PDF data are compared with similar data processed using previous methods, especially substrate subtraction for single-crystal and amorphous substrates. PDF data from IsoDAT2D -identified X-ray total scattering data are significantly better than from single-crystal substrate subtraction, but not as reliable as PDF data from amorphous substrate subtraction. With IsoDAT2D , there are new opportunities to expand PDF to a wider variety of thin films, including those on single-crystal substrates, with which new structure–property relationships can be elucidated to enable fundamental understanding and technological advances.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2024

Explainable AI classification for parton density theory

Quantitatively connecting properties of parton distribution functions (PDFs, or parton densities) to the theoretical assumptions made within the QCD analyses which produce them has been a longstanding problem in HEP phenomenology. To confront this challenge, we introduce an ML-based explainability framework, XAI4PDF, to classify PDFs by parton flavor or underlying theoretical model using ResNet-like neural networks (NNs). By leveraging the differentiable nature of ResNet models, this approach deploys guided backpropagation to dissect relevant features of fitted PDFs, identifying x-dependent signatures of PDFs important to the ML model classifications. By applying our framework, we are able to sort PDFs according to the analysis which produced them while constructing quantitative, human-readable maps locating the x regions most affected by the internal theory assumptions going into each analysis. This technique expands the toolkit available to PDF analysis and adjacent particle phenomenology while pointing to promising generalizations.

Artificial Intelligence↗
DOE OSTI2021

Detecting False Data Injection Attacks in Smart Grids: A Semi-Supervised Deep Learning Approach

The dependence on advanced information and communication technology increases the vulnerability in smart grids under cyber-attacks. Recent research on unobservable false data injection attacks (FDIAs) reveals the high risk of secure system operation, since these attacks can bypass current bad data detection mechanisms. To mitigate this risk, this paper proposes a data-driven learning-based algorithm for detecting unobservable FDIAs in distribution systems. We use autoencoders for efficient dimension reduction and feature extraction of measurement datasets. Further, we integrate the autoencoders into an advanced generative adversarial network (GAN) framework, which successfully detects anomalies under FDIAs by capturing the unconformity between abnormal and secure measurements. Also, considering that the datasets collected from practical power systems are partially labeled due to expensive labeling costs and missing labels, the proposed method only requires a few labeled measurement data in addition to unlabeled data for training. Numerical simulations in three-phase unbalanced IEEE 13-bus and 123-bus distribution systems validate the detection accuracy and efficiency of this method.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2026

HydraGNN v5.0

HydraGNN v5.0 expands the code base into a more portable, scalable, and flexible framework for scientific graph learning, with particular strength in atomistic machine-learning interatomic potentials and large-scale distributed training. The release adds Fully Sharded Data Parallel (FSDP) support alongside existing DDP and DeepSpeed paths, including FSDP-aware checkpointing and optimizer integration, and introduces a configurable multi-precision training workflow supporting FP32, BF16, and FP64 across GPUs and Intel XPUs. For atomistic modeling, HydraGNN v5.0 strengthens its MLIP capabilities through dynamic graph construction at every forward pass, energy-conserving force prediction via automatic differentiation, and per-atom energy loss formulations, while extending EGNN models to properly handle periodic boundary conditions. The release also broadens model expressiveness through graph-level attribute conditioning, adds new multi-task and model-parallel extensions such as MACE support and encoder/decoder branch optimization, and expands application coverage with integrated examples for datasets including OC25, Nabla2-DFT, QCML, Open Polymers 2026, and OPF. In parallel, HydraGNN v5.0 improves production readiness through performance optimizations for large-scale runs, stratified sampling and linear-regression preprocessing utilities, and tested installation scripts for DOE supercomputers including Frontier, Aurora, Perlmutter, and Andes. Overall, the release advances HydraGNN as a robust software platform for scalable graph neural networks across materials science, chemistry, and scientific machine learning workflows

