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At least 577 records · Page 32

In with the old, in with the new: machine learning for time to event biomedical research

The predictive modeling literature for biomedical applications is dominated by biostatistical methods for survival analysis, and more recently some out of the box machine learning approaches. In this article, we show a presentation of a machine learning method appropriate for time-to-event modeling in the area of prostate cancer long-term disease progression. Using XGBoost adapted to long-term disease progression, we developed a predictive model for 118 788 patients with localized prostate cancer at diagnosis from the Department of Veterans Affairs (VA). Our model accounted for patient censoring. Harrell’s c-index for our model using only features available at the time of diagnosis was 0.757 95% confidence interval [0.756, 0.757]. Our results show that machine learning methods like XGBoost can be adapted to use accelerated failure time (AFT) with censoring to model long-term risk of disease progression. Furthermore, the long median survival justifies and requires censoring. Overall, we show that an existing machine learning approach can be used for AFT outcome modeling in prostate cancer, and more generally for other chronic diseases with long observation times.

96 KNOWLEDGE MANAGEMENT AND PRESERVATION↗

On-shot, high-intensity laser aberration measurements via ponderomotive electron ejection

We present a technique to assess the spatial aberration content of a focused multi-terawatt laser when fired at full power. This method leverages the direct detection of electrons ponderomotively accelerated from the focal volume formed in a low-pressure gaseous back-fill. Furthermore, our results show that the spatial distribution of emitted electrons exhibits distinct features correlated to the laser aberration type and magnitude. This work represents progress toward the complete and accurate in-situ spatiotemporal characterization of focused high-intensity lasers.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

Thermal and electric field driven rf breakdown precursor formation on metal surfaces

The phenomenon of electric breakdown poses serious challenges to the design of devices that operate in high electric field environments. Experimental evidence points toward breakdown events that are accompanied by elevated temperatures and dark current spikes, which is attributed to high-asperity nanostructure formation that enhances the local electric field and triggers a runaway process. However, the exact mechanistic origin of such nanostructures under typical macroscopic operational conditions of electric field and magnetic-field-mediated heating remains poorly understood. In this work, we simulate the evolution of a copper surface under the combined action of the electric fields and elevated temperatures. Using a mesoscale curvature-driven surface evolution model, we show how a copper surface can undergo a type of dynamical instability that naturally leads to the formation of sharp asperities in realistic experimental conditions. Exploring the combined effect of fields and temperature rise, we identify the critical regimes that allow for the formation of breakdown precursors. The results show that thermoelastic stresses, while not essential, can significantly lower the critical electric field required for runaway surface instability, which is consistent with experimental observations that thermal effects can increase breakdown rates. Published by the American Physical Society 2024

43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗

Absorption of charged particles in perfectly matched layers by optimal damping of the deposited current

Perfectly matched layers (PMLs) are widely used in particle-in-cell simulations, in order to absorb electromagnetic waves that propagate out of the simulation domain. However, when charged particles cross the interface between the simulation domain and the PMLs, a number of numerical artifacts can arise. Here, in order to mitigate these artifacts, we introduce a PML algorithm whereby the current deposited by the macroparticles in the PML is damped by an analytically derived optimal coefficient. The benefits of this algorithm are illustrated in practical simulations. In particular, it is shown that this algorithm is well suited for particles exiting the box in near-normal incidence, in the sense that the fields behave as if the exiting particle is propagating in an infinite vacuum.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Lifetimes of negative parity states in 162 Dy

Lifetimes of excited states in 162 Dy were measured using the (n,n’$γ$) reaction with the Doppler-Shift Attenuation Method (DSAM) at the University of Kentucky’s Accelerator Laboratory. A total of eighteen level lifetimes were obtained, including eleven negative-parity states, seven of which are new. These measurements significantly expand the experimental database of transition probabilities for negative-parity bands in the well-deformed rare earth region of nuclei. The extracted B(E1) and B(E2) values reveal enhanced interband E1 (10 -3 or 10 -4 ) W.u. and E2 strengths (several W.u.) between negative- and positive parity bands, particularly for the K π = $2^{-}_{1,2}$ bands decaying to the K π = $2^+_γ$ band, consistent with signatures of octupole-quadrupole coupling. In contrast, the K π = $0^{-}_1$ and K π = $1^{-}_3$ bands, which exhibit strong E1 transitions to the ground state band, are indicative of octupole-vibrational excitations built on the deformed ground state. Comparison of transition rates with Alaga rules supports this interpretation and distinguishes collective excitations from likely quasi-particle states. These new results establish 162 Dy as the most extensively characterized rare-earth nucleus for negative parity lifetimes and provide critical experimental benchmarks for theoretical models.

