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At least 577 records · Page 32

Numerical Model Studies of the Martian Mesoscale Circulations

Studies concerning mesoscale topographical effects on Martian flows examined low-level jets in the near equatorial latitudes and the dynamical intensification of flow by steep terrain. Continuation of work from previous years included evaluating the dissipation of cold air mass outbreaks due to enhanced sensible heat flux, further sensitivity and scaling evaluations for generalization of the characteristics of Martian mesoscale circulation caused by horizontal sensible heat-flux gradients, and evaluations of the significance that non-uniform surface would have on enhancing the polar CO2 ice sublimation during the spring. The sensitivity of maximum and minimum atmospheric temperatures to changes in wind speed, surface albedo, and deep soil temperature was investigated.

Segal, M.↗

Predictability of time averages. I - Dynamical predictability of monthly means. II - The influence of the boundary forcings

The physical basis for the dynamic prediction of monthly means in weather parameters is examined in two papers. In the first paper, an attempt is made to determine the theoretical upper limit of dynamical predictability of monthly means for prescribed nonfluctuating external forcings. In the second paper, the physical mechanisms through which changes in the boundary forcings of SST, soil moisture, albedo, and snow influence atmospheric circulation are discussed. On the basis of both studies, the essential requirements for establishing the physical basis for dynamical prediction of monthly means are to show that: (1) fluctuations of monthly means are larger than can be expected due to sampling of day-to-day weather changes; (2) there are low frequency planetary scale components of circulation which remain predictable beyond the limits of synoptic scale predictability; and (3) the influences of the slowly varying boundary conditions of SST, soil moisture, snow, sea ice are large enough to produce significant and detectable changes in the monthly mean circulations. Observational and numerical evidence which support these requirements are presented.

Shukla, J.↗

Performance of a Dual Fluidized Bed Reactor for Chemical Looping Combustion with Oxygen Uncoupling

Chemical looping with oxygen uncoupling (CLOU) is a variant of chemical looping combustion which uses as fluidized bed particles specific solid oxygen carriers which readily liberate gaseous oxygen (O2) in the fuel reactor. This enables much more efficient combustion of solid fuels such as coal than conventional chemical looping combustion, which relies on in situ gasification of char in to produce syngas that can react heterogeneously with the solid oxygen carrier. The CLOU process for coal is an especially interesting application of fluidized bed technology since several types of reactions take place within the reactors. For copper-based oxygen carrier particles, the copper cycles between cuprous and cupric oxide (Cu2O + ½ O2 ↔ 2 CuO). Volatiles released from coal during pyrolysis may react with oxidized copper or with released oxygen gas. Char reacts primarily with released oxygen. Balancing oxygen supply to the fuel reactor, heat generation and temperatures and global and internal circulation rates is a challenge. The University of Utah has been researching CLOU technology for 10 years, studying fundamental reaction kinetics for copper-based CLOU oxygen carriers, performing lab- and bench-scale experiments in single and dual fluidized beds, and developing reactor models through computational fluid dynamic modeling using Barracuda VR™. Recently the university began testing a 200 kWth dual circulating fluidized bed process development unit (PDU) for processing coal. The design process for that reactor, reactor simulations, operational experience and practical challenges of the PDU system are presented.

Whitty, Kevin J.↗

Venus Multiprobe Mission

A summary of the proposal for the Discovery Program Venus Multiprobe Mission (VMPM) which was submitted in 1994 will be presented. The major goal of the mission was to provide sufficient observations of winds and thermal structure in the Venus atmosphere that the mechanism producing the atmospheric superrotation could be identified. The superrotation has been a major unsolved problem of planetary science for over 30 years. In spite of many theoretical efforts and many spacecraft missions to Venus, the principal driving mechanism(s) remain undetermined. Sixteen small probes, modeled after the Pioneer Venus small probes, would enter the Venus atmosphere, and measure winds, temperatures, and pressures from 60 km to the surface. Towards the bottom of the atmosphere, measurements would be made at 10 meter intervals. Temperature and pressure measurements are similar to those used on Pioneer Venus, but are four times more sensitive. Winds would be obtained by dual-frequency, differential. long-baseline interferometry, using S- and X-band transmitters on the probes, and four receiving telescopes round the Pacific rim. The precision of wind measurements is 0.05 ms- 1 or better, at least twenty times more precise than for Pioneer Venus. Ground based observations occurring in conjunction with the multiprobe entries would provide a temporal context for the upper boundary to the probe observations. UV and near IR features would be tracked for periods of hours to weeks to obtain cloud level zonal mean and transient eddy circulations with accuracies of 10 /ms or better. The data would be processed into wind and opacity maps. A hierarchy of atmospheric numerical models would be used to distinguish different dynamical elements existing in the data. Primary among the models was the development of a Venus general circulation model containing all known physical processes.

