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DOE OSTI2024

Analytically differentiable metrics for phase stability

Here, in this work, a long-established but sparsely documented method of obtaining semi-analytic derivatives of thermodynamic properties with respect to equilibrium conditions is briefly reviewed and rigorously derived. This procedure is then leveraged to construct general forms of derivatives of the residual driving force, a metric for measuring phase stability used in CALPHAD model optimization, with respect to overall system and individual phase compositions. Applied examples – calculating heat capacity in the Al-Fe system, thermodynamic factors in the Nb-V-W system, and residual driving force derivatives in the Ni-Ti system – demonstrate the versatility, accuracy, and extensibility of this method. Using the developed method, residual driving force gradients can be applied directly in CALPHAD model optimizers, as well as in materials design frameworks, to identify regions of phase stability with an efficient, gradient-based approach.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2025

Web-based wide-area monitoring platform for ringdown and clustering analytics in power systems

This paper introduces an open-source research platform for monitoring the Mexican interconnected power grid, allowing real-time processing and information extraction of the grid’s dynamic condition. Moreover, the platform is a Python-based development that embeds different ringdown and clustering analytics tools. In the case of ringdown analysis, the modal information can be extracted using some of the most known algorithms, i.e., Prony analysis, eigensystem realization algorithm (ERA), and matrix pencil (MP). For clustering analysis, the coherent behaviour of generator and non-generator buses is provided by applying recent state-of-the-art techniques such as affinity propagation, K-means, hierarchical agglomerative clustering, and typicality data analysis. The results of up to 93 PMUs show that this open-source platform suits researchers’ and engineers’ power system dynamic analysis requirements.

Clustering↗

DOE OSTI2025

Analytical simulation of meander morphology from equilibrium to long-term evolution: Impacts of channel geometry and vegetation-induced coarsening

This study introduces an innovative approach to modeling meandering river morphology, integrating and investigating the effects of geometric characteristics and vegetation-induced channel coarsening. The developed comprehensive framework combines several advanced techniques: Genetic Programming for refining the scour factor of transverse bed slope, a Leaf Area Index (LAI)-enhanced analytical model for quantifying vegetative flow resistance, and an upstream-weighted moving average method for efficient approximation of the convolution integral in meander migration calculations. The model is validated against both an idealized Kinoshita meander and a natural bend of the Tumen River (China) in equilibrium, demonstrating its robustness across diverse scales and conditions. The model's ability to simulate the long-term evolution, including cutoff events, provides valuable insight for river management strategies. The current findings demonstrate that channel geometry, particularly width-to-depth ratio, plays a dominant role in meander evolution, with wider channels prone to more complex and rapid morphological changes. Vegetation effects are most pronounced in channels with moderate width-to-depth ratios, where they can significantly influence migration rates and bed topography. A combination of channel widening and deepening, coupled with strategic vegetation management, can effectively enhance navigability while maintaining channel stability in the studied Tumen River reach. Sensitivity analyses highlight the complex interplay between hydraulic conditions, sediment characteristics, and vegetation in shaping river morphology. This research advances understanding of the multifaceted nature of meandering river systems and offers practical tools for informed decision-making in river engineering and environmental management, particularly in the context of climate change and increasing anthropogenic pressures on fluvial ecosystems.

54 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2026

Low-Lying Excited States of Linear All- Trans Polyenes: Insights from Analytic Gradient and Nonadiabatic Coupling Calculations Based on Multireference Configuration Interaction

