Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Model validation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 541 records · Page 30

An Evaluation of the FLAG Friction Model frictmultiscale2 using the Experiments of Juanicotena and Szarynski

The experiments of Juanicotena and Szarynski, namely T101, T102, and T105 are modeled for purposes of gaining a better understanding of the FLAG friction model frictmultiscale2. This exercise has been conducted as a first step toward model validation. It is shown that with inclusion of the friction model in the numerical analysis, the results of Juanicotena and Szarynski are predicted reasonably well. Without the friction model, simulation results do not match the experimental data nearly as well. Suggestions for follow-on work are included.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Technoeconomics of Particle-based CSP Featuring Falling Particle Receivers with and without Active Heliostat Control

This report documents the results and conclusions of a recent project to understand the technoeconomics of utility-scale, particle-based concentrating solar power (CSP) facilities leveraging unique operational strategies. This project included two primary objectives. The first project objective was to build confidence in the modeling approaches applied to falling particle receivers (FPRs) including the effect s of wind. The second project objective was to create the necessary modeling capability to adequately predict and maximize the annual performance of utility-scale, particle-based CSP plants under anticipated conditions with and without active heliostat control. Results of an extensive model validation study provided the strongest evidence to date for the modeling strategies typically applied to FPRs, albeit at smaller receiver scales. This modeling strategy was then applied in a parametric study of candidate utility-scale FPRs, including both free-falling and multistage FPR concepts, to develop reduced order models for predicting the receiver thermal efficiency under anticipated environmental and operating conditions. Multistage FPRs were found to significantly improve receiver performance at utility-scales. These reduced order models were then leveraged in a sophisticated technoeconomic analysis to optimize utility-scale , particle-based CSP plants considering the potential of active heliostat control. In summary, active heliostat control did not show significant performance benefits to future utility-scale CSP systems though some benefit may still be realized in FPR designs with wide acceptance angles and/or with lower concentration ratios. Using the latest FPR technologies available, the levelized-cost of electricity was quantified for particle-based CSP facilities with nominal powers ranging from 5 MW e up to 100 MW e with many viable designs having costs < 0.06 $/kWh and local minimums occurring between ~25–35 MW e .

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

MASK4 Test Report

Wave energy converters (WECs) are designed to produce useful work from ocean waves. This useful work can take the form of electrical power or even pressurized water for, e.g., desalination. This report details the findings from a wave tank test focused on that production of useful work. To that end, the experimental system and test were specifically designed to validate models for power transmission throughout the WEC system. Additionally, the validity of co-design informed changes to the power take-off (PTO) were assessed and shown to provide the expected improvements in system performance.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

Model Gap Quantification and Evaluation

In the real world, model gaps always exist because models cannot perfectly match the objective physical plants. Model gaps reflect the integrity of models, which is vital for model validation and calibration. This letter proposes a novel approach for model gap quantification and evaluation. First, a comprehensive metric is developed to quantify dynamic model gaps. Next, the model gaps are evaluated from a panoramic view of the probability distribution of the comprehensive metric for multiple scenarios. Finally, we demonstrate the proposed quantification and evaluation approach through synchronous machine models.

Wang, Shaobu↗

High-resolution computational algorithms for simulating offshore wind turbines and farms: Model development and validation

The present project involves the development of modeling and analysis design tools for assessing offshore wind turbine technologies. The computational tools developed herein are able to resolve the effects of the coupled interaction of atmospheric turbulence and ocean waves on aerodynamic performance and structural stability and reliability of offshore wind turbines and farms. Laboratory scale experiments have been carried out to derive data sets for validating the computational models.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Predictive Model for Particle Residence Time Distributions in Riser Reactors. Part 1: Model Development and Validation

