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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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NASA NTRS1983

Forestry inventory based on multistage sampling with probability proportional to size

A multistage sampling technique, with probability proportional to size, is developed for a forest volume inventory using remote sensing data. The LANDSAT data, Panchromatic aerial photographs, and field data are collected. Based on age and homogeneity, pine and eucalyptus classes are identified. Selection of tertiary sampling units is made through aerial photographs to minimize field work. The sampling errors for eucalyptus and pine ranged from 8.34 to 21.89 percent and from 7.18 to 8.60 percent, respectively.

Lee, D. C. L.↗
NASA NTRS1984

The oblique impact hypothesis and relative probabilities of lunar and Martian meteorites

The suggestion by Nyquist (1983) that shergottites and possibly other SNC (shergottites, nakhlites, and Chassigny) meteorites were launched from the Martian surface by the oblique impact of large meteoroids is further evaluated in the context of the subsequent discovery of a lunar meteorite. It is demonstrated that within calculational uncertainties and the current poorly known fall statistics of lunar and probable Martian meteorites, the oblique impact hypothesis provides a satisfactory explanation of the relative abundances of lunar, Martian, and other meteorites. It is noted that these results support the oblique-impact-on-Mars origin of SNC meteorites and satisfactorily explain the occurrence of a lunar meteorite.

Nyquist, L. E.↗
NASA NTRS1984

The non-Gaussian joint probability density function of slope and elevation for a nonlinear gravity wave field

On the basis of the mapping method developed by Huang et al. (1983), an analytic expression for the non-Gaussian joint probability density function of slope and elevation for nonlinear gravity waves is derived. Various conditional and marginal density functions are also obtained through the joint density function. The analytic results are compared with a series of carefully controlled laboratory observations, and good agreement is noted. Furthermore, the laboratory wind wave field observations indicate that the capillary or capillary-gravity waves may not be the dominant components in determining the total roughness of the wave field. Thus, the analytic results, though derived specifically for the gravity waves, may have more general applications.

Huang, N. E.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Theoretical electric quadrupole transition probabilities for Ca, Sr and Ba

The 1D-1S quadrupole transition probabilities for Ca, Sr and Ba have been computed using extended GTO and STO valence basis sets and configuration-interaction wavefunctions that include the important core-valence correlation effects. For Ba and Sr, the relativistic contraction of the core orbitals was accounted for in the GTO calculations by a relativistic effective-core potential. The computed Einstein coefficient for Ca of 39.6/s is in excellent agreement with the recent experimental value of 40 + or - 8/s. The best Einstein coefficients for Sr (44.7/s) and Ba (2.98/s) imply increasing quadrupole line strengths down the column. Relativistic effects substantially increase the quadrupole Einstein coefficient for Ba.

Bauschlicher, C. W., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Computing approximate random Delta v magnitude probability densities

This paper describes the development and use of an algorithm to compute approximate statistics of the magnitude of a single random trajectory correction maneuver (TCM) Delta v vector. The TCM Delta v vector is modeled as a three component Cartesian vector each of whose components is a random variable having a normal (Gaussian) distribution with zero mean and possibly unequal standard deviations. The algorithm uses these standard deviations as input to produce approximations to (1) the mean and standard deviation of the magnitude of Delta v, (2) points of the probability density function of the magnitude of Delta v, and (3) points of the cumulative and inverse cumulative distribution functions of Delta v. The approximates are based on Monte Carlo techniques developed in a previous paper by the author and extended here. The algorithm described is expected to be useful in both pre-flight planning and in-flight analysis of maneuver propellant requirements for space missions.

