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DOE OSTI2024

Networked Microgrid Ownership, Data, and Control Implications: Challenges and Open Questions

Microgrid deployments increasingly favor the potential to form networks for greater benefits to resilience, reliability, and energy sovereignty. Both independent and networked micro-grids predominantly have a single-entity-ownership and control, where the associations from ownership to data requirements to control functions to microgrid objectives is linear. The emerging model, however, is cyclical, with bidirectional causal impacts between each of the 4 pillars: there are more complex mixed ownership models across the physical, electrical, data, communications, protection, and control boundaries that impact the data requirements for meeting control functions that help realize the use-cases or objectives. This paper is the first to delineate the pillars for effective ownership and controllability of both independent as well as networked microgrids through the cyclical model, and present barriers to the adoption of such a model.

Sundararajan, Aditya↗

DOE OSTI2023

Making digital objects FAIR in high energy physics: An implementation for Universal FeynRules Output (UFO) models

Research in the data-intensive discipline of high energy physics (HEP) often relies on domain-specific digital contents. Reproducibility of research relies on proper preservation of these digital objects. This paper reflects on the interpretation of principles of Findability, Accessibility, Interoperability, and Reusability (FAIR) in such context and demonstrates its implementation by describing the development of an end-to-end support infrastructure for preserving and accessing Universal FeynRules Output (UFO) models guided by the FAIR principles. UFO models are custom-made python libraries used by the HEP community for Monte Carlo simulation of collider physics events. Our framework provides simple but robust tools to preserve and access the UFO models and corresponding metadata in accordance with the FAIR principles.

Neubauer, Mark S.↗

DOE OSTI2022

Technoeconomics of Particle-based CSP Featuring Falling Particle Receivers with and without Active Heliostat Control

This report documents the results and conclusions of a recent project to understand the technoeconomics of utility-scale, particle-based concentrating solar power (CSP) facilities leveraging unique operational strategies. This project included two primary objectives. The first project objective was to build confidence in the modeling approaches applied to falling particle receivers (FPRs) including the effect s of wind. The second project objective was to create the necessary modeling capability to adequately predict and maximize the annual performance of utility-scale, particle-based CSP plants under anticipated conditions with and without active heliostat control. Results of an extensive model validation study provided the strongest evidence to date for the modeling strategies typically applied to FPRs, albeit at smaller receiver scales. This modeling strategy was then applied in a parametric study of candidate utility-scale FPRs, including both free-falling and multistage FPR concepts, to develop reduced order models for predicting the receiver thermal efficiency under anticipated environmental and operating conditions. Multistage FPRs were found to significantly improve receiver performance at utility-scales. These reduced order models were then leveraged in a sophisticated technoeconomic analysis to optimize utility-scale , particle-based CSP plants considering the potential of active heliostat control. In summary, active heliostat control did not show significant performance benefits to future utility-scale CSP systems though some benefit may still be realized in FPR designs with wide acceptance angles and/or with lower concentration ratios. Using the latest FPR technologies available, the levelized-cost of electricity was quantified for particle-based CSP facilities with nominal powers ranging from 5 MW e up to 100 MW e with many viable designs having costs < 0.06 $/kWh and local minimums occurring between ~25–35 MW e .

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Formulation and calibration of two-dimensional constitutive models for composite structures based on panel tests

Steel Plate Concrete (SC) composite members have been widely adopted because of its cost-efficiency and enhanced structural behavior. While researchers have attempted to study its in-plane shear behavior in the past twenty years, very limited number of large-scale pure shear tests were performed due to the challenge of experimental set-up and the availability of facilities. In this paper, a series of uniaxial loading tests and two full-scale pure shear panel tests of SC members were reported, on which the “mechanics-based Membrane Model of SC elements (MM-SC)” is developed. The MM-SC model is based on the fixed-angle crack formulation and the smeared-crack formulation, in which the experimental-based uniaxial constitutive models are implemented, considering the local buckling of faceplate, the tension stiffening of steel plate, the strength degradation of cracked concrete and the confinement effect of concrete. The proposed MM-SC model is subsequently incorporated into the object-oriented software OpenSEES. Finally, the simulation results of proposed model well predict the SC test observations in terms of critical branch points and structural behaviors, including initial stiffness, cracking strength, post-crack stiffness, yield strength, maximum strength, and failure modes.

