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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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NASA NTRS2021

Pyrolysis Rate and Yield Strength Reduction Incarbon Fiber and Glass Fiber Composites Underreentry Heating Conditions

The behavior of composite materials, specifically carbon fiber reinforced plastic (CFRP) and glass fiber reinforced plastic (GFRP), under reentry conditions poses a problem for space debris reentry risk modeling. Since these materials pyrolyze rather than melt and their different components demise at different rates, modeling their destruction to determine ground impact risk is complex. Modern spacecraft are using these materials in ever-greater quantities owing to their superior strength-to-weight characteristics, and this has required that the orbital debris community improve its understanding of how these materials demise on reentry. The NASA Orbital Debris Program Office undertook an extensive test campaign to better understand the rate at which several types of GFRP and CFRP materials pyrolyze under reentry heating conditions and how that pyrolysis affects the ultimate strength of the material. GFRP with a polyester resin (G10/FR-4) and CFRP with epoxy, cyanate ester, vinyl ester, and phenolic resins were tested. The test campaign was carried out at the Inductively Coupled Plasma (ICP) Torch Facility at the University of Texas at Austin. Because the ICP facility operates in a shirt-sleeve environment, test samples can be changed within seconds or minutes, allowing many samples to be tested in a short period. Two heat flux rates, 20 W/m2 and 30W/m2, and two oxygen concentration conditions, 0% and 2% of atmospheric, were applied to all five types of material. To measure both the char rate and the effect of pyrolysis on the ultimate material strength, two types of test were carried out for each material: a char rate test on a ~10 mm thick sample of material and an in-situ bending stress test of a ~2 mm thick sample of material. Measurements of the char rate showed very similar average pyrolysis front velocity in epoxy resin CFRP as in G10 at 3.6 mm/min and 3.4 mm/min, respectively. However, the total mass loss rate in theG10 was nearly double that of the CFRP at 3.8 g/min and 2.2 g/min, respectively. This result represented a slow ablation rate of carbon fibers in the CFRP at the temperatures encountered in low Earth orbit reentry and a comparatively rapid removal of the glass fibers in G10 due to melting and spallation. Pyrolysis front velocity was more significantly affected by the type of plastic than the type of fiber, with the cyanate ester CFRP samples displaying an average pyrolysis front velocity of only 1.9 mm/min. Similarly, the effect of thermal exposure on the ultimate strength of the material depended heavily on the type of plastic and very little on the type of fiber in the material. Epoxy, vinyl ester, and polyester resins all behaved very similarly, with complete structural failure at between 400 J/g and 600 J/g of specific absorbed heat. Phenolic and cyanate ester resins, on the other hand, displayed a change in structural properties that was only barely measurable with the current apparatus even after the maximum exposure time tested. These data are being incorporated into a numerical model of the ablation and demise of composite materials that will be used to more accurately calculate the ground casualty risk of future spacecraft.

Benton R. Greene↗
NASA NTRS2020

Hawai'i Water Resources: Utilizing NASA Earth Observations to Assess Ocean Conditions Leading to the Spread of the Nuisance Red Algae (Chondria tumulosa) in Papahānaumokuākea Marine National Monument, Hawai’i

Chondria tumulosa, a newly discovered red alga, was observed in low abundance in 2016 but has since proliferated and is now smothering and decimating vast expanse of coral reefs in Manawai, located in Papahānaumokuākea Marine National Monument (PMNM). If the spread persists, the outbreak of this cryptogenic species could potentially cause region-wide ecosystem degradation. In coordination with the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, Marine National Monuments of the Pacific and the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Office of National Marine Sanctuaries’ Papahānaumokuākea Marine National Monument, this project created a tool to analyze oceanographic conditions (sea surface temperature (SST), chlorophyll-a, water velocity, salinity, turbidity) across the Monument that could potentially be driving the algal spread. The Google Earth Engine tool enabled the partners to visualize oceanographic conditions and gather time-series graphs utilizing Aqua and Terra Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), Suomi National Polar-orbiting Partnership (NPP) Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite (VIIRS), Sentinel-3 Ocean and Land Colour Instrument (OLCI), Hybrid Coordinate Ocean Model (HYCOM) and NOAA's Climate Data Record in a user-friendly interface. The team used in situ SST data from subsurface temperature recorders provided by the partners to validate the tool's accuracy. Preliminary statistical analysis of MODIS data found warming trends in SST in Manawai as well as increased chlorophyll-a levels during the summer months in contrast to the control (non-infected) Lalo atoll. The tool did not aim to classify algal presence due to limited availability of higher resolution satellite imagery but instead enabled PMNM managers to monitor conditions that may be conducive to algal growth around the monument to make informed decisions and mitigation practices.

