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At least 559 records · Page 31

An update to the Sandia method for creating Typical Meteorological Years from a limited pool of calendar years

Typical Meteorological Years (TMYs) are essential for the efficient evaluation of energy system performance. Ideally, 30 years of weather data are required to generate TMYs, but significantly fewer years are typically available due to practical limitations. To address this issue, an update to the Sandia method was developed, referred to as the Argonne method, to create TMYs from a limited number of years. Furthermore, this method enhances candidate diversity by systematically shifting original candidate months forward or backward by specific days, creating an expanded pool of candidates. The effectiveness of the Argonne method was validated through statistical testing, comparison of monthly average weather parameters, and numerical simulations. The results demonstrate a high probability of identifying at least one shifted month whose cumulative distribution functions of weather parameters closely align with long-term distributions. In 67 % of all comparisons, the monthly average weather parameters in TMYs generated using the Argonne method exhibit better agreement with long-term averages than TMY3. Moreover, in 74 % of the 318 building simulation cases, the Argonne method outperforms TMY3 in estimating long-term average building heating and cooling demands. Therefore, the Argonne method effectively diversifies the candidate pool and produces typical years that provide more accurate estimations of long-term averages compared to TMY3 when only a limited pool of calendar years (10 years or fewer) is available.

Building energy modeling↗

Cu{sub 22}Bi{sub 12}S{sub 21}Cl{sub 16}-A mixed conductor with fast one-dimensional copper(I) ion transport

Melting reactions of Cu, CuCl, S, and Bi{sub 2}S{sub 3} yield black, shiny needles of Cu{sub 22(1)}Bi{sub 12}S{sub 21(1)}Cl{sub 16(1)}. The compound decomposes peritectically at 649(5) K. Oxidation state +I of the copper atoms is supported by Cu-K-XANES. The compound crystallizes in the hexagonal space group P6/m with a=2116.7(7) pm and c=395.17(5) pm. Seven anions coordinate each of the two independent bismuth cations in the shape of mono-capped trigonal prisms. These polyhedra share edges and faces to form trigonal and hexagonal tubes running along [0 0 1]. The hexagonal tubes are centered by chloride ions, which are surrounded by disordered copper cations. The majority of copper cations are distributed over numerous sites between the tubes. The Joint Probability Density Function (JPDF) reveals a continuous pathway along [0 0 1]. The high mobility of the copper cations along [0 0 1] was demonstrated by impedance spectroscopy and DC polarization measurements on single crystals. The ionic conductivity at 450 K is about {sigma}{sub ion}=0.06 S cm{sup -1}, and the activation energy for Cu{sup +} ion conduction is E{sub a}=0.44 eV. The chemical diffusion coefficient of copper is in the order of D{sub cu}{sup {delta}=}10{sup 19} cm{sup -3} at 420 K. The electronic band gap (p-type conductor) was determined as E{sub g}=0.06 eV. At room temperature the thermal conductivity of a pressed pellet is about {kappa}=0.3 W K{sup -1} m{sup -1} and the Seebeck coefficient is S=43 {mu}V K{sup -1}. -- Graphical Abstract: Copper cations easily move through the rigid tubular crystal structure of Cu{sub 22}Bi{sub 12}S{sub 21}Cl{sub 16}. Display Omitted

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Observable consequences of event-by-event fluctuations of HBT radii

We explore the effects of event-by-event fluctuations of Hanbury Brown–Twiss (HBT) radii and show how they can be observed experimentally. The relation of measured HBT radii extracted from ensemble-averaged correlation functions to the mean of their event-by-event probability distribution is clarified. Here, we propose a method to experimentally determine the mean and variance of this distribution and test it on an ensemble of fluctuating events generated with the viscous hydrodynamic code VISH2+1. Using the same code, the sensitivity of the mean and variance of the HBT radii to the specific QGP shear viscosity $\eta$/s is studied. We report sensitivity of the mean pion HBT radii and their variances to the temperature dependence of \eta/s near the quark-hadron transition at a level similar (10-20%) to that which was previously observed for elliptic and quadrangular flow of charged hadrons.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗

