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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 559 records · Page 31

High entropy powering green energy: hydrogen, batteries, electronics, and catalysis

A reformation in energy is underway to replace fossil fuels with renewable sources, driven by the development of new, robust, and multi-functional materials. High-entropy materials (HEMs) have emerged as promising candidates for various green energy applications, having unusual chemistries that give rise to remarkable functionalities. This review examines recent innovations in HEMs, focusing on hydrogen generation/storage, fuel cells, batteries, semiconductors/electronics, and catalysis—where HEMs have demonstrated the ability to outperform state-of-the-art materials. We present new master plots that illustrate the superior performance of HEMs compared to conventional systems for hydrogen generation/storage and heat-to-electricity conversion. We highlight the role of computational methods, such as density functional theory and machine learning, in accelerating the discovery and optimization of HEMs. The review also presents current challenges and proposes future directions for the field. We emphasize the need for continued integration of modeling, data, and experiments to investigate and leverage the underlying mechanisms of the HEMs that are powering progress in sustainable energy.

batteries↗

Catalytic Approaches to C–O Activation in Biorenewable Feedstocks

The carbon present in biomass (the largest renewable source on the planet) continues to tempt us as a possible replacement for the carbon we currently obtain from fossil fuels. As we have recently reviewed, the challenges of extracting chemically useful feedstocks from biorenewables, and, especially, cellulosics, is largely under-developed relative to the maturity of the technologies for deriving industrially useful chemicals from petroleum. This ultimately boils down to problems in functionalization catalysis (for oil) versus defunctionalization (for cellulosics). The technology gap for achieving the selective defunctionalization of cellulosic feedstocks is much larger than it is for petroleum functionalization. This assessment suggests that the problem is not that bio-renewable feedstocks are fundamentally flawed from an economic and chemical sustainability perspective, but that we lack the technologies for deoxygenating cellulosic to more valuable chemicals. Bozell and Petersen have argued that integrated biorefineries will require a suite of products for viability (in analogy to an integrated petroleum refinery). These products will range from low-value high-volume energy related products (i.e. fuels) to high-value low-volume compounds focused on specialty markets and pharmaceuticals. The latter, although less impactful in terms of volume, is a critical economic component of the future integrated biorefinery. Our review was stimulated by their assessment of the state of the biorefinery and focused on the available chemistries for achieving low-volume high-value outcomes. To help fill this technology gap, we seek new catalytic technologies for synthesizing high-value chemicals from cellulosics and take the view that the inherent chirality of C 6 O 6 feedstocks will provide valuable materials for specialty and pharmaceutical applications, but only if one can achieve site-selective reactions that don’t denude the stereochemistry inherent to the sugars. Eliminative methods are less desirable as this deoxygenation scheme removes multiple stereocenters. The research plan outlined herein seeks methods for site-selective deoxygenation reactions that lead to high value specialty/pharma products.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Throughfall exclusion and fertilization effects on tropical dry forest tree plantations, a large-scale experiment

Abstract. Across tropical ecosystems, global environmental change is causing drier climatic conditions and increased nutrient deposition. Such changes represent large uncertainties due to unknown interactions between drought and nutrient availability in controlling ecosystem net primary productivity (NPP). Using a large-scale manipulative experiment, we studied for 4 years whether nutrient availability affects the individual and integrated responses of aboveground and belowground ecosystem processes to throughfall exclusion in 30-year-old mixed plantations of tropical dry forest tree species in Guanacaste, Costa Rica. We used a factorial design with four treatments: control, fertilization (F), drought (D), and drought + fertilization (D + F). While we found that a 13 %–15 % reduction in soil moisture only led to weak effects in the studied ecosystem processes, NPP increased as a function of F and D + F. The relative contribution of each biomass flux to NPP varied depending on the treatment, with woody biomass being more important for F and root biomass for D + F and D. Moreover, the F treatment showed modest increases in maximum canopy cover. Plant functional type (i.e., N fixation or deciduousness) and not the experimental manipulations was the main source of variation in tree growth. Belowground processes also responded to experimental treatments, as we found a decrease in nodulation for F plots and an increase in microbial carbon use efficiency for F and D plots. Our results emphasize that nutrient availability, more so than modest reductions in soil moisture, limits ecosystem processes in tropical dry forests and that soil fertility interactions with other aspects of drought intensity (e.g., vapor pressure deficit) are yet to be explored.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

