Search NASA⌕ Search

SEARCH · Search NASA

Results for “Predictive analytics”

Search indexed NASA NTRS and DOE OSTI research on propulsion, heat transfer, battery materials and energy systems. Follow report and document links to the original sources.

Quote a phrase for an exact phrase match. Source license links do not imply unrestricted reuse.

At least 595 records · Page 33

Electrostatic Model Applied to ISS Charged Water Droplet Experiment

The electrostatic force can be used to create novel relative motion between charged bodies if it can be isolated from the stronger gravitational and dissipative forces. Recently, Coulomb orbital motion was demonstrated on the International Space Station by releasing charged water droplets in the vicinity of a charged knitting needle. In this investigation, the Multi-Sphere Method, an electrostatic model developed to study active spacecraft position control by Coulomb charging, is used to simulate the complex orbital motion of the droplets. When atmospheric drag is introduced, the simulated motion closely mimics that seen in the video footage of the experiment. The electrostatic force's inverse dependency on separation distance near the center of the needle lends itself to analytic predictions of the radial motion.

Stevenson, Daan↗

Pressure Transients for Boron-Potassium Nitrate Igniters in Inert, Vented Chambers

Equations which will describe the pressure-time curves for the ignition of cylindrical, boron-potassium nitrate, igniter pellets in vented, inert chambers are derived on the assumption that the burning rate is independent of pressure. This assumption is justified on the basis of closed chamber experiments. Experimental firings were conducted over a considerable range of igniter weights and nozzle throat sizes. Smooth, reproducible pressure- time histories were obtained which showed excellent agreement with the analytically predicted curves.

Scheier, W.↗

Suited and Unsuited Hybrid III Impact Testing and Finite Element Model Characterization

NASA spacecraft design requirements for occupant protection are a combination of the Brinkley Dynamic Response Criteria and injury assessment reference values (IARV) extracted from anthropomorphic test devices (ATD). For the ATD IARVs, the requirements specify the use of the 5th percentile female Hybrid III and the 95th percentile male Hybrid III. Each of these ATDs is required to be fitted with an articulating pelvis (also known as the aerospace pelvis) and a straight spine. The articulating pelvis is necessary for the ATD to fit into spacecraft seats, while the straight spine is required as injury metrics for vertical accelerations are better defined for this configuration. Sled testing of the Hybrid III 5th Percentile Female Anthropomorphic Test Device (ATD) was performed at Wright-Patterson Air Force Base (WAPFB). Two 5th Percentile ATDs were tested, the Air Force Research Lab (AFRL) and NASA owned Hybrid III ATDs with aerospace pelvises. Testing was also conducted with a NASA-owned 95th Percentile Male Hybrid III with aerospace pelvis at WPAFB. Testing was performed using an Orion seat prototype provided by Johnson Space Center (JSC). A 5-point harness comprised of 2 inch webbing was also provided by JSC. For suited runs, a small and extra-large Advanced Crew Escape System (ACES) suit and helmet were also provided by JSC. Impact vectors were combined frontal/spinal and rear/lateral. Some pure spinal and rear axis testing was also performed for model validation. Peak accelerations ranged between 15 and 20-g. This range was targeted because the ATD responses fell close to the IARV defined in the Human-Systems Integration Requirements (HSIR) document. Rise times varied between 70 and 110 ms to assess differences in ATD responses and model correlation for different impact energies. The purpose of the test series was to evaluate the Hybrid III ATD models in Orion-specific landing orientations both with and without a spacesuit. The results of these tests were used by the NASA Engineering and Safety Center (NESC) to validate the finite element model (FEM) of the Hybrid III 5th Percentile Female ATD. Physical test data was compared to analytical predictions from simulations, and modelling uncertainty factors have been determined for each injury metric. Additionally, the test data has been used to further improve the FEM, particularly in the areas of the ATD preload, harness, and suit and helmet effects.

