Borehole-deployed Electric Field Sources and Sensors for Permanent Monitoring of CO 2 Sequestration in Deep Reservoirs
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02 PETROLEUM↗
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Anomaly Detection in Accelerator Facilities Using Machine Learning
Synchrotron light sources are user facilities and usually run about 5000 hours per year to support many beamlines operations in parallel. Reliability is a key parameter to evaluate machine performance. Even many facilities have achieved >95% beam reliability, there are still many hours of unscheduled downtime and every hour lost is a waste of operation costs along with a big impact on individual scheduled user experiments. Preventive maintenance on subsystems and quick recovery from machine trips are the basic strategies to achieve high reliability, which heavily depends on experts’ dedication. Recently, SLAC, APS, and NSLS-II collaborated to develop machine-learning-based approaches aiming to solve both situations, hardware failure prediction and machine failure diagnosis to find the root sources. In this paper, we report our facility operation status, development progress, and plans.
Accelerator Physics↗
Tuscaloosa Marine Shale Laboratory
The Tuscaloosa Marine Shale (TMS) in Louisiana and Mississippi is an Upper Cretaceous source rock formation sandwiched between the sands of the upper and lower Tuscaloosa sections. The TMS is believed to be the source rock for underlying prolific Tuscaloosa sand formation. The TMS has an unproven estimate of 7,000,000,000 bbls of recoverable oil while its current total average production is about 3,000 bbls of oil per day in 2017. In 2013 and 2014, more than 80 wells were drilled horizontally into the TMS that were fractured using multi-stage fracturing technology. The results from this have been mixed, but recent production for several wells show an appealing initial oil production rate of more than 1000 bbl/day. The preliminary core analysis by industry partners and a few literature studies shows that the TMS is one of the most clay-rich and sensitive shales to water. Due to these and other technical problems, there is high risk for the economic development of TMS compared to other shale plays. The experiences of major industrial players in the TMS show the necessity of open and collaborative efforts to better understand the critical gaps in the development of this challenging and potentially highly economic shale play to enable more cost-efficient and environmentally-sound recovery from this unconventional liquid-rich shale play. The overall objective of this project is to form a consortium of science and industry partners to address the following six major objectives using scientific and technical approaches: 1. To improve wellbore integrity by better understanding the sources of the wellbore instability issues, proposing innovative mud and cement design for the TMS. 2. To improve formation evaluation using laboratory techniques for the evaluation of mineralogical composition, organic content, and produced-water chemistry as well as well log and geophysical analysis. 3. To determine the role of geologic discontinuities on fracture growth and shale creep behavior using digital image correlation technique. 4. To investigate the application of stable CO 2 foam and super-hydrophobic proppants for improved reservoir stimulation. 5. To better understand the nature of water/hydrocarbon/CO 2 flow in clay and organic-rich formation and the role of water/fluid interaction on recovery. 6. To prepare better socio-economic environment for TMS development by community engagement. Subsequently, the TMS virtual laboratory conducted testing and analysis of various properties of rock and formation fluids from the TMS, including but not limited to the following: Analyzing reports and logs to better understand the source of wellbore instability in TMS wells; Experiments to design a customized cement based on TMS requirements; Experiments to obtain the mineralogical and geochemical composition of TMS samples; Seismic analysis of TMS geophysical data to better predict total organic carbon (TOC) content and brittleness in TMS; Well log analysis to better estimate the TOC and geo-mechanical properties of TMS; Experiments on formation water to understand the chemistry of produced water; Experiments to determine the role of lamination and natural fractures on fracture propagation or rock deformation using digital image correlation technique in in-direct tensile tests, semi-circular bend test and creep tests Experiments to determine the stability and rheological properties of nanoparticle-stabilized CO 2 foam in TMS rock samples; Experiments to determine fluid dynamics in un-propped TMS fractures and the role of nano-coating of proppants on fluid dynamics in fractures with proppants; Micro-fluidics experiments to enhance the understanding of fluid dynamics in tight liquidrich pores with high clay content; Socio-economic studies to better engage communities in TMS development.