Polyenes serve as a rigorous test for theoretical models and electronic structure methods, playing a key role in advancing computational and theoretical chemistry. Here, we present a high-level theoretical investigation of linear, all-trans polyenes using energy gradients and nonadiabatic coupling vectors based on an MR-CISD wave function to describe electronic transitions involving the ground state (1 1 A g – ) and three low-lying excited states (2 1 A g – , 1 1 B u + , and 2 1 B u – ) of hexatriene, octatetraene, and decapentaene. This approach enables accurate evaluation of both adiabatic and vertical excitation and emission energies, yielding results in excellent agreement with experiment, as well as locating minima on the crossing seam between adiabatic states. Our results show that vertical excitation energies to the 1 1 B u + state are blue-shifted by 0.2–0.3 eV relative to the experimental absorption maximum, whereas the vertical emission energy from the 2 1 A g – state is red-shifted by ∼0.2 eV relative to the experimental emission maximum. Upon relaxation from the Franck–Condon geometry, the 2 1 A g – state stabilizes by around 1 eV, compared to 0.2–0.3 eV for the 1 1 B u + state. An analysis of the S 1 /S 0 crossing seam in hexatriene shows that its minimum involves asymmetric backbone deformations and provides an efficient channel for ultrafast internal conversion to the ground state, consistent with the absence of detectable fluorescence in this molecule. These results demonstrate the power of analytic gradients and nonadiabatic coupling vectors based on an MR-CISD wave function for accurately characterizing the electronic structure and photophysics of polyenes.

Excited states↗

DOE OSTI2025

A Unified Analytical Model for Pressure Solution With Fully Coupled Diffusion and Reaction

Abstract Geophysical models for pressure solution are typically developed for diffusion‐controlled or reaction‐controlled scenarios. We present a unified analytical model that considers fully coupled diffusion and reaction during pressure solution. The model recovers the diffusion‐controlled and reaction‐controlled models in the literature as specific limiting cases. When diffusion and reaction exhibit comparable influences, we validate the proposed model against independent numerical simulations. The proposed model is then employed in interpreting experimental measurements, demonstrating a better agreement compared to previous interpretations.

Wang, Ziyan [Energy Geosciences Division Lawrence ↗

DOE OSTI2025

Visual‐Analytics Bridge Complexity and Accessibility for Robust Urban Water Planning

Urban water resources planning is complicated by unprecedented uncertainty in supply and demand. Real‐world planning often simplifies the full range of uncertainty faced by a system into a limited set of deterministic scenarios to enhance accessibility for decision‐makers and the public. However, overlooking uncertainty can expose the system to failures. On the other end of the spectrum, academically developed tools for scenario analysis rigorously quantify the combined effects of multiple sources of uncertainty, but the practical application of these models is limited by the challenges of information visualization and communication of results. In short, municipal water supply planners lack access to planning frameworks that effectively integrate a rigorous treatment of uncertainty with accessible, user‐friendly visual and interactive tools to enhance user accessibility. In this work, we fill this gap by proposing Visual‐Robust Decision Making, and demonstrate an application for the city of Santa Barbara (SB), CA. Santa Barbara faces multiple uncertainties from pending state and federal regulations to changing hydrology and water demand. The city seeks to increase its water portfolio robustness by expanding its seawater desalination plant, but must decide how much capacity to add. We introduce computational tools that assess uncertainty across nine uncertain drivers identified with the help of water planners in SB. To allow public participation in the desalination expansion decision, we develop interactive visual‐analytics to aid decision‐makers and stakeholders in navigating complex scenario analysis outcomes. Our results quantify the tradeoffs between increased capacity and system robustness and aim to enhance participation and uncertainty characterization of urban water planning efforts.

29 ENERGY PLANNING, POLICY, AND ECONOMY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Dual blockade of IL-10 and PD-1 leads to control of SIV viral rebound following analytical treatment interruption

Human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) persistence during antiretroviral therapy (ART) is associated with heightened plasma interleukin-10 (IL-10) levels and PD-1 expression. We hypothesized that IL-10 and PD-1 blockade would lead to control of viral rebound following analytical treatment interruption (ATI). Twenty-eight ART-treated, simian immunodeficiency virus (SIV)mac 239 -infected rhesus macaques (RMs) were treated with anti-IL-10, anti-IL-10 plus anti-PD-1 (combo) or vehicle. ART was interrupted 12 weeks after introduction of immunotherapy. Durable control of viral rebound was observed in nine out of ten combo-treated RMs for >24 weeks post-ATI. Induction of inflammatory cytokines, proliferation of effector CD8 + T cells in lymph nodes and reduced expression of BCL-2 in CD4 + T cells pre-ATI predicted control of viral rebound. Twenty-four weeks post-ATI, lower viral load was associated with higher frequencies of memory T cells expressing TCF-1 and of SIV-specific CD4 + and CD8 + T cells in blood and lymph nodes of combo-treated RMs. These results map a path to achieve long-lasting control of HIV and/or SIV following discontinuation of ART.