Lawrence, C.↗

Mass and Momentum Transport in Microcavities for Diffusion-Dominant Cell Culture Applications

For the informed design of microfluidic devices, it is important to understand transport phenomena at the microscale. This letter outlines an analytically-driven approach to the design of rectangular microcavities extending perpendicular to a perfusion microchannel for microfluidic cell culture devices. We present equations to estimate the spatial transition from advection- to diffusion-dominant transport inside cavities as a function of the geometry and flow conditions. We also estimate the time required for molecules, such as nutrients or drugs to travel from the microchannel to a given depth into the cavity. These analytical predictions can facilitate the rational design of microfluidic devices to optimize and maintain long-term, physiologically-based culture conditions with low fluid shear stress.

Yew, Alvin G.↗

Non-Contacting Finger Seals Static Performance Test Results at Ambient and High Temperatures

The non-contacting finger seal is an advanced seal concept with potential to reduce specific fuel consumption in gas turbine engines by 2 to 3 percent with little to no wear of the seal or rotor. Static performance tests and bind-up tests of eight different non-contacting finger seal configurations were conducted in air at pressure differentials up to 689.4 kPa and temperatures up to 922 K. Four of the seals tested were designed to have lift pads concentric to a herringbone-grooved rotor which generates hydrodynamic lift when rotating. The remaining seals were tested with a smooth rotor; one seal had a circumferential taper and one had an axial taper on the lift pad inner diameter to create hydrodynamic lift during rotation. The effects of the aft finger axial thickness and of the forward finger inner diameter on leakage performance were investigated as well and compared to analytical predictions.

static tests↗

Non-Contacting Finger Seals Static Performance Test Results at Ambient and High Temperatures

The non-contacting finger seal is an advanced seal concept with potential to reduce specific fuel consumption in gas turbine engines by 2 to 3 with little to no wear of the seal or rotor. Static performance tests and bind-up tests of eight different non-contacting finger seal configurations were conducted in air at pressure differentials up to 689.4 kPa and temperatures up to 922 K. Four of the seals tested were designed to have lift pads concentric to a herringbone-grooved rotor which generates hydrodynamic lift when rotating. The remaining seals were tested with a smooth rotor; one seal had a circumferential taper and one had an axial taper on the lift pad inner diameter to create hydrodynamic lift during rotation. The effects of the aft finger axial thickness and of the forward finger inner diameter on leakage performance were investigated as well and compared to analytical predictions.

rotors↗

Buckling Imperfection Sensitivity of Conical Sandwich Composite Structures for Launch-Vehicles

Structural stability can be an important consideration in the design of large composite shell structures and therefore it is important to understand the buckling response of such structures. It is well known that geometric imperfections can significantly influence the buckling response of such structures by causing the buckling loads to be significantly lower than the theoretical buckling load of a geometrically perfect shell structure. Results are presented of an analytical study on the buckling imperfection sensitivity of large-scale conical sandwich structures for launch vehicles. In particular, representative structures from the Space Launch System launch-vehicle development activities will be considered. The study considered composite sandwich conical structures with multiple sandwich core thicknesses and facesheet layups consisting of tape and fabric composite layups. The results of this analytical study indicate that there is conservatism in the NASA current buckling knockdown factor of 0.33 for conical shell structures. Therefore, it is suggested that the buckling response of composite sandwich cones be further investigated through buckling tests and analytical predictions to potentially revise the buckling design recommendations for conical composite structures.

Sleight, David W.↗

Emerging Aviation Trends in ATD-2 and Vector for Future Innovation

This briefing discusses the constraints of the Northeast Corridor (NEC), the increasing predictability that can be achieved by leveraging digital assets (e.g., EOBT), and the challenges of a multi-airport scenario and the use of TOS alternative routes. It further describes the potential of near-term digital asset expansion and near real-time predictive analytics to generate innovative solutions.