Lupo Pasini, Massimiliano [Oak Ridge National Labo↗
DOE OSTI2020

Modular performance prediction for scientific workflows using Machine Learning

Scientific workflows provide an opportunity for declarative computational experiment design in an intuitive and efficient way. A distributed workflow is typically executed on a variety of resources, and it uses a variety of computational algorithms or tools to achieve the desired outcomes. Such a variety imposes additional complexity in scheduling these workflows on large scale computers. As computation becomes more distributed, insights into expected workload that a workflow presents become critical for effective resource allocation. In this paper, we present a modular framework that leverages Machine Learning for creating precise performance predictions of a workflow. The central idea is to partition a workflow in such a way that makes the task of forecasting each atomic unit manageable and gives us a way to combine the individual predictions efficiently. We recognize a combination of an executable and a specific physical resource as a single module. This gives us a handle to characterize workload and machine power as a single unit of prediction. Overall, our modular technique of creating atomic modules and deployment of longest-path approach to estimate workflow performance, allows the framework to adapt to highly complex nested directed acyclic workflows and scale to new scenarios, since it does not make assumptions of underlying workflow structure. We present performance estimation results of independent workflow modules executed on the XSEDE SDSC Comet cluster using various Machine Learning algorithms. The results provide insights into the behavior and effectiveness of different algorithms in the context of scientific workflow performance prediction.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2022

Adversarial Attacks on Deep Neural Network-based Power System Event Classification Models

Online event classification is essential to strengthening the reliability of the power transmission system. Recently, deep learning based methods have achieved great success in numerous domains such as computer vision and natural language processing. Researchers began to adopt deep learning based methods to solve the power system event identification problem and achieved effective results. However, these previous works do not consider that deep learning models are vulnerable to adversarial attacks, potentially influencing real-world applications' reliability. In this paper, we adopt several adversarial attack mechanisms by adding tailored noise signal to the input Phasor Measurement Units (PMU) time series and make the deep learning model misclassify the power system event. This numerical study discloses that current state-of-the-art deep learning based power system event classifiers are extremely vulnerable to adversarial attacks, which may jeopardize the reliability of the power transmission system.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2018

Evaluation and Comparison of Machine Learning Techniques for Rapid QSTS Simulations

Rapid and accurate quasi-static time series (QSTS) analysis is becoming increasingly important for distribution system analysis as the complexity of the distribution system intensifies with the addition of new types, and quantities, of distributed energy resources (DER). The expanding need for hosting capacity analysis, control systems analysis, photovoltaic (PV) and DER impact analysis, and maintenance cost estimations are just a few reasons that QSTS is necessary. Historically, QSTS analysis has been prohibitively slow due to the number of computations required for a full-year analysis. Therefore, new techniques are required that allow QSTS analysis to rapidly be performed for many different use cases. This research demonstrates a novel approach to doing rapid QSTS analysis for analyzing the number of voltage regulator tap changes in a distribution system with PV components. A representative portion of a yearlong dataset is selected and QSTS analysis is performed to determine the number of tap changes, and this is used as training data for a machine learning algorithm. The machine learning algorithm is then used to predict the number of tap changes in the remaining portion of the year not analyzed directly with QSTS. The predictions from the machine learning algorithms are combined with the results of the partial year simulation for a final prediction for the entire year, with the goal of maintaining an error <10% on the full-year prediction. Five different machine learning techniques were evaluated and compared with each other; a neural network ensemble, a random forest decision tree ensemble, a boosted decision tree ensemble, support vector machines, and a convolutional neural network deep learning technique. A combination of the neural network ensemble together with the random forest produced the best results. Using 20% of the year as training data, analyzed with QSTS, the average performance of the technique resulted in ~2.5% error in the yearly tap changes, while maintaining a <10% 99.9 th percentile error bound on the results. This is a 5x speedup compared to a standard, full-length QSTS simulation. These results demonstrate the potential for applying machine learning techniques to facilitate modern distribution system analysis and further integration of distributed energy resources into the power grid.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2016

TH-CD-209-09: Quickly Identifying Good Candidates for Proton Therapy From Geometric Considerations

