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DOE OSTI2021

A multi-dimensional parametric study of variability in multi-phase flow dynamics during geologic CO 2 sequestration accelerated with machine learning

Successful geologic CO 2 storage projects depend on numerical simulations to predict reservoir performance during site selection, injection verification, and post-injection monitoring phases of the project. These numerical simulations solve non-linear sets of coupled partial differential equations, while accounting for multi-phase fluid dynamics on the basis of constitutive equations that are embedded into the solution scheme. As a consequence, individual simulations often require tens to hundreds of hours to complete on high-performance computing clusters. Moreover, laboratory experiments reveal that parametric functions for capillary pressure and relative permeability exhibit substantial variability, even within the same rock type. This combination of computational expense and wide-ranging parametric variability means that there remains substantial uncertainty in the behavior of multi-phase CO 2 -water systems, particularly in the context of feedbacks between relative permeability and capillary pressure. To bridge this knowledge gap, here we develop a novel workflow that utilizes physics-based numerical simulation to train an artificial neural network (ANN) emulator for interrogating the multivariate parameter space that governs both capillary pressure and relative permeability. With this approach, the ANN is trained to emulate both fluid pressure distribution and CO 2 saturation, which are then interrogated quantitatively to generate parametric response surface mappings with high-fidelity resolution. Results from this study initially show that capillary entry pressure is the dominant control on both CO 2 plume geometry and fluid pressure propagation when considering the combined effects of capillary pressure and relative permeability, particularly when phase interference is low and residual CO 2 saturation is high. Moreover, the ANN emulator provides tremendous computational speed-up by computing 2691 individual simulations in several minutes; whereas, the same simulation ensemble would have required ~3 years of simulation time using only physics-based simulation methods (25,000 times speed up).

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

A Play-Based Exploration of CO 2 Storage in the Illinois Basin (Final Technical Report)

This report documents the results of "A Play-Based Exploration of CO₂ Storage in the Illinois Basin" (DE-FE0032366), a project funded by the U.S. Department of Energy Office of Fossil Energy and Carbon Management and conducted by the Illinois State Geological Survey (ISGS) at the University of Illinois Urbana-Champaign in partnership with Visage Energy. The project adapted play-based exploration (PBE), a systematic basin-scale evaluation methodology from the petroleum industry, to screen areas of Illinois for commercial geologic carbon storage (GCS) in Cambro-Ordovician strata. The traditional play concept was expanded to encompass three play element groups, subsurface geologic factors, surface features, and societal factors, yielding 24 play elements with defensible suitability criteria applied through a five-tier classification scheme. An integrated geospatial database was assembled from ISGS, MGSC, MRCI, NATCARB, and public data sources, supported by significant data-improvement work including correction of legacy well locations, digitization of more than 1,300 well construction records using the DOE CATALOG team's OGRRE tool, compilation of a statewide 2D seismic database, and production of a refined fault and fold geodatabase.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2018

Thermodynamic performance and cost optimization of a novel hybrid thermal-compressed air energy storage system design

Compressed Air Energy Storage (CAES) can potentially allow renewable energy sources to meet electricity demands as reliably as coal-fired power plants. However, conventional CAES systems rely on the combustion of natural gas, require large storage volumes, and operate at high pressures, which possess inherent problems such as high costs, strict geological locations, and the production of greenhouse gas emissions. A novel and patented hybrid thermal-compressed air energy storage (HT-CAES) design is presented which allows a portion of the available energy, from the grid or renewable sources, to operate a compressor and the remainder to be converted and stored in the form of heat, through joule heating in a sensible thermal storage medium. The HT-CAES design incudes a turbocharger unit that provides supplementary mass flow rate alongside the air storage. The hybrid design and the addition of a turbocharger have the beneficial effect of mitigating the shortcomings of conventional CAES systems and its derivatives by eliminating combustion emissions and reducing storage volumes, operating pressures, and costs. Storage efficiency and cost are the two key factors, which upon integration with renewable energies would allow the sources to operate as independent forms of sustainable energy. The potential of the HT-CAES design is illustrated through a thermodynamic optimization study, which outlines key variables that have a major impact on the performance and economics of the storage system. The optimization analysis quantifies the required distribution of energy between thermal and compressed air energy storage, for maximum efficiency, and for minimum cost. This study provides a roundtrip energy and exergy efficiency map of the storage system and illustrates a trade off that exists between its capital cost and performance.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2018

