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DOE OSTI2025

Powering the Woods Hole X-Spar Buoy with Ocean Wave Energy—A Control Co-Design Feasibility Study

Despite its success in measuring air–sea exchange, the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution’s (WHOI) X-Spar Buoy faces operational limitations due to energy constraints, motivating the integration of an energy harvesting apparatus to improve its deployment duration and capabilities. This work explores the feasibility of an augmented, self-powered system in two parts. Part 1 presents the collaborative design between X-Spar developers and wave energy researchers translating user needs into specific functional requirements. Based on requirements like desired power levels, deployability, survivability, and minimal interference with environmental data collection, unsuitable concepts are pre-eliminated from further feasibility study consideration. In part 2, we focus on one of the promising concepts: an internal rigid body wave energy converter. We apply control co-design methods to consider commercial of the shelf hardware components in the dynamic models and investigate the concept’s power conversion capabilities using linear 2-port wave-to-wire models with concurrently optimized control algorithms that are distinct for every considered hardware configuration. During this feasibility study we utilize two different control algorithms, the numerically optimal (but acausal) benchmark and the optimized damping feedback. We assess the sensitivity of average power to variations in drive-train friction, a parameter with high uncertainty, and analyze stroke limitations to ensure operational constraints are met. Our results indicate that a well-designed power take-off (PTO) system could significantly extend the WEC-Spar’s mission by providing additional electrical power without compromising data quality.

autonomous systems↗

NASA NTRS2001

Identification of Communication and Coordination Issues in the US Air Traffic Control System

Today's air traffic control system is approaching the point of saturation, as evidenced by increasing delays across the National Airspace System (NAS). There exists an opportunity to enhance NAS efficiency and reduce delays by improving strategic communication throughout the ATC system. Although several measures have been taken to improve communication (e.g., Collaborative Decision Making tools), communication issues between ATC facilities remain. It is hypothesized that by identifying the key issues plaguing inter-facility strategic communication, steps can be taken to enhance these communications, and therefore ATC system efficiency. In this report, a series of site visits were performed at Boston and New York ATC facilities as well as at the Air Traffic Control System Command Center. The results from these site visits were used to determine the current communication and coordination structure of Traffic Management Coordinators, who hold a pivotal role in inter-facility communications. Several themes emerged from the study, including: ambiguity of organizational structure in the current ATC system, awkward coordination between ATC facilities, information flow issues, organizational culture issues, and negotiation behaviors used to cope with organizational culture issues.

Davison, Hayley J.↗

NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Center for Isotope Cosmochemistry and Geochronology at NASA Johnson Space Center

Ten years in the making the Center for Isotope Cosmochemistry and Geochronology (CICG) at NASA Johnson Space Center is designed to be a cooperative analytical facility where novel techniques are developed and performed. Our team works collaboratively to operate this integrated lab suite comprising sample preparation, metal-free clean chemistry, and mass spectrometers to measure a wide variety of elements and isotopes in astromaterials. Contamination control is enacted throughout by a positive pressure cascade of HEPA filtered air, weekly surface cleaning and particle counting. Astromaterials processing is performed with application-specific mortar and pestles, heavy liquid separation, a Frantz magnetic separator, as well as hand-picking using optical microscopes in laminar flow boxes. Microsampling is also carried out using a New Wave MicroMill. Elements for isotopic analysis are isolated from acid-digested samples using ion-exchange chromatography. Cross-contamination is minimized with dedicated laminar flow boxes and labware for different purification protocols. Instrumentation includes a ThermoFisher Element XR inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometer (ICP-MS) for quantification of elemental concentrations in dissolved sample solutions. For in situ analysis, a Teledyne Photon Machines Analyte Excite+ laser ablation system is coupled to the Element XR. The ThermoFisher Triton thermal ionization mass spectrometer (TIMS) is used to measure the isotopic composition of elements such as CA, K, Cr, Rb, Sr, Sm, Nd at high precision in processed samples. For a more diverse range of isotopic analyses, CICG houses a Nu Sapphire 1700 multi-collector inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometer (MC-ICP-MS), which is a large geometry instrument with a multi-pole collision cell for interference removal. An Applied Spectra Instruments J200 femto-second laser is planned for install this Fall and will be coupled to the Nu Sapphire 1700. NASA’s Internal Scientist Funding Model (ISFM)supports this facility. Advanced analytical geochemistry techniques are applied to targeted astromaterials to address important problems in planetary sciences, with a longer-term goal of preparing for samples collected and returned by space missions. CICG is open to collaborations on projects that utilize the facility’s unique capabilities and are within its research scope. We are particularly eager to support and share expertise with the next generation of planetary scientists.

