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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 541 records · Page 30

Sensitivity Analysis and Uncertainty Quantification of the Feynman Y and Sm 2

Neutron multiplicity counting (NMC) experiments are frequently used to perform non-destructive assay (NDA) of special nuclear material (SNM) [2]. While the behavior of a critical or nearly critical system is well described by the mean count rate, which is the mean of the NMC distribution, the behavior of a highly subcritical system exhibits large fluctuation in time. Fission chains do not last long enough to overlap and thus the neutron population is relatively small with a large dispersion. The system behavior must therefore be described in terms of higher-order NMC distribution moments.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Sensitivity Analysis and Uncertainty Quantification Applied to the Feynman Y and Sm 2

Neutron multiplicity counting (NMC) experiments are frequently used to perform non-destructive assay (NDA) of special nuclear material (SNM), but MCNPR© code simulations of the counting distribution that were performed by Miller have revealed over-calibration in the value of the Pu-239ν¯. Mattingly has demonstrated the procedure for deterministic calculations of the counting distribution moments and O’Brien implemented a first-order, adjoint-based sensitivity analysis (SA) methodology applied to the counting distribution moments. In this report, these techniques are used to apply SA/uncertainty quantification (UQ) to the Feynman Y and Sm 2 , which are ratios of the counting distribution moments. Sm 2 is less sensitive to the cross sections than Y and therefore has less variance due to covariance in the cross sections than Y .

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

Mathematical Foundations for Uncertainty Quantification in Materials Design. Final Report

Final report DE-SC0010723. Our key accomplishment in the first year of the grant is that we started developing pathwise information theory-based and goal-oriented sensitivity analysis and parameter identification methods for complex high-dimensional dynamics and in particular of nonequilibrium extended systems. The combination of these novel methodologies provide the first methods in the literature which are capable to handle UQ questions for stochastic complex systems with some or all of the following features: (a) multi-scale models with a very large number of parameters, (b) spatially distributed systems such as Kinetic Monte Carlo or Langevin Dynamics, (c) non-equilibrium processes typically associated with coupled physico-chemical mechanisms, driven boundary conditions, etc. The first two such publications sponsored by the grant, have just been published.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Status Report on Uncertainty Quantification and Sensitivity Analysis Tools in the Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) Framework

The Spent Fuel and Waste Science and Technology (SFWST) Campaign of the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) Office of Nuclear Energy (NE), Office of Fuel Cycle Technology (FCT) is conducting research and development (R&D) on geologic disposal of spent nuclear fuel (SNF) and high-level nuclear waste (HLW). Two high priorities for SFWST disposal R&D are design concept development and disposal system modeling. These priorities are directly addressed in the SFWST Geologic Disposal Safety Assessment (GDSA) control account, which is charged with developing a geologic repository system modeling and analysis capability, and the associated software, GDSA Framework, for evaluating disposal system performance for nuclear waste in geologic media. GDSA Framework is supported by SFWST Campaign and its predecessor the Used Fuel Disposition (UFD) campaign.

11 NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗

Fast Computational Algorithms for Partial Differential Equations and Uncertainty Quantifications

This project concerned the construction, testing and analysis of computational algorithms for solving parameterized and stochastic partial differential equations. The study and understanding of equations of this type is of fundamental importance in numerous engineering and scientific applications. Examples include simulation of plasma dynamics in models of electric propulsion and nuclear fusion, simulation of multiphase flows, such as the flow of water, gas and oil in reservoirs, and structural analysis of the dependence of structures on materials. Parametrization is used in such settings when properties of the models such as viscosity of fluids or electric resistivity of materials are not precisely understood and instead are treated as random variables. The resulting solutions are themselves random, and having such solutions will enable engineers to use probabilistic methods to assess the likelihood of events, for example, whether a pollutant in a liquid will exceed a limit, and to use such analyses to develop ways to ensure positive outcomes. Construction of accurate (high resolution) computational solutions is expensive, requiring significant computer time and computational resources, and there is need to reduce computational cost to make simulation useful and effective. The aim of the project was to construct algorithms to efficiently compute surrogate solutions to parameterized problems to allow for efficient and accurate simulation. The technical approach used focused on two related strategies, based on rank-reduction methods and reduced-order models. These methods construct surrogate solutions of parameter-dependent models by projection or interpolation into low-dimensional approximation spaces. Cost savings are achieved if the low-dimensional spaces can be identified and constructed efficiently and if the resulting low-dimensional algebraic systems can be solved cheaply. Accomplishments include: Theoretical and empirical demonstration of the effectiveness of fast multigrid solution strategies for computing low-rank representations of parameter-dependent solutions to discrete partial differential equations, including the first proof establishing so-called textbook convergence properties for low-rank methods. Development of efficient solution algorithms for solving nonlinear parameter-dependent partial differential equations used in models of fluid dynamics. Developent of efficient algorithms for low-rank representation of solutions of time-dependent simulations of fluid dynamics using multi-dimensional tensor representations of solutions.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Uncertainty Quantification in High Explosives Equations of State [Slides]

In order to fit models to data, we need a way to simulate the data given a model. Our projects involved simulators for the Manganin gauge experiment and for cylinder tests, which we use to calibrate models to experiments. We call the parameters we seek to optimize the degrees of freedom (DOF). We use a Bayesian approach with its associated UQ benefits.

45 MILITARY TECHNOLOGY, WEAPONRY, AND NATIONAL DEF↗