Chadwick, C.↗
NASA NTRS1984

The undetected error probability for shortened hamming codes

Hamming or shortened Hamming codes are widely used for error detection in data communications. For example, the CCITT (International Telegraph and Telephone Consultative Committee) recommendation X.25 for packet-switched data networks adopts a distance-4 cyclic Hamming code with 16 parity-check bits for error detection. The natural length of this code is n = 2(15)-1 = 32,767. In practice the length of a data packet is no more than a few thousand bits which is much shorter than the natural length of the code. Consequently, a shortened version of thecode is used. Often the length of a data packet varies, say from a few hundred bits to a few thousand bits, hence the code must be shortened by various degrees. Shortening affects the performance of the code. The error-detection performance of shortened Hamming codes, particularly the codes obtained from the distance-4 Hamming codes adopted by CCITT recommendation X.25, is investigated. A method for computing the probability of an undetected error is presented.

Costello, D. J., Jr.↗
NASA NTRS1984

Two probable optical flashes from gamma-ray bursters

Two images on archival photographic plates which are most likely records of optical flashes from gamma-ray bursters (GRBs) were examined. One of these images appears on a 1901 plate in the field of the Nov. 5, 1979 GRB, while the other is in the field of the Jan. 13, 1979 GRB on a plate exposed in 1944. The 1901 optical transient image is circular in shape, while all normal star images are trailed by 8 in. No optical transients are found in a control region which is 34.3 times larger than the GRB error regions examined. Independent limits on the optical flash rate from the sky yield a probability of less than 0.0001 that any one of the optical transients is due to a background flash. A total exposure of 2.7 years was examined for GRB flashes at known GRB locations on the Harvard plates and a total of three GRB flashes were seen, that the average recurrence time scale for optical flashes is roughly one year. The optical fluence of these optical flashes was measured. For the three currently known GRB optical flashes, the ratio of gamma-ray fluence (from a modern burst) to the optical fluence (from a archival burst) were measured to be 800, 900, and 900.

Schaefer, B. E.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Theoretical transition probabilities between the lowest 2S, 2P and 2D states of Na, K, Rb and Cs

Theoretical transition probabilities between the lowest 2S, 2P and 2D states of the alkali atoms Na through Cs have been computed using near Hartree-Fock quality Slater basis sets. The important core-valence correlation effects are incorporated explicitly by a configuration-interaction procedure. For Cs, the calculations were repeated using a Gaussian basis set so that relativistic effects could be incorporated through an effective core potential procedure. The best calculated electric quadrupole Einstein coefficients are Na(196.3/s), K(103.6/s), Rb(72.4/s) and Cs(19.7/s). Core-valence effects become increasingly important down the column, and reduce the quadrupole transition strengths to about the same degree as for the 2P-2S and 2D-2P dipole-allowed transitions. Relativistic effects increase the quadrupole moment of Cs, but less so than in Ba, presumably because the alkali 2D states are more diffuse.

Langhoff, S. R.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Cosmological density fluctuations and large-scale structure From N-point correlation functions to the probability distribution

Knowledge of N-point correlation functions for all N allows one to invert and obtain the probability distribution of mass fluctuations in a fixed volume. The hierarchical sequence of higher order is applied to correlations with dimensionless amplitudes suggested by the BBGKY equations. The resulting distribution is significantly non-Gaussian, even for quite small mean square fluctuations. The qualitative and to some degree quantitative results are to a large degree independent of the exact sequence of amplitudes. An ensemble of such models compared with N-body simulations fails in detail to account for the low-density frequency distribution.

Fry, J. N.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Bounds and approximations for rapid evaluation of coherent MPSK error probabilities

The error probability for MPSK detection is expressed here as a sum of a familiar upper-bound approximation and a correction term which is well suited for numerical integration. An asymptotic expansion of the correction term is derived, from which simple and extremely tight upper and lower bounds are obtained. Relative errors in using these bounds and approximations of them are graphed for cases of practical interest.

Chie, C. M.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Estimate of the probability of a lightning strike to the Galileo probe

Lightning strikes to aerospace vehicles occur mainly in or near clouds. As the Galileo entry probe will pass most of its operational life in the clouds of Jupiter, which is known to have lightning activity, the present study is concerned with the risk of a lightning strike to the probe. A strike to the probe could cause physical damage to the structure and/or damage to the electronic equipment aboard the probe. It is thought to be possible, for instance, that the instrument failures which occurred on all four Pioneer Venus entry probes at an altitude of 12 km were due to an external electric discharge. The probability of a lightning strike to the Galileo probe is evaluated. It is found that the estimate of a strike to the probe is only 0.001, which is about the same as the expected failure rate due to other design factors. In the case of entry probes to cloud-covered planets, a consideration of measures for protecting the vehicle and its payload from lightning appears to be appropriate.