A new synchrotron rapid-scanning X-ray fluorescence (SRS-XRF) imaging station at SSRL beamline 6-2

This paper describes a new large-range rapid-scan X-ray fluorescence (XRF) imaging station at beamline 6-2 at the Stanford Synchrotron Radiation Lightsource at SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory. This station uses a continuous rapid-scan system with a scan range of 1000 × 600 mm and a load capacity of up to 25 kg, capable of 25–100 µm resolution elemental XRF mapping and X-ray absorption spectroscopy (XAS) of a wide range of objects. XRF is measured using a four-element Hitachi Vortex ME4 silicon drift detector coupled to a Quantum Detectors Xspress3 multi-channel analyzer system. A custom system allows the X-ray spot size to be changed quickly and easily via pinholes ranging from 25 to 100 µm, and the use of a poly-capillary or axially symmetric achromatic optic may achieve a <10 µm resolution in the future. The instrument is located at wiggler beamline 6-2 which has an energy range of 2.1–17 keV, creating K emission for elements up to strontium, and L or M emission for all other elements. XAS can also be performed at selected sample positions within the same experiment, allowing for a more detailed chemical characterization of the elements of interest. Furthermore, sparse excitation energy XRF imaging can be performed over a wide range of incident X-ray energies. User friendliness has been emphasized in all stages of the experiment, including versatile sample mounts, He purged chambers for low- Z analyses, and intuitive visualization hardware and software. The station provides analysis capabilities for a wide range of materials and research fields including biological, chemical, environmental and materials science, paleontology, geology and cultural heritage.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2022

Legacy surface change analyses of the 1993 Rock Valley earthquake sequence for direct comparison to planned NA-22 underground conventional high-explosive experiments (Source Physics Experiment 3 (SPE3) - RV/DC Task 1.3 FY22 Final Report)

Recent work under two previous phases of the NNSA NA-22 Source Physics Experiment (SPE) have shown that underground chemical high-explosive experiments can produce detectable surface changes that differ in spatial extent and vertical magnitude depending on the geologic media at the site (Schultz-Fellenz et al., 2018; 2020; Crawford et al., 2021). Neither of these two prior phases of SPE identified natural earthquake-related surface effects in the same region that occurred at a similar depth as the explosive experiments for direct comparison. While earthquakes can also produce surface changes that are detectable using remote sensing data analyses, it is expected that the pattern and spatial extent of surface changes would vary between earthquakes and explosions. However, no direct-observed surface-change signature comparison between earthquakes and explosions has ever been performed. The SPE Phase 3 Rock Valley/Direct Comparison (RV/DC) program presents a unique opportunity to investigate and characterize co-occurrence of both earthquakes and explosions. In this project, we worked to address five tasks in a workflow, as follows: 1. Identify and obtain existing high-resolution legacy satellite and aerial imagery as close in time before and after the 1993 Rock Valley earthquake sequence to temporally constrain the analyses. 2. Transform these pre-earthquake and post-earthquake datasets into digital elevation models (DEMs) using geospatial analysis software packages (e.g., ArcGIS, Agisoft Metashape, and Google Earth Engine). 3. Perform DEM differencing analyses to assess and quantify earthquake-related changes from the 1993 sequence, and develop map products that visualize these analyses. 4. Use the analyses from (3) to: (a) assess spatial distribution and magnitude of surface changes due to the 1993 Rock Valley earthquake sequence, and (b) determine parameters of forthcoming, planned explosion-related surface change data collection from sensors mounted on unmanned aerial vehicles (UAVs) (e.g., spatial extent of collection, design and density of survey control, sensors to deploy, forward speed and line spacing of UAV flight lines, flight altitude). 5. Develop a summary report on the analyses, including how the analyses define parameters and identify focus areas for any future surface change analytical field campaigns related to the explosive experiment. Analyzing these legacy data and identifying whether they can detect any surface changes related to the earthquake sequence facilitates opportunities for direct signature comparison of surface change from explosions at one location, which has never previously been performed. Comparing the surface change signatures from a co-located and depth-equivalent earthquake and an explosion could help to advance remote sensing event discrimination techniques. This report summarizes the work completed toward this ambitious goal.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2016