Here in this computational study, we model the mixing of biomass pyrolysis vapor with solid catalyst in circulating riser reactors with a focus on the determination of solid catalyst residence time distributions (RTDs). A comprehensive set of 2D and 3D simulations were conducted for a pilot-scale riser using the Eulerian-Eulerian two-fluid modeling framework with and without sub-grid-scale models for the gas-solids interaction. A validation test case was also simulated and compared to experiments, showing agreement in the pressure gradient and RTD mean and spread. For simulation cases, it was found that for accurate RTD prediction, the Johnson and Jackson partial slip solids boundary condition was required for all models and a sub-grid model is useful so that ultra high resolutions grids that are very computationally intensive are not required. Finally, we discovered a 2/3 scaling relation for the RTD mean and spread when comparing resolved 2D simulations to validated unresolved 3D sub-grid-scale model simulations.

09 BIOMASS FUELS↗

PV Performance Modeling - Data and Resources

The Photovoltaic (PV) Performance Modeling Collaborative (PVPMC) organized a blind PV performance modeling intercomparison to allow PV modelers to blindly test their models and modeling ability against real system data. Measured weather and irradiance data were provided along with detailed descriptions of PV systems from two locations (Albuquerque, New Mexico, USA and Roskilde, Denmark). Participants were asked to simulate the plane-of-array irradiance, module temperature, and DC power output from six systems and submit their results to Sandia for processing. This dataset includes seven MS-Excel sheets with instructions, notes and all necessary data (weather, irradiance, temperature, power) used for the data analysis of the blind modeling comparison. The hourly data represent six different systems from Albuquerque, NM and Roskilde, Denmark over a period of one year. These data are useful for PV performance model validation studies.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Atomistic structural ensemble refinement reveals non-native structure stabilizes a sub-millisecond folding intermediate of CheY

The dynamics of globular proteins can be described in terms of transitions between a folded native state and less-populated intermediates, or excited states, which can play critical roles in both protein folding and function. Excited states are by definition transient species, and therefore are difficult to characterize using current experimental techniques. We report an atomistic model of the excited state ensemble of a stabilized mutant of an extensively studied flavodoxin fold protein CheY. We employed a hybrid simulation and experimental approach in which an aggregate 42 milliseconds of all-atom molecular dynamics were used as an informative prior for the structure of the excited state ensemble. The resulting prior was then refined against small-angle X-ray scattering (SAXS) data employing an established method (EROS). The most striking feature of the resulting excited state ensemble was an unstructured N-terminus stabilized by non-native contacts in a conformation that is topologically simpler than the native state. We then predict incisive single molecule FRET experiments, using these results, as a means of model validation. Our study demonstrates the paradigm of uniting simulation and experiment in a statistical model to study the structure of protein excited states and rationally design validating experiments.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

A High-Pressure Shock Tube Study of Hydrogen and Ammonia Addition to Natural Gas for Reduced Carbon Emissions in Power Generation Gas Turbines

Ignition delay times from undiluted mixtures of natural gas (NG)/H2/Air and NG/NH3/Air were measured using a high-pressure shock tube at the University of Central Florida. The combustion temperatures were experimentally tested between 1000-1500 K near a constant pressure of 25 bar. Mixtures were kept undiluted to replicate the same chemistry pathways seen in gas turbine combustion chambers. Recorded combustion pressures exceeded 200 bar due to the large energy release, hence why these were performed at the high-pressure shock tube facility. The data is compared to the predictions of the NUIGMech 1.1 mechanism for chemical kinetic model validation and refinement. An exceptional agreement was shown for stoichiometric conditions in all cases but strayed at lean and rich equivalence ratios, especially in the lower temperature regime of H2 addition and all temperature ranges of the baseline NG mixture. Hydrogen addition also decreased ignition delay times by nearly 90%, while NH3 fuel addition made no noticeable difference in ignition delay time. NG/NH3 exhibited similar chemistry to pure NG under the same conditions, which is shown in a sensitivity analysis, demonstrating hydrogen chemistry to be dominant in NG/H2 mixtures and hydrocarbon chemistry to be dominant in NG/NH3 mixtures. The reaction CH3 + O2 = CH3O + O is identified and suggested as a possible modification target to improve model performance. Increasing the robustness of chemical kinetic models via experimental validation will directly aid in designing next-generation combustion chambers for use in gas turbines, which in turn will greatly lower global emissions and reduce greenhouse effects.

