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At least 559 records · Page 31

Evaluating a Priori Ozone Profile Information Used in TEMPO (Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution) Tropospheric Ozone Retrievals

A primary objective for TOLNet is the evaluation and validation of space-based tropospheric O3 retrievals from future systems such as the Tropospheric Emissions: Monitoring of Pollution (TEMPO) satellite. This study is designed to evaluate the tropopause-based O3 climatology (TB-Clim) dataset which will be used as the a priori profile information in TEMPO O3 retrievals. This study also evaluates model simulated O3 profiles, which could potentially serve as a priori O3 profile information in TEMPO retrievals, from near-real-time (NRT) data assimilation model products (NASA Global Modeling and Assimilation Office (GMAO) Goddard Earth Observing System (GEOS-5) Forward Processing (FP) and Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications version 2 (MERRA2)) and full chemical transport model (CTM), GEOS-Chem, simulations. The TB-Clim dataset and model products are evaluated with surface (0-2 km) and tropospheric (0-10 km) TOLNet observations to demonstrate the accuracy of the suggested a priori dataset and information which could potentially be used in TEMPO O3 algorithms. This study also presents the impact of individual a priori profile sources on the accuracy of theoretical TEMPO O3 retrievals in the troposphere and at the surface. Preliminary results indicate that while the TB-Clim climatological dataset can replicate seasonally-averaged tropospheric O3 profiles observed by TOLNet, model-simulated profiles from a full CTM (GEOS-Chem is used as a proxy for CTM O3 predictions) resulted in more accurate tropospheric and surface-level O3 retrievals from TEMPO when compared to hourly (diurnal cycle evaluation) and daily-averaged (daily variability evaluation) TOLNet observations. Furthermore, it was determined that when large daily-averaged surface O3 mixing ratios are observed (65 ppb), which are important for air quality purposes, TEMPO retrieval values at the surface display higher correlations and less bias when applying CTM a priori profile information compared to all other data products. The primary reason for this is that CTM predictions better capture the spatio-temporal variability of the vertical profiles of observed tropospheric O3 compared to the TB-Clim dataset and other NRT data assimilation models evaluated during this study.

Pollution↗

Pacific Walker Circulation variability in coupled and uncoupled climate models

There is still significant uncertainty concerning twentieth century trends in the Pacific Walker Circulation (PWC). In this paper, observational datasets, coupled (CMIP5) and uncoupled (AGCM) model simulations, and additional numerical sensitivity experiments are analyzed to investigate twentieth century changes in the PWC and their physical mechanisms. The PWC weakens over the century in the CMIP5 simulations, but strengthens in the AGCM simulations and also in the observational twentieth century reanalysis (20CR) dataset. It is argued that the weakening in the CMIP5 simulations is not a consequence of a reduced global convective mass flux expected from simple considerations of the global hydrological response to global warming, but is rather due to a weakening of the zonal equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) gradient. Additional clarification is provided by additional uncoupled atmospheric general circulation model simulations in which the ENSO-unrelated and ENSO-related portions of the observed SST changes are prescribed as lower boundary conditions. Both sets of SST forcing fields have a global warming trend, and both sets of simulations produce a weakening of the global convective mass flux. Yet, consistent with the strong role of the zonal SST gradient, the PWC strengthens in the simulations with the ENSO-unrelated SST forcing, which has a strengthening zonal SST gradient, despite the weakening of the global convective mass flux. Overall, our results suggest that the PWC strengthened during twentieth century global warming, but also that this strengthening was partly masked by a weakening trend associated with ENSO-related PWC variability.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

ClimateNet: an expert-labeled open dataset and deep learning architecture for enabling high-precision analyses of extreme weather