Justin I Simon↗

DOE OSTI2024

Methods of Securing Chemical and Pharmaceutical Knowledge and Recommendations for International Institutions to Enhance Research Integrity

Here, this paper examines strategies for securing chemical and pharmaceutical expertise in a globalized research environment, focusing on safeguarding intellectual property and preventing the misuse of sensitive and potentially dual-use information. The product of collective efforts between Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Carol Davila University of Medicine and Pharmacy, and New Bulgarian University, highlights the challenges and opportunities posed by cross-border research collaborations, particularly in the context of differing regulatory frameworks and research cultures. It explores current mechanisms to prevent data loss and unauthorized access to sensitive information while assessing the effectiveness of existing security measures, frameworks, and international export control regimes. The approach examines the differing methodologies for promoting transparency, trust-building, and mutual accountability in joint research projects to cultivate secure data-sharing practices and intellectual property. It provides recommendations for international institutions to implement security guidelines in framing research priorities, encourages continual training and education programs, and the integration of processes for monitoring research compliance. This partnership aims to advance scientific innovation while maintaining global stability, ensuring compliance with international norms, and safeguarding valuable intellectual property as measures in chemical and pharmaceutical research security practices continue to expand due to international collaboration and knowledge exchange.

37 INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL, AND ANALYTICAL CH↗

DOE OSTI2021

Collaboration on SBIR/TTO Phase II Project for Optical QC Device and Collaboration on SBIR/TTO Phase II-b Project for Advanced Quality Inspection Device Development: Cooperative Research and Development CRADA Number CRD-16-00652 (Final Report)

The overall goal of this program is to develop and commercialize a turnkey quality control solution for the entire PEM fuel cell manufacturing process including membrane, gas diffusion layers, catalyst, and assembled systems. This quality control solution is unique to each customer’s specific needs but includes a suite of in-line quality control systems for roll-to-roll manufacturing that can target thin, transparent membrane as well as opaque membrane, catalyst, and GDLs. The Phase II developed the CPNUVV system for thin, transparent membrane that operates using polarized filters to enhance defect resolution and determine thickness. However, PEM material manufacturers want a complete, turnkey solution for all components of the PEM fuel cell. In the Phase IIB, Mainstream will partner with NREL, and transition reflectance technology NREL developed (US Patent 9,234,843) to operate in real-time on a web-line to develop a total solution to PEM quality control. The device will identify and mark defects as well as monitor materials thickness in real-time to improve line efficiency and to reduce waste. The research performed at NREL under this CRADA increases the basis of knowledge about optical inspection methods, how they perform with regards to fuel cell component materials, and how they can be implemented in in-line, real-time configurations to provide quality inspection for roll-to-roll (R2R) manufacturing. Methods explored were found to be sensitive to catalyst loading in electrodes on both membrane and gas diffusion media substrates and to membrane thickness, across a broad range of thickness. The latter capability is novel and now patented and provides a previously unstudied and undemonstrated capability for R2R manufacturing of membranes.