The Artificial Intelligence Ontology: LLM-Assisted Construction of AI Concept Hierarchies

The Artificial Intelligence Ontology (AIO) is a systematization of artificial intelligence (AI) concepts, methodologies, and their interrelations. Developed via manual curation, with the additional assistance of large language models (LLMs), AIO aims to address the rapidly evolving landscape of AI by providing a comprehensive framework that encompasses both technical and ethical aspects of AI technologies. The primary audience for AIO includes AI researchers, developers, and educators seeking standardized terminology and concepts within the AI domain. We use the term “branches” for classes, and their subclasses, in our ontology that are subclasses of owl:Thing. AIO contains eight branches: Bias, Layer, Machine Learning Task, Mathematical Function, Model, Network, Preprocessing, and Training Strategy, each designed to support the modular composition of AI methods and facilitate a deeper understanding of deep learning architectures and ethical considerations in AI. AIO uses the Ontology Development Kit (ODK) for its creation and maintenance, with its content being more easily updated through AI-driven curation support. This approach not only ensures the ontology's relevance amidst the fast-paced advancements in AI but also significantly enhances its utility for researchers, developers, and educators by simplifying the integration of new AI concepts and methodologies. The ontology's utility is demonstrated through the annotation of AI methods data in a catalog of AI research publications and the integration into the BioPortal ontology resource, highlighting its potential for cross-disciplinary research. The AIO ontology is open source and is available on GitHub ( https://w3id.org/aio/ ) and BioPortal ( https://bioportal.bioontology.org/ontologies/AIO ).

Joachimiak, Marcin P. [Biosystems Data Science Dep↗

Bioleaching ion-unexchangeable rare earth in ion-adsorption type rare earth waste tailing

Ion-adsorption type rare earth ores (IREO) in China serve as the primary source of medium and heavy rare earth globally. With the rapidly growing demand for rare earth elements (REEs) and the dwindling supply of premium IREO, enhancing the recovery of REEs, especially the ion-unexchangeable REEs with ultra-low content and ambiguous speciation from IREO or its tailing, has become a critical trend and challenge. Here, this study identified the occurrences of ion-unexchangeable REEs, primarily detected in Fe-enriched minerals, xenotime, and monazite of IREO using TESCAN integrated mineral analyzer (TIMA) and laser ablation inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometer (LA-ICP-MS) analysis. To extract these elusive REEs, a bioleaching technique utilizing Aspergillus niger (A. niger) metabolites was proposed, achieving a leaching yield of 31.4 wt%. Complementary sequential chemical extraction methods (SCEM), X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy (XPS), and density functional theory (DFT) calculations further elucidate the underlying mechanism, involving the carboxylic acid produced by the metabolic process of microbes that dissolves goethite by disrupting Fe—O bonds and liberating REEs, which complexed with carboxylate (R—COO—), to promote further dissolution. This work offers insight into enhancing the recovery of ion-unexchangeable REEs from IREO or its tailing, paving the way for sustainable and efficient rare earth mining practices.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Progress on Optimizing Wind Farms and Rotor Designs Using Adjoints

