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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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At least 577 records · Page 32

Continued Development of the Pulsed Magnetic Nozzle for the Pulsed Fission Fusion (PuFF) Vehicle

High thrust, high specific impulse propulsion systems, such as PuFF (Pulsed Fission-Fusion)offer a new paradigm of speed and safety when exploring the solar system. To realize thesepossibilites, PuFF needs a mature magnetic nozzle design. PuFF’s magnetic nozzle is uniquein that it must provide power in addition to thrust. In the authors’ opinion, the power systemdesign is fairly mature, but nozzle thrust coil design is less so. Previous work has suggested thatthe PuFF magnetic nozzle will behave similarly to a ‘magnetic reflection chamber,’ relying onprinciples of magnetic flux compression to re-direct nozzle flow. However, recent work, usingthe 3D modeling software SPFMax, suggests that plasma motion in the nozzle will be drivenby the Lorentz force. This recent work is limited in that the plasma did not completely leavethe nozzle before the simulation ended. In this work, we aim to extend the SPFMax modelfrom previous work, with a bolstered electromagnetic field solver, so the model can run untilthe plasma is fully evacuated. We hope to confirm previous results regarding the ideal PuFFnozzle design, but we could be surprised. Through improving the PuFF nozzle model, weaim to reduce technical risk with building the nozzle, realize paradigm-shifting performancenumbers, and allow rapid, reliable, and safe exploration of the solar system.

Nathan M Schilling↗

Defining Services, Functions, and Capabilities for an Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) In-time Aviation Safety Management System (IASMS)

NASA’s vision for Advanced Air Mobility (AAM) Mission is to help emerging aviation markets to safely develop an air transportation system that moves people and cargo between places previously not served or underserved by aviation. The integration of new operational paradigms and vehicle classes in this system requires a transformation of the National Airspace System (NAS) that includes substantive changes critical for assuring safety. These changes are compelled by unique challenges posed by AAM to the safety management system (SMS). These challenges were assessed by committees of the National Academies in their reports on a vision for an In-time Aviation Safety Management System (IASMS) and a blueprint for AAM [1,2]. In their description of an IASMS, the top recommendation was development of a concept of operations (ConOps) for IASMS. This paper describes the high-priority recommendations from the National Academies for its IASMS vision and how they are addressed through a distributed system-of-systems architecture. The IASMS architecture is structured on the services, functions, and capabilities (SFCs) necessary for In-time System-wide Safety Assurance (ISSA)initially developed for urban air mobility (UAM). The paper then posits where these SFCs would reside across vehicles, airspace, or service suppliers such as Supplemental Data Service Providers (SDSPs), and how SFCs scale with increasing complexity in design and operations of AAM. SFCs are foundational building blocks for a system that targets an individual or family of risks using a Monitor-Assess-Mitigate risk paradigm for anomalies, precursors and trends. An IASMS could be conceived that uses a portfolio of SFCs for AAM in general or prioritizes SFCs for a specific domain or operation.

K Ellis↗

IMPACT 1.0—Task Impairment: A Novel Approach for Assessing Impairment during Exploration-Class Missions