60 APPLIED LIFE SCIENCES↗

DOE OSTI2024

HunStat – a simple and low-cost potentiostat for analytical and educational purposes

We have developed a truly low-cost (15 USD), simple do-it-yourself (DIY) potentiostat with compact dimensions. The output potential range of this device is between ±1.65 V. The developed instrument takes advantage of a Seeeduino XIAO microcontroller equipped with 10 bit digital-to-analog (D/A) and 12 bit analog-to-digital (A/D) converters and supports various voltammetry techniques, including cyclic voltammetry (CV), differential pulse voltammetry (DPV), and chronoamperometry (CA). Interested users are provided with circuit diagrams, bill of materials, and design files. Additionally, software components are also provided free of charge, including an Arduino sketch and control software. The software enables easy manipulation of electrochemical parameters and visualization of results. The presented design introduces a simple and low-cost DIY potentiostat recommended for both analytical and educational purposes.

47 OTHER INSTRUMENTATION↗

DOE OSTI2024

Operational Analytics Studies for ATLAS Distributed Computing: Data Popularity Forecast and Utilization of the WLCG Centers

Operational analytics is the direction of research related to the analysis of the current state of computing processes and the prediction of future states in order to anticipate imbalances and take timely measures to stabilize a complex system. There are two relevant areas in ATLAS Distributed Computing that are currently the focus of studies: user physics analysis including the forecast of popularity of data samples among users, and evaluating WLCG centers for their readiness to process user analysis payloads. Studying these areas is challenging due to the complexity involved, as it requires a comprehensive understanding of numerous boundary conditions typically found in large-scale distributed computing infrastructures. Forecasts of data popularity are problematic without the categorization of user tasks by their types (data transformation or physics analysis), which do not always appear on the surface but may induce noise, which introduces significant distortions for predictive analysis. Evaluating the WLCG resources by their analysis workloads is also a challenging task as it is necessary to find a balance between the workload of the resource, its performance, the waiting time for jobs on it, as well as the volume of jobs that it processes. This is especially difficult in a heterogeneous computing environment, where legacy resources are used along with modern high-performance machines. We will look at these areas of research in detail and discuss what tools and methods are used in our work, demonstrating results already obtained.

72 PHYSICS OF ELEMENTARY PARTICLES AND FIELDS↗

DOE OSTI2026

Mapping Critical Vulnerabilities in Natural Gas Pipeline Systems through Network Centrality and GIS Analytics

Natural gas plays a central role in the US energy landscape, providing 43% of electricity generation in 2023. Its exclusive recovery ability on pipelines for transmission underscores the importance of understanding the disruption recovery ability of this infrastructure. This study employs a network-based analytical framework integrating geographic information systems (GIS) with multiple centrality measures—betweenness, closeness, degree, and eigenvector—to pinpoint key segments and evaluate the structural robustness of the national pipeline network. Pipelines are grouped by System ID and Operator ID to capture variations across organizational and physical structures. The analysis reveals uneven patterns of network influence, where certain pipelines function as critical connectors or dominant hubs. Spatial mapping highlights geographic dependencies and potential chokepoints, offering a clear view of where targeted risk prevention measures would be most effective. The findings provide practical guidance for prioritizing maintenance, enhancing system robustness, and mitigating risks to ensure a stable and secure energy supply. Future research will expand the framework to incorporate dynamic operational data and real-time network behavior.