Modern wind plants are increasingly tasked with multiple performance objectives. In addition to designing plants that maximize power output and minimize the levelized cost of energy (LCOE), the design and operation of wind plants is increasingly influenced by challenges regarding grid integration of variable generation renewables. This places a growing emphasis on making wind plants more controllable and predictable. WindSE is a Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes (RANS) model designed around analytical gradient and adjoint methods, with the ability to capture terrain-induced effects, as shown in Figure 1. The recent addition of an unsteady solver with an actuator line method (ALM) and ongoing work to enable massively parallel optimizations gives it a unique niche to explore coupled plant-level controls and design problems. This code is an open source python package built on the FEniCS framework that utilizes fast, parallel PETSc solvers to model fluid flow throughout wind-farm scale domains. Two recent studies performed using WindSE demonstrate the capability to optimize under a wide variety of flow conditions and objective functions. In the first, we present an optimization focused on modifying the layout of a wind farm with a fixed number of turbines for maximum total power output [1]. This study highlights the ability to quickly perform simulations using the steady Navier-Stokes solver combined with rotors represented as actuator disks while also stressing the importance of capturing terrain-induced effects. Gradient-based optimization using the RANS equations is viable due to the inclusion of efficiently computed adjoint derivatives. We interpret the physical results of the optimal layout and also discuss the computational cost of scaling to larger problems. In the second study, we present the capabilities of the unsteady Navier-Stokes solver, where rotor-blade profiles represented by actuator lines are optimized to enhance wake steering effects and overall power production [2]. We quantify the wind plant performance gains obtained from this type of simultaneous control co-design optimization as compared to optimizing the blade design and yaw independently. Figure 2 shows the differences between a baseline two-turbine system and an optimized system where we fine-tune the blade chord profile. Results and challenges from each study are quickly summarized and used to motivate the current development efforts within WindSE. Current and future work is focused on enabling higher-resolution studies with more degrees of freedom through parallelization of both the simulation and optimization algorithms. We present benchmarking results to show that WindSE performs well in both weak- and strong-scaling tests and further demonstrate that the optimizer obtains the same convergence rates in both shared- and distributed-memory environments. Using larger wind farms, we can study deep-array effects within an optimization context, allowing the use of objective functions that have been previously unstudied. As an example, we present ongoing work on a blockage metric which characterizes the loss of available kinetic energy due to wake effects from multiple upstream turbines.

adjoint optimization↗

Fabrication of Catalytic Distillation Membranes with Atomic Layer Deposition

The integration of catalysts onto the surface of membranes enables simultaneous physical separation and catalytic transformation of constituents in a feed stream, facilitating improved contaminant removal and fouling mitigation. Distillation membranes are a particularly attractive platform for catalytic membranes because they reject nonvolatile species and exhibit exceptional resistance to oxidative and radical-driven degradation. However, imparting catalytic functionality onto hydrophobic, porous distillation membranes has proven challenging since the membranes used are chemically inert and difficult to modify. Furthermore, catalysts on the membrane surface can decrease hydrophobicity and increase the membrane’s susceptibility to pore wetting and failure. In this work, we create a catalytic distillation membrane by coating a polytetrafluoroethylene membrane surface with titanium dioxide (TiO 2 ) via plasma-assisted atomic layer deposition (ALD). By precisely tuning the ALD parameters, we demonstrate localized growth of TiO 2 near (within approximately 1 μm) the surface of polytetrafluoroethylene membranes, forming a catalytically active interface while preserving the underlying hydrophobic pore structure. Localized growth of TiO 2 is confirmed by electron microscopy and spectroscopy techniques, and membranes coated with 500 cycles of ALD show pressure tolerance up to 12.8 bar and higher than 95% salt rejection in pressure-driven distillation. Photocatalytic activity is demonstrated via the degradation of methylene blue dye under UV irradiation, where increasing TiO2 loading leads to an enhancement in dye degradation. These results establish a general strategy for integrating catalytic functionality into chemically inert, hydrophobic membranes without compromising distillation performance, providing a pathway toward multifunctional membranes that couple advanced oxidation with membrane separation for water treatment.

atomic layer deposition↗

Decentralized Voltage and Power Control of Multi-Machine Power Systems With Global Asymptotic Stability