Abstract. Identifying, detecting, and localizing extreme weather events is a crucial first step in understanding how they may vary under different climate change scenarios. Pattern recognition tasks such as classification, object detection, and segmentation (i.e., pixel-level classification) have remained challenging problems in the weather and climate sciences. While there exist many empirical heuristics for detecting extreme events, the disparities between the output of these different methods even for a single event are large and often difficult to reconcile. Given the success of deep learning (DL) in tackling similar problems in computer vision, we advocate a DL-based approach. DL, however, works best in the context of supervised learning – when labeled datasets are readily available. Reliable labeled training data for extreme weather and climate events is scarce. We create “ClimateNet” – an open, community-sourced human-expert-labeled curated dataset that captures tropical cyclones (TCs) and atmospheric rivers (ARs) in high-resolution climate model output from a simulation of a recent historical period. We use the curated ClimateNet dataset to train a state-of-the-art DL model for pixel-level identification – i.e., segmentation – of TCs and ARs. We then apply the trained DL model to historical and climate change scenarios simulated by the Community Atmospheric Model (CAM5.1) and show that the DL model accurately segments the data into TCs, ARs, or “the background” at a pixel level. Further, we show how the segmentation results can be used to conduct spatially and temporally precise analytics by quantifying distributions of extreme precipitation conditioned on event types (TC or AR) at regional scales. The key contribution of this work is that it paves the way for DL-based automated, high-fidelity, and highly precise analytics of climate data using a curated expert-labeled dataset – ClimateNet. ClimateNet and the DL-based segmentation method provide several unique capabilities: (i) they can be used to calculate a variety of TC and AR statistics at a fine-grained level; (ii) they can be applied to different climate scenarios and different datasets without tuning as they do not rely on threshold conditions; and (iii) the proposed DL method is suitable for rapidly analyzing large amounts of climate model output. While our study has been conducted for two important extreme weather patterns (TCs and ARs) in simulation datasets, we believe that this methodology can be applied to a much broader class of patterns and applied to observational and reanalysis data products via transfer learning.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Horne et al. (2026) supporting files - WRF-LES model outputs for a summer heatwave event on June 2025 in Baltimore, MD

Brief Description Shown is the supporting information for Horne et al. (2026). These files include all outputs from the WRF model simulations and the observational datasets used for comparison in the study. Scripts are provided so users can recreate the manuscript's figures using the provided observational and modeling data. For more information regarding the study, please contact the primary author of the associated manuscript, Jason Horne. Horne, J. P., Pan, Y., Davis, K. J., Waugh, D., Ahlswede, B. J., Prince, N. E. (2026). Simulating near-surface environments in urban neighborhoods using WRF-LES: A case study of classic atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) during a heatwave event JAMES. (to be submitted)

atmosphere↗

Horne et al. (2026) supporting files - WRF-LES model outputs for a summer heatwave event on June 2025 in Baltimore, MD

Brief Description Shown is the supporting information for Horne et al. (2026). These files include all outputs from the WRF model simulations and the observational datasets used for comparison in the study. Scripts are provided so users can recreate the manuscript's figures using the provided observational and modeling data. For more information regarding the study, please contact the primary author of the associated manuscript, Jason Horne. Horne, J. P., Pan, Y., Davis, K. J., Waugh, D., Ahlswede, B. J., Prince, N. E. (2026). Simulating near-surface environments in urban neighborhoods using WRF-LES: A case study of classic atmospheric boundary layer (ABL) during a heatwave event JAMES.

atmosphere↗

Dislocation-Grain Boundary Interaction Dataset for FCC Cu

Interactions between dislocations and grain boundaries play a major role in controlling the strength and ductility of structural materials. Experimentally, assessing and probing geometric and stress-based criteria at the local level for dislocation transmission through grain boundaries remains challenging. Therefore, there have been many efforts to systematically generate datasets of dislocation-grain boundary interactions (DGI) via computational models such as molecular dynamics simulations. So far, most DGI datasets have focused only on the subset of nominal minimum-energy grain boundary structures, which limits their applicability, especially to materials processed far from equilibrium. We present a comprehensive database of dislocation-grain boundary interactions for edge, screw, and 60° mixed dislocation with 330 <110> and 257 <112> symmetric tilt grain boundaries (total of 587) in FCC Cu consisting of 73 minimum-energy grain boundary structures and 514 metastable structures. The dataset contains the outcomes for 5234 unique interactions for various dislocation types, grain boundary structures, and applied shear stresses.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Insights into metastability of photovoltaic materials at the mesoscale through massive I–V analytics

