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DOE OSTI2019

Molecular dynamics discovery of an extraordinary ionic migration mechanism in dislocation-containing TlBr crystals

TlBr can surpass CZT as the leading semiconductor for γ- and X-radiation detection. Unfortunately, the optimum properties of TlBr quickly decay when an operating electrical field is applied. Quantum mechanical studies indicated that if this property degradation comes from the conventional mechanism of ionic migration of vacancies, then an unrealistically high vacancy concentration is required to account for the rapid aging of TlBr seen in experiments. Here, we have applied large scale molecular dynamics simulations to study the effects of dislocations on ionic migration of TlBr crystals under electrical fields. We found that electrical fields can drive the motion of edge dislocations in both slip and climb directions. These combined motions eject enormous vacancies in the dislocation trail. Both dislocation motion and a high vacancy concentration can account for the rapid aging of the TlBr detectors. These findings suggest that strengthening methods to pin dislocations should be explored to increase the lifetimes of TlBr crystals.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2018

Quinone-mediated electrochemical O2 reduction accessing high power density with an off-electrode heterogeneous catalyst

New methods for interconversion of electrical and chemical energy are crucial to address emerging challenges in renewable energy storage and conversion. Dissolved redox mediators provide an effective means to transport electrons (and protons) between an electrode and catalysts that are not in direct physical contact with an electrode. Mediators are widely implemented in biofuel cells, but such devices typically exhibit low power densities. Here, we report the development of a tetrasubstituted quinone mediator that exhibits excellent stability under strongly acidic conditions and supports electrochemical reduction of O2 at an off-electrode heterogeneous cobalt catalyst contained within a packed-bed reactor. Efficient oxidation of the hydroquinone by O2 in the reactor provides the basis for mediator regeneration, and an integrated “flow cathode” system supports high fuel-cell power densities. These results establish the combination of organic mediators with off-electrode heterogeneous catalysts as a versatile platform for development of new electrode-driven chemical redox transformations.

Preger, Yuliya↗

DOE OSTI2021

Predicting Characteristics of the Water Cycle From Scaling Relationships

Over multi-decadal time scales, assuming that changes in subsurface water storage are negligible, the continental precipitative water flux, P, can be divided into two principal components, Q (run-off, including soil infiltration and groundwater recharge) and ET (evapotranspiration). Taking into account a broadly applied Budyko's phenomenology to describe the relationship of ET/P as a function of PET/P, where PET is the potential evapotranspiration, we propose a theoretical framework for predicting characteristics of the water cycle from scaling relationships. In this framework, the ecosystem net primary productivity is expressed in terms of soil formation and vegetation growth, which is mathematically optimized with respect to the water partitioning, generating directly the value ET/P. Here, the mathematical optimization is based on the general ecological principle that dominant ecosystems tend to be those that, for any given conditions, maximize conversion of atmospheric carbon to biomass. It is shown that application of the results of mathematical optimization to water-limited ecosystems is possible by applying the optimization only to a vegetation covered portion of the surface. For energy-limited ecosystems, the optimization can be applied only to a portion of the precipitation equal to PET, assuming that the remaining P simply runs off. We use theoretical and actual values of plant root fractal dimensionalities, d f , to predict ranges of ET/P as a function of PET/P for 0 ≤ PET/P ≤ 1 and compare with annual and multi-decadal means of ET/P. By comparing the developed approach with a large amount of data collected from the literature, we demonstrate its successful applications to both water- and energy-limited systems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2019

Decorrelating the errors of the galaxy correlation function with compact transformation matrices