Exploration-class and International Space Station (ISS) missions have significantly different levels of associated medical risk for crewmembers. The Integrated Medical Model (IMM), the probabilistic risk assessment tool used for ISS medical trade-space analyses, uses a Functional Impairment (FI) metric to determine quality time lost should a crewmember be afflicted with a medical condition. While IMM-based FI has been successful for ISS operations, it has limitations when applied to exploration-class missions. As the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) looks ahead to Gateway, Artemis, and Martian missions, a novel, dynamic, and mission-appropriate impairment paradigm is necessary for accurate contingency planning. This paradigm, Task Impairment (TI), fulfills that need by utilizing mission-specific tasks. TI will allow future capability for a loss of mission metric, previously not available with IMM. TI serves as a replacement metric for FI within IMPACT, the next-generation trade-space analysis tool suite created to replace the IMM. IMPACT significantly increases the fidelity of probabilistic risk assessment for exploration-class missions. The Human Exploration of Mars Preliminary List of Crew Tasks (MTL, a source of 1100+ exploration-class mission-specific tasks for crewmembers) was used to calculate TI. Using the Task List, 18 individual Human System Categories were identified as being required to perform each task (e.g., Cardiopulmonary, Cognitive, etc.). Each of the 1200+ tasks were mapped to the Human System categories listed in the Task List. The total number of tasks in each category were tallied to determine how many tasks required each Human System. Lastly, each of the 120 medical conditions from the IMPACT condition list were mapped to the Human System categories to complete the TI calculation. NASA subject matter experts across five medical specialties established consensus for the mapping of each condition. The resulting total tasks impaired by each condition were used to calculate discrete TI values. This process was repeated for each of the four severity/resource utilization variants of each condition, and for each of the three phases of clinical care. Through this process, discrete TI values were calculated for each of the 120 IMPACT medical conditions and their variants. The Task Impairment metric provides higher fidelity, dynamic utility, and quicker analysis of medical impairment compared to the previous Functional Impairment metric used for the Integrated Medical Model. TI will be used for higher fidelity medical impairment analysis and contingency planning during Lunar, Martian, and other long-term exploration-class missions.

William L Fernandez↗

Urban Air Mobility Airspace Dynamic Density

Airspace safety must be assured for Urban Air Mobility (UAM) to become reality. Emerging operations need to safely integrate with existing and future air traffic. UAM is anticipated to evolve in stages. Early stages, characterized by low-density operations, may be accommodated by traditional air traffic management approaches. However, to enable the scale of UAM operations necessary to reach ubiquitous integration into daily life, new paradigms that utilize collaborative and automated systems are being considered. Correspondingly, traditional approaches for determining a safe number of simultaneous operations in an airspace must be adapted to suit evolving traffic management paradigms. In this paper, we examine dynamic density as an approach to determine when an airspace is excessively populated, and safety may become compromised. We review previous work on dynamic density as it relates to air traffic controller workload and propose factors that may be more fitting for UAMs. Rather than considering controller workload, we propose factors that suggest increased likelihood of loss of separation and may lead to conflicts that require tactical avoidance maneuvers. In addition to monitoring dynamic density for tactical decision making, we endeavor to predict airspace dynamic density with adequate look-ahead to allow for strategic route selection.

UAM↗

The Cooling Loop A Anomaly of 2013: A Case Study in Human-Systems Resilience

Throughout the history of human spaceflight, NASA has employed an operational paradigm of 24/7 dependence on experts in Mission Control Center (MCC). In addition to nominal flight control and mission operations, these 85+ experts per shift manage anomaly detection, diagnosis, and response, and support the crew in real-time in performing maintenance and repair, procedure execution, and other complex mission operations. Future long-duration exploration missions (LDEMs) beyond low-Earth orbit (LEO) will not operate successfully using this same Human-Systems Integration Architecture (HSIA) where crew rely on ground controllers, have ready access to resupply, and have a fallback plan of evacuation. As distance from Earth increases and the communication delay grows, crews will need to respond independently and adequately to time-critical vehicle malfunctions. It will not always be sufficient or even possible to ‘safe the system’ and then wait upon ground intervention. A new and radically different HSIA is needed to accommodate the paradigm shift of deep-space travel. Historical International Space Station (ISS) data show that for a 30-day mission, the likelihood of a high-consequence vehicle anomaly of uncertain origin that requires rapid response is greater than 10%. The likelihood of such an event is 50% by the fourth month of the mission, and it grows exponentially with time. Our team has conducted in-depth investigations into these events and their corresponding anomaly resolution activities. Using MCC and Mission Evaluation Room (MER) anomaly resolution artifacts (including meeting summaries, caution and warning data, and ISS daily summaries), we created timelines detailing ground actions and in-orbit events for two significant anomalies. We then mapped these timelines onto Mars transit conditions, introducing a ground-crew communications time delay and shifting immediate response, time-critical task execution, and vehicle commanding to the crew. In detailing successful anomaly resolution in transit to Mars, the timelines highlight where effective resolution requires drastically evolved onboard capabilities. Though this research has yielded a rich data set based on ground response in past missions, there is still insufficient knowledge to assess the potential impact of inflight anomalies on a small autonomous crew on future LDEMs beyond LEO. To begin building an evidence base that will inform future HSIA standards and requirements, we are developing an approach to systematically capture crew anomaly response and procedure execution during early Artemis missions. Being the first human spaceflight beyond LEO since Apollo, early Artemis missions provide a rare and unique opportunity to serve as a testbed for Mars missions. Our work aims to capitalize on planned data collection to derive crew operational responses to anomalous events in real-time. Our team is also researching the level of simulation fidelity required for empirically validating proposed HSIA standards and evaluating HSIA implementations for LDEMs beyond LEO. This work will produce a trade space study of HSIA simulation objectives and fidelity requirements. Ultimately, these research efforts will assist in developing the standards and technologies needed to build a next-generation HSIA for LDEMs beyond LEO.

