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At least 577 records · Page 32

What can surface wind observations tell us about interannual variation in wind energy output?

The past decade of wind power growth was supported by capacity factor improvements and associated cost reductions. But are higher capacity factors a technology success story or, as suggested by recent research, has the influence of technology been overstated by ignoring positive surface wind speed trends? The answer could influence estimates of wind energy's cost and even future deployment rates. We find that US surface wind speed observations imply a 2.6% improvement in capacity factors from 2010 to 2019. Yet newer vintages of wind plants have recorded capacity factors that are ~25% larger than plants built close to 2010. It follows that technological factors and improved site quality, not higher wind speeds, drove most of the improvement in capacity factors. Additionally, we match hundreds of meteorological stations to nearby (< 25 km) wind plants and compare annual estimated generation, based on a function of surface wind speed observations, to annual recorded generation. Researchers rely on this publicly available surface data because measurements co-located with wind plants are generally considered proprietary. Our analysis addresses a research gap: interannual variation in observed surface wind speeds is rarely compared to observed data at wind plant locations and turbine heights. We find that despite its common use for this purpose, generation estimates based on publicly available surface observational data provide a poor proxy for interannual variability in recorded wind generation. These findings suggest that caution is generally needed when researchers use surface wind speed measurements to investigate long-term wind energy trends.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

Sources, sinks, and seasonal cycles of atmospheric methane

It is shown that a lifetime of approximately 8 years is most consistent with the observed latitudinal variation of atmospheric methane, requiring the current global emissions of methane to be around 550 teragrams per year. The repeating pattern of a rapid rise of CH4 concentrations in the fall in the Northern Hemisphere indicates a large fall source at latitudes above 30 deg N. The remaining observed seasonal variations are seen as consistent with the seasonal cycle of OH, which removes methane from the atmosphere. An extensive set of self-consistent measurements of methane is reported and analyzed, revealing that methane has increased during the past 3-4 years at rates of 1-1.9 percent per year all over the world at sites ranging from inside the Arctic Circle to the South Pole. The observational results are used in estimating the sources, sinks, and seasonal cycles of CH4 and the effects of human activities on its atmospheric abundance.

Khalil, M. A. K.↗

Observing and Modeling Long-Period Tidal Variations in Polar Motion

By exchanging angular momentum with the solid Earth, ocean tides cause the Earth's rotation to change. While hydrodynamic tide models have been used to study the effect of ocean tides on polar motion, it is shown here that none of the published models can fully account for the observed variations. An empirical ocean tide model is therefore determined by fitting periodic terms at the tidal frequencies to polar motion excitation observations, from which atmospheric and non-tidal oceanic effects were removed. While the empirical ocean tide model does fully account for allof the observed tidal power, tests indicate that the model may not have completely converged. So better models of the effects of ocean tides on polar motion are still needed, both dynamical and empirical.

tides↗

Electrically driven proton transfer promotes Brønsted acid catalysis by orders of magnitude

Electric fields play a key role in enzymatic catalysis and can enhance reaction rates by 100,000-fold, but the same rate enhancements have yet to be achieved in thermochemical heterogeneous catalysis. In this work, we probe the influence of catalyst potential and interfacial electric fields on heterogeneous Brønsted acid catalysis. We observed that variations in applied potential of ~380 mV led to a 100,000-fold rate enhancement for 1-methylcyclopentanol dehydration, which was catalyzed by carbon-supported phosphotungstic acid. Mechanistic studies support a model in which the interfacial electrostatic potential drop drives quasi-equilibrated proton transfer to the adsorbed substrate prior to rate-limiting C–O bond cleavage. Large increases in rate with potential were also observed for the same reaction catalyzed by Ti/TiO y H x and for the Friedel Crafts acylation of anisole with acetic anhydride by carbon-supported phosphotungstic acid.

Science & Technology - Other Topics↗

Lunar orbital gamma ray measurements from Apollo 15 and Apollo 16.

Examination of the data obtained by gamma-ray spectrometers on the Apollo 15 and Apollo 16 spacecraft has been carried out in part by summing up broad regions of the energy spectrum. The most instructive of these energy regions is 0.55 to 2.75 MeV, where the difference in count rates observed can be accounted for mainly by variations in the Th, U, and K content of the surface layers. The highest values are found in Mare Imbrium and Oceanus Procellarum, where a good deal of local variation is observed. By contrast, little increase is seen in the eastern maria surveyed compared with count rates in highland areas. The broad highland regions are low in radioactivity, but there is a measurable rise near the southernmost latitude on the far side. In addition to the radioactive lines, gamma-ray lines which can be ascribed to O, Si, Fe, Mg, and Al have been identified.

