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At least 577 records · Page 32

PyPVRPM: Photovoltaic Reliability and Performance Model in Python

The ability to perform accurate techno-economic analysis of solar photovoltaic (PV) systems is essential for bankability and investment purposes. Most energy yield models assume an almost flawless operation (i.e., no failures); however, realistically, components fail and get repaired stochastically. This package, PyPVRPM, is a Python translation and improvement of the Language Kit (LK) based PhotoVoltaic Reliability Performance Model (PVRPM), which was first developed at Sandia National Laboratories in Goldsim software (Granata et al., 2011) (Miller et al., 2012). PyPVRPM allows the user to define a PV system at a specific location and incorporate failure, repair, and detection rates and distributions to calculate energy yield and other financial metrics such as the levelized cost of energy and net present value (Klise, Lavrova, et al., 2017). Our package is a simulation tool that uses NREL’s Python interface for System Advisor Model (SAM) (National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2020b) (National Renewable Energy Laboratory, 2020a) to evaluate the performance of a PV plant throughout its lifetime by considering component reliability metrics. Besides the numerous benefits from migrating to Python (e.g., speed, libraries, batch analyses), it also expands on the failure and repair processes from the LK version by including the ability to vary monitoring strategies. These failures, repairs, and monitoring processes are based on user-defined distributions and values, enabling a more accurate and realistic representation of cost and availability throughout a PV system’s lifetime.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗

From Filamentary Failure to Durable Halide Perovskite Memristors

Halide perovskites have emerged as promising materials for memristive devices. While their pronounced electrochemical reactivity and fast ionic mobility enable numerous advantages including low-voltage operation and fast switching, the same features also render perovskite-based memristors vulnerable to metallic shunts and poor endurance, limiting their practical applications. Here, we elucidate both the resistive switching and failure mechanisms in perovskite memristors with a fluorine-doped tin oxide (FTO)/methylammonium lead triiodide (MAPbI3)/Ag structure and demonstrate a strategy to substantially enhance device durability. As opposed to commonly invoked filamentary mechanisms, electrical, structural, and spectroscopic analyses reveal that resistive switching arises from interfacial barrier modulation by reversible Ag redox reactions that drive electrochemical doping/dedoping within the perovskite. Device failure, however, originates from metallic Ag0 filamentation that ultimately forms permanent conductive pathways. Introducing an ultrathin Al2O3 interlayer at the inert-electrode interface improves device endurance by more than 30-fold, exceeding 15,000 switching cycles, without compromising other performance metrics. Interfacial characterization indicates that the Al2O3 layer modifies wettability of Ag deposits, promoting planar island growth rather than through-film filamentation. These findings establish a clear link between interfacial electrochemistry, metal precipitation behavior, and memristor reliability, highlighting inert-electrode interfacial engineering as an effective pathway toward durable perovskite-based memristors.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

A statistical representation of bond coating oxidation under environmental barrier coatings

Environmental barrier coatings (EBCs) protect SiC-based ceramic matrix composites (CMCs) in turbine hot sections from high-temperature volatilization in combustion gases. The formation of a SiO 2 thermally grown oxide (TGO) is expected under the EBC after long-term operation. The oxidation resistance of the EBC is understood as a life-limiting factor for the CMC, and this work predicts long-term oxidation behavior under EBCs through a simple statistical approach. Specimens were exposed to 1350°C isothermal conditions for 100-h thermal cycles in flowing steam for up to 1000 h. The EBC morphology, SiO 2 thickness, and SiO 2 cracking behavior were assessed. Using thousands of SiO 2 thickness measurements across many millimeters of the interface, a realistic representation of the entire TGO was captured via a lognormal distribution. The lognormal fit parameters were extrapolated out to 25 000 h to assess the degree of SiO 2 growth, the spread of SiO 2 thicknesses related to the rough oxidizing interface, and percentages of the intermediate bond coating consumed. In conclusion, local interfacial defects from the coating deposition process are identified as local failure points for EBC—CMC systems.

