Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Next-Generation”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 595 records · Page 33
All sourcesNASA NTRSDOE OSTI
DOE OSTI2026

Nb3Sn Superconducting Radiofrequency Cavity Fabricated by Sputter Deposition from a Stoichiometric Target

Nb$_3$Sn is a promising coating material for superconducting radiofrequency cavities in next-generation accelerators due to its higher superconducting transition temperature (~18.3 K) and superheating field (~400 mT), offering the potential to surpass the intrinsic performance limits of bulk niobium. We developed a sputter coating technique employing a stoichiometric target to fabricate Nb$_3$Sn films on the inner surfaces of niobium cavities. A Nb$_3$Sn tube target, prepared by growing a >20 m thick Nb$_3$Sn coating on the surface of a Nb tube via a Sn vapor diffusion process, was used in a DC cylindrical magnetron sputtering system. Approximately 170 nm thick Nb-Sn films were sputter-coated onto flat Nb substrates positioned to replicate the beam tube and equator regions of a 2.6 GHz cavity, followed by annealing at 950 °C for 3 hours to form Nb$_3$Sn. The composition, morphology, and structure of the annealed Nb$_3$Sn films were examined. Then, a ~1.2 m-thick film was sputter-coated onto the interior of a 2.6 GHz Nb cavity following the procedure developed for the flat samples. The cavity was subsequently annealed under the same conditions used for the flat samples. Cryogenic RF testing of the sputter-coated cavity demonstrated a T$_c$ of approximately 17.8 K, consistent with Nb$_3$Sn layer. Subsequently, the cavity underwent a light Sn recoating followed by a vapor diffusion Nb$_3$Sn coating process, achieving a quality factor of approximately 8.5 × 10$^9$ and an accelerating gradient of up to 11.3 MV/m at 4.2 K.

Shakel, Md Sharifuzzaman [Old Dominion U.; Jeffers↗
DOE OSTI2026

From Detector Layout to Signal Analysis: Geometry Optimization and Neutron-Gamma Tagging in Plastic Scintillator Detectors

Neutrinos are elementary particles with many properties still unknown. Their masses so far have only upper and lower limits. Still, due to neutrino oscillations, it is clear that they are not massless, as stated by the Standard Model of Elementary Particles. Neutrinos are also present in the Universe in vast amounts, but they rarely interact with the surrounding matter. Their abundance makes them very interesting for many theories beyond the Standard Model, e.g., dark matter searches and CP symmetry violation in the leptonic sector, which could be (partially) responsible for the observed matter-antimatter asymmetry in today's Universe.\\ The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) is a next-generation accelerator-based neutrino oscillation experiment that will study neutrinos with unprecedented precision and may answer many open questions. DUNE uses a powerful neutrino beam from Fermilab. It consists of a Near Detector (ND) complex to measure neutrinos before oscillat ion, and a Far Detector (FD) complex $1300\ \mathrm{km}$ away to measure them after oscillation. As part of the ND complex, measurements are also possible with different angles to the neutrino beam. This enables excellent control of systematic uncertainties of e.g., neutrino cross section measurements.\\ One detector in the near detector complex is The Muon Spectrometer (TMS), an extension of a Liquid Argon (LAr) detector that measures the charge and momentum of muons produced in neutrino interactions within the LAr. The design of this detector, which consists of alternating layers of steel and plastic scintillator bars, must be optimized for the expected muon energies.\\ In this thesis, a study of the optimal module orientation plan is presented, which is necessary for the physics performance of the near detector complex and, by extension, DUNE. As part of this study, the event reconstruction was also developed and improved. Simulated muons are then reconstructed, and the performan ce of different module orientation plans is tested.\\ As a second part, a study of neutron and gamma tagging using a Pulse Shape Discriminating (PSD) plastic scintillator is presented. The properties of this material allow particle differentiation based on the temporal distribution of emitted light. A novel approach to using the individual light signals was successfully tested using data from a small, local test setup.