58 GEOSCIENCES↗
Surface complexation model of rare earth element adsorption onto bacterial surfaces with lanthanide binding tags
© 2019 Elsevier Ltd Lanthanide binding tags (LBTs) have been engineered onto the cell surface of E. coli to enhance biosorption and recovery of rare earth elements (REEs). The protonation behavior of the bacterial surfaces before and after LBT-display was compared by modeling acid-base titration data. A multiple discrete site, constant capacitance surface complexation model was constructed to examine rare earth (Tb) binding to cell surface functional groups, comparing wild type and LBT-engineered surfaces. Our acid-base titrations show similar pKa values between the two strains, suggesting induction of LBTs does not significantly alter cell surface protonation behavior. Tb sorption onto the wild type cell surface can be captured by a one-site carboxyl model. The LBT strain exhibited a higher metal loading that can be explained by the increase of sorption sites in the form of lanthanide binding tags. Furthermore, carboxyl site concentrations between wild type and LBT-induced cells were statistically indistinguishable. We thus attribute the engineered strains’ increase in Tb adsorption capacity and affinity to the addition of lanthanide binding tags to the cell surface. The Tb stability constant with the LBT site is two orders of magnitude higher than that with the carboxyl functional group. As a result, at low metal loading <10 μM, the Tb binding to the cell surface of the LBT-strain is controlled by the presence of high-affinity, but lower capacity, LBT sites. At higher metal loadings >10 μM, a more abundant but low affinity functional group becomes the main source of adsorption that results in an overall higher sorption capacity. This work demonstrates how surface complexation modeling can be implemented for bacterial surfaces engineered with a known protein tag to optimize REE recovery from fluids with variable pH and metal loadings.
59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗
Selective recovery of native copper from basalt tailings using alkaline glycinate solution
Mafic and ultramafic rocks present an intriguing pathway for CO 2 capture through strategic enhancements to the natural silicate weathering cycle. Simultaneously, these rock types are often hosts to appreciable amounts of metals critical to U.S. energy independence, particularly in the context of alkaline mine tailings from historical metal mining. The research and scientific prerogative, then, is to identify promising mafic and ultramafic feedstocks and conduct exploratory studies to effectively recover these critical minerals while preserving the potential for mineral carbonation. The Keweenaw Peninsula of Michigan hosts the largest native Cu reservoir within basalt in the world and experienced a rich history of Cu production spanning from pre-historic times to the mid-1900s. Today, much of the Cu mining legacy remains as mine waste tailings. In this study, we examined the Cu extractability from Keweenaw Basalt tailings using a sodium glycinate solution, in comparison with acid and sodium hydroxide leaching. Experimental results showed an 85 % Cu extraction rate using sodium glycinate as the extraction solution with negligible release of other cations from the basalt. The kinetic and extraction mechanisms of Cu selective recovery using glycinate solution were discussed using time-resolved experimental data and kinetic geochemical modeling. Theoretical estimation of carbon mineralization potential of all the existing basalt waste tailings (∼500 million tons) can reach 85.5 MMT CO 2 . A total of 0.786 MMT Cu can be recovered with sodium glycinate, with a value of 7.7 billion USD. In conclusion, this novel application of alkaline glycinate for selective Cu recovery from basalt mine tailings demonstrates the viability of selective metal recovery using a non-hazardous chemical while preserving CO 2 capture potential and presents a potential pathway toward reducing energy-related emissions and providing an unconventional domestic source of critical minerals.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