Abstract Covariance matrix estimation is a persistent challenge for cosmology, often requiring a large number of synthetic mock catalogues. The off-diagonal components of the covariance matrix also make it difficult to show representative error bars on the 2-point correlation function (2PCF) since errors computed from the diagonal values of the covariance matrix greatly underestimate the uncertainties. We develop a routine for decorrelating the projected and anisotropic 2PCF with simple and scale-compact transformations on the 2PCF. These transformation matrices are modelled after the Cholesky decomposition and the symmetric square root of the Fisher matrix. Using mock catalogues, we show that the transformed projected and anisotropic 2PCF recover the same structure as the original 2PCF while producing largely decorrelated error bars. Specifically, we propose simple Cholesky-based transformation matrices that suppress the off-diagonal covariances on the projected 2PCF by ${\sim } 95{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$ and that on the anisotropic 2PCF by ${\sim } 87{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$. These transformations also serve as highly regularized models of the Fisher matrix, compressing the degrees of freedom so that one can fit for the Fisher matrix with a much smaller number of mocks.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

DOE OSTI2019

Methodology for Estimating Safe Charge Limits of Flammable Refrigerants in HVAC&R Applications - Part 2

This report provides a detailed description of the development of a reduced order model (ROM) that could be used for estimation of safe charge limits based on a computational fluid dynamics (CFD) parametric study. The ROM was developed to simulate leak events from a single side-wall duct penetration into a room and provide estimates of refrigerant concentration together with flammable volume fraction (FVF), accumulated fuel volume (AFV) and other outputs vs. time. The ROM is based on a range of seven parameters listed in Table ES1 and assumes that the AC unit air circulation blower is off. A total of 586 CFD “training” cases were run and used as the basis for development and training or calibration of the ROM. The regression analysis used to develop the ROM was performed in Tasmanian ( T oolkit for A daptive S tochastic M odeling A nd N on- I ntrusive A pproximatio N ). This is a tool developed at ORNL for high-dimensional integration, interpolation and parameter calibration. Comparison of the ROM vs. several CFD test cases (at points not used in the training set) showed maximum absolute and root mean square errors (RMSE) for FVF of 1.32% and 0.5%, respectively. Initial CFD runs were conducted to gauge the sensitivity of the results to each parameter. Based on the findings, the numbers of design of experiment (DoE) levels for each parameter was determined. Then, for each parameter, Tasmanian calculated the value of each level and defined a DoE of 586 unique CFD simulation cases.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2019

Machine Learning for Solar Technology Portfolio Management

Technology readiness level (TRL) labeling and forecasting today is done entirely manually. A computationally-assisted model of a TRL-like classification for estimation and tracking could enable a research and development (R&D) portfolio manager to more accurately estimate the relative level of development for technologies in that portfolio. This report describes the work to understand readiness level systems, train a machine learning algorithm to recognize textual indicators of particular readiness levels within written material from carefully chosen case studies in renewable technology development, and apply that algorithm to predict the readiness levels of other technology development cases. We account for the results of each step of the work conducted, including the predictive accuracy of the trained model: 54% correct, within a +/-1 readiness level error threshold and a root mean squared error of 1.88. Great potential remains to improve and apply this model for management of individual projects and across portfolios.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2019

Machine Learning for Solar Technology Portfolio Management

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Mitigating field emission in SSR2 cryomodules for PIP-II

The SSR2 cavities for PIP-II have consistently been affected by field emission since the first cold tests with the unity coupler. A comprehensive root cause analysis was conducted to investigate the origin of this issue and to identify the fabrication, processing, and handling factors that have the greatest impact on field emission onset. New techniques were developed and effectively implemented to achieve field emission-free SSR2 cavities. In addition, effort was dedicated both to relating the radiation level measured at the test stand with the expected levels in the LINAC tunnel and to understand the evolution of field emission through the assembly steps. The challenge of overcoming field emission also led to a reassessment of design choices, enhancing our understanding of their effects on cavity performance.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2025

From tides to seasons: How cyclic tidal drivers and plant physiology interact to affect carbon cycling at the terrestrial-estuarine boundary (Final technical report)