Purpose: We developed a knowledge-based model that can predict the patient-specific benefits of proton therapy based upon geometric considerations. The model could also aid patient selection in model-based clinical trials or help justify clinical decisions to insurance companies. Methods: The knowledge-based method trains a model upon existing proton treatment plans, exploiting correlations between dose and distance-to-target. Each OAR is split into concentric subvolumes surrounding the target volume, and a skew-normal PDF is fit to the dose distribution found within each shell. The model learns from shared trends in how the best-fit skew-normal parameters depend upon distance-to-target. It can then predict feasible OAR DVHs for a new patient (without a proton plan) based upon their geometry. The expected benefits of proton therapy are assessed by comparing the predicted DVHs to those of an IMRT plan, using a metric such as the equivalent uniform dose (EUD). Results: A model was trained for clival chordoma, owing to its geometric complexity and the multitude of nearby OARs. The model was trained using 20 patients and validated with a further 20 patients, and considers several different OARs. The predicted EUD was in good agreement with that of the actual proton plan. The coefficient of determination (R-squared) was 85% overall, 92% for cochleas, 80% for optic chiasm and 79% for spinal cord. The model exhibited no signs of bias or overfitting. When compared to an IMRT plan, the model could classify whether a patient will experience a gain or a loss with an accuracy between 75% and 95%, depending upon the OAR. Conclusion: We developed a model that can quickly and accurately predict the patient-specific benefits of proton therapy in clival chordoma patients, though models could be trained for other tumor sites. This work is funded by National Cancer Institute grant U19 CA 021239.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2018

The MidAmerica Regional Microgrid Education and Training (MARMET) Consortium

The primary goal of this project was to integrate cutting-edge research and advanced instructional methods to create a flexible, evolving approach to microgrid and distributed energy resources training for all levels of student. This goal entailed the rapid development of modular material to capture and reflect the newest trends in electric power microgrid engineering and to make it available in traditional and non-traditional settings. It was our goal to develop course material that can be readily integrated into either existing courses or organized into new courses. The target audiences include technicians, contractors and consultants, inspectors, policy makers, supervisors, and engineers and undergraduate and graduate students. The main project objectives were to: 1) Perform a gap analysis to identify the research/educational/training needs and define specific implementation plans for these activities in distributed technology and Smart Grid power engineering by working with Department of Energy, the National Network Administrator (NNA) and other Distributed Technology Training Consortia (DTTC). 2) Develop learning content related to, and driven by, microgrid research, consisting of one or more multimedia-based modules. Over the life of the project MARMET provided training to 11,012 students and developed 154,432 contact hours of material (see the IREC NNA, DE-EE0006342, final project report for added details on MARMET evaluation and assessment metrics, as well as an overview of the entire GEARED network. 3) Provide a variety of delivery mechanisms and venues for face-to-face and on-line instruction in power system engineering and related smart grid operations, including university-based courses, short courses, and workshops. 4) Assemble and engage highly-qualified advisory and steering committees of experts from utilities, universities, national laboratories, and product suppliers for this DTTC, to guide and advise the activities of the DTTC, and to assist in creating student internships, coops, research projects and academic competitions for GEARED students within the DTTC and nationally. 5) Convene regular meetings of Consortia partners to disseminate research results among the participants (universities, utilities, and industry). 6) Develop recruitment mechanisms to publicize GEARED student opportunities and highlight the educational benefits of GEARED participation to assure long-term sustainability of student recruitment and retention. 7) Participate in GEARED National Network activities to identify and adopt best practices across all GEARED consortia. 8) Organize, host and manage at least one annual Student-Centered Research Conference on behalf of the GEARED Network during the period of performance; participate in each annual national Student-Centered Research Conference.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2020

Chapter 7: Predictive Analytics in Future Power Systems: A Panorama and State-of-the-Art of Deep Learning Applications

The challenges surrounding the optimal operation of power systems are growing in various dimensions, due in part to increasingly distributed energy resources and a progression towards large-scale transportation electrification. Currently, the increasing uncertainties associated with both renewable energy generation and demand are largely being managed by increasing operational reserves - potentially at the cost of suboptimal economic conditions - in order to maintain the reliability of the system. This chapter looks at the big picture role of forecasting in power systems from generation to consumption and provides a comprehensive review of traditional approaches for forecasting generation and load in various contexts. This chapter then takes a deep dive into the state-of-the-art machine learning and deep learning approaches for power systems forecasting. Furthermore, a case study of multi-time-horizon solar irradiance forecasting using deep learning is discussed in detail. Smart grids form the backbone of the future interdependent networks. For addressing the challenges associated with the operations of smart grid, development and wide adoption of machine learning and deep learning algorithms capable of producing better forecasting accuracies is urgently needed. Along with exploring the implementation and benefits of these approaches, this chapter also considers the strengths and limitations of deep learning algorithms for power systems forecasting applications. This chapter, thus, provides a panoramic view of state-of-the-art of predictive analytics in power systems in the context of future smart grid operations.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗
DOE OSTI2020