Arnold, J. R.↗

Burst and Transient Source Experiment (BATSE) for the Gamma Ray Observatory (GRO)

The Burst and Transient Source Experiment (BATSE) on the Gamma Ray Observatory (GRO) is expected to provide new and better observational data on bursts to test current and future models of burst sources. These data will include: (1) the celestial distribution of hundreds of burst sources over the life of the mission, (2) burst locations within several degrees, within 2 days after their occurrence, (3) observations of weaker bursts and better observations of short timescale fluctuations and spectral variations, (4) observations by a single experiment over a much larger energy range than previously available, and (5) more sensitive measurements of the spectral features which have been observed in many bursts. This paper briefly describes the GRO mission, the BATSE instrumentation and the burst observational capabilities.

Fishman, G. J.↗

Numerical solution of the geoelectrodynamic problem

The primary goal is to understand the sources of the near-Earth ambient magnetic field as observed by recent spacecraft surveys and surface variational magnetic observations so as to determine the electrical properties of the crust and upper mantle. Also included is the structure and changes on a short time scale of the core field which must be separated and identified. The Magsat data collection interval provides an opportunity to compare the vector field projections of ionospheric currents computed from surface data above the ionosphere as does the POGO data for scalar projections. The limitation of Magsat is its sun-synchronous orbit, which only sampled low latitudes at dawn and dusk, whereas POGO, though only making observations of the scalar field, sampled all local times. Magsat operated at a lower altitude than POGO (down to 350 km) whereas the orbits of the three POGO spacecraft ranged up to 1500 km and were never lower than about 400 km.

Cain, Joseph C.↗

Solar cycle variation of interplanetary disturbances observed as Doppler scintillation transients

Interplanetary disturbances characterized by plasma that is more turbulence and/or moves faster than the background solar wind are readily defected as transients in Doppler scintillation measurements of the near-Sun solar wind. Systematic analysis of over 23,000 hours of Pioneer Venus Orbiter Doppler measurements obtained inside 0.5 AU during 1979-1987 have made it possible for the first time to investigate the frequency of occurrence of Doppler scintillation transients under solar minimum conditions and to determine its dependence on solar cycle. On the basis of a total of 142 transients, Doppler scintillation transient rates vary from a high of 0.22 in 1979 (one every 4.6 days) to a low of 0.077 transients/d in 1986 (one every 13 days), a decrease by almost a factor of 3 from solar maximum to solar minimum. This solar cycle variation, the strongest yet of any solar wind Doppler scintillation property, is highly correlated with both solar activity characterized by sunspot number and the coronal mass ejection rates deduced from Solswind and Solar Maximum Mission (SMM) coronagraph observations. These results indicate that coronal mass ejections and Doppler scintillation transients are closely related not just during solar maximum, as occasional individual comparisons have shown in the past, but throughout the entire solar cycle, and strengthen the notation that the Doppler scintillation and optical transients are different manifestations of the same physical phenomenon. The magnitudes of the transients, as described by the ratio of peak to pretransient scintillation levels (EF for enhancement factor), and their distribution iwth heliocentric distance also vary with solar cycle. While EF tends to diminish with increasing heliocentric distance during high solar activity, it is more evenly distributed during low solar activity. EF is also lower during solar minimum, as 13% of the transients during solar maximum have values exceeding 23, the highest EF observed during solar minimum. These results are consistent with the fact that occasional major fast-moving interplanetary shocks that are observed during solar maximum are very rate during solar minimum.

Woo, Richard↗

Orbital Variations and Impacts on Observations from SNPP, NOAA 18-20, and AQUA Sun-Synchronous Satellites

The AQUA, SNPP, and NOAA 18-20 PM sun-synchronous satellites were designed with similar local time, local solarzenith angles, and overlapping temporal coverage. Although the satellites are expected to have fixed local equator-crossing time, during the satellite lifetime, the equator-crossing times of these satellites drift. For NOAA 18-19, the driftin equator-crossing time is significant (few hours) and no correction has been done over the lifetime. For SNPP andAQUA, correction in the orbital inclination angle was periodically performed to maintain the equator-crossing timearound the designed value. The impact of systematic drift of the local observation time during the satellite life cycle canbe significant and should be accounted for when using multi-year time series of satellite products in long-termenvironmental studies. In this paper, the equator-crossing time drift of AQUA, SNPP, and NOAA 18-20, the correctionof SNPP and AQUA equator-crossing time via orbital inclination angle change, and the consequent local solar zenithangle variation are evaluated. The impact of such drift on low-latitude mean brightness temperature trend derived fromthe similar ~11 μm thermal emissive channel of AQUA MODIS CH31, SNPP Visible Infrared Imaging RadiometerSuite (VIIRS) CH15 and NOAA 18-19 HIRS CH08 are analyzed. The drift in the mean brightness temperature measuredby these sensors is combined as a function of local time and analyzed using diurnal cycle analysis. The mean brightnesstemperature drift for SNPP VIIRS is reconciled within the context of much larger temperature drift of NOAA 18-19.