Separation of Zirconium from Zircaloy-2 for Spent Nuclear Fuel Cladding Applications using a Chloride Volatility Process

The United States produces a large amount of cladding material from used nuclear fuel, expected to approach 1,000 MT/year for the next 50 years. The recovery of zirconium from the cladding material would represent a ∼50% savings on the geologic waste disposal requirement, and savings of >$40 M/year due to the cost of hafnium-free zirconium. Previous simulation studies have shown that in the irradiated cladding, the major activation products found are {sup 125}Sb, {sup 60}Co, and {sup 93m}Nb, and the major fission product found is {sup 137}Cs. These radioisotopes make it impossible to treat the cladding as low level waste. In a chlorination method, zirconium cladding reacts with Cl{sub 2} at 350-380 deg. C to produce mainly ZrCl{sub 4}. The zirconium tetrachloride has a relatively low boiling point (sublimes at 330 deg. C) which allows its separation from other products, and so it can be treated as low level waste for disposal or recycling. This chlorination approach has been proposed for the reprocessing of zirconium. However, previous work has observed element impurities (Fe, Sn, Cr, Cs, Sb, and Nb) in the recovered ZrCl{sub 4} meaning that additional steps are necessary in a chlorination process previous to the reduction of ZrCl{sub 4} to the metallic form. The chlorination process for zirconium reprocessing has been highly encouraged as it has proven more efficient than previous mechanical processes, redox processes, and other chemical methods such as iodination. The overall goal of this project is to develop the road map for a chlorination process that will yield high purity zirconium. The current study focuses on the recovery of ZrCl{sub 4} from non-irradiated alloys used as nuclear fuel cladding. (authors)

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

DOE OSTI2019

Mine Flooding History of a Regional Below-Drainage Coalfield Dominated by Barrier Leakage (1970–2014)

A 44-year record of water level fluctuations in a series of adjacent closed underground mines documents the history of closure and mine flooding in the Fairmont Coalfield, one of the oldest coal mining districts in the Pittsburgh coal basin, West Virginia, USA. As closures proceeded and mines began to flood, US environmental regulations were first enacted mandating mine water control and treatment, rendering uncontrolled surface discharges unacceptable. The purpose of this study is to present this flooding history and to identify critical events that determined how mine pools evolved in this case. Also examined is the strategy developed to control and treat water from these mines. Flooding is visualized using both water level hydrographs and mine flooding maps with the latter constructed assuming mine water hydraulic continuity between one or more mines. The earliest flooding formed small pools within near-surface mines closed prior to 1962 yet still pumped following closure to minimize leaking into adjacent still-active workings. These subpools gradually enlarged and merged as more closures occurred and the need for protective pumping was removed, forming what is today referred to as the unconfined Fairmont Pool. Later, deeper mines, separated by intact updip barriers from the Fairmont Pool, were closed and flooded more gradually, supplied in large part by leakage from the Fairmont Pool. By 1985, all mines except 2 had closed and by 1994 all had fully flooded, with the Fairmont Pool interconnected to deeper single mine pools via barrier leakage. As protective pumping ceased, the Fairmont Pool rose to a water level 3 m higher than surface drainage elevation and in 1997 discharged from an undermined section of Buffalo Creek near the Monongahela River. The principal mine operator in the basin then designed a pumping system to transfer water from the Fairmont Pool to their existing treatment facilities to the north, thus terminating the discharge. It may be concluded that the progress of mine flooding was influenced by mining history and design, by the timing of closures, by barrier leakage conditions, and by geologic structure. A key element in how flooding proceeded was the presence of a series of intact barriers separating deep from shallow mines. The shallow mines closed and flooded early, but then lost sufficient water by barrier leakage into the deeper mines to delay the completion of flooding until after the deep mines had all closed and flooded as well. Intensive mine water control has continued from the 1997 breakout to the present. The final water control scheme was likely unanticipated and serendipitous; future district-wide mining efforts should be advised to consider in advance closeout strategies to control mine water postmining.