Maintaining power system stability is becoming urgent due to the large-scale interconnection of power grids and the high penetration of uncertain renewable energy sources. The excitation control and governor control of synchronous generators have been considered as two crucial measures for enhancing the power system stability. However, a major challenge is to simultaneously achieve global asymptotic stability (GAS), voltage regulation (VR), and power regulation (PR) in the excitation and governor control. In this paper, a Lyapunov-based decentralized control (LBC) is proposed to address this challenge. The time-derivative of the Lyapunov function is designed by the feedback control of synchronous generators in order to guarantee GAS. VR and PR are ensured by considering voltage and power deviations as the feedback variables. The simulation results on the New-England ten-machine power system validate the effectiveness of the proposed LBC in improving power system transient stability and simultaneously achieving VR and PR. Although the proportional-integral- and power system stabilizer-based control can also perform VR and PR, the proposed control has much better dynamic performance and can more significantly improve the system transient stability.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

A Maize GT14 Family Glycosyltransferase Affects Cell Wall Composition and Carbohydrate Export from Source Leaves

Sucrose translocation from photosynthetic leaves to distant parts of a plant, such as seeds and roots, is a critical aspect of plant growth and development and a major determinant of crop yield. To identify genes contributing to this process in maize (Zea mays), we isolated four allelic mutants, carbohydrate partitioning defective7, 48, 49 (cpd7, cpd48, cpd49) and a UniformMu insertion (mu1049954), all of which exhibited reduced growth and fertility and hyperaccumulation of starch and soluble sugars in mature leaves. Consistent with carbohydrate accumulation, cpd7 mutants exhibited reduced sucrose export from mature leaves. Cpd7 encodes a Golgi-resident glucuronosyltransferase belonging to the Glycosyltransferase14 (GT14) family, which is involved in decoration of type II arabinogalactan proteins. No previously described GT14 mutants exhibit reduced sucrose transport or carbohydrate partitioning defects. Additionally, we show that mature leaves of cpd7 mutants have reduced cellulose content and an altered cell wall composition. Further, cpd7 mutants exhibit ectopic phloem lignification likely as a compensatory mechanism for reduced cell wall integrity. Collectively, our data suggest that Cpd7 functions to facilitate cell wall development in the phloem, which is required for efficient sucrose export from mature maize leaves.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Announcing the Biomedical Data Translator: Initial Public Release

ABSTRACT The growing availability of biomedical data offers vast potential to improve human health, but the complexity and lack of integration of these datasets often limit their utility. To address this, the Biomedical Data Translator Consortium has developed an open‐source knowledge graph–based system—Translator—designed to integrate, harmonize, and make inferences over diverse biomedical data sources. We announce here Translator's initial public release and provide an overview of its architecture, standards, user interface, and core features. Translator employs a scalable, federated, knowledge graph framework for the integration of clinical, genomic, pharmacological, and other biomedical knowledge sources, enabling query retrieval, inference, and hypothesis generation. Translator's user interface is designed to support the exploration of knowledge relationships and the generation of insights, without requiring deep technical expertise and gradually revealing more detailed evidence, provenance, and confidence information, as needed by a given user. To demonstrate Translator's application and impact, we highlight features of the user interface in the context of three real‐world use cases: suggesting potential therapeutics for patients with rare disease; explaining the mechanism of action of a pipeline drug; and screening and validating drug candidates in a model organism. We discuss strengths and limitations of reasoning within a largely federated system and the need for rich concept modeling and deep provenance tracking. Finally, we outline future directions for enhancing Translator's functionality and expanding its data sources. Translator represents a significant step forward in making complex biomedical knowledge more accessible and actionable, aiming to accelerate translational research and improve patient care.