Young, Richard E.↗

Synopsis of the Fifth Conference on the Meteorology of the Stratosphere and Mesosphere

The papers presented at the Fifth Conference on the Meteorology of the Stratosphere and Mesosphere held on April 23-26, 1985, are reviewed. The observational aspects of large-scale circulation, such as summer and winter circulation in the Southern Hemisphere, and analysis schemes, like the multivariate statistical analysis scheme, are discussed. The topics of numerical simulations of the general circulation and sudden-warming are examined. Papers concerning processes of O3, NO2, H2, and HNO3 are described. Research on large-scale mixing processes in the stratosphere is presented. The topic of equatorial dynamics and stability is analyzed. Papers focusing on the effect of gravity waves on the general circulation are studied.

Schoeberl, M. R.↗

Cloud Radiative Feedbacks and El Niño–Southern Oscillation

Cloud radiative feedbacks are disabled via “cloud-locking” in the Community Earth System Model, version 1.2 (CESM1.2), to result in a shift in El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) periodicity from 2–7 years to decadal time scales. We hypothesize that cloud radiative feedbacks may impact the periodicity in three ways: by 1) modulating heat flux locally into the equatorial Pacific subsurface through negative shortwave cloud feedback on sea surface temperature anomalies (SSTA), 2) damping the persistence of subtropical southeast Pacific SSTA such that the South Pacific meridional mode impacts the duration of ENSO events, or 3) controlling the meridional width of off-equatorial westerly winds, which impacts the periodicity of ENSO by initiating longer Rossby waves. The result of cloud-locking in CESM1.2 contrasts that of another study, which found that cloud-locking in a different global climate model led to decreased ENSO magnitude across all time scales due to a lack of positive longwave feedback on the anomalous Walker circulation. CESM1.2 contains this positive longwave feedback on the anomalous Walker circulation, but either its influence on the surface is decoupled from ocean dynamics or the feedback is only active on interannual time scales. The roles of cloud radiative feedbacks in ENSO in other global climate models are additionally considered. In particular, it is shown that one cannot predict the role of cloud radiative feedbacks in ENSO through a multimodel diagnostic analysis. Instead, they must be directly altered.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Upper atmosphere dynamics

The spatial distribution of stratospheric ozone is useful in diagnosis of some features of the large scale atmospheric circulation, and the ozone may also interact with the atmospheric general circulation. Local maxima in the column ozone distribution are often associated with disturbances in the lower stratosphere and upper troposphere, which may herald cyclone development in the troposphere. One research objective is to explore these issues by means of time series analysis of a zonal index of total column ozone, to suggest the existence or nonexistence of relationships between column ozone and dynamical processes which are known to occur on various time scales. Another objective is to investigate the correlation between the ozone mixing ratio on the 350 K isentropic surface and the column integrated ozone, and to investigate the use of an easily derived parameter as a proxy for ozone mixing ratio, which is conserved in the stratosphere for time scales shorter than the photochemical time scale. The source of data for these studies is the Total Ozone Mapping Spectrometer (TOMS) data set.

Miller, Timothy L.↗

Near-infrared oxygen airglow from the Venus nightside

Groundbased imaging and spectroscopic observations of Venus reveal intense near-infrared oxygen airglow emission from the upper atmosphere and provide new constraints on the oxygen photochemistry and dynamics near the mesopause (approximately 100 km). Atomic oxygen is produced by the Photolysis of CO2 on the dayside of Venus. These atoms are transported by the general circulation, and eventually recombine to form molecular oxygen. Because this recombination reaction is exothermic, many of these molecules are created in an excited state known as O2(delta-1). The airglow is produced as these molecules emit a photon and return to their ground state. New imaging and spectroscopic observations acquired during the summer and fall of 1991 show unexpected spatial and temporal variations in the O2(delta-1) airglow. The implications of these observations for the composition and general circulation of the upper venusian atmosphere are not yet understood but they provide important new constraints on comprehensive dynamical and chemical models of the upper mesosphere and lower thermosphere of Venus.

