A multiscale deep learning model for soil moisture integrating satellite and in-situ data
Model codes for the article: "A multiscale deep learning model for soil moisture integrating satellite and in-situ data"
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
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MaNGA DynPop – I. Quality-assessed stellar dynamical modelling from integral-field spectroscopy of 10K nearby galaxies: a catalogue of masses, mass-to-light ratios, density profiles, and dark matter
ABSTRACT This is the first paper in our series on the combined analysis of the Dynamics and stellar Population (DynPop) for the MaNGA survey in the final SDSS Data Release 17 (DR17). Here, we present a catalogue of dynamically determined quantities for over 10 000 nearby galaxies based on integral-field stellar kinematics from the MaNGA survey. The dynamical properties are extracted using the axisymmetric Jeans Anisotropic Modelling (JAM) method, which was previously shown to be the most accurate for this kind of study. We assess systematic uncertainties using eight dynamical models with different assumptions. We use two orientations of the velocity ellipsoid: either cylindrically aligned JAMcyl or spherically aligned JAMsph. We also make four assumptions for the models’ dark versus luminous matter distributions: (1) mass-follows-light, (2) free NFW dark halo, (3) cosmologically constrained NFW halo, (4) generalized NFW dark halo, i.e. with free inner slope. In this catalogue, we provide the quantities related to the mass distributions (e.g. the density slopes and enclosed mass within a sphere of a given radius for total mass, stellar mass, and dark matter mass components). We also provide the complete models which can be used to compute the full luminous and mass distribution of each galaxy. Additionally, we visually assess the qualities of the models to help with model selections. We estimate the observed scatter in the measured quantities which decreases as expected with improvements in quality. For the best data quality, we find a remarkable consistency of measured quantities between different models, highlighting the robustness of the results.
Astronomy & Astrophysics↗
Improving leaf spring phenology modelling for temperate tree species: An integration of the Farquhar–Medlyn photosynthesis model with the optimality‐based approach
Spring leaf phenology in temperate tree species is highly sensitive to climate change and significantly affects plant photosynthetic performance, resource utilization, competition and trophic interactions, thereby impacting various ecosystem functions. Although optimality-based (OPT) approaches for modelling spring phenology are increasingly recognized, the optimal representation of the underlying principle (balancing photosynthesis gains with chilling risks) remains controversial. Here, we integrated a coupled Farquhar–Medlyn photosynthesis model into an existing OPT model, and termed the resulting model R-OPT, and evaluated its performance using the PEP725 dataset, which includes 409,144 site-species-year records from across Europe. Our results show that R-OPT outperforms both the default OPT and non-optimality-based models (e.g. the chilling-forcing trade-off and growing degree day models). This improved performance is consistent within and across five focal tree species but varies by region: R-OPT excels in lowland, moist environments but is less effective in high-altitude, cold, and dry areas, possibly due to an incomplete representation of environmental constraints on photosynthetic carbon gain in these regions. Our research advances leaf spring phenology modelling by emphasizing an optimality principle that balances photosynthetic carbon gain with chilling risk, improving the representation of plant photosynthesis processes and enhancing understanding of environmental factors influencing phenology in the context of climate change.
coupled Farquhar–Medlyn photosynthesis model↗
Investigation of a Hybrid Carbon Capture System at a NGCC Power Plant That Performs Direct Air Capture During Off-Peak Hours
The goal of this project was to investigate the feasibility of coupling NGCC power plants with membrane and solid sorbent carbon capture to achieve net negative carbon emissions. This novel hybrid system has a couple of potential benefits: 1) the carbon capture systems could help the NGCC plant by minimizing its carbon footprint and giving it a new revenue stream from direct air capture, and 2) the NGCC plant could help direct air capture scale up quickly and costeffectively by providing it with electricity, steam and compressed air streams. In order to investigate this hybrid design, we developed a complex, integrated system model consisting of: 1) a NGCC power plant model developed by Dr. Bhattacharyya’s team at WVU, 2) a membrane carbon capture model developed by Dr. Lipscomb’s team at U Toledo, and 3) a solid sorbent carbon capture model developed by Dr. Hornbostel’s team at U Pittsburgh. Mr. Matuszewski’s team at AristoSys LLC integrated these three models into a single, integrated model using FOQUS, an optimization tool developed by the NETL CCSI 2 program. Optimizations were then performed on this integrated model to determine the cost and carbon capture rates under a range of electricity and carbon price scenarios.