Donovan, Joseph J.↗

DOE OSTI2018

The Strategic Benefit of Self Shielded Boxes for Storage and Disposal of Metallic Uranic Material-18141

Sellafield Ltd, on behalf of the Nuclear Decommissioning Authority (NDA), is responsible for the management of a number of facilities whose inventories include a range of metallic uranic material. Additional fuel and fuel bearing materials exist in the NDA estate, some of which are similar to the Sellafield-managed inventory and others present different management challenges. Whilst UK Government policy directs that some of these materials are assets and are therefore managed with eventual future use in mind, there remains a large quantity of material, principally either out-of-scope for reprocessing or which derives from legacy facilities, which is likely to be disposed of to a future Geological Disposal Facility (GDF). The majority of this material is stored under wet conditions to facilitate dose shielding and heat dissipation and will therefore require removal from wet storage, consolidation and conditioning, prior to transfer to GDF. In order to accelerate high hazard and risk reduction by sooner retrieval of legacy material from wetted storage, one of the legacy storage facilities has led technical work to develop the design of Self Shielded Boxes (SSBs) and to substantiate their use for interim storage of the materials in question. Use of the SSBs would represent a change of strategy on the Sellafield Site: historically, timescales for retrieval of material have been reliant upon a waste treatment and storage/disposal route being available. SSBs provide the opportunity to retrieve uranic materials from aging legacy storage facilities for immediate buffer storage, by decoupling the timing of retrieval from the availability of an onward route. An understanding was required of the scope for defining optimal routes for each metallic uranic fuel and fuel bearing material group for safe transport and storage commensurate with current final disposal assumptions and risks, taking into account international best practice. A study is underway to understand options for transfer of material into SSBs, buffer/interim storage locations, treatment/conditioning processes and transport to the GDF. This work forms the basis of a prioritised road-map for the development of routes for study material groups aligned with ongoing and existing planned technical work, which is a pre-requisite to strategy development. The ultimate output of the study will be identification of full life cycle management strategies for metallic uranic material from an enterprise perspective. The combination of this strategic work and ongoing technical work will underpin a series of decisions to divert sub-groups of uranic material away from currently assumed baseline routes in support of earliest practicable hazard and risk reduction. Hence, each decision will reduce the scope of a placeholder future uranic fuel treatment capability, which will diminish the associated British Pound 1 bn capital cost. To date, a technical case for interim storage of uranic material in SSBs has been substantiated for around two thirds of the study materials. The requirement for a new strategy at Sellafield was driven by technical development of SSBs in response to the needs of one programme, but this prompted the study into the potential utilisation of SSBs in order to derive benefit for the wider enterprise and across the NDA estate. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2019

Anomalous Sound Velocities of Antigorite at High Pressure and Implications for Detecting Serpentinization at Mantle Wedges

Elastic properties of antigorite are important for interpretation of seismic mapping of serpentinization in the mantle wedge above subducting slabs. The compressional (V P ) and shear (V S ) wave velocities in pure antigorite aggregates were measured simultaneously up to 8.4 GPa by ultrasonic interferometry. We found that V P increases monotonically with pressure while V S increases with pressure up to about 3 GPa but undergoes a negative pressure dependence above 4 GPa. Compared to other mantle minerals, antigorite exhibits significantly lower P and S wave velocities as well as a higher V P /V S ratio at upper mantle pressures. We modeled velocity reductions manifesting through the formation of antigorite in mantle peridotite and provide compelling evidence that seismic anomalies with low-velocity and high V P /V S ratios is caused by varying degrees of serpentinization in subduction zones.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Distributed Mafic Rock Resources for Carbon Mineralization in Arizona

