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Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

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All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2022

Deep Active Learning for Solvability Prediction in Power Systems

Traditional methods for solvability region analysis can only have inner approximations with inconclusive conservatism and handle limited types of power flow models. In this letter, we propose a deep active learning framework for solvability prediction in power systems. Compared with passive learning where the training is performed after all instances are labeled, active learning selects most informative instances to be labeled and therefore significantly reduces the size of the labeled dataset for training. In the active learning framework, the acquisition functions, which correspond to different sampling strategies, are defined in terms of the on-the-fly posterior probability from the classifier. First, the IEEE 39-bus system is employed to validate the proposed framework, where a two-dimensional case is illustrated to visualize the effectiveness of the sampling method followed by the high-dimensional numerical experiments. Then, the Northeast Power Coordinating Council (NPCC) 140-bus system is used to validate the performance on large-scale power systems.

42 ENGINEERING↗
NASA NTRS2024

Lessons Learned in Designing A Proposed Ultraviolet Sterilization System for Space

This paper presents a number of lessons learned while designing a proposed sterilization system for Mars Sample Return. This sterilization system is needed to inactivate any potentially hazardous Mars material on the exterior surface of the vessel containing sealed sample tubes filled with Mars rock cores, regolith and atmosphere. These returned samples would provide information on the geologic history of Mars, the evolution of its climate and the potential for ancient life. Mars Sample Return is categorized at Planetary Protection Category V Restricted Earth Return, so it is required to protect the Earth–Moon system from the biological impact of returning samples from Mars to Earth. This article reviews lessons learned in the development of a particular engineering implementation to support the protection of the Earth–Moon biosphere: the use of in situ ultraviolet LED illumination. The details of the biological efficacy of this approach or the policy-related impacts are outside of the scope of this manuscript. The lessons learned presented here include establishing design requirements for the system, the selection of a light source, optical design options, contamination control and approaches to thermal and power management.

Planetary Protection↗
DOE OSTI2025

Space‐Time Causal Discovery in Earth System Science: A Local Stencil Learning Approach

Causal discovery tools enable scientists to infer meaningful relationships from observational data, spurring advances in fields as diverse as biology, economics, and climate science. Despite these successes, the application of causal discovery to space-time systems remains immensely challenging due to the high-dimensional nature of the data. For example, in climate sciences, modern observational temperature records over the past few decades regularly measure thousands of locations around the globe. To address these challenges, we introduce Causal Space-Time Stencil Learning (CaStLe), a novel meta-algorithm for discovering causal structures in complex space-time systems. CaStLe leverages regularities in local space-time dependencies to learn governing global dynamics. This local perspective eliminates spurious confounding and drastically reduces sample complexity, making space-time causal discovery practical and effective. For causal discovery, CaStLe flexibly accepts any appropriately adapted time series causal discovery algorithm to recover local causal structures. These advances enable causal discovery of geophysical phenomena that were previously unapproachable, including non-periodic, transient phenomena such as volcanic eruption plumes. Regularities in local space-time dependencies are transformed into informative spatial replicates, which actually improve CaStLe's performance when applied to ever-larger spatial grids. We successfully apply CaStLe to discover the atmospheric dynamics governing the climate response to the 1991 Mount Pinatubo volcanic eruption. We provide validation experiments to demonstrate the effectiveness of CaStLe over existing causal-discovery frameworks on a range of geophysics-inspired benchmarks while identifying the method's limitations and domains where its assumptions may not hold.

Nichol, J. Jake [Univ. of New Mexico, Albuquerque,↗
DOE OSTI2022

Validation and parameterization of a novel physics-constrained neural dynamics model applied to turbulent fluid flow

We report, in fluid physics, data-driven models to enhance or accelerate time to solution are becoming increasingly popular for many application domains, such as alternatives to turbulence closures, system surrogates, or for new physics discovery. In the context of reduced order models of high-dimensional time-dependent fluid systems, machine learning methods grant the benefit of automated learning from data, but the burden of a model lies on its reduced-order representation of both the fluid state and physical dynamics. In this work, we build a physics-constrained, data-driven reduced order model for Navier–Stokes equations to approximate spatiotemporal fluid dynamics in the canonical case of isotropic turbulence in a triply periodic box. The model design choices mimic numerical and physical constraints by, for example, implicitly enforcing the incompressibility constraint and utilizing continuous neural ordinary differential equations for tracking the evolution of the governing differential equation. We demonstrate this technique on a three-dimensional, moderate Reynolds number turbulent fluid flow. In assessing the statistical quality and characteristics of the machine-learned model through rigorous diagnostic tests, we find that our model is capable of reconstructing the dynamics of the flow over large integral timescales, favoring accuracy at the larger length scales. More significantly, comprehensive diagnostics suggest that physically interpretable model parameters, corresponding to the representations of the fluid state and dynamics, have attributable and quantifiable impact on the quality of the model predictions and computational complexity.