Research & Experimental Medicine↗

Continuous Integration, In-Code Documentation, and Automation for Nuclear Quality Assurance Conformance

The Multiphysics Object Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) is an open-source, finite element framework for solving highly coupled sets of nonlinear equations. The development of the framework and applications occurs concurrently using an agile, continuous-integration software package. Included in the framework is an in-code, extensible documentation system. Using these two tools in union with the repository management tools GitHub and GitLab, a software quality plan was created and followed such that MOOSE and a MOOSE-based application (BISON) have been shown to meet the American Society of Mechanical Engineers’ Nuclear Quality Assurance-1 standard. The approach relies heavily on automation for both testing and documentation. The resulting effort demonstrates that a rigorous software quality plan may be implemented that incurs a minimal impact on day-to-day development of the software, satisfying the stringent guidelines necessary to operate the software in a safety function within a nuclear facility.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

Change vs. Transformation, Hard Edges to Soft - The Role of Integrated Land Use Planning in the Adaptive Reuse of Contaminated Sites - 16431

Between the bookends of World War II and the Cold War, numerous cycles of up-sizing, down-sizing, and right sizing resulted in changing needs for federal real property to support government missions. The end of the Cold War has yielded many opportunities for reuse of federal facilities as defense-related property needs have been lessened. These federal facilities have both a historic and an environmental legacy, from radionuclides to unexploded ordnance to landfills and everything in between. Private-sector manufacturing sites have been especially affected by changing market demands. Obsolescence and advancing technologies have made the 'have to have it' product into the 'what was that for?' The result has been thousands of hectares (acres) of contaminated land throughout the country. While site histories go back in time, it is the environmental cleanup contaminants that have the ability to go forward in time and influence the future use of a site. Demonstrating that property conditions are protective of human health and the environment facilitates reuse options for these properties. Site reuse creates land for communities to attract businesses, grow their tax bases, add open space, and implement sustainability efforts, such as renewables, or set the property aside for future possibilities. A broad range of sites have been made available across the country as a result of federal mission changes and changed economic market conditions affecting private industry. This broad range of properties should have similarly broad recipes for reuse. Even with the constraints of zoning, topographic/natural conditions and use restrictions necessitated by past operations, the pathways to creative, adaptive, and sustainable reuse can be taken by integrating the planning with the remediation or, in a more community-sensitive approach, by integrating the remediation with the planning. Situations do exist where a like-kind use is an ideal reuse option, but a redevelopment of sameness need not be a foregone conclusion. Unlike the operational and imposed environments from which these sites came, with their engineered features often developed in a systematic manner with straight lines and hard edges, they can indeed be transformed into functional, relaxed, and engaging places and be productive again. A site's transformation can begin with how the remediation incorporates sustainable techniques that consider the future use of a site, and how the sustainable remediation can dovetail with the community's reuse plans. Rather than building on Greenfields and extending infrastructure and services to more distant locations, many communities are looking within their already developed footprints for growth possibilities. For some communities this is their only source of growth. Stigmatized and challenged as they may be to reuse, the nation's excess, under-utilized, surplus, and abandoned industrial past presents opportunities well worth considering for improvement to local and regional economies. Communities that are engaged in remediation and reuse planning efforts at these sites have the opportunity to shape their futures, transform their identities and incorporate sustainable practices throughout the process. Unlike the simple name change of a facility, transformative change takes time. Transformative change relies on working partnerships, dedication to achieving something better, open communication, and cooperative planning. It is this type of change that tends to be lasting and tailored to a place. (authors)

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

A Gaussian Process-Based extended Goldak heat source model for finite element simulation of laser powder bed fusion additive manufacturing process