DEVELOP Project Summary↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Isokinetic Probe Total Water Content Measurements in the NASA Icing Research Tunnel with Supercooled Large Drop Conditions

An Isokinetic Total Water Content Evaporator (IKP2) was used to measure liquid water content (LWC) in the NASA Icing Research Tunnel (IRT) with spray conditions that ranged in LWC and cloud drop size spectra as characterized by the median volumetric diameter (MVD). The IKP2 measurements were made as part of an international collaborative effort to investigate the measurement of supercooled large drop (SLD) conditions in several icing wind tunnels. This report focuses on the IKP2 and background water vapor (BWV) measurements made within the NASA IRT during the October 2017 test entry. The IKP2 TWC results are compared to the IRT LWC calibration values for a range of LWC and MVD values. The IRT LWC calibration is based on measurements from a multi-element hot-wire probe. In general, the IKP2 TWC values were approximately 9% greater than the IRT LWC calibration values over a range of LWC from 0.4 g/m3 to 3.0 g/m3. The ratio of IKP2 TWC to IRT LWC calibration ranged from approximately 0.9 to 1.27 over a range of MVD from 15µm to 460 µm. Comparisons of this data set to IKP2 data from a 2014 IRT test entry show similar results in the regions where overlaps occurred. The results support the theory and observations of water mass loss from hot-wire TWC sensors when subjected to large MVD conditions.

Icing cloud instruments↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Isokinetic Probe Total Water Content Measurements in the NASA Icing Research Tunnel with Supercooled Large Drop Conditions

An Isokinetic Total Water Content Evaporator (IKP2) was used to measure liquid water content (LWC) in the NASA Icing Research Tunnel (IRT) with spray conditions that ranged in LWC and cloud drop size spectra as characterized by the median volumetric diameter (MVD). The IKP2 measurements were made as part of an international collaborative effort to investigate the measurement of supercooled large drop (SLD) conditions in several icing wind tunnels. This report focuses on the IKP2 and background water vapor (BWV) measurements made within the NASA IRT during the October 2017 test entry. The IKP2 TWC results are compared to the IRT LWC calibration values for a range of LWC and MVD values. The IRT LWC calibration is based on measurements from a multi-element hot-wire probe. In general, the IKP2 TWC values were approximately 9% greater than the IRT LWC calibration values over a range of LWC from 0.4 g/m3 to 3.0 g/m3. The ratio of IKP2 TWC to IRT LWC calibration ranged from approximately 0.9 to 1.27 over a range of MVD from 15m to 460 m. Comparisons of this data set to IKP2 data from a 2014 IRT test entry show similar results in the regions where overlaps occurred. The results support the theory and observations of water mass loss from hot-wire TWC sensors when subjected to large MVD conditions.

o Aircraft Icing↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

A Preliminary Study of Inter-Facility LWC Differences in Appendix C and Supercooled Large Drop Conditions due to Calibration Instruments

The simulation of clouds containing Supercooled Large Droplets has received increasing attention due to the introduction of Appendix O and future associated requirements for means of compliance. Supercooled Large Droplet conditions can cover four orders of magnitude in drop sizes, imposing a larger instrument measurement challenge than for Appendix C conditions. Wind tunnel facilities have adopted different instrumentation for liquid water content measurement, with fundamentally different principles of operation. In order to explore the comparability of the different instruments used for Appendix C and SLD measurement, and its impact on confidence in measurements used for means of compliance, a project was established to conduct a series of dedicated tests at three wind tunnel facilities. To date, liquid water content measurements have been completed using a Multi-Element sensor as the common instrument at two of the facilities. The data have provided preliminary information suggesting that substantial inter-facility differences likely exist in liquid water content estimates in Supercooled Large Droplet conditions that appear to be largely attributable to the choice of calibration instruments. These results are dependent on the assumption that the Multi-Element probe would produce equivalent measurements at the two facilities if the liquid water content were the same, regardless of other environmental differences that may exist between the two facilities. Planned further testing with other liquid water content measurement techniques may provide further information to confirm or refute the results of this study.