71 CLASSICAL AND QUANTUM MECHANICS, GENERAL PHYSIC↗
DOE OSTI2022

Introduction to the special section on learning and security for multi-agent systems

This report features six articles that provide an overview of the emerging research topics at the intersection learning, security, and multi-agent systems. Recent years have witnessed a surge in the number of works at their intersections, and they have appeared in system and control communities as well as many other communities in artificial intelligence, cyber–physical systems, and economics. The articles in this special section give accessible and comprehensive tutorials and surveys for a broad systems and control audience, covering topics including adversarial machine learning, multi-agent reinforcement learning, cyber resilience, resilient control systems, and game design. It is hopeful that this special section will spawn future interest and cross-disciplinary collaborations in this emerging transdisciplinary research area.

97 MATHEMATICS AND COMPUTING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Predictability and feedbacks of the ocean-soil-plant-atmosphere water cycle: deep learning water conductance in Earth System Model

This white paper responds to Focal Area 2. We seek to build predictive models of leaf and surface conductance of water by implementing deep learning (DL) data assimilation techniques. These new models would then be implemented in existing Land Surface Models (LSMs) and Earth System models (ESMs), generating novel water cycle feedbacks. In doing so, we would improve predictability of expected changes in land precipitation, soil moisture, and vegetation dynamics in the long-term, and the role of land cover on the impacts and feedbacks of extreme weather events in the short-term

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗
DOE OSTI2024

Bayesian stability and force modeling for uncertain machining processes

Accurately simulating machining operations requires knowledge of the cutting force model and system frequency response. However, this data is collected using specialized instruments in an ex-situ manner. Bayesian statistical methods instead learn the system parameters using cutting test data, but to date, these approaches have only considered milling stability. This paper presents a physics-based Bayesian framework which incorporates both spindle power and milling stability. Initial probabilistic descriptions of the system parameters are propagated through a set of physics functions to form probabilistic predictions about the milling process. The system parameters are then updated using automatically selected cutting tests to reduce parameter uncertainty and identify more productive cutting conditions, where spindle power measurements are used to learn the cutting force model. The framework is demonstrated through both numerical and experimental case studies. Results show that the approach accurately identifies both the system natural frequency and cutting force model.

42 ENGINEERING↗
DOE OSTI2021

Cyber State Awareness For Resilience

Characterization of cyber-physical attacks requires a holistic understanding of cyber and physical behavior in a system. Machine Learning Anomaly Detection provides a compelling solution for continuously identifying suspicious behavior within these complex systems. In our software, we present an approach for holistic characterization of cyber-physical systems based on cyber and physical anomaly correlation. The approach consists of three main components: 1) an architecture for real-time data acquisition, management, and analysis of both cyber and physical data; 2) cyber and physical data driven anomaly detection systems (ADSs), 3) a metric that combines cyber and physical ADSs to provide a holistic characterization of the system..

Rieger, CraigG.↗
NASA NTRS2021

Social Bias in AI and its Implications

Previous studies have documented many different types of biases that exist in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning (ML) systems. We reviewed the literature on AI and ML bias with a focus on social implications and found that bias in AI and ML can potentially have harmful social impacts on individuals and/or groups of people. By affecting people differently according to characteristics such as race, gender, or sexual orientation, AI and ML systems may lead to harm by exacerbating social inequities. We recount examples of issues that have occurred in systems that use technology that might be used at NASA and elsewhere so that similar issues might be identified and mitigated in future systems. We also provide interested parties with a gateway into existing work on social bias in AI and ML systems.

artificial intelligence (AI)↗
NASA NTRS2011

Clonal Selection Based Artificial Immune System for Generalized Pattern Recognition