Recovering Rare Earth Elements from Aqueous Solution with Porous Amine–Epoxy Networks
Recovering aqueous rare earth elements (REEs) from domestic water sources is one key strategy to diminish the U.S.’s foreign reliance of these precious commodities. Herein, we synthesized an array of porous, amine–epoxy monolith and particle REE recovery sorbents from different polyamine, namely tetraethylenepentamine, and diepoxide (E2), triepoxide (E3), and tetra-epoxide (E4) monomer combinations via a polymer-induced phase separation (PIPS) method. The polyamines provided -NH 2 (primary amine) plus -NH (secondary amine) REE adsorption sites, which were partially reacted with C–O–C (epoxide) groups at different amine/epoxide ratios to precipitate porous materials that exhibited a wide range of apparent porosities and REE recoveries/affinities. Specifically, polymer particles (ground monoliths) were tested for their recovery of La 3+ , Nd 3+ , Eu 3+ , Dy 3+ , and Yb 3+ (Ln 3+ ) species from ppm-level, model REE solutions (pH ≈ 2.4, 5.5, and 6.4) and a ppb-level, simulated acid mine drainage (AMD) solution (pH ≈ 2.6). Screening the sorbents revealed that E3/TEPA-88 (88% theoretical reaction of -NH 2 plus -NH) recovered, overall, the highest percentage of Ln 3+ species of all particles from model 100 ppm- and 500 ppm-concentrated REE solutions. Water swelling (monoliths) and ex situ, diffuse reflectance infrared Fourier transform spectroscopy (DRIFTS) (ground monoliths/particles) data revealed the high REE uptake by the optimized particles was facilitated by effective distribution of amine and hydroxyl groups within a porous, phase-separated polymer network. In situ DRIFTS results clarified that phase separation, in part, resulted from polymerization of the TEPA-E3 (N-N-diglycidyl-4-glycidyloxyaniline) species in the porogen via C–N bond formation, especially at higher temperatures. Most importantly, the E3/TEPA-88 material cyclically recovered >93% of ppb-level Ln 3+ species from AMD solution in a recovery–strip–recovery scheme, highlighting the efficacy of these materials for practical applications.
36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
Cutover Peat Limits Methane Production Causing Low Emission at a Restored Peatland
Abstract Peatland degradation due to human activities is contributing to rising atmospheric CO 2 levels. Restoring the carbon (C) sink function in degraded peatlands and preventing further stored C losses is a key climate mitigation strategy, given the global scale of peatland disturbance. Active restoration involving a combination of rewetting and vegetation reestablishment at a post‐extraction peatland in Canada has been shown to successfully re‐establish net CO 2 uptake rates similar to undisturbed peatlands within a decade or two. However, lower than expected CH 4 emissions suggest recovery of belowground C cycling processes may lag behind the recovery of the surface net flux. Using closed chamber measurements over a warm season, we determined that restored Sphagnum , which covers two thirds of the site, was a null source of CH 4 . Emissions from the restored site were primarily attributed to vascular plant substrate inputs, measured as acetate, and plant‐mediated transport. The C isotopic fractionation factor for CH 4 and CO 2 in the pore water from the restored former peat field suggested reduced hydrogenotrophic CH 4 production deeper in the cutover peat profile (0.8 m depth). In contrast, isotopic fractionation in the former drainage ditches showed a balance of acetoclastic and hydrogenotrophic methanogenesis deeper in the profile, indicative of some bulk peat C turnover. This study suggests that the legacy of substrate quality in the cutover peat can reduce the climate warming impact of newly restored peatlands through a reduction in CH 4 production and thus emission.