Ex-situ carbon mineralization is a process by which CO2 is reacted with alkaline silicate minerals and rocks to produce stable carbonate materials, which can be used for other industrial processes. Arizona, U.S.A., hosts abundant surficial mafic rocks in three young volcanic fields, Geronimo-San Bernardino, San Francisco, and Springerville, and other distributed locations throughout the state. We created a Mafic Rock Resource Inventory (MRRI) that categorizes geochemical, physical, and textural characteristics of a diverse suite of surficial mafic rock samples and provide a benchmark reaction dataset parameterizing the temperature, pressure, and pH conditions best suited ex-situ mineralization in different rock types. MRRI data is publicly available online via a map-viewer. We establish two reaction condition sets, varied in temperature, pressure, and pH, where crystal-rich and glassy rocks reach maximum reaction extent and different carbonate phases are formed. Systematic ex-situ mineralization experiments on 21 diverse rock types show trends in geochemical, mineralogical, and reactivity behavior and establish maximum effective capture capacity. From this, scoria cones in three Arizona volcanic fields have a ~62 Gt effective CO₂ storage capacity with one of the fields having a ~42 Gt storage capacity in lava flows. Reactivity results have applications to alkaline mafic rock resources exposed globally, including producing additional effective storage capacity estimates and scaled commercialization of mafic rock ex-situ mineralization, should reaction extents be improved through advances in mineralization techniques. MRRI data were used to create a Direct Air Capture to Mineralization (DACM) systems model, technoeconomic analysis, and life-cycle assessment. These documents are presented as three appendices.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2023

HFTS-1 (Final Report)

Despite the long history of hydraulic fracturing, the optimal number of fracturing stages during multi-stage fracture stimulation in horizontal wells can be a complex subject. In addition to the increased expense of multistage fracturing in horizontal wells, increasing the number of fracturing stages does not always correlate with a commensurate increase in production. The problem is the application of a uniform fracture stimulation design to all stages with no consideration for geological variations along the wellbore. The result is an inefficient use and costly waste of energy and water. Optimization of the fracturing process requires an understanding of the cause-and-effect relationship between fracturing parameters and local geological properties at a given location along the wellbore. Realizing that the generalized rock mechanics theories and hypotheses are not truly applicable to fractured and laminated shales, quantifiable impacts of a shale’s geomechanical and depositional features are a prerequisite for design and implementation of optimized hydraulic fractures. The overarching goal of this project is to understand and define the relationships of shale geology and fracture dynamics using detailed field data that includes coring of the fracture domain. Finally, resource recovery from shale formations is estimated to be less than fifteen percent. Research proposed in this project will establish the foundations for investigating enhanced recovery techniques for increased resource recovery in existing fracture treated wells. Natural gas as an EOR fluid is in the initial stages of being used broadly in the oil and gas industry and as such, many aspects of the process need to be researched and addressed prior to widespread acceptance. In addition, re-fracturing techniques, particularly using cemented liners also need to be further investigated. This project explores several of these EOR techniques in greater detail, not just at the theoretical level, but through actual field test sites. This report delves into the research program, identified tasks, several studies, observations, results, and conclusions under the Hydraulic Fracturing Test Site (HFTS) project. This test project is subdivided into three distinct phases and each phase is discussed in detail under separate sections. The original test site for Phase 1 as well as the Phase 2 site are in Midland Basin in Texas and operated by Laredo Petroleum. In the first two phases, the program targeted the Wolfcamp formation in Midland Basin. Phase 3 of the study targeted the EagleFord play in South Texas with Devon Energy as the operator. Significant conclusions from this study include: 1) lateral and vertical fracture growth mapping as well as proppant transport behavior, 2) Use of field gas and its applicability for huff n puff EOR injection in the Midland Basin, 3) Development and validation of proppant log, both at core scale as well as in-fill well implementation by analyzing drilling mud return samples, 4) Applicability of liner refracturing including best practices for enhanced unit level productivity. This report will detail all these studies as well as technical results and conclusions from said studies. These include general subsurface characterization work, completion designs as implemented, studies looking at fracture geometry, high resolution microseismic study, advanced crosswell strain mapping studies including drainage characterization, core characterization results, proppant analysis (core and observation wells), geochemistry, etc. to name a few.