The last two decades has seen a rapid increase in the application of AIS (Artificial Immune Systems) modeled after the human immune system to a wide range of areas including network intrusion detection, job shop scheduling, classification, pattern recognition, and robot control. JPL (Jet Propulsion Laboratory) has developed an integrated pattern recognition/classification system called AISLE (Artificial Immune System for Learning and Exploration) based on biologically inspired models of B-cell dynamics in the immune system. When used for unsupervised or supervised classification, the method scales linearly with the number of dimensions, has performance that is relatively independent of the total size of the dataset, and has been shown to perform as well as traditional clustering methods. When used for pattern recognition, the method efficiently isolates the appropriate matches in the data set. The paper presents the underlying structure of AISLE and the results from a number of experimental studies.

pattern recognition↗
DOE OSTI2023

Sensor Anomaly Detection for Nuclear Reactor Systems Utilizing Linear Regression and K-Means Unsupervised Machine Learning

Nuclear reactors and related systems are becoming increasingly complex due to advancing technologies in next-generation power reactors. This increased complexity necessitates enhanced automation and data management capabilities. To successfully realize autonomous systems, methods must be developed to handle vast volumes of data and effectively distinguish anomalous data from noise and expected data. While impressive models utilizing digital twins and similar approaches are under development, here we propose a simplified model for analyzing fundamental methods and techniques. Initially, we created a general dataset by using initial data from PCTRAN in order to represent ideal steady-state conditions. We then inserted anomalies based on prevalent sensor anomaly types (e.g., point anomalies, linear drift, and downward deviations), along with unusual anomalies such as exponential drift and upward deviations. To detect anomalies, we developed a program that employs data partitioning and linear regression to preprocess and filter the anomalous data. A K-Means machine learning (ML) method was then applied to separate and count the data within the anomalous partition. The results from all datasets—apart from exponential growth—demonstrated positive outcomes, with each returning multiple instances of greaterthan-95% accuracy. We conducted further investigations using Idaho National Laboratory’s RAVEN software to perform a sensitivity analysis on the input variables (R 2 Tolerance, Slope Tolerance, and Window Size) and found that the output variables (Accuracy and Time) were most sensitive to the Window Size. Despite the promising results published, further development is required to effectively apply these methods to nuclear systems. Nevertheless, the strengths of this approach are evident and hold promise for future applications in the field.

21 SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLANTS↗
NASA NTRS1986

An expert system prototype for aiding in the development of software functional requirements for NASA Goddard's command management system: A case study and lessons learned

At NASA Goddard, the role of the command management system (CMS) is to transform general requests for spacecraft opeerations into detailed operational plans to be uplinked to the spacecraft. The CMS is part of the NASA Data System which entails the downlink of science and engineering data from NASA near-earth satellites to the user, and the uplink of command and control data to the spacecraft. Presently, it takes one to three years, with meetings once or twice a week, to determine functional requirements for CMS software design. As an alternative approach to the present technique of developing CMS software functional requirements, an expert system prototype was developed to aid in this function. Specifically, the knowledge base was formulated through interactions with domain experts, and was then linked to an existing expert system application generator called 'Knowledge Engineering System (Version 1.3).' Knowledge base development focused on four major steps: (1) develop the problem-oriented attribute hierachy; (2) determine the knowledge management approach; (3) encode the knowledge base; and (4) validate, test, certify, and evaluate the knowledge base and the expert system prototype as a whole. Backcasting was accomplished for validating and testing the expert system prototype. Knowledge refinement, evaluation, and implementation procedures of the expert system prototype were then transacted.

Liebowitz, Jay↗
DOE OSTI2023

Distributed reinforcement learning and consensus control of energy systems

Disclosed herein are methods, systems, and devices for utilizing distributed reinforcement learning and consensus control to most effectively generate and utilize energy. In some embodiments, individual turbines within a wind farm may communicate to reach a consensus as to the desired yaw angle based on the wind conditions.