On the possibility of singlet fission in crystalline quaterrylene

Singlet fission (SF), the spontaneous down-conversion of a singlet exciton into two triplet excitons residing on neighboring molecules, is a promising route to improve organic photovoltaic (OPV) device efficiencies by harvesting two charge carriers from one photon. However, only a few materials have been discovered that exhibit intermolecular SF in the solid state, most of which are acene derivatives. Recently, there has been a growing interest in rylenes as potential SF materials. We use many-body perturbation theory in the GW approximation and the Bethe-Salpeter equation to investigate the possibility of intermolecular SF in crystalline perylene and quaterrylene. Here, a new method is presented for determining the percent charge transfer (%CT) character of an exciton wave-function from double-Bader analysis. This enables relating exciton probability distributions to crystal packing. Based on comparison to known and predicted SF materials with respect to the energy conservation criterion (E S -2E T ) and %CT, crystalline quaterrylene is a promising candidate for intermolecular SF. Furthermore, quaterrylene is attractive for OPV applications, thanks to its high stability and narrow optical gap. Perylene is not expected to exhibit SF; however, it is a promising candidate for harvesting sub-gap photons by triplet-triplet annihilation.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Evolution of the age-included nearest pair distribution in disperse multiphase flows

The age of the nearest particle pair is introduced as the difference between the current time and the most recent time when the nearest particle pair was formed. The evolution equation for the age-included nearest pair distribution function is derived. With the assumption of random destruction of the nearest particle pairs, the evolution equation predicts the exponential probability distribution of the ages of the nearest particle pairs. Particle-resolved numerical simulations with moving particles are performed to verify this prediction. The equation is then used to derive the evolution equation for the particle–fluid–particle (PFP) stress, which is known to be related to hyperbolicity of the two-fluid equations. It is found that the relaxation time of the age probability distribution is also the relaxation time for the PFP stress. Guided by the closure terms in the PFP stress evolution equation, we study kinematics of the nearest particle pairs in the particle-resolved simulations for flows caused by sedimentation of the particles with initially isotropic and homogeneous particle distributions. At the steady states, the particle Reynolds numbers are around 20. Anisotropy and inhomogeneity of particle distributions are seen to develop in these flows. The mean distances to the nearest particles and evolution of the distribution of the Voronoi cell volumes are studied. We also found the PFP stress is closely related to the changes in these inter-particle scale quantities.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

On the evolution of the density probability density function in strongly self-gravitating systems

The time evolution of the probability density function (PDF) of the mass density is formulated and solved for systems in free-fall using a simple approximate function for the collapse of a sphere. We demonstrate that a pressure-free collapse results in a power-law tail on the high-density side of the PDF. The slope quickly asymptotes to the functional form P{sub V} (ρ)∝ρ{sup –1.54} for the (volume-weighted) PDF and P{sub M} (ρ)∝ρ{sup –0.54} for the corresponding mass-weighted distribution. From the simple approximation of the PDF we derive analytic descriptions for mass accretion, finding that dynamically quiet systems with narrow density PDFs lead to retarded star formation and low star formation rates (SFRs). Conversely, strong turbulent motions that broaden the PDF accelerate the collapse causing a bursting mode of star formation. Finally, we compare our theoretical work with observations. The measured SFRs are consistent with our model during the early phases of the collapse. Comparison of observed column density PDFs with those derived from our model suggests that observed star-forming cores are roughly in free-fall.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Correlated rattling-ion origins of dielectric properties in reentrant dipole glasses BaTiO{sub 3}-BiScO{sub 3}