Shao, Xi↗

Observations of the phase variation of Venus CO2 equivalent widths

Equivalent widths determined from photoelectric scans of Venus CO2 absorption lines measured at phase angles of 5.1 to 170 deg are presented. The data-reduction procedure is described in detail, and phase curves are plotted for three model atmospheres in which CO2 is homogeneously mixed with Mie-scattering particles or inhomogeneously mixed with Henyey-Greenstein particles. All three data sets are found to indicate that the equivalent-width maximum occurs at a phase angle much lower than 100 deg. It is concluded that two scattering layers are not required on Venus to explain the shape of the observed phase curve and that the mixing ratio of scattering particles to CO2 increases with depth at high altitudes.

Barker, E. S.↗

Helium abundance variations in the solar wind: Observations from Ulysses

The abundance of helium in the solar wind averages approximately 4% but has been observed to vary by more than two orders of magnitude from 0.1 to 30%. Physical processes responsible for this variability are still not clearly understood. Previous work has shown a correlation between low He abundance and coronal streamer plasma and between high He abundance and coronal mass ejections (CMEs). We now have out-of-ecliptic data on helium in the solar wind from the plasma experiment aboard Ulysses. Tentative results show that the average high-latitude helium concentration is comparable to the in-ecliptic value for the present phase of the solar cycle, that excursions of the hour-averaged abundance very seldom fall outside the range 2.5 to 6.5%, and that there seems to be very little abundance enhancement associated with CMEs encountered at latitudes greater than 30 deg as opposed to the situation commonly encountered with in-ecliptic CMEs. In addition, preliminary observations of a single CME by both ISEE (in-ecliptic) and Ulysses (out-of-ecliptic) show a considerable He enhancement at ISEE with little or no perturbation of the average value at Ulysses' location. This paper will first present new results from the Ulysses mission up to the time of the meeting on the average abundance of helium in the solar wind as a function of spacecraft position, and will then focus on the out-of-ecliptic results including latitudinal abundance variations and observations of abundance enhancements (or lack thereof) in high-latitude CMEs.

Barraclough, B. L.↗

Behavior of a Salt Water Solution Near the Critical Point Under Microgravity Conditions

The Supercritical Water Mixture (SCWM) experiment conducted on the International Space Station (ISS) is designed to study a salt-water solution in the vicinity of the critical transition with a test cell filled with Na2SO4 (aq) 0.5-w. This salt is a Type II salt which undergoes a dramatic decrease in solubility past waters critical point. The paper discusses the liquid-vapor-salt distribution in the test cell for subcritical, trans-critical, and supercritical regimes. In 0-g, the vapor-liquid interface manifests itself by the presence of a large single vapor bubble that is flattened between the two windows. In contrast with pure water, the vapor bubble remains centered in the test cell and is stable for temperatures up to Tc - 50 mK. The processes leading to critical transition during heat-up, as marked by the break-up of the vapor bubble, depends on the applied heating rate. For temperature ramps 1 mKmin, the bubble interface begins to breakup with the formation of a large number of smaller bubbles. For larger temperature ramps (10mKmin), temperature gradients arise in the cell pushing the bubble toward a window surface. As the critical threshold is crossed small variations in cell temperature ( 1 mK) cause an observable spatial variation in density. However, this spatial variation is not discernible as the temperature is increased further into the supercritical regime. The salt precipitation in the vicinity of the critical crossing appears to be heterogeneous in nature with precipitates observable on the cell windows. Direct imaging as well as light scattering indicate a hexagonal structure of the precipitated salt crystals in the near critical regime. The salt deposition is not fully reversible as the temperature is reduced due to window corrosion effects which traps some of the precipitated salt. Critical temperatures as high as 1.9 K above the value for pure water (647.25 K) have been measured. Finally, results on the critical transition phenomena in the presence of an imposed temperature gradient, demonstrating the remarkable stability of the central bubble, are also presented.

near-critical↗

Revisiting proton–proton fusion in chiral effective field theory

We calculate the S-factor for proton–proton fusion using chiral effective field theory interactions and currents. By performing order-by-order calculations with a variety of chiral interactions that are regularized and calibrated in different ways, we assess the uncertainty in the S-factor from the truncation of the effective field theory expansion and from the sensitivity of the S-factor to the short-distance axial current determined from three- and four-nucleon observables. We find that S(0) = (4.100 ± 0.024(syst) ± 0.013(stat) ± 0.008(g$_{A}$)) × 10$^{−23}$ MeV fm$^{2}$, where the three uncertainties arise, respectively, from the truncation of the effective field theory expansion, use of the two-nucleon axial current fit to few-nucleon observables and variation of the axial coupling constant within the recommended range. The increased value of S(0) compared to previous calculations is mainly driven by an increase in the recommended value for the axial coupling constant and is in agreement with a recent analysis based on pionless effective field theory.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