Coastal ecosystems are among the most biologically and biogeochemically active and diverse systems on Earth. Because they act as important linkages between terrestrial ecosystems and the open ocean, their incorporation in Earth system models (ESMs) is critical to predict coastal and global responses to environmental changes. However, they vary greatly in the magnitude of tides and the volume and timing of freshwater input from land, making it challenging to model the major biogeochemical reactions that control productivity and greenhouse gas emissions across coastal terrestrial aquatic interfaces (TAIs). Our overall objective was to improve mechanistic process understanding and modeling of tidal wetland hydro-biogeochemistry in coastal TAIs. We established a new flux tower site (Ameriflux US-PLo) in the oligohaline part of the Parker River to continuously monitor ecosystem-scale carbon fluxes under temporally varying salinity conditions. The site is co-located with long-term monitoring plots of the Plum Island Ecosystems LTER project. We installed wells and redox sensors in the marsh interior and creek bank, established biomass monitoring plots and deployed novel optode sensors in both locations. We used this data to parameterize plant-mediated transport in PFLOTRAN and tested the impact of soil heterogeneity on porewater constituents and gas fluxes. We collected observations of root oxygen release with a novel planar optode system in the field. Flux data collected during the measurement period encompasses a large variation in salinity ranging from drought to record precipitation years. We developed a method to extract functional relationships from the flux data using artificial neural networks, identifying salinity thresholds for CH 4 fluxes. Finally, we are using the coupled ELM-PFLOTRAN model to test the impact of antecedent hydrological conditions on the salinity-CH 4 flux relationship. This grant contributed to the professional development of one postdoc, three research assistants and one graduate student. The sensor data has been shared with external collaborators.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2023

Non-Semisimple TQFT's and BPS q -Series

We propose and in some cases prove a precise relation between 3-manifold invariants associated with quantum groups at roots of unity and at generic q. Both types of invariants are labeled by extra data which plays an important role in the proposed relation. Bridging the two sides - which until recently were developed independently, using very different methods - opens many new avenues. In one direction, it allows to study (and perhaps even to formulate) q-series invariants labeled by spin c structures in terms of non-semisimple invariants. In the opposite direction, it offers new insights and perspectives on various elements of non-semisimple TQFT's, bringing the latter into one unifying framework with other invariants of knots and 3-manifolds that recently found realization in quantum field theory and in string theory.

3-manifold invariants↗

DOE OSTI2026

Development and Validation of Low-Cost, High-Reflectance Composite CSP Facets: SIPS Final Report

This work investigates the various challenges associated with developing heliostat structural composite facets using 1 mm glass mirrors. Such facets are desirable for Concentrating Solar Power because 1 mm glass mirrors provide an absolute increase in reflectivity of 2-3 % over the industry standard of 4 mm glass mirrors. Prototypes of paraboloid composite facets with 1 mm glass mirrors were constructed that have a root mean square slope error on the order of 2 mrad while achieving greater than 96% reflectivity. These facets were constructed using a low-quality aluminum mold and a bill of materials that show potential to achieve cost parity with existing 4 mm glass mirrors supported by structural steel. The facets produced were able to survive up to 50 mm hail ball impacts and were robust against accelerated environmental cycling designed to expose durability concerns. Further work is needed to develop a scalable and cost-effective manufacturing process with a similar bill of materials.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2017

Large Area Atomically Flat Surfaces via Exfoliation of Bulk Bi 2 Se 3 Single Crystals

In this paper, we present an exfoliation method that produces cm 2 -area atomically flat surfaces from bulk layered single crystals, with broad applications such as for the formation of lateral heterostructures and for use as substrates for van der Waals epitaxy. Single crystals of Bi 2 Se 3 were grown using the Bridgman method and examined with X-ray reciprocal space maps, Auger spectroscopy, low-energy electron diffraction, and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy. An indium-bonding exfoliation technique was developed that produces multiple ~100 um thick atomically flat, macroscopic (>1 cm 2 ) slabs from each Bi 2 Se 3 source crystal. Two-dimensional X-ray diffraction and reciprocal space maps confirm the high crystalline quality of the exfoliated surfaces. Atomic force microscopy reveals that the exfoliated surfaces have an average root-mean-square (RMS) roughness of ~0.04 nm across 400 μm 2 scans and an average terrace width of 70 um between step edges. First-principles calculations reveal exfoliation energies of Bi 2 Se 3 and a number of other layered compounds, which demonstrate relevance of our method across the field of 2D materials. While many potential applications exist, excellent lattice matching with the III-V alloy space suggests immediate potential for the use of these exfoliated layered materials as epitaxial substrates for photovoltaic development.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2023