The local structure of the pseudo-cubic solid solution 0.6BaTiO{sub 3}-0.4BiScO{sub 3}, which exhibits reentrant dipole-glass behavior, has been determined using the Reverse Monte Carlo method to simultaneously fit (1) neutron and X-ray total scattering data (including the corresponding real-space pair-distribution functions), (2) Bi and Sc extended X-ray absorption fine structure, and (3) patterns of diffuse scattering in electron diffraction. These structural refinements revealed the multi-site probability density distributions for both Bi (14-sites) and Ti (8 sites), whereas Ba and Sc featured normal unimodal distributions. Bi atoms are displaced along both the 〈111〉 and 〈100〉 directions, while Ti atoms are shifted along 〈111〉. Correlated dynamic hopping of Bi and Ti over their corresponding split sites combined with chemical disorder is proposed as the origin of the strong frequency dispersion observed in dielectric measurements. The existence of split sites also explains the reentrant dipole-glass behavior reported for this system.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Detector Response Function and Directional Gamma-Ray Source Calculations for Polaris

A Directional Unfolded Source Term (DUST) method was developed to compute directionally resolved gamma-ray source terms based on back-projection spectra synthesized by Compton Cameras. Spectral features in the unprocessed spectra are indistinct primarily because the rotational angles for the conical projections cannot be determined, so probability distributions are constructed from overlapping cones. The DUST method uses an angular response function to compute a covariance matrix, which is used to process count rates in back-projection spectra by linear regression to partition the gamma-rays among several spatial regions. This method was applied to analyze data collected by the Polaris detector during an evaluation that was conducted at Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL). The evaluation includes measurements of calibration sources with angular separations ranging from 1° to more than 50°. Measurements were also performed for cylindrical depleted uranium castings and a 137 Cs source inside a large polyethylene sphere. The DUST algorithm was able to differentiate gamma-rays emitted by 137 Cs and 60 Co when the sources were separated by less than 2°, but separation greater than 10° was required to isolate the 133 Ba emission from gamma-rays emitted by the other sources. The computed source terms were consistent with emission profiles from the calibration sources and from models of the spatially-extended sources. Methods for viewing radiation profiles were also evaluated because user input is required to select spatial regions of interest.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Minimizing Uncertainties Impact in Decision Making with an Applicability Study for Economic Power Dispatch

This report summaries the work performed under the LDRD project on the preliminary study on knowledge automation, where specific focus has been made on the investigation of the impact of uncertainties of human decision making onto the optimization of the process operation. At first the statistics on signals from the Brain-Computing Interface (BCI) is analyzed so as to obtain the uncertainties characterization of human operators during the decision making phase using the electroencephalogram (EEG) signals. This is then followed by the discussions of an architecture that reveals the equivalence between optimization and closed loop feedback control design, where it has been shown that all the optimization problems can be transferred into the control design problem for closed loop systems. This has led to a “closed loop” framework, where the structure of the decision making is shown to be subjected to both process disturbances and controller’s uncertainties. The latter can well represent the uncertainties or randomness occurred during human decision making phase. As a result, a stochastic optimization problem has been formulated and a novel solution has been proposed using probability density function (PDF) shaping for both the cost function and the constraints using stochastic distribution control concept. A sufficient condition has been derived that guarantees the convergence of the optimal solution and discussions have been made for both the total probabilistic solution and chanced constrained optimization which have been well-studied in optimal power flows (OPF) area. A simple case study has been carried out for the economic dispatch of powers for a grid system when there are distributed energy resources (DERs) in the system, and encouraging results have been obtained showing that a significant savings on the generation cost can be expected.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

Using Complex Probability Amplitudes to Simulate Solute Transport in Composite Porous Media