Nehm, Asa [Mainz U.]↗
DOE OSTI2025

Treyson Ricks - Intern Showcase Poster

Quinone-based sorbents offer a tunable, energy-efficient route to electrochemical CO2 capture, but systematic guidance for molecular design is lacking. Here, we report a high-throughput computational workflow that combines density functional theory (DFT) screening with machine-learning (ML) modeling to evaluate CO2 binding thermodynamics across several quinone derivatives, spanning benzoquinones, naphthoquinones, and anthraquinones. In addition to using solvents to stabilize the quinone anion and dianion, we studied the effect of ion-pairing on the reduction potentials and the CO2 binding energy. Automated Python scripts handled geometry optimizations and adduct-formation energies on an HPC cluster, reducing manual effort significantly. This integrated platform can uncover structure–property relationships and enables rapid in silico evaluation of untested candidates. We present one example from our workflow to showcase the capability of using quinones with ion-pairing to effectively capture CO2. Our approach paves the way for the rational selection of optimal quinone sorbents and can be extended with experimental thermochemical and kinetic data, alternative redox cycles, and stability assessments to accelerate development of next-generation electrochemical CO2 capture materials.

37 - INORGANIC, ORGANIC, PHYSICAL AND ANALYTICAL C↗
DOE OSTI2026

Advancing Geothermal Research: Fiscal Year 2025 Accomplishments Report

This is a summary of geothermal work done at the National Laboratory of the Rockies in Fiscal Year 2025. This year brought increased attention to the geothermal industry and NLR's geothermal research portfolio. With more than 70 active projects, NLR research spanned the areas of resource exploration and characterization; conventional and next-generation geothermal technologies; subsurface thermal energy storage; heating and cooling; co-production of geothermal with critical minerals and oil and gas; modeling and analysis leveraging expertise in data science and machine learning; and more.

15 GEOTHERMAL ENERGY↗
DOE OSTI2025

Development of Innovative Non-Concentrated Alloy (NCA) Fuel Cladding for Advanced Nuclear Reactors

As the nuclear energy sector advances toward next-generation reactors, the need for high-performance fuel cladding materials has become increasingly urgent. Traditional alloys like zirconium and stainless steel are reaching their performance limits under higher temperatures, more corrosive coolants, and extended irradiation. This report presents the development of a new class of fuel cladding materials based on Non-Concentrated Alloys (NCAs) ? multi-element systems designed to deliver enhanced mechanical strength, corrosion resistance, and radiation tolerance. Through a combination of computational modeling (Computer Coupling of Phase Diagrams and Thermochemistry: CALPHAD), simulation-guided alloy selection, and experimental fabrication via arc melting and spark plasma sintering (SPS), three strategic alloy design paths were explored: (1) FeCrAl-based NCAs, (2) refractory-lean neutron-efficient alloys, and (3) equimolar high-entropy compositions. Microstructural analysis confirmed the formation of stable body-centered cubic BCC_A2 phases, while mechanical testing demonstrated hardness values significantly exceeding those of conventional cladding materials. The results highlight the tunability of NCA systems and their potential for balancing strength and ductility ? a critical consideration for in-reactor performance. Looking forward, future work will focus on thermomechanical optimization, CALPHAD refinement, and benchmarking against industry standards to enable scalable deployment. This work not only advances the science of nuclear materials but also supports broader goals in nuclear safety, performance, and nuclear energy innovation.

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Optics and Systems Design of the Ring-to-Second Target Transport Beam-Line for the SNS Second Target Station

The Second Target Station (STS) project at the Spallation Neutron Source (SNS) is being developed to provide world-leading cold neutron brightness for next-generation neutron scattering experiments. The STS Accelerator Systems (AS) scope includes the design and implementation of the Ring-to-Second Target (RTST) proton beam transport line, which extracts 1.3 GeV proton beam pulses from the existing Ring-to-Beam Transport (RTBT) system and delivers them to the STS target. The RTST design emphasizes operational reliability [high reliability], low activation [minimum activation of components and the tunnel], maintainability, and compatibility with existing SNS infrastructure through extensive reuse of proven RTBT systems and components. The beamline includes a new extraction region, a transport lattice consisting of dipole, quadrupole, and corrector magnets, beam instrumentation systems, vacuum systems, personnel protection systems, and radiation shielding systems. Beam optics and particle tracking studies were performed using PyORBIT to validate extraction trajectories, beam transport, and target beam spot requirements [60–90 cm² beam spot area]. This paper presents the optics design philosophy, extraction system architecture, transport lattice design, instrumentation strategy, vacuum system approach, and radiation protection integration for the RTST beamline. Particle tracking simulations indicate successful beam transport without beam loss under nominal operating conditions. The RTST is designed to transport 1.3 GeV proton beam pulses at repetition rates up to 15 Hz, delivering nominal beam power of 700 kW to the Second Target Station.