Linear polarization variations modulo 5.6 days in HDE 226868

Results are reported for observations of variations in the linear polarization in HDE 226868 (the optical counterpart of Cyg X-1) made with a photoelastic polarimeter and a U-filter. The UV linear-polarization variations, as folded on the 5.6-day orbital period, are found to have amplitudes of 0.25% and position-angle changes of 2.7 deg. These results are shown to be consistent with the geometry and phasing required by the model of the binary system.

Nolt, I. G.↗

Jovimagnetic secular variation

The history of Jupiter's planetary magnetic field is of great interest, in particular, because it represents the first opportunity to observe secular variations of a planetary dynamo other than the earth's. Indirect observations of the Jovian magnetic field began with the discovery of nonthermal radio emissions by Burke and Franklin (1955). In situ observations of the Jovian planetary magnetic field are limited to the Pioneer 10 and 11 flybys at epochs 1973.9 and 1974.9 and the Voyager 1 and 2 flyby encounters at epochs 1979.2 and 1979.5. Jovian magnetic field models are presented in a table, and a graph is provided in which the secular decrease of the earth's main dipole term is compared with estimates of Jupiter's main dipole term. The in situ magnetic field observations are consistent with no secular variation of the jovimagnetic dipole field from 1974.9 to 1979.2.

Connerney, J. E. P.↗

The Structure and Dynamics of Titan's Middle Atmosphere and Troposphere

Titan, after Venus, is the second example in the solar system of an atmosphere with a global cyclostrophic circulation. The origin and maintenance of these superrotating atmospheres is not well understood, but Titan has a strong seasonal modulation in the middle atmosphere, and the seasonal changes in the winds may offer clues. The pole in winter and early spring is characterized by temperatures 20-30 K cooler at 140-170 km than those at low latitudes, and strong circumpolar winds as high as 190 m/s at 200- 250 km. At these levels the polar region is characterized by enhanced concentrations of several organic gases, and also detectable condensates. All this suggests that the polar vortex provides a mixing barrier between winter polar and lower-latitude air masses, analogous to the polar ozone holes on Earth. Because the concentrations of organic gases increase with altitude in the middle atmosphere, the observed enhancements suggest subsidence over the winter pole. Consistent with this are the observed temperatures approximately 200 K at the winter-polar stratopause (280 km), making it the warmest part of the atmosphere. The warm stratopause likely results from adiabatic heating associated with the subsidence. Recent observations in late northern winter and early spring indicate that the warm anomaly at the winter-polar stratopause is weakening;. In contrast to the middle atmosphere, latitude contrasts in tropospheric temperatures are muted. During the northern winter season, they were approximately 5 K at the tropopause and 3 K or less near the surface, being coldest at high northern latitudes. This is understandable in terms of the long radiative relaxation times in the troposphere, compared to times that are much shorter than a season in the upper stratosphere and higher. Curiously, the transition between the small meridional contrast (and presumably seasonal variations) in temperatures observed in the troposphere and the large variations observed at higher altitudes occurs abruptly above 80 km. Here the temperatures in the lower stratosphere, generally increasing with altitude, exhibit a sudden drop with increasing altitude at high northern latitudes, producing the contrast between low and high northern winter latitudes in the upper stratosphere described above. While the radiative relaxation time associated with infrared gaseous coolants decreases with altitude in the stratosphere, the abrupt transition suggests the presence of an optically thick condensate at thermal-infrared wavelengths. Near the surface, temperature lapse rates are adiabatic over the lowest 2 km, with the suggestion of a nocturnal stable inversion over the lowest 200 m in radio-occultation soundings near the morning terminator. At mid and high latitudes in both winter and summer hemispheres, the profiles are more statically stable (i.e., subadiabatic). This is most pronounced in the winter hemisphere.

Flasar, F.M.↗

Timing characterization of fast hCMOS sensors

We describe a method of analyzing gate profile data for ultrafast x-ray imagers that allows pixel-by-pixel determination of temporal sensitivity in the presence of substantial background oscillations. With this method, systematic timing errors in gate width and gate arrival time of up to 1 ns (in a 2 ns wide gate) can be removed. In-sensor variations in gate arrival and gate width are observed, with variations in each up to 0.5 ns. This method can be used to estimate the coarse timing of the sensor, even if errors up to several ns are present.

Benedetti, L. R. (ORCID:0000000160502983)↗