Crisp, D.↗

Ozone highs and associated flow features in the first half of the twentieth century in different data sets

In order to better understand weather extremes, their relation to the large-scale climate variability, and their possible changes over time, observation-based atmospheric data sets are required that reach back in time as far as possible and that provide information on the 3-dimensional structure of the atmosphere. A number of new such data sets have been published in recent years, including historical observations, reanalyses, and reconstructions, some of which reach back into the nineteenth century. However, their usefulness for studying weather extremes remains to be shown. Here we compare some of these historical data sets in the first half of the twentieth century, focusing on one specific type of extreme, namely “ozone highs". Using historical total ozone observations as a starting point, we assess dynamical links between total ozone, the flow near the tropopause, and tropospheric circulation in the “Twentieth Century Reanalysis" (20CR), historical radiosonde and aircraft observations, and hand drawn historical maps. Selected cases are presented for two regions (Europe and China). Ozone highs over Europe in the 1920s to 1950s were qualitatively well reproduced in 20CR and could mostly be interpreted in the context of cut-off lows. Some of these coincided with a blocking high over the North Atlantic or with vigorous cold-air outbreaks. One of these cases is analysed in more detail. Ozone highs over China in the 1930s may have been related to changes in the jet stream and the subtropical tropopause, but they were not always well reproduced in 20CR. The results demonstrate that, in many of the cases, the available data allow a dynamical interpretation. This confirms the potential of the available data and techniques to extend the length of atmospheric data sets suitable for studying extremes.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Satellite Altimeter Observations of Black Sea Level Variations

Satellite altimeter data from TOPEX/POSEIDON and ERS-1 are used to examine seasonal and mesoscale variability of the Black Sea level. Consistent processing procedures of the altimeter measurements make it possible to determine the dynamical Black Sea level with an rms accuracy about 3 cm. It is shown that the Black Sea circulation intensifies in the winter-spring seasons and attenuates in summer-autumn. The seasonal variability of sea level is accompanied by a radiation of Rossby waves from the eastern coast of the basin. Mesoscale oscillations of the dynamical sea level are found to vary spatially and temporarily. Usually, strong eddy intensity is associated with instabilities of the Rim Current. Away from this circulation feature, in the deep basin, mesoscale variability is much smaller. Mesoscale variability has a strong seasonal signal, which is out of phase with the strength of the Rim Current.

Korotaev, G. K.↗

Comparison of Conventional and Constrained Variational Methods for Computing Large-Scale Budgets and Forcing Fields

Analyses of atmospheric heat and moisture budgets serve as an effective tool to study convective characteristics over a region and to provide large-scale forcing fields for various modeling applications. This paper examines two popular methods for computing large-scale atmospheric budgets: the conventional budget method (CBM) using objectively gridded analyses based primarily on radiosonde data and the constrained variational analysis (CVA) approach which supplements vertical profiles of atmospheric fields with measurements at the top of the atmosphere and at the surface to conserve mass, water, energy, and momentum. Successful budget computations are dependent on accurate sampling and analyses of the thermodynamic state of the atmosphere and the divergence field associated with convection and the large-scale circulation that influences it. Utilizing analyses generated from data taken during Dynamics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (DYNAMO) field campaign conducted over the central Indian Ocean from October to December 2011, we evaluate the merits of these budget approaches and examine their limitations. While many of the shortcomings of the CBM, in particular effects of sampling errors in sounding data, are effectively minimized with CVA, accurate large-scale diagnostics in CVA are dependent on reliable background fields and rainfall constraints. Finally, for the DYNAMO analyses examined, the operational model fields used as the CVA background state provided wind fields that accurately resolved the vertical structure of convection in the vicinity of Gan Island. However, biases in the model thermodynamic fields were somewhat amplified in CVA resulting in a convective environment much weaker than observed.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

Evolving winter atmospheric teleconnection patterns and their potential triggers across western North America

Abstract We present a comprehensive analysis diagnosing the primary factors driving the observed changes in major atmospheric teleconnection patterns in the Northern Hemisphere winter, including the Pacific North American pattern (PNA), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), and North American winter dipole (NAWD), with particular focus on their roles in shaping anomalous weather across North America. Our investigation reveals a consistent influence of the NAWD over seven decades, contrasting with fluctuating impacts from PNA and minor impacts from NAO. In particular, an emergent negative correlation between the NAWD and PNA, signaling a shifted phase of teleconnection patterns, is identified. Such a relationship change is traced to enhanced upper-level ridges across western North America, reflecting a reinforced winter stationary wave. Through attribution analysis, we identify greenhouse gas emissions as a probable driver for the northward drift of the Asia-Pacific jet core, which, aided by orographic lifting over the Alaskan Range, subsequently amplifies the winter stationary wave across western North America. This work emphasizes the pronounced effect of human-induced global warming on the structure and teleconnection of large-scale atmospheric circulation in the Northern Hemisphere winter, providing vital perspectives on the dynamics of current climate trends.