Baron, Alex [ORNL]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Understanding the Role of Extrinsic Impurities in Bulk Nb SRF Cavities

High gradient and high quality factor superconducting radiofrequency (SRF) cavities are essential for efficient particle acceleration in next-generation accelerators. This work demonstrates that the superconducting performance of bulk niobium can be enhanced through a controlled introduction of interstitial oxygen and nitrogen. Thermal and chemical surface treatments modify the concentration and distribution of these impurities, enabling systematic tuning of SRF cavity performance. By combining cavity RF measurements with quantitative materials characterizations, we isolate the impact of impurity concentration on BCS surface resistance and identify the mechanisms by which interstitial impurities alter the superconducting properties of niobium. We find that nitrogen is an order of magnitude more effective than oxygen in reducing BCS resistance at 16 MV/m and that the reduction arises from a combination of mean free path optimization and superconducting gap enhancement. Using these insights, we develop a predictive model that estimates cavity performance directly from room temperature sample material studies, reducing the reliance on full-scale cryogenic tests for surface treatment development. We then apply this model to explore co-doping strategies, demonstrating that combining interstitial oxygen and nitrogen achieves a synergistic reduction in BCS resistance. These results establish co-doping as a viable path for the development of surface-engineered niobium for future high quality factor SRF applications.

Hu, Hannah [Chicago U.]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Fast and bright scintillators for ultrafast materials dynamics using 4th generation synchrotron

We present recent advances in fast and bright scintillators for ultrafast X-ray phase contrast imaging of dynamic materials experiments at the upgraded Advanced Photon Source (APS-U), a fourth generation synchrotron. APS-U enables hard X-ray imaging at frame rates of at least 13 MHz (corresponding to 77 ns or shorter interframe intervals), creating a new need for scintillators with faster response and higher light output than lutetium yttrium oxyorthosilicate (LYSO). For indirect imaging and diffraction with ultrafast cameras, commercial lanthanum bromide (LaBr3) and cerium bromide (CeBr3) are promising candidates. These materials exhibit decay times approximately a factor of two shorter than LYSO (around 40 ns) and lutetium oxyorthosilicate (LSO), while maintaining comparable light yield per incident X-ray photon. However, their implementation at APS-U requires addressing several challenges, including material limitations due to hygroscopicity, efficient optical coupling to imaging systems, and high quantum efficiency for conversion of scintillation light, predominantly at wavelengths below 400 nm, into detectable electronic signals. We report results from material characterization, detector integration and packaging, and beamline experiments of materials with impact. In addition, emerging scintillator classes, including perovskites and high-entropy materials, are discussed as potential alternatives for next-generation ultrafast X-ray diagnostics.

Wang, Zhehui [Los Alamos] (ORCID:0000000178264063)↗
DOE OSTI2026

In-Situ TEM Molten Salt Corrosion

Molten salt reactors (MSRs) offer a compelling pathway for next-generation nuclear energy, with advantages in thermal efficiency, inherent safety, and flexible fuel management. Yet, halide-based molten salts introduce significant materials challenges, particularly alloy corrosion. Alloy performance in these environments ultimately depends on understanding how corrosion initiates and progresses at the nanoscale, however most existing models rely on post-exposure characterization, leaving degradation mechanisms largely inferred rather than directly observed. NiCr alloys have garnered interest in MSRs applications as the Ni-based matrix provides strength and creep resistance, while Cr content offers oxidation resistance in air. However, NiCr corrosion resistance in chloride salts has proven poor due to preferential chromium dissolution, the formation of Cr-depleted pathways, and grain-boundary attack. This work aims to directly visualize corrosion of Ni-20Cr exposed to LiCl-KCl using in-situ Transmission Electron Microscopy (TEM) to capture real-time microstructural evolution during corrosion. Experiments will be performed at ~800 °C under controlled pressure conditions while utilizing Energy-Dispersive X-ray Spectroscopy (EDS) to analyze elemental redistribution. Observation of chromium depletion fronts, associated surface restructuring, and localized chloride enrichment are expected. Ultimately, this study is expected to provide a link between microscale processes and the macroscopic degradation behaviors relevant to MSR operation in advanced reactor environments. Simultaneously, this approach enables future in-situ investigations regarding alloy composition, salt chemistry, and their influence on corrosion pathways and long-term stability.?