human-systems integration architecture↗

Federal Unmanned Aircraft Systems Traffic Management: Concept and Joint Evaluation with the Department of Defense

There has been growing demand for the use of small Unmanned Aircraft Systems (UAS) domestically and globally. The versatility of vehicles to support many use cases and business models with broad advances in technology has created an industry with clear growth and continued growth potential. However, an early barrier to operations at scale has been the lack of a coordinated airspace management approach. To address that barrier, NASA pioneered a revolutionary airspace management paradigm that incorporated a federated, service-based approach to enable fair, safe, and scalable operations of small UAS in the nation’s airspace. This paradigm came to be known as UAS Traffic Management (UTM) [1]. During the UTM Project, NASA worked closely with the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) and Industry to develop a system and supporting concept that incorporated the needs and perspectives of Industry and balanced them with the regulatory and operational needs of the FAA. Through development and rigorous testing, NASA evolved and strengthened the UTM concept and associated system architecture hand-in-hand with partners and stakeholders, which has gone on to take hold globally and move forward toward dedicated implementation in the US through rulemaking and standards bodies.

Abhay R. Borade↗

Automated Probabilistic Finite Element Model Calibration Tool Based on Uncertainty Quantification and Machine Learning

Qualification and certification of safety critical parts is a hurdle to the adoption of metallic additively manufactured components for aerospace vehicle applications. Challenges include variability in part properties due to inconsistent defect distribution and microstructure. Understanding of the process through finite element modeling (FEM), and process control through in-situ monitoring, may result in significant improvements; however, solutions useful to manufacturers will require large volumes of data and automated data utilization. Toward this end, a generalizable automated FEM calibration paradigm is developed. This paradigm leverages existing and novel tools from machine learning and uncertainty quantification to enable the automatic calibration of FEMs without requiring prior knowledge of the model performance across input parameter space, including meshing and solver settings, which can require time consuming manual model probing or cause noisy and inconsistent predictions. The result is a probabilistic distribution of calibrated and validated FEM input parameters targeting measured data.

Additive manufacturing model calibration finite el↗

NASA’s Deep Space Network: Automation in the Follow-the-Sun Era

The Deep Space Network (DSN) comprises three sites, located in California, Spain, and Australia; each site operates one 70m and multiple 34m antennas that provide communications and navigation services to NASA and international partners. As part of a multiyear upgrade in automation of the network, the DSN has undertaken a series of operations efficiency improvements which has fundamentally changed the operations paradigm of the network. At the start of this effort, each site operated only their local antennas and equipment 24 hours/day, 7 days/week, and each spacecraft activity (link) had a single dedicated Link Control Operator. In its final stage, realized in 2020, each one of the three sites operates the entire network during their local day shift, handing off control to the next site as their day ends, and tracks can be run in a fully automated manner with no operator intervention. This paradigm change has realized significant operations cost savings, but has posed some major challenges along the way. This paper describes the system changes that enabled the operations efficiency improvements, some the challenges, and plans for the future.

