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At least 577 records · Page 32

A Review of Global Precipitation Data Sets: Data Sources, Estimation, and Intercomparisons

Abstract In this paper, we present a comprehensive review of the data sources and estimation methods of 30 currently available global precipitation data sets, including gauge‐based, satellite‐related, and reanalysis data sets. We analyzed the discrepancies between the data sets from daily to annual timescales and found large differences in both the magnitude and the variability of precipitation estimates. The magnitude of annual precipitation estimates over global land deviated by as much as 300 mm/yr among the products. Reanalysis data sets had a larger degree of variability than the other types of data sets. The degree of variability in precipitation estimates also varied by region. Large differences in annual and seasonal estimates were found in tropical oceans, complex mountain areas, northern Africa, and some high‐latitude regions. Overall, the variability associated with extreme precipitation estimates was slightly greater at lower latitudes than at higher latitudes. The reliability of precipitation data sets is mainly limited by the number and spatial coverage of surface stations, the satellite algorithms, and the data assimilation models. The inconsistencies described limit the capability of the products for climate monitoring, attribution, and model validation.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Prior biosphere model impact on global terrestrial CO2 fluxes estimated from OCO-2 retrievals

This study assesses the impact of different state of the art global biospheric CO2 flux models, when applied as prior information, on inverse model “top-down” estimates of terrestrial CO2 fluxes obtained when assimilating Orbiting Carbon Observatory 2 (OCO-2) observations. This is done with a series of observing system simulation experiments (OSSEs) using synthetic CO2 column-average dry air mole fraction (XCO2) retrievals sampled at the OCO-2 satellite spatiotemporal frequency. The OSSEs utilized a 4-D variational (4D-Var) assimilation system with the GEOS-Chem global chemical transport model (CTM) to estimate CO2 net ecosystem exchange (NEE) fluxes using synthetic OCO-2 observations. The impact of biosphere models in inverse model estimates of NEE is quantified by conducting OSSEs using the NASA-CASA, CASA-GFED, SiB-4, and LPJ models as prior estimates and using NEE from the multi-model ensemble mean of the Multiscale Synthesis and Terrestrial Model Intercomparison Project as the “truth”. Results show that the assimilation of simulated XCO2 retrievals at OCO-2 observing modes over land results in posterior NEE estimates which generally reproduce “true” NEE globally and over terrestrial TransCom-3 regions that are well-sampled. However, we find larger spread among posterior NEE estimates, when using different prior NEE fluxes, in regions and seasons that have limited OCO-2 observational coverage and a large range in “bottom-up” NEE fluxes. Seasonally averaged posterior NEE estimates had standard deviations (SD) of ∼10 % to ∼50 % of the multi-model-mean NEE for different TransCom-3 land regions with significant NEE fluxes (regions/seasons with a NEE flux ≥0.5 PgC/yr). On a global average, the seasonally averaged residual impact of the prior model NEE assumption on the posterior NEE spread is ∼10 %–20 % of the posterior NEE mean. Additional OCO-2 OSSE simulations demonstrate that posterior NEE estimates are also sensitive to the assumed prior NEE flux uncertainty statistics, with spread in posterior NEE estimates similar to those when using variable prior model NEE fluxes. In fact, the sensitivity of posterior NEE estimates to prior error statistics was larger than prior flux values in some regions/times in the tropics and Southern Hemisphere where sufficient OCO-2 data were available and large differences between the prior and truth were evident. Overall, even with the availability of spatiotemporally dense OCO-2 data, noticeable residual differences (up to ∼20 %–30 % globally and 50 % regionally) in posterior NEE flux estimates remain that were caused by the choice of prior model flux values and the specification of prior flux uncertainties.