Pierro, Michael↗

Calibration of COBRA-TF and STAR-CCM+ with Dakota 6.5 for CASL

High-to-low (Hi2Lo) is utilizing a validated model in a high resolution code to generate synthetic data for improvement of the same model in a lower resolution code. This process is useful in cases where experimental data does not exist or is not sufficient. Data from the high resolution code is treated as calibration data (with appropriate uncertainties and error bounds) which can be used to train parameters that affect solution accuracy in the lower resolution code model and reduce uncertainty. Implementing the Hi2Lo process between COBRA-TF (CTF) and STAR-CCM+ (STAR) within a Dakota 6.5 framework is the goal of this work. High resolution results provided by STAR will eventually be used in addition to experimental data from Westinghouse Electric Company (WEC) to reduce uncertainty in the CTF model. The scope of the work presented herein is a proof of concept for deterministic calibration using Dakota and is not a demonstration of the Hi2Lo process. CTF temperatures will be calibrated to WEC experimental data as a first demonstration of the calibration process. Validation of the CTF model with experimental data was performed previously.

42 ENGINEERING↗

An Overview of the EGS Collab Project: Field Validation of Coupled Process Modeling of Fracturing and Fluid Flow at the Sanford Underground Research Facility, Lead, SD

Enhanced Geothermal Systems (EGS) development will require an ability to accurately predict the flow rates and temperatures of the production wells. While simple in concept, complex heterogeneous fracture pathways can lead to channeling, short-circuiting, and premature thermal breakthrough complicating EGS. The EGS Collab project will establish a suite of intermediate-scale (~10-20 m) field test beds coupled with stimulation and interwell flow tests to provide a basis to better understand the fracture geometries and processes that control heat transfer between rock and stimulated fractures. These experiments will provide a means of testing tools, codes, and concepts that could later be employed under geothermal reservoir conditions at FORGE and in EGS. We will perform well-controlled, in situ experiments focused on rock fracture behavior and permeability enhancement. Pre- and post-test modeling of each test will allow for model prediction and validation. Comprehensive instrumentation will be used to collect high-quality, high-resolution geophysical and fracture characterization and fluid flow data. ,These data will be analyzed and compared with models and field observations to further elucidate the basic relationships between stress, induced seismicity, and permeability enhancement. To the maximum extent achievable, we will observe and quantify other key governing parameters that impact permeability, and attempt to understand how these parameters might change throughout the development and operation of an EGS project with the goal of enabling commercial viability of EGS. The Sanford Underground Research Facility (SURF) in South Dakota was selected as the EGS Collab project experimental site based on the evaluation of information from several sites. Our team has designed and constructed the first field experiment planned for this project, which is supported by the US Department of Energy’s Geothermal Technologies Office.

EGS, FORGE, field fracture stimulation and flow ex↗

Effect of Soil Properties and Input Motion on Site Amplification Using Validated Nonlinear Soil Model