02 PETROLEUM↗

DOE OSTI2024

Spatial variability in Arctic–boreal fire regimes influenced by environmental and human factors

Abstract Wildfire activity in Arctic and boreal regions is rapidly increasing, with severe consequences for climate and human health. Regional long-term variations in fire frequency and intensity characterize fire regimes. The spatial variability in Arctic–boreal fire regimes and their environmental and anthropogenic drivers, however, remain poorly understood. Here we present a fire tracking system to map the sub-daily evolution of all circumpolar Arctic–boreal fires between 2012 and 2023 using 375 m Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite active fire detections and the resulting dataset of the ignition time, location, size, duration, spread and intensity of individual fires. We use this dataset to classify the Arctic–boreal biomes into seven distinct ‘pyroregions’ with unique climatic and geographic environments. We find that these pyroregions exhibit varying responses to environmental drivers, with boreal North America, eastern Siberia and northern tundra regions showing the highest sensitivity to climate and lightning density. In addition, anthropogenic factors play an important role in influencing fire number and size, interacting with other factors. Understanding the spatial variability of fire regimes and its interconnected drivers in the Arctic–boreal domain is important for improving future predictions of fire activity and identifying areas at risk for extreme events.

Geology↗

DOE OSTI2018

Task 2 Report - A GIS-Based Technical Potential Assessment of Domestic Energy Resources for Electricity Generation

The purpose of this report is to support the Lao Ministry of Energy and Mines (MEM) in assessing the technical potential of domestic energy resources for utility scale electricity generation in the Lao PDR. Specifically, this work provides assessments of technical potential, and associated maps of developable areas, for energy technologies of interest. This report details the methodology, assumptions, and datasets employed in this analysis to provide a transparent, replicable process for future analyses. The methodology and results presented are intended to be a fundamental input to subsequent decision making and energy planning-related analyses. This report is the second output of the Energy Alternatives Study for the Lao PDR (Energy Alternatives Study), a collaboration led by MEM and the United States Agency for International Development under the auspices of the Smart Infrastructure for the Mekong program.1 The Energy Alternatives Study is composed of five successive tasks that collectively support the project’s goals as shown in FIGURE ES-1. This work is focused on Task 2 – Assess technical potential of domestic energy resources for electricity generation . The work was carried out by a team from the U.S. Department of Energy’s National Renewable Energy Laboratory (NREL) in collaboration with MEM and other Lao power sector stakeholders. This work concentrates on domestic energy resources for utility-scale electricity generation and considers solar photovoltaic (PV), wind, biomass, and coal resources. This work does not consider potentially imported energy resources (e.g., natural gas) or domestic energy resources that are not present in sufficient quantity for utility-scale generation (e.g., geothermal resources). A technical potential assessment of hydropower resources is currently not feasible due to the absence of required data including site-level assessments of multiple characteristics (e.g., geology environment and access) as well as spatial data on estimated non-exploited hydropower resources (Lee et al. 2018). Previous studies estimated total hydropower resource potential to be between 23,000 and 26,000 MW, of which approximately 3,894 MW has been developed (IES and MKE 2016; MEM 2015b, 2011). MEM and Électricité du Laos have gained significant experience in the evaluation and development of hydropower resources and expect to develop close to 10,034 MW of additional capacity by 2025 (MEM 2017).

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Displacement Analysis of Geothermal Field Based on PSInSAR And SOM Clustering Algorithms A Case Study of Brady Field, Nevada—USA

The availability of free and high temporal resolution satellite data and advanced SAR techniques allows us to analyze ground displacement cost-effectively. Our aim was to properly define subsidence and uplift areas to delineate a geothermal field and perform time-series analysis to identify temporal trends. A Persistent Scatterer Interferometry (PSI) algorithm was used to estimate vertical displacement in the Brady geothermal field located in Nevada by analyzing 70 Sentinel-1A Synthetic-Aperture Radar (SAR) images, between January 2017 and December 2019. To classify zones affected by displacement, an unsupervised Self-Organizing Map (SOM) algorithm was applied to classify points based on their behavior in time, and those clusters were used to determine subsidence, uplift, and stable regions automatically. Finally, time-series analysis was applied to the clustered data to understand the inflection dates. The maximum subsidence is –19 mm/yr with an average value of –6 mm/yr within the geothermal field. The maximum uplift is 14 mm/yr with an average value of 4 mm/yr within the geothermal field. The uplift occurred on the NE of the field, where the injection wells are located. On the other hand, subsidence is concentrated on the SW of the field where the production wells are located. The coupling of the PSInSAR and the SOM algorithms was shown to be effective in analyzing the direction and pattern of the displacements observed in the field.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2015

Merging high resolution geophysical and geochemical surveys to reduce exploration risk at glass buttes, Oregon