In this study, laser powder bed fusion (L-PBF) additive manufacturing (AM) is a key enabling technology to manufacture highly complex and integrated metallic structures. In L-PBF AM process, the melting of the metal powders and the layers underneath can be governed by either “conduction mode” or “keyhole mode”, with the keyhole mode reportedly leading to porosity and decreased strength and ductility by many studies. In part scale simulations, finite element (FE) model is often used to study the temperature distribution during printing and to predict the residual stress, where a volumetric heat flux with a Gaussian or a double ellipsoidal (Goldak) distribution is often applied as the laser heat source. However, the above heat source models can only capture the melt pool shape in the conduction mode, and fail to capture the transition to keyhole melting mode when the process parameters change. To overcome this inaccuracy, an extended Goldak heat source model is proposed by introducing a laser penetration term as a function of laser parameters obtained from a Gaussian-Process (GP) model. The model is validated by “2D pad” AlSi10Mg L-PBF experiments under a wide range of laser power, scan speed, and laser focus offset, and the results show the model successfully captures the measured melt pool shape in all conditions.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Commissioning a time-gated camera for fast neutron beamline spatial-energy characterization at LANSCE-WNR spallation source

An energy-resolved fast neutron beam imaging diagnostic has been successfully commissioned at the Weapons Neutron Research (WNR) spallation source within the Los Alamos Neutron Science Center (LANSCE) facility. This diagnostic replaces the existing analog phosphor image plates, which integrate across all neutron energies, as well as other particles, with a near-real-time energy-sensitive imaging capability. The system uses a fast plastic scintillator coupled with an intensified CCD camera. Specifically, the Teledyne Pi-MAX4 camera is coupled with either a 4 mm thick Eljen (EJ) 204 or 228 plastic scintillator. These scintillators are most sensitive to the fast neutrons (0.8-800 MeV) directly from the spallation source rather than low energy background radiation. Experimentally, these plastic scintillators were shown to have sufficiently fast decay to differentiate the bright gamma flash from the spallation neutrons. The spatial resolution is dominated by neutron beam divergence, with minimal additional contributions from scatter and light divergence. The system successfully resolved changes in neutron beam characteristics caused by intentional proton steering variations. Additionally, simulations of scintillator light yield as a function of thickness conducted using PHITS (with Scinful-QMD package) found that increasing scintillator thickness from 4 mm to 6 or 8 mm could potentially increase brightness ~ 3x. This may be explored if there is a need to reduce image acquisition time from several minutes to under one minute.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Structure and Synthesizability of Iron–Sulfur Metal–Organic Frameworks

Sulfur-based metal–organic frameworks (MOFs) and coordination polymers (CPs) are an emerging class of hybrid materials that have received growing attention due to their magnetic, conductive, and catalytic properties with potential applications in electrocatalysis and energy storage. In this work, we report a high-throughput virtual screening protocol to predict the synthesizability of candidate metal–sulfur MOFs/CPs by computing the thermodynamically stable structures resulting from a particular combination of metal cluster, linker, cation, and synthetic conditions. Free energies are computed by using all-atom classical mechanical thermodynamic integration. Low-free-energy structures are refined using ab initio density functional theory, and pair distribution functions and powder X-ray diffraction patterns are calculated to complement and guide experimental structure determination. We validate the computational approach by retrospective predictions of the stable structure produced by experimental syntheses, and a subsequent screen predicts Fe 4 S 4 -BDT–TPP as a new thermodynamically stable one-dimensional (1D) CP comprising a redox-active Fe 4 S 4 cluster, a 1,4-benzenedithiolate (BDT) linker, and a tetraphenylphosphonium (TPP) countercation. Furthermore, this material is experimentally synthesized, and the 1D chain structure of the crystal is confirmed using microcrystal electron diffraction. The computational screening pipeline is generically transferable to neutral and ionic MOFs/CPs comprising arbitrary metal clusters, linkers, cations, and synthetic conditions, and we make it freely available as an open source tool to guide and accelerate the discovery and engineering of novel porous materials.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