Levesque, Michael↗

Autonomous Medical Officer Support (AMOS) ISS Technology Demonstration: Enabling Earth-Independnt Procedure Guidance

Successful performance of medical procedures during missions beyond low Earth orbit requires novel solutions to replace real-time support from the ground since the communication delay will be longer as the crew travels farther from Earth. The Autonomous Medical Officer Support software Technology Demonstration project (AMOS Tech Demo) on the International Space Station (ISS) evaluates a novel software tool that shifts the emphasis from preflight training and real-time guidance (current ISS paradigm) to in-flight just-in-time (JIT) instruction (a new paradigm for crew medical autonomy). The AMOS platform introduces a novel, streamlined, skill-management archetype for exploration missions; the current AMOS version features comprehensive training and guidance modules for urinary bladder and kidney ultrasound examinations. The primary goal of the AMOS Tech Demo was to confirm telemedical proof-of-concept through initial use of the platform for autonomous imaging activities in an operational setting. Success metrics encompassed 1) successful software deployment, 2) collection of click tracking data, and 3) recording of ultrasound images. Additional aims included collecting crew feedback on a) AMOS implementation, and b) integrated training and procedure support concepts, as well as c) evaluation of AMOS use in an operational setting.

D. Ebert↗

Evaluating Sensory Augmentation as A Non-Pharmaceutical Tool to Mitigate Motion Sickness and Enhance Sensorimotor Task Performance: A Pilot Study Using Simulated Capsule Wave Motion

Wave motion during capsule recovery operations can result in motion sickness and performance decrements exacerbating reentry sickness following long duration spaceflight. The purpose of this pilot study was (1) to validate a capsule wave motion simulation as a platform to evaluate motion sickness countermeasures and (2) to evaluate a sensory augmentation belt providing vibrotactile feedback of gravitational upright. Ten healthy subjects ages 38.0 ± 10.1 (6M|4F) were exposed to complex wave motions on a six degree-of-freedom platform that included pitch, roll, and heave at provocative stimulus frequencies (0.1-0.25 Hz) while seated in an illuminated cabin deprived of external visual cues. Subjects reported acute symptoms for up to three consecutive 15 min trials or until they reached a motion sickness endpoint of 8 pts on the Pensacola Diagnostic Index (PDI). Five subjects were randomly assigned to the Sensory Augmentation (SA) group while the other five served as controls (CN group). Based on a Motion Sickness Susceptibility Questionnaire, the two groups had similar motion sickness histories (susceptibility percentile ranking of CN group = 27.5 ± 63.6 in the CN group versus 27.5 ± 37.0 in the SA group, median ± IQR). The vibrotactile feedback consisted of a single array of 8 electromechanical tactors positioned around the torso on an adjustable belt (Engineering Acoustics, Inc) that utilized an integrated inertial measurement unit (IMU) to indicate the direction of upright (e.g., subject’s back tactor on during forward tilt). During each wave motion trial subjects performed a battery of four different tasks: tracking Earth vertical using a joystick with and without a secondary task (Paced Auditory Serial Addition Test), an eye-hand target acquisition task on a cabin-fixed tablet, and the psychomotor vigilance test (PVT). All ten subjects reported varying levels of motion sickness with 6 of 10 reaching a symptom endpoint. Interestingly, subjects anecdotally reported that engagement in the joystick tracking task was less provocative than tasks involving the cabin-fixed tablet or periods of no activity. Sensory augmentation appeared to delay symptom onset, with 2 of 5 subjects reaching an endpoint within the first 15 min trial in the CN group versus none in the SA group (PDI after 15 min = 6.0 ± 2.5 in the CN group versus 3.4 ± 2.5 in the SA group, mean ±std). Sensory augmentation also improved performance on the joystick tracking task at lower stimulus frequencies (0.1 Hz in roll and 0.2 Hz in pitch). Both CN and SA groups maintained a consistent level of performance on the eye-hand target acquisition and PVT throughout the baseline (no motion) and wave motion periods. Our results validated that the simulated capsule wave motion paradigm provides an effective motion sickness stressor. This paradigm is currently being used to investigate the efficacy of intranasal scopolamine to mitigate motion sickness. Sensory augmentation using vibrotactile feedback appears to improve spatial awareness and delay symptom onset during complex passive motion. One advantage of this portable belt design is that it incorporates all tactor drive and IMU circuitry and therefore could continue to be worn by crewmembers and serve as a balance aid during egress and ambulation with recovery operations.