Capps, Al↗

Test-Analysis Modal Correlation of Rocket Engine Structures in Liquid Hydrogen - Phase II

Many structures in a launch vehicle operate in liquid hydrogen, from the hydrogen fuel tanks through the ducts and valves and into the turbopumps. Calculating the structural dynamic response of these structures is critical for successful qualification, but accurate knowledge of the natural frequencies is based entirely on numerical or analytical predictions since testing in operating conditions is problematic. A comprehensive test/analysis program has therefore been performed at NASA/MSFC to enable accurate prediction of the modal characteristics of the Space Launch System’s (SLS) RS-25 Low Pressure Fuel Turbopump Inducer including the effects of fluid-added mass, mechanical property change at cryogenic temperatures, operation within tight tip clearances, acoustic/structure interaction, and hydroelasticity. The process also has to account for complicated cyclic symmetry mode shapes which can be easily mistuned in test, and geometric, boundary condition, and material modifications between the sub-scale inducer used as a test article and the actual flight component. The first phase of the program, documented previously, focused on testing of a cantilever beam in a number of fluids and temperatures to isolate the effects of fluid-added mass and temperature, while the second phase reported here documents the additional issues associated with the more realistic inducer test article. Preliminary structural dynamic analysis of the flight hardware including variability for the above parameters indicated potential severe resonances, requiring implementation of undesired programmatic constraints, so the improved predictive capability may allow removal of these constraints.

Brown, Andrew M.↗

Uncertainty Analysis of the Pitch Damping Coefficient of Blunt Bodies, Measured from Magnetic Suspension Wind Tunnel Tests

Blunt body aerodynamics in re-entry conditions are characterized by oscillatory behavior that is often encapsulated by the pitch damping coefficient (Cmq). Magnetic Suspension Wind Tunnel (MSWT) testing with a Magnetic Suspension Balance System (MSBS) aims to improve blunt body wind tunnel testing by removing the sometimes unknown aerodynamic effects of traditional sting mounts, as well as generate more constrained outputs than vertical spin tunnel testing. Efforts to calculate the uncertainty of the pitch damping coefficient with a proposed Earth Entry Vehicle (EEV) capsule model have been made by fitting an analytic prediction of the attitude time history to video data of a free-to-oscillate MSBS test.

Magnetic suspension, dynamic stability, uncertaint↗

Mass Mitigation in Structural Designs Via Dynamic Properties

Mass Mitigation in Structural Designs Via Dynamic Properties The reported efforts are focused on mitigating unnecessary mass in aerospace hardware via leveraging dynamic strength of materials and the frequency dependency of strain. Analytically predicted dynamic responses of structures are often applied as static loads in stress analyses that ultimately dictate the weight of a structural design. Assuming a dynamic response is a static load and then comparing resulting stress predictions to a static strength property is a long-standing engineering practice. Doing so is known to be, or is assumed to be, conservative. However, little indication of the order of magnitude of embedded conservatism has been identified. NASA/MSFC efforts in 2011, 2019, 2020, and now in 2021 have begun to qualitatively show the order of magnitude of that conservatism. A quick turnaround engineering method is pursued to leverage the subject facets of physics for the purpose of decreasing the weight of flight hardware. Tests performed using simple beams and significant observations are described.

mass mitigation↗

SLS Integrated Modal Test Uncertainty Quantification using the Hybrid Parametric Variation Method