Sajeev Philip↗

Lattice Relaxations in Bixbyite‐Structured Rare‐Earth Sesquioxides

This report examines atomic relaxations in rare‐earth sesquioxides with the cubic bixbyite crystal structure. In particular, the experimentally determined unit cell atom positions in bixbyite compounds are compared to “ideal” bixbyite atom positions, where the concept of ideality is based on similarities between the bixbyite and fluorite crystal structures. Analyses indicate that all rare‐earth sesquioxide compounds deviate from ideality in similar ways and that there is a trend wherein the magnitudes of these atomic deviations decrease with increasing cationic size. The deviations from an ideal, fluorite‐like structure produce highly distorted coordination polyhedra and variations in metal‐oxygen bond lengths. A modified bond valence sum analysis revealed that the first nearest neighbor cation‐anion bond length variations lead to large (20%) variations in cation‐anion bond strength. This report also provides a qualitative analysis regarding the accuracy of atomic relaxed deviation parameters, based on x‐ray diffraction measurements. The analysis indicates that uncertainties in the accuracy of measured oxygen relaxed deviation parameters in bixbyite sesquioxides are likely much greater than the published uncertainties.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Emergent Low-Symmetry Phases and Large Property Enhancements in Ferroelectric KNbO 3 Bulk Crystals [Emergent Low-Symmetry Phases with Large Property Enhancement in Ferroelectric KNbO 3 Bulk Crystals]

The design of new or enhanced functionality in materials is traditionally viewed as requiring the discovery of new chemical compositions through synthesis. Large property enhancements may however also be hidden within already well-known materials, when their structural symmetry is deviated from equilibrium through a small local strain or field. Here, the discovery of enhanced material properties associated with a new metastable phase of monoclinic symmetry within bulk KNbO 3 is reported. This phase is found to coexist with the nominal orthorhombic phase at room temperature, and is both induced by and stabilized with local strains generated by a network of ferroelectric domain walls. While the local microstructural shear strain involved is only ≈0.017%, the concurrent symmetry reduction results in an optical second harmonic generation response that is over 550% higher at room temperature. Moreover, the meandering walls of the low-symmetry domains also exhibit enhanced electrical conductivity on the order of 1 S m -1 . In conclusion, this discovery reveals a potential new route to local engineering of significant property enhancements and conductivity through symmetry lowering in ferroelectric crystals.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Search for the direct production of charginos and neutralinos in final states with tau leptons in $\sqrt{s}$ =13 TeV pp collisions with the ATLAS detector

A search for the direct production of charginos and neutralinos in final states with at least two hadronically decaying tau leptons is presented. The analysis uses a dataset of pp collisions corresponding to an integrated luminosity of 36.1 fb -1 , recorded with the ATLAS detector at the Large Hadron Collider at a centre-of-mass energy of 13 TeV. No significant deviation from the expected Standard Model background is observed. Limits are derived in scenarios of $ \tilde{X} $$ \mathbb +\atop{1}$$ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb -\atop{1}$ pair production and of $ \tilde{X} $$ \mathbb ±\atop{1}$$ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb 0\atop{2}$ and $ \tilde{X} $$ \mathbb +\atop{1}$$ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb -\atop{1}$ production in simplified models where the neutralinos and charginos decay solely via intermediate left-handed staus and tau sneutrinos, and the mass of the $ \tilde{τ} $ L state is set to be halfway between the masses of the $ \tilde{X} $$ \mathbb ±\atop{1}$ and the $ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb 0\atop{1}$. Chargino masses up to 630 GeV are excluded at 95% confidence level in the scenario of direct production of $ \tilde{X} $$ \mathbb +\atop{1}$$ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb -\atop{1}$ for a massless $ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb 0\atop{1}$. Common $ \tilde{X} $$ \mathbb ±\atop{1}$ and $ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb 0\atop{2}$ masses up to 760 GeV are excluded in the case of production of $ \tilde{X} $$ \mathbb ±\atop{1}$$ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb 0\atop{2}$ and $ \tilde{X} $$ \mathbb +\atop{1}$$ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb -\atop{1}$ assuming a massless $ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb 0\atop{1}$. Exclusion limits for additional benchmark scenarios with large and small mass-splitting between the$ \tilde{X} $$ \mathbb ±\atop{1}$ and the $ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb 0\atop{1}$ are also studied by varying the $ \tilde{τ} $ L mass between the masses of the$ \tilde{X} $$ \mathbb ±\atop{1}$ and the $ \tilde{X}$$ \mathbb 0\atop{1}$.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Numerical modeling of chemical looping oxidative dehydrogenation of ethane in parallel packed beds

