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At least 577 records · Page 32

MSD CoP Webinar: AI and Extreme Events - Overcoming Data Challenges for Improved Characterization of Climate Extremes

Context: This webinar was hosted by the MultiSector Dynamics Community of Practice (MSD CoP; https://multisectordynamics.org). Abstract: Artificial Intelligence (AI) models require large volumes of data for training and testing. Data requirements present challenges for using AI to explore extreme events with limited observational data. This webinar will showcase two innovative methods developed by part of the European Climate Intelligence (CLINT) project to overcome data challenges and harness AI to improve our understanding of climate extremes. Dr. Ascenso will present his research on data augmentation methods to improve estimates of tropical cyclones using satellite data. His presentation will review established methods for data augmentation and explore opportunities and challenges for using generative AI to generate images of extreme, life-threatening tropical cyclones. Next, Dr. Plesiat will present his research on deep learning techniques to overcome limited observational data sets. His presentation will illustrate deep learning methods to develop AI reconstructions of four climate indices across Europe. Presenters : Dr. Guido Ascenso (post-doctoral researcher, Politecnico di Milano); Dr. Étienne Plésiat (German Climate Computing Centre - DKRZ) Moderator(s): Stefano Galelli (MSD CoP WG Co-Lead), David Gold (MSD CoP WG Co-Lead), Jillian Sturtevant (MSD CoP WG Communications Officer), Matteo Giuliani (Politecnico di Milano, MSD CoP WG Member, Moderator and Organizer) This webinar was held on: October 11, 2024 from 11AM - 1PM ET

AI↗

MSD CoP Webinar: Representing Climate Impacts in Scenaros

Context: This webinar was hosted by the MultiSector Dynamics Community of Practice (MSD CoP; https://multisectordynamics.org). Abstract: Scenarios of future emissions and land use have been most commonly produced without accounting for the effects that climate impacts linked to those emissions and land use changes may have. The questions of how important such impacts could be, at the regional or global scale, has become an increasingly cogent one. Using the Global Change Analysis Model (GCAM), we implement climate impacts on water supply, agricultural productivity, and energy demand driven by climatic impact drivers whose evolution over the 21st century is representative of a climate consistent with GCAM's reference scenario and compare the output to the reference at both regional and global scales. We show that the impacts from the version of GCAM that uses GDP as an exogenous input are not sufficient to bend emission pathways at the global scale. However, we see effects emerge at the regional scale in terms of emissions, among other metrics linked to water, land and energy. We expect the impacts to become more significant at an aggregate, global scale in a forthcoming version of the model with endogenous GDP. Meanwhile, we document the mechanisms that drive the difference at regional scales which could still be significant in their impacts for individual economies and populations. Presenters: Dr. Claudia Tebaldi (Joint Global Change Research Institute, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory) Moderator(s): Jennifer Morris (MSD CoP SSG member), Patrick Reed (MSD CoP Facilitation Team Member, Moderator and Organizer) This webinar was held on: November 5, 2024 from 1 PM - 2:15 PM ET

Climate Scenarios↗

MSD CoP Webinar: Accounting for distributive justice in model-based decision support

Context: This webinar was hosted by the MultiSector Dynamics Community of Practice (MSD CoP; https://multisectordynamics.org). Abstract: Model-based analyses play an ever-increasing role in informing policy and decision-making. However, many large-scale societal challenges unavoidably involve questions about the fair distribution of positive and negative consequences. How are the costs of the energy transition distributed over households and businesses? How are flood risks redistributed under different flood risk management plans? How are the impacts of climate change and climate mitigation distributed over different parts of the world?These kinds of questions play an important role when deliberating public policy, and the lack, in many cases, of clear answers becomes an obstacle to decision-making. At recent COPs, for example, wicked questions about loss and damages and the phase-out versus phase-down of coal became obstacles to global climate action, illustrating the misalignment of the direction of scientific research and decision-makers' information needs. In this talk, I'll explore advances that are being made that enable analysts to start providing grounded model-based answers to questions of distributive justice, as well as argue that analysts should embrace and explicate the normative nature of their work instead of hiding behind the purported neutrality of science. Presenters: Dr. Jan Kwakkel (Delft University of Technology) Moderator(s): Rebecca Saari (MSD CoP Working Group Co-Chair; Univ. of Waterloo), Matt Sparks (Univ. of Waterloo); Sarah Fletcher (MSD CoP Working Group Co-Chair; Stanford University), Juan Moreno-Cruz (Univ. of Waterloo), Patrick Reed (MSD CoP Facilitation Team Member, Moderator and Organizer) This webinar was held on: November 13, 2024 from 1 PM - 2:15 PM ET