Root Cause Analysis of Degradation in Protonic Ceramic Electrochemical Cell with Interfacial Electrical Sensors Using Data‐Driven Machine Learning

Abstract Protonic ceramic electrochemical cells (PCECs) offer promising paths for energy storage and conversion. Despite considerable achievements made, PCECs still face challenges such as physiochemical compatibility between componenets and suboptimal solid–solid contact at the interfaces between the electrolytes and electrodes. In this study, a novel approach is proposed that combines in situ electrochemical characterization of interfacial electrical sensor embedded PCECs and machine learning to quantify the contributions of different cell components to total degradation, as well as to predict the remaining useful life. The experimental results suggest that the overpotential induced by the oxygen electrode is 48% less than that of oxygen electrode/electrolyte interfacial contact for up to 1171 h. The data‐driven machine learning simulation predicts the RUL of up to 2132 h. The root cause of degradation is overpotential increase induced by oxygen electrode, which accounts for 82.9% of total cell degradation. The success of the failure diagnostic model is demonstrated by its consistency with degradation modes that do not manifest in electrolysis fade during early real operations. This synergistic approach provides valuable insights into practical failure diagnosis of PCECs and has the potential to revolutionize their development by enabling improved performance prediction and material selection for enhanced durability and efficiency.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

DOE OSTI2016

High-Throughput Computation and the Applicability of Monte Carlo Integration in Fatigue Load Estimation of Floating Offshore Wind Turbines

Long-term fatigue loads for floating offshore wind turbines are hard to estimate because they require the evaluation of the integral of a highly nonlinear function over a wide variety of wind and wave conditions. Current design standards involve scanning over a uniform rectangular grid of metocean inputs (e.g., wind speed and direction and wave height and period), which becomes intractable in high dimensions as the number of required evaluations grows exponentially with dimension. Monte Carlo integration offers a potentially efficient alternative because it has theoretical convergence proportional to the inverse of the square root of the number of samples, which is independent of dimension. In this paper, we first report on the integration of the aeroelastic code FAST into NREL's systems engineering tool, WISDEM, and the development of a high-throughput pipeline capable of sampling from arbitrary distributions, running FAST on a large scale, and postprocessing the results into estimates of fatigue loads. Second, we use this tool to run a variety of studies aimed at comparing grid-based and Monte Carlo-based approaches with calculating long-term fatigue loads. We observe that for more than a few dimensions, the Monte Carlo approach can represent a large improvement in computational efficiency, but that as nonlinearity increases, the effectiveness of Monte Carlo is correspondingly reduced. The present work sets the stage for future research focusing on using advanced statistical methods for analysis of wind turbine fatigue as well as extreme loads.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2022

The role of deviatoric stress and dislocations on the α to ω phase transformation in Ti

Under extreme conditions, α-Ti becomes unstable and transforms either into β-Ti at high temperature or into ω-Ti at high pressure. In what concerns the α to ω phase transformation (PT), there has been a wide range of experimentally reported transition pressures from approximately 2 to 15 GPa at room temperature. Deviatoric stresses and internal defects are often assumed to be the root cause of this variation. Here, in this study, these postulates are revisited using both continuum mechanics and molecular dynamics (MD) simulations. First, a simple continuum model, assuming linear elasticity and isotropic plasticity, is developed to describe the effects of applied stress and dislocations on the stability of an ω nucleus in an infinite α domain. Second, a new MD simulation method is developed to generate an ω nucleus in the α domain utilizing the displacement field identified from the topological analysis. Results from MD simulations show that despite the fact that phase diagrams typically delineate the limits between two phases in terms of only P and T, deviatoric stress promotes the α to ω phase transformation by reducing the critical radius above which an ω nucleus is stable. Furthermore, the required deviatoric stress to nucleate and stabilize a nanoscale ω nucleus is likely emanating from the internal stress of defects such as dislocations. The MD-informed micromechanics models are used to identify favorable configurations where dislocations help favor the α to ω transformation. These configurations show that the interaction with a basal or prismatic dislocation reduces the critical radius of a ω nucleus by about 10 or 16 %, respectively. In addition, prismatic edge dislocations are found to promote the growth of ω nucleus when interacting with the ($\bar{1}$$\bar{1}$20) α //(0001) ω interface. Importantly, a simple model of the arrival of dislocation at an ω nucleus suggests that PT does not necessarily require a pile-up to be present but could alternatively be mediated by a constant rapid flow of dislocations.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Coarsening dynamics of Ising-nematic order in a frustrated Heisenberg antiferromagnet