Chemical looping oxidative dehydrogenation (CL-ODH) of ethane has the potential to be a highly efficient alternative to steam cracking for ethylene production. Accurate reactor modeling is of critical importance to efficiently scale up and optimize this new technology. This study reports a one-dimensional, heterogeneous packed bed model to simulate the CL-ODH of ethane to ethylene with a Na 2 MoO 4 -promoted CaTi 0.1 Mn 0.9 O 3 redox catalyst. Here, the overall reaction kinetics was well-described by coupling the gas-phase steam cracking of ethane with the reduction kinetics of the redox catalyst by H 2 and C 2 H 4 . The impact of H 2 on the formation rate of CO 2 byproduct from C 2 H 4 conversion was also thoroughly investigated to validate the applicability of the kinetic model under operational environments. The temperature variation within the different CL-ODH steps and the temperature distribution along the bed were also carefully considered. The accuracy of the model was validated by experiments conducted in a large lab-scale packed bed reactor (200 g catalyst loading), with an average deviation of 2.8% in terms of ethane conversion and ethylene yield. The model was subsequently used to optimize the operating parameters of the CL-ODH reactor, indicating that up to 63.7% single-pass C 2 +olefin yield can be achieved with the current redox catalyst bed whereas further optimization of the redox catalyst to inhibit C 2 H 4 activation can result in 69.4% single-pass C 2 +yield while maintaining low CO 2 selectivity.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

Edge dislocation mediated anomalous charge transfer in face centered cubic high entropy alloys

The charge transfer in alloys dictates their structural and functional properties. The presence of the line defect can influence the charge transfer characteristics in alloys. The edge dislocation-volume misfit interaction in high entropy alloys is a critical area of interest concerning the development of accurate solid solution strengthening models for these materials. The evolution of the volume misfit of atoms is either studied empirically using Vegard's law or mechanistically using \emph{ab initio} calculations, without considering the effect of edge dislocation on charge transfer explicitly. In this work, we show the influence of edge dislocation on the charge transfer in CoCrFeMnNi, CoCrNi and CoNi using large-scale \emph{ab initio} calculations. The anomalous charge transfer characteristics, in terms of deviations from electronegativity trends, are demonstrated, which are dictated by electronegativity equalisation rather than pair-atom interactions. The deviation of atomic volume in the compressive and tensile stress regions of the edge dislocation is rationalised in terms of anomalous magneto-volume fluctuations in such alloys.

Ghosh, Swarnava [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000338005264)↗

Non-thermal emission in gap-mode plasmon photoluminescence

Abstract Photoluminescence from spatially inhomogeneous plasmonic nanostructures exhibits fascinating wavelength-dependent nonlinear behaviors due to the intraband recombination of hot electrons excited into the conduction band of the metal. The properties of the excited carrier distribution and the role of localized plasmonic modes are subjects of debate. In this work, we use plasmonic gap-mode resonators with precise nanometer-scale confinement to show that the nonlinear photoluminescence behavior can become dominated by non-thermal contributions produced by the excited carrier population that strongly deviates from the Fermi-Dirac distribution due to the confinement-induced large-momentum free carrier absorption beyond the dipole approximation. These findings open new pathways for controllable light conversion using nonequilibrium electron states at the nanoscale.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Fast uncertainty estimates in deep learning interatomic potentials