Peterson, Steven [ORNL] (ORCID:0000000287672998)↗

DOE OSTI2024

A semi-analytical model of RF condensation that can handle localized power depositions

A nonlinear effect, RF (radio frequency) condensation, can be used to facilitate RF stabilization of magnetic islands. Previously studied semi-analytical models for RF condensation are suited mainly for broad deposition profiles and are unable to handle power depositions that are localized in the interior of a magnetic island. The power deposition profile of electron cyclotron waves, in particular, can be highly localized near a cyclotron resonance. Here, a model is developed that can handle both localized profiles and broad profiles. This allows a comparison of RF condensation for narrow vs broad deposition profiles, and it allows a study of the dependence of RF condensation of localized deposition profiles on key parameters.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2024

Analytical model for laser-induced transient grating measurements of thermal diffusivity in non-opaque materials

The thermal transport and elastic properties of materials are often measured using the laser-induced transient grating spectroscopy (TGS) technique. The analysis of the TGS signal usually involves fitting well-known expressions, derived assuming the limiting cases of opaque or transparent materials, to the measured data. In this paper, the system of thermoelastic equations is analytically solved for an isotropic homogeneous material assuming finite laser penetration depth, which is an important consideration when the penetration depth is on the order of the acoustic wavelength. The need to use such a solution is discussed and compared to the expression for opaque material. The solution is benchmarked against TGS signal measured on single-crystal silicon with {100} surface orientation and is found to significantly improve the accuracy of the calculated thermal diffusivity as compared to using the expression for opaque material.

36 MATERIALS SCIENCE↗

DOE OSTI2024

Transport coefficient sensitivities in a semi-analytic model for magnetized liner inertial fusion

Performance of magnetized liner inertial fusion (MagLIF) experiments is highly dependent on transport processes including magnetized heat flows and magnetic flux losses. Magnetohydrodynamic simulations used to model these experiments require a choice of model for the transport coefficients, which are the constants of proportionality relating driving terms, such as temperature gradients and currents, to the associated heat and magnetic field transport. The coefficients have been the subject of repeated recalculation using various methods throughout the years. Using a semi-analytic MagLIF model, we compare models for the transport coefficients. The choice of model modifies magnetic-flux losses caused by the Nernst thermoelectric effect and thermal conduction losses. We present simulated results from parameter scans conducted in order to compare the effects of the different models on parameters of interest in MagLIF. In some regions of parameter space, discrepancies of up to 38% are found in integrated quantities like the fusion yield. These results may serve as a guide for experimental validation of the various models, particularly as laser preheat energies and initial axial field strengths are increased on MagLIF experiments.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Gaussian FLOWERS: Wind-rose-based analytical integration of Gaussian wake model for extremely fast AEP estimation

A major cost in the study of wind farm layout optimization is the repeated evaluation of the annual energy production (AEP). The current approach to estimating AEP requires a large set of flow simulations to be performed that cover each discrete wind speed and direction combination contained within the wind rose, followed by a probability-weighted sum of the power production resulting from each simulation. Even with inexpensive engineering wake models, this numerical integration scheme can lead to high computational costs. In this paper, we derive an analytical formulation for estimating farm AEP across every wind direction, based on a Gaussian wake velocity model, which reduces the number of wind farm simulations to a single function evaluation. As a result, we find that the Gaussian-FLOWERS approach reduces the time for AEP calculations by more than two orders of magnitude with a small trade-off in accuracy when compared to a conventional approach. This massive reduction in computation cost is useful to reduce overall costs in wind farm layout optimization studies.

17 WIND ENERGY↗

DOE OSTI2026

Analytical model for balling defects in laser melting using rivulet theory and solidification

In laser welding and additive manufacturing communities, the balling (humping) defect is primarily attributed to the Plateau–Rayleigh fluid instability (PRI) with a few authors suggesting fluid jetting and volume conservation as alternative mechanisms. As analytical descriptions of these mechanisms are unavailable, combining them into a single formalism is unfeasible. We present a new model of PRI with higher accuracy, accounting for competition with solidification, to compare the expected behavior with known experimental trends when fluid jetting is neglected. We adapt a rivulet instability model from fluid physics to account for the stabilizing effects of the substrate, which the traditional cylindrical-jet geometry does not account for and estimate the instability growth rate. Our model yields a continuous transition from non-balling to balling hitherto lacking in current literature and predicts instability growth at higher wavelengths with strong sensitivity to the solidification front curvature. While the fluid surface is most unstable for shallow melt pools, the absolute magnitude of balling relevant to printing defects scales with melt pool depth and has a maximum for a given melt pool geometry. Synchrotron-based x-ray radiography of thin samples indicates that PRI growth rates and solidification can be comparable in magnitude and thus compete, as we find in this work. We predict that deviations between model predictions and our experimental results demonstrate the importance of fluid flows and heat transport in the balling process. Our experiments further demonstrate at least one mechanism by which the melt pool length and the balling wavelength are not equivalent, as commonly claimed.