aircraft icing↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Test Results for the SEA Ice Crystal Detector (ICD) under SLD Conditions at the NASA IRT

The Science Engineering Associates hot-wire Ice Crystal Detector was tested under Appendix C and Supercooled Large Drop Conditions at the NASA Icing Research Tunnel, with the purpose of comparing the measurements to the tunnel LWC calibration, and to test the performance of the mixed-phase retrievals of the probe. The liquid water content measured by the total water content sensor of the probe agreed well with the tunnel calibration over a wide range of MVDs, not unexpectedly since the tunnel was calibrated with a similar Multiwire hot-wire probe. A scale factor difference of about 7% was attributed to the lack of an efficiency correction for the Ice Crystal Detector at smaller median volume diameters, and typical sample area uncertainties of liquid water content devices. In addition, the simultaneous equations that are used to retrieve liquid and ice water contents were tested under liquid and glaciated conditions. Using constant ice and water efficiencies for each wire, the equations were found to produce a large and false ice water content retrieval in large median volume diameter liquid cases. By applying a liquid efficiency to the liquid water content sensor that varied with median volume diameter, retrievals were improved such that false ice water content was less than ±10% of the total water content out to the 460 μm median volume diameter limit of the testing. The probe was also tested in glaciated conditions by freezing out a small median volume diameter spray. Using constant ice efficiencies for the two sensors provided from aircraft measurements, the retrieved ice water content was about 40% higher than expected for the case presented, likely due to the ice efficiencies that were used from aircraft measurements of natural clouds being too low for the tunnel’s glaciated sprays. Application of ice efficiencies that vary with particle size and potentially other parameters will be explored for future improvement of retrievals.

Air Craft Icing↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

A Preliminary Study of Inter-Facility LWC Differences in Appendix C and Supercooled Large Droplet Conditions due to Calibration Instruments

The simulation of clouds containing Supercooled Large Droplets has received increasing attention due to the introduction of Appendix O and future associated requirements for means of compliance. Supercooled Large Droplet conditions can cover four orders of magnitude in drop sizes, imposing a larger instrument measurement challenge than for Appendix C conditions. Wind tunnel facilities have adopted different instrumentation for liquid water content measurement, with fundamentally different principles of operation. In order to explore the comparability of the different instruments used for Appendix C and SLD measurement, and its impact on confidence in measurements used for means of compliance, a project was established to conduct a series of dedicated tests at three wind tunnel facilities. To date, liquid water content measurements have been completed using a Multi-Element sensor as the common instrument at two of the facilities. The data have provided preliminary information suggesting that substantial inter-facility differences likely exist in liquid water content estimates in Supercooled Large Droplet conditions that appear to be largely attributable to the choice of calibration instruments. These results are dependent on the assumption that the Multi-Element probe would produce equivalent measurements at the two facilities if the liquid water content were the same, regardless of other environmental differences that may exist between the two facilities. Planned further testing with other liquid water content measurement techniques may provide further information to confirm or refute the results of this study.

aircraft icing↗
NASA NTRS2021

Isokinetic Probe Total Water Content Measurements in the NASA Icing Research Tunnel with Supercooled Large Drop Conditions