The engineering and studies phase of the Glass Buttes project was aimed at reducing risk during the early stages of geothermal project development. The project’s inclusion of high resolution geophysical and geochemical surveys allowed Ormat to evaluate the value of these surveys both independently and in combination to quantify the most valuable course of action for exploration in an area where structure, permeability, and temperature are the most pressing questions. The sizes of the thermal anomalies at Glass Buttes are unusually large. Over the course of Phase I Ormat acquired high resolution LIDAR data to accurately map fault manifestations at the surface and collected detailed gravity and aeromagnetic surveys to map subsurface structural features. In addition, Ormat collected airborne hyperspectral data to assist with mapping the rock petrology and mineral alteration assemblages along Glass Buttes faults and magnetotelluric (MT) survey to try to better constrain the structures at depth. Direct and indirect identification of alteration assemblages reveal not only the geochemical character and temperature of the causative hydrothermal fluids but can also constrain areas of upflow along specific fault segments. All five datasets were merged along with subsurface lithologies and temperatures to predict the most likely locations for high permeability and hot fluids. The Glass Buttes temperature anomalies include 2 areas, totaling 60 km2 (23 mi2) of measured temperature gradients over 165° C/km (10° F/100ft). The Midnight Point temperature anomaly includes the Strat-1 well with 90°C (194 °F) at 603 m (1981 ft) with a 164 °C/km (10°F/100ft) temperature gradient at bottom hole and the GB-18 well with 71°C (160 °F) at 396 m (1300 ft) with a 182°C/km (11°F/100ft) gradient. The primary area of alteration and elevated temperature occurs near major fault intersections associated with Brothers Fault Zone and Basin and Range systems. Evidence for faulting is observed in each data set as follows. Field observations include fault plane orientations, complicated fault intersections, and hydrothermal alteration apparently pre-dating basalt flows. Geophysical anomalies include large, linear gradients in gravity and aeromagnetic data with magnetic lows possibly associated with alteration. Resistivity low anomalies also appear to have offsets associated with faulting. Hyperspectral and XRF identified alteration and individual volcanic flow units, respectively. When incorporated into a 3D geologic model, the fault intersections near the highest proven temperature and geophysical anomalies provide the first priority targets at Midnight Point. Ormat geologists selected the Midnight Point 52-33 drilling target based on a combination of pre-existing drilling data, geologic field work, geophysical interpretation, and geochemical analysis. Deep temperatures of well 52-33 was lower than anticipated. Temperature gradients in the well mirrored those found in historical drilling, but they decreased below 1500 ft and were isothermal below 2000 ft.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2019

Quantifying EGS Reservoir Complexity with an Integrated Geophysical Approach-Improved Resolution Ambient Seismic Noise Interferometry

The primary goal of the project was met, as improved resolution (from kilometers to tens/hundreds of meters and to a depth of at least 3 km) was added to the seismic interferometry-estimated parameters relative to the work reported in AltaRock Energy Inc. (2014) for the Dixie Valley Geothermal Wellfield. A procedure for initial fault identification, using seismic interferometry, was developed. The project team further improved, and applied a new, cost-effective, and non-invasive exploration method, developed and validated since 2010, during two previous experiments, at Dixie Valley and Soda Lake, Nevada. The method, initially designed for hydrothermal exploration, was adapted to EGS exploration conditions, which require deeper crustal information. Regions of elevated energy for both the 2-7 Hz and 5-15 Hz frequency bands are located above intersections of multiple faults. Thus, an unprecedented, innovative seismic field deployment and ambient seismic noise and signal processing were successfully used to estimate crustal structure and to identify fault locations at depths up to 3 km, at a cost per kilometer of survey that in some cases may be as much as ten times less than the cost of a controlled-source survey. Based on valid and useful seismic data collected and analyzed during Phase I, in Phase II the team has further quantified statistically the advantage of using seismic analysis, in combination with other geological and geophysical techniques, for EGS target identification. A power spectral density analysis of the passive-seismic empirical Green’s functions reveals significantly higher power recorded over the exploration area at the power plant, and in the drilling area, near the BB station 10201, especially on the horizontal components. In this study, the most important relationship observed during the prior report, namely the one between velocity and temperature was explored. The areas that show anomalously high predicted temperature in the geostatistics occur where multiple faults intersect. Not surprisingly, such areas span between the Dixie Valley range front fault and the basin-ward Piedmont faults, in the vicinity of numerous wells. These locations also fall in the area of high EGS favorability from the prior 2014 study. The anomalies also coincide with the high power spectral density values. The result of altering all favorability criteria for the new data reached a maximum of 1/8th of a point and were not large enough to change any favorability value reported in the 2014 study. The new data reinforce the results obtained from the previous 2014 study. The current high-resolution ambient seismic noise project provided excellent results in defining faults in the wellfield. As such the identification of known faults by the project demonstrated the utility of this method for identifying faults at an exploration stage in geothermal development. Such fault identification, while extremely useful in exploration investigation, has not added sufficient new data for the generation of significantly different DVGW favorability maps in the current project. We believe the cost savings of our passive-seismic technique for EGS, over common industry active-source survey techniques, may have a minimum of 30%, and a maximum of 90%. There are many significant non-cost benefits of passive seismic surveys. Our passive-source method provides an environmentally-friendly seismic survey with minimal to negligible impacts. The economic benefit is greater EGS project feasibility.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2023