Analysis of MINERvA tunings of GENIE based on Hadron Multiplicity using Machine Learning

Scientists with the MINERvA neutrino interaction experiment have long studied distributions of hadrons (protons and pions) to improve the models for these reactions. Until now, most work has relied on easy to find, energetic, and well tracked hadrons. But in order to take full advantage of MINERνA data it is necessary to develop an efficient enough tool to recognize hadron tracks with lower energy, more transverse angle and more challenging patterns of activity. In this analysis, a Machine Learning tool based on Convolutional Neural Network and Transfer Learning has been developed to tackle that issue. It is found to be extremely capable of recognizing hadron activities especially when there are few and not very energetic hadrons, the accuracy is 76%. But it is also found that this network is very reluctant to classify too many hadrons. The classification is also affected by the presence of other particles in the event such photons, hadrons below a threshold or neutrons. This network is used to compare hadron multiplicity of data to the MC models and distinguish between different MC tunes. Some MINERνA tunes are explored in this analysis, but none of them described the data very well, especially not for all different hadrons multiplicities at once. Four combinations of those tunes were more successful, but none of them could be recognized as the best one. Nevertheless, this analysis develops an ML network that sets the basis of further exploration of hadron multiplicity as a tool to analyze MC tunes at MINERνA and beyond.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗
DOE OSTI2017

foresee™ (SWR-17-15)

foresee™ is a home energy management system (HEMS) that provides a user centric energy automation solution for residential building occupants. Built upon advanced control and machine learning algorithms, foresee™ intelligently manages the home appliances and distributed energy resources (DERs) such as photovoltaics and battery storage in a home. Unlike existing HEMS in the market, foresee™ provides a tailored home automation solution for individual occupants by learning and adapting to their preferences on cost, comfort, convenience and carbon. foresee™ improves not only the energy efficiency of the home but also its capability to provide grid services such as demand response. Highly reliable demand response services are likely to be incentivized by utility companies, making foresee™ economically viable for most homes.

Source record↗
DOE OSTI2018

Domain-Adapted Convolutional Networks for Satellite Image Classification: A Large-Scale Interactive Learning Workflow

Satellite imagery often exhibits large spatial extent areas that encompass object classes with considerable variability. This often limits large-scale model generalization with machine learning algorithms. Notably, acquisition conditions, including dates, sensor position, lighting condition, and sensor types, often translate into class distribution shifts introducing complex nonlinear factors and hamper the potential impact of machine learning classifiers. Here, this article investigates the challenge of exploiting satellite images using convolutional neural networks (CNN) for settlement classification where the class distribution shifts are significant. We present a large-scale human settlement mapping workflow based-off multiple modules to adapt a pretrained CNN to address the negative impact of distribution shift on classification performance. To extend a locally trained classifier onto large spatial extents areas we introduce several submodules: First, a human-in-the-loop element for relabeling of misclassified target domain samples to generate representative examples for model adaptation; second, an efficient hashing module to minimize redundancy and noisy samples from the mass-selected examples; and third, a novel relevance ranking module to minimize the dominance of source example on the target domain. The workflow presents a novel and practical approach to achieve large-scale domain adaptation with binary classifiers that are based-off CNN features. Experimental evaluations are conducted on areas of interest that encompass various image characteristics, including multisensors, multitemporal, and multiangular conditions. Domain adaptation is assessed on source–target pairs through the transfer loss and transfer ratio metrics to illustrate the utility of the workflow.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗
DOE OSTI2022

Neural simulation-based inference approach for characterizing the Galactic Center γ-ray excess