Uncertainty in structural loading during launch is a significant concern in the development of spacecraft and launch vehicles. Small variations in launch vehicle and payload mode shapes and their interaction can result in significant variation in system loads. In many cases involving large aerospace systems it is difficult, not economical, or impossible to perform a system modal test. However, it is still vital to obtain test results that can be compared with analytical predictions to validate models. Instead, the “Building Block Approach” is used in which system components are tested individually. Component models are correlated and updated to agree as best they can with test results. The Space Launch System consists of a number of components that are assembled into a launch vehicle. Finite element models of the components are developed, reduced to Hurty/Craig-Bampton models and assembled to represent different phases of flight. The only opportunity to obtain modal test data from an assembled Space Launch System will be during the Integrated Modal Test. There is always uncertainty in every model, which flows into uncertainty in predicted system results. Uncertainty Quantification is used to determine statistical bounds on prediction accuracy based on model uncertainty. For the Space Launch System, model uncertainty is at the Hurty/Craig-Bampton component level. Uncertainty in the Hurty/Craig-Bampton components is quantified using the hybrid parametric variation approach that combines parametric and nonparametric uncertainty. Uncertainty in model form is one of the biggest contributors to uncertainty in complex built-up structures. This type of uncertainty cannot be represented by variations infinite element model input parameters and thus cannot be included in a parametric approach. However, model-form uncertainty can be modeled using a nonparametric approach based on random matrix theory. The hybrid parametric variation method requires the selection of dispersion values for the Hurty/Craig-Bampton fixed-interface eigenvalues, and the Hurty/Craig-Bampton stiffness matrices. Component test/analysis frequency error is used to identify the fixed-interface eigenvalue dispersions, while test/analysis cross-orthogonality is used to identify stiffness dispersion values. The hybrid parametric variation uncertainty quantification approach is applied to the Space Launch System Integrated Modal Test configuration. Monte Carlo analysis is performed, and statistics are determined for modal correlation metrics, frequency response from Integrated Modal Test shakers to selected accelerometers, as well as other metrics for determining how well target modes are excited and identified. If the predicted uncertainty envelopes future Integrated Modal Test results, then there will be increased confidence in the utility of the component-based hybrid parametric variation uncertainty quantification approach.

Uncertainty Quantification↗

Modeling and Simulation of Rotary Sloshing in Launch Vehicles

The nonlinear dynamics of propellant sloshing during orbital ascent are usually neglected in the flight control analysis of large boost vehicles under the assumption that the viscous damping of the fluid is sufficient to suppress nonlinear phenomena and confine the fluid to small, planar free surface displacements. In this case, the sloshing dynamics can be modeled using a spring-mass-damper or linearized pendulum mechanical analog. However, large, smooth-wall tanks without significant internal hardware or ring baffles are still susceptible to nonlinear effects. In particular, rotary sloshing can present a risk to flight control as it involves the formation of a stable limit cycle which can lead to undesirable roll coupling. The underlying phenomena of jump resonance does not manifest in linear models, but can be reproduced using a nonlinear spherical pendulum or the Bauer paraboloid model developed during the Apollo/Saturn program. In this paper, a detailed analysis of the rotary sloshing dynamics of these mechanical analogs is presented, and discussed in the context of flight control stability. High-fidelity simulations of a representative boost vehicle are used to verify the semi-analytical predictions of the nonlinear dynamic response.

Modeling↗

Thermal and Mechanical Stability of the WF/PC II Optical Alignment

The Wide Field/Planetary Camera (WF/PC), developed by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) under contract to the National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA), is the principal science instrument on the Hubble Space Telescope (HST). The analytical predicted motion of the WF/PC II optical elements showed that the four mechanisms added to the WF/PC II optical train will be able to maintain instrument alignment through the entire range of environmental changes from alignment on earth to operation in space.

Wide↗

Model Correlation for Mars Pathfinder Entry, Descent and Landing Simulation

Two multi-body drop tests were conducted to provide data to calibrate and verify a multi-body dynamics computer model, which was the major analytical tool used to study the entry, descent and landing (EDL) of the Mars Pathfinder mission. A general summary of the tests and important features of the simulation model are presented in this paper. Good correlation between between test results and analytical predictions were achieved.