SiO 2↗

Modeling Crack Propagation in Polycrystalline Microstructure Using Variational Multiscale Method

Crack propagation in a polycrystalline microstructure is analyzed using a novel multiscale model. The model includes an explicit microstructural representation at critical regions (stress concentrators such as notches and cracks) and a reduced order model that statistically captures the microstructure at regions far away from stress concentrations. Crack propagation is modeled in these critical regions using the variational multiscale method. In this approach, a discontinuous displacement field is added to elements that exceed the critical values of normal or tangential tractions during loading. Compared to traditional cohesive zone modeling approaches, the method does not require the use of any special interface elements in the microstructure and thus can model arbitrary crack paths. The capability of the method in predicting both intergranular and transgranular failure modes in an elastoplastic polycrystal is demonstrated under tensile and three-point bending loads.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Pip pin reliability and design

Pip pins are used in many engineering applications. Of particular interest to the aerospace industry is their use in various mechanism designs. Many payloads that fly aboard our nation's Space Shuttle have at least one actuated mechanism. Often these mechanisms incorporate pip pins in their design in order to fasten interfacing parts or joints. Pip pins are most often used when an astronaut will have a direct interface with the mechanism. This interfacing can be done during Space Shuttle mission EVA's (ExtraVehicular Activity). The main reason for incorporating pip pins is convenience and their ability to provide a quick release for interfacing parts. However, there are some issues that must be taken into account when using them in a design. These issues include documented failures and quality control problems when using substandard pip pins. A history of pip pins as they relate to the aerospace industry as well as general design features is discussed.

Skyles, Lane P.↗

Independent Orbiter Assessment (IOA): Analysis of the DPS subsystem

The results of the Independent Orbiter Assessment (IOA) of the Failure Modes and Effects Analysis/Critical Items List (FMEA/CIL) is presented. The IOA approach features a top-down analysis of the hardware to independently determine failure modes, criticality, and potential critical items. The independent analysis results corresponding to the Orbiter Data Processing System (DPS) hardware are documented. The DPS hardware is required for performing critical functions of data acquisition, data manipulation, data display, and data transfer throughout the Orbiter. Specifically, the DPS hardware consists of the following components: Multiplexer/Demultiplexer (MDM); General Purpose Computer (GPC); Multifunction CRT Display System (MCDS); Data Buses and Data Bus Couplers (DBC); Data Bus Isolation Amplifiers (DBIA); Mass Memory Unit (MMU); and Engine Interface Unit (EIU). The IOA analysis process utilized available DPS hardware drawings and schematics for defining hardware assemblies, components, and hardware items. Each level of hardware was evaluated and analyzed for possible failure modes and effects. Criticality was assigned based upon the severity of the effect for each failure mode. Due to the extensive redundancy built into the DPS the number of critical items are few. Those identified resulted from premature operation and erroneous output of the GPCs.

Lowery, H. J.↗

VIPER project

The VIPER project has so far produced a formal specification of a 32 bit RISC microprocessor, an implementation of that chip in radiation-hard SOS technology, a partial proof of correctness of the implementation which is still being extended, and a large body of supporting software. The time has now come to consider what has been achieved and what directions should be pursued in the future. The most obvious lesson from the VIPER project was the time and effort needed to use formal methods properly. Most of the problems arose in the interfaces between different formalisms, e.g., between the (informal) English description and the HOL spec, between the block-level spec in HOL and the equivalent in ELLA needed by the low-level CAD tools. These interfaces need to be made rigorous or (better) eliminated. VIPER 1A (the latest chip) is designed to operate in pairs, to give protection against breakdowns in service as well as design faults. We have come to regard redundancy and formal design methods as complementary, the one to guard against normal component failures and the other to provide insurance against the risk of the common-cause failures which bedevil reliability predictions. Any future VIPER chips will certainly need improved performance to keep up with increasingly demanding applications. We have a prototype design (not yet specified formally) which includes 32 and 64 bit multiply, instruction pre-fetch, more efficient interface timing, and a new instruction to allow a quick response to peripheral requests. Work is under way to specify this device in MIRANDA, and then to refine the spec into a block-level design by top-down transformations. When the refinement is complete, a relatively simple proof checker should be able to demonstrate its correctness. This paper is presented in viewgraph form.