The authors demonstrate the feasibility of quantifying cell-level performance heterogeneity from module-level I–V curves by determining conditions of bypass diode turn-on. Analysis of these curves falls outside of typical diode-based models of photovoltaic (PV) performance. The authors show that this approach can leverage statistical and machine learning techniques for broad application to massive datasets, and combine those insights with simulations and laboratory-based experiments to provide useful information into the metastability of the interfaces of a PV cell. The authors find good agreement between the experimentally determined curves and the simulated curves, which guide the variable selection in the massive dataset collected from sites in Cleveland, OH, USA, the Negev Desert, Israel, Isla Gran Canaria, Spain, and Mount Zugspitze, Germany.

Peshek, Timothy J.↗

On the Use of NLDAS2 Weather Data for Hydrologic Modeling in the Upper Mississippi River Basin

Weather data are the key forces that drive hydrological processes so that their accuracy in watershed modeling is fundamentally important. For large-scale watershed modeling, weather data are either generated by using interpolation methods or derived from assimilated datasets. In the present study, we compared model performances of the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT), as driven by interpolation weather data, and NASA North American Land Data Assimilation System Phase Two (NLDAS2) weather dataset in the Upper Mississippi River Basin (UMRB). The SWAT model fed with different weather datasets were used to simulate monthly stream flow at 11 United States Geological Survey (USGS) monitoring stations in the UMRB. Model performances were evaluated based on three metrics: coefficient of determination (R 2 ), Nash–Sutcliffe coefficient (NS), and percent bias (P bias ). The results show that, after calibration, the SWAT model compared well at all monitoring stations for monthly stream flow using different weather datasets indicating that the SWAT model can adequately produce long-term water yield in UMRB. The results also show that using NLDAS2 weather dataset can improve SWAT prediction of monthly stream flow with less prediction uncertainty in the UMRB. We concluded that NLDAS2 dataset could be used by the SWAT model for large-scale watersheds like UMRB as a surrogate of the interpolation weather data. Further analyses results show that NLDAS2 daily solar radiation data was about 2.5 MJ m -2 higher than the interpolation data. As such, the SWAT model driven by NLDAS2 dataset tended to underestimate stream flow in the UMRB due to the overestimation in evapotranspiration in uncalibrated conditions. Thus, the implication of overestimated solar radiation by NLDAS2 dataset should be considered before using NLDAS2 dataset to drive the hydrological model.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Characterization of Transport Errors in Chemical Forecasts from a Global Tropospheric Chemical Transport Model

We propose a new methodology to characterize errors in the representation of transport processes in chemical transport models. We constrain the evaluation of a global three-dimensional chemical transport model (GEOS-CHEM) with an extended dataset of carbon monoxide (CO) concentrations obtained during the Transport and Chemical Evolution over the Pacific (TRACE-P) aircraft campaign. The TRACEP mission took place over the western Pacific, a region frequently impacted by continental outflow associated with different synoptic-scale weather systems (such as cold fronts) and deep convection, and thus provides a valuable dataset. for our analysis. Model simulations using both forecast and assimilated meteorology are examined. Background CO concentrations are computed as a function of latitude and altitude and subsequently subtracted from both the observed and the model datasets to focus on the ability of the model to simulate variability on a synoptic scale. Different sampling strategies (i.e., spatial displacement and smoothing) are applied along the flight tracks to search for systematic model biases. Statistical quantities such as correlation coefficient and centered root-mean-square difference are computed between the simulated and the observed fields and are further inter-compared using Taylor diagrams. We find no systematic bias in the model for the TRACE-P region when we consider the entire dataset (i.e., from the surface to 12 km ). This result indicates that the transport error in our model is globally unbiased, which has important implications for using the model to conduct inverse modeling studies. Using the First-Look assimilated meteorology only provides little improvement of the correlation, in comparison with the forecast meteorology. These general statements can be refined when the entire dataset is divided into different vertical domains, i.e., the lower troposphere (less than 2 km), the middle troposphere (2-6 km), and the upper troposphere (greater than 6 km). The best agreement between the observations and the model is found in the lower and middle troposphere. Downward displacements in the lower troposphere provide a better fit with the observed value, which could indicate a problem in the representation of boundary layer height in the model. Significant improvement is also found for downward and southward displacements in the upper troposphere. There are several potential sources of errors in our simulation of the continental outflow in the upper troposphere which could lead to such biases, including the location and/or the strength of deep convective cells as well as that of wildfires in Southeast Asia.