Evaluation of global teleconnections in CMIP6 climate projections using complex networks

In climatological research, the evaluation of climate models is one of the central research subjects. As an expression of large-scale dynamical processes, global teleconnections play a major role in interannual to decadal climate variability. Their realistic representation is an indispensable requirement for the simulation of climate change, both natural and anthropogenic. Therefore, the evaluation of global teleconnections is of utmost importance when assessing the physical plausibility of climate projections. We present an application of the graph-theoretical analysis tool δ-MAPS, which constructs complex networks on the basis of spatio-temporal gridded data sets, here sea surface temperature and geopotential height at 500 hPa. Complex networks complement more traditional methods in the analysis of climate variability, like the classification of circulation regimes or empirical orthogonal functions, assuming a new non-linear perspective. While doing so, a number of technical tools and metrics, borrowed from different fields of data science, are implemented into the δ-MAPS framework in order to overcome specific challenges posed by our target problem. Those are trend empirical orthogonal functions (EOFs), distance correlation and distance multicorrelation, and the structural similarity index. δ-MAPS is a two-stage algorithm. In the first place, it assembles grid cells with highly coherent temporal evolution into so-called domains. In a second step, the teleconnections between the domains are inferred by means of the non-linear distance correlation. We construct 2 unipartite and 1 bipartite network for 22 historical CMIP6 climate projections and 2 century-long coupled reanalyses (CERA-20C and 20CRv3). Potential non-stationarity is taken into account by the use of moving time windows. The networks derived from projection data are compared to those from reanalyses. Our results indicate that no single climate projection outperforms all others in every aspect of the evaluation. But there are indeed models which tend to perform better/worse in many aspects. Differences in model performance are generally low within the geopotential height unipartite networks but higher in sea surface temperature and most pronounced in the bipartite network representing the interaction between ocean and atmosphere.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2021

Tree Canopies Reflect Mycorrhizal Composition

Mycorrhizae alter global patterns of CO 2 fertilization, carbon storage, and elemental cycling, yet knowledge of their global distributions is currently limited by the availability of forest inventory data. Here, we show that maps of tree-mycorrhizal associations (hereafter “mycorrhizal maps”) can be improved by the novel technology of imaging spectroscopy because mycorrhizal signatures propagate up from plant roots to impact forest canopy chemistry. We analyzed measurements from 143 airborne imaging spectroscopy surveys over 112,975 individual trees collected across 13 years. Results show remarkable accuracy in capturing ground truth observations of mycorrhizal associations from canopy signals across disparate landscapes (R 2 = 0.92, p < 0.01). Additionally, upcoming imaging spectroscopy satellite missions can reveal new insights into landscape-scale variations in water, nitrogen, phosphorus, carotenoid/anthocyanin, and cellulose/lignin composition. Applied globally, this approach could improve the spatial precision of mycorrhizal distributions by a factor of roughly 104 and facilitate the incorporation of dynamic shifts in forest composition into Earth system models.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