We study the phase ordering dynamics of the classical antiferromagnetic 𝐽 1 −𝐽 2 (nearest-neighbor and next-nearest-neighbor couplings) Heisenberg model on the square lattice in the strong frustration regime (𝐽 2 /𝐽 1 > 1/2). While thermal fluctuations preclude any long-range magnetic order at finite temperatures, the system exhibits a long-range spin-driven nematic phase at low temperatures. The transition into the nematic phase is further shown to belong to the two-dimensional Ising universality class based on the critical exponents near the phase transition. Our large-scale stochastic Landau-Lifshitz-Gilbert simulations find a two-stage phase ordering when the system is quenched from a high-temperature paramagnetic state into the nematic phase. In the early stage, collinear alignments of spins lead to a locally saturated Ising-nematic order. Once domains of well-defined Ising order are developed, the late-stage relaxation is dominated by curvature-driven domain coarsening, as described by the Allen-Cahn equation. The characteristic size of Ising-nematic domains scales as the square root of time, similar to the kinetic Ising model described by the time-dependent Ginzburg-Landau theory. Our results confirm that the late-stage ordering kinetics of the spin-driven nematic, which is a vestigial order of the frustrated Heisenberg model, belongs to the dynamical universality class of a nonconserved Ising order. Interestingly, the system shows no violation of the superuniversality hypothesis under weak bond disorder. The dynamic scaling invariance is preserved in the presence of weak bond disorder. Here, we also discuss possible applications of our results to materials for which vestigial Ising-nematic order is realized.

Antiferromagnets↗

DOE OSTI2021

Autonomous Sensor System for Wind Turbine Blade Collision Detection

This paper presents an automated blade collision detection system for use on wind turbines, toward the goal of supporting monitoring and quantitative assessment of wind energy impacts on wildlife. A wireless, multisensor module mounted at the blade root measures surface vibrations, and a blade-mounted camera provides image capture of colliding objects. Using sensor data recorded during field testing of the system on an operational wind turbine, we present the development, training, and testing of automated detection algorithms for collision detection using machine-learning approaches. In particular, we compare the use of a new two-step, anomaly-based classification algorithm with conventional adaptive boosting and amplitude-based detection techniques, where the two-step approach improves average precision for the experimental data set. This integrated sensor and classification systems demonstrates a new approach for automated, on-blade collision detection for wind turbines, with broad utility across structural health monitoring applications.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2017

A Workflow for Visual Diagnostics of Binary Classifiers using Instance-Level Explanations

In this paper, we propose a visual analytics workflow to help data scientists explore, diagnose, and understand the decisions made by a binary classifier. The approach leverages “instance-level explanations”, measures of local feature relevance that explain single instances and uses them to build a set of visual representations that guide the users in their investigation. The workflow is based on three main visual representations and steps: one based on aggregate statistics to see how data distributes across correct or incorrect decisions; one based on explanations to understand which features are used to make these decisions; and one based on raw data, to derive insights on potential root causes for the observed patterns. The work is validated through a long-term collaboration with a group of healthcare professionals who used our method to make sense of machine learning models they developed. The case studies from this collaboration demonstrate that the proposed method helps experts derive useful knowledge about the model and the phenomena it describes and also generates useful hypotheses on how a model can be improved.

Krause, Josua↗