36 - MATERIALS SCIENCE↗
DOE OSTI2026

Integrating Immersive Visualization in Molten-Salt Reactor Waste Management for Experimental Design and Planning

Molten-salt reactors (MSRs) represent a promising solution for next-generation nuclear energy, offering advantages in safety, fuel efficiency, and waste minimization. However, their liquid-fueled design presents unique challenges for spent fuel management, making post-shutdown waste characterization essential for developing effective strategies. Despite this need, there is a notable absence of visualization platforms specifically tailored to the unique characteristics and analytical requirements of MSR waste management. Existing tools in the nuclear industry are primarily designed for reactor operations or generic data exploration and lack both integration with MSR-specific multiphysics frameworks and the ability to simultaneously visualize time-dependent thermal fields, chemical composition evolution, and radiation distribution patterns. To address these limitations, this paper presents an immersive virtual reality (VR) visualization platform that processes and displays high-fidelity multiphysics simulation output from the Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment (MOOSE) framework in real-time, using Unity. The platform visualizes MSR waste characteristics such as nuclide decay, salt cooling, and corrosion by using Exodus II output data and running on a VR headset. It includes a user-friendly interface with features such as visibility toggling, cross-sectional slicing, and time-series animation for exploring simulation data. These capabilities support experimental design, stakeholder engagement, and public communication by making complex reactor behavior more accessible and understandable. By enhancing spatial reasoning and reducing cognitive load, this immersive environment fosters more effective communication and decision-making in MSR waste management.

11 - NUCLEAR FUEL CYCLE AND FUEL MATERIALS↗
DOE OSTI2025

Immersive Scientific Visualization of Molten-Salt Reactor Waste Characteristics Using Virtual Reality

Immersive visualization is changing how we explore, communicate, and understand complex scientific systems. In nuclear energy, an area in which data are often multidimensional, time-dependent, and difficult to interpret, virtual reality (VR) represents a powerful and intuitive informational medium. This work introduces a VR-based platform that visualizes the post-shutdown behavior and waste management lifecycle of molten-salt reactors (MSRs), a next-generation reactor type with unique operational and safety characteristics. The platform, built in Unity, is streamed on the Meta Quest 3 headset. It transforms high-fidelity simulation data into an interactive, immersive experience. Users can explore time-dependent reactor characteristics such as nuclide decay, which is a key factor for evaluating reactor waste strategies. The datasets were generated using the MOOSE (Multiphysics Object-Oriented Simulation Environment) framework and then processed through ParaView scripting for smooth integration into Unity. From a visualization standpoint, the platform emphasizes spatial storytelling, temporal exploration, and user-centered interaction. Users can navigate 3D reactor geometries, slice through volumetric data, and manipulate time to observe how physical phenomena evolve. Real-scale rendering and embodied interaction make the experience feel tangible. The interface is designed to be accessible, even to those without nuclear or simulation expertise. This lowers the barrier for stakeholders, policymakers, and the general public, while still supporting expert analysis and collaborative decision-making. This work shows how immersive visualization can function as both a scientific tool and a communication interface. By integrating simulation, processing, and visualization into a cohesive workflow, we offer a scalable framework for immersive scientific storytelling. The modular design supports future extensions to other reactor types and lifecycle stages, from shutdown to long-term storage, making the platform adaptable for both research and outreach.

99 - GENERAL AND MISCELLANEOUS↗
DOE OSTI2026

HARMONY: Large-Scale Architecture Search for Efficient Hybrid Language Models

As large language models scale to trillions of parameters, their computational and memory requirements present critical challenges for efficient training and deployment. While Mixture of Experts (MoE) architectures enable efficient scaling through sparse parameter activation, and state-space models like Mamba offer linear-time complexity, principled methods for combining these paradigms remain undeveloped. We introduce HARMONY (Hybrid Architecture Research for Mamba, Optimized with Neural efficiencY), a multi-objective evolutionary neural architecture search framework for discovering efficient hybrid language models that integrate Transformer attention mechanisms, Mixture-of-Experts routing, and Mamba state-space components. Through large-scale distributed search using 16,384 MI250X GPUs on the Frontier supercomputer, HARMONY explores a comprehensive design space encompassing six attention variants (MHA, MQA, GQA, MLA, SWA, and Mamba-2), variable MoE configurations with both routed and shared experts, and extensive Mamba hyperparameters. Our framework discovers heterogeneous architectures that balance training performance with computational efficiency through multi-objective optimization incorporating latency penalties and fitness-based selection. Analysis of discovered architectures reveals that optimal hybrid designs favor heterogeneous component mixing rather than homogeneous patterns, with Mamba-2 and Multi-Head Latent Attention (MLA) emerging as preferred mechanisms. Discovered architectures demonstrate superior training efficiency: our best configuration achieves a final perplexity of 1.0874 with 2.38B parameters while processing 4,320 tokens/second, outperforming significantly larger manually designed models. Full-scale evaluation shows HARMONY's top architectures achieve better loss trajectories than equivalently-sized models using state-of-the-art configurations including Mixtral, Jamba, and Samba. Additionally, we demonstrate 91% weak scaling efficiency when training discovered 36B-parameter models across 1,024 GPUs. HARMONY is released as an open framework with comprehensive tools for building and training hybrid models using expert-data-pipeline parallelism, democratizing access to automated architecture design for next-generation language models.