Aprahamian, A. [University of Notre Dame, IN (Unit↗

Improved Water Sound Synthesis using Coupled Bubbles

We introduce a practical framework for synthesizing bubble-based water sounds that captures the rich inter-bubble coupling effects responsible for low-frequency acoustic emissions from bubble clouds. We propose coupled-bubble oscillator models with regularized singularities, and techniques to reduce the computational cost of time stepping with dense, time-varying mass matrices. Airborne acoustic emissions are estimated using finite-difference time-domain (FDTD) methods. We propose a simple, analytical surface-acceleration model, and a sample-and-hold GPU wavesolver that is simple and faster than prior CPU wavesolvers. Sound synthesis results are demonstrated using bubbly flows from incompressible, two-phase simulations, as well as procedurally generated examples using single-phase FLIP fluid animations. Our results demonstrate sound simulations with hundreds of thousands of bubbles, and perceptually significant frequency transformations with fuller low-frequency content.

Computer Science↗

NEML2 - THE NEW ENGINEERING MATERIAL MODEL LIBRARY, VERSION 2

SF-22-157 NEML2 is an extension of an earlier open source code developed at ANL (SF-xxxx) called NEML. These libraries provide tools for constructing and using models of engineering materials, with a focus on high temperature materials for nuclear reactor applications. The software include tools for setting up material models, calibrating models, storing models for later use in other simulations, and running simple "material point" simulations of the material behavior. The main difference between NEML and NEML2 is the new software has been complete restructured to run on GPUs and other accelerators in order to improve the performance of methods used to train constitutive models against data and to improve the performance of the final models in production environments, like finite element software. While over time we expect NEML2 to become more-or-less feature complete with NEML we are filing a new software disclosure because (1) the library has been complete restructured and (2) we want to host NEML2 in a separate repository.

MESSNER, MARK↗

The Dark Energy Survey and Operations: Year 6 – The Finale

The Dark Energy Survey (DES) is an optical and near-infrared imaging survey aimed at understanding the accelerating expansion of the universe using four complementary methods: weak gravitational lensing, galaxy cluster counts, baryon acoustic oscillations, and Type Ia supernovae. To perform the 6-season 5000 sq-degree wide field and the 5-season 30 sq-degree supernova surveys, the DES Collaboration built the Dark Energy Camera (DECam), a 3 square-degree, 570-Megapixel CCD camera that was installed at the prime focus of the Blanco 4-meter telescope at the Cerro Tololo Inter-American Observatory (CTIO). DES started its observations in “Year 1” (Y1) on Aug. 31, 2013 and completed its sixth and final observing season on January 9, 2019. This paper describes DES Y6, the survey strategy, an outline of the survey operations procedures, the efficiency of operations and the causes of lost observing time. It provides details about the quality of the final season's data, and a summary of the Y1-Y6 observing. It contains a brief description of the last night of observations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Biofidelic Digital Head Model Software

Researchers at Los Alamos have extensive capabilities in biofidelic modeling, simulation and software development for predicting traumatic brain injury (TBI). Since injury-causing experiments cannot be performed on live humans, and head dummies are incapable of predicting brain deformations/strain, our approach uses magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) data for the brain combined with advanced computational methods and substructure constitutive properties to identify harmful accelerations that may develop diffused axonal injury in the brain. The goal is to develop this capability to analyze the effectiveness of personal protective equipment (PPE) such as, helmets and the advanced energy-absorbing materials used in PPE to mitigate brain injury. Los Alamos is seeking a collaborative partner (through a cooperative research and development agreement) to develop this capability toward a potential technology that will have commercial viability.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

Bridging microscale to macroscale mechanical property measurements and predication of performance limitation for FeCrAl alloys under extreme reactor applications

Microscale mechanical testing has greatly benefited nuclear materials studies in at least two aspects: one is its feasibility to integrate with SEM and TEM microscopes for in situ atomic scale or microscale structural characterization to reveal fundamental details, and the other is its significance in development of accelerator-based ion irradiation technique as a surrogate method to simulate neutron damage. Ion irradiation is able to reach damage creation at a level at least three orders of magnitudes higher than test reactors. However, limited ion penetration depths, which are about a few microns for MeVs heavy ions and 10s microns for MeV light ions, make microscale mechanical tests a necessity. But, there is a great challenge to bridge microscale tests to macroscale tests because a bulk specimen of irradiated nuclear materials for high dose applications cannot be obtained in laboratory.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Bridging microscale to macroscale mechanical property measurements and predication of performance limitation for FeCrAl alloys under extreme reactor applications