30 DIRECT ENERGY CONVERSION↗

DOE OSTI2019

Toward the implementation of self-powered, wireless, real-time reactor power sensing

The successful development of real-time, self-powered, wireless reactor power sensing technology would enable key operating parameters of every fuel assembly in a commercial reactor core to be continuously monitored, and potentially be utilized for applications such as closed-loop reactor control. This paper discusses the expansion of successful work on the application of Self Powered Neutron Detectors (SPND) for reactor power monitoring and the wireless transmission of these detector signals using advanced vacuum micro-electronic (VME) transmitter technology developed by Westinghouse in collaboration with the Penn State University Radiation Science and Engineering Center. Results demonstrate that this technology may be successfully applied via long-term testing in the Penn State TRIGA reactor. SPND are inherently slower than, for example, ion chambers due to their dependence on radioactive decay to generate a signal. Additional research developed delay compensation algorithms to accelerate the response of these detectors for use in near-real-time closed-loop reactor control. Initial results indicate that practical signal acceleration can be obtained digitally or with an equivalent analog circuit. Future research will apply an inverse model of the sensor’s balance differential equations to more-effectively accelerate the SPND signal. Use of inverse models will also prove to be adaptive in the sense that time-dependent burn-up of these detectors, due to neutron activation of the detector material, can be modeled and applied in the acceleration algorithm.

46 INSTRUMENTATION RELATED TO NUCLEAR SCIENCE AND ↗

DOE OSTI2019

A Cooperative Multi-Agent Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for Real-Time Residential Load Scheduling

Internet-of-Things (IoT) enabled monitoring and control capabilities are enabling increasing numbers of household users with controllable loads to actively participate in smart grid energy management. Realizing an efficient real-time energy management system that takes advantage of these developments requires novel techniques for managing the increased complexity of the control action space in resolving multiple challenges such as the uncertainty in energy prices and renewable energy output along with the need to satisy physical grid constraints such as transformer capacity. Addressing these challenges, we develop a multi-household energy management framework for residential units connected to the same transformer and containing DERs such as PV, ESS and controllable loads. The goal of our framework is to schedule controllable household appliances and ESS such that the cost of procuring electricity from the utility over a horizon is minimized while physical grid constraints are satisfied at each scheduling step. Traditional energy management frameworks either perform global optimization to satisfy grid constraints but suffer from high computational complexity (for example Integer Program, Mixed Integer Programming frameworks and centralized reinforcement learning) or perform decentralized real-time energy management without satisfying global grid constraints (for example multi-agent reinforcement learning with no cooperation). In contrast, we propose a cooperative multiagent reinforcement learning (MARL) framework that i) operates in real-time, and ii) performs explicit collaboration to satisfy global grid constraints. The novelty in our framework is two fold. Firstly, our framework trains multiple independent learners (IL) for each household in parallel using historical data and performs real-time inferencing of control actions using the most recent system state. Secondly, our framework contains a low complexity knapsack based cooperation agent which combines the outputs of ILs to minimize cost while satisfying grid constraints. Simulation results show that our cooperative MARL approach achieves significant cost improvement over centralized reinforcement learning and day-ahead planning baselines. Moreover, our approach strictly satisfies physical constraints with no apriori knowledge of system dynamics while the baseline approaches have occasional violations. We also measure the training and inference time by ranging the number of households from 1 to 25. Results show that our cooperative MARL approach scales best among various approaches.

14 SOLAR ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2019

Production of Particle Reference and Quality Control Materials

Maintaining the superior performance of new analytical instrumentation and pushing the boundaries of ever-smaller particle analysis by methods such as secondary ion mass spectrometry (SIMS) has become limited by the availability of certified particle standards for calibration, quality control, and validation. To meet this growing demand for a reliable and universal approach to the generation of uranium particle reference material, the Pacific Northwest National Laboratory (PNNL) and Savannah River National Laboratory (SRNL) are collaborating on a joint venture that establishes a number of chemical pathways to the fabrication, purification, and stabilization of uranium particle material to within a fixed particle size range, and well-characterized isotopics. PNNL particle standards are designed and tailored to meet the criteria essential to the calibration and benchmarking of instruments used in both the non-destructive and destructive assay of particulate material, typically collected from environmental swipe sampling. Previous testing and optimization of this colloidal approach to particulate material has centred on tight size distributions, singular composition and density, uniform morphology, and tailored isotopic abundances. Extensive validation of this material has since been performed, both at the National Institute of Standards and Technology (NIST) and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), demonstrating its suitability for quality control needs of large geometry (LG)-SIMS analysis. Building on this momentum, the production of low-enriched uranium particle reference material, with specially tailored isotopics, has moved from development to full operation. Herein, various aspects of the production cycle will be discussed, including detailed accounts of the technical methodologies being employed, as well as insights into the sample characterization and acceptance testing requirements.