An Isokinetic Total Water Content Evaporator (IKP2) was used to measure liquid water content (LWC) in the NASA Icing Research Tunnel (IRT) with spray conditions that ranged in LWC and cloud drop size spectra as characterized by the median volumetric diameter (MVD). The IKP2 measurements were made as part of an international collaborative effort to investigate the measurement of supercooled large drop (SLD) conditions in several icing wind tunnels. This report focuses on the IKP2 and background water vapor (BWV) measurements made within the NASA IRT during the October 2017 test entry. The IKP2 TWC results are compared to the IRT LWC calibration values for a range of LWC and MVD values. The IRT LWC calibration is based on measurements from a multi-element hot-wire probe. In general, the IKP2 TWC values were approximately 9% greater than the IRT LWC calibration values over a range of LWC from 0.4 g/m3 to 3.0 g/m3. The ratio of IKP2 TWC to IRT LWC calibration ranged from approximately 0.9 to 1.27 over a range of MVD from 15um to 460 um. Comparisons of this data set to IKP2 data from a 2014 IRT test entry show similar results in the regions where overlaps occurred. The results support the theory and observations of water mass loss from hot-wire TWC sensors when subjected to large MVD conditions.

o Aircraft Icing↗
NASA NTRS2021

Test Results for the SEA Ice Crystal Detector (ICD) under SLD Conditions at the NASA IRT

The Science Engineering Associates hot-wire Ice Crystal Detector was tested under Appendix C and Supercooled Large Drop Conditions at the NASA Icing Research Tunnel, with the purpose of comparing the measurements to the tunnel LWC calibration, and to test the performance of the mixed-phase retrievals of the probe. The liquid water content measured by the total water content sensor of the probe agreed well with the tunnel calibration over a wide range of MVDs, not unexpectedly since the tunnel was calibrated with a similar Multiwire hot-wire probe. A scale factor difference of about 7% was attributed to the lack of an efficiency correction for the Ice Crystal Detector at smaller median volume diameters, and typical sample area uncertainties of liquid water content devices. In addition, the simultaneous equations that are used to retrieve liquid and ice water contents were tested under liquid and glaciated conditions. Using constant ice and water efficiencies for each wire, the equations were found to produce a large and false ice water content retrieval in large median volume diameter liquid cases. By applying a liquid efficiency to the liquid water content sensor that varied with median volume diameter, retrievals were improved such that false ice water content was less than ±10% of the total water content out to the 460 μm median volume diameter limit of the testing. The probe was also tested in glaciated conditions by freezing out a small median volume diameter spray. Using constant ice efficiencies for the two sensors provided from aircraft measurements, the retrieved ice water content was about 40% higher than expected for the case presented, likely due to the ice efficiencies that were used from aircraft measurements of natural clouds being too low for the tunnel’s glaciated sprays. Application of ice efficiencies that vary with particle size and potentially other parameters will be explored for future improvement of retrievals.

o Aircraft Icing↗
NASA NTRS2021

Hydrologic Baseline Conditions and Projected Trends for Kennedy Space Center and the Cape Canaveral Barrier Island Complex

The purpose of this document is the creation of a comprehensive collection of data, information and knowledge on the eco-hydrologic setting, and current and predicted (2030 -2080) hydrologic conditions that will directly and indirectly influence the Kennedy Space Center (KSC) industrial and ecological system. Focus is on identification of existing data sources (web based, published, in-house) and identification of future possible needs. The document will aid in assessment of risks to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) and stakeholder missions associated with changing local, regional and global conditions. This living document will allow for rapid updates as new data and improved spatial data (LiDAR elevations, land use, land cover, runoff coefficients, etc.) are accumulated by the Environmental Management Branch (EMB), stakeholders, and supporting staff from the NASA Environmental and Medical Contract (NEMCON) currently managed by Herndon Solutions Group LLC. (HSG).The report summarizes and visualizes hydrologic conditions supporting long-term trends monitoring, management and regulatory compliance needs, climate risk mitigation, and achievement of KSC and stakeholder’s sustainability goals. Future utility may extend to implementation actions of the KSC future development plan, KSC updates to future KSC Environmental Resource Documents (ERD), and the regional multi-agency Indian River Lagoon Health Initiative.