42 ENGINEERING↗

DOE OSTI2017

Final Report: System Reliability Model for Solid-State Lighting (SSL) Luminaires

The primary objectives of this project was to develop and validate reliability models and accelerated stress testing (AST) methodologies for predicting the lifetime of integrated SSL luminaires. This study examined the likely failure modes for SSL luminaires including abrupt failure, excessive lumen depreciation, unacceptable color shifts, and increased power consumption. Data on the relative distribution of these failure modes were acquired through extensive accelerated stress tests and combined with industry data and other source of information on LED lighting. This data was compiled and utilized to build models of the aging behavior of key luminaire optical and electrical components.

32 ENERGY CONSERVATION, CONSUMPTION, AND UTILIZATI↗

DOE OSTI2026

Wasserstein Normalized Autoencoder for Anomaly Detection in ProtoDUNE Vertical-Drift Detector

ProtoDUNE Vertical Drift needs a selective triggering algorithm. The detector sits on Earth's surface, so cosmic activity dominates its data. Our goal in this paper is to trigger on neutrino events more robustly than the current deployed Analog-to-Digital Converter Simple Window (ADCSW) model and, eventually, search for signals of Beyond Standard Model (BSM) physics at DUNE as our ultimate North Star objective. As a step towards this goal, we evaluate a Wasserstein Normalized Autoencoder (WNAE) on simulated collection-plane only windows of shape $1\times10\times10$ where Neutrinos act as our BSM-proxy and Cosmic-ray Muons serve as our learned background. The network parameters are fitted using only cosmic-ray muon events as background in order to maintain an unsupervised pipeline. Training uses finite-step Langevin $x^-$ samples, positive-sample reconstruction energy, and an empirical sliced $2$-Wasserstein objective to learn a normalized Boltzmann energy model. We then calibrate on a nominal $5\,\mathrm{Hz}$ operating threshold calculated from cosmic validation data. Both WNAE and ADCSW accept 311 of 194,083 held-out cosmic background events at this $5\,\mathrm{Hz}$ threshold. We found that WNAE accepts 9,677 of 34,634 neutrino-proxy events $(27.9\pm0.24)\%$, compared with 10,076 $(29.1\pm0.24)\%$ for ADCSW, an observed WNAE-minus-ADCSW difference of $-1.15\%$. At another nominal $2\,\mathrm{Hz}$ target threshold, the corresponding efficiencies are $(20.5\pm0.22)\%$ and $(22.6\pm0.22)\%$, respectively. Of the WNAE-selected neutrino proxies at $5\,\mathrm{Hz}$, $(20.8\pm0.4)\%$ of the classified neutrino-proxy events are unique to WNAE, where the uncertainty is an absolute binomial standard error of $0.4\%$.

Zheng, Jake [U. Chicago (main)] (ORCID:00090002189↗

DOE OSTI2020

Sign-OPT: A Query-Efficient Hard-label Adversarial Attack

We study the most practical problem setup for evaluating adversarial robustness of a machine learning system with limited access: the hard-label black-box attack setting for generating adversarial examples, where limited model queries are allowed and only the decision is provided to a queried data input. Several algorithms have been proposed for this problem but they typically require huge amount (>20,000) of queries for attacking one example. Among them, one of the state-of-the-art approaches (Cheng et al., 2019) showed that hard-label attack can be modeled as an optimization problem where the objective function can be evaluated by binary search with additional model queries, thereby a zeroth order optimization algorithm can be applied. In this paper, we adopt the same optimization formulation but propose to directly estimate the sign of gradient at any direction instead of the gradient itself, which enjoys the benefit of single query. Using this single query oracle for retrieving sign of directional derivative, we develop a novel query-efficient Sign-OPT approach for hard-label black-box attack. We provide a convergence analysis of the new algorithm and conduct experiments on several models on MNIST, CIFAR-10 and ImageNet. We find that Sign-OPT attack consistently requires 5X to 10X fewer queries when compared to the current state-of-the-art approaches, and usually converges to an adversarial example with smaller perturbation.