Bey, I.↗

In Situ Wind and Turbulence Measurements in a Field of Full-Size Parabolic Trough Solar Collectors

Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) is a promising method for using Solar power for electricity generation with thermal energy storage. One of the primary drivers of structural design costs of CSP collector structures is wind loading. To date, the design of these structures has relied on data from wind tunnels that do not adequately capture the dynamic effects observed at scale. NREL initiated a field measurement campaign at the operational Nevada Solar One (NSO) powerplant that uses parabolic troughs as solar collectors. The aim of the project is a detailed characterization of prevailing wind and turbulence conditions and resulting operational loads on parabolic troughs, providing insights on structural dynamic response, and generating a first-of-a-kind, comprehensive, high-resolution wind-loading dataset available for validating simulations of wind loading on collector structures. The measurements at NSO consist of Sonic anemometers on masts at different heights to characterize the incoming flow and conditions within and above the trough field, in combination with a Doppler Lidar scanning the horizontal plane above the troughs. The wind measurements at NSO have been continuously operating since October 2021 and provide a year-long dataset characterizing wind and turbulence conditions. The structural load measurements start in November 2022 and will complement the wind measurements. In this poster, we present first results of the wind measurement campaign by highlighting days with different atmospheric flow conditions. We identified three main factors altering the flow over the parabolic troughs: Wind speed, wind direction, and the angle of the parabolic troughs. The highest loads are expected when the wind blows perpendicular to the trough rows. In this case, the first rows experience the highest loads and block the subsequent rows, creating conditions with decreased wind speed and enhanced turbulence within the trough field. Also, turbulent length scales change. These affected conditions produce unique load cases on the structures that will be captured by the load measurements. If the wind blows along the trough rows, wind and turbulence conditions are less influenced by the troughs.

atmospheric turbulence↗

In Situ Wind and Turbulence Measurements in a Field of Full-Size Parabolic Trough Collectors

Concentrated Solar Power (CSP) is a promising method for using Solar power for electricity generation with thermal energy storage. One of the primary drivers of structural design costs of CSP collector structures is wind loading. To date, the design of these structures has relied on data from wind tunnels that do not adequately capture the dynamic effects observed at scale. NREL initiated a field measurement campaign at the operational Nevada Solar One (NSO) powerplant that uses parabolic troughs as solar collectors. The aim of the project is a detailed characterization of prevailing wind and turbulence conditions and resulting operational loads on parabolic troughs, providing insights on structural dynamic response, and generating a first-of-a-kind, comprehensive, high-resolution wind-loading dataset available for validating simulations of wind loading on collector structures. The measurements at NSO consist of Sonic anemometers on masts at different heights to characterize the incoming flow and conditions within and above the trough field, in combination with a Doppler Lidar scanning the horizontal plane above the troughs. The wind measurements at NSO have been continuously operating since October 2021 and provide a year-long dataset characterizing wind and turbulence conditions. The structural load measurements start in November 2022 and will complement the wind measurements. In this poster, we present first results of the wind measurement campaign by highlighting days with different atmospheric flow conditions. We identified three main factors altering the flow over the parabolic troughs: Wind speed, wind direction, and the angle of the parabolic troughs. The highest loads are expected when the wind blows perpendicular to the trough rows. In this case, the first rows experience the highest loads and block the subsequent rows, creating conditions with decreased wind speed and enhanced turbulence within the trough field. Also, turbulent length scales change. These affected conditions produce unique load cases on the structures that will be captured by the load measurements. If the wind blows along the trough rows, wind and turbulence conditions are less influenced by the troughs.

concentrated solar power↗

Data for Determining Spatially Varying Profit-Maximizing Management Practices for Miscanthus and Switchgrass Production in the Rainfed United States