Herron, Emily [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000273008172)↗
DOE OSTI2025

COR-0011 Rev 6 MARVEL Project Code of Record

This Code of Record identifies the codes, standards, and procedures necessary to design, develop, construct, and startup the Microreactor Applications Research Validation and Evaluation (MARVEL) Project at the Materials and Fuel Complex (MFC) Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) Facility and the Idaho National Laboratory (INL). The MARVEL Project is an INL test microreactor funded by the United States Department of Energy (DOE) via the Microreactor Program (MRP). The goal of the project is to establish an operational nuclear applications test bed that can generate combined heat and power to enable integration and R&D with end-user technologies, as well as allow microreactor technologists to test next-generation control systems. The microreactor is a thermal reactor utilizing Uranium Zirconium Hydride (UZrH) fuel with review and authorization by the Department of Energy Idaho Operations Office (DOE-ID) for National Environmental Policy Act (NEPA) compliance, safety review, and supplemental readiness assessments for startup and operation. To enable rapid deployment, the MARVEL reactor will reside in the Transient Reactor Test (TREAT) Facility and utilize the existing operating Category B reactor facility, approved facility safety basis, operating crews, and recent re-start experience.

21 - SPECIFIC NUCLEAR REACTORS AND ASSOCIATED PLAN↗
DOE OSTI2026

Hadron-Argon Cross-Section Measurements at Protodune

The Deep Underground Neutrino Experiment (DUNE) is a next-generation experiment designed to measure neutrino oscillations with unprecedented precision, specifically seeking to identify CP violation in the lepton sector. DUNE utilizes the Liquid Argon Time Projection Chamber (LArTPC) as its core detecting technology, offering high-resolution imaging to reconstruct neutrino interactions on argon. A primary challenge in this reconstruction is the modeling of hadronic final-state interactions (FSI), where hadrons produced at the initial interaction vertex undergo further scattering before escaping the nucleus. In this thesis, I utilize the ProtoDUNE-SP detector and its 1~GeV/$c$ hadron beam at the CERN Neutrino Platform to present the first measurements of total inelastic $\pi^+$-argon and proton-argon cross sections in an energy regime critical to DUNE. I detail the development and validation of the ``slicing method'', which utilizes a kiloton-scale LArTPC to extract hadron-argon cross sections. These measurements provide an indispensable benchmark for informing DUNE's FSI modeling, and our results show no significant tension with current model predictions. Additionally, I study the impact of FSI modeling on DUNE’s sensitivity to oscillation parameters. This study demonstrates that variations in FSI models may be degenerate with oscillation features, highlighting the necessity of using direct experimental data to refine interaction models. Finally, I provide an outlook on related studies that will further contribute to this effort, supporting the ambitious physics goals of upcoming neutrino oscillation programs including DUNE.

Yin-Rui, Liu [U. Chicago (main)]↗
DOE OSTI2026

Model-Based Investigation of Multi-Fault Interactions and Performance Degradation in Residential Heat Pump Systems

Faults in heat pump systems can significantly degrade performance, reduce efficiency, and accelerate component wear, leading to higher operating costs and maintenance demands. While numerous studies have investigated the impact of individual faults, the interactions between multiple concurrent faults remain insufficiently understood, despite their common occurrence in real-world operation. This study conducts a comprehensive simulation analysis of multiple simultaneous faults in a vapor compression heat pump using a validated heat pump design model (HPDM) tool. Detailed component-level modeling methods are implemented to examine performance sensitivity under combinations of refrigerant flow and heat exchanger faults. The results reveal complex fault interactions that can mask or amplify system deviations, challenging conventional diagnostic approaches. Findings from this work provide meaningful insights for the development of more robust fault detection and diagnosis algorithms, supporting improved reliability and energy efficiency in next-generation heat pump technologies.