Nuclear Safeguards, Particle Standards, IAEA↗

DOE OSTI2022

PowerNet: Multi-agent Deep Reinforcement Learning for Scalable Powergrid Control

This paper develops an efficient multi-agent deep reinforcement learning algorithm for cooperative controls in powergrids. Specifically, we consider the decentralized inverter-based secondary voltage control problem in distributed generators (DGs), which is first formulated as a cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning (MARL) problem. We then propose a novel on-policy MARL algorithm, PowerNet, in which each agent (DG) learns a control policy based on (sub-)global reward but local states and encoded communication messages from its neighbors. Motivated by the fact that a local control from one agent has limited impact on agents distant from it, we exploit a novel spatial discount factor to reduce the effect from remote agents, to expedite the training process and improve scalability. Furthermore, a differentiable, learning-based communication protocol is employed to foster the collaborations among neighboring agents. In addition, to mitigate the effects of system uncertainty and random noise introduced during on-policy learning, we utilize an action smoothing factor to stabilize the policy execution. To facilitate training and evaluation, we develop PGSim, an efficient, high-fidelity powergrid simulation platform. Here, experimental results in two microgrid setups show that the developed PowerNet outperforms the conventional model-based control method, as well as several state-of-the-art MARL algorithms. The decentralized learning scheme and high sample efficiency also make it viable to large-scale power grids.

24 POWER TRANSMISSION AND DISTRIBUTION↗

DOE OSTI2025

Physics-Informed Graph Neural Networks for Collaborative Dynamic Reconfiguration and Voltage Regulation in Unbalanced Distribution Systems

Network reconfiguration has long been employed as a strategic approach to minimize power distribution system losses and effectively regulate voltage levels. Tap-changing voltage regulators are also critical for controlling bus voltages, especially in accommodating the increasing integration of distributed energy resources (DERs) with intermittent outputs. This paper introduces novel methodologies to address the challenges of dynamic reconfiguration and optimal tap setting in unbalanced three-phase distribution systems. We propose an approximated mixed-integer quadratically constrained program (MIQCP) to model dynamic reconfiguration, along with a pioneering formulation for voltage regulator (VR) tap-setting based on Special Ordered Set type 1 (SOS1). To mitigate computational complexity, we propose a physics-informed spatial-temporal graph convolutional network (STGCN) with an integrated link classifier. The proposed approach enables efficient solution generation by fixing specific variables in the MIQCP instance and solving the simplified sub-MIP using an MIP solver. Numerical studies demonstrate the superior prediction accuracy of our STGCN model compared to baseline neural network models, resulting in reduced DER curtailment and voltage deviation with shorter computation time.

dynamic reconfiguration↗

DOE OSTI2022

NSAID use and clinical outcomes in COVID-19 patients: a 38-center retrospective cohort study