The compiled datasets include county-level variables used for simulating miscanthus and switchgrass production in 2287 counties across the rainfed US including 5-year (2012-2016) averaged growing season degree days (GDD), 5-year (2012-2016) averaged growing season cumulative precipitation, National Commodity Crop Productivity Index (NCCPI) values, regional dummies (only for miscanthus), the regional-level random effect of the yield response function, N price, land cash rent, the first year fixed cost (only for switchgrass), and separate datasets for simulating an alternative model assuming a constant N rate. The GAMS codes are used to run the simulation to obtain the main results including the age-varying profit-maximizing N rate, biomass yields, and annual profits for miscanthus and switchgrass production across counties in the rainfed US. The STATA codes are used to merge and analyze simulation results and create summary statistics tables and key figures.

Age↗

Investigation of LSM-YSZ Composite Cathode Performance Degradation with a Multistep Charge Transfer Model

The long-term performance degradation of LSM/YSZ composite cathodes is investigated via calibrated multiphysics simulation with a multistep oxygen reduction reaction (ORR) model and structural coarsening data from a phase field study. Multiphysics simulations, including a multistep ORR mechanism, are first developed for better understanding of the limiting processes in solid oxide fuel cells. The multistep ORR mechanism includes two parallel pathways, surface pathway and bulk pathway, which consist of elementary reaction steps. The multiphysics model is simultaneously calibrated with experimental polarization curves and impedance behavior for various air/fuel supply conditions. To our knowledge, this is the first time that a multistep ORR model is calibrated with such datasets. Next, the calibrated simulations are utilized to simulate a 2D half-cell constructed with measured microstructural data and random heterogeneity. Finally, the long-term performance degradation of the half-cell is predicted by the calibrated multiphysics model coupled with structural coarsening trends simulated using a phase field-based coarsening model. Degradation of both polarization curves and impedance behavior is investigated. Thorough analyses, including changes of contributions from different pathways, the resistance components, and overall reaction order, are performed to provide more insights into cathode performance degradation due to grain coarsening phenomena.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

How Climate and Data Quality Impact Photovoltaic Performance Loss Rate Estimations

Different data pipelines and statistical methods are applied to photovoltaic (PV) performance datasets to quantify the performance loss rate (PLR). Since the real values of PLR are unknown, a variety of unvalidated values are reported. As such, the PV industry commonly assumes PLR based on statistically extracted ranges from the literature. However, the accuracy and uncertainty of PLR depend on several parameters including seasonality, local climatic conditions, and the response of a particular PV technology. In addition, the specific data pipeline and statistical method used affect the accuracy and uncertainty. To provide insights, a framework of (≈200 million) synthetic simulations of PV performance datasets using data from different climates is developed. Time series with known PLR and data quality are synthesized, and large parametric studies are conducted to examine the accuracy and uncertainty of different statistical approaches over the contiguous US, with an emphasis on the publicly available and “standardized” library, RdTools . In the results, it is confirmed that PLRs from RdTools are unbiased on average, but the accuracy and uncertainty of individual PLR estimates vary with climate zone, data quality, PV technology, and choice of analysis workflow. Best practices and improvement recommendations based on the findings of this study are provided.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Probabilistic predictions and uncertainty estimation for radiological and nuclear effects modeling

Better characterization of meteorological uncertainty is needed to predict the effects of radiological and nuclear releases in the atmosphere. Multi-physics ensembles of atmospheric simulations can estimate uncertainty of physical processes, but they are often limited for computational reasons. Because weather uncertainty is important for emergency response applications, but the conventional way of running multi-physics ensembles is infeasible, we have developed new machine learning-based methods that quickly estimate and identify key sources of meteorological uncertainty. Machine learning accelerates the analysis of weather uncertainty by iteratively learning about model physics options that affect plume predictions. We have demonstrated the power of machine learning by creating a large multi-physics weather and dispersion ensemble dataset containing 1,200 simulations for two hypothetical radiological release scenarios. By training on less than 10% of the ensemble, we can quickly and accurately predict different outcomes, including the mass of radiological material deposited and spatial distribution and extent of contaminated areas.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