Kershaw, John↗

Field‐Relevant Degradation Mechanisms in Metal Halide Perovskite Modules

Field testing, failure analysis, and understanding of degradation mechanisms are essential to advancing metal halide perovskite (MHP) photovoltaic (PV) technology toward commercialization. Here, we present performance data from up to 1 year of outdoor testing of MHP modules in Golden, Colorado. The module encapsulation architecture and encapsulant materials have a significant impact on module reliability, with modules containing a polyolefin elastomer (POE) in addition to a desiccated polyisobutylene (PIB) edge seal outlasting modules with only a PIB edge seal or PIB blanket. Nondestructive and destructive characterization of the field-tested modules points to module scribes and interfaces as areas of potential mechanical weakness and chemical migration, resulting in shunt pathways and increased series resistance. Finally, indoor accelerated stress testing with light and elevated temperatures is performed, demonstrating failure with similar scribe degradation signatures as compared to the field-tested modules. In conclusion, under both outdoor testing and light and elevated temperature conditions, electrochemical corrosion between the copper electrode and the mobile iodine ions appeared dominant, with a significant progression at the scribes that is speculated to result from an interplay between the initial laser damage and joule heating from enhanced ion diffusion under bias.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

Microstructural aspects of zirconia thermal barrier coatings

Various combination of plasma-sprayed bond coatings and zirconia ceramic coatings on a nickel-based superalloy substrate were tested by static thermal exposure at 1200 C and cyclic thermal exposure to 1000 C. The bond coats were based on Ni-Cr-Al alloys with additions of rare earth elements and Si. The ceramic coats were various ZrO2-Y2O3 compositions, of which the optimum was found to be ZrO2-8.9 wt percent Y2O3. Microstructural analysis showed that resistance to cracking during thermal exposure is strongly related to deleterious phase changes. Zones depleted of Al formed at the bond coat/ceramic coat interface due to oxidation and at the bond coat/substrate interface due to interdiffusion, leading eventually to breakdown of the bond coat. The 8.9 percent Y2O3 coating performed best because the as-sprayed metastable tetragonal phase converted slowly into the low-Y2O3 tetragonal plus high-Y2O3 cubic-phase mixture, so that the deleterious monoclinic phase was inhibited from forming. Failure appeared to start with the formation of circumferential cracks in the zirconia, probably due to compressive stresses during cooling, followed by the formation of radial cracks due to tensile stresses during heating. Cracks appeared to initiate at the Al2O3 scale/bond coat interface and propagate through the zirconia coating. Comparisons were made with the behavior of bulk ZrO2-Y2O3 and the relationship between the microstructure of the tetragonal phase and the phase diagram. A separate investigation was also made of the ZrO2-Al2O3 interface.

Mitchell, T. E.↗

Effect of H + Exchange and Surface Impurities on Bulk and Interfacial Electrochemistry of Garnet Solid Electrolytes

Contact loss and current constriction pose significant challenges at the Li metal interface of solid-state batteries. For garnet-structured Li 7 La 3 Zr 2 O 12 (LLZO), these effects are amplified by Li + /H + exchange and surface contamination reactions, which lead to conductivity losses and poor Li wetting. In this study, we utilize a variety of surface treatment processes across 37 cells to selectively induce proton exchange and contamination reactions in LLZO. The resulting bulk and surface chemistry is systematically characterized and correlated to changes in electrochemical properties. Additionally, we combine impedance analysis and finite element method modeling to deconvolute sources of impedance contributions at the Li metal interface. Specifically, we show that constriction impedance at the Li metal interface arises not solely from voids, but also from ionically-resistive surface contaminants. Further, these findings emphasize the connection between ionic conductivity and constriction, demonstrating that micron-scale ionically-resistive components increase constriction even with identical contact geometries. Finally, we leverage our comprehensive dataset to highlight unstable overpotential growth as a failure mechanism, additionally showing that the phase of a cell’s impedance is a sensitive indicator for the onset of interfacial instability. Overall, this study clarifies the impacts of proton exchange and surface contamination on electrochemical properties at the Li|solid electrolyte interface and elucidates insights that are generalizable to other solid-state battery systems.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

User's guide to the Reliability Estimation System Testbed (REST)