Carlton Hall↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Trace Element Partitioning in the Presence of Sulfur Under Reduced Conditions

Oxygen fugacity (fO2) plays an important role in thephysicochemical properties of that system because fO2 has asubstantial impact on the partitioning behavior between andsolubility of elements in various phases. The reduced nature ofMercury and the aubrite parent bodies (APB) have raised manyquestions regarding the geochemical behavior of typicallylithophile, heat-producing, and rare-earth elements (REE) inmagmas at low fO2. In fact, interpretations of magmaticprocesses on reduced rocky bodies are difficult at presentbecause of the small number of experimental studies relevant tothe extremely low fO2 and high sulfur content of Mercury andthe APB, and our only natural analogs are the highly reducedenstatite chondrites and aubrites [e.g., 1]. Preliminaryobservations suggest that major and minor elements exhibitdifferent geochemical affinities in highly reduced, S-richsystems compared to terrestrial rocks. The partitioning behavior of major, minor, and traceelements between silicate melt, sulfide melt, and metal underhighly reduced conditions will be determined in a suite of super-liquidus experiments at a range of pressures (1 bar to 4 GPa) atNASA Johnson Space Center (JSC). Based on previous studies,heat-producing elements U and Th become more chalcophile,while K becomes less chalcophile, with more reducingconditions [2]. The nominally lithophile elements Mg and Cabecoming more chalcophile and appear as minor elements in(Fe,Mg,Ca)-S with more reducing conditions [3]. Additionally, itappears that nominally siderophile elements become moresiderophile and chalcophile with more reducing conditions,although the partitioning behavior into Mg- and Ca-bearingsulfide melts, rather than FeS, is less understood. Current workis focused on investigating elements for which we currently haveMESSENGER data as well as a host of geochemically relevanttrace elements such as REE.

Brendan A Anzures↗
NASA NTRS2023

Equivalent Area Targets for Inverse Design Optimization With Changing Low-Boom Cruise Conditions

This paper provides theoretical and numerical justifications for inverse design optimization of reversed equivalent area (A e,r ) of low-boom supersonic aircraft when the cruise condition changes during the optimization iterations. A modified linear theory for steady flow around a supersonic projectile is used to establish the accuracy of A e,r -based body-of-revolution approximation of a low-boom supersonic aircraft for undertrack sonic boom analysis using computational fluid dynamics off-body pressure. As a result, designing a low-boom shape of the off-body pressure at three body lengths below the aircraft is equivalent to designing a low-boom A e,r shape. A Bezier curve with eight control points is used to define an A e,r target for inverse design optimization of A e,r of a supersonic aircraft. To make an A e,r target matchable by a low-boom supersonic aircraft, the A e,r target must have the minimal perceived level of decibels (PLdB) for sonic boom and satisfy two constraints defined by the cruise condition, effective length, and two nondimensional parameters. Numerical results are used to verify that, for different cruise conditions, all optimized A e,r targets with PLdB below 70 can be approximately generated by scaling one of them if the targets have the same nondimensional parameters and approximately the same effective length.

multidisciplinary optimization↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Application of Regolith Polymer Composite FFF Construction in Simulated Lunar Conditions

NASA’s Artemis program has the lofty goal of creating a sustained lunar presence to provide unprecedented opportunities for scientific discovery and to ensure American industry’s access to the unlimited resources and commercial potential in space. To achieve this goal, NASA must incrementally develop and expand its capabilities beyond the short lunar stays of the Apollo program to a robust continued presence with infrastructure and equipment to reduce mission risk by providing safer and more reliable access to the surface, its resources, and protection from the environment. Kennedy Space Center’s Swamp Works Granular Mechanics and Regolith Operations laboratory has partnered with AI SpaceFactory to develop the architectural and structural design of a robotically constructable unpressurized shelter. The shelter, called Lina is designed to protect astronauts and surface assets from radiation, meteoroid impact, moon quakes and thermal gradients. A Fused Filament Fabrication (FFF) construction process using regolith polymer composites was developed. The construction system and associated print parameters are discussed along with the environmental simulation equipment and a summary of test conditions. Test samples were printed in simulated lunar dirty thermal vacuum conditions (~-180 C, ~10-3 torr) and subjected to a series of tests. The resulting strength properties are summarized here, the full details of the material characteristics are provided in a related paper. Lina’s structural design criteria and the resulting initial structure design are detailed in two related papers, this paper presents an update to Lina’s design based on the achieved material strength properties. Finally, a scaled down version of the updated Lina was built on a regolith simulant surface using a novel anchoring technique in simulated lunar vacuum conditions.

lunar infrastructure↗
NASA NTRS2023

Numerical Investigation of Occupant Injury Risks During A Realistic Transport Aircraft Crash Conditions