A M Bollinger↗

Human-Autonomy Teaming Research in Support of m:N Operations

Since 2019, the NASA and industry partners have been involved in research focused on a novel paradigm for operations of remotely piloted aircraft. This paradigm involves multiple people sharing a fleet of multiple vehicles between them. Referred to as m:N (pronounced “em-to-en”), this configuration describes a ratio where m is the number of operators and N is the number of vehicles. Through force and asset multiplication, the m:N concept seeks to enable a scalable and resilient operation of remotely crewed vehicles. The primary means of obtaining such a robust operation is through allowing a flexible crew of variable size to dynamically attend to the needs of assets in while performing real-time operator workload management. It is in that sense that assets are shared between operators: as needed (such as in events of elevated workload) an operator in an m:N context can “handoff” the responsibility for some amount of assets, nh < N, to be absorbed by the m – 1 crew members on staff. At some time later, these nh assets could be returned to their original owner or they may be further distributed to other crew if called for by the mission. During this panel, I will elaborate on the research activity undertaken by the Human-Autonomy Teaming (HAT) Laboratory at NASA Ames Research Center over the previous three years. The studies conducted by the HAT Lab range from interviews with subject matter experts, a cognitive walkthrough, a task analysis, and two simulation experiments to-date. During experimentation, pilots made use of an advanced Ground Control Station developed by the HAT Lab and industry partners to simulate m:N operations in two large, metropolitan areas of Southern California: Los Angeles and San Diego. Further experimentation planned over the next few years. Results from our research to-date indicates that pilots of a moderately sized fleet of about a dozen remotely crewed aircraft adequately maintained safety performance and situation awareness of their aircraft, even when presented with unexpected situations of heightened workload.

multi-vehicle control↗

Coordinated NASA Development of Medical Capabilities and Technologies for Deep Space Exploration

Building upon the success of the last two decades of human spaceflight medical operations onboard the International Space Station (ISS), NASA now must start to evolve to a deep space medical operations paradigm. This new paradigm will include myriad challenges including communication delays and blackouts, infrequent or unavailable resupply, potentially significant vehicle resource constraints, and delayed or non-existent evacuation options. To overcome these challenges, two separate but highly coordinated NASA groups are working together to develop and test solutions to these problems: the Exploration Medical Capability (ExMC) Element of the NASA Human Research Program and the Exploration Medical Integrated Product Team (XMIPT) of the Environmental Control and Life Support System – Crew Health and Performance Systems Capability Leadership Team. Although the work of these two groups is very complementary, ExMC generally focuses more on research and early technology development work while the XMIPT works on maturing and integrating new medical capabilities for exploration. During this panel, these two groups together will present details on how medical capability gaps are defined and addressed, a new work plan in development to increase medical autonomy in spaceflight, a technology maturation effort to generate intravenous fluids from potable water onboard a spacecraft, multiple new technology demonstrations of in-situ laboratory analysis capabilities, and new onboard tools to advance medical care for deep space missions.