The Reliability Estimation System Testbed is an X-window based reliability modeling tool that was created to explore the use of the Reliability Modeling Language (RML). RML was defined to support several reliability analysis techniques including modularization, graphical representation, Failure Mode Effects Simulation (FMES), and parallel processing. These techniques are most useful in modeling large systems. Using modularization, an analyst can create reliability models for individual system components. The modules can be tested separately and then combined to compute the total system reliability. Because a one-to-one relationship can be established between system components and the reliability modules, a graphical user interface may be used to describe the system model. RML was designed to permit message passing between modules. This feature enables reliability modeling based on a run time simulation of the system wide effects of a component's failure modes. The use of failure modes effects simulation enhances the analyst's ability to correctly express system behavior when using the modularization approach to reliability modeling. To alleviate the computation bottleneck often found in large reliability models, REST was designed to take advantage of parallel processing on hypercube processors.

Nicol, David M.↗

Effects of Interface Modification on Mechanical Behavior of Hi-Nicalon Fiber-Reinforced Celsian Matrix Composites

Unidirectional celsian matrix composites having approx. 42 volume percent of uncoated or BN/SiC-coated Hi-Nicalon fibers were tested in three-point bend at room temperature. The uncoated fiber-reinforced composites showed catastrophic failure with strength of 210 +/- 35 MPa and a flat fracture surface. In contrast, composites reinforced with BN/SiC-coated fibers exhibited graceful failure with extensive fiber pullout. Values of first matrix cracking stress and strain were 435 +/- 35 MPa and 0.27 +/- 0.01 %, respectively, with ultimate strength as high as 960 MPa. The elastic Young's modulus of the uncoated and BN/SiC-coated fiber-reinforced composites were measured as 184 q 4 GPa and 165 +/- 5 GPa, respectively. Fiber push-through tests and microscopic examination indicated no chemical reaction at the uncoated or coated fiber-matrix interface. The low strength of the uncoated fiber-reinforced composite is probably due to degradation of the fibers from mechanical surface damage during processing. Because both the coated and uncoated fiber reinforced composites exhibited weak interfaces, the beneficial effect of the BN-SiC dual layer is primarily the protection of fibers from mechanical damage during processing.

Bansal, Narottam P.↗

A discrete-continuum coupled finite element modelling approach for fibre reinforced concrete

Highlights: • An easy-to-implement but effective meso-scale modelling approach is developed for FRC. • It is capable of simulating and interpreting all main failure mechanisms in FRC. • It is critically validated by experiments with single or multiple random fibres under various loading conditions. • It can be used to optimise key design factors of FRC at meso/material scale by parametric studies. - Abstract: Fibre reinforced concrete (FRC) exhibits complicated failure modes such as fibre breakage, mortar cracking, crushing and spalling, fibre-mortar interfacial debonding, depending on many material properties, geometric dimensions, boundary and loading conditions. Most existing numerical models are unable to reproduce these failure modes that may occur simultaneously or sequentially in a specimen, mainly due to difficulties in generating finite element meshes with a large number of randomly-oriented fibres. Herein we develop a discrete-continuum coupled finite element modelling approach for FRC materials capable of effectively simulating all the major failure modes. The continuum damaged plasticity model is used to simulate damage and fracture behaviour of the mortar, while debonding of fibre-mortar interfaces is modelled by nonlinear cohesive interfacial elements. Unique techniques are devised to generate conforming meshes between fibres and the surrounding mortar so that the randomly-oriented fibres are easily modelled. The modelling approach is validated by simulating single fibre pullout tests with different inclination angles, notched and non-notched direct tensile tests and three-point bending beam tests with randomly-distributed multiple fibres.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Directed energy deposition of Haynes 282 nickel superalloy