Cheng, Minhao↗

DOE OSTI2026

Wasserstein Normalized Autoencoder for Anomaly Detection in ProtoDUNE Vertical-Drift Detector

Zheng, Jake [Chicago U.] (ORCID:0009000218901379)↗

DOE OSTI2018

Field-induced phase coexistence in an artificial spin ice

Artificial spin-ice systems are magnetic metamaterials consisting of nanomagnet arrays that can be designed to study exotic magnetic states not found in natural materials. Typically, these arrays are modelled as interacting binary macrospins that can only be in an up or down state and are described by the Ising model. These materials have demonstrated ordering transitions, but only via a spontaneous symmetry-breaking mechanism. In this study, we have designed and studied a quadrupole artificial spin-ice system consisting of interacting plaquettes of coupled single-domain nanomagnets that can be interpreted as a composite, ternary variable. After annealing this system in an external magnetic field, we observe both a ferroquadrupolar and an antiferroquadrupolar phase, with an apparent first-order phase boundary and a coexistence regime. The phase diagram of this material is reminiscent of a model used to describe phase coexistence in the superfluid transition of 4 He with 3 He impurities. Finally, these results illustrate how composite magnetic objects realize exotic statistical physics models beyond the Ising model.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2020

Multiple scattering theory for dense plasmas

Dense plasmas occur in stars, giant planets, and in inertial fusion experiments. Accurate modeling of the electronic structure of these plasmas allows for prediction of material properties that can in turn be used to simulate these astrophysical objects and terrestrial experiments. But modeling them remains a challenge. Here we explore the Korringa-Kohn-Rostoker Green's function (KKR-GF) method for this purpose. We find that it is able to predict equation of state in good agreement with other state-of-the-art methods, where they are accurate and viable. In addition, it is shown that the computational cost does not significantly change with temperature, in contrast with other approaches. Moreover, the method does not use pseudopotentials—core states are calculated self consistently. We conclude that KKR-GF is a very promising method for dense plasma simulation.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2021

Inversion of coherent surface scattering images via deep learning network

Coherent surface scattering imaging is a powerful tool for imaging a surface/interface of a thin nanostructure deposited on an opaque substrate. A mathematical conversion of an object image from a scattering pattern is essential for coherent surface scattering imaging to visualize structures of specimens. It has been achieved by using phase retrieval algorithms requiring oversampling in scattering patterns and employing alternating projection approaches. It is a computationally challenging and time-consuming process. In this paper, we demonstrate CSSI-NN, which is a deep learning neural network model to predict images of objects from scattering intensities in coherent surface scattering imaging. This model allowing for the instant outcome from scattering patterns would be tremendously beneficial not only for effective experiments but also for data analysis of phase retrieval.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗

DOE OSTI2022

Multiscale Aerosol Modeling Across Space and Composition (Final Report)

The objective of this project was to harness the capabilities of our unique particle-resolved aerosol model PartMC as an integrating tool between models and measurements across scales. This particle-resolved model explicitly resolves aerosol aging processes that must be approximated in large-scale models, making it ideal for quantifying structural uncertainty and rigorously deriving simplified parameterizations (“coarse graining”) to be used in large-scale models. It also directly connects with laboratory and field measurements at both particle and bulk scales. The significant accomplishments of this project are as follows: 1. Advancing the state of the art in particle-resolved modeling; 2. Connecting modeling with ASR/ARM measurements; 3. Bridging from the process level to aerosol impacts on the global scale; 4. Community engagement through leading and participating in ASR program activities and publishing a review paper on aerosol mixing state that synthesizes experimental and modeling perspectives.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Predictive Contaminant Transport Simulation with the P2R Model for the Composite Analysis Inventory Sensitivity Case