20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
Desalination Multi-Effect Evaporator Models in Support of Integrated Energy Systems
The purpose of this work is to contribute to the Integrated Energy Systems (IES) modeling efforts from the Department of Energy with Idaho National Laboratory. The DOE is working on a plug-and-play set of models in an open-source repository called HYBRID that can be used to improve IES modeling capabilities.
99 GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
Psychosocial drivers of land management behaviour: How threats, norms, and context influence deforestation intentions
Understanding how private landholders make deforestation decisions is of paramount importance for conservation. Behavioural frameworks from the social sciences have a lot to offer researchers and practitioners, yet these insights remain underutilised in describing what drives landholders' deforestation intentions under important political, social, and management contexts. Using survey data of private landholders in Queensland, Australia, we compare the ability of two popular behavioural models to predict future deforestation intentions, and propose a more integrated behavioural model of deforestation intentions. We found that the integrated model outperformed other models, revealing the importance of threat perceptions, attitudes, and social norms for predicting landholders' deforestation intentions. Social capital, policy uncertainty, and years of experience are important contextual moderators of these psychological factors. Here, we conclude with recommendations for promoting behaviour change in this deforestation hotspot and highlight how others can adopt similar approaches to illuminate more proximate drivers of environmental behaviours in other contexts.
54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
Setting operating points for circuits in an integrated circuit chip using an integrated voltage regulator power loss model
An apparatus includes an integrated circuit chip with a set of circuits having two or more subsets of circuits; an external voltage regulator separate from the integrated circuit chip; two or more integrated voltage regulators on the integrated circuit chip that each provide an input voltage to a respective subset of the circuits; and a controller. The controller determines, using an integrated voltage regulator power loss model, an electrical power loss for the integrated voltage regulators for a first combination of operating points for the subsets of the circuits. The controller then determines, based on the electrical power loss, a second combination of operating points for the subsets of the circuits that includes an adjustment to an operating point for at least one of the subsets of the circuits that compensates for an electrical power loss of the corresponding integrated voltage regulator. The controller sets an operating point of each of the subsets of the circuits based on the second combination of operating points.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Climate impacts in scenarios: time to close the loop?
Reaching a full understanding of the consequences of climate change for society and ecosystems, and the ensuing needs for adaptation, requires a consideration of the interactions between human and Earth systems. Currently, however, climate research largely separates the influence of society on climate from the influence of climate on society; that is, it doesn’t “close the loop.” A primary example of this approach is the generation and use of earth system model (ESM) simulations in the climate change research community. Large-scale socio-economic models, known as integrated assessment models (IAMs), are used to project emissions and land use change which serve as input to ESMs. ESM projections then serve as input to models of impacts on society and ecosystems. But, according to this modeling chain, those impacts do not affect the emissions and land use that drove the ESMs in the first place. Previous work has not drawn firm conclusions on whether this feedback would be large enough to warrant explicitly accounting for it. Two prominent possibilities, however, are that emissions and land use scenarios representing the high and low ends of the plausible range of future climate change are both too extreme. The high-end scenario may miss damaging impacts that would reduce economic activity, and therefore emissions, while the low-end scenario may ignore climate feedbacks that would make large-scale land-based carbon removal ineffective and therefore would hamper mitigation at the level assumed by the scenario. In this piece, we identify the opportunities and challenges that implementing such feedback loops would face. We argue that recent developments in climate impact research, human system modeling and ESM emulation make the time ripe to use IAMs in a structured model intercomparison exercise. Model intercomparison projects have benefitted the climate modeling community for decade snow, and more recently have also benefitted the impact modeling community. An IAM intercomparison focused on integrating impacts could make large strides in testing the implications of these feedbacks and assessing whether closing the loop would fundamentally change our outlook on future climate changes and their consequences.
Tebaldi, Claudia↗
Hybrid-LLM-GNN: integrating large language models and graph neural networks for enhanced materials property prediction
This study combines Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) and Large Language Models (LLMs) to improve material property predictions. By leveraging both embeddings, this hybrid approach achieves up to a 25% improvement over GNN-only model in accuracy.