Abstract Background Non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs) are commonly used to reduce pain, fever, and inflammation but have been associated with complications in community-acquired pneumonia. Observations shortly after the start of the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 suggested that ibuprofen was associated with an increased risk of adverse events in COVID-19 patients, but subsequent observational studies failed to demonstrate increased risk and in one case showed reduced risk associated with NSAID use. Methods A 38-center retrospective cohort study was performed that leveraged the harmonized, high-granularity electronic health record data of the National COVID Cohort Collaborative. A propensity-matched cohort of 19,746 COVID-19 inpatients was constructed by matching cases (treated with NSAIDs at the time of admission) and 19,746 controls (not treated) from 857,061 patients with COVID-19 available for analysis. The primary outcome of interest was COVID-19 severity in hospitalized patients, which was classified as: moderate, severe, or mortality/hospice. Secondary outcomes were acute kidney injury (AKI), extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO), invasive ventilation, and all-cause mortality at any time following COVID-19 diagnosis. Results Logistic regression showed that NSAID use was not associated with increased COVID-19 severity (OR: 0.57 95% CI: 0.53–0.61). Analysis of secondary outcomes using logistic regression showed that NSAID use was not associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (OR 0.51 95% CI: 0.47–0.56), invasive ventilation (OR: 0.59 95% CI: 0.55–0.64), AKI (OR: 0.67 95% CI: 0.63–0.72), or ECMO (OR: 0.51 95% CI: 0.36–0.7). In contrast, the odds ratios indicate reduced risk of these outcomes, but our quantitative bias analysis showed E-values of between 1.9 and 3.3 for these associations, indicating that comparatively weak or moderate confounder associations could explain away the observed associations. Conclusions Study interpretation is limited by the observational design. Recording of NSAID use may have been incomplete. Our study demonstrates that NSAID use is not associated with increased COVID-19 severity, all-cause mortality, invasive ventilation, AKI, or ECMO in COVID-19 inpatients. A conservative interpretation in light of the quantitative bias analysis is that there is no evidence that NSAID use is associated with risk of increased severity or the other measured outcomes. Our results confirm and extend analogous findings in previous observational studies using a large cohort of patients drawn from 38 centers in a nationally representative multicenter database.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2022

Textile Carbon Fiber Packaging and NCF Production

This Technical Collaboration Project focused on packaging large tow (≥ 10 grams/meter) textile carbon fibers, for which currently there is no suitable method. Prior to this project, Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL) used a crude packaging approach to deliver (approximately) 100-meter packages for evaluation by intermediates producers, composites fabricators and other collaborators. That packaging approach was simply a hoop wrap on a standard 75 mm (3 inch) cardboard tube, with paper interleaved between layers and little or no tension control during spooling. While this approach was very effective for initial fiber development and sample fiber and small composite sample evaluation, these packages were inadequate for larger-scale demonstrations and more extensive applications development. The paper-interleaved packages were inconsistent, wasteful, and too small for commercial utilization; they were designed as a quick and simple means to package material for delivery into prototyping operations and were never expected to satisfy industrial requirements for commercial production. This project aimed to develop a commercially relevant approach for packaging large tow textile carbon fibers for robust delivery into downstream commercial intermediates and composites production operations. The development of robust packaging equipment that delivers packages meeting industrial requirements is essential to commercial implementation. In this project, the team identified packaging requirements, created a design, and prototyped a new packaging concept at ORNL’s Carbon Fiber Technology Facility (CFTF) and resulting packages were tested in production of non-crimp fabric (NCF).

42 ENGINEERING↗

NASA NTRS2001

Non-Deterministic, Non-Traditional Methods (NDNTM)