Kwakkel, Jan H.↗

Elastic and Plastic Stability of Orthotropic Cylinders

By utilizing linear stability theory, solutions for elastic buckling of short and moderate length orthotropic cylinders under axial compression are presented and correlated with experimental results on circumferentially stiffened cylinders. The plastic buckling of short and moderate length isotropic and orthotropic cylinders is also investigated and the theoretical results correlated with available experimental data. A discussion of the effects of finite deflection and initial imperfection is presented in order to explain the correlation obtained between the theory and the experimental data.

ELASTIC BUCKLING↗

Neutron detector simultaneously measures fluence and dose equivalent

Neutron detector acts as both an area monitoring instrument and a criticality dosimeter by simultaneously measuring dose equivalent and fluence. The fluence is determined by activation of six foils one inch below the surface of the moderator. Dose equivalent is determined from activation of three interlocked foils at the center of the moderator.

Dvorak, R. F.↗

Natural variations in the geomagnetically trapped electron population

Temporal variations in the trapped natural electron flux intensities and energy spectra are discussed and demonstrated using recent satellite data. These data are intended to acquaint the space systems engineer with the types of natural variations that may be encountered during a mission and to augment the models of the electron environment currently being used in space system design and orbit selection. An understanding of the temporal variations which may be encountered should prove helpful. Some of the variations demonstrated here which are not widely known include: (1) addition of very energetic electrons to the outer zone during moderate magnetic storms: (2) addition of energetic electrons to the inner zone during major magnetic storms; (3) inversions in the outer zone electron energy spectrum during the decay phase of a storm injection event and (4) occasional formation of multiple maxima in the flux vs altitude profile of moderately energetic electrons.

Vampola, A. L.↗

Application of various elastic thin shell theories to blood flow problems

Some existing theories, on elastic thin shells, are reviewed to ascertain their influence on the computation of phase velocities in fluid filled cylinders representing certain aspects of the behavior of arteries and veins in vivo. For physiologically meaningful parameters, including moderately large in plane prestrain that occurs in mammals, the results suggest that with one exception, the small differences in the formulations exercise little influence on the phase velocities. However, it is demonstrated that inclusion of the forces induced by the rotation of the hydrostatic pressure is essential or significantly erroneous torsional wave speeds result. Also the introduction of moderate implane prestrains that are present in living mammals is shown to lead to nonselfadjoint differential equations of motion, whose biorthogonal eigenvectors differ slightly from each other.

Source record↗

Thermolabile triose phosphate isomerase in a psychrophilic Clostridium.

It was found that a psychrophilic Clostridium contains a triose phosphate isomerase which is very labile at moderate temperatures. An investigation showed that the optimal growth temperature of the psychrophile was between 15 and 20 deg C. No growth occurred at 25 deg C. The thermostability of the glycolytic enzymes in the cell-free extracts of Clostridium sp. strain 69 was studied. The data obtained show that the triose phosphate isomerase is quite labile at moderate temperatures. The instability of the enzyme is sufficient to explain the low maximum growth temperature of the psychrophile.

Shing, Y. W.↗

Interplanetary magnetic-field variations and substorm activity.

A fine time-scale study of interplanetary magnetic field (IMF) variations and auroral-zone magnetograms during active and moderately active days show that the time delay between the southward turning of the IMF and the first sign of a negative magnetic bay is typically less than 15 min. During the moderately active period, 88% of all substorms were associated with southward interplanetary magnetic fields. Conversely, 80% of all large southward IMF events were associated with auroral-zone negative bays; during some events, however, magnetic bays could not be found, even by using high-latitude stations. It is concluded that the main mechanism for the triggering of magnetospheric substorms is the southward turning of the IMF.