Deep learning has emerged as a promising paradigm to give access to highly accurate predictions of molecular and material properties. A common short-coming shared by current approaches, however, is that neural networks only give point estimates of their predictions and do not come with predictive uncertainties associated with these estimates. Existing uncertainty quantification efforts have primarily leveraged the standard deviation of predictions across an ensemble of independently trained neural networks. This incurs a large computational overhead in both training and prediction, resulting in order-of-magnitude more expensive predictions. Here, we propose a method to estimate the predictive uncertainty based on a single neural network without the need for an ensemble. This allows us to obtain uncertainty estimates with virtually no additional computational overhead over standard training and inference. We demonstrate that the quality of the uncertainty estimates matches those obtained from deep ensembles. We further examine the uncertainty estimates of our methods and deep ensembles across the configuration space of our test system and compare the uncertainties to the potential energy surface. Finally, we study the efficacy of the method in an active learning setting and find the results to match an ensemble-based strategy at order-of-magnitude reduced computational cost.

Chemistry↗

Exploring dark matter microphysics with galaxy surveys

We use present cosmological observations and forecasts of future experiments to illustrate the power of large-scale structure (LSS) surveys in probing dark matter (DM) microphysics and unveiling potential deviations from the standard ΛCDM scenario. To quantify this statement, we focus on an extension of ΛCDM with DM-neutrino scattering, which leaves a distinctive imprint on the angular and matter power spectra. After finding that future CMB experiments (such as COrE+) will not significantly improve the constraints set by the Planck satellite, we show that the next generation of galaxy clustering surveys (such as DESI) could play a leading role in constraining alternative cosmologies and even have the potential to make a discovery. Typically we find that DESI would be an order of magnitude more sensitive to DM interactions than Planck, thus probing effects that until now have only been accessible via N-body simulations.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Testing predictions of the quantum landscape multiverse 2: the exponential inflationary potential

The 2015 Planck data release tightened the region of the allowed inflationary models. Inflationary models with convex potentials have now been ruled out since they produce a large tensor to scalar ratio. Meanwhile the same data offers interesting hints on possible deviations from the standard picture of CMB perturbations. Here we revisit the predictions of the theory of the origin of the universe from the landscape multiverse for the case of exponential inflation, for two reasons: firstly to check the status of the anomalies associated with this theory, in the light of the recent Planck data; secondly, to search for a counterexample whereby new physics modifications may bring convex inflationary potentials, thought to have been ruled out, back into the region of potentials allowed by data. Using the exponential inflation as an example of convex potentials, we find that the answer to both tests is positive: modifications to the perturbation spectrum and to the Newtonian potential of the universe originating from the quantum entanglement, bring the exponential potential, back within the allowed region of current data; and, the series of anomalies previously predicted in this theory, is still in good agreement with current data. Hence our finding for this convex potential comes at the price of allowing for additional thermal relic particles, equivalently dark radiation, in the early universe.

79 ASTRONOMY AND ASTROPHYSICS↗

Oceanographic and meteorological research based on the data products of SEASAT

De-aliased SEASAT SASS vector winds obtained during the GOASEX (Gulf of Alaska SEASAT Experiment) program were processed to obtain superobservations centered on a one degree by one degree grid. The results provide values for the combined effects of mesoscale variability and communication noise on the individual SASS winds. Each grid point of the synoptic field provides the mean synoptic east-west and north-south wind components plus estimates of the standard deviations of these means. These superobservations winds are then processed further to obtain synoptic scale vector winds stress fiels, the horizontal divergence of the wind, the curl of the wind stress and the vertical velocity at 200 m above the sea surface, each with appropriate standard deviations for each grid point value. The resulting fields appear to be consistant over large distances and to agree with, for example, geostationary cloud images obtained concurrently. Their quality is far superior to that of analyses based on conventional data.