Nugent, Kelly A.↗
Experimental Determination of the Recovery Factor and Analytical Solution of the Conical Flow Field for a 20 deg Included Angle Cone at Mach Numbers of 4.6 and 6.0 and Stagnation Temperatures to 2600 degree R
The local recovery factor was determined experimentally along the surface of a thin-walled 20 deg included angle cone for Mach numbers near 6.0 at stagnation temperatures between 1200 deg R and 2600 deg R. In addition, a similar cone configuration was tested at Mach numbers near 4.5 at stagnation temperatures of approximately 612 deg R. The local Reynolds number based on flow properties at the edge of the boundary layer ranged between 0.1 x 10(exp 4) and 3.5 x 10(exp 4) for tests at temperatures above 1200 deg R and between 6 x 10(exp 4) and 25 x 10(exp 4) for tests at temperatures near 612 deg R. The results indicated, generally, that the recovery factor can be predicted satisfactorily using the square root of the Prandtl number. No conclusion could be made as to the necessity of evaluating the Prandtl number at a reference temperature given by an empirical equation, as opposed to evaluating the Prandtl number at the wall temperature or static temperature of the gas at the cone surface. For the tests at temperatures above 1200 deg R (indicated herein as the tests conducted in the slip-flow region), two definite trends in the recovery data were observed - one of increasing recovery factor with decreasing stagnation pressure, which was associated with slip-flow effects and one of decreasing recovery factor with increasing temperature. The true cause of the latter trend could not be ascertained, but it was shown that this trend was not appreciably altered by the sources of error of the magnitude considered herein. The real-gas equations of state were used to determine accurately the local stream properties at the outer edge of the boundary layer of the cone. Included in the report, therefore, is a general solution for the conical flow of a real gas using the Beattie-Bridgeman equation of state. The largest effect of temperature was seen to be in the terms which were dependent upon the internal energy of the gas. The pressure and hence the pressure drag terms were unaffected.
Pfyl, Frank A.↗
Interaction of Comets and the Solar Wind
We had originally planned to analyze UVCS observations of Comet Machholz, but we obtained higher quality observations of Comet Kudo-Fujikawa in January 2003 at its 0.19 AU perihelion. Besides a large and rapidly increasing water outgassing rate, we detected a bright tail in doubly ionized carbon. The amount of carbon was greater than could be accounted for by GO photodissociation, and we attribute the carbon to evaporation of organics from dust. A spectacular disconnection event was apparent in the C III tail, and it coincides within the uncertainties with the position of the heliospheric current sheet. A paper is in press in Science, and it will be the subject of a press release. We are also analyzing two sungrazing comets. Comet C/2001 C2 shows evidence for sub-fragments and for a very long lasting source of neutrals, which we tentatively identify as evaporation of pyroxene dust grains. Comet C/2002 S2 shows a sudden 2 magnitude drop in optical brightness and an equally sudden recovery. UVCS observations during that time show a steadily increasing outgassing rate. We have derived solar wind densities for both comets, but we are still sorting out the ambiguities involving the fragmentation and optical behavior. We are collaborating with Philippe Lamy on the LASCO measurements.
Wagner, William↗
RECOVER: An Automated Cloud-Based Decision Support System for Post-fire Rehabilitation Planning
RECOVER is a site-specific decision support system that automatically brings together in a single analysis environment the information necessary for post-fire rehabilitation decision-making. After a major wildfire, law requires that the federal land management agencies certify a comprehensive plan for public safety, burned area stabilization, resource protection, and site recovery. These burned area emergency response (BAER) plans are a crucial part of our national response to wildfire disasters and depend heavily on data acquired from a variety of sources. Final plans are due within 21 days of control of a major wildfire and become the guiding document for managing the activities and budgets for all subsequent remediation efforts. There are few instances in the federal government where plans of such wide-ranging scope and importance are assembled on such short notice and translated into action more quickly. RECOVER has been designed in close collaboration with our agency partners and directly addresses their high-priority decision-making requirements. In response to a fire detection event, RECOVER uses the rapid resource allocation capabilities of cloud computing to automatically collect Earth observational data, derived decision products, and historic biophysical data so that when the fire is contained, BAER teams will have a complete and ready-to-use RECOVER dataset and GIS analysis environment customized for the target wildfire. Initial studies suggest that RECOVER can transform this information-intensive process by reducing from days to a matter of minutes the time required to assemble and deliver crucial wildfire-related data.