Li, Youjia [Department of Electrical and Computer ↗
Static and dynamic modeling of steam integration for a NuScale small modular reactor and pulp and paper mill coupling for carbon-neutral manufacturing
Small modular reactors (SMRs) are reactor designs producing less than 300 MWe and are generally planned for deployment as multimodule nuclear power plants. The possibility of factory-manufactured, flexibly sized plants expands the opportunities for nuclear power to different communities and industries, including manufacturing plants that currently utilize fossil fuels to produce both steam and electricity. This paper examines the feasibility of coupling a NuScale SMR with a midsize pulp and paper mill in the Southeastern United States. A steady-state mill model was developed in Aspen HYSYS, based on real data from the operation of the mill, and modified it to include the SMR while maintaining steam quality requirements and making as few changes as possible to existing equipment. Dynamic plant models were also developed Dymola to demonstrate possible plant conditions, using three configurations. Preliminary results suggest that, while SMR coupling is physically feasible, its economic feasibility is limited by the differences in steam and electricity demands. Because of limitations in the amount of steam the mill can take from the SMR, sizing the SMR for the plant’s steam demand may result in an electricity deficit, or vice versa. Furthermore, dynamic analyses show that the addition of a thermal storage system could reduce such deficits, but this entails its own challenges. Each plant must determine the best configuration and control scheme for itself, based on its electricity and heat needs, including the peak duration and intensity for both. Ultimately, an implementation of SMRs with manufacturing processes would benefit from partnering with a local utility to purchase excess electricity generated by the SMR. This will help manufacturing facilities meet their environmental and cost-savings goals, in addition to meeting the need for cost-effective baseload power across the United States.
03 NATURAL GAS↗
An assessment of the utility of multirate time integration for the modeling of laser powder bed fusion
Finite element simulation of the laser powder bed fusion process is made challenging by the inherently multiscale nature of the process. When using the typical global time stepping techniques, slowly-evolving regions of the domain receive the same numerical treatment as the regions with the highest temperature rates. The current work details the implementation and evaluation of an implicit multirate method which is able to advance different regions of the domain with distinct time steps, depending on their current solution rate. Previous work indicates that this representation of the temporal scales of the problem can lead to significant reductions in wall clock run time, and it is shown herein that multirate time integration, when used with a uniform process-scale mesh, can result in speedups of approximately 19, 42, and 87 times, for domains with edge lengths of approximately 1 mm, 2 mm, and 5 mm, respectively. When used in conjunction with $\ h$-refinement (limited to two levels of refinement), the resulting speedups (taken relative to the uniform mesh) are around 28, 85, and 665 times. The method is demonstrated to converge as indicated by the literature, and its use with an AM-Bench domain is demonstrated.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Sustainable Supply Chains by Integrating Life Cycle Modeling and Techno-Ecological Synergy with Application to Mitigation of Harmful Algal Blooms
Harmful algal blooms (HABs) are a challenge in water bodies across the planet and are often caused by fertilizer runoff from intensively farmed lands. This chapter describes a framework by which producers of biomass-based products could manage their supply chain to encourage mitigation of HABs and their life cycle environmental impacts, while also considering economic implications. The emphasis is on corn-based products such as ethanol in the region around Lake Erie in Northwest Ohio. It shows how wetland ecosystems could be designed synergistically with farming practices, transportation of the corn, and conversion and use of ethanol. The resulting techno-ecologically synergistic supply chains can be environmentally and economically superior to conventional techno-centric supply chains. The resulting designs can help ethanol manufacturers choose between farms, encourage farmers to adopt wetland ecosystems for intercepting and mitigating nutrient runoff, and determine the location of biorefineries for optimizing environmental and economic objectives.
air quality regulation↗
A dynamic volumetric heat source model for laser additive manufacturing
Melt pool scale models of laser powder bed fusion (LPBF) offer insights into the process-structure-property relationships in additive manufacturing (AM). These models often neglect physical phenomena such as vapor cavity formation and fluid mechanics to reduce computational demands. Instead, volumetric heat source models are used to represent the effects that these phenomena have on the predicted melt pool dimensions. Generally, the dimensions and effective absorption of the volumetric heat source are calibrated to reproduce melt pool dimensions observed in metallographic cross sections taken from single-track experiments on bare plate. However, the transient nature of LPBF often deviates the melt pool dimensions from the assumed steady-state conditions of single-track experiments, motivating the need for a volumetric heat source model that more generally considers the dynamic relationship between melt pool shape and laser-material interactions. Here, we introduce a two-parameter volumetric heat source model that integrates several existing models into a generalized mathematical expression, providing independent control over the radial heat distribution via the parameter k and the volumetric shape of the heat source via the parameter m. This parameterization enables the calibration of melt pool shape predictions through simultaneous adjustment of these parameters, while keeping the radial heat source dimensions consistent with the experimental spot size (D4σ) and constraining the heat source depth and absorption to physically derived expressions for cavities. Consequently, the proposed volumetric heat source model adapts to changes in the local melt pool conditions due to scanning strategy and part geometry by dynamically adjusting the heat source depth and absorption. We demonstrate the capabilities of the proposed model through comparisons with a collection of experiments from the Additive Manufacturing Benchmark (AMBench).