Microscale mechanical testing has greatly benefited nuclear materials studies in at least two aspects: one is its feasibility to integrate with SEM and TEM microscopes for in situ atomic scale or microscale structural characterization to reveal fundamental details, and the other is its significance in development of accelerator-based ion irradiation technique as a surrogate method to simulate neutron damage. Ion irradiation is able to reach damage creation at a level at least three orders of magnitudes higher than test reactors. However, limited ion penetration depths, which are about a few microns for MeVs heavy ions and 10s microns for MeV light ions, make microscale mechanical tests a necessity. But, there is a great challenge to bridge microscale tests to macroscale tests because a bulk specimen of irradiated nuclear materials for high dose applications cannot be obtained in laboratory.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Sputter sample preparation for ion beam delivery of radium-223 at ATLAS

A radium-223 ion beam was delivered to an experiment from the electron cyclotron resonance ion source, ECR2, at the Argonne Tandem Linac Accelerator System (ATLAS). Here, the radium-223 material was in a nitrate salt form within a vial, prior to being converted to a usable sputter sample. The sputter sample was produced using a new sample preparation method, where the radium nitrate was dissolved into a solution and pipetted onto pressed aluminum powder. This sample was then allowed to dry, distributing the radium-223 material throughout the sputter sample. Ion source operation using the radium sputter sample is described with the operating parameters listed. The intensity and energy requirements for this ion beam were 1 × 10 6 particles/s and 1.07 GeV, respectively. Because the intensity is relatively low compared to most experiments at ATLAS, previously developed accelerator mass spectrometry methods were used Scott et al. to avoid the need for tuning of the low-intensity beam of interest. Handling of the radium material, as well as loading and unloading of the sputter sample from ECR2, required collaboration with Health Physics. Procedures were used and dry runs were carried out before, during, and after the experiment to ensure the safety of the workers. The processes used and lessons learned are described within.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Isotopically labelled inorganic carbon delivered to algalcultures via bubbler bottle

This protocol describes a method for delivering labelled inorganic carbon as 13 CO 2 to algal cultures by bubbling air through a solution of H 13 CO 3 - , and then into the culture. We developed this method to deliver label to cultures grown under continuous bubbling with air, without the use of 13 CO 2 labelled gas and the necessary equipment to mix labelled gas with air at near-atmospheric levels. Bubbling precludes the more common approach of adding H 13 CO 3 - label directly to the media, because dissolved HCO 3 - is in equilibrium with atmospheric CO 2 . Thus, excess HCO 3 - added to a solution will leave the solution as CO 2 gas as it equilibrates. Bubbling rapidly accelerates this equilibration which is typically diffusion limited. The method described here takes advantage of this aspect of carbonate chemistry, and uses a solution of H 13 CO 3 - —which is less expensive and more convenient than 13 CO 2 gas—to generate a flux of 13 CO 2 that can be bubbled into a culture.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗

Development of Solid Isotope Harvesting Methods in Preparation for FRIB (Closeout Report)

This project developed the techniques necessary to isolate hydrolysable radiometals from irradiated accelerator components. It was a collaborative project headed by Dr. Jennifer Shusterman at Hunter College in coordination with Dr. Nick Scielzo at Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory and Dr. Gregory Severin at Michigan State University. To develop the methods for harvesting hydrolysable radiometals, both non-radioactive and radioactive experiments were conducted. Non-radioactive tests involved dissolving common accelerator materials (tungsten, copper, aluminum, and gold), adding trace amounts of Zr 4+ and Y 3+ , and then separating the added ions out again using a variety of column-based approaches. These methods were then tested on surrogate materials that were created by irradiating tungsten, copper, aluminum and gold foils with a low-purity 88 Zr beam at the National Superconducting Cyclotron Laboratory. The implanted 88 Zr (and co-implanted and daughter-product 88 Y) were recovered, validating the developed methods. MSU’s role in the project was to develop the chemistry for recovering Zr and Y from tungsten; build the target station for irradiating the foils; conduct the irradiations with the collaborators; to validate the tungsten methodology using the irradiated foils; and to disseminate the results.