Pierson, W. J.↗

High-frequency wave normals in the solar wind

High-frequency (0.01-0.04 Hz) magnetic fluctuations in 506 ten-minute intervals of contemporaneous Explorer 35 and Apollo 12 measurements made in the solar wind near the morning side of the earth's bow shock show the presence of a large population of disturbances resembling Alfven waves. Each wavefront normal is systematically aligned (median deviation = 35 deg) with the associated ten-minute average of the magnetic field. Because of variability in the direction of this ten-minute average, from one interval to another, the coupled wavefront-normal distribution is nearly isotropic in solar ecliptic coordinates, in contrast with the results of other studies of waves at much lower frequency indicating outward propagation from the sun. Presumably the high frequency waves discussed here are stirred into isotropy (in solar ecliptic coordinates) by following the low frequency fluctuations. As these waves maintain their alignment of wavefront-normal with the field ten-minute average despite the great variation of the field ten-minute average, a strong physical alignment constraint is inferred.

Herbert, F.↗

Accretion disk emission from a BL Lacertae object

The accretion disk is an attractive model for BL Lac objects because of its preferred axis and high efficiency. While the smooth continuum spectra of BL Lacs do not show large UV bumps, in marked contrast to quasars, high quality simultaneous data do reveal deviations from smoothness. Using detailed calculations of cool accretion disk spectra, the best measured ultraviolet and soft x ray spectra of the BL Lac object PKS 2155-304 are fitted. The mass and accretion rate required are determined. A hot disk or corona could comptonize soft photons from the cool disk and produce the observed power law spectrum in the 1 to 10 keV range. The dynamic time scales in the disk regions that contribute most of the observed ultraviolet and soft x ray photons are consistent with the respective time scales for intensity variations. The mass derived from fitting the continuum spectrum is consistent with the limit derived from the fastest hard x ray variability.

Urry, C. Megan↗

Observational tests for nonequilibrium ionization in the solar corona

Nonequilibrium ionization may be produced by a variety of processes in the solar corona, for example, by mass flows through the large temperature gradients of the transition region or by impulsive heating and cooling. Any deviation from equilibrium ionization would have a strong effect on the radiation from the corona and on the interpretation of solar observations; hence, it is important to determine observational signatures of nonequilibrium. The temperature-sensitive line ratios can be used as such signatures. We examine the line ratios: C IV I(1548.2 A)/I(312.4 A), O IV I(789.4 A)/I(554.4 A), O V I(629.7 A)/I(172.2 A), O VI I(1031.9 A)/I(173.0 A) and O VI I(1031.9 A)/I(150.1 A). These line ratios are calculated for four coronal loop models that have a steady flow and that are known to have significant departures from equilibrium ionization. Our results indicate that, in general, nonequilibrium causes a considerable reduction in the line ratios, more than an order of magnitude in the downflowing leg of the loop model with the largest mass flows. We find that the C IV line ratio is the most sensitive to nonequilibrium. We discuss the implications of our results for observations, specifically, the observations expected from the upcoming SOHO mission.

Spadaro, D.↗

Kinematic principles of primate rotational vestibulo-ocular reflex. II. Gravity-dependent modulation of primary eye position