Meteorology & Atmospheric Sciences↗

Agent-Based Simulation Framework for Multi-Variant Surveillance

Early detection of an emerging VOC (Variant-Of-Concern) is essential for effective preparedness for a disease like COVID-19. The spreading of an emerging VOC not only depends on the disease dynamics of itself but also depends on the state of the circulating variants and the susceptibility of the population. Resources for testing are typically quite limited, and a number of strategies have been considered for deploying them. However, it has been difficult to evaluate the performance of such strategies, especially higher order effects, and inequities, while incorporating constraints on these resources. Here, we develop an agent-based surveillance framework, Networkdetect, to understand the early warning system of an emerging VOC. Our framework allows us to incorporate various population heterogeneities and resource constraints.

Moon, Sifat [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000344968809)↗

Status Report on the NuScale Module Developed in the Modelica Framework

This report has been prepared to give a status update on the current state of the NuScale reactor model in the Modelica framework. Current model development has led to the creation of a dynamic NuScale module in the Modelica language that operates under natural circulation and is consistent with design parameters set forth in the design certification documentation. Controllers have been developed that are consistent with controllers mentioned by NuScale and similar pressurized water reactor systems. Simulation results demonstrate the capability of said controllers to properly maintain their target parameters while preserving system values within reasonable bounds. Through the commencement of this work, the first generation of NuScale model in the Modelica M&S framework has been completed. This first generation is capable of recreating nominal design values laid forth in the public literature and accommodating transients down to 60% power. Future generations of the model will incorporate finer tuning on controllers to reduce oscillations seen with steam offtake and will include a more rigorous representation of components laid forth in the future work section.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗

Ionosphere

Ionospheric dynamics and properties, structure of D and F regions, global wind circulation, and radio wave absorption

RADIO WAVE↗

Equatorial superrotation in a thermally driven zonally symmetric circulation

Near the equator where the Coriolis force vanishes, the momentum balance for the axially symmetric circulation is established between horizontal and vertical diffusion, which, a priori, does not impose constraints on the direction or magnitude of the zonal winds. Solar radiation absorbed at low latitudes is a major force in driving large scale motions with air rising near the equator and falling at higher latitudes. In the upper leg of the meridional cell, angular momentum is redistributed so that the atmosphere tends to subrotate (or corotate) at low latitudes and superrotate at high latitudes. In the lower leg, however, the process is reversed and produces a tendency for the equatorial region to superrotate. The outcome depends on the energy budget which is closely coupled to the momentum budget through the thermal wind equation; a pressure (temperature) maximum is required to sustain equatorial superrotation. Such a condition arises in regions which are convectively unstable and the temperature lapse rate is superadiabatic. It should arise in the tropospheres of Jupiter and Saturn; planetary energy from the interior is carried to higher altitudes where radiation to space becomes important. Upward equatorial motions in the direct and indirect circulations (Ferrel-Thomson type) imposed by insolation can then trap dynamic energy for equatorial heating which can sustain the superrotation of the equatorial region.

Mayr, H. G.↗

Influence of the Tibetian Plateau on cumulative and diurnal changes of weather and climate in summer

An investigation of the dynamic and thermodynamic influences of the Tibetian Plateau on the monsoon circulation in southeastern Asia and China is reported. A five-day primitive equation numerical model was used to simulate the influences of the high mountains in the 0-180 deg E and 25-55 deg N region on a typical July day. The equations predicted horizontal motion, heat, the water vapor mixing ratio, and surface pressure. Consideration was given to solar and longwave radiation and the release of latent heat by deep cumulus clouds. A net warming over the Plateau as opposed to the surrounding areas was found to lead to vertical air ascent and the establishment of strong summer monsoon circulation to the south. It is noted that the grid was too coarse to adequately describe the distribution of precipitation on the steep mountains.

Kuo, H. L.↗

Monitoring tropical-cyclone intensity using environmental wind fields derived from short-interval satellite images

The feasibility of predicting changes in tropical storm intensity based on satellite observations of the dynamical relationships between the large-scale upper and lower tropospheric circulations surrounding the cyclone and the characteristics of the storm's inner core is studied. Rapid-scan visible images from the SMS-1 and GOES-1 satellites were used to examine the local change in relative angular momentum (RAM), the lower and upper tropospheric environmental areal mean relative vorticity and transverse circulation on three consecutive days for tropical storms Caroline (August, 1975), Anita (August and September, 1977) and Ella (September, 1978). The three case studies suggest that storm intensification may be predicted from the storm's local change of net RAM, with this quantity best correlated with storm intensification after a time lag of 6 hours. Intensification is also found to be related to the environmental lower and upper tropospheric areal-mean relative vorticity, and to the upper tropospheric environmental circulation, which acts either to hinder or to enhance the storm's anticyclonic outflow channels.

Rodgers, E.↗