07 ISOTOPE AND RADIATION SOURCES↗

Invertible Neural Networks for Airfoil Design

We report the airfoil design problem, in which an engineer seeks a shape with desired performance characteristics, is fundamental to aerodynamics. Design workflows traditionally rely on iterative optimization methods using low-fidelity integral boundary-layer methods as higher-fidelity adjoint-based computational fluid dynamics methods are computationally expensive. Surrogate-based approaches can accelerate the design process but still rely on some iterative inverse design procedure. In this work, we leverage emerging invertible neural network (INN) tools to enable the rapid inverse design of airfoil shapes for wind turbines. INNs are specialized deep-learning models with well-defined inverse mappings. When trained appropriately, INN surrogate models are capable of forward prediction of aerodynamic and structural quantities for a given airfoil shape as well as inverse recovery of airfoil shapes with specified aerodynamic and structural characteristics. The INN approach offers a roughly 100 times speed-up compared to adjoint-based methods for inverse design. We demonstrate the INN tool for inverse design on three test cases of 100 airfoils each that satisfy the performance characteristics close to those of airfoils used in wind-turbine blades. All generated shapes satisfy the desired aerodynamic characteristics, demonstrating the success of the INN approach for inverse design of airfoils.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Acceleration of Glass Alteration Rates Induced by Zeolite Seeds at Controlled pH

As the glass-water reaction proceeds, certain glass compositions undergo a delayed acceleration in the alteration rate – a phenomenon that is commonly referred to as Stage III behavior – which generally coincides with zeolite formation. However, studying Stage III in the laboratory is difficult because the time scale required to observe Stage III behavior can vary from months to several years, and the solution conditions that initiate this acceleration remain poorly understood. Consequently, the development of a corrosion test method capable of quantifying Stage III rates in a timely manner would be of great benefit to both the scientific community and policy makers concerned with nuclear waste disposal. In this work, we induced and measured the acceleration in the corrosion rate of the AFCI glass by seeding static corrosion tests with zeolite Na-P2 at fixed pH90°C values ranging from 9.5 to 11.5. The induced Stage III rates increased linearly with increasing pH and were measured to be between the forward and residual rates of AFCI. Tests designed to compare induced Stage III rates obtained for different seeding times showed that the induced Stage III rates were faster in the absence of an alteration layer. In summary, the use of the seeded test method allows for a conservative quantification of Stage III rates in a relatively short, one-month time period.

Neeway, James J.↗

Materials Characterization, Prediction, and Control Project: Characterization of 316L Stainless Steel after Solid Phase Processing using Ultrasonic NDE Method

The Pacific Northwest National Laboratory undertook the Materials Characterization, Prediction, and Control Laboratory Directed Research and Development Project to advance understanding of nuclear material processing and enable multifold acceleration in the development and qualification of new material systems produced via advanced manufacturing methods, such as solid phase processing, for use in national security and advanced energy applications (Smith 2021). A motivation of the Materials Characterization, Prediction, and Control Project was to demonstrate ultrasonic testing as a nondestructive evaluation method to complement traditional destructive methods for characterizing material microstructure with emphasis on grain size determination using a method that may have future applications for real-time inline process monitoring. The objective of the work described in this report is to establish the process and an analysis method for measuring grain sizes of polycrystalline metals with ultrafine grains using ultrasonic shear wave backscattering, building on prior studies on coarser-grained material. The work involves five tasks: Measured ultrasonic backscattering experimentally for a series of 316L stainless steel specimens with various grain sizes made by friction stir processing. Calculated ultrasonic backscattering coefficients from experimental data based on a physical measurement model. Measured ground truth grain sizes of the specimens from electron backscatter diffraction grain boundary images using a generalization of the ASTM E112 (ASTM 2021) intercept method. Built a curve of ultrasonic backscattering coefficients versus the ground truth intercept-based grain sizes to determine the correlation between mean grain sizes and ultrasonic measurements. Demonstrated the ability of using the correlation curve to deduce grain sizes with measured ultrasonic backscattering coefficients for a few 316L stainless steel specimens whose grain sizes were unknown beforehand but were targeted to be an extrapolation to larger grain sizes than used to formulate the correlation curves. Experimental procedures and computational algorithms are developed and validated for these tasks. This work establishes an ultrasonic technique for characterizing material microstructure with ultrafine grains that are often resulted by solid-phase processing. The technique is nondestructive, and it has the potential to be used for real time inline process monitoring. This work successfully demonstrates the viability of an ultrasonic nondestructive evaluation method for microstructural characterization of material having ultrafine grain structure (as small as 1?mm) and produced by an advanced manufacturing method. This includes a demonstration of the method to extrapolate to other conditions. While not demonstrated here, the method is expected to be viable for in-line, or near-inline, process monitoring in advanced manufacturing applications with suitable consideration for access of instrumentation to the material being manufactured.

316 L Stainless Steel↗