The nature of the Fermi γ-ray Galactic Center Excess (GCE) has remained a persistent mystery for over a decade. Although the excess is broadly compatible with emission expected due to dark matter annihilation, an explanation in terms of a population of unresolved astrophysical point sources e.g., millisecond pulsars, remains viable. The effort to uncover the origin of the GCE is hampered in particular by an incomplete understanding of diffuse emission of Galactic origin. This can lead to spurious features that make it difficult to robustly differentiate smooth emission, as expected for a dark matter origin, from more “clumpy” emission expected from a population of relatively bright, unresolved point sources. Here, we use recent advancements in the field of simulation-based inference, in particular density estimation techniques using normalizing flows, in order to characterize the contribution of modeled components, including unresolved point source populations, to the GCE. Compared to traditional techniques based on the statistical distribution of photon counts, our machine learning-based method is able to utilize more of the information contained in a given model of the Galactic Center emission, and in particular can perform posterior parameter estimation while accounting for pixel-to-pixel spatial correlations in the γ-ray map. This makes the method demonstrably more resilient to certain forms of model misspecification. On application to Fermi data, the method generically attributes a smaller fraction of the GCE flux to unresolved point sources when compared to traditional approaches. We nevertheless infer such a contribution to make up a non-negligible fraction of the GCE across all analysis variations considered, with at least $38^{+9}_{-19}$% of the excess attributed to unresolved point sources in our baseline analysis.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2021

Normalizing Flows for Microscopic Many-Body Calculations: An Application to the Nuclear Equation of State

We report that normalizing flows are a class of machine learning models used to construct a complex distribution through a bijective mapping of a simple base distribution. We demonstrate that normalizing flows are particularly well suited as a Monte Carlo integration framework for quantum many-body calculations that require the repeated evaluation of high-dimensional integrals across smoothly varying integrands and integration regions. As an example, we consider the finite-temperature nuclear equation of state. An important advantage of normalizing flows is the ability to build highly expressive models of the target integrand, which we demonstrate enables precise evaluations of the nuclear free energy and its derivatives. Furthermore, we show that a normalizing flow model trained on one target integrand can be used to efficiently calculate related integrals when the temperature, density, or nuclear force is varied. This work will support future efforts to build microscopic equations of state for numerical simulations of supernovae and neutron star mergers that employ state-of-the-art nuclear forces and many-body methods.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Visualization of Noisy and Less Noisy Computational Basis States in Quantum Computing

Quantum computing technology holds substantial promise as a reliable computational paradigm. However, current noisy intermediate scale quantum (NISQ) systems, are significantly impacted by noise originating from hardware inconsistencies. This noise causes errors and lowers output fidelity. So we must find which basis states cause errors. However, there are two main challenges in analyzing noise corresponding to basis states. First, the noise distribution data is high dimensional in nature, thereby making its analysis challenging. Second, although functional box plots have been used in the state of the art research to understand such a high dimensional data, they suffer from clutter and occlusion issues because of overplotting. In this study, we introduce an innovative visualization pipeline to address the aforementioned challenges to provide a clear depiction of noisy and less-noisy basis states. Specifically, our proposed visualization pipeline comprises three stages namely, low dimensional embedding, clustering, and violin plot visualization, to reduce visual clutter and effectively analyze high-dimensional noise distribution data. Our analysis uses quantum machine learning (QML) circuits as case study for drawing a distinction between noisy and less noisy basis states.

Senapati, Priyabrata [Kent State University]↗
DOE OSTI2025

Preliminary Results on Bayesian Inverse UQ for OECD/NEA WPNCS Subgroup 14 Benchmark Exercise for Error Recovery and Experimental Coverage

The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) Working Party on Nucelar Criticality Safety (WPNCS) has proposed a benchmark exercise representative of neutronic behavior in criticality experiments. Here, the goal is to develop confidence in data assimilation techniques used to adjust nuclear data. Participants are given synthetic experimental models with associated measured data and asked to estimate the model parameters given the model and measurements as well as provide predictions for separate application models. In this work, we performed data assimilation using Bayesian inverse Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) with machine learning surrogate models to produce posterior parameter distributions for the requested parameters and posterior predictive distributions for the requested responses. Several experimental models are shown to insufficiently inform the posterior parameter distributions for the applications involved. However, given sufficient experimental data, posterior parameter estimates yielded reduced uncertainty in the response predictions of interest while covering the experimental data.

Bayesian Inference↗