Researchers at the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Langley Research Center (LaRC) have conducted a full-scale crash test of a Fokker F28 MK1000 aircraft to investigate the performance of transport aircraft under realistic crash conditions. This crash test was computationally recreated using finite element (FE) human body models (HBMs) to further explore potential injury risks to occupants and analyze the utilization of HBMs in the aerospace crash environment. The Global Human Body Model Consortium (GHBMC) male 50th percentile occupant detailed model (v6.0) and the Toyota Human Model for Safety (THUMS) male 50th percentile occupant model (v6.1) were selected to be used in the crash simulations. The HBMs were simulated in conditions matching those of anthropomorphic test device (ATD) experiments included within the aircraft cabin during the crash test. Seven occupant locations within the cabin were simulated utilizing each of the models. The models were positioned in a neutral upright posture with hands resting on the legs and the feet contacting the floor. Head, brain, neck, and lumbar vertebra injury metrics were calculated for all trials. Both HBM models required minor modifications to stabilize these simulations. The GHBMC model required added erosion for six parts while the THUMS model only required one in order to complete the full simulation. The THUMS model, however, required a much smaller timestep for stability and therefore took significantly more computational time. In addition the GHBMC model includes integrated instrumentation while the THUMS model requires development and implementation of instrumentation. Both models predicted 100% injury risk for lumbar vertebra fracture in all test conditions. This prediction was in family with high lumbar load values measured by the ATDs during the crash test. The THUMS model consistently predicted lower injury risks than the GHBMC model in all three other metrics varying depending on the crash pulse. Overall, the THUMS model required less modifications to allow for this study. However, the GHBMC models significantly faster run time and integrated instrumentation make it a more intuitive model for this research.

Crashworthiness↗
NASA NTRS2023

Mshpy23: A User-Friendly, Parameterized Model of Magnetosheath Conditions

Lunar Environment heliospheric X-ray Imager (LEXI) and Solar wind – Magnetosphere - Ionosphere Link Explorer (SMILE) will observe magnetosheath and its boundary motion in soft X-rays for understanding magnetopause reconnection modes under varioussolar wind conditions after their respective launches in 2024 and 2025. Magnetosheath conditions, namely, plasma density, velocity, and temperature, are key parameters for predicting and analyzing soft X-ray images from the LEXI and SMILE missions. We developed a user-friendly model of magnetosheath that parameterizes number density, velocity, temperature, and magnetic field by utilizing the global Magnetohydrodynamics (MHD) model as well as the pre-existing gas-dynamic and analytic models. Using this parameterized magnetosheath model, scientists can easily reconstruct expected soft X-ray images and utilize them for analysis of observed images of LEXI and SMILE without simulating the complicated global magnetosphere models. First, we created an MHD based magnetosheath model by running a total of 14 OpenGGCM global MHD simulations under 7 solar wind densities (1, 5, 10, 15, 20, 25, and 30cm−3) and 2 interplanetary magnetic field BZ components (± 4nT), and then parameterizing the results in new magnetosheath conditions. We compared the magnetosheath model result with THEMIS statistical data and it showed good agreement with a weighted Pearson correlation coefficient greater than 0.77, especially for plasma density and plasma velocity. Second, we compiled a suite of magnetosheath models incorporating previous magnetosheath models (gas-dynamic, analytic), and did two case studies to test the performance. The MHD based model was comparable to or better than the previous models while providing self consistency among the magnetosheath parameters. Third, we constructed a tool to calculate a soft X-ray image from any given vantage point, which can support the planning and data analysis of the aforementioned LEXI and SMILE missions. A release of the code has been uploaded to a Github repository.