The review effort identified research opportunities related to the use of nondeterministic, nontraditional methods to support aerospace design. The scope of the study was restricted to structural design rather than other areas such as control system design. Thus, the observations and conclusions are limited by that scope. The review identified a number of key results. The results include the potential for NASA/AF collaboration in the area of a design environment for advanced space access vehicles. The following key points set the context and delineate the key results. The Principal Investigator's (PI's) context for this study derived from participation as a Panel Member in the Air Force Scientific Advisory Board (AF/SAB) Summer Study Panel on 'Whither Hypersonics?' A key message from the Summer Study effort was a perceived need for a national program for a space access vehicle whose operating characteristics of cost, availability, deployability, and reliability most closely match the NASA 3rd Generation Reusable Launch Vehicle (RLV). The Panel urged the AF to make a significant joint commitment to such a program just as soon as the AF defined specific requirements for space access consistent with the AF Aerospace Vision 2020. The review brought home a concurrent need for a national vehicle design environment. Engineering design system technology is at a time point from which a revolution as significant as that brought about by the finite element method is possible, this one focusing on information integration on a scale that far surpasses current design environments. The study therefore fully supported the concept, if not some of the details of the Intelligent Synthesis Environment (ISE). It became abundantly clear during this study that the government (AF, NASA) and industry are not moving in the same direction in this regard, in fact each is moving in its own direction. NASA/ISE is not yet in an effective leadership position in this regard. However, NASA does have complementary software interoperability efforts that should be a part of any major ISE program. Software standards that assure interoperability of data systems and modeling representations are enabling for the proposed research advocated herein and should be a major element in the ISE initiative. The international standard for data interchange is known by the acronym 'STEP.' The NASA participation and lead for that effort is at the Goddard Space Flight Center. NASA/GRC is leading an effort to define CAD geometry standards through the Object Management Group (OMG). To enable the design environment so necessary to the above national vision for a unique space vehicle will require an integrating software environment with interoperability standards that allow the development and widespread deployment of tools and toolsets, rather than traditional "shrink-wrapped" software used by engineers today.

Cruse, Thomas A.↗

NASA NTRS2001

The Bermuda Bio-Optics Program (BBOP)

The Bermuda Bio-Optics Project (BBOP) is a collaborative effort between the Institute for Computational Earth System Science (ICESS) at the University of California at Santa Barbara (UCSB) and the Bermuda Biological Station for Research (BBSR). This research program is designed to characterize light availability and utilization in the Sargasso Sea, and to provide an optical link by which biogeochemical observations may be used to evaluate bio-optical models for pigment concentration, primary production, and sinking particle fluxes from satellite-based ocean color sensors. The BBOP time-series was initiated in 1992, and is carried out in conjunction with the US JGOFS Bermuda Atlantic Time-series Study (BATS) at the Bermuda Biological Station for Research. The BATS program itself has been observing biogeochemical processes (primary productivity, particle flux at and elemental cycles) in the mesotrophic waters of the Sargasso Sea since 1988. Closely affiliated with BBOP and BATS is a separate NASA-funded study of the spatial variability of biogeochemical processes in the Sargasso Sea using high-resolution Advanced Very High Resolution Radiometer (AVHRR) and Sea-Viewing Wide Field-of-view Sensor (SeaWiFS) data collected at Bermuda. The collaboration between BATS and BBOP measurements has resulted in a unique data set that addresses not only the SIMBIOS goals but also the broader issues of important factors controlling the carbon cycle.

Siegel, David A.↗

NASA NTRS2003

The Bermuda BioOptics Project (BBOP) Years 9-11

The Bermuda BioOptics Project (BBOP) is a collaborative effort between the Institute for Computational Earth System Science (ICESS) at the University of California at Santa Barbara (UCSB) and the Bermuda Biological Station for Research (BBSR). This research program is designed to characterize light availability and utilization in the Sargasso Sea, and to provide an optical link by which biogeochemical observations may be used to evaluate bio-optical models for pigment concentration, primary production, and sinking particle fluxes from satellite-based ocean color sensors. The BBOP time-series was initiated in 1992, and is carried out in conjunction with the U.S. JGOFS Bermuda Atlantic Time-series Study (BATS) at the Bermuda Biological Station for Research. The BATS program itself has been observing biogeochemical processes (primary productivity, particle flux and elemental cycles) in the mesotrophic waters of the Sargasso Sea since 1988. Closely affiliated with BBOP and BATS is a separate NASA-funded study of the spatial variability of biogeochemical processes in the Sargasso Sea using high-resolution AVHRR and SeaWiFS data collected at Bermuda. The collaboration between BATS and BBOP measurements has resulted in a unique data set that addresses not only the SIMBIOS goals but also the broader issues of important factors controlling the carbon cycle. This final report addresses specific research activities, research results, and lists of presentations and papers submitted for publication.