SST-TG-P50F4R3200: Decaying Stably-Stratified Turbulence (SST), Initialized Using Taylor-Green Vortices (TG) at Prandtl Number Pr=50, Froude Number Fr=4, Reynolds Number Re=3200

This dataset comprises direct numerical simulations (DNS) of decaying stably-stratified turbulence influenced by a linear background density gradient, initialized using an array of Taylor-Green vortices, extending the Pr=1 simulations performed in [Riley and de Bruyn Kops (2003)](https://doi.org/10.1063/1.1578077). The initial Prandtl, Froude, and Reynolds numbers are (Pr, Fr, Re) = (50, 4, 3200). A total of 1,680 snapshots are recorded at uniform time intervals, each with a spatial resolution of 3584x3584x1792 grid points. Four flow variables are associated with each snapshot: the three velocity components (u,v,w) and the perturbed density field (rho) away from the background gradient. All fields are stored in binary format (32-bit little-endian), each with a size of 85.8 GB, yielding a total dataset size of 577 TB. Further details are referenced in the attached README file, and a current list of publications and associated analysis tools are provided at https://stratified-turbulence.github.io/web/.

42 ENGINEERING↗

SST-TG-P7F4R3200: Decaying Stably-Stratified Turbulence (SST), Initialized Using Taylor-Green Vortices (TG) at Prandtl Number Pr=7, Froude Number Fr=4, Reynolds Number Re=3200

This dataset comprises direct numerical simulations (DNS) of decaying stably-stratified turbulence influenced by a linear background density gradient, initialized using an array of Taylor-Green vortices, extending the Pr=1 simulations performed in [Riley and de Bruyn Kops (2003)](https://doi.org/10.1063/1.1578077). The initial Prandtl, Froude, and Reynolds numbers are (Pr, Fr, Re) = (7, 4, 3200). A total of 15,250 snapshots are recorded at uniform time intervals, each with a spatial resolution of 1280x1280x640 grid points. Four flow variables are associated with each snapshot: the three velocity components (u,v,w) and the perturbed density field (rho) away from the background gradient. All fields are stored in binary format (32-bit little-endian), each with a size of 4 GB, yielding a total dataset size of 244 TB. Further details are referenced in the attached README file, and a current list of publications and associated analysis tools are provided at https://stratified-turbulence.github.io/web/.

42 ENGINEERING↗

Multiple anatomy optimization of accumulated dose

Purpose: To investigate the potential advantages of multiple anatomy optimization (MAO) for lung cancer radiation therapy compared to the internal target volume (ITV) approach. Methods: MAO aims to optimize a single fluence to be delivered under free-breathing conditions such that the accumulated dose meets the plan objectives, where accumulated dose is defined as the sum of deformably mapped doses computed on each phase of a single four dimensional computed tomography (4DCT) dataset. Phantom and patient simulation studies were carried out to investigate potential advantages of MAO compared to ITV planning. Through simulated delivery of the ITV- and MAO-plans, target dose variations were also investigated. Results: By optimizing the accumulated dose, MAO shows the potential to ensure dose to the moving target meets plan objectives while simultaneously reducing dose to organs at risk (OARs) compared with ITV planning. While consistently superior to the ITV approach, MAO resulted in equivalent OAR dosimetry at planning objective dose levels to within 2% volume in 14/30 plans and to within 3% volume in 19/30 plans for each lung V20, esophagus V25, and heart V30. Despite large variations in per-fraction respiratory phase weights in simulated deliveries at high dose rates (e.g., treating 4/10 phases during single fraction beams) the cumulative clinical target volume (CTV) dose after 30 fractions and per-fraction dose were constant independent of planning technique. In one case considered, however, per-phase CTV dose varied from 74% to 117% of prescription implying the level of ITV-dose heterogeneity may not be appropriate with conventional, free-breathing delivery. Conclusions: MAO incorporates 4DCT information in an optimized dose distribution and can achieve a superior plan in terms of accumulated dose to the moving target and OAR sparing compared to ITV-plans. An appropriate level of dose heterogeneity in MAO plans must be further investigated.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