Mars↗

A Dual Multilayer Insulation Blanket Concept to Radically Reduce Heat Loss From Thermally Controlled Spacecraft and Instruments

At large distances from the Sun (e.g. Jupiter/Saturn), the solar flux is less than 4% that at Earth. This requires very large solar arrays to meet the power demands of a typical new mission concept. Heat loss through Multi-Layer Insulation (MLI) blankets typically constitutes the vast majority of the total heat loss. Hence, improvements to MLI blankets that reduce heat loss are advantageous to the spacecraft design. The overall effective emittance (ε*) of MLI is usually a range dependent on the number of layers, size of blanket, seams, feedthroughs, layer density and operating temperatures of the heat source and heat sink. A concept has been developed at JPL to reduce the ε* by as much as a factor of two, which produces a corresponding reduction in heat losses. This concept utilizes two MLI blankets physically separated by traditional bumpers or spacers used for micrometeoroid protection. The outer surface of the inner blanket and the inner surface of the outer blanket are low emissivity surfaces to further minimize the total ε* of the overall dual MLI system. Analytical predictions of a dual MLI concept have been made using test data based ε* correlations. A development test has been conducted to validate the dual blanket design’s performance. This paper will describe the dual blanket design concept, schemes for its implementation, and the corresponding test results to validate its performance.

Duran, Mark↗

Radiography in High Mass X-Ray Binaries: Micro-Structure of the Stellar Wind Through Variability of the Column Density

Context. In high mass X-ray binaries, an accreting compact object orbits a high mass star, which loses mass through a dense and in homogeneous wind. Aims. Using the compact object as an X-ray backlight, the time variability of the absorbing column density in the wind can be exploited in order to shed light on the micro-structure of the wind and obtain unbiased stellar mass-loss rates for high mass stars. Methods. We developed a simplified representation of the stellar wind where all the matter is gathered in spherical “clumps” that are radially advected away from the star. This model enables us to explore the connections between the stochastic properties of the wind and the variability of the column density for a comprehensive set of parameters related to the orbit and to the wind micro-structure, such as the size of the clumps and their individual mass. In particular, we focus on the evolution with the orbital phase of the standard deviation of the column density and of the characteristic duration of enhanced absorption episodes. Using the porosity length, we derive analytical predictions and compare them to the standard deviations and coherence time scales that were obtained. Results. We identified the favorable systems and orbital phases to determine the wind micro-structure. The coherence time scale of the column density is shown to be the self-crossing time of a single clump in front of the compact object. We thus provide a procedure to get accurate measurements of the size and of the mass of the clumps, purely based on the observable time variability of the column density. Conclusions. The coherence time scale grants direct access to the size of the clumps, while their mass can be deduced separately from the amplitude of the variability. We further show how monitoring the variability at superior conjunctions can probe the onset of the clump-forming region above the stellar photosphere. If the high column density variations in some high mass X-ray binaries are due to unaccreted clumps which are passing by the line-of-sight, this would require high mass clumps to reproduce the observed peak-to-peak amplitude and coherence time scales. These clump properties are marginally compatible with the ones derived from radiative-hydrodynamics simulations. Alternatively, the following components could contribute to the variability of the column density: larger orbital scale structures produced by a mechanism that has yet to be identified or a dense environment in the immediate vicinity of the accretor, such as an accretion disk, an outflow, or a spherical shell surrounding the magnetosphere of the accreting neutron star.

stars: mass loss↗

Mass Mitigation in Structural Designs Via Dynamic Properties

The efforts reported here are focused on mitigating unnecessary mass in aerospace hardware. The approach to remove this undesired mass from the design is to leverage both the dynamic strength of materials and the frequency dependency of strain. Analytically predicted dynamic responses of structures are often applied as static loads in stress analyses that ultimately dictate the weight of a structural design. Assuming a dynamic response is a static load and then comparing resulting stress predictions to a static strength property is a long-standing engineering practice. Doing so is known to be, or is assumed to be, conservative. However, little indication of the order of magnitude of embedded conservatism has been identified. NASA/MSFC efforts in 2011, 2019, 2020, and now in 2021 have begun to qualitatively show the order of magnitude of that conservatism. A quick turnaround engineering method is pursued to leverage the subject facets of physics for the purpose of decreasing the weight of flight hardware. Tests performed using simple beams and significant observations are described.

conservative design loads↗