Here, three-dimensional (3-D) nonlinear site response analyses are conducted using finite element models of actual soil profiles from ten nuclear power plant (NPP) sites in the United States to investigate the effects of soil properties and input motions on site amplification. The modeling approach developed in this study combines several novel elements, such as 3-D analysis (including vertical motions), nonlinear inelastic behavior of soil (strain-dependent shear modulus reduction and hysteretic damping), formulation of nonreflecting boundary conditions at the base, and generation of realistic outcrop ground motions for specific sites. All these elements of the modeling approach are first validated using actual data from five earthquakes at three downhole array stations recorded in the Kiban-Kyoshin network (KiK-net), Japan. The same approach is then used to develop site models of ten NPP sites in the United States and corresponding ground motions that are spectrally matched to the site hazard spectra. Eight sets of three-component input motions are used in the study and are categorized on the basis of presence or absence of a near-field pulse in the seed ground motions used for spectral matching. It is found that all sites retain a definite site amplification function regardless of the input motion, provided that the seed motion is spectrally matched to the site hazard spectra. The magnitude of site amplification and frequencies at which they occur depend upon soil properties, particularly the shear wave velocity profile and the constitutive relationship (strain-dependent shear modulus reduction and hysteretic damping) of soil. Amplification of spectral acceleration in the vertical direction (up-down motion) is found to be just as much as, if not more than, the amplification in the horizontal direction. Peak shear strain is found to be about 20% larger for near-field motions compared to far-field motions whereas maximum horizontal site amplification for far-field motions is found to be consistently larger than that of near-field motions, even though the differences between the two remain within the scatter resulting from individual ground motions.

99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗

Uncertainty Propagation Analysis of Computational Models in Laser Powder Bed Fusion Additive Manufacturing Using Polynomial Chaos Expansions

Computational models for simulating physical phenomena during laser-based powder bed fusion additive manufacturing (L-PBF AM) processes are critical for enhancing our understanding of these phenomena, enable process optimization, and accelerate qualification and certification of AM materials and parts. It is a well-known fact that such models typically involve multiple sources of uncertainty that originate from different sources such as model parameters uncertainty, or model/code inadequacy, among many others. Uncertainty quantification (UQ) is a broad field that focuses on characterizing such uncertainties in order to maximize the benefit of these models. Although UQ has been a center theme in computational models associated with diverse fields such as computational fluid dynamics and macro-economics, it has not yet been fully exploited with computational models for advanced manufacturing. The current study introduces one among the first efforts to conduct uncertainty propagation (UP) analysis in the context of L-PBF AM. More specifically, we present a generalized polynomial chaos expansions (gPCE) framework to assess the distributions of melt pool dimensions due to uncertainty in input model parameters. We develop the methodology and then employ it to validate model predictions, both through benchmarking them against Monte Carlo (MC) methods and against experimental data acquired from an experimental testbed.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Validation of implosion modeling through direct-drive shock timing experiments at the National Ignition Facility

Precise modeling of shocks in inertial confinement fusion implosions is critical for obtaining the desired compression in experiments. Shock velocities and post-shock conditions are determined by laser-energy deposition, heat conduction, and equations of state. This paper describes experiments at the National Ignition Facility (NIF) where multiple shocks are launched into a cone-in-shell target made of polystyrene, using laser pulse shapes with two or three pickets and varying on-target intensities. Shocks are diagnosed using the Velocity Interferometric System for Any Reflector diagnostic. Simulated and inferred shock velocities agree well for the range of intensities studied in this work. These results are the first shock-velocity measurements using direct drive on the NIF and provide a good measure of early-time, directly driven laser-energy coupling. Furthermore, the validated models add to the credibility of direct-drive-ignition designs at the megajoule scale.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Dynamic Model of Basic Oxygen Steelmaking Process Based on Multi-zone Reaction Kinetics: Model Derivation and Validation

A multi-zone kinetic model coupled with a dynamic slag generation model was developed for the simulation of hot metal and slag composition during the basic oxygen furnace (BOF) operation. The three reaction zones (i) jet impact zone, (ii) slag–bulk metal zone, (iii) slag–metal–gas emulsion zone were considered for the calculation of overall refining kinetics. In the rate equations, the transient rate parameters were mathematically described as a function of process variables. A micro and macroscopic rate calculation methodology (micro-kinetics and macro-kinetics) were developed to estimate the total refining contributed by the recirculating metal droplets through the slag–metal emulsion zone. The micro-kinetics involves developing the rate equation for individual droplets in the emulsion. The mathematical models for the size distribution of initial droplets, kinetics of simultaneous refining of elements, the residence time in the emulsion, and dynamic interfacial area change were established in the micro-kinetic model. In the macro-kinetics calculation, a droplet generation model was employed and the total amount of refining by emulsion was calculated by summing the refining from the entire population of returning droplets. A dynamic Fe{sub t}O generation model based on oxygen mass balance was developed and coupled with the multi-zone kinetic model. The effect of post-combustion on the evolution of slag and metal composition was investigated. The model was applied to a 200-ton top blowing converter and the simulated value of metal and slag was found to be in good agreement with the measured data. The post-combustion ratio was found to be an important factor in controlling Fe{sub t}O content in the slag and the kinetics of Mn and P in a BOF process.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Numerical Model Development and Validation for the WECCOMP Control Competition: Preprint