The kinematic constraints of three-dimensional eye positions were investigated in rhesus monkeys during passive head and body rotations relative to gravity. We studied fast and slow phase components of the vestibulo-ocular reflex (VOR) elicited by constant-velocity yaw rotations and sinusoidal oscillations about an earth-horizontal axis. We found that the spatial orientation of both fast and slow phase eye positions could be described locally by a planar surface with torsional variation of <2.0 +/- 0.4 degrees (displacement planes) that systematically rotated and/or shifted relative to Listing's plane. In supine/prone positions, displacement planes pitched forward/backward; in left/right ear-down positions, displacement planes were parallel shifted along the positive/negative torsional axis. Dynamically changing primary eye positions were computed from displacement planes. Torsional and vertical components of primary eye position modulated as a sinusoidal function of head orientation in space. The torsional component was maximal in ear-down positions and approximately zero in supine/prone orientations. The opposite was observed for the vertical component. Modulation of the horizontal component of primary eye position exhibited a more complex dependence. In contrast to the torsional component, which was relatively independent of rotational speed, modulation of the vertical and horizontal components of primary position depended strongly on the speed of head rotation (i.e., on the frequency of oscillation of the gravity vector component): the faster the head rotated relative to gravity, the larger was the modulation. Corresponding results were obtained when a model based on a sinusoidal dependence of instantaneous displacement planes (and primary eye position) on head orientation relative to gravity was fitted to VOR fast phase positions. When VOR fast phase positions were expressed relative to primary eye position estimated from the model fits, they were confined approximately to a single plane with a small torsional standard deviation ( approximately 1.4-2.6 degrees). This reduced torsional variation was in contrast to the large torsional spread (well >10-15 degrees ) of fast phase positions when expressed relative to Listing's plane. We conclude that primary eye position depends dynamically on head orientation relative to space rather than being fixed to the head. It defines a gravity-dependent coordinate system relative to which the torsional variability of eye positions is minimized even when the head is moved passively and vestibulo-ocular reflexes are evoked. In this general sense, Listing's law is preserved with respect to an otolith-controlled reference system that is defined dynamically by gravity.

NASA Discipline Neuroscience↗

Kinetic Model of Electric Potentials in Localized Collisionless Plasma Structures under Steady Quasi-gyrotropic Conditions

Localized plasma structures, such as thin current sheets, generally are associated with localized magnetic and electric fields. In space plasmas localized electric fields not only play an important role for particle dynamics and acceleration but may also have significant consequences on larger scales, e.g., through magnetic reconnection. Also, it has been suggested that localized electric fields generated in the magnetosphere are directly connected with quasi-steady auroral arcs. In this context, we present a two-dimensional model based on Vlasov theory that provides the electric potential for a large class of given magnetic field profiles. The model uses an expansion for small deviation from gyrotropy and besides quasineutrality it assumes that electrons and ions have the same number of particles with their generalized gyrocenter on any given magnetic field line. Specializing to one dimension, a detailed discussion concentrates on the electric potential shapes (such as "U" or "S" shapes) associated with magnetic dips, bumps, and steps. Then, it is investigated how the model responds to quasi-steady evolution of the plasma. Finally, the model proves useful in the interpretation of the electric potentials taken from two existing particle simulations.

Schindler, K.↗

Experimental and Computational Investigation of Flow Boiling in Microgravity

This study explores use of Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) to predict near-saturated flow boiling of FC-72 in microgravity. The computational method employs transient analysis to predict detailed interfacial behavior and heat transfer characteristics along a rectangular channel heated along two opposite walls. Predicted results are validated against experimental temperature measurements and high-speed video images captured during a series of parabolic aircraft maneuvers for three sets of operating conditions which include variations of both mass velocity and wall heat flux. The computational method is based on the multi-phase volume of fluid (VOF) model, which is combined with appropriate phase change and turbulence models, and accounts for both shear-lift force on bubbles and conjugate heat transfer along the heating walls. A key advantage of the CFD method is ability to capture details that are very difficult to measure experimentally, including detailed spatial variations of bubble shape, void fraction, mixture fluid temperature, liquid velocity, and vapor velocity, results for which are presented for each of the three test cases. Different flow regimes predicted along the heated length exhibit a number of dominant mechanisms including bubble nucleation, bubble growth, coalescence, vapor blankets, interfacial waviness, and residual liquid sub-layer, all of which agree well with experiment. Vapor velocity is shown to increase appreciably along the heated length because of increased void fraction, while liquid velocity experiences large fluctuations. Non-equilibrium effects are accentuated with increasing mass velocity, contributing minor deviations of fluid temperature from simulations compared to those predicted by the analytical method. Predicted wall temperature is fairly uniform in the middle of the heated length but increases in the entrance region, due to sensible heat transfer in the subcooled liquid, and decreases toward the exit, mostly because of flow acceleration resulting from increased void fraction.

two-phase cooling; flow boiling; CFD; microgravity↗