Borucki, W. J.↗
NASA NTRS1985

On the undetected error probability for shortened Hamming codes

Shortened Hamming codes are widely used for error detection in data communications. In this paper, a method for computing the probability of an undetected error for these codes is presented. This method is then used to evaluate the error-detection performance of the shortened codes obtained from the two distance-four Hamming codes adopted by CCITT X.25 for error control for packet-switched networks. It is shown that shortening a code does affect its error-detection performance.

Fujiwara, T.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Transition probabilities of the B-prime 1Sigma(u)(+) to X 1Sigma(g)(+) system of molecular hydrogen

From published potential energy curves and transition dipole moments, there are obtained by numerical integration of the equations of nuclear motion the vibrational eigenfunctions of the X 1Sigma(g)(+) and B-prime 1Sigma(u)(+) states of H2. The probabilities of radiative transitions from the discrete vibrational levels of the excited B-prime 1Sigma(u)(+) electronic state of H2 to the discrete and continuum vibrational levels of the ground X 1Sigma(g)(+) electronic state are calculated. The Franck-Condon factors are also presented.

Kwok, T. L.↗
NASA NTRS1985

On the probability density function of the squared envelope of a sum of random phase vectors

Weber et al. (1980) have found that a generic problem arises in the study of multiuser FHMA/MFSK systems. According to this problem, the presence of the other channel users acts as interference to reception of the desired user's transmission. The present investigation is concerned with a recursive solution in which the recursion parameter is the number of vectors in the sum. A mathematical characterization of such a solution is presented, taking into account the simple two-vector case in which a well-known closed form result is possible. Some numerical results are also discussed. It is pointed out that the considered recursive solution provides a break in the bottleneck associated with the exact computation of the error probability performance of multiuser FHMA/MFSK systems and single access MFSK systems corrupted by multitone jamming.

Simon, M. K.↗
NASA NTRS1986

An Expert-System Engine With Operative Probabilities

Program enables proof-of-concepts tests of expert systems under development. AESOP is rule-based inference engine for expert system, which makes decisions about particular situation given user-supplied hypotheses, rules, and answers to questions drawn from rules. If knowledge base containing hypotheses and rules governing environment is available to AESOP, almost any situation within that environment resolved by answering questions asked by AESOP. Questions answered with YES, NO, MAYBE, DON'T KNOW, DON'T CARE, or with probability factor ranging from 0 to 10. AESOP written in Franz LISP for interactive execution.

Orlando, N. E.↗
NASA NTRS1986

Five-Parameter Bivariate Probability Distribution

NASA technical memorandum presents four papers about five-parameter bivariate gamma class of probability distributions. With some overlap of subject matter, papers address different aspects of theories of these distributions and use in forming statistical models of such phenomena as wind gusts. Provides acceptable results for defining constraints in problems designing aircraft and spacecraft to withstand large wind-gust loads.

Tubbs, J.↗
NASA NTRS1985

Probability of detection of internal voids in structural ceramics using microfocus radiography

The reliability of microfocus x-radiography for detecting subsurface voids in structural ceramic test specimens was statistically evaluated. The microfocus system was operated in the projection mode using low X-ray photon energies (20 keV) and a 10 micro m focal spot. The statistics were developed for implanted subsurface voids in green and sintered silicon carbide and silicon nitride test specimens. These statistics were compared with previously-obtained statistics for implanted surface voids in similar specimens. Problems associated with void implantation are discussed. Statistical results are given as probability-of-detection curves at a 95 percent confidence level for voids ranging in size from 20 to 528 micro m in diameter.

Baaklini, G. Y.↗