Tsurutani, B. T.↗

An experimental investigation of STOL longitudinal flying qualities in the landing approach using the variable stability X-22A aircraft.

The first in-flight flying qualities experiment using the variable stability X-22A aircraft investigated longitudinal flying qualities requirements for STOL aircraft in terminal area operations. Emphasis was placed on defining minimum requirements for the short-term response in VFR and IFR landing approaches at representative steep STOL approach conditions of 65 and 80 knots. Evaluation flights were conducted in negligible and moderate turbulence for a wide range of short-term frequencies and dampings. The results were compared with the short-term requirements of MIL-F-83300. The specified Level 1 and 2 VFR boundaries were found to be approximately valid in moderate turbulence for both VFR and IFR flight conditions. In negligible turbulence, the specified VFR Level 2 boundary was also approximately valid but the Level 1 boundary was found to be too stringent. Pilot rating gradients with damping were more apparent than with frequency for the range investigated.

Schuler, J. M.↗

Tetraperchlorate of methane

The preparation of the tetraperchlorate of methane (TPM) was attempted. Displacement of halogen from carbon tetrahalides was accomplished with either CCl4 or CBr4 using the halogen perchlorates, ClOClO3, and BOClO3. Although the displacement process was successful, the generated carbon perchlorate intermediates were not isolated. Instead, these species decomposed to COCl2, CO2, and Cl2O7. The vigorous displacement reaction that often occurred required moderation. Fluorocarbon solvents and chlorine perchlorate were successfully tested for compatibility, permitting their use in these synthetic reactions. While the sought for moderating effect was obtained, the net result of the displacement of halogen from CX sub 4 substrates was the same as before. Thus only CO2, COCl2, and Cl2O7 were isolated.

Schack, C. J.↗

Determine the utility of ERTS-1 imagery in the preparation of hydrologic atlases of arid land watersheds

The author has identified the following significant results. The 9x9-inch transparencies from the ERTS-1 system seem to have better contrast in vegetation and drainage features than the 70-mm transparencies. This imagery can be magnified about eight times before it becomes excessively grainy. Imagery in band 7 appears to be the best single band product for viewing landform-water complexes. Band 5 best defines vegetation patterns. Multispectral color-additive viewing would appear to improve the separation of vegetation types where the vegetation exhibits moderate to strong infrared reflectance. Multispectral viewing did not appear to improve relief of drainage channel detail. False-color aerial infrared photographs at a scale of 1:120,000 for the Utah test site are excellent quality and can be magnified as much as 15 times without serious loss of contrast or excessive fuzziness. In desert areas with sparse to moderate shrub cover, the contrast between the soil background and the plant cover is so low that texture cannot be seen, even under high magnification. In areas of higher rainfall during the summer it is possible to discriminate coniferous and deciduous trees, grass, and shrub communities and to identify different rangeland treatment practices.

Shown, L. M.↗

Application of ERTS-1 imagery to detecting and mapping modern erosion features, and to monitoring erosional changes, in southern Arizona

The author has identified the following significant results. The red MSS band 5 gives the sharpest definition of modern arroyos. On the best images, modern arroy0s can be distinguished as narrow as 150 to 200 feet in reaches where their contrast with adjacent areas is only moderate, and as narrow as 60 to 75 feet where their contrast is high. Both the red and infrared bands show differences is soils and vegetation. In the late fall and winter imagery, band 7 generally is the most useful for mapping the areas of the more erodible soils. A map at 1:1,000,000 scale has been prepared that shows all the arroyos within the 17,000 square mile study area that have been identified from ERTS-1 images. Also, from U-2 color infrared airphotos, a 1:125,000 scale map has been made of a 50 mile reach along San Simon Wash, in southeastern Arizona. This map shows not only the arroyo channels and narrow flood plains that have developed since 1890, but also areas within a few miles of the wash that are severely guilled, severely sheet-eroded, and moderately sheet-eroded. Two important effects of the third largest recorded flood of the upper Gila River also have been determined from the ERTS-1 images. The inundated area is best displayed on band 7, and the areas of severe sand/gravel erosion/deposition show best on band 5.