Laser powder directed energy deposition was employed to fabricate Haynes® 282 Ni-based superalloy for high temperature creep testing. Material was heat treated using a single-step aging heat treatment of 800 °C for 4 h. Microstructural analysis was conducted in the as-deposited, solution-annealed, and age-hardened conditions. γ′ precipitates were absent in the as-deposited and annealed condition but formed during aging with an average size of 48.5 ± 12 nm. γ’ denuded zones ranging in thickness from 73 to 469 nm were observed adjacent to an effectively continuous grain boundary carbide film that covered 72.5% of the measured boundary length. The heat-treated material contained a high-volume fraction of TiC carbides ranging in size from 38 to 457 nm. Electron backscatter diffraction showed partial recrystallization, with 77-83% recrystallized area and a heterogeneous grain-size distribution. Creep testing at 750 °C at 300, 320, and 350 MPa revealed significantly inferior performance compared to wrought material, with higher strain rates, earlier tertiary onset, and shorter rupture lives. Fractography shows that failure was dominated by intergranular rupture. Post rupture microstructural analysis results suggest that the creep behavior was primarily governed by the non-equilibrium interface network rather than the bulk γ/γ’ matrix. In conclusion, the findings indicate that achieving wrought-like creep performance necessitates substantial improvements in the additive process, specifically focusing on enhanced homogenization, full recrystallization, and precise control over the morphology and distribution of carbides.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

Extended Cycling through Rigid Block Copolymer Electrolytes Enabled by Reducing Impurities in Lithium Metal Electrodes

Successful prevention of lithium dendrite growth would enable the use of lithium metal as an anode material in next-generation rechargeable batteries. Mechanically stiff block copolymer electrolytes have been shown to prolong the life of lithium metal cells by partially suppressing lithium dendrite growth. Yet, impurity particles that are invariably present in the lithium metal nucleate electrodeposition defects that eventually lead to short circuits. Here, we use X-ray tomography to study the morphology of electrodeposited lithium in symmetric cells containing a block copolymer electrolyte. An "electrochemical filtering" treatment was performed on these cells to reduce the concentration of impurity particles near the electrode-electrolyte interface, and cells were cycled to determine the effects of the treatment on lifetime. Depending on the treatment details, the average charge passed before failure was improved by 30-400%. For a cell in which the treatment was most effective, the cycle life was increased by more than an order of magnitude, and the measured number of deposition defects per area was negligible. Other treated cells, however, in which the treated lithium was imperfect, had a higher number of deposition defects per area compared to control cells. A majority of the deposition defects in treated cells were confined within the electrodes. In contrast, most of the deposition defects seen in the control cells were protrusions that invaded the electrolyte phase. The increased lifetime in these imperfectly treated cells was not due to a reduction in the number of deposition defects per area, but rather due to the differences in defect morphology. These findings motivate the development of deposition defect- and impurity-free lithium metal electrodes.

25 ENERGY STORAGE↗

A user's view of CARE III

The present computerized reliability predictor for digital fault-tolerant systems whose sizes are of the order of one million Markovian equivalent states, employs advanced stochastic modeling techniques and implements a mixed Markov model that enables it to drastically reduce the state size of hitherto computationally unobtainable models. Attention is given to the concepts of failure, fault, and error, in the context of the novel system's fault/error-handling models. Examples are drawn from the system's user-friendly interface dialog.

Bavuso, S. J.↗

An artificial intelligence approach to onboard fault monitoring and diagnosis for aircraft applications

Real-time onboard fault monitoring and diagnosis for aircraft applications, whether performed by the human pilot or by automation, presents many difficult problems. Quick response to failures may be critical, the pilot often must compensate for the failure while diagnosing it, his information about the state of the aircraft is often incomplete, and the behavior of the aircraft changes as the effect of the failure propagates through the system. A research effort was initiated to identify guidelines for automation of onboard fault monitoring and diagnosis and associated crew interfaces. The effort began by determining the flight crew's information requirements for fault monitoring and diagnosis and the various reasoning strategies they use. Based on this information, a conceptual architecture was developed for the fault monitoring and diagnosis process. This architecture represents an approach and a framework which, once incorporated with the necessary detail and knowledge, can be a fully operational fault monitoring and diagnosis system, as well as providing the basis for comparison of this approach to other fault monitoring and diagnosis concepts. The architecture encompasses all aspects of the aircraft's operation, including navigation, guidance and controls, and subsystem status. The portion of the architecture that encompasses subsystem monitoring and diagnosis was implemented for an aircraft turbofan engine to explore and demonstrate the AI concepts involved. This paper describes the architecture and the implementation for the engine subsystem.

Schutte, P. C.↗