cloud computing↗
A Fecal Processing Technology Trade Study for Water Recovery in Various Mission Duration Scenarios
To achieve long endurance human space missions such as a trip to Mars, a fully recycled or “closed loop” water system is almost essential. Even for shorter duration missions in Earth orbit, lunar orbit, or on the surface of the moon, recovering and recycling water from as many sources as possible may prove beneficial. One source of water that has not been exploited to date is human solid waste. Herein, a trade study is performed to evaluate the ability of several fecal processing technologies to recover >80% of the water content within the waste. Human solid waste (feces) contains approximately 75% water by mass, which upon quantification, translates to ~170 g of recoverable water per crewmember per day and can scale to values of ~680 kg for a crew of 4 persons on a 1,000-day long exploration mission. Several fecal processing technologies (i.e., steam reforming, vacuum drying, freeze-drying, pyrolysis, ultrasonic drying, etc.) are analyzed using an equivalent system mass (ESM) approach to assess and compare the estimated cost for recovering fecal water – in terms of mass, power, and volume equivalents – against the water recovery mass savings for each technology. Post-use volume is also used as a secondary metric for comparison to quantify the benefits of volume reduction resulting from the fecal drying process. From said analysis, clear patterns and benefits emerge that may prove helpful for future fecal processing technology development and application to space exploration missions.
Trade study↗
Stimulated geologic hydrogen: from mechanistic control to engineered rock transformation
Geologic hydrogen (GeoH 2 ) generated from subsurface iron-rich rock–water reaction (i.e., serpentinization) is emerging as a promising candidate for the next primary energy source. Yet, accelerating GeoH 2 production from geological to human timescales via enhanced serpentinization remains a formidable scientific and technical challenge. Here, in this Review, we decipher the mechanistic control and explore strategies for accelerating in situ, engineered iron-rich rock transformation into carbon-free GeoH 2 by orders of magnitude. Serpentinization rate is hindered by low porosity and permeability of source rocks, suboptimal temperatures, unfavorable water chemistry, inefficient Fe 2+ -to-Fe 3+ conversion, thermodynamic constraints, and low reactive surface area. While closed-system experiments provide valuable mechanistic insights, open-system conditions with fluid circulation are more crucial for economically viable GeoH 2 production. We assess stimulation techniques from enhanced hydrocarbon and geothermal recovery as tools to be adopted or adapted for increasing reactive surface areas for stimulated GeoH2 production. We estimate that 7.40 × 10 5 to 1.73 × 10 6 million metric tons (Mt) of hydrogen could be engineered over 20 to 50 years from about 10% iron-rich rocks within 10 km depth of continental crust. Enabling GeoH 2 as a viable energy source requires not only advancing scientific frontiers but also forming a global GeoH 2 research network and innovation ecosystem to address the critical scientific, technical, societal, economic, and policy challenges.
08 HYDROGEN↗
Numerical Validation of an Algorithm for Combined Soiling and Degradation Analysis of Photovoltaic Systems
We describe and demonstrate an open-source algorithm for simultaneously quantifying degradation and soiling of photovoltaic (PV) systems from energy-production time series data. The new analysis is based on year-on-year degradation rate analysis combined with stochastic rate and recovery soiling analysis. The algorithm is designed to fit into the workflow provided by RdTools, a Python module maintained by NREL and collaboratively developed with the community, which provides a framework and functions for degradation and loss-factor analysis of PV field data. We demonstrate the method on numerically simulated PV data sets and show that it reduces the root-mean-square error of the P50 degradation rate estimate when soiling is present.
14 SOLAR ENERGY↗
Continuous hydrodeoxygenation of lignin to jet-range aromatic hydrocarbons
Sustainable aviation fuel (SAF) is essential to decrease the carbon footprint of the aviation industry. Although many strategies have been developed to provide the branched, aliphatic components of SAF, few viable strategies have been demonstrated to supply the aromatic and cycloalkane fraction of SAF at the necessary scale from bio-based feedstocks. Lignin is the largest natural source of renewable aromatic compounds, yet major challenges in deoxygenation have prevented its use as a feedstock for SAF. Here we report a continuous, two-stage catalytic process using molybdenum carbide to deoxygenate lignin from poplar into aromatic hydrocarbons with 87.5% selectivity towards aromatic hydrocarbons at 86% of the theoretical carbon recovery. This work demonstrates an effective approach to convert lignin into aromatic SAF blendstocks.
37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗
High Average Current Bunched Electron Source for RF Accelerators
High-average current high-quality electron beams are imperative for high-power RF accelerators used in various energy and environmental applications in industry, medicine, and national security as well as for advanced existing and future accelerator systems such as PIP II, particle colliders (eRHIC BNL) for cooling high-energy proton, ion, and hadron beams, storage rings, wakefield accelerators (AWA), and energy recovery linacs. The most common current approach to generate high-peak current high-brightness short electron bunches uses photoemission excited by intense laser radiation. However, to avoid overheating photocathodes are operated at a subharmonic of the linac frequency that in turn restricts the average beam current. There are also limitations in the electron-beam average current due to the average power available from drive lasers. On the other hand, the state of the art thermionic sources that produce high average current electron beams do not have yet good emission gating methods to realize sufficiently short and good quality electron bunches. We develop a robust thermionic electron source (e-source) of >1 A average current with advanced gating of the emission at the linac-frequency and its 3rd harmonic. Central to the approach is a novel scheme for energy efficient feeding of the 3rd-harmonic power in the RF gap. The cathode is attached to the gun cavity through this small emission-gating gap in which the RF modes are excited. The use of thermionic emission allows for the desired high-average current CW electron beams. Adding the 3rd emission gating harmonic shortens the electron bunches and by this means lessens impact of the RF curvature on the beam quality resulting in the smaller energy spread and bunch emittances. Such high current electron beam is suitable for injection into high-power normal- or superconducting linacs in CW mode at a high repetition rate of the linac frequency. In Phase I, we performed modeling and beam dynamics, parametric, and optimization studies. A >1A average current e-source with 200,000hrs lifetime expectancy has been demonstrated in the simulations. We have developed baseline design of the e-source and its components. It is anticipated that the e-source will be in demand for normal- and superconducting particle accelerators and will benefit many commercial and energy and environmental applications such as treating waste and potable water, sludge, stack gases, and medical waste as well as X-ray sources for medicine, sterilization, materials processing, geology, and non-intrusive imaging.
43 PARTICLE ACCELERATORS↗
Model-Based Extracted Water Desalination System for Carbon Sequestration
Over the last 1.5 years, GE Global Research and Pennsylvania State University defined a model-based, scalable, and multi-stage extracted water desalination system that yields clean water, concentrated brine, and, optionally, salt. The team explored saline brines that ranged across the expected range for extracted water for carbon sequestration reservoirs (40,000 up to 220,000 ppm total dissolved solids, TDS). In addition, the validated the system performance at pilot scale with field-sourced water using GE’s pre-pilot and lab facilities. This project encompassed four principal tasks, in addition to Project Management and Planning: 1) identify a deep saline formation carbon sequestration site and a partner that are suitable for supplying extracted water; 2) conduct a techno-economic assessment and down-selection of pre-treatment and desalination technologies to identify a cost-effective system for extracted water recovery; 3) validate the downselected processes at the lab/pre-pilot scale; and 4) define the scope of the pilot desalination project. Highlights from each task are described below: Deep saline formation characterization The deep saline formations associated with the five DOE NETL 1260 Phase 1 projects were characterized with respect to their mineralogy and formation water composition. Sources of high TDS feed water other than extracted water were explored for high TDS desalination applications, including unconventional oil and gas and seawater reverse osmosis concentrate. Technoeconomic analysis of desalination technologies Techno-economic evaluations of alternate brine concentration technologies, including humidification-dehumidification (HDH), membrane distillation (MD), forward osmosis (FO), turboexpander-freeze, solvent extraction and high pressure reverse osmosis (HPRO), were conducted. These technologies were evaluated against conventional falling film-mechanical vapor recompression (FF-MVR) as a baseline desalination process. Furthermore, a quality function deployment (QFD) method was used to compare alternate high TDS desalination technologies to FF-MVR. High pressure reverse osmosis was found to a be a promising alternative desalination technology. A deep-dive technoeconomic analysis of HPRO was performed, including Capex and Opex estimates, for seawater RO (SWRO). Additionally, two additional cases were explored: 1) a comparison of a SWRO plus HPRO system to the option of doubling the size of a standard seawater RO system to achieve the same total pure water recovery rate; and 2) a flue gas desulfurization wastewater treatment zero-liquid discharge (ZLD) application, where preconcentration with RO (SWRO or SWRO + HPRO) before evaporation and crystallization was compared to FF-MVR and crystallization technologies without RO preconcentration. Pre-pilot process validation Pre-pilot-scale tests were conducted using field production water to validate key process steps for extracted water pretreatment. Approximately 5,000 gallons of field produced water was processed through, microfiltration, ultrafiltration, and steam regenerable sorbent operations. Smaller quantities were processed through microclarification. In addition, analytical methods (purge-and-trap gas chromatography and Hach TOC analytical methods) were validated. Lab-scale HPRO elements were constructed and tested at high pressures, to identify and mitigate technical risks of the technology. Lastly, improvements in RO membrane materials were identified as the necessary next step to achieve further improvement in element performance at high pressure. Scope of Field Pilot A field pilot for extracted water pretreatment was designed.
20 FOSSIL-FUELED POWER PLANTS↗
Global volcanic aerosol properties derived from emissions, 1990-2014, using CESM1(WACCM): VOLCANIC AEROSOLS DERIVED FROM EMISSIONS
Accurate representation of global stratospheric aerosol properties from volcanic and non-volcanic sulfur emissions is key to understanding the cooling effects and ozone-loss enhancements of recent volcanic activity. Attribution of climate and ozone variability to volcanic activity is of particular interest in relation to the post-2000 slowing in the apparent rate of global average temperature increases, and variable recovery of the Antarctic ozone hole. We have developed a climatology of global aerosol properties from 1990 to 2014 calculated based on volcanic and non-volcanic emissions of sulfur sources. We have complied a database of volcanic SO2 emissions and plume altitudes for eruptions between 1990 and 2014, and a new prognostic capability for simulating stratospheric sulfate aerosols in version 5 of the Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model, a component of the Community Earth System Model. Our climatology shows remarkable agreement with ground-based lidar observations of stratospheric aerosol optical depth (SAOD), and with in situ measurements of aerosol surface area density (SAD). These properties are key parameters in calculating the radiative and chemical effects of stratospheric aerosols. Our SAOD climatology represents a significant improvement over satellite-based analyses, which ignore aerosol extinction below 15 km, a region that can contain the vast majority of stratospheric aerosol extinction at mid- and high-latitudes. Our SAD climatology significantly improves on that provided for the Chemistry-Climate Model Initiative, which misses 60% of the SAD measured in situ. Our climatology of aerosol properties is publicly available on the Earth System Grid.
Mills, Michael J.↗
Water Use and Management in the Bakken Shale Oil Play in North Dakota
Oil and natural gas development in the Bakken shale play of North Dakota has grown substantially since 2008. This study provides a comprehensive overview and analysis of water quantity and management impacts from this development by (1) estimating water demand for hydraulic fracturing in the Bakken from 2008 to 2012; (2) compiling volume estimates for maintenance water, or brine dilution water; (3) calculating water intensities normalized by the amount of oil produced, or estimated ultimate recovery (EUR); (4) estimating domestic water demand associated with the large oil services population; (5) analyzing the change in wastewater volumes from 2005 to 2012; and (6) examining existing water sources used to meet demand. Water use for hydraulic fracturing in the North Dakota Bakken grew 5-fold from 770 million gallons in 2008 to 4.3 billion gallons in 2012. First-year wastewater volumes grew in parallel, from an annual average of 1 135 000 gallons per well in 2008 to 2 905 000 gallons in 2012, exceeding the mean volume of water used in hydraulic fracturing and surpassing typical 4-year wastewater totals for the Barnett, Denver, and Marcellus basins. Surprisingly, domestic water demand from the temporary oilfield services population in the region may be comparable to the regional water demand from hydraulic fracturing activities. Existing groundwater resources are inadequate to meet the demand for hydraulic fracturing, but there appear to be adequate surface water resources, provided that access is available.
Horner, R. M.↗