King, Jennifer Rose Rose↗
NASA NTRS2022

Using an Explainable Machine Learning Approach to Characterize Earth System Model Errors: Application of SHAP Analysis to Modeling Lightning Flash Occurrence

Computational models of the Earth System are critical tools for modern scientific inquiry. Effortstoward evaluating and improving errors in representations of physical and chemical processes inthese large computational systems are commonly stymied by highly nonlinear and complexerror behavior. Recent work has shown that these errors can be effectively predicted usingmodern Artificial Intelligence (A.I.) techniques. In this work, we go beyond these previousstudies to apply an interpretable A.I. technique to not only predict model errors but also movetoward understanding the underlying reasons for successful error prediction. We use XGBoostclassification trees and SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) analysis to explore the errors inthe prediction of lightning occurrence in the NASA GEOS model, a widely used Earth SystemModel. This explainable error prediction system can effectively predict the model error andindicates that the errors are strongly related to convective processes and the characteristics ofthe land surface.

Artificial intelligence↗
NASA NTRS1988

Improving performance of an electrical power expert system with genetic algorithms

An extension to NICBES (the nickel cadmium battery expert system), which is designed to make it more effective as a battery management tool, is described. The extension involves the incorporation of classifier system machine learning techniques into a subsystem of NICBES. The implementation of a user interface for this type of system is discussed.

Goodloe, Mike↗
DOE OSTI2019

Does geography matter? A study of technological learning and innovation in the U.S. Solar photovoltaic balance-of-systems (PV BOS) industry

Different learning channels (i.e., learning from upstream actors, local network, global codified knowledge, etc.) coexist in firms’ technological innovation processes. Although firms are exposed to globalization and convenient communication and transportation tools, researchers still argue about the role of geography in technology innovation. Geographic proximity can facilitate knowledge spillover and network-building. Localized learning and the significance of geography indicate the importance of local knowledge in innovative activities. Local knowledge tends to be more closely aligned with local firms’ technological demand and easier to understand and absorb, because they are created and applied in the same context. However, following Schumpeter, innovation researchers believe that diverse knowledge, especially knowledge from external industries and geographically distant places, is a valuable source for innovation, especially disruptive innovation. Therefore, firms must balance different learning channels, especially between localized learning and global learning. However, it is still unclear about the extent to which localized learning is important for technology innovations and which factors influence the degree of localized learning. Meanwhile, most studies in the area of localized learning usually take no account of the international dimension and the interdependent of knowledge at different geographic scales. Different learning channels (i.e., learning from upstream actors, local network, global codified knowledge, etc.) coexist in firms’ technological innovation processes. Although firms are exposed to globalization and convenient communication and transportation tools, researchers still argue about the role of geography in technology innovation. Geographic proximity can facilitate knowledge spillover and network-building. Localized learning and the significance of geography indicate the importance of local knowledge in innovative activities. Local knowledge tends to be more closely aligned with local firms’ technological demand and easier to understand and absorb, because they are created and applied in the same context. However, following Schumpeter, innovation researchers believe that diverse knowledge, especially knowledge from external industries and geographically distant places, is a valuable source for innovation, especially disruptive innovation. Therefore, firms must balance different learning channels, especially between localized learning and global learning. However, it is still unclear about the extent to which localized learning is important for technology innovations and which factors influence the degree of localized learning. Meanwhile, most studies in the area of localized learning usually take no account of the international dimension and the interdependent of knowledge at different geographic scales. To address this research gap, this paper empirically investigated firms’ learning and innovation processes in relation to the geography. The aim is to answer the following three questions: 1) how does geographic distance influence knowledge spillover; 2) how technological characteristics influence knowledge acquisition choices as regards local vs. non-local knowledge? and 3) how do local and non-local knowledge affect the quality of innovation? The subject of our empirical inquiry is photovoltaic balance-of-systems (PV BOS) components. This choice is primarily motivated by two factors: (1) large-scale deployment of distributed solar PV technologies is widely considered to be an important piece in addressing the environmental impacts of the electricity sector, making PV an important technology to study; furthermore, there is a general consensus that the biggest barrier for a wider deployment of PV is the high price of non-module components, and (2) technological aspects of non-module components of PV systems make local conditions (climate, regulation, learning networks, etc.) salient, thus affording a rich empirical setting to explore the geography-innovation-economy interactions at the local level. We find that the localization effect of technological learning in the solar PV BOS industry is at state level, the number of citations-based linkages decreases with distance, and we also find that international knowledge significantly contributes to the quality of patents, which suggests that state border might be a barrier of current knowledge spillover, and only focusing on local innovation networks is not sufficient for promoting PV BOS innovation.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