Kris Lehnhardt↗

HAT m:N Activity Overview

Since 2020, researchers from the Human Autonomy Teaming (HAT) Laboratory at NASA Ames Research Center have conducted human-in-the-loop (HITL) simulation research to study a new control paradigm for operations involving multiple remotely piloted aircraft systems (RPAS). Colloquially referred to as "m:N," this paradigm is characterized by multiple operators collaboratively controlling multiple vehicles between them. The m:N name expresses a ratio whereby m is the number of operators and N is the number of vehicles shared between them. In this presentation, HAT Lab researchers provide a high-level overview of the m:N studies that have been performed to-date. These include a study of the m:N concept of operations (CONOPS) and the attending roles and responsibilities ("ConOps/R&R Sim"), a study focused on contingency management involving dynamic, inter-operator transfers of vehicles ("Handoff Sim"), and a study examining the effects of pilot-ATC communication systems on workload ("UAM Comms Sim"). A selection of key results are provided. The presentation concludes with a brief discussion of planned research into m:N operations.

m:N↗

A Decision Support System for Extravehicular Operations Under Significant Communication Latency

Within the next few decades, humanity hopes to perform extravehicular activities (EVAs) on the surface of Mars; however, several technical and operational challenges must first be overcome. Foremost among these challenges is managing a significant two-way communication latency between Earth and Mars. Current and historical paradigms of EVA operations have required near-real-time communication between the crewmember(s) performing an EVA and an Earth-based mission control. Next-generation operational paradigms for supporting deep space exploration will necessitate a distributed decision authority system, including delayed Earth-based mission control, the on-planet extravehicular crewmember(s), and intermediate mission support from intravehicular crewmember(s) within real-time communication range. This latter group is of particular interest: they must provide operations support without the plentiful resources available to mission control on Earth. For this purpose, NASA is developing the Personalized EVA Informatics and Decision Support (PersEIDS) software platform. PersEIDS is designed to bolster operator situational awareness and offload operator workload by automating the tracking and projection of consumables usage over an EVA timeline, providing real-time probabilistic safety assessments of an EVA timeline given consumables constraints, and recommending alternative EVA timeline(s) when the active timeline is not expected to be completed under consumables limits. The PersEIDS concept of operations, use cases, and models will be presented. A limited version of PersEIDS was demonstrated during a three-day-long study where each day a roughly four-hour-long simulated Martian EVA was performed in virtual reality at the NASA Johnson Space Center. The first day was a control trial without PersEIDS support; the second and third days represented different levels of decision support provided by PersEIDS to the intravehicular crewmember acting as mission control. With PersEIDS support, the IV crewmember was able to manage the mission to completion faster and with more remaining consumables; however, additional testing is required to understand confounding factors, e.g. training bias.

Mars↗

RTCA Special Committee 228 Working Group (DAA) 1

The Radio Technical Commission for Aeronautics (RTCA) is an American organization comprised of government, industry, and academic stakeholders in aviation for the purpose of providing technical guidance to regulatory authorities. In late 2022, RTCA Special Committee 228 (Minimum Performance Standards for Unmanned Aircraft Systems) decided to form a working group to study a burgeoning multi-vehicle, supervisory control paradigm colloquially known as "m:N" (vocalized as "em-to-en"). Within the m:N control paradigm, multiple aircraft (N) are collaboratively managed by a body of operators/pilots (m). This presentation describes the scope of the m:N working group and its goal of producing an Operational Service and Environment Definition (OSED) for m:N operations.

RTCA↗

Application Table: A Bridge Connecting the Designing “With-the-Material” and “the-Material”