Morrison, R. B.↗

Structural and lithographic study of northern coast ranges and Sacramento Valley, California

The author has identified the following significant results. The analysis of the ERTS data has disclosed three potentially important linear systems within the northern coast ranges and Sacramento Valley, California. A preliminary geomorphic analysis of the northern coast ranges discloses that the geomorphic characteristics of the area underlain by the Coastal system are much different from those associated with the Central system in the core of the Coast Ranges. Within the Coastal system, or Coastal belt, the drainage networks are moderately fine-textured and have moderately high density. The area associated with the Central system seems to be underlain by an heterogeneous assemblage of rock types which vary in their resistance to erosion. The boundary between the Coastal and Central geomorphic regions is poorly defined and, in a few places, the two regions can be separated only approximately.

Rich, E. I.↗

Laser Doppler velocity measurements of swirling flows with upstream influence

Swirling flow in a rotating tube is studied by flow visualization at a moderate Reynolds number, and its velocity field is measured by laser-Doppler anemometry. The tube has constant diameter, and approximately uniform initial rigid rotation of the flow is assured by passing the flow through a rotating plug of porous metal before it enters the test section. At moderate swirl values, an object mounted on the tube centerline causes a closed bubble to form upstream of the obstacle, with a clearly defined stagnation point on the axis, and recirculating flow inside the bubble. The bubble length grows upstream as the swirl is increased, until it breaks up into a Taylor column reaching all the way upstream and downstream at swirl values above a certain critical value. A vortex jump (in the sense of Benjamin) occurs downstream of the obstacle except when the Taylor column is present. Using a laser-Doppler anemometer, axial and swirl velocity profiles are obtained at several stations upstream and downstream of the bubble, and in and around the bubble.

Rloff, K. L.↗

Cardiorespiratory responses to exercise in air and underwater.

Respiratory gas exchange, end-tidal gas tensions, alveolar ventilation, respiratory frequency, cardiac output, and pulse rate were measured in four healthy adult males at rest and during mild and moderate exercise in air at 18-22 C and underwater at 35.0-35.5 C. Immersion was associated with a 10% increase in pulse rate and cardiac output at all levels of exercise. There were no changes in end-tidal CO2 tension or alveolar ventilation. It is concluded that horizontal subjects breathing at eupneic pressures and working against mild and moderate loads in warm water show the same responses to exercise as in air.-

Denison, D. M.↗

Thermal instability of the hydrogen-burning shell in nondegenerate stars.

An investigation is made of thermal instability in the hydrogen-burning shell of stars of moderate to high mass evolving from the end of core hydrogen burning to the early stages of core helium burning, with the help of an approximate analytic criterion for thermal instability and full nonlinear numerical calculations of stellar evolution. Two different assumptions about the chemical evolution in the stars of highest mass are adopted. Thermal pulses are found to develop only in very massive stars having convective intermediate zones, when the hydrogen profile in the shell is sufficiently steep and the shell is still moderately thick.

Stothers, R.↗

Further study of the theta component of the interplanetary magnetic field.

Measurements of the interplanetary magnetic field taken with Imp 3, Pioneer 6, and Explorer 34 constitute a large portion of the data available at low and moderate solar activity and provide nearly continuous coverage from mid-1965 through 1966 without radial effects. Study of these observations provides further evidence for the following B sub theta effect initially discovered with Mariners 2, 4, and 5. At low or moderate solar activity, the mean value of B sub theta is negative (approximately northward in the observations) above the solar equatorial plane and positive below it for an interplanetary field directed outward from the sun, and vice versa for an inward field. Thus, for an outward field, the r-theta component of a line of magnetic force above or below the equatorial plane was skewed relative to the average value of r in the direction away from the equatorial plane. Comparisons between different spacecraft are discussed.

Rosenberg, R. L.↗