Probability amplitudes are fundamental to quantum mechanics and offer robust descriptions of complicated systems, which have allowed physicists to explain behaviors inaccessible to classical physics. This article ponders how some of the same conceptual underpinnings of the mathematics used for modeling quantum systems might be applied to subsurface water resources problems and speculates how these tools could facilitate applications on quantum computers. A probability amplitude-based model for describing advective-dispersive transport in porous media using linear operators is investigated. The proposed complex valued model decomposes spreading into two “sub-continuum partial dispersion” coefficients, and this recovers classical spreading when the sum of these coefficients is the Fickian dispersion coefficient. However, the probability amplitudes have a manyto-one relationship to a probability distribution, so it embeds a level of heterogeneity into seemingly equivalent functions. Two propagators with different sub-continuum coefficients may have the same macroscopic behavior when either is considered in isolation, but when they act on the other the system’s behavior changes. Additionally, differences in the amplitudes cause a reduction in spreading as velocity correlations are disrupted, despite both propagators having identical dispersion coefficients, and this cannot be achieved using classical methods without changing the dispersion coefficient. The main point is that these amplitude-based models offer a way to embed information about the system into the propagators, instead of just “averaging it out” when making an upscaled model.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Cosmological constraints from the convergence 1-point probability distribution

Here, we examine the cosmological information available from the 1-point probability density function (PDF) of the weak-lensing convergence field, utilizing fast l-picola simulations and a Fisher analysis. We find competitive constraints in the Ω m–σ8 plane from the convergence PDF with 188 arcmin 2 pixels compared to the cosmic shear power spectrum with an equivalent number of modes (ℓ < 886). The convergence PDF also partially breaks the degeneracy cosmic shear exhibits in that parameter space. A joint analysis of the convergence PDF and shear 2-point function also reduces the impact of shape measurement systematics, to which the PDF is less susceptible, and improves the total figure of merit by a factor of 2–3, depending on the level of systematics. Finally, we present a correction factor necessary for calculating the unbiased Fisher information from finite differences using a limited number of cosmological simulations.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Quantum theory with an energy operator defined as a quartic form of the momentum

Quantum theory of the non-harmonic oscillator defined by the energy operator proposed by Yurke and Buks (2006) is presented. Although these authors considered a specific problem related to a model of transmission lines in a Kerr medium, our ambition is not to discuss the physical substantiation of their model. Instead, we consider the problem from an abstract, logically deductive, viewpoint. Using the Yurke–Buks energy operator, we focus attention on the imaginary-time propagator. We derive it as a functional of the Mehler kernel and, alternatively, as an exact series involving Hermite polynomials. For a statistical ensemble of identical oscillators defined by the Yurke–Buks energy operator, we calculate the partition function, average energy, free energy and entropy. Using the diagonal element of the canonical density matrix of this ensemble in the coordinate representation, we define a probability density, which appears to be a deformed Gaussian distribution. A peculiarity of this probability density is that it may reveal, when plotted as a function of the position variable, a shape with two peaks located symmetrically with respect to the central point.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

Measurement of probability distributions for internal stresses in dislocated crystals

Here, we analyse residual stress distributions obtained from various crystal systems using high resolution electron backscatter diffraction (EBSD) measurements. Histograms showing stress probability distributions exhibit tails extending to very high stress levels. We demonstrate that these extreme stress values are consistent with the functional form that should be expected for dislocated crystals. Analysis initially developed by Groma and co-workers for X-ray line profile analysis and based on the so-called “restricted second moment of the probability distribution” can be used to estimate the total dislocation density. The generality of the results are illustrated by application to three quite different systems, namely, face centred cubic Cu deformed in uniaxial tension, a body centred cubic steel deformed to larger strain by cold rolling, and hexagonal InAlN layers grown on misfitting sapphire and silicon carbide substrates.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