Hu, Yifeng [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000242875185)↗
DOE OSTI2026

CoLoRe-2LPT: Lyman-$α$ mock catalogues for the validation of DESI cosmological analyses

The Lyman-$α$ (Ly$α$) forest has become a crucial probe for studying the large-scale structure of the universe at high redshift ($z > 2$), providing powerful constraints on Baryon Acoustic Oscillations (BAO) and the full-shape (FS) clustering of matter. As a key ingredient for upcoming BAO and FS analyses, we present a new generation of fast cosmological Ly$α$ mocks based on second-order Lagrangian perturbation theory (2LPT). These new mocks significantly improve upon previous log-normal approaches, both at accurately capturing small scale clustering and at recovering the non-linear broadening of the BAO peak. They are able to reproduce Ly$α$ statistics within $10\%$ of the latest DESI measurement; including the Ly$α$ bias and the redshift-space distortion $β$ parameter, mean transmitted flux, and 1D power spectrum. The corresponding quasar (QSO) clustering is also improved with respect to previous approaches, calibrated against high-resolution Abacus simulations, recovering the observational QSO linear bias to less than $5\%$ and improving redshift-space distortions via 2LPT velocities and the addition of Fingers-of-God effects. Furthermore, these mocks incorporate high column density systems and metal lines, allowing us to explore the effects and systematics induced by these astrophysical contaminants. This new set of mocks has been key for enhancing the modeling and validation of the DESI DR2 Ly$α$ full shape cosmological analysis. This work provides a physically motivated and computationally efficient tool for simulating current and next-generation Ly$α$ surveys and validating FS and BAO analysis.

Bernal, M.F. Ruiz-Herrera [Madrid, CIEMAT] (ORCID:↗
DOE OSTI2026

Visualization of Thermal and Strain Dynamics in X-ray Optics by Time-Resolved Rocking Curve Imaging

The absorption of intense X-ray pulses from free-electron lasers by X-ray crystal optics triggers rapid thermal and mechanical responses, including lattice compression, expan- sion, and strain-wave propagation, which dynamically modify diffraction conditions and wavefront properties. These effects pose significant challenges for next-generation high- repetition-rate X-ray sources, particularly for crystal monochromators used in XFEL beam- lines and self-seeding. Here, we demonstrate time-resolved rocking curve imaging (TrRCI) of X-ray Bragg optics with high spatial resolution (6.4 μm) and sub-1-μrad angular resolu- tion, enabling direct visualization of lattice dynamics from nanoseconds to microseconds. By combining a high-flux beamline at SPring-8, a scintillator-coupled sCMOS detector, and a synchronized femtosecond laser system, we capture lattice dynamics induced by tran- sient laser heating with a strain sensitivity on the order of 10−6 . Our results reveal transient lattice deformation and the propagation of laser-induced strain waves over millimeter-scale distances. This approach provides experimental benchmarks for understanding heat-load effects in high-repetition-rate X-ray optics.

Source record↗
DOE OSTI2026

Strong Lensing Cosmology with Population-level Calibrated Neural Ratio Estimation

Strong gravitational lensing contains key information about cosmic acceleration. Modern and next-generation galaxy imaging surveys are expected to provide high-quality data on $\mathcal{O}(10^5)$ galaxy-galaxy lensing systems. The plethora and complexity of the data are likely to present computational challenges for parameter inference methods for fitting high-dimensional likelihoods, which are often analytically intractable. Neural Ratio Estimation (NRE) efficiently computes individual likelihood ratios that can be combined into population-level posteriors. We use simulations to study the capacity of NRE to jointly predict the dark energy equation-of-state parameter $w$ and the total matter density $Ω_{m}$ from lensing images and companion spectroscopic information. We also introduce a post hoc posterior coverage calibration procedure that mitigates the model overconfidence that is typically found in neural density estimation applications. Our experiments show that the errors on both parameters decrease with increasing inference population sizes. In particular, for 100 lenses in a standard $Λ$CDM Universe, our calibrated NRE model achieves median fractional uncertainty of $22.8\%$ in $w$ and $2.9\%$ in $Ω_{m}$. This proof of concept demonstrates a potentially scalable approach for efficient cosmological parameter inference with large populations of galaxy-scale lenses observed in future surveys.

Jarugula, Sreevani [Fermilab] (ORCID:0000000253867↗