The Plateau to River (P2R) Model is a groundwater flow and contaminant fate and transport (F&T) simulation model used to support remedial activities conducted by the Central Plateau Cleanup Company (CPCCo) at the Hanford Site in Washington State. The model simulates contaminants of concern within the saturated zone of the uppermost aquifer beneath the Central Plateau and downgradient to the Columbia River. The overall objective of the saturated zone modeling effort is to provide a basis for making informed remedial action decisions based on descriptions of current and expected future contaminant concentrations in groundwater at decision points within and downgradient of the Central Plateau of the Hanford Site. Specifically, the purpose of this environmental calculation file (ECF) is to describe an inventory sensitivity case of the CA base case. The inventory sensitivity case implements a change in the activity contribution from the vadose zone in the A Trenches Area model (for tritium (H-3) and iodine-129 (I-129)), BC Cribs and Trenches model (for I-129 and technetium-99 (Tc-99)), and the PUREX Area model (for H-3 and I-129). All other simulated inventories are identical to the CA base case. The simulation of F&T of contaminants reported in this case will support dose predictions as part of the Hanford Site CA.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2017

Terrestrial Ecosystem Science 2017 ECRP Annual Report: Tropical Forest Response to a Drier Future: Turnover Times of Soil Organic Matter, Roots, Respired CO 2 , and CH 4 Across Moisture Gradients in Time and Space

The overall goal of my Early Career research is to constrain belowground carbon turnover times for tropical forests across a broad range in moisture regimes. My group is using 14C analysis and modeling to address two major objectives: quantify age and belowground carbon turnover times across tropical forests spanning a moisture gradient from wetlands to dry forest; and identify specific areas for focused model improvement and data needs through site-specific model-data comparison and belowground carbon modeling for tropic forests.

58 GEOSCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Predictive Contaminant Transport Simulation with the P2R Model for the Composite Analysis Recharge Sensitivity Case

The Plateau-to-River (P2R) model is a groundwater flow and contaminant fate and transport (F&T) simulation model used to support remedial activities conducted by the Central Plateau Cleanup Company (CPCCo) at the Hanford Site in south-central Washington State. The overall objective of the saturated zone modeling effort is to provide a basis for making informed remedial action decisions based on descriptions of current and expected future contaminant concentrations in groundwater at decision points within and downgradient of the Central Plateau of the Hanford Site. Specifically, the purpose of this environmental calculation file (ECF) is to describe a recharge sensitivity case of the CA base case. The recharge sensitivity case implements a change in the activity contribution from the vadose zone in the A Trenches Area model (for tritium [H-3] and iodine-129 [I-129]), BC Cribs and Trenches model (for I-129 and technetium-99 [Tc-99]), or the Plutonium Uranium Extraction (PUREX) Area model (for H-3 and I-129). All other simulated inventories are identical to the CA base case. The simulation of fate and transport of contaminants reported in this case will support dose predictions as part of the updated Hanford Site CA.

12 MANAGEMENT OF RADIOACTIVE AND NON-RADIOACTIVE W↗

DOE OSTI2023

Empirical evidence that mean soil contaminant concentration is not a conservative indicator of external exposure to wildlife

Adequate information on external exposure is often a limiting factor in ecological risk assessments because of a lack of exposure data for free-ranging animals as they interact with a heterogeneous distribution of contaminants. Instead, most wildlife exposure data are estimated from model simulations. However, empirical exposure data are rarely available to verify model results, or to test fundamental assumptions inherent in exposure assessments. We used novel, GPS-coupled radiation dosimeters on reindeer (Rangifer tarandus) to quantify their external exposure for five months in a Chernobyl fallout affected mountainous area of Norway. The exposure data were then used to test a fundamental assumption in screening-level risk assessments: Mean soil contaminant concentrations can be used to conservatively estimate chronic external exposures to representative animals. External exposure and GPS coordinates were obtained hourly and compared to model simulations of exposure based on airborne surveys of 137 Cs soil contamination. Our objectives were to determine 1) if modelled dose estimates based on mean 137 Cs soil concentrations were conservative, and 2) if modelled dose estimates could be improved by adjusting for spatial–temporal heterogeneity of contaminants using 137 Cs concentrations within reindeers’ GPS-defined home ranges and core areas. We found that external exposure modelled from mean soil contaminant concentrations underestimated exposure by 70% compared to empirical measurements from GPS-dosimeter collars worn on individual animals. Using area-weighted mean contaminant levels within the animals’ home range improved the model estimates, but still underestimated the field dosimeter data by 53%. The best estimate of external exposure was obtained when high-use areas within their home range, along with spatial heterogeneity of the contaminant, was accounted for by using area-weighted mean soil contaminant levels within GPS-derived core areas. Accounting for temporal use of core areas within animals’ home range provided a 24% improvement. Here, a comparison of our analyses to similar work performed on Chernobyl wolves found the two studies concur that risk assessors should be cautious in relying on the paradigm of using averaged soil contaminant levels to provide conservative estimates of external exposure to representative individuals. Results of modelled external exposure based on mean soil contaminant concentrations could misguide assessors and cause inappropriate management decisions.