Taylor, Z. [Stanford Univ., CA (United States); SL↗

DOE OSTI2025

Simple analytic fusion hot spot models for fusion reaction history

The measured fusion reaction history is a combination of the temporal evolution of the fusion hot spot temperature, mass, and volume. Depending on the mechanism of evolution in inertial confinement fusion implosions—shocks, compression, convergence, mass ablation, ignition—the evolution of the reaction history varies. Here, we derive and catalog a set of simplified inertial confinement fusion hot spot models with analytic solutions to infer the evolution of the fusion reaction history for each mechanism. The models give valuable insight into the meaning and cause of fusion reaction history and nuclear burnwidth measurements.

70 PLASMA PHYSICS AND FUSION TECHNOLOGY↗

DOE OSTI2025

Multi-Analytical Investigation of Arsenical Transfer and Remediation on Nineteenth-Century Green Books

Books containing heavy metals, specifically nineteenth-century green arsenical books, have been identified at Northwestern University Libraries, raising health and safety concerns related to handling. Copper acetoarsenite pigments, such as emerald green, were detected on book covers, decorative page edges, labels, and other components using noninvasive analytical techniques including X-ray fluorescence (XRF), Raman spectroscopy, and Fourier-transform infrared (FTIR) spectroscopy. Further examination of selected volumes using synchrotron radiation (SR) techniques revealed pigment migration, degradation, and arsenic transfer to adjacent books. This paper expands on initial findings through two related experiments. The first explored the transfer of arsenic using mechanical friction; Staedtler Mars® white vinyl erasers rubbed on arsenical books generated crumbs which were analyzed via scanning electron microscopy–energy-dispersive X-ray spectroscopy (SEM-EDX). Results confirmed the transfer of arsenic, copper, and lead, with decorative page edges being particularly prone to shedding arsenic onto other materials. The second experiment tested remediation methods on a book contaminated by prolonged exposure to an arsenical neighbor. Surface cleaning using erasers and a vacuum removed flecks of pigment but did not eliminate non-chromophoric arsenic as confirmed by SR analyses, which highlights its presence either as a degradation product embedded within the paper or present in the paper as part of its production process. Findings demonstrate the acute toxicity risk posed by arsenical books and support the need for safe handling protocols. However, materials with only trace levels of arsenic embedded during production may pose a lower risk of transfer. Cross contamination beyond prolonged direct contact appears limited. These results highlight critical considerations for library preservation practices and future research on arsenic in historical materials.

arsenic↗

DOE OSTI2025

The evolution of analytical techniques for multiplex analysis of protein biomarkers

Introduction: The landscape of biomarker development has evolved with advanced analytical technologies, particularly affinity- and mass spectrometry-based techniques. These advancements have deepened our understanding of disease mechanisms, enabling the development of precise diagnostic tools and personalized medicine. Protein biomarkers, which play pivotal roles in biological processes, have become invaluable in diagnosing and monitoring diseases, aided by their presence in various biological samples and the availability of established detection methods. Areas covered: This review covers the role of protein biomarkers in clinical practice, the development and dimensionality of protein biomarkers, advancements in detection technologies, a comparison of these technologies, and future directions in biomarker discovery and disease mechanism elucidation. Expert opinion: Advances in biomarker technologies have the potential to transform diagnostics and personalized treatment but face challenges such as high costs and technical complexity. Enhancing reproducibility and integrating multi-omics approaches may offer better insights. In conclusion, the field should evolve toward high-throughput, automated methods, continuously adapting research, and clinical practices.

59 BASIC BIOLOGICAL SCIENCES↗