Over the last few decades, advances in high-performance computing, new material characterization methods, and, more recently, an emphasis on integrated computational materials engineering (ICME) have been a catalyst for multiscale modeling and simulation-based design of materials and structures in the aerospace industry. In 2016 NASA sponsored a 2040 Vision study (which appeared in 2018) to define the potential 25-year future state required for integrated multiscale modeling of materials and systems (e.g., load-bearing structures) to accelerate the pace and reduce the expense of innovation in future aerospace and aeronautical systems. The study envisions a cyber-physical-social ecosystem comprised of experimentally verified and validated (V & V) computational models, tools, and techniques, along with the associated digital tapestry, that impacts the entire supply chain to enable cost-effective, rapid, and revolutionary design of “fit-for-purpose” materials, components, and systems. Consequently, the development of a robust information management system that incorporates (across the full life cycle) both experimental (real data) and virtual data resulting from the application of various simulation tools (at single or multiple length scales), therefore enabling the virtual design and optimization of materials throughout their processing – internal structure – property – performance envelope, has become critical. This need is also fueled by the demands for higher efficiency in material testing; consistency, quality, and traceability of data; product design; engineering analysis; as well as control of access to proprietary or sensitive information. This is particularly true when attempting to merge ICME practices with recent additive manufacturing technology which will enable production of the resulting 2040 Vision material and structural designs. At NASA Glenn Research Center we are exploring the future of material science through the use of novel characterization methodologies, high performance computing, and recently an emphasis on integrated computational materials engineering (ICME). Herein, recent efforts to incorporate an Application Table within NASA Glenn Research Center’s ICME Granta MI database is presented. The goal is to provide a place where material and structural application information/requirements can be linked so as to marry the “design the-material” and the “design-with-material” paradigms and thereby enable application-driven design and optimization of materials and structures by providing a central location that links material processing at various length scales to the application’s performance requirements. This paper discusses the specifics of this Application Table as well as best practices and key principles for the development of a robust materials information management system to enable the 2040 Vision integrated materials and structures ecosystem. Furthermore, it presents the intended role of the Application Table in the future of ICME design of “fit-for-purpose” materials, showing the need for a well-established framework that can successfully bridge the gap between the design “the material” and design “with-the-material” paradigms.

Materials↗

On the Origin of the Photospheric Magnetic Field

This article presents results that challenge the paradigms that (1) the convection zone is the source of the radial magnetic field in the photosphere and (2) that coronal currents are neutralized from the perspective of the photosphere. We demonstrate, using a new analysis tool applied to simulations and observations, that bare or partially dressed current channels are supported by the solar corona and that fingerprints of these coronal current systems can be detected in the photosphere. These coronal current channels can be a significant source of the radial component of the magnetic field in the photosphere. The roots of these coronal current channels in the photosphere are the source of the magnetic field component parallel to the polarity inversion line in active region NOAA 12673. These analyses and observations transform our theoretical understanding of coronal evolution and argue for a reexamination of the present paradigm in which the convection zone is the sole source of the photospheric magnetic field.

magnetic fields↗

Risk Trade-Space Analysis for Safe Human Expeditions to Mars

We assessed the integrated safety, health, and performance risk to crews on long-duration missions, specifically to Mars. Using a systems approach rather than one focused on individual countermeasures, we examined the trade space around several such risks to identify high-potential risk mitigation strategies and characterize aspects of Mars mission architectures that could lower aggregated risk. Current Mars Design Reference missions would require durations well over two years and would increase crew exposure to radiation and microgravity well beyond ISS levels, likely resulting in significantly reduced performance beyond our current capability to mitigate that could jeopardize mission success. A “fast Mars transit” round-trip mission concept was studied using an innovative flight dynamics approach to quantify the minimum total mission energy required for a Mars transit with total mission duration less than 400 days. This approach holds promise for sending humans to Mars and returning them safely with acceptable, potentially mitigatable, exposure to microgravity and radiation using current or near-term technologies. The fast transit concept would also result in fewer time-driven vehicle failures and enable sustainable deployment of humans and infrastructure to Mars on a regular cadence, allowing steady exploration and colonization of Mars. Finally, we conclude that reliance on the Low Earth Orbit (LEO) mission operations paradigm – i.e., one of near-complete real-time dependence on experts at Mission Control to manage the combined state of the mission, vehicle, and crew – is high risk given the communication delays and limited resupply of any Mars mission, and this risk is not eliminated by the shorter missions durations of fast transit scenarios. Based on historical trends, it is highly likely that the crew will face a high-consequence problem of uncertain origin during Mars transit when ground support will be greatly reduced. While it may be possible to reduce anomaly rates through improved reliability analysis and testing, and to reduce anomaly impacts through added robustness, such mitigations address only known failure modes and known uncertainties. Therefore, a radical shift in the Human-Systems Integration Architecture (HSIA) that defines the operational paradigm, systems design, and human-systems interactions is required to improve the risk posture to an acceptable level regardless of mission duration.

Mars↗