63 RADIATION, THERMAL, AND OTHER ENVIRON. POLLUTAN↗

DOE OSTI2018

3-D Semantic Information Inference from Airborne Video. Final Report

We developed a full 3D modeling pipeline focusing on an important application scenario: city-scale 3D reconstruction from aerial imagery. We propose an approach to solve camera pose estimation and dense reconstruction from Wide Area Aerial Surveillance (WAAS) videos captured by an airborne platform. Our approach solves them in an online fashion: it incrementally updates a sparse 3D map and estimates the camera pose as each new frame arrives; depth maps of selected key frames are computed using a variational method and integrated to produce a full 3D model via volumetric reconstruction. In practice, aerial imagery is usually captured using a multicamera system. We propose an approach for camera pose estimation of multi-camera aerial imagery which is parallelized on multiple GPUs for efficiency. The approach is also extended for progressive 3D model acquisition with a hand-held camera. We also developed an offline approach since online approach is not a necessity and accuracy has higher priority over efficiency in many scenarios. We presented MeshRecon, a mesh-based offline system composed of three modules: a dense point cloud is generated using multi-resolution plane sweep method; an initial mesh model is extracted from the point cloud via global optimization considering visibility information of all images; the mesh model is then iteratively refined to capture structural details by optimizing the photometric consistency and spatial regularization. The major processes are parallelized on GPU for efficiency. For the aerial imagery case, we evaluate our system on several real-world multicamera aerial imagery datasets, each covering an urban scenario of several square kilometers. Quantitative result shows that the reconstructed geometric 3D model is highly accurate with error smaller than 1 meter over the entire city. Besides aerial imagery, we also evaluate its performance on general geometric 3D model acquisition of real-world objects. Result shows that the system is robust and flexible for various types of objects at different scales in both indoor and outdoor environments. Based on city 3D models reconstructed at different times, we present a system for city-scale geometry change detection by performing comparisons at the 3D geometry level. Our system is able to detect geometry changes at different scales, ranging from a building cluster to small-scale vegetation changes, with high accuracy.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

DOE OSTI2020

A Lumped Stochastic Model of Coupled Neutronic Assemblies

The objective of the present work is to apply the Harris ansatz to coupled assemblies in a lumped setting, i.e., ignoring the neutron phase dependence, which hitherto has not been considered. A Master equation for the single-time joint distribution of neutron number in each assembly, accounting for transfer of neutrons from one assembly to another via leakage transition probabilities and intercept or view factors is derived from which equations for the mean and variance in each assembly are developed. Because of the neutronic coupling, it is necessary to additionally compute the correlation function between pairs of assemblies which gives an expanded set of moment equations to solve. The reactivity of each assembly is allowed to vary with time, although a formal mechanism that is responsible for reactivity coupling between assemblies is not considered or proposed. Following Harris, it is then hypothesized that the number distribution in each assembly is a gamma distribution with assembly-specific mean and variance computed exactly from the moment equations. Illustrative numerical results are presented for the moments of a system of four coupled assemblies under various reactivity and neutronic coupling scenarios. The gamma distribution is then used to compute the probability that the neutron population exceeds a threshold value in any assembly. The report concludes with a discussion of recommended further work on this problem.

73 NUCLEAR PHYSICS AND RADIATION PHYSICS↗