PHOTOMETRIC REDSHIFTS AND QUASAR PROBABILITIES FROM A SINGLE, DATA-DRIVEN GENERATIVE MODEL

We describe a technique for simultaneously classifying and estimating the redshift of quasars. It can separate quasars from stars in arbitrary redshift ranges, estimate full posterior distribution functions for the redshift, and naturally incorporate flux uncertainties, missing data, and multi-wavelength photometry. We build models of quasars in flux-redshift space by applying the extreme deconvolution technique to estimate the underlying density. By integrating this density over redshift, one can obtain quasar flux densities in different redshift ranges. This approach allows for efficient, consistent, and fast classification and photometric redshift estimation. This is achieved by combining the speed obtained by choosing simple analytical forms as the basis of our density model with the flexibility of non-parametric models through the use of many simple components with many parameters. We show that this technique is competitive with the best photometric quasar classification techniques-which are limited to fixed, broad redshift ranges and high signal-to-noise ratio data-and with the best photometric redshift techniques when applied to broadband optical data. We demonstrate that the inclusion of UV and NIR data significantly improves photometric quasar-star separation and essentially resolves all of the redshift degeneracies for quasars inherent to the ugriz filter system, even when included data have a low signal-to-noise ratio. For quasars spectroscopically confirmed by the SDSS 84% and 97% of the objects with Galaxy Evolution Explorer UV and UKIDSS NIR data have photometric redshifts within 0.1 and 0.3, respectively, of the spectroscopic redshift; this amounts to about a factor of three improvement over ugriz-only photometric redshifts. Our code to calculate quasar probabilities and redshift probability distributions is publicly available.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Bayesian calibration of thermodynamic parameters for geochemical speciation modeling of cementitious materials

Chemical equilibrium modeling of cementitious materials requires aqueous-solid equilibrium constants of the controlling mineral phases (K{sub sp}) and the available concentrations of primary components. Inherent randomness of the input and model parameters, experimental measurement error, the assumptions and approximations required for numerical simulation, and inadequate knowledge of the chemical process contribute to uncertainty in model prediction. A numerical simulation framework is developed in this paper to assess uncertainty in K{sub sp} values used in geochemical speciation models. A Bayesian statistical method is used in combination with an efficient, adaptive Metropolis sampling technique to develop probability density functions for K{sub sp} values. One set of leaching experimental observations is used for calibration and another set is used for comparison to evaluate the applicability of the approach. The estimated probability distributions of K{sub sp} values can be used in Monte Carlo simulation to assess uncertainty in the behavior of aqueous-solid partitioning of constituents in cement-based materials.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Microscopic study of 4{alpha}-particle condensation with inclusion of resonances

The 4{alpha} condensate state for {sup 16}O is discussed with the Tohsaki-Horiuchi-Schuck-Roepke (THSR) wave function which has {alpha}-particle condensate character. With a treatment of resonances, it is found that the 4{alpha} THSR wave function yields a fourth 0{sup +} state in the continuum above the 4{alpha}-breakup threshold, in addition to the three 0{sup +} states obtained in a previous analysis. It is shown that this fourth 0{sup +} [(0{sub 4}{sup +}){sub THSR}] state has a structure analogous to that of the Hoyle state because it has a very dilute density and a large component of {alpha}+{sup 12}C(0{sub 2}{sup +}) configuration. Furthermore, single-{alpha} motions are extracted from the microscopic 16-nucleon wave function, and the condensate fraction and momentum distribution of {alpha} particles are quantitatively discussed. It is found that for the (0{sub 4}{sup +}){sub THSR} state a large {alpha}-particle occupation probability concentrates on a single-{alpha} 0S orbit and the {alpha}-particle momentum distribution has a {delta}-function-like peak at zero momentum, both indicating that the state has a strong 4{alpha} condensate character. It is argued that the (0{sub 4}{sup +}){sub THSR} state is the counterpart of the 0{sub 6}{sup +} state which was obtained as the 4{alpha} condensate state in the previous 4{alpha} orthogonality condition model calculation and therefore is likely to correspond to the 0{sub 6}{sup +} state observed at 15.1 MeV. The necessity of including {alpha}+{sup 12}C configurations in the THSR wave function is pointed out.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