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Quantifying Value and Representing Competitiveness of Electricity System Technologies in Economic Models
Evaluating competition between electricity technologies is challenging because it depends on both their costs and their values. While technology costs can typically be estimated from projections of the cost components - capital, fuel, and O&M - estimating a technology's value is more complex due to its dependence on its contributions to multiple different grid services, each with prices that can vary substantially over space and time. In this work, using an electricity model of the contiguous United States, we develop relationships between relative value and share of total generation for major electricity generation technologies which, when paired with projections of technology costs, can be used to estimate technology competitiveness. We identify significant differences in the relationship between relative value and generation share for variable renewable energy (VRE) and non-VRE sources, but we demonstrate that all technologies require consideration of their dynamic values (in addition to cost) when evaluating competitiveness. In addition, we demonstrate that relative value of a technology is substantially impacted by not only its own generation share but also other aspects of the system state, in particular the mix of other technologies present in the system. Finally, we use the developed relative value relationships in combination with projections of future technology costs in a coarse resolution model that competes technologies based on a comprehensive competitiveness metric: profitability-adjusted LCOE (PLCOE). We show that this simple representation of technology competition approximately recovers the generation mix from a detailed model, which is not possible using LCOE alone. Such an approach can be used to improve the representation of technology competition in coarse-resolution models such as integrated assessment models, for which simplified metrics are often needed.
electricity model↗
CFD modeling of crystallization fouling with CO 2 desorption incorporated for a falling-film evaporator in thermal desalination
Seawater flowing around horizontal tubes in falling-film evaporators is a common configuration for thermal desalination. Heat is transferred from in-tube steam condensation to the shell-side seawater by conduction through the tube wall and scaling layer, and conduction and convection to the evaporating liquid film. CO 2 is simultaneously released from seawater and mixed with the produced vapor. Fouling coupled with CO 2 desorption has deleterious impacts on both evaporation and condensation. The evaluation of spatiotemporal dependent crystallization fouling and CO 2 desorption is vital to selecting optimal operating conditions. Here, in this work, a CO 2 desorption model is integrated into CFD modeling for predictions of coupled heat and mass transfer, to understand and predict scale formation and CO 2 desorption with local and transient profiles of temperature, carbonate species concentrations, pH, and total alkalinity. The porosity of the scale layer is experimentally determined as 67.7% and invoked in the calculation of effective thermal conductivity. The simulation results reveal that high steam temperatures increase seawater total alkalinity and accelerate scale formation. The scale thickness on the bottom tube reaches 0.30 μm and 5.24 μm for steam temperatures of 60 °C and 80 °C, respectively. High salinity leads to a large CO 2 desorption rates. The CO 2 desorption rate increases 43% when the seawater salinity increases from 35 to 55 g/kg. The effects of operating conditions on carbonate speciation and pH have been compared and analyzed. This model can serve as a comprehensive tool for the design of thermal desalination systems and optimal operation.
42 ENGINEERING↗
Graph-based Compact Modeling (GCM) of CMOS transistors for efficient parameter extraction: A machine learning approach
Parameter extraction of compact transistor models is an expensive process, heavily relying on engineering knowledge and experience. To automate such a process, we propose a novel approach, Graph-based Compact Model (GCM), that integrates physical modeling and data-driven learning. GCM utilizes Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to establish the model structure, while retaining the physicality in compact models. Here, we implement our GCM in Verilog-A to support circuit simulations. As demonstrated with an academic 7 nm FinFET PDK, the new approach automatically generates a GCM model within a minute, and achieves excellent accuracy and efficiency in SPICE.
42 ENGINEERING↗