Nelson, Norm↗

NASA NTRS2003

Bermuda Bio Optics Project

The Bermuda BioOptics Project (BBOP) is a collaborative effort between the Institute for Computational Earth System Science (ICESS) at the University of California at Santa Barbara (UCSB) and the Bermuda Biological Station for Research (BBSR). This research program is designed to characterize light availability and utilization in the Sargasso Sea, and to provide an optical link by which biogeochemical observations may be used to evaluate bio-optical models for pigment concentration, primary production, and sinking particle fluxes from satellite-based ocean color sensors. The BBOP time-series was initiated in 1992, and is carried out in conjunction with the U.S. JGOFS Bermuda Atlantic Time-series Study (BATS) at the Bermuda Biological Station for Research. The BATS program itself has been observing biogeochemical processes (primary productivity, particle flux and elemental cycles) in the mesotrophic waters of the Sargasso Sea since 1988. Closely affiliated with BBOP and BATS is a separate NASA-funded study of the spatial variability of biogeochemical processes in the Sargasso Sea using high-resolution AVHRR and SeaWiFS data collected at Bermuda (N. Nelson, P.I.). The collaboration between BATS and BBOP measurements has resulted in a unique data set that addresses not only the SIMBIOS goals but also the broader issues of important factors controlling the carbon cycle.

Nelson, Norm↗

NASA NTRS2004

The Bermuda BioOptics Project (BBOP) Years 9-11

Maritorena, S.↗

NASA NTRS1999

Flight Test Results: CTAS Cruise/Descent Trajectory Prediction Accuracy for En route ATC Advisories

The Center/TRACON Automation System (CTAS), under development at NASA Ames Research Center, is designed to assist controllers with the management and control of air traffic transitioning to/from congested airspace. This paper focuses on the transition from the en route environment, to high-density terminal airspace, under a time-based arrival-metering constraint. Two flight tests were conducted at the Denver Air Route Traffic Control Center (ARTCC) to study trajectory-prediction accuracy, the key to accurate Decision Support Tool advisories such as conflict detection/resolution and fuel-efficient metering conformance. In collaboration with NASA Langley Research Center, these test were part of an overall effort to research systems and procedures for the integration of CTAS and flight management systems (FMS). The Langley Transport Systems Research Vehicle Boeing 737 airplane flew a combined total of 58 cruise-arrival trajectory runs while following CTAS clearance advisories. Actual trajectories of the airplane were compared to CTAS and FMS predictions to measure trajectory-prediction accuracy and identify the primary sources of error for both. The research airplane was used to evaluate several levels of cockpit automation ranging from conventional avionics to a performance-based vertical navigation (VNAV) FMS. Trajectory prediction accuracy was analyzed with respect to both ARTCC radar tracking and GPS-based aircraft measurements. This paper presents detailed results describing the trajectory accuracy and error sources. Although differences were found in both accuracy and error sources, CTAS accuracy was comparable to the FMS in terms of both meter-fix arrival-time performance (in support of metering) and 4D-trajectory prediction (key to conflict prediction). Overall arrival time errors (mean plus standard deviation) were measured to be approximately 24 seconds during the first flight test (23 runs) and 15 seconds during the second flight test (25 runs). The major source of error during these tests was found to be the predicted winds aloft used by CTAS. Position and velocity estimates of the airplane provided to CTAS by the ATC Host radar tracker were found to be a relatively insignificant error source for the trajectory conditions evaluated. Airplane performance modeling errors within CTAS were found to not significantly affect arrival time errors when the constrained descent procedures were used. The most significant effect related to the flight guidance was observed to be the cross-track and turn-overshoot errors associated with conventional VOR guidance. Lateral navigation (LNAV) guidance significantly reduced both the cross-track and turn-overshoot error. Pilot procedures and VNAV guidance were found to significantly reduce the vertical profile errors associated with atmospheric and aircraft performance model errors.

Green, S.↗