This paper details the development and validation of a numerical model of the Wavestar wave energy converter (WEC) in WEC-Sim. This numerical model was developed in support of the WEC Control Competition (WECCCOMP), an open competition with the objective of maximizing WEC power production through innovative control strategies. WECCCOMP has two stages: numerical implementation of control strategies, and experimental implementation. The work presented in this paper is for support of the stage one numerical implementation, where contestants are provided a WEC-Sim model of the Wavestar device to develop their control algorithms.

16 TIDAL AND WAVE POWER↗

“Max-tech FHR”: What is the maximum technically achievable water delivery capacity from a single 120 V plug?

Electrifying water heating will require affordable, direct drop-in replacements for existing gas water heaters that meet consumer expectations for hot water delivery. For many replacement scenarios, affordability requires a replacement option with like-for-like physical product dimensions, and existing consumer expectations presume a large delivery capacity from a small water heater. This work explores the technical potential for hot water delivery capacity for a heat pump water heater (HPWH) powered from a common 120 V plug. Delivery capability in this work is quantified by two metrics: the First Hour Rating (FHR) defined in the Code of Federal Regulations, and a real-world draw profile that resulted in hot water runout during field studies of 120 V HPWHs. The work focuses on the common “tall-and-slim” gas water heater product category, with external product dimensions of 20 inch diameter and 60 inch height. Using a simulation model in DOE/ORNL Heat Pump Design Model, validated by experimental baseline testing of a commercially available 120 V HPWH model, several measures were evaluated to maximize the delivery capacity of a 120 V HPWH. The 120 V HPWH was constrained by 1) external product dimensions of 20 in diameter and 60 inch height, 2) electrical power of 1.5 kW (85% of the available power from a dedicated 120 V, 15 A circuit), and 3) commercially-available components. The measures implemented included a large compressor, a pumped loop with plate heat exchanger to maximize tank stratification, enlarged heat exchangers, and relatively thin insulation to maximize the water storage volume.

Gluesenkamp, Kyle↗

Statistical and Neural Network for Real Sensor-Data-Driven Anomaly Detection in Nuclear Applications

Anomaly detection (AD) in sensor data is critical to ensure uninterrupted functionality of nuclear power plants (NPPs). Consequently, AD model validation through real-world sensor data is important for applications in nuclear facilities. In this paper, we propose an Autoencoder (AE)—a multi-layered neural network, for AD in sensor data from an operational NPP testbed. Since the dataset lacks labels for irregularities, we introduce random noise and label them to effectively train our model. The proposed AE model assigns a higher reconstruction error to the abnormal samples that deviate from those encountered during the training phase and uses the reconstruction loss to detect anomalies in a representative imbalanced dataset. We also introduce an analytical solution—seasonal trend decomposition (STD)—as another AD scheme for identifying irregularities withinthe same time-series dataset. In contrast to the AE model which relies on reconstruction loss, the STD scheme decomposes the entire dataset into its trend, seasonality, and residual components to pinpoint irregularities. Our findings indicate that the proposed AE and STD models individually achieve recall scores of 97% and 92%, respectively. We validate the performance of the two models on both balanced and imbalanced data. We further solidify the results by picking the combined selected anomalies of the two solutions with an "AND" operator for more reliable predictions.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