An efficient protocol for excited states of large biochromophores

Efficient energy transport in photosynthetic antenna is a long-standing source of inspiration for artificial light harvesting materials. However, characterizing the excited states of the constituent chromophores poses a considerable challenge to mainstream quantum chemical and semiempirical excited state methods due to their size and complexity and the accuracy required to describe small but functionally important changes in their properties. In this paper, we explore an alternative approach to calculating the excited states of large biochromophores, exemplified by a specific method for calculating the Q y transition of bacteriochlorophyll a, which we name Chl-xTB. Using a diagonally dominant approximation to the Casida equation and a bespoke parameterization scheme, Chl-xTB can match time-dependent density functional theory’s accuracy and semiempirical speed for calculating the potential energy surfaces and absorption spectra of chlorophylls. We demonstrate that Chl-xTB (and other prospective realizations of our protocol) can be integrated into multiscale models, including concurrent excitonic and point-charge embedding frameworks, enabling the analysis of biochromophore networks in a native environment. We exploit this capability to probe the low-frequency spectral densities of excitonic energies and interchromophore interactions in the light harvesting antenna protein LH2 (light harvesting complex 2). The impact of low-frequency protein motion on interchromophore coupling and exciton transport has routinely been ignored due to the prohibitive costs of including it in simulations. Our results provide a more rigorous basis for continued use of this approximation by demonstrating that exciton transition energies are unaffected by low-frequency vibrational coupling to exciton interaction energies.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

IROCKS: spatially resolved kinematics of z ∼ 1 star-forming galaxies

We present results from the Intermediate Redshift OSIRIS Chemo-Kinematic Survey (IROCKS) for sixteen z ∼ 1 and one z ∼ 1.4 star-forming galaxies. All galaxies were observed with OSIRIS with the laser guide star adaptive optics system at Keck Observatory. We use rest-frame nebular Hα emission lines to trace morphologies and kinematics of ionized gas in star-forming galaxies on sub-kiloparsec physical scales. We observe elevated velocity dispersions (σ ≳ 50 km s{sup −1}) seen in z > 1.5 galaxies persist at z ∼ 1 in the integrated galaxies. Using an inclined disk model and the ratio of v/σ, we find that 1/3 of the z ∼ 1 sample are disk candidates while the other 2/3 of the sample are dominated by merger-like and irregular sources. We find that including extra attenuation toward H ii regions derived from stellar population synthesis modeling brings star formation rates (SFRs) using Hα and stellar population fit into a better agreement. We explore the properties of the compact Hα sub-component, or “clump,” at z ∼ 1 and find that they follow a similar size–luminosity relation as local H ii regions but are scaled-up by an order of magnitude with higher luminosities and sizes. Comparing the z ∼ 1 clumps to other high-redshift clump studies, we determine that the clump SFR surface density evolves as a function of redshift. This suggests clump formation is directly related to the gas fraction in these systems and may support disk fragmentation as their formation mechanism since gas fraction scales with redshift.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Predicting near-term variability in ocean carbon uptake

Abstract. Interannual variations in air–sea fluxes of carbon dioxide ( CO 2 ) impact the global carbon cycle and climate system, and previous studies suggest that these variations may be predictable in the near term (from a year to a decade in advance). Here, we quantify and understand the sources of near-term predictability and predictive skill in air–sea CO 2 flux on global and regional scales by analyzing output from a novel set of retrospective decadal forecasts of an Earth system model. These forecasts exhibit the potential to predict year-to-year variations in the globally integrated air–sea CO 2 flux several years in advance, as indicated by the high correlation of the forecasts with a model reconstruction of past CO 2 flux evolution. This potential predictability exceeds that obtained solely from foreknowledge of variations in external forcing or a simple persistence forecast, with the longest-lasting forecast enhancement in the subantarctic Southern Ocean and the northern North Atlantic. Potential predictability in CO 2 flux variations is largely driven by predictability in the surface ocean partial pressure of CO 2 , which itself is a function of predictability in surface ocean dissolved inorganic carbon and alkalinity. The potential predictability, however, is not realized as predictive skill, as indicated by the moderate to low correlation of the forecasts with an observationally based CO 2 flux product. Nevertheless, our results suggest that year-to-year variations in ocean carbon uptake have the potential to be predicted well in advance and establish a precedent for forecasting air–sea CO 2 flux in the near future.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