Magnetosheath↗
NASA NTRS2024

Northern Brazil Agriculture: Measuring Soybean Yields in Northern Brazil During El Niño-Southern Oscillation Conditions to Evaluate Trends in Agricultural Production and Support Crop Forecasting, 1984 – 2023

As one of the largest agricultural exporters in the world, Brazil’s crop productivity is highly influential to the world’s food supply. Crop productivity across Brazil is heavily influenced by climatic factors, such as the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which drives spatially heterogenous effects on growing conditions. To understand the relationship between ENSO conditions and staple crop productivity, the team used 1984 – 2023 climatic data and vegetation indices for four Brazilian states: Bahia, Mato Grosso, Pará, and Tocantins. The team focused on soybean growing areas in each state derived from annual land use/land cover classifications. Monthly mean Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) per state were calculated using multispectral imagery from the Landsat 5 Thematic Mapper (TM), Landsat 7 Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+), and Landsat 8 Operational Land Imagery (OLI) sensors. In addition, the team used crop production indices, ENSO anomalies, temperature, and precipitation data in this study. The team found that although monthly ENSO anomaly did have a positive relationship between temperature and a slight negative relationship with precipitation, ENSO and monthly soy NDVI were not significantly correlated. Results find no association between ENSO conditions and NDVI in the study area at the state level spatial resolution during the study period. Furthermore, the team found that there was no correlation between cumulative growing season soy NDVI and detrended soy production yield for this study region at the spatial and temporal scale of the analysis. Findings from this project will be used by the United States Department of Agriculture’s Foreign Agriculture Service to inform crop productivity forecasting.

remote sensing↗
NASA NTRS2024

Vermont Wildland Fires: Investigating the Role of Antecedent Conditions and Recent Environmental Trends in Exacerbating Fire Risk and Potential in Vermont

Under a changing climate, increases in dry conditions and extreme heat events are projected to exacerbate wildfire risk in the northeastern U.S. In recent years, Vermont has observed higher annual temperatures, more frequent heatwaves, increased annual precipitation, extreme flood events, and decreased snowfall. The mechanisms through which environmental factors contribute to increased fire risk in humid environments, such as Vermont, are poorly understood. The team partnered with the National Weather Service, the Vermont Division of Forests, and the University of Vermont to investigate phenological trends and antecedent conditions influencing wildland fire risk. For the phenological analysis, from 2001 to 2023, vegetation data, phenological dates, and snow water equivalent (SWE) values were accessed from Landsat 5Thematic Mapper (TM), Landsat 7Enhanced Thematic Mapper Plus (ETM+), Landsat 8Operational Land Imager (OLI), Landsat 9OLI-2, the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS), and the Snow Data Assimilation System (SNODAS), respectively. For the antecedent condition analysis, from 2008 to 2023, soil moisture, Environmental Stress Index, wind speed, minimum relative humidity, and daily precipitation data were obtained from the Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS), SERVIR, gridMET Wind, gridMET Humidity, and NClimGrid, respectively. The study found that green-up dates over the study period remain relatively stable, while snowmelt dates appear increasingly variable. Minimum relative humidity was the most significant environmental variable correlated with wildfire risk in Vermont. Results from this study will inform the National Weather Service's preparation of fire forecasts before prescribed burns and support community outreach by the Vermont Agency of Natural Resources.

Wildland Fire↗
NASA NTRSDate not supplied

Evaluating the Efficacy of Conditional Variational Autoencoders in Generating Synthetic Single Nuclei RNA-Seq Data for Space Biology Research

Astronauts are subject to unique stressors during spaceflight, leading to changes in their cellular function. However, neither astronauts nor model organisms respond the same to spaceflight, and research implicates a contribution of omics components in differential responses. Understanding how gene expression affects astronaut health is critical for the success of long-term space missions, prompting interest in developing personalized predictive models leveraging artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) techniques. Developing such models requires extensive data, which is challenging to obtain and share. This study explores the use of conditional variational autoencoders (CVAEs) to synthetically generate single-nuclei RNA-seq (snRNA-seq) data. CVAEs build on standard variational autoencoders (VAEs) by conditioning data generation on covariates like sample identity and mission parameters, enhancing the relevance of generated data for specific contexts. For our work, we built two CVAEs with varying degrees of sparsity to optimize both interpretability and generative power. We train and validate models on existing snRNA-seq data collected from the brain tissue of mice subjected to spaceflight conditions and their ground control counterparts. We evaluate model performance using statistical tests and visualizations to compare synthetic data to real data. We aim to demonstrate that these prototype CVAE architectures could be used in future space biology work and that this is a